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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 341290 times)

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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7100 on: September 19, 2014, 02:10:25 pm »

My opinion is stay away from crazy parlays and weird teasers and stick to a sound, financial system. I see too many people bust trying to hit a big bet and get rich quick. I like residual income. My system plays 1 or 2 plays every single day and I have steady income per day. I still believe a slow and steady approach and a sound reinvestment strategy is the way to go. 

I see where you are going with this and I do agree...but you are taking an 8 point favorite down to where all they have to do is win the game outright...plus if they lose by 1 then I look like a genius lol.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7101 on: September 19, 2014, 02:14:25 pm »

I see where you are going with this and I do agree...but you are taking an 8 point favorite down to where all they have to do is win the game outright...plus if they lose by 1 then I look like a genius lol.

True, but in doing so, you are taking the odds with you, or in other words, lessening the payout. My thoughts are if you are having to tease points in order to win, you need to find better games on the board.

If I wouldn't play a spread on its own, I wouldn't tease it.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7102 on: September 19, 2014, 02:22:03 pm »

The biggest problem with a teaser is one underdog win can screw the pooch.  For instance, tease Arkansas and Ark state.  If NIU beats Arkansas or we win by a field goal, your entire teaser is toast.  My teaser strategy is try to tease games that you feel confident will win and get it almost to a win pays out. 

For instance, this weekend, I think Mizzou can when by 6+ points, I think VT can win the game outright, and if you want to add a 3rd team, tease Oregon which would put them around a -10 to -12. 
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7103 on: September 19, 2014, 02:22:07 pm »

True, but in doing so, you are taking the odds with you, or in other words, lessening the payout. My thoughts are if you are having to tease points in order to win, you need to find better games on the board.

If I wouldn't play a spread on its own, I wouldn't tease it.

I had Auburn down to -2.5 last night...neither of us are wrong or right...just different at how we look at betting football.  I love teasers and do very well.  I NEVER bet 10 point 3 team teasers though...but I can't pass up the one I mentioned.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7104 on: September 19, 2014, 02:27:16 pm »

I had Auburn down to -2.5 last night...neither of us are wrong or right...just different at how we look at betting football.  I love teasers and do very well.  I NEVER bet 10 point 3 team teasers though...but I can't pass up the one I mentioned.

Oh I agree...I just enjoy the discussion. The right way or the wrong way isnt important. But what did the odds end up being on your teaser?
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7105 on: September 19, 2014, 02:30:20 pm »

Oh I agree...I just enjoy the discussion. The right way or the wrong way isnt important. But what did the odds end up being on your teaser?

IDK about the actual odds...the website I use does it for me.  I bet $350 and will win $322 and some change.  Had Auburn down to -2.5 and over 43.5 in Eagles-Skins.
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hawgwild child

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7106 on: September 19, 2014, 02:30:53 pm »

What's everyone think tonight on usf and uconn.  Leaning usf for a small 2-3 unit bet
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7107 on: September 19, 2014, 02:31:51 pm »

IDK about the actual odds...the website I use does it for me.  I bet $350 and will win $322 and some change.  Had Auburn down to -2.5 and over 43.5 in Eagles-Skins.

The actual payout odds on 6 point and 6.5 point teasers will also depend if one of your bets is -110, -115, even, +105, etc.  Thank God for computers huh?
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7108 on: September 19, 2014, 02:36:16 pm »

What's everyone think tonight on usf and uconn.  Leaning usf for a small 2-3 unit bet

I got 2 units on USF by -2.  I'm cautious on this bet, but took it because USF is at home and Taggart seems to be a successful coach.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7109 on: September 19, 2014, 02:43:00 pm »

The actual payout odds on 6 point and 6.5 point teasers will also depend if one of your bets is -110, -115, even, +105, etc.  Thank God for computers huh?

Man, I'm in no way patient enough to wait 3 days to determine a win/loss.  Mad props to you for that.

Just about 100 more pages and this thread will be in the hogville hall of fame as one of the most viewed threads. Can you degenerates handle that?
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7110 on: September 19, 2014, 02:47:04 pm »

Playing bases again tonight as my main play...

