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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 329094 times)

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Fort Dweller

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7900 on: October 27, 2014, 10:38:34 pm »

GA Southern has been a weekly fav of mine

Me too.  Add Marshall to that as well. Covered every week.

Also, watch Appalachian St (-8) hosting Georgia St. who just gave up 600+ yards to GASO. 
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7901 on: October 27, 2014, 10:46:00 pm »

SOB.  That hurt.  Dallas has been running great, romo gets hurt, runs for 8 yards on first down and then passes 3 times in a row to end the game.  Cowboys will always screw themselves. 
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7902 on: October 27, 2014, 10:51:29 pm »

Me too.  Add Marshall to that as well. Covered every week.

Also, watch Appalachian St (-8) hosting Georgia St. who just gave up 600+ yards to GASO. 
Utah is my favorite college team to bet this year. I have made out good betting on them.

But I agree with yall on Ga Southern...I have bet on them this year once, maybe twice. I know it worked out well for me.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7903 on: October 27, 2014, 11:07:50 pm »

Me too.  Add Marshall to that as well. Covered every week.

Also, watch Appalachian St (-8) hosting Georgia St. who just gave up 600+ yards to GASO.

Marshall hasn't covered every week in pretty sure
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Fort Dweller

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7904 on: October 27, 2014, 11:09:05 pm »

I'm crunching numbers on the Cincy (-4) @ Tulane game.  Maybe I'm missing something, but I can't figure out why that line is so low.  I know they gave up a lot of points to Memphis and Miami, but they were banged up after playing Ohio St.

But still, what am I missing?  Everything shows me they should be a 10-14 point fav.
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Fort Dweller

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7905 on: October 27, 2014, 11:10:58 pm »

Marshall hasn't covered every week in pretty sure

You're right.  5-2-1 on the year.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7906 on: October 27, 2014, 11:11:17 pm »

I'm crunching numbers on the Cincy (-4) @ Tulane game.  Maybe I'm missing something, but I can't figure out why that line is so low.  I know they gave up a lot of points to Memphis and Miami, but they were banged up after playing Ohio St.

But still, what am I missing?  Everything shows me they should be a 10-14 point fav.

Something is going on, that game isn't on all boards.
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7907 on: October 27, 2014, 11:13:19 pm »

Marshall hasn't covered every week in pretty sure
They have been pretty hot the past few games it seems. Score a ton of points. I have never jumped on them, but another guy I know has bet them religiously like we are talking about Utah and Ga Southern!
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7908 on: October 28, 2014, 09:12:05 am »

Romo gonna Romo.

Had them at -6.5 first half. Should have been an easy 14-7 at half if not for Murray's butterfingers.

Lost 4 units but at least im still not a cowboys fan!
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7909 on: October 28, 2014, 09:24:20 am »

Back in the loop.
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clutch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7910 on: October 28, 2014, 09:24:40 am »

Romo gonna Romo.

Had them at -6.5 first half. Should have been an easy 14-7 at half if not for Murray's butterfingers.

Lost 4 units but at least im still not a cowboys fan!

Think it's more Murray gonna Murray. That dude is a fumbling fool. I knew when I saw him try to keep the play alive for one extra yard that the ball was coming out.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7911 on: October 28, 2014, 09:24:42 am »

Gonna take me a week to recover from that trip!!!!!!
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7912 on: October 28, 2014, 09:39:25 am »

Think it's more Murray gonna Murray. That dude is a fumbling fool. I knew when I saw him try to keep the play alive for one extra yard that the ball was coming out.

Yeah, Murray's fumbles are terrible. Playcalling actually reminded me of Arkansas' struggles against the outside blitz. The cowboys kept running those incredibly slow developing play action routes that was getting him killed on the edges and they refused to adjust.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7913 on: October 28, 2014, 09:40:11 am »

Gonna take me a week to recover from that trip!!!!!!

any fun stories you can post?
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7914 on: October 28, 2014, 11:29:58 am »

I'm crunching numbers on the Cincy (-4) @ Tulane game.  Maybe I'm missing something, but I can't figure out why that line is so low.  I know they gave up a lot of points to Memphis and Miami, but they were banged up after playing Ohio St.

But still, what am I missing?  Everything shows me they should be a 10-14 point fav.

