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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 342210 times)

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soooieman

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Gamblers?
« Reply #10350 on: September 22, 2016, 09:42:05 pm »

Any other college football gamblers out there? I think it would be fun to pick several games a week against the spread and see how we do. So far in 2016 I'm 16-5 against the number. I know I didn't post them on here, but if u want proof I'm on twitter and my handle is @cldhog.  Here's my picks this week. Would love to see yours.
Clemson/GT under 59
Minnesota -16.5 vs Colorado State
Ole Miss -7 vs UGA
Kent State +45 @ Bama
Florida St -6 @ South Fla
Oklahoma St +8.5 @ Baylor
Duke + 21 @ Notre Dame
Air Force -3 @ Utah St
LSU Auburn Under 46

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ricepig

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Re: Gamblers?
« Reply #10351 on: September 22, 2016, 09:44:52 pm »

Pretty sure they've been doing it in here for years.


http://www.hogville.net/yabbse/index.php?topic=419577.0
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soooieman

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Re: Gamblers?
« Reply #10352 on: September 22, 2016, 09:51:51 pm »

I'm sorry. I didn't know.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10353 on: September 23, 2016, 10:13:00 am »

Welcome Soooieman,  We've been doing this in this thread for a few years now and have seen more than our fair share of folks pop in and out with unsubstantiated claims of amazing records ats, so we're generally pretty skeptical of those sorts of claims from folks who are new to the thread.  As best I can tell, your twitter posts check out and you're off to a great start for the season.  Hopefully you can keep rolling, and we can all benefit from sharing thoughts, leans, and picks.  You're off to a good start this week, and we're on a couple of the same games on Saturday.  Welcome & Good luck!
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10354 on: September 23, 2016, 12:59:54 pm »

Here are my picks sure to cost me, and anyone who follows, money this weekend

tcu-20.5
fla st -7
pur -6
usc + 3.5
mtsu -5
ind -7.5
wvu-7
char +27.5
syr/uconn un 57
unlv -15
emu/wy ov 63

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BigSexyHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10355 on: September 23, 2016, 01:03:27 pm »

Played Clemson small and forgot to get my NE game in.  Ended up watching the Clemson game in class cause the class is boring and everyone likes to tell stories.   Oh well 1-0.  Good way to start the weekend.   Lots of good looking games
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BigSexyHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10356 on: September 23, 2016, 01:06:08 pm »

Sooieman.  Any idea why most of the services are going with Baylor?  I like Okie Light myself and just don't see Baylor that much better.  Thought
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woodhog14

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10357 on: September 23, 2016, 01:27:22 pm »

My picks this week:

Ole Miss -7
Florida St. -5.5
Stanford -3
Southern Miss -10.5

Really, really debating on LSU at -3.5...thoughts?
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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10358 on: September 23, 2016, 04:24:13 pm »

been covered up... hope you fellas had a good week last week... for the first time ever, i had two pushes on day games. both were double digit faves, crazy. i only had 4 pushes all year last year.

 i have a few i am looking at...

going back to the well with air force -4...

uconn -4... orange ran 53 more plays than lville and south florida last 2 weeks and lost to the spread by 30 points... or another way to look at it they wre outscored in the 2nd half by 34 points... at home. not sure exactly what that means and it might be a 'wait and see' but a young team on the road (for the 1st time this year) on a grass field playing a really good/experienced defense... and syracuse has notre dame next week... i just couldn't wait.

also, wondering how those southern cal boys are going to handle the forecast 46-50 temps and rain in salt lake... so -2.5's appeared early today and i didnt pull the trigger, may not seem em again.

i am on notre dame -19. kelly said all week they just want to play a sharp game with full 60 minutes playing with urgency; and duke has back 2 back non-conf games, been prone to give up the big plays, its what they do

i am also backing Tennessee -6... looks like i put it in a little early b/c 5's are now available. its a fade on the appleby than anything...

my 'not for the faint of heart' bet this week is going to be northwestern +8/+265. nebraska is off a huge win and with a qb that will turn the ball over. northwestern is in a great spot........and, if the hogs hit +7, which is highly possible (last week i wanted on the aggies and the line moved 2 points and hour before the game to right at kickoff, i passed. but you can bet i will be hitting that refresh button frequently in AT&T sadium hopeing to see some aggie steam, if so i will pull the trigger at that number and might look at the ML.

the others i am looking at are...
LSU +2.5
BYU +7
minny -17
and florida st -5.5
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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10359 on: September 23, 2016, 04:25:19 pm »

Really, really debating on LSU at -3.5...thoughts?

i am on them at 2.5 or less... with a few beers, a 3 might get put into pocket on game day.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10360 on: September 23, 2016, 05:06:00 pm »

MSU/wisc  u42


Adding....

