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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 342060 times)

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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8900 on: November 02, 2015, 03:58:36 pm »


That might be the worst week I've seen from you. Lost your mojo?

Damn man, where is the human decency?  Pretty low there, by it's hogville so to be expected. 

I also had a bad weekend after a huge week.  Cashed huge on the world series but lost it all over the weekend on football.  Hammered the Jets, Jets 2nd half, stanford late game saturday night and the packers. 

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Dropkick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8901 on: November 02, 2015, 04:09:18 pm »

Any ideas tonight? Colts maybe?
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8902 on: November 02, 2015, 04:39:46 pm »

Any ideas tonight? Colts maybe?

I took panthers -5 and the game un 46. Looks like the weather may be really bad, so if the Panthers get a lead they can eat large chuncks of time with Newton and the backs. Also played a couple teasers, usually dont, Newton under 19 completions and under 231 passing yards.
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8903 on: November 02, 2015, 04:51:25 pm »

I took panthers -5 and the game un 46. Looks like the weather may be really bad, so if the Panthers get a lead they can eat large chuncks of time with Newton and the backs. Also played a couple teasers, usually dont, Newton under 19 completions and under 231 passing yards.
I was gonna go heavy on the over til I looked at the weather forecast.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8904 on: November 02, 2015, 05:17:19 pm »


That might be the worst week I've seen from you. Lost your mojo?


Freaking NFL.  I hammered college then gave most back.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8905 on: November 02, 2015, 05:31:25 pm »

Colts +5.5
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LZH

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8906 on: November 02, 2015, 05:45:29 pm »

Here's one you guys who are pros can skip over.  But back in the day when bookies were all we had, I stuck to the back page of the ADG.  I'd watch for games like OU -32 over Kansas...and I'd load the wagon on OU (when I say load the wagon, I mean $500-$1000 at most).  You knew they'd cover.

When I'd go collect, I'd say "Cuz, I hate to keep taking your money like this".  And he'd say "Mike, damn near everyone else goes the other way, I'm doing fine."  Greed, it has to be greed.  I haven't bet in several years, but if I did, I'd still go for the big boys vs. the cowtown teams and load the wagon that they'd cover.

Anyone else do this with any success?
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8907 on: November 02, 2015, 06:46:23 pm »

Here's one you guys who are pros can skip over.  But back in the day when bookies were all we had, I stuck to the back page of the ADG.  I'd watch for games like OU -32 over Kansas...and I'd load the wagon on OU (when I say load the wagon, I mean $500-$1000 at most).  You knew they'd cover.

When I'd go collect, I'd say "Cuz, I hate to keep taking your money like this".  And he'd say "Mike, damn near everyone else goes the other way, I'm doing fine."  Greed, it has to be greed.  I haven't bet in several years, but if I did, I'd still go for the big boys vs. the cowtown teams and load the wagon that they'd cover.

Anyone else do this with any success?

I saw a stat yesterday on the UCLA game.  UCLA spread was like -26 this past weekend and like 92% or something absurd was on UCLA spread.  They had a hard time winning by a measly 4. 

Athletes now a days don't get up for those games.  Few coaches can get his players to destroy those type of teams because they slack off in game prep and then also think they can give 75% in the game. 

Saban's cover percentage against the little schools is awful. 
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8908 on: November 03, 2015, 06:40:47 am »

Here's one you guys who are pros can skip over.  But back in the day when bookies were all we had, I stuck to the back page of the ADG.  I'd watch for games like OU -32 over Kansas...and I'd load the wagon on OU (when I say load the wagon, I mean $500-$1000 at most).  You knew they'd cover.

When I'd go collect, I'd say "Cuz, I hate to keep taking your money like this".  And he'd say "Mike, damn near everyone else goes the other way, I'm doing fine."  Greed, it has to be greed.  I haven't bet in several years, but if I did, I'd still go for the big boys vs. the cowtown teams and load the wagon that they'd cover.

Anyone else do this with any success?