Man, that's what I have been thinking. Not only can Cincy put up a lot of points against an inferior opponent but Tulane can't score! 119th is PF this season.
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Dropkick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7915 on: October 28, 2014, 02:23:26 pm »

KC tonight?
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7916 on: October 28, 2014, 03:16:57 pm »

Royals -143
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7917 on: October 29, 2014, 11:22:52 am »

Anyone think our total is way too high at 64.5?
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Fort Dweller

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7918 on: October 29, 2014, 11:29:15 am »

Man, that's what I have been thinking. Not only can Cincy put up a lot of points against an inferior opponent but Tulane can't score! 119th is PF this season.

Glad it isn't just me.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7919 on: October 29, 2014, 01:07:44 pm »

Anyone think our total is way too high at 64.5?

I don't play over/unders so don't follow it closely, but MS St. averages 42+ points per game & we average 39+ points per game, so it doesn't sound like that much of a stretch.  I think the determining factor may be how well our dinged up D has recovered.  If Philon, Ellis, and Toliver are still too far below 100%, I could see them hanging 45ish on us like Georgia and Auburn did. On the other hand, Dak looked banged up toward the end of their last game, which can't help their point production.  Also, our passing O probably isn't good enough to take advantage of their weakness at pass D, so we'll be strength on strength with our rushing O against their rush D, which can't help our point production.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7920 on: October 29, 2014, 01:31:15 pm »

Anyone think our total is way too high at 64.5?

Yes. They will shut down our running game, force us to pass, and we will. But we will not score a lot. I'm seeing something like 30-20
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7921 on: October 29, 2014, 04:05:31 pm »

Riding KC again...

Royals -135
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7922 on: October 29, 2014, 04:07:43 pm »

Riding KC again...

Royals -135

I played em last night, but can't get it below -145 here tonight.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7923 on: October 29, 2014, 05:54:58 pm »

I don't play over/unders so don't follow it closely, but MS St. averages 42+ points per game & we average 39+ points per game, so it doesn't sound like that much of a stretch.  I think the determining factor may be how well our dinged up D has recovered.  If Philon, Ellis, and Toliver are still too far below 100%, I could see them hanging 45ish on us like Georgia and Auburn did. On the other hand, Dak looked banged up toward the end of their last game, which can't help their point production.  Also, our passing O probably isn't good enough to take advantage of their weakness at pass D, so we'll be strength on strength with our rushing O against their rush D, which can't help our point production.

Yes. They will shut down our running game, force us to pass, and we will. But we will not score a lot. I'm seeing something like 30-20

Yeah, the strength on strength aspect is what has me liking the under. I don't doubt they'll put up at least 30, I just don't think our offense will be able to gain any significant momentum. I honestly think we're in for a beat down. 38-17 would be my prediction.
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Fort Dweller

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7924 on: October 29, 2014, 09:23:12 pm »

Anyone else think Jameis Winston is shaving points?
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Fort Dweller

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7925 on: October 29, 2014, 09:23:49 pm »

FSU -3.5
GASO -26
Cincy -4
Tulsa +24.5
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7926 on: October 29, 2014, 09:29:43 pm »

Anyone else think Jameis Winston is shaving points?

Haha!!!  I wish
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7927 on: October 30, 2014, 12:07:31 am »

Maybe now he can afford to pay for his crab legs.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7928 on: October 30, 2014, 08:16:05 am »

Anyone else think Jameis Winston is shaving points?


I've thought this since the OK St. game. Checked down immediately all game.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7929 on: October 30, 2014, 10:22:17 am »

Cincy -5 @ Tulane tonight  Does this seem low to you guys? Cincy seems like an easy play

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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7930 on: October 30, 2014, 10:40:28 am »

Ga Southern -27 2units
Cincy -5 3units
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7931 on: October 30, 2014, 10:48:37 am »

Ga Southern -27 2units
Cincy -5 3units

You need to do some book shopping if you don't mind me saying.  I have -24 at -115 and -4 at -110.  Hope this helps you. 

Cincy is weird.  Is their QB hurt?  That gunner kiehl kid?  Something is off.  Vegas/pro money is off on the game too.  I believe it's a Friday game though
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7932 on: October 30, 2014, 11:10:21 am »

Tonight I'm gonna go:

Carolina Panthers, +3...3 unit bet

Louisville Cardinals, +4....4 unit bet

Cincy bet looks a little too easy to me. Something is weird there.
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7933 on: October 30, 2014, 11:30:23 am »

You need to do some book shopping if you don't mind me saying.  I have -24 at -115 and -4 at -110.  Hope this helps you. 

Cincy is weird.  Is their QB hurt?  That gunner kiehl kid?  Something is off.  Vegas/pro money is off on the game too.  I believe it's a Friday game though
Kiel is still hurt but may play. He reinjured his ribs again. Cinn is 3-11 against Tulane. Still going with Cinn though.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7934 on: October 30, 2014, 11:37:13 am »

You need to do some book shopping if you don't mind me saying.  I have -24 at -115 and -4 at -110.  Hope this helps you. 