Utah         -3  1u
TN            -4  4u
FSU           -6  2u
N'western  +9  1u
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10361 on: September 23, 2016, 10:46:45 pm »

I'm sorry. I didn't know.

Dont worry. Welcome to the thread
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10362 on: September 23, 2016, 10:51:19 pm »

Had two small plays on tcu -21/ 1 unit with two guys   won clemson, lost it back betting dumb ass Texans against pats.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10363 on: September 23, 2016, 10:52:42 pm »

Bets i already have on the books tomorrow

Louisville -25 dime play
Bucking all trends and experts   hogs aggies over 49 dime play.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10364 on: September 23, 2016, 11:06:55 pm »

So hard to transfer this.

Wiaky+3.5 / 9 units
Georgia +7 / 5 units
Fl Sat -4.5 / dime
Iowa - 14 / 5 units


That should start our day.
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BigSexyHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10365 on: September 23, 2016, 11:48:29 pm »

My picks this week:

Ole Miss -7
Florida St. -5.5
Stanford -3
Southern Miss -10.5

Really, really debating on LSU at -3.5...thoughts?

Can't imagine Auburn loses again at home but that line looks tempting
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Big Boi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10366 on: September 24, 2016, 07:26:11 am »

S. Florida +6
Auburn +4
cal vs ASU U 83

S. Florida seems like the lock of the week
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10367 on: September 24, 2016, 09:02:29 am »

Kent state +43.....L
Tennessee -5....W
Auburn +3.5....W
Louisville -29....W
UCLA +3....L
Northwestern +7.5....L
Utah state +4.5

Lot of dogs today
« Last Edit: September 24, 2016, 11:03:02 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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mckinneyhog5

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10368 on: September 24, 2016, 09:33:27 am »

Can't imagine Auburn loses again at home but that line looks tempting
AU's backs are against the wall..they pull this one out.  AU +3 1/2
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10369 on: September 24, 2016, 10:09:36 am »

Taking:

Wisky +3.5 // 2u
Fla St. -4.5 // 2u
Uconn -2.5 // 1u

Parlay to pay 2u:
Wisky +3.5
Fla St. -4.5
Iowa -14.5
Georgia +7

Down 3u on the season.

Good luck today everyone
« Last Edit: September 24, 2016, 10:29:45 am by Huckleberry Pig »
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10370 on: September 24, 2016, 10:47:35 am »


Adding....

Utah         -3  1u
TN            -4  4u
FSU           -6  2u
N'western  +9  1u



Added

More FSU  -5  1u
Seems I added more FSU last week to my detriment.

Ole Miss  -7  1u
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10371 on: September 24, 2016, 11:02:00 am »

Mich St -4.5
Fl St -5
*VT -14
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BigSexyHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10372 on: September 24, 2016, 12:20:53 pm »

Woke up late. 

Got in Florida st and Syracuse.   
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Big Boi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10373 on: September 24, 2016, 12:34:44 pm »

S. Florida +6
Auburn +4
cal vs ASU U 83

S. Florida seems like the lock of the week
Vegas going to pay for that line. Thought for sure S. Florida was the play.  :puke:
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10374 on: September 24, 2016, 01:37:02 pm »

Akron +6
Stanford -2
Wake Forest +7
Duke +20
South Carolina +2


Thinking this may be all, Nebraska and Louisville numbers pushed a little further than I feel comfortable with.

