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Author Topic: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig  (Read 3495 times)

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BigBrandonAllenFan

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NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« on: November 30, 2016, 09:05:22 pm »

I figured to start a new running thread on NASDAQ investment.

The quotes below are from the "Anybody Have Any Good Low Priced Stocks To Buy" thread here in the forum>

I bought a ton (50% 0f portfolio) of FSESX (Fidelity Select Energy Services) the Tuesday one week before the election, gambling that Trump would win the election.  I am already up 6% in 8 days of NYSE trading, an average of 3/4% per day to this point.

In late 2014, FSESX was priced at over $100 per share.  With new policies detrimental to the energy service workers implemented by the Obama administration in 2014, the fund took a hard nose dive and had fallen to a 5 year low of $38 last month, I bought in at $45.04 per share, and obviously given the recent push from $38 (5 yr low) to $45 (when I bought), some investors has already made the Trump gamble.  I wish I'da bought at $38, but oh well, it's just getting started.  Trump is putting our American energy service workforce back to work, and I expect a return to near $100 per share within a year on the fund.

I usually don't key folks in on stocks this hot, but there you go...

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/fund/fsesx
**********************************************************

If the deal had went by the wayside (again) oil would have remained level at worst.  Now that the measly cut has been announced, the price has surged today.  The actual amount of the cut is actually miniscule in being any difference.  It is the "news" itself that drives the price ahead.

RP, I've been in this forum for over a year now, and have made numerous market calls, all CORRECT.  I would invite you to recheck my posts/predictions/documented trades and find where I have missed a single time.  I have the best intuition of anyone in this forum, and I am better than the large majority of people that get paid to do what I offer for free.

No one has to listen, I just offer up my research and insight to my fellow Arkansan's as a past time.

>>>

Good for you, tell me before you take a position, it might have more validity.

Ok RP, you pressed me for validity, so, now, once again, at a different bat time and a different bat channel from my other valid Hogville documented profitable buys....

My FSESX buy at $45.04 per share on November 2nd, 2016, as described in my post above, jumped up $3.94 per share today which equates to an 8.11% rise in a single day! BAMMMM!!!!!

I was obviously praying for an OPEC cut in production, because I knew I was in to make a killing with any announced cut, (be it only a drop out of the current oil supply bucket in reality)...I'll elaborate on what that all translates to in due time. 

I won't say exactly how much money I made on FSESX today, but put it this way...If I had bought $150,000.oo worth of FSESX, I would have made over $13,000.00 profit in a single day..  I will put it this way, this was my biggest day ever on the markets by a country mile.  ;D  Normally I would sell at first dawn's light tomorrow, but again, not this time.  Gaining another 20% by inauguration day is likely.

You asked for validity, there you go.  It's all right here in black and white.

Most often, people who work for brokers know much less about investing than the savvy private investor as myself knows.  It is up to the individual to manage his money, not the firm with which you invest.  The brokers manage funds, which means they manage what companies the money is invested into.  Only you manage your account.  Brokerage firms don't offer account managers.

Bottom line, I am up nearing 20% in less than a month on my FSESX buy on Nov. 2nd.  Had anyone taken my tip on the day I offered it, that person is now up appx 13%.  If you didn't get on board, you can never say I didn't tell you so.

I don't know what else I can do to prove validity?  I don't see where I can do anything more to make a believer.  Some folks are just market smart.  I am one of those some folks.  I've heard, "You're lucky like that".  I respond, "Luck has nothing to do with it".  If I was looking to get lucky I'd be at a casino betting my wad of money on green at the roulette table.  I'd challenge anyone to match the validity of the direct investment advice that I have offered in this forum in thread on numerous occasions.

So anyways, I'll use this thread to post immediately when I make a buy, and I'll also tell folks good reason why I am making the buy.  Honestly, it doesn't matter at all to me if anyone follows or not, but the advise will be here, for free.

I know there are folks here that are saying about me, "That smart @ss SOB...How the hell does he do that?  I wanted him to fail so I could cream him".  Sorry though, never going to happen unless the market falls off the face of the earth.

See the chart on today's FSESX big surge>

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/fund/fsesx
« Last Edit: November 30, 2016, 10:09:50 pm by BigBrandonAllenFan »
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ricepig

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #1 on: November 30, 2016, 10:00:13 pm »

Well, it wasn't that I was doubting your exquisite market timing, it's just easy to say I bought XYZ last week and it's up 400%! Hey, you've got something that works, keep at it. Another thing my little ole broker used to tell me, "The bulls got some, the bears get some, but the hogs get slaughtered". Unfortunately, that sounds more like this football season, than market advice, haha.
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BigBrandonAllenFan

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2016, 10:25:19 pm »

Well, it wasn't that I was doubting your exquisite market timing, it's just easy to say I bought XYZ last week and it's up 400%! Hey, you've got something that works, keep at it. Another thing my little ole broker used to tell me, "The bulls got some, the bears get some, but the hogs get slaughtered". Unfortunately, that sounds more like this football season, than market advice, haha.