I will at times. Depends on the team. More early in the year.  You get a Baylor with a weak schedule they have to do everything they can to open eyes of voters. 
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8909 on: November 03, 2015, 08:09:59 am »

How about that ref screw job last night?  Mnf is becoming more and more questionable.  Their are some crazy conspiracy theorist out there on Monday night football and why not to bet it because the refs will do everything they can to keep it from being a blowout.  They did exactly that last night
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8910 on: November 03, 2015, 08:16:13 am »

How about that ref screw job last night?  Mnf is becoming more and more questionable.  Their are some crazy conspiracy theorist out there on Monday night football and why not to bet it because the refs will do everything they can to keep it from being a blowout.  They did exactly that last night

The holding call on Olsen when Newton ran for the 1st down up 10 with 5 mins to go ( when the defender had both hands inside Olsen's collar and Olsen had both hands in side the defenders shoulders, was the key call. Without that, Car either runs another 2:30, at least, off the clock, or Indy has to burn all of it's to's then.

The play where they called the indy guy out of bounds was meaningless, they still had plenty of time to spike it.

As for a blow out, Car is not going to blow anyone out, they are not built for that. 
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MS_HogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8911 on: November 03, 2015, 08:24:20 am »

It happens.  We post our picks in plain view in this thread, but nobody likes to be called-out for a bad week.

Damn man, where is the human decency?  Pretty low there, by it's hogville so to be expected. 

I also had a bad weekend after a huge week.  Cashed huge on the world series but lost it all over the weekend on football.  Hammered the Jets, Jets 2nd half, stanford late game saturday night and the packers. 




I didn't mean for it to be taken that way. I like Jeff. He has given me advice through PM before. He is just usually so good.

Jeff I am sorry if this came across as some kind of jab at you.

I read more post less
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8912 on: November 03, 2015, 08:47:08 am »


I didn't mean for it to be taken that way. I like Jeff. He has given me advice through PM before. He is just usually so good.

Jeff I am sorry if this came across as some kind of jab at you.



+1, you're a good man, MS
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8913 on: November 03, 2015, 10:04:13 am »


I didn't mean for it to be taken that way. I like Jeff. He has given me advice through PM before. He is just usually so good.

Jeff I am sorry if this came across as some kind of jab at you.

I read more post less

Haha well good to see you are better than 99% of Hogville and can comeback and say that.  We all do it sometimes, it's just part of communication on a forum rather than in person, things don't always seem the way you meant them. 

Stay around, post more. 
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8914 on: November 03, 2015, 10:09:21 am »

The holding call on Olsen when Newton ran for the 1st down up 10 with 5 mins to go ( when the defender had both hands inside Olsen's collar and Olsen had both hands in side the defenders shoulders, was the key call. Without that, Car either runs another 2:30, at least, off the clock, or Indy has to burn all of it's to's then.

The play where they called the indy guy out of bounds was meaningless, they still had plenty of time to spike it.

As for a blow out, Car is not going to blow anyone out, they are not built for that.

I don't think the out of bounds mattered that much in hindsight, but in game time it was HUGE.  Indy would not have had time for the last two end zone shots, which amounted to nothing but at the time you didn't kno wthat.  Also, the weird thing, the ref in position motioned with his left hand to keep the clock going then was signaled from a ref not in position to stop it.  either way this call wasn't one I was speaking about. 

The two blatant blown made up calls were the Olsen PI at the drive in 2nd quarter and then the bs holding that was intended to stop that drive and give Indy the ball back.  Carolina had the team last night to blow out the colts.  The refs kept the colts alive.

*Something I was told by a guy that I know that is huge into sports "investing" is to never bet more than your minimum bet on a primetime game unless it's playoffs, finals, super bowl, or world series.  Weird things happen when you give NFL, MLB, NBA, etc the only sport on TV and they need to capture an audience and hold them.  I'm anti conspiracy theory type but some things just don't pass the smell test. 
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8915 on: November 03, 2015, 10:19:23 am »

I don't think the out of bounds mattered that much in hindsight, but in game time it was HUGE.  Indy would not have had time for the last two end zone shots, which amounted to nothing but at the time you didn't kno wthat.  Also, the weird thing, the ref in position motioned with his left hand to keep the clock going then was signaled from a ref not in position to stop it.  either way this call wasn't one I was speaking about. 