I am watching Washington v Arizona, if the number drops a point or so to 14 or less, I would probably add it in to my picks.
« Last Edit: September 24, 2016, 01:48:02 pm by WILL CLINTON »
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BigSexyHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10375 on: September 24, 2016, 02:23:24 pm »

2:30 games... (played way to many and kicking myself)

Michigan - 16
Ville - 31 (Everyone seems to be playing Marshall but the line keeps moving up... I still like the cards -100)
West Virginia - 7 1/2
Florida -5

Good luck everyone
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10376 on: September 24, 2016, 03:19:40 pm »

Added WKU -8
Oregon -10
Fresno ST +16

All 2 units
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10377 on: September 24, 2016, 04:50:32 pm »

Hogs +7 // 4u

WPS
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10378 on: September 24, 2016, 06:04:24 pm »

One of the problems w/ gambling is I would not otherwise "cheer" for TN (unless they were playing ND or the whorns).
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BigSexyHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10379 on: September 24, 2016, 06:04:44 pm »

Well another decent day.... 6-2 overall.  Thanks to that last minute score by Arizona St :)
« Last Edit: September 25, 2016, 01:10:00 am by BigSexyHog »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10380 on: September 25, 2016, 08:31:08 am »

So last night something like this went my way for the first time in recent memory.  My early dime play and 9 unit play had won. Kinda split the smaller unit bets. Was feeling really good about the two dime plays i had placed the night before. So im thinking if the large plays on Louisville and the over on Hogs and Ags hit im gonna make  lot of money even going 5-4.

Stanford had been on my mind all day.  I slipped in a 2 unit play with two of my guys at -3. No way i thought it was gonna be that low scoring. Toward the end i switched over from Hogs game. Im expecting to lose that Stanford money.  Then ucla leaves is open for a Stanford drive. Im like sweet. Just give me a push and im happy. Holy crap if they dont drive the field and score the go ahead TD. I looked at my wife and said this little effer better not miss this PAT. He nails it. Yes i got the push. Great day.

AND THEN IT HAPPENED ! WHAT NORMALLY GOES AGAINST US GOES MY WAY. LAST PLAY OF THE GAME FUMBLE RETURN TD. 

My phone blew up from like 7 or 8 people that had text and asked and intold them play Stanford. Texts read like this. Finally we didnt get screwed, about time the football gods went our way.   Made up for the last time we got screwed, and my favorite was from my guy in Youngstown. " i never had a doubt "

Great finish.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10381 on: September 25, 2016, 08:43:52 am »

Yep, I had already started counting that one as a loss as I was working through my preliminary weekend numbers in my head.  Sweet finish!  Also, THANKS again for sharing your plays.  I'm off to a pretty good start at 61.5%, but tailing your large plays has been hitting for me at 80%.  You are SLAYING it again this season!

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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10382 on: September 25, 2016, 09:18:50 am »

Yep, I had already started counting that one as a loss as I was working through my preliminary weekend numbers in my head.  Sweet finish!  Also, THANKS again for sharing your plays.  I'm off to a pretty good start at 61.5%, but tailing your large plays has been hitting for me at 80%.  You are SLAYING it again this season!



Thanks buddy. Glad its helping. I generally hit those large plays.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10383 on: September 25, 2016, 10:13:11 am »

Had a good cfb weekend, 6-1. My only "large" play was TN, so I appreciated them waking up. However, I remain negative on nfl picks for this season, but admittedly I've not done well historically on the league.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10384 on: September 25, 2016, 10:32:40 am »

Nfl action so far

Browns +9.5 /1 unit
Denver +3.5 /  1 unit
Gmen-3 / 1 unit
Arizona -4.5 / 1 unit
Steelers -3 ( bought hook) / 5 units
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woodhog14

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10385 on: September 25, 2016, 10:45:38 am »

My picks this week:

Ole Miss -7.....W
Florida St. -5.5.....W
Stanford -3.....W
Southern Miss -10.5.....W

4-0 on the weekend for me! First time that has ever happened!
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10386 on: September 25, 2016, 11:47:10 am »

Bills +4.5...W
Titans +2...L
Eagles +4...W
Chiefs -3....W
Seahawks -10...W
« Last Edit: September 25, 2016, 08:25:59 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10387 on: September 25, 2016, 11:52:47 am »

Bills +4.5
Titans +2
Eagles +4
Chiefs -3
Seahawks -10


One of us is gonna have a good day. Yikes. Doubt it will be me.
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10388 on: September 25, 2016, 11:58:00 am »

Was out of pocket most of yesterday and all I did was a small bet on Florida St. Looks like everyone else was on it too..that was a great value at -4.

