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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 329233 times)

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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8400 on: September 04, 2015, 09:39:32 am »

Ok,  I'm in boys.  Put 2 units on WKU vs Vandy, 2 units on the under ND/Texas.  I don't see the offensive inept Longhorns scoring much against the strong Irish D.  I'm thinking hard about Utah, Minnesota +17 and Ohio. 

edit:  Just did 3 team parlay on utah-5, Minnesota +17 and Ohio -7. 
I had a good start last night winning my 3 team parlay and WKU -1.5 holding off Vandy.  I am thinking about taking Washington tonight +13. 
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8401 on: September 04, 2015, 09:42:25 am »

I would like to take McNeese +47 vs LSU and Eastern Wash +45 vs oregon but my book does not have these posted.  Tigers should win easily but I don't think they score 50 points. 

eastern Wash is one of the best FCS teams out there. 
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HogPharmer

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8402 on: September 04, 2015, 09:50:14 am »

After the 3rd or 4th time of betting against Minnesota last year I decided I was done. They are a pesky team that always seem to cover the spread.

TCU should've covered. Boykin missed at least 2 wide open receivers that would've led to TDs, plus that missed FG.... "Should've" doesn't payout though--unfortunately.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8403 on: September 04, 2015, 10:21:15 am »

TCU was my only loss yesterday and they very easily could have covered. 

I'm glad I didn't let the lines of UTAH and DUke scare me off.  I hammered those. 

Tonight is not looking very good.  I am liking the Baylor/SMU under for some reason right now, hoping for some rust and missed open receivers if I hit it. 

edit: I lost on the OSU too, forgot about that play. 
« Last Edit: September 04, 2015, 12:59:44 pm by onebadrubi »
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8404 on: September 04, 2015, 10:57:14 am »

TCU was my only loss yesterday and they very easily could have covered. 

I'm glad I didn't let the lines of UTAH and DUke scare me off.  I hammered those. 

Tonight is not looking very good.  I am liking the Baylor/SMU under for some reason right now, hoping for some rust and missed open receivers if I hit it. 

I'm liking the under too. SMU is so bad and Chad Morris can't fix them over night.  Baylor will be breaking in a new QB so their offense shouldn't be clicking quite yet either.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8405 on: September 04, 2015, 12:11:25 pm »

Good picking there.

Wen't 2-2 so I take it you're being sarcastic. Share some picks if you would like.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8406 on: September 04, 2015, 12:26:44 pm »

Tonight I'm playing:

Baylor 1H -21
Baylor -36
Boise St. -12

2-2 YTD
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MS_HogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8407 on: September 04, 2015, 01:16:24 pm »

Half point. If it's -3.5 you spend 10% extra usually to get it at -3

thanks
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hammer66

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8408 on: September 04, 2015, 01:51:45 pm »

Wen't 2-2 so I take it you're being sarcastic. Share some picks if you would like.

I thought u went 3-1.
Lost Tulane and what other one. At my book u would have won 3 I think.
Yea I see it, WKU. I won that, got it at 1 1/2, so I just assumed u won since I got it.

I too went 2-2. Hit Duke and WKU but lost Ok St and TCU.

Tonight I really like the under of Washington/Boise, 55 1/2 I believe and I'm going Baylor. Only betting Baylor because SMU was so terrible last year and I just can't see them ever stopping Baylor's O. Really feel like the only thing keeping Baylor from an easy cover is turnovers.
« Last Edit: September 04, 2015, 02:13:20 pm by hammer66 »
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8409 on: September 04, 2015, 02:12:23 pm »

I thought u went 3-1.
Lost Tulane and what other one. At my book u would have won 3 I think.
Yea I see it, WKU. I won that, got it at 1 1/2, so I just assumed u won since I got it.


Ha ok, my bad for coming at you. Yeah, I had -2.5 WKU unfortunately, but Vandy really should have won the game (3 blown red zone opportunities) so I can't complain too much.
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8410 on: September 04, 2015, 03:46:05 pm »

Does not look like anyone else wants to touch this game but for tonight I'm gonna take Western Michigan +16.5....4 units.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8411 on: September 04, 2015, 04:03:03 pm »

Have 2 plays....

I had Charlotte +8 but I didn't realize it started so early, so I didn't get it posted. I won't count it as a play.

Also on Western Michigan +18 W

1-0 on the season.
« Last Edit: September 04, 2015, 10:02:35 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8412 on: September 04, 2015, 04:16:14 pm »

Taking Baylor -36 for 1/2 unit. 
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8413 on: September 04, 2015, 05:12:42 pm »

Looks like most, if not all had good nights.

If I had to lean I'd go Baylor tonight, but anything over about 28-30 I just get nervous. It doesn't take but one bonehead 3rd team LB to miss a tackle and 55-14 becomes 55-21.