The two blatant blown made up calls were the Olsen PI at the drive in 2nd quarter and then the bs holding that was intended to stop that drive and give Indy the ball back.  Carolina had the team last night to blow out the colts.  The refs kept the colts alive.

*Something I was told by a guy that I know that is huge into sports "investing" is to never bet more than your minimum bet on a primetime game unless it's playoffs, finals, super bowl, or world series.  Weird things happen when you give NFL, MLB, NBA, etc the only sport on TV and they need to capture an audience and hold them.  I'm anti conspiracy theory type but some things just don't pass the smell test. 

I've been so bad on the nfl this year I usually only do half or even a quarter what I would bet on a college game. I think it just that the difference in a good NFL team and a bad one is so thin that there are few real mismatches. 
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WinnerWinner

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8916 on: November 03, 2015, 11:58:32 am »

I've been so bad on the nfl this year I usually only do half or even a quarter what I would bet on a college game. I think it just that the difference in a good NFL team and a bad one is so thin that there are few real mismatches.


Best way to bet NFL... Follow Jeff, he always come out on top yr end yr out or pick the team you think will cover, then change to the other team...  I am serious.. I typically will look at the NFL line and pick the team then change to the other team..  It hits a lot more then when first pic
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8917 on: November 03, 2015, 01:34:25 pm »


Best way to bet NFL... Follow Jeff, he always come out on top yr end yr out or pick the team you think will cover, then change to the other team...  I am serious.. I typically will look at the NFL line and pick the team then change to the other team..  It hits a lot more then when first pic

If you follow a lot of the high rollers the will use this strategy more often than you think.  When they hit a slump, they will all of a sudden write down there normal picks and flip them.  They will then ride that till it starts to slump again and flip back. 

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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8918 on: November 03, 2015, 01:35:10 pm »

I absolutely killed it in baseball this year and then killed it again in the world series but no where near how this guy did. 

Check this out. 

http://lasvegassun.com/vegasdeluxe/2015/nov/02/vegas-dave-wins-25-million-from-100000-bet-royals-/
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WinnerWinner

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8919 on: November 03, 2015, 01:49:13 pm »

I absolutely killed it in baseball this year and then killed it again in the world series but no where near how this guy did. 

Check this out. 

http://lasvegassun.com/vegasdeluxe/2015/nov/02/vegas-dave-wins-25-million-from-100000-bet-royals-/





Now that would be nice...
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8920 on: November 03, 2015, 02:14:16 pm »


I didn't mean for it to be taken that way. I like Jeff. He has given me advice through PM before. He is just usually so good.

Jeff I am sorry if this came across as some kind of jab at you.

I read more post less


I didn't take it in a bad way, and it was 100% accurate.  I was horrible in Sunday last week.
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MS_HogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8921 on: November 03, 2015, 02:38:43 pm »


I didn't take it in a bad way, and it was 100% accurate.  I was horrible in Sunday last week.

Good. This is probably the only thread in MMQB without some dic@head messing it up and I didn't want y'all to think I was that guy.

Back to lurking now.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8922 on: November 03, 2015, 04:06:15 pm »

Toledo -7
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8923 on: November 03, 2015, 10:40:21 pm »

This is how it goes for me sometimes.

Northern Illinois loses their starting QB and best wide receiver at toledo. Toledo has been solid all year. But tonight, when I invest in them, Phillip Ely looks like Ryan leaf and the receivers drop more than they catch and the defense looks more like Texas tech. Ridiculous really. Had I bet the other way, Toledo would have won by 3 scores.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8924 on: November 03, 2015, 11:29:27 pm »

This is how it goes for me sometimes.

Northern Illinois loses their starting QB and best wide receiver at toledo. Toledo has been solid all year. But tonight, when I invest in them, Phillip Ely looks like Ryan leaf and the receivers drop more than they catch and the defense looks more like Texas tech. Ridiculous really. Had I bet the other way, Toledo would have won by 3 scores.