Looked hard at the college football game, and like UConn +3. Not sure if I play it.... Couple things I'm still searching for.
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hawgwild child

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7111 on: September 19, 2014, 03:15:03 pm »

I got 2 units on USF by -2.  I'm cautious on this bet, but took it because USF is at home and Taggart seems to be a successful coach.
Ya I was thinking taking usf, I'm getting them at -3.  More playing this game for some excitement on a Friday night more than anything.  Maybe 1-2 units now since this game is so unclear
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7112 on: September 19, 2014, 03:18:21 pm »

Post up your MLB picks if you don't mind something tailing you.  I keep getting my arse creamed when I touch MLB, and I'm simply picking them off who I like and no rules. 

I was able to pick up USF earlier today at -2, looks like the line is moving my way, but I think this is virtually a pickem game. 

Note:CFB daily picked us as guaranteed bet of the weekend. 
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7113 on: September 19, 2014, 03:40:35 pm »

Playing bases again tonight as my main play...

Looked hard at the college football game, and like UConn +3. Not sure if I play it.... Couple things I'm still searching for.

If you aren't afraid of the Hogville curse, which i am almost positive exists, post them up, I'm not opposed to winning money on baseball.
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Spikes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7114 on: September 19, 2014, 03:49:45 pm »

MLB Pitt 2 units

MLB Over in Pitt 7 1/2    2 units

MLB  Under Tampa 7 4 units

NCAA F  UCONN  +3  1 unit
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Spikes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7115 on: September 19, 2014, 04:22:17 pm »

Adding the Over in the NCAAF game 43.5 USF/CONN
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7116 on: September 19, 2014, 04:33:33 pm »

I've posted some of my baseball plays throughout the last couple of weeks.

Tonight I'm on the pirates -135 over the brew crew.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7117 on: September 19, 2014, 04:58:13 pm »

I've posted some of my baseball plays throughout the last couple of weeks.

Tonight I'm on the pirates -135 over the brew crew.

How does taking the "action" on MLB games work?
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7118 on: September 19, 2014, 05:06:52 pm »

I just played a $35 parlay that will pay me $304 if it hits...and here is the best part it is only a 2 gamer...but I need the SF-UConn game to go over 43.5 and I need Indiana to win the game OUTRIGHT at Mizzou tomorrow.  Longshot but always a shot!
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7119 on: September 19, 2014, 05:17:37 pm »

I just played a $35 parlay that will pay me $304 if it hits...and here is the best part it is only a 2 gamer...but I need the SF-UConn game to go over 43.5 and I need Indiana to win the game OUTRIGHT at Mizzou tomorrow.  Longshot but always a shot!

With all due respect, I hope you win the Friday night part of that bet and the lose the 2nd part by a few TD's
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7120 on: September 19, 2014, 05:26:23 pm »

OK, I took another look at Idaho v. Ohio and added Idaho +14.  I'm at 1/2 unit each on the following:

San Jose St. +8.5
Virginia +14
Miss. St. +10
GT +8.5
OK -8
MO-13.5
Idaho +14
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7121 on: September 19, 2014, 05:40:22 pm »

How does taking the "action" on MLB games work?

Same way it would in any other sport. I'm taking the pirates straight up. Or you can hit the RL for better odds, but its harder. Then you got run total which I play a lot
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7122 on: September 19, 2014, 06:14:31 pm »

Same way it would in any other sport. I'm taking the pirates straight up. Or you can hit the RL for better odds, but its harder. Then you got run total which I play a lot

I have the option to pick both pitchers or one or the other?  under an action tab.  What is this?
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7123 on: September 19, 2014, 06:29:38 pm »

I have the option to pick both pitchers or one or the other?  under an action tab.  What is this?

Oh I see what you're asking. If you take action, you are betting the game no matter if the listed pitcher pitches or gets scratched. If you take an option, that pitcher has to pitch or its no contest and your game is canceled
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7124 on: September 19, 2014, 06:39:10 pm »

That O bet with the pooring rain tonight isn't looking too good now.
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hawgwild child

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7125 on: September 19, 2014, 06:53:32 pm »

Teased Usf +3 and game total under 50 for 2 units
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7126 on: September 19, 2014, 06:54:01 pm »

With all due respect, I hope you win the Friday night part of that bet and the lose the 2nd part by a few TD's

LOL...you must have Mizzou -13.5?
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7127 on: September 19, 2014, 06:56:21 pm »

LOL...you must have Mizzou -13.5?