Why would I claim to make a buy that I didn't make?  I've not just said I was up a certain percentage, I've posted the charts for plain proof of how my buy was/is performing.

And I do think your broker is a wise old investor investor.  I know more from the old adages my grandpa told me than I ever learned in school.

You'll love this story....
When I was 14 years old, I got me my first girlfriend.  I wanted to ask her to go steady, and in those days guys gave their girls an engraved bracelet, which cost then about $3.  So I got this plan in my head to go tell grandpa I had my first real girlfriend and ask him if I can have $3 to buy her a bracelet, so I waited for him to come home from work from MoPac and I caught him getting out of his Datsun truck...

This was my grandpa's answer to my request for $3 for my girlfriend's benefit, I swear on his sacred grave.. "Son, there's something you need to know about women.  They control 100% of the p****, therefore they are always going to control 95% of your money.  It's time for you to get a job".  Then he asked me if I had been in to see granny and did she have supper ready yet. End of conversation.

Well, at the time, the dumb blank look of misunderstanding I had on my face after his advice surely must have made his year. 
 
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BigBrandonAllenFan

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #3 on: December 01, 2016, 10:53:04 am »

Crude oil up another 4% this morning. 

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ricepig

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #4 on: December 01, 2016, 11:36:56 am »

Why would I claim to make a buy that I didn't make?  I've not just said I was up a certain percentage, I've posted the charts for plain proof of how my buy was/is performing.

And I do think your broker is a wise old investor investor.  I know more from the old adages my grandpa told me than I ever learned in school.

You'll love this story....
When I was 14 years old, I got me my first girlfriend.  I wanted to ask her to go steady, and in those days guys gave their girls an engraved bracelet, which cost then about $3.  So I got this plan in my head to go tell grandpa I had my first real girlfriend and ask him if I can have $3 to buy her a bracelet, so I waited for him to come home from work from MoPac and I caught him getting out of his Datsun truck...

This was my grandpa's answer to my request for $3 for my girlfriend's benefit, I swear on his sacred grave.. "Son, there's something you need to know about women.  They control 100% of the p****, therefore they are always going to control 95% of your money.  It's time for you to get a job".  Then he asked me if I had been in to see granny and did she have supper ready yet. End of conversation.

Well, at the time, the dumb blank look of misunderstanding I had on my face after his advice surely must have made his year. 
 

Why??? It's a message board and no one knows if you did or didn't. We've had, or had a certain poster that would always say he did something after it was a great trade, I guess call it just being skeptical. No one knows that anyone made any trade, but no one is 100% correct all the time, lol.
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snoblind

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #5 on: December 01, 2016, 02:05:02 pm »

why?  3 words, Hog in Memphis.  ;)
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ricepig

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #6 on: December 01, 2016, 02:34:57 pm »

why?  3 words, Hog in Memphis.  ;)

Shocked, I tell you shocked that he would stretch the truth.....
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BigBrandonAllenFan

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #7 on: December 01, 2016, 06:06:05 pm »

OK, RP.  Whatever you think is OK by me.  ;D

Anyways, FSESX (my proposed by RP, fake investment) is up another 1% today to $53.00 per share.

A buy I am watching to possibly become reality is FSAGX (Fidelity Select Gold).  I will wait through December in hopes gold will fall below $1100 per ounce sometime in January.  When/if it does, I'll buy.  Gold closed today at $1173 per ounce and has been on a steady downhill roll since September.
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BigBrandonAllenFan

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #8 on: December 01, 2016, 06:07:06 pm »

why?  3 words, Hog in Memphis.  ;)

Why do you say Hog in Memphis?
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BigBrandonAllenFan

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #9 on: December 01, 2016, 06:14:14 pm »

Why??? It's a message board and no one knows if you did or didn't. We've had, or had a certain poster that would always say he did something after it was a great trade, I guess call it just being skeptical. No one knows that anyone made any trade, but no one is 100% correct all the time, lol.

Well, I don't say it after it happened.  When I said this particular thingy on FSESX it was like Nov. 9th, 7 or 8 days after my buy, and at that time I was up a measly 6%.  Since I said that, I am up another 12%.  I knew there was still a lot of meat on the bone, so I went ahead and offered up the tip.  Had anyone taken the tip, they would be up 12% in 3 weeks.  I posted the charts so you didn't even have to fact check.  You can best bet your grandpa's pig farm on one thing, I'm dancing all the way to the bank.  :D
« Last Edit: December 01, 2016, 06:58:54 pm by BigBrandonAllenFan »
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ricepig

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #10 on: December 01, 2016, 06:14:50 pm »

OK, RP.  Whatever you think is OK by me.  ;D

Anyways, FSESX (my proposed by RP, fake investment) is up another 1% today to $53.00 per share.