I really don't know if I'll even add anything else either for the weekend, so Good Luck.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8414 on: September 04, 2015, 05:31:32 pm »

Friday baseball:
Mets/Marlins over 7.5
Toronto -1.5
Rays/yankees under 8
Braves/nationals Over 8
Royals/white sox over 8.5

Added bluejays over 9

Friday football:
Baylor 1H -21.5
Baylor -36
Baylor/SMU under 71 (hate that I missed out on the 2.5 points from earlier in the day, may come back to haunt me)
Mich st at/CMU under 56
michigan st -9.5 1H
Michigan st -17


« Last Edit: September 04, 2015, 05:47:17 pm by onebadrubi »
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CabotHog87

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8415 on: September 04, 2015, 05:53:04 pm »

Looks like Cabothog scared everyone off. 

With the full list of College football Lines being released now, I think it's time to bring it back up. 

Anyone doing any good with MLB thus far?  I keep trying but not going so hot. 

Cabothog, I may not be the best for advise but I don't mind helping.

Yeah I'm pretty much a threadkiller haha.
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CabotHog87

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8416 on: September 04, 2015, 06:01:48 pm »

But yeah if anyone wants to help me with some basics it'd be appreciated. **I hold no one responsible for the any losses incurred**  ;D
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8417 on: September 04, 2015, 06:18:33 pm »

Well the Baylor under isn't winning. Lol
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8418 on: September 04, 2015, 09:35:50 pm »

I did another parlay with UW +12.5, BYU +6.5 and Bowling green +21.5.  After hitting a 3 teamer last night I don't think I will be lucky enough to hit another one the same weekend. 
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8419 on: September 04, 2015, 10:03:34 pm »

South Carolina -2
Western Michigan +18

2-0
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8420 on: September 05, 2015, 09:07:38 am »

I refuse to get sucked in this year. My plan at the start of every season is to play 1 really good game that I've worked several angles. Sometimes, I'll add a 2nd on Saturday when a full slate is available. And I do pretty good. Then I let this thread and my greed get the better of me and I start doing 3 or 4 extr games that I've only kinda glanced at. And I lose them.

So my best play today is....

Tulsa -5

I also am likely to add tamu at -3, but I'm not sure of it just yet. Those are my only 2 games.
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upperdeck_hawg

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8421 on: September 05, 2015, 09:12:46 am »

Wisconsin +14
Arizona State +3.5
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8422 on: September 05, 2015, 09:34:00 am »

Got killed yesterday, today's picks:

GA So +17.5
So MS +21
Temple +6.5
ND -9.5

2-5 YTD
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8423 on: September 05, 2015, 09:36:17 am »

Penn ST -6 / 2 units
Louisville +10.5 / 5 units
Notre Dame -10 / 2 units
OU -32 / 5 units
Arkansas -33 / 3 units
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8424 on: September 05, 2015, 10:25:17 am »

Todays Plays

Grabbed Earlier In Week
No Il/UNLV Under 62
Louisville +10.5
Tennessee -20.5

Grabbed Today
TN Under 70.5 L
Arkansas -33 W
S Miss +21 W

6-3 on the week
« Last Edit: September 07, 2015, 01:16:29 pm by yraciv »
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8425 on: September 05, 2015, 11:17:47 am »

Won first game of parlay last night.  Thnking about adding under in Bama game, USC game and A&M game.  Already have straight bet on under in ND game.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8426 on: September 05, 2015, 12:12:34 pm »

Went ahead and added these 2, even though I spent the past 2 days trying to convince myself not to. It was easier since I had 2 free bets on sportsbook so they don't cost me any money.

Penn St -6   3 units
Kent St +13.5  1 unit

Since I waited to add ND and Texas, the line was actually ND -9.5 and I bought the hook so here is a recap of my week/weekend:

Duke -7
Ohio -6.5 (bought down to 6)
Washington +13.5 (bought up to 14)
Arizona St +3.5 (bought up to 4)
Kent St +13.5 (up to 14)
Penn St -6.5 (down to 6) 
ND -9.5 (down to 9)

No changes after this.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8427 on: September 05, 2015, 05:39:44 pm »

USC -27 / 5 units
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8428 on: September 05, 2015, 07:30:05 pm »

Sorry missing out. Fl ST -27 / 4 units
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8429 on: September 05, 2015, 10:31:53 pm »

Lost 2 $10 parlays and won a $20 straight bet today so I broke even.  I'll take it!
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8430 on: September 06, 2015, 07:39:53 am »

Good first week of college 8-2 / +24 units
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8431 on: September 06, 2015, 10:03:11 am »

But yeah if anyone wants to help me with some basics it'd be appreciated. **I hold no one responsible for the any losses incurred**  ;D


Tell me what ya wanna know buddy. Be glad to help.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8432 on: September 06, 2015, 10:04:14 am »

Okay so I'm an idiot. Gonna screw up my groove, but today.