Here is my thinking....Mizzou is not as good as they have shown 1st few games and Indiana is not as bad.  I read some preseason stuff on Indiana and they were expected to actually be pretty good...for Indiana of course which means 7-8 wins.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7128 on: September 19, 2014, 07:14:07 pm »

Here is my thinking....Mizzou is not as good as they have shown 1st few games and Indiana is not as bad.  I read some preseason stuff on Indiana and they were expected to actually be pretty good...for Indiana of course which means 7-8 wins.

Mizzou is at home though, should have good fan support, and mauk should be getting better with those receivers.  Last year with that awesome receiving corp (women beater included) he was lighting the field up.  Also a decent RB. 

What is wrong with the main ref in this USF game?  I remember seeing him earlier in the year too, he's got something wrong.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7129 on: September 19, 2014, 07:18:30 pm »

Gallardo is dealing tonight...
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HogFanatic

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7130 on: September 19, 2014, 07:30:35 pm »

I don't think Indiana can possibly be good enough to beat Mizzou. Man, if you hit that bet then I am WAY, WAY overestimating the strengths of the conferences.

A middle tier big 10 team looks terrible right now in comparison to the rest of college football, let alone the SEC. Last week the Big 10 lost every one of its OOC games...well, the big schools anyways, Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin. Indiana may be better than they usually are, but not good enough to compete with last year's SEC East Champ.

Hope I'm wrong, because if Missouri is that bad, Arkansas can pretty much chalk up a W at the end of the year, and I will be in Columbia for the game. It would be a glorious weekend.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7131 on: September 19, 2014, 08:24:04 pm »

If you followed my baseball play, its not looking good. Gallardo spun a gem...
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7132 on: September 19, 2014, 08:41:22 pm »

I don't think Indiana can possibly be good enough to beat Mizzou. Man, if you hit that bet then I am WAY, WAY overestimating the strengths of the conferences.

A middle tier big 10 team looks terrible right now in comparison to the rest of college football, let alone the SEC. Last week the Big 10 lost every one of its OOC games...well, the big schools anyways, Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin. Indiana may be better than they usually are, but not good enough to compete with last year's SEC East Champ.

Hope I'm wrong, because if Missouri is that bad, Arkansas can pretty much chalk up a W at the end of the year, and I will be in Columbia for the game. It would be a glorious weekend.

I don't expect Indiana to go to Mizzou to win...but that bet was just too good to be true.  One thing I do know is that Mizzou is not as good as they have looked, and Indiana is better than they have looked.  Just hoping the stars and moons line up for this one and Indiana pulls a shocker.
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7133 on: September 19, 2014, 08:42:23 pm »

I don't expect Indiana to go to Mizzou to win...but that bet was just too good to be true.  One thing I do know is that Mizzou is not as good as they have looked, and Indiana is better than they have looked.  Just hoping the stars and moons line up for this one and Indiana pulls a shocker.

If this weather at the SF game doesn't let up...I won't have to worry about it going over 43.5 so the Mizzou game won't even matter.
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StuartDavin

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7134 on: September 19, 2014, 08:46:16 pm »

If you followed my baseball play, its not looking good. Gallardo spun a gem...

Didn't take them long to attack that bullpen.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7135 on: September 19, 2014, 08:53:43 pm »

Didn't take them long to attack that bullpen.

Thank goodness.... Was banking on that.
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HogFanatic

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7136 on: September 19, 2014, 08:54:14 pm »

If this weather at the SF game doesn't let up...I won't have to worry about it going over 43.5 so the Mizzou game won't even matter.

I can't understand how anyone wouldn't take SF plus the points, so maybe I'm out of this discussion. Haha.

Glad to see this thread is active again though, guys.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7137 on: September 19, 2014, 08:59:44 pm »

I can't understand how anyone wouldn't take SF plus the points, so maybe I'm out of this discussion. Haha.

Glad to see this thread is active again though, guys.