Cincy is weird.  Is their QB hurt?  That gunner kiehl kid?  Something is off.  Vegas/pro money is off on the game too.  I believe it's a Friday game though

I've just got one site I use through my guy. don't really have a way to shop.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7935 on: October 30, 2014, 12:31:46 pm »

Wen't on and got down on KY +8, Zona +6.5, and MTSU +4. Still looking at a ISU +16.5, AUB +2.5, and Hogs u61.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7936 on: October 30, 2014, 12:58:28 pm »

I love the Kentucky line. will take them and auburn
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Fort Dweller

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7937 on: October 30, 2014, 01:01:32 pm »

I've thought this since the OK St. game. Checked down immediately all game.

1-6 ATS too.
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Fort Dweller

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7938 on: October 30, 2014, 01:02:42 pm »

You need to do some book shopping if you don't mind me saying.  I have -24 at -115 and -4 at -110.  Hope this helps you. 

Cincy is weird.  Is their QB hurt?  That gunner kiehl kid?  Something is off.  Vegas/pro money is off on the game too.  I believe it's a Friday game though

I asked that last page.  Something is off.  Tulane is one of the bottom 10 teams.  I got cincy at -4.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7939 on: October 30, 2014, 01:55:30 pm »

I love the Kentucky line. will take them and auburn

I like it so much I almost didn't play it thinking maybe I was being suckered. Checking into public percentages though, it isn't square by any means.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7940 on: October 30, 2014, 03:10:17 pm »

Panthers +4
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7941 on: October 30, 2014, 03:13:30 pm »

I like it so much I almost didn't play it thinking maybe I was being suckered. Checking into public percentages though, it isn't square by any means.

Cincy up to -7
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7942 on: October 30, 2014, 03:31:23 pm »

Here's what I've done so far, 2 units each on:

Wash -4
Duke +3.5
Arizona +7 (hook)
North Carolina +15
Notre Dame -13.5 (hook)
UCF -11
TCU -4
Nevada -3 (hook)

The spreadsheets also really liked Cincy -4 and USC -6.5, but those lines had moved to -6.5 & -9, so I need to go back and run those numbers at the new spreads.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7943 on: October 30, 2014, 04:45:10 pm »

Not playing Fl ST Louisville tonight. Everyone knows I'm a big Bobby P fan, and I can't stand FL ST so can't look at that game objectively.

Also staying away from the pro game tonight.
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Dropkick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7944 on: October 30, 2014, 04:50:17 pm »

Got FSU -3.5 tonight. 1 unit.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7945 on: October 30, 2014, 05:55:59 pm »

From a very good source on the Tulane line and lines in general.  -4 is an oddsmaker way of saying I don't have a clue.  We are going to put it out there and let the money move it.  The pro's know this and tend to see it and leave it alone until the public money moves it.  We are seeing that happen exactly right now. 

Fla st is the right play at -3.  Fla st is on the road so away from all the off the field crap.  They now see they lose one game they are out of the play off.  They should be playing harder than any game this year (ND game had a lot of media on Winston). 

I am looking hard at the over tonight as well on the NFL game.  Cam should be much healthier now and score some on the Aints along with Drew bree's should be able to throw on the Panthers. 
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7946 on: October 30, 2014, 06:03:38 pm »

1-6 ATS too.

ND was the first game though that they weren't a ridiculous spread.  I believe the closest one before that was Ok st which was like -14 or -17 if memory serves me right. 
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7947 on: October 30, 2014, 08:08:14 pm »

Went on and finalized the card for Saturday:

KY +8
IA St. +16.5
MTSU +4
Zona +6.5

Did a 6 team tease for some possible luck: MIA -9, NC St. +9.5, CIN -.5, AUB +8.5, WVU +10, CO St. pk
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7948 on: October 30, 2014, 08:22:03 pm »

I ran the new spread numbers on Cincy & USC, and the spreadsheets no longer like those at the new spreads.  No lean either way.
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Fort Dweller

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7949 on: October 30, 2014, 08:26:26 pm »

ND was the first game though that they weren't a ridiculous spread.  I believe the closest one before that was Ok st which was like -14 or -17 if memory serves me right. 

I know.  It was a half hearted joking comment, but he looks nothing like he did last year.  Constant dumps and check downs.  Now with 3 INTs tonight and a fumble at the goal line, makes you wonder.
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