A buy I am watching to possibly become reality is FSAGX (Fidelity Select Gold).  I will wait through December in hopes gold will fall below $1100 per ounce sometime in January.  When/if it does, I'll buy.  Gold closed today at $1173 per ounce and has been on a steady downhill roll since September.

Now, did I say that? So, are these trades more profitable than chickens?
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BigBrandonAllenFan

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #11 on: December 01, 2016, 06:40:07 pm »

Now, did I say that? So, are these trades more profitable than chickens?

ROTF.   Fort Chicken still stands strong!
   
« Last Edit: December 01, 2016, 06:53:57 pm by BigBrandonAllenFan »
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snoblind

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #12 on: December 01, 2016, 07:36:41 pm »

Why do you say Hog in Memphis?

HiM used to spend a bit of time here bragging on his investment, ah, talents.  Don't recall seeing him posting here after he apparently welched on a bet with McKinneyHog.
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BigBrandonAllenFan

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #13 on: December 02, 2016, 11:13:20 am »

HiM used to spend a bit of time here bragging on his investment, ah, talents.  Don't recall seeing him posting here after he apparently welched on a bet with McKinneyHog.
Ah.  I'm on my third user name in ten years, but that wasn't one of them.  I think RicePig can vouch for that.

And I'm not bragging.  I honestly and simply offer up timely solid investments for free.  It isn't like people don't come in here asking for an investment tip, because they do.

"George only here to help."  George of Jungle-All around good guy.
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snoblind

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #14 on: December 02, 2016, 02:38:22 pm »

Ah.  I'm on my third user name in ten years, but that wasn't one of them.  I think RicePig can vouch for that.

And I'm not bragging.  I honestly and simply offer up timely solid investments for free.  It isn't like people don't come in here asking for an investment tip, because they do.

"George only here to help."  George of Jungle-All around good guy.

:)  Oh, everyone could tell if you were HiM.  And that is not a compliment to him.
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BigBrandonAllenFan

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #15 on: December 02, 2016, 07:03:40 pm »

Meanwhile, FSESX (Fidelity Select Energy Services), is up another 3/4% today. 

I'm holding until the day oil hits $60 per bbl, (likely sometime by January) then SOLD!  That should put me up about 40% with the investment.  Now at near +20% just 30 days in with the buy.

FSESX (crude stocks in general) is only one major oil slick/spill, mid east oil field blow-up, Exxon Valdez, ect... away from another big shot in the arm.  If one of those scenaio's were to play out, $70 per bbl will follow quickly.  Let's hope not though.

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/fund/fsesx
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #16 on: December 04, 2016, 08:44:19 pm »

Another thing my little ole broker used to tell me, "The bulls got some, the bears get some, but the hogs get slaughtered".

Sometimes I take tips from the seemingly rarest of sources. I'm not going to get hoggy.  My feet are getting cold.  Call it a gut feeling.  Call it more like listening to advice that some old wise dude had figured out for me already like your little old broker, RicePig.. I've been chewing on that one since you wrote it. 

All I know is I can cash out my FSESX tomorrow for a big winner.  I may dip 1 % tomorrow, but they can have that back...I'll take the 18% profit in 4 weeks and run.  I know I swore I was holding out for 40%, but I don't want my hog to get slaughtered.   Pump prices for gas have not increased after the spike in crude oil last week.  There's just something ain't right there.

Thanks for the tip, RP.  ;D 

FSESX = SOLD!!
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #17 on: December 06, 2016, 02:21:27 pm »

Well, it wasn't that I was doubting your exquisite market timing,...

I may have indeed timed this buy and sell perfectly.  Yesterday I sold the FSESX as I stated was my plan in the above post.  I was lucky as I got another 1.55% (.83 cents per share) rise in share price yesterday (all sales on any given day are transacted at the close of market price that day).  I bought in on Nov 2nd at 45.04 per share, and sold Dec 5th at $54.21, which equates to a 20.35% gain in 33 days. 

I say I timed it perfectly because it appears crude oil is going to be about 2% lower today, and I expect a fall in FSESX share price today and over the next week also, especially given the Russians and Saudis have spiked oil production in a race to the finish line before the agreed cuts take place, and the Dakota pipeline being on hold now is also a detriment.

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/fund/fsesx   
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #18 on: December 09, 2016, 06:54:31 pm »

Well, it appears I sold too soon.  FSESX is up another 2 1/2% since I sold last Monday.