Yankees 90.00 to Win 100.00
Yanks / Rays over 7.5 110.00 to win 100.00
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8433 on: September 06, 2015, 10:22:02 am »

Went 4-3, and 0-2 on the late additions. Since they were free bets though, I am still up 3 units

Duke -7  --  W
Ohio -6.5 (bought down to 6)  --  W
Washington +13.5 (bought up to 14)  --  W
Arizona St +3.5 (bought up to 4)  --  L
Kent St +13.5 (up to 14)  --  L
Penn St -6.5 (down to 6)  --  L
ND -9.5 (down to 9)  --  W

Weekly --  4-3    Overall  --  4-3   Balance  --  $1300

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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8434 on: September 06, 2015, 10:19:42 pm »

3-1 yesterday, totaling a 5-6 opening week. Looking for things to start clicking sooner than later.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8435 on: September 07, 2015, 01:38:51 am »

I know people don't believe me so.

Had bucs tonight and over. Hit bith
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8436 on: September 07, 2015, 02:15:19 am »

3-1 for the weekend.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8437 on: September 07, 2015, 12:50:01 pm »

Anyone with a lean on the OSU/VT game? Laying the points seem too square but VT has been quite inept on the offensive side of the ball for some time now.
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8438 on: September 07, 2015, 01:19:14 pm »

Anyone with a lean on the OSU/VT game? Laying the points seem too square but VT has been quite inept on the offensive side of the ball for some time now.

Leaning VT, haven't pulled the trigger yet. Blacksburg is a tough place to play in primetime and VT returns quite a bit. That plus the Ohio St. suspensions, I really see this being a tight game.  Of course Ohio St. offense could always go off, but I'm not seeing it.  Vegas needs VT tonight and Vegas doesn't like to get hammered.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8439 on: September 07, 2015, 01:22:36 pm »

Leaning VT, haven't pulled the trigger yet. Blacksburg is a tough place to play in primetime and VT returns quite a bit. That plus the Ohio St. suspensions, I really see this being a tight game.  Of course Ohio St. offense could always go off, but I'm not seeing it.  Vegas needs VT tonight and Vegas doesn't like to get hammered.

I wonder how Vegas did on the weekend, I do agree with your Blacksburg/Primetime angle. May just stay away from this one.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8440 on: September 07, 2015, 03:24:52 pm »

Went 2-2 to break even so far on the weekend.  Adding Va Tech +14 for 1/2 unit
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8441 on: September 07, 2015, 03:36:27 pm »

A few of the power rating systems started the season well.  Dokter hit at over 62% so far.  That number will come down, but it's a good start.  Dokter also went 8-0 on home dogs so far and picks Va Tech.  I know it's way too early to put much stock in such small sample sizes, but that's why I'm sticking with 1/2 units for now.  For anyone new to the thread, I'm getting the power rating system data for close to 70 systems from thepredictiontracker.com.  He has it in spreadsheet format so that you can data mine it.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8442 on: September 07, 2015, 05:08:52 pm »

Everybody is on va tech. From past experience, when everybody is going the same way, it has always gone the other way.

Va tech is 1-5 ats in the last 6 at home.

I'm going Ohio state -14 small
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8443 on: September 07, 2015, 05:17:29 pm »

Everybody is on va tech. From past experience, when everybody is going the same way, it has always gone the other way.

Va tech is 1-5 ats in the last 6 at home.

I'm going Ohio state -14 small
The public is indeed on OSU last time I checked.  55% in favor of OSU and the line has dropped. It's not a large Reverse Line Move but it's there.

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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8444 on: September 07, 2015, 06:58:17 pm »

I put a small play on VT at +14.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8445 on: September 07, 2015, 07:05:59 pm »

I'm putting 2 units on the over for OSU/VaTech game at 54.

I'm gonna go ahead and go for it and put 5 units on OSU to cover the 14.5 spread hoping they're as good as advertised. Beamer's teams are always good but not near what it used to be it seems.
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8446 on: September 07, 2015, 09:06:42 pm »

Anyone got any idea about the Hogs/Toledo line this week? -21?

What am I missing here? Are we leaving the starters out the entire game?
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8447 on: September 07, 2015, 10:15:06 pm »

Anyone got any idea about the Hogs/Toledo line this week? -21?

What am I missing here? Are we leaving the starters out the entire game?

My book hasn't opened the line but if it's opens it at -21 tomorrow, I will
Hammer that mofo just like I would Jana Kramer
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8448 on: September 07, 2015, 10:17:12 pm »

Anyone got any idea about the Hogs/Toledo line this week? -21?

What am I missing here? Are we leaving the starters out the entire game?

Like the Hogs. Defensive play should make for a cushioned cover I think.   
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #8449 on: September 07, 2015, 10:20:43 pm »

By the way, Vegas already has it at -22
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