A guy on another non razorback forum I read a lot on called this exact thing.  Said MAC early week games are notorious for these types of performances. Quite strange until he pulled out the evidence of past history. 

Frustrating because after my MNF whoppin I took some Toledo ML action, I was lucky enough to grab them for the 3Q -.5 to help some but still took a hit. 
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8925 on: November 04, 2015, 08:19:17 am »

This is how it goes for me sometimes.

Northern Illinois loses their starting QB and best wide receiver at toledo. Toledo has been solid all year. But tonight, when I invest in them, Phillip Ely looks like Ryan leaf and the receivers drop more than they catch and the defense looks more like Texas tech. Ridiculous really. Had I bet the other way, Toledo would have won by 3 scores.

Tuesday night MACtion shows no mercy.
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8926 on: November 04, 2015, 09:00:35 am »

I had been doing well on the Tues and Thur night games until last night. HAd Toledo -6.5 and the over at 62.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8927 on: November 04, 2015, 03:50:55 pm »

Ohio +21
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8928 on: November 04, 2015, 04:02:51 pm »

Ohio +21

you should do well, I have BG -20 and BG ov 44, so they will probably score about 30 and give up at least 14.
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8929 on: November 04, 2015, 04:19:16 pm »

I like Ohio +21. They are coming off a bye week and have some guys who were injuried coming back tonight.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8930 on: November 04, 2015, 05:56:07 pm »

you should do well, I have BG -20 and BG ov 44, so they will probably score about 30 and give up at least 14.

Haha. Well, one of us will get off the mat tonight.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8931 on: November 04, 2015, 06:50:21 pm »

Went 3-1 last week to take me to 27-23-4 overall for the year.

I was going to be on Bowling Green tonight, but I'm not sure now. 21 is a lot to lay, but Ohio gave up 28 earlier in the year to Idaho, and BG is a much stouter team than Idaho so I'm torn. Most likely won't be a bet for me.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8932 on: November 04, 2015, 07:30:05 pm »

Well, I'm a sucker for mid-week football I guess.

6 pt teaser:
BG -15 & over 61

Bowling Green -20.5
« Last Edit: November 06, 2015, 06:36:03 pm by WILL CLINTON »
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8933 on: November 04, 2015, 09:04:02 pm »

I had BG -4.5 1Q, -6.5 2Q and -11.5 1half.  Damn missed PAT from going 3-0.  Also had Ohio +21, just bought my way out of that in 2nd half bet plus a little.  I really wanted Bg team total over but it moved late and scared me off.  Wish I would have taken it now. 

Also adding basketball porn -7. That's golden states name by SVP since last year I'm rolling with it. 
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8934 on: November 04, 2015, 09:12:30 pm »

Here's what I've done so far this week.  Two units each on:

Baylor -17
Temple -13.5 (h)
ULL -3.5
Iowa -6.5 (h)
NM St. +17
Idaho +10 (h)

I usually prefer to fade NM St. & Idaho, but they're getting enough points from not-so-great teams that I'll go along with the spreadsheets' leans.

Edit:  That's what I get for skipping a step (checking the injury report) ... NM St. is now down to their 3rd string Qb. 
« Last Edit: November 05, 2015, 09:07:36 am by DadVader1 »
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8935 on: November 04, 2015, 11:55:03 pm »

Will, I'm 0-5 since you declared me king of NCAA. You better do something to reverse this. Tell me I suck or something.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8936 on: November 05, 2015, 10:57:13 am »

Got Baylor -17 and MS State -8 tonight.

I think Baylor tries to make a statement after being left out of the top 4 and Mizzou sucks.
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8937 on: November 05, 2015, 11:03:25 am »

Got Baylor -17 and MS State -8 tonight.

I think Baylor tries to make a statement after being left out of the top 4 and Mizzou sucks.

That Baylor game scares me. Yes KSu has been awful since they played TCU close, but Snyder knows how to get his defense ready, Baylor is starting a Tr Fr ( yes, I know very highly rated coming out of Hs ), and it is supposed to be really windy tonight too.