I knew I should have held out for 40%.  Hindsight is 20/20.
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #19 on: December 10, 2016, 12:18:59 pm »

Gold is down to $1161 per oz after going as high as $1375 in September.  That's near a 20% drop.  I'm patiently waiting for the price to go to $1100 and I'll buy a good chunk of Fidelity Select Gold at that point.
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #20 on: December 15, 2016, 04:18:18 pm »

Gold is down to $1161 per oz after going as high as $1375 in September.  That's near a 20% drop.  I'm patiently waiting for the price to go to $1100 and I'll buy a good chunk of Fidelity Select Gold at that point.
gold down 33 dollars to 1130 per oz. Almost there.
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Biggus Piggus

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #21 on: December 15, 2016, 04:29:30 pm »

The equation of NASDAQ with low-priced stocks is quaint.
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #22 on: December 16, 2016, 12:29:21 pm »

I'm not the only one with an eye on Gold.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-is-the-investment-with-the-biggest-turnaround-potential-in-2017-2016-12-16

Quote
Opinion: Gold is the investment with the biggest turnaround potential in 2017 By Henry To
Published: Dec 16, 2016 8:54 a.m. ET
Inflationary policies in the U.S. and China ought to stoke demand


NEWPORT BEACH, Calif. (Trader Planet) —

...Every day I run a screen to find beleaguered stocks that I believe could outperform the market over the next 12 months. My own 20 years of trading experience tells me that buying a stock whose price has been falling is akin to “catching a falling knife,” as momentum tends to be a consistent factor that has outperformed value-based and passive strategies.

Moreover, the empirical evidence shows that negative price momentum in stocks has more persistence than positive momentum. This means a short-selling strategy based on shorting stocks that have gone down the most (hedged with a long position in the S&P 500) tend to outperform a (hedged) strategy focused on buying stocks that have gone up the most.

Such momentum biases, however, tend to last for only 12 months or so, as the empirical evidence also shows the existence of a reversal effect after three to five years. This means one could outperform the market by buying beaten-down stocks that have consistently underperformed the market over the past three to five years.

With U.S. stock valuations now at their highest level since the technology bubble, I believe the S&P 500 will be little changed or even fall next year. As such, I don’t have a particularly strong conviction on picking any turnaround U.S. stocks.

In lieu of a stock pick, my candidate for the investment with the most turnaround potential in 2017 is gold. Using the SPDR Gold Trust ETF GLD, +0.79%  as a proxy, we can see that gold is up 7% this year. However, the yellow metal has fallen an annualized 3% and 7% over the past three and five years, respectively. After enduring a bear market since peaking at around $1,900 an ounce in September 2011, I believe gold bottomed at $1,050 an ounce in December 2015 and is now in a sustained uptrend. Here are three reasons why I like gold at the current price of $1,150 an ounce.

1. Inflationary U.S. and Chinese policies will result in speculative fund flows into gold.

President-elect Donald Trump’s plans to cut taxes is estimated to add $7.2 trillion to the federal debt in the first decade and as much as $20.9 trillion by 2036, on top of the $19 trillion outstanding today. Even in the absence of such additional spending (Congress has never been able to implement a “revenue-neutral” tax cut in the modern era), the U.S. federal debt is still expected to increase from 77% of U.S. GDP at year-end 2016 to 86%, or about $23 trillion, over the next decade, driven by entitlement spending such as Social Security and Medicare/Medicaid. Higher fiscal spending amid a tight labor market and rising wages invariably leads to higher inflation.

Similarly, the ongoing fiscal stimulus and a surging housing market has led to significant credit creation in China. The most recent surge in housing prices began in April 2015 as Chinese stock prices were tracing out a peak; a similar peak is being traced out in the Chinese housing market today as regulators institute macroprudential policies to prick the Chinese housing bubble. Chinese speculators are now turning to the commodities market to hedge the depreciation in their Chinese yuan-denominated assets. Over the past three months, zinc and copper prices, for example, have risen by 20% and 25%, respectively, driven by Chinese buying. Finally, gold futures turnover in China has risen to about 25% of that on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, suggesting that precious metals pricing power is increasingly shifting to Chinese hedge funds and traders.

2. Chinese and Indian jewelry demand will recover in 2017.

According to the World Gold Council, global jewelry demand, which makes up half of annual gold demand, was down 21% year-over-year in the third quarter. This was driven by an unprecedented decline in jewelry demand in the world’s two largest markets, China and India (which collectively account for 60% of global jewelry demand), where jewelry consumption was down 27% and 41%, respectively, year-over-year. Jewelry demand is expected to hit a seven-year low in China, and a 13-year low in India.

This year’s unprecedented weakness of the Chinese and Indian jewelry markets was due to a confluence of factors that will not repeat themselves in 2017. These include: 1. a loss of Chinese consumer confidence; 2. Chinese gold import curbs designed to restrict capital flight; 3. a tax hike on Indian gold imports earlier this year; 4. a cash crisis in India as the country’s government outlawed the use of large-denomination notes. With the recent correction in gold prices, I expect both Chinese and Indian consumers to step up their jewelry purchases in 2017. Already, a large Hong Kong-based retailer, Wo Shing Goldsmith, is reporting a 20%-25% rise in gold jewelry sales over the past month.