Minus the points.... But I hear ya...:)
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HogFanatic

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7138 on: September 19, 2014, 09:01:27 pm »

Minus the points.... But I hear ya...:)

AND the points.
Haha

And whatever the spread is, because they should get it done.
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hawgwild child

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7139 on: September 19, 2014, 09:53:20 pm »

4-0 after my tease tonight since Thursday
Tomorrows plays
2 Team teaser Arizona -2/Ark -8
Miami/Nebraska Over 56
Florida St -14
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7140 on: September 19, 2014, 10:08:28 pm »

Well won with the points tonight but lost the O/U, sadly I bet the O/U double the points.  Also waited too long to make pigs bet on the pirates, which showed to be a great bet! 
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hawgwild child

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7141 on: September 19, 2014, 10:20:39 pm »

Wow really, I wish they would of announced Winston out the whole game like an hour ago before I placed that.  I took the -14 knowing he would be out a half and now hes out the whole game
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7142 on: September 19, 2014, 10:23:43 pm »

Wow really, I wish they would of announced Winston out the whole game like an hour ago before I placed that.  I took the -14 knowing he would be out a half and now hes out the whole game

I am not sure that I would worry too much about it.  Clemson was manhandled against what appears to be a Georgia team that is not anything special.  Clemson won't be able to stop all those studs on the offense of FSU...just my opinion.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7143 on: September 19, 2014, 10:27:23 pm »

I am not sure that I would worry too much about it.  Clemson was manhandled against what appears to be a Georgia team that is not anything special.  Clemson won't be able to stop all those studs on the offense of FSU...just my opinion.

Dang it's been pulled from my board!  I'd 3 team 10 point tease that immediately if I could
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7144 on: September 19, 2014, 10:28:45 pm »

Just announced Jameis is out the whole game vs Clemson. 
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hawgwild child

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7145 on: September 19, 2014, 10:30:04 pm »

Ya I still think they win, just hoping they don't start out slow, of course I honestly didn't make a big bet on it, so if fsu did lose I would be happy with that I guess
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7146 on: September 19, 2014, 10:32:17 pm »

Its off the board with my book
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7147 on: September 19, 2014, 10:38:12 pm »

Here is a game that I am really starting to like the more I dig into the match-up.  Texas St is by no means a powerhouse, but they are a scrappy little team who gave Navy all they wanted for most of the game.  Illinois is very very bad and I don't see them being up for this game at all even though it is at home.  I have a computer ranking calculation that gives an accurate point spread on a neutral field and it has Illinois only being 2 points better than Texas St.  Since they are catching 13 and it would be a big deal for them to go into Illinois and come out with a victory...I really like this bet.  I have a lot of bets out right now, but I did just put $150 on Texas St.  Just some food for thought...anyone have a feel for this game one way or another?
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7148 on: September 19, 2014, 10:44:51 pm »

Here is a game that I am really starting to like the more I dig into the match-up.  Texas St is by no means a powerhouse, but they are a scrappy little team who gave Navy all they wanted for most of the game.  Illinois is very very bad and I don't see them being up for this game at all even though it is at home.  I have a computer ranking calculation that gives an accurate point spread on a neutral field and it has Illinois only being 2 points better than Texas St.  Since they are catching 13 and it would be a big deal for them to go into Illinois and come out with a victory...I really like this bet.  I have a lot of bets out right now, but I did just put $150 on Texas St.  Just some food for thought...anyone have a feel for this game one way or another?

I looked at this play for awhile and I really like it. I didn't bet it for the sake of not betting on Texas St at a Big Ten school. I won't be surprised at all for a single digit margin in that game.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7149 on: September 19, 2014, 10:45:57 pm »

Here is a game that I am really starting to like the more I dig into the match-up.  Texas St is by no means a powerhouse, but they are a scrappy little team who gave Navy all they wanted for most of the game.  Illinois is very very bad and I don't see them being up for this game at all even though it is at home.  I have a computer ranking calculation that gives an accurate point spread on a neutral field and it has Illinois only being 2 points better than Texas St.  Since they are catching 13 and it would be a big deal for them to go into Illinois and come out with a victory...I really like this bet.  I have a lot of bets out right now, but I did just put $150 on Texas St.  Just some food for thought...anyone have a feel for this game one way or another?

Just Looking at it on the surface, i agree with you. Im not even sure illinois wins SU, let alone by 13. I need to look deeper before i play it, but i like where yiur head is at.
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