I will be taking MSu. Mizzu is wretched on offense.
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8938 on: November 05, 2015, 11:41:29 am »

tonight

ms st -7.5  W
buff -2       L
ap st -10    L
wmu-14.5   W
buf/kent ov 43.5   L
ball st/wmu ov 62 L
baylor/ksu un 67   W

all of that individual and in a parlay

also buf un 23 L
ksu un 25.5 W
wmu ov 38.5 W
mizzu un 17.5 W

« Last Edit: November 06, 2015, 08:13:10 am by hogsanity »
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8939 on: November 05, 2015, 12:19:32 pm »

Baylor Kstate reminds me last year of Auburn Kstate thursday night game.  The world was on Auburn, and Kstate covered. 
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8940 on: November 05, 2015, 12:24:17 pm »

That Baylor game scares me. Yes KSu has been awful since they played TCU close, but Snyder knows how to get his defense ready, Baylor is starting a Tr Fr ( yes, I know very highly rated coming out of Hs ), and it is supposed to be really windy tonight too.

I will be taking MSu. Mizzu is wretched on offense.
One thing about Baylors new qb...he has some impressive numbers but all those numbers have come playing mop up duty. Tonight is his first start..on the road against a historically well coached team under Snyder.

I probably won't bet tonight, but if I had to I would take K State +17 based simply off the qb situation.
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Junkyard Hog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8941 on: November 05, 2015, 01:23:32 pm »

That Baylor game scares me. Yes KSu has been awful since they played TCU close, but Snyder knows how to get his defense ready, Baylor is starting a Tr Fr ( yes, I know very highly rated coming out of Hs ), and it is supposed to be really windy tonight too.

I will be taking MSu. Mizzu is wretched on offense.

It scares me some too.  If it weren't for Snyder's ability to pull off some upsets I'd bet it a lot stronger.  I really think Baylor is just that much better......plus I'm hoping they're pissed off.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8942 on: November 05, 2015, 02:38:10 pm »

I added quite a few so will put them all here.  Two units each on:

Baylor -17
Temple -13.5 (h)
ULL -3.5
Iowa -6.5 (h)
NM St. +17
Idaho +10 (h)
MS St -8.5
TN -17
Ark +10.5
Purdue +5

One unit each on:

Kans +29.5
Stan -16
TX A&M -7


Edit:  I ran across a few more nice trends that like Purdue so added another unit to make that a 2 unit play.
« Last Edit: November 06, 2015, 09:17:06 am by DadVader1 »
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8943 on: November 05, 2015, 02:43:39 pm »

I added quite a few so will put them all here.  Two units each on:

Baylor -17
Temple -13.5 (h)
ULL -3.5
Iowa -6.5 (h)
NM St. +17
Idaho +10 (h)
MS St -8.5
TN -17
Ark +10.5

One unit each on:
Purdue +5
Kans +29.5
Stan -16
TX A&M -7


going to see how I do tonight before I decide what I am going to do the rest of the weekend.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8944 on: November 05, 2015, 04:19:50 pm »

Leans:

KY +14.5
IU +7
Cuse +14
Tulsa -17
OU -25
OK St +4.5
Pitt +8.5
Hogs +10.5
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8945 on: November 05, 2015, 05:40:29 pm »

Miss St -8
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8946 on: November 05, 2015, 05:56:11 pm »

On Baylor -17 / 2 units
Cleveland and Cincy under 45.5
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8947 on: November 05, 2015, 05:58:47 pm »

Good. This is probably the only thread in MMQB without some dic@head messing it up and I didn't want y'all to think I was that guy.

Back to lurking now.

No worries buddy.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8948 on: November 05, 2015, 11:37:16 pm »

My only regret was not playing more. I made a lot of coin on ms state. This was the bet of the century.
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Junkyard Hog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8949 on: November 06, 2015, 07:54:43 am »

My only regret was not playing more. I made a lot of coin on ms state. This was the bet of the century.

I'm just glad it stopped raining.
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