3. Speculative inflows into the SPDR Gold Trust GLD, +0.79% have capitulated, suggesting a good entry point.

In the month leading into, and in the immediate aftermath, of the June 23 Brexit vote, the SPDR Gold Trust’s holdings increased by 3.7 million ounces, or 13%, to a total of 31.6 million ounces, as retail investors scrambled into gold over fears of a potential breakup of the European Union. Since then, the ETF’s holdings have declined by 4.1 million ounces to a total of 27.5 million ounces, a seven-month low. This means much of the Brexit-related “hot money” has gotten out and capitulated on gold. From a contrarian and trading standpoint, today’s price of $1,150 an ounce is thus a good entry point.

Gold currently trading at $1138 today.

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #23 on: December 20, 2016, 04:06:38 pm »

Gold now down to 1133 per oz at today's close. Fall baby fall! Patiently waiting for 1100, then I'm in for a big chunk.
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #24 on: December 22, 2016, 06:42:54 pm »

Gold continues to inch downwards.  Closed at $1130 today.

I'm thinking somewhere in the first two weeks of January just prior to inauguration it will fall to the $1100 mark.
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #25 on: January 02, 2017, 05:24:49 pm »

Ok RP... 

I just put in a buy for FPHAX (Fidelity Select Pharmaceuticals) for 25% of my portfolio.  The buy will not finalize until close of market tomorrow, Tuesday 1/3/17.  I will get tomorrow's closing price as my buying cost. 

Take a look at the one and three year graphs (below) and you will see why I'm jumping in.  The price of last Friday's close for FPHAX was $17.04 per share.  I figure I'll get the buy at or very near that mark, maybe a half percent more or less.  Futures are down for tomorrow's opening, so I'm hoping for a little less.

Anyone wanting to make a dime, there you go.  I'll post my exact sell date  by noon of the sale day if anyone wants to follow suit..  I think I can get an easy 10% in 30 to 45 days.

I've posted a multitude of buys up in here, all good winners as proven by exacts in post.  This one will be no different.

"George only here to help".  George of Jungle

http://www.google.com/finance?q=MUTF:FPHAX&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwiN5b6JxaTRAhVP9mMKHTojDkIQowEIFDAA

 
« Last Edit: March 16, 2017, 02:41:54 pm by BigBrandonAllenFan »
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BigBrandonAllenFan

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #26 on: January 03, 2017, 11:42:10 am »

...Also purchasing two other funds today 1/3/16 with 7% of portfolio going to each>

FSAVX (Fidelity Select Automotive) on news GM scraps 1.7 billion plans for Mexico production facility and will now add 700 jobs in Detroit.  And the stock is low priced right now per the 3 year average price.

FBIOX (Fidelity Select Biotech).  It is just priced too low and has bottomed out per my read of the 1 year graph.
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #27 on: January 03, 2017, 06:44:20 pm »

...Also purchasing two other funds today 1/3/16 with 7% of portfolio going to each>

FSAVX (Fidelity Select Automotive) on news GM scraps 1.7 billion plans for Mexico production facility and will now add 700 jobs in Detroit.  And the stock is low priced right now per the 3 year average price.

FBIOX (Fidelity Select Biotech).  It is just priced too low and has bottomed out per my read of the 1 year graph.
Tell me more of this "read of the 1 yr graph". What are you looking at when you utilize technical analysis?
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #28 on: January 03, 2017, 08:49:04 pm »

...Also purchasing two other funds today 1/3/16 with 7% of portfolio going to each>

FSAVX (Fidelity Select Automotive) on news GM scraps 1.7 billion plans for Mexico production facility and will now add 700 jobs in Detroit.  And the stock is low priced right now per the 3 year average price.

FBIOX (Fidelity Select Biotech).  It is just priced too low and has bottomed out per my read of the 1 year graph.

My paid per share prices were:

FPHAX @ $17.33 per share

FSAVX @ $35.54 per share

FBIOX @ $175.92 per share.

While the NASDAQ was up 0.8% today, FPHAX went up 1.7% today (which I had to pay), FSAVX was up 1.5%, and FBIOX was up 1.2%, far outpacing the days NASDAQ average, which equates to a VERY good sign for the coming days for all 3 of the stocks.  I should have bought last friday, but oh well, there is plenty of room to come.  FSAVX got a huge boost that will continue when GM announced they are scrapping their plans for a 1.7 billion dollar plant in Mexico after Trump tweeted them with warning of increased taxes, and instead GM has now announced they are hiring 700 new assembly jobs in Detroit and they are investing $700 million in the Detroit endeavor.  Gotta love some Trump.  Bring back the Motor City!!  2017 is a banner stock market year on the horizon for the smart player.