For today have 3 units on Raiders -1

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BigSexyHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10389 on: September 25, 2016, 12:18:07 pm »

Denver, Oakland,  Arizona and Green Bay.

Good luck everyone
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10390 on: September 25, 2016, 12:43:30 pm »

Week 4 turned out to be a "correction" week for the power rating systems.  After week 4, only 8 systems are ahead ats, and those are hitting at rates that are more in line with what you would expect (in the 54 - 55% range instead of the 60+% range).   My picks went 5-5 for 0 units on the week, making it 16-10 (61.5%) ats & +6/8 units YTD.  Luckily, my tails of Jeff's large plays hit at 100% this week and have hit at 80% YTD.  If you're not tailing Jeff's large plays, you're leaving money on the table.

Overal, YTD, Home & Road teams are still hitting at 50/50, Favorites & Dogs are hitting at 55/45, and Road Favorites are hitting at 58.6%.  Give me one more week's worth of data, and there should be a few trends that are worth watching. 
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10391 on: September 25, 2016, 12:46:10 pm »

Week 4 turned out to be a "correction" week for the power rating systems.  After week 4, only 8 systems are ahead ats, and those are hitting at rates that are more in line with what you would expect (in the 54 - 55% range instead of the 60+% range).   My picks went 5-5 for 0 units on the week, making it 16-10 (61.5%) ats & +6/8 units YTD.  Luckily, my tails of Jeff's large plays hit at 100% this week and have hit at 80% YTD.  If you're not tailing Jeff's large plays, you're leaving money on the table.

Overal, YTD, Home & Road teams are still hitting at 50/50, Favorites & Dogs are hitting at 55/45, and Road Favorites are hitting at 58.6%.  Give me one more week's worth of data, and there should be a few trends that are worth watching. 


Thanks for the props buddy, hoping my big plays keep hitting.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10392 on: September 25, 2016, 01:41:16 pm »

Had a not bad week at 6-4. Made money for the 2nd week in a row. Some big games coming up this week, can't wait to see those lines.

I know some of the lines are going to correct before they get to the public, but some of these lines are just silly.
http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10393 on: September 25, 2016, 08:26:43 pm »

Oddly enough, I'm killing it in the NFL and right at 55% in college.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10394 on: September 25, 2016, 11:26:14 pm »

Way too early leans:

Oregon -1
Mich St -7.5
Wisky +10
Utah +1
Tenn -3.5
Louisville +2
Miami -6.5
Western Mich -3.5
Duke -4
Ole Miss -14***
Pitt -1
Stanford +3
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10395 on: September 25, 2016, 11:34:48 pm »

Just wondering if Solly Thomas broke anyone's hearts or bank rolls again last night with his junk TD?
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10396 on: September 25, 2016, 11:51:39 pm »

Just wondering if Solly Thomas broke anyone's hearts or bank rolls again last night with his junk TD?

I thought that game was -2.5 and Stanford was up by 4 when that happened, so not changing outcome of spread at all?
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10397 on: September 26, 2016, 07:44:59 am »

Just wondering if Solly Thomas broke anyone's hearts or bank rolls again last night with his junk TD?

Yes. I had a push until that. Wasn't much on the line though, it was a small play.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10398 on: September 26, 2016, 08:52:25 am »

Here are my picks sure to cost me, and anyone who follows, money this weekend

tcu-20.5 W
fla st -7 W
pur -6 W
usc + 3.5 L ( USC lost by 4 )
mtsu -5 L ( MTSU won by 4 )
ind -7.5 L
wvu-7 L
char +27.5 L ( Char lost by 28 )
syr/uconn un 57 W
unlv -15 L
emu/wy ov 63 L

went 4-7  then lost wen 1-4 o the NFL. Simply dreadful weekend


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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10399 on: September 26, 2016, 01:24:26 pm »

Some of my leans are already moving in the opposite direction, so I went ahead and locked those in for the week.

Ole Miss -14***
Western Michigan -4
Louisville -1
Oregon -1
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