As of now, I am only 40% invested, so I have plenty of room for a double up on the buys should they go 5% south.

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #29 on: January 03, 2017, 09:04:02 pm »

Tell me more of this "read of the 1 yr graph". What are you looking at when you utilize technical analysis?

I'll be glad to.  But give me until tomorrow evening when I have to time to go into detail for you.  Have to work in the morning at 5:30.  It is how I buy most all of my mutual funds.  That, sometimes coupled with a subtle clue or two like GM's "No Mexico" announcement today which spurs solid investment..
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #30 on: January 04, 2017, 09:58:39 pm »

ooopps
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #31 on: January 04, 2017, 10:38:04 pm »

Tell me more of this "read of the 1 yr graph". What are you looking at when you utilize technical analysis?

Ok bro.  Here goes regarding "reading the graphs".  It is somewhat kin to simple geometry and simple mathematical percentages in approach, often using a straight geometric line.  While that may sound somewhat complicated, it is actually quite simple.

http://www.google.com/finance?q=MUTF:FPHAX&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwiN5b6JxaTRAhVP9mMKHTojDkIQowEIFDAA

The graph of reference above for FPHAX, I read as follows>

Click first on the one year graph:  By that graph, we see the stock is down appx 20% from Jan 1, 2016.  Key 1 is I am only looking to buy mutual funds that have trended down and appear bottomed out in price.

Now click on the 5 year graph:  The last time FPHAX could be purchased at the current price (I paid $17.33 per share) was in March of 2013.  Draw a simple straight line across from current price and the price equals march of 2013's price.  Like I said, it is simple, but a HUGE indicator.  If you draw a near center of average line across the last 3 years, the current price is probably about 17% under that average. 

Now look again at the one year graph:  See the Feb, March, and may "dips" where the stock dropped to appx $16.90 but would quickly rebound?  The quick rebound is the key there.  That is what I call a stock bottoming out and good money could have been made anywhere along the way on each rebound about 5 to 8 percent.  You sell when you get that quick rebound  Your money was tied up a minimal amount of time for a quick but not greedy return. 

Now, for the best sense of view, go back to the 5 year graph:  This is a biggie, the #1 determinating factor to buy... See the far left (most current past trading days). In late 2016, see the dip to $16.90 and the quick rebound to $18.00 and the subsequent quick fall back to that near same $16.90 mark.  NOW, the flattened out portion of the graph line you see at the very left representing the month Dec of 2016's trading...  That flat line represents a bare bottoming out.  The stock is holding there.  The market demand is not going to allow it to go any less than that $16.90 point. Call that flattening a new foundation.  The chance of the stock price going under that flat line holding, is slim to none.  Take a look at the whole rest of the 5 year graph and you won't find a similar graph set to that one since 2012.

Finally, look at the one month graph:  The flattening out line we just observed in the five year graph is represented by the entire December 2016 graph, in which the stock was almost exactly the same price on Dec 1st as it was on Dec 30th, with not a lot of variance in between days.  Now ending, look at the last three days of trading and here comes the instantaneous spike in price, just as the graph stated it would by my read as described above.

Couple all that with not being scared of stocks that have taken a year long dive and the formula is set.  The knowledgeble FACT is, the phamaceutical industry isn't going anywhere, so if I can get in at the lowest price in nearly 4 years, with a picture perfect graph by my simple methodology, I'm in like flint!  And I deal only in mutual funds.  that way if one pharm company goes busted, I still have 95% of my money, and will get the 5% back just as soon as the other pharm companies grab up the business.

That my friend is pretty much exactly how I plan a buy.  In well over 100 trades, I've never cashed a loss and never held a fund over 6 or 7 months tops, and that was less times than I can count on one hand.  And I use this same graph reading formula every time.  Hope this helps, Golf2Day.

Notice also I made 1.21% the first day I owned the stock by the current price today.  When I get near 8% up my sell finger will begin itching badly and I'll be watching the fund price like a desert hawk on a fat lizard.   

George only here to help.  Seriously.  It took me and hour to write all this just to help, while it only took me about 15 minutes of graph reading to conclude to make my FPHAX buy. .  George of Jungle
« Last Edit: January 04, 2017, 11:07:35 pm by BigBrandonAllenFan »
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #32 on: January 04, 2017, 11:42:53 pm »

Bam!  I just checked the closing prices today on the three mutual funds I clearly stated I was buying yesterday, along with simple reason why I was buying the funds (see posts above).

Here's some validity for my mentor, the immortal RicePig!

FBIOX> Up 3.72% / +$6.55 per share.  3.72% winner in one day!! Bam!! That's hitting it!! Timing baby, all about the timing!! https://www.google.com/finance?q=fbiox&ei=z9dtWIHtL4qkjAG29LqoDQ

FSAVX> Up 2.73% / +.97 cents per share.  Bam again!!!! https://www.google.com/finance?q=fsavx&ei=6dhtWOmVJYXHjAHvqqfQBQ

FPHAX>  Up 1.21% / + .21 cents per share.  Another Bam!!!  https://www.google.com/finance?q=fphax&ei=CtltWMCRD4b3jAGx4ZKQBg

Sad part is, I put 25% of my portfolio in FPHAX and only 7% each FBIOX and FSAVX.  Go figure.  ::) The big thing is though, they all three outperformed the NASDAQ average gain for the day in a big way, which is always an indicator for continued increase in a fund.

George feeling good right now.  George trying to move into big shiney cave on Wall Street.  George hope someone else took advice and did monkey see monkey do so they can feel as good as George feel right now and move into big shiney cave on Wall Street too like George!

George only here to help.  George of Jungle
« Last Edit: January 04, 2017, 11:58:41 pm by BigBrandonAllenFan »
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ricepig

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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #33 on: January 05, 2017, 09:54:06 am »

You might want to read "A Random Walk Down Wall Street" some day, in it the author proves that buying and holding has proven to be a winner over every other investment strategy there is. He has a real dislike on technical traders, haha. I use both technical and fundamentals in my trading, but he has the evidence to back it up. As he says, the charts work every time the do, until the don't. I've loved the latest run up in big pharma, Merck is my largest holding, I also have GSK, Pfizer, and Abbvie.
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #34 on: January 05, 2017, 10:39:12 am »

You might want to read "A Random Walk Down Wall Street" some day, in it the author proves that buying and holding has proven to be a winner over every other investment strategy there is. He has a real dislike on technical traders, haha. I use both technical and fundamentals in my trading, but he has the evidence to back it up. As he says, the charts work every time the do, until the don't. I've loved the latest run up in big pharma, Merck is my largest holding, I also have GSK, Pfizer, and Abbvie.

Good job on the pharm stocks, RP.  I'm glad you have a piece of the hot action. 

But I dispute in part the long term strategy being the best method.  It works for the majority of investors because they pay little attention to daily barometers, coupled with the fact many day (short term) traders have no business day trading in the first place, most often lacking simple patience.  But for the savvy short term trader, he will outperform most of the long termers by a large percentage.

And those long term overall success numbers are propped up by stocks like Apple and other boomer tech stocks.  Coca-Cola, Pepsi, GM, ect... did not show the same increases.  The averages make them appear better than reality.

I will read the book though on your advice.  One thing I do agree with that you mentioned about the author is the methodology of chart reading and analysis.
« Last Edit: January 05, 2017, 11:40:02 am by BigBrandonAllenFan »
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #35 on: January 05, 2017, 11:39:01 am »

Gold is down to $1161 per oz after going as high as $1375 in September.  That's near a 20% drop.  I'm patiently waiting for the price to go to $1100 and I'll buy a good chunk of Fidelity Select Gold at that point.

It appears I missed the bus on Gold.  After falling to $1130 per ounce, it has rebounded to $1180.  I almost pulled the trigger at $1130.  You live and you learn.  Oh well, it didn't cost me anything, but FSAGX (Fidelity select Gold) has surged about 15% since the $1130 bottom, so I'm left wishing I'd got on the bus at $1130.  I would have already sold after a quick 10% gain..
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #36 on: January 05, 2017, 12:40:32 pm »

Good job on the pharm stocks, RP.  I'm glad you have a piece of the hot action. 

But I dispute in part the long term strategy being the best method.  It works for the majority of investors because they pay little attention to daily barometers, coupled with the fact many day (short term) traders have no business day trading in the first place, most often lacking simple patience.  But for the savvy short term trader, he will outperform most of the long termers by a large percentage.

And those long term overall success numbers are propped up by stocks like Apple and other boomer tech stocks.  Coca-Cola, Pepsi, GM, ect... did not show the same increases.  The averages make them appear better than reality.

I will read the book though on your advice.  One thing I do agree with that you mentioned about the author is the methodology of chart reading and analysis.

Nope, he has several stories on the tech bubble, biotech bubble, and just about any bubble, haha. I haven't finished it yet, but he thinks getting in and out and paying those charges eat up the profits over time. He's a PHD professor somewhere, and has an academia snobbery to him, but was on Wall St and has walked the walk.
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #37 on: January 13, 2017, 10:36:26 am »

I am buying these four Fidelity funds today, investing 2 1/2% of portfolio into each.  The first three are bonds, the 4th is a large cap stock fund.

1.  FGBFX  (bond)

2.  FIBAX  (bond)

3.  FINUX  (bond)

4.  FDFAX  (stock)

Bond prices have went about as far south as they can go, and indicators point to an upswing as the stock mutual funds are pretty much saturated, and investors like myself will slow down on stock investments as most stock mutual funds are running at one year and five year highs. The bonds are safe buys, and if I can catch about 3 to 4 percent in 30 to 60 days I will sell.  The bonds are basically the type of buy that simply generates a small profit that adds to a portfolio's base profit line.  The key to grabbing a quick profit on bonds is catching them at a bottom point, and the charts show they are at that point now.

I put about 3 hours of research into today's buys.  I have about 25 bond funds available.  These 3 funds stood out among the others by the one and five year charts.
« Last Edit: January 13, 2017, 11:10:06 am by BigBrandonAllenFan »
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #38 on: January 17, 2017, 10:11:56 am »

...Also purchasing two other funds today 1/3/16 with 7% of portfolio going to each>

FSAVX (Fidelity Select Automotive) on news GM scraps 1.7 billion plans for Mexico production facility and will now add 700 jobs in Detroit.  And the stock is low priced right now per the 3 year average price.

FBIOX (Fidelity Select Biotech).  It is just priced too low and has bottomed out per my read of the 1 year graph.
I expect a 3 to 5 percent leap today in the fsavx fund with GM's announcement today. I expected this scenario, which is why I bought the stock. I'll keep it for a 50 percent profit.
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #39 on: January 21, 2017, 01:07:29 pm »

Ask to see statements guys, from a real firm, covering multiple years.  Otherwise, stick your fingers in your ears and hum loudly.
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #40 on: January 21, 2017, 02:47:41 pm »

Ask to see statements guys, from a real firm, covering multiple years.  Otherwise, stick your fingers in your ears and hum loudly.

OK.  I could really care less about your useless input.  You can stick your fingers in your @ss and spin on them for all I care.  Maybe you'll get a good vagal response. Meanwhile I'll just be dancing my way down to the bank as usual.
« Last Edit: January 21, 2017, 04:36:00 pm by BigBrandonAllenFan »
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #41 on: January 21, 2017, 04:30:13 pm »

Back to reality, I am down 4% on my FPHAX investment as described in the above post.
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #42 on: January 21, 2017, 05:47:41 pm »

Like I said guys....  Statements or fingers in ears.  And actually, even if he did produce statements, this guys attitude toward trading and investing is the opposite of professional. 
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #43 on: January 21, 2017, 06:57:19 pm »

Masshog, do you have a trolling license, or do you just operate anonymously?
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #44 on: January 21, 2017, 07:30:48 pm »

Just lots of friends on the finance board and enough experience in finance and trading to recognize the dubious.  But I'm done now so feel free. 
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #45 on: January 21, 2017, 09:08:26 pm »

If anyone is taking investing tips from a free message board...

I don't know or particularly care if the guy can trade. I do think it's awesome that he's taken ownership of his investments, though.

He obviously does think he's hot darn, so I think statements are in order. Cmon, man. Time to cowboy up.
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #46 on: January 22, 2017, 09:40:37 am »

Look, it is free advice. I doubt if a single person takes it. Doesn't matter to me. I learn something new everyday. Anyone out there that thinks they know it all is probably named Warren Buffett. Everyone else is just like me. I post exactly what fund I purchase and exactly when along with the link to the charts. I then post on the exact day I sold the same fund purchase along with the link to the chart. I am one of very few people that actively manages and trades the funds within my 403b. Fidelity doesn't supply me with an account manager, nor do they for anyone else.  If you don't trade your own funds, then you just sit stagnant on whatever it may be you invest in monthly. Imo that is stupid. If you think I am going to post my Fidelity statement online, then you are either looking to hack or you are plain old irrational. Like I said, I tell when I buy on that exact day, and I tell you when I sold on the exact day. Nothing more, nothing less. If you don't give a damn, no need to troll the thread, just stay out of the thread. I don't hear masshog posting his exact timed buys. I would challenge him to do the same. Put up or shut up.
« Last Edit: January 22, 2017, 09:57:54 am by BigBrandonAllenFan »
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #47 on: January 24, 2017, 09:45:54 am »

. I don't hear masshog posting his exact timed buys. I would challenge him to do the same. Put up or shut up.
  crickets...
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #48 on: January 24, 2017, 09:01:57 pm »

Crickets only because I told you I was done in my last post. As for my credibility anyone can go read any of the hundreds of posts I have made in this forum and decide who has credibility. Now I'm done... Oh, and guys, if he eventually tries to sell you something, get statements.   
« Last Edit: January 25, 2017, 04:04:21 am by Masshog »
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Re: NASDAQ Investor Validity, Special for RicePig
« Reply #49 on: January 24, 2017, 09:02:10 pm »

Now it will be crickets. 
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