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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 328844 times)

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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7050 on: September 18, 2014, 10:57:26 am »

Ok I misread that.  Makes me feel better for sure.

FYI I just heard the bucs are missing 4 starters for tonights game for injuries. 
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Polecat

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7051 on: September 18, 2014, 11:00:23 am »

I like Auburn tonight. They've done very well ATS under the Gus bus
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7052 on: September 18, 2014, 11:40:17 am »

AU has covered 13 games in a row

Malzahn is 15-1 ATS at AU
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7053 on: September 18, 2014, 11:58:56 am »

Got AU -7 on my site. 3u. Crazy movement, was -11 mid-morning.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7054 on: September 18, 2014, 12:00:50 pm »

AU has covered 13 games in a row

Malzahn is 15-1 ATS at AU

And this guy just JINXED us!  ha
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7055 on: September 18, 2014, 12:36:28 pm »

 AU starting safety, Whitehead, suspended for game.
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hawgwild child

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7056 on: September 18, 2014, 12:42:54 pm »

Falcs/Bucs over 45
Teased 6pts Falcs -1 and over 39
Teased 6pts falcs -1 and aub -3.5
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7057 on: September 18, 2014, 02:37:48 pm »

What does everyone think of a -330 Money Line wager on Auburn?

I just don't see how K State wins this game.   Which is always what I say before making a stupid wager.


Probably a winner, but I just don't bet like that.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7058 on: September 18, 2014, 02:40:45 pm »

Got Auburn at -7.5 Bought the hook so

Auburn -7 / Dime play.

Something here is too good to be true.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7059 on: September 18, 2014, 02:42:18 pm »

What does everyone think of a -330 Money Line wager on Auburn?

I just don't see how K State wins this game.   Which is always what I say before making a stupid wager.

Terrible Idea...

The Payout on a bet like that isnt worth the risk. Sure, you almost certainly make some coin, but you have to pony up ALOT to make it matter, then you could lose.

Just not worth it to me
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7060 on: September 18, 2014, 02:44:49 pm »

Its a thursday night home dog....

wouldnt touch it with jeff's money
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swinemaster

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7061 on: September 18, 2014, 02:47:13 pm »

Parlays are nice but I don't have the patience to parlay games not on the same day!  Ha

Since my favorite hobbies are deer hunting and fishing, I'm pretty good with the patience thing. But I can see where you're coming from. 

What about Parlaying the over with Auburn tonight?
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7062 on: September 18, 2014, 02:50:50 pm »

I ended up getting MO at -13.5 so added that.  I'm at 1/2 unit each on the following:

San Jose St. +8.5
Virginia +14
Miss. St. +10
GT +8.5
OK -8
MO-13.5
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7063 on: September 18, 2014, 02:52:06 pm »

Since my favorite hobbies are deer hunting and fishing, I'm pretty good with the patience thing. But I can see where you're coming from. 

What about Parlaying the over with Auburn tonight?

Auburn could run wild tonight and hit the 40's with points or more.  That puts a lot of pressure on Kstate to hit 21-28 to get you there definitely.  I'm not banking on that.  Kstate has issues with their games already this year.  Auburn won't have issues with the crowd noises.  However, I am with Jeff and something is too good to be true here.  Vegas knows something we don't right now.  either way I'm still hedging that Gus, a back up qb, and that slew of talent coudl will their way to a 10+ point victory, even if its 21-10. 

Parlay with the NFL if you are looking for a parlay?
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7064 on: September 18, 2014, 03:01:11 pm »

Its a thursday night home dog....

wouldnt touch it with jeff's money

And Snyder coaching makes it even worse, but I gotta do it! Can't help myself.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7065 on: September 18, 2014, 03:02:55 pm »

And Snyder coaching makes it even worse, but I gotta do it! Can't help myself.
Degenerate
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7066 on: September 18, 2014, 03:05:35 pm »

Its a thursday night home dog....

wouldnt touch it with jeff's money

The fact Auburn is coming off a bye week, helps with that fear in my opinion. Saturday-Thursday turnaround I'd agree, but K State was on a bye too.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7068 on: September 18, 2014, 04:29:27 pm »

Ive got:
Au -9 2u
Au -8 2u
Au -7 8u bought hook

War damn eagle
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7069 on: September 18, 2014, 04:58:42 pm »

Buying it back down to 9?  Did your book move it too -11?  I can get it at -7 for -150

Actually, I just checked again, I can get it at -7 for -110!!!!!


I'd buy down a 1/5 point for about -125, then drop a nickel/dime on it.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7070 on: September 18, 2014, 05:03:22 pm »

Got Auburn at -7.5 Bought the hook so

Auburn -7 / Dime play.

Something here is too good to be true.

Guess I should have read more before hitting post...lol

Glad we are on the same side on this one.

How you like my bet management? only bet 25 games through the first 3 weeks, last year I was putting 25 bets for 1 game sometimes...haha
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7071 on: September 18, 2014, 05:40:05 pm »

I just bet a $350 6 1/2 point teaser...took Auburn down to -2 1/2 and over 43 1/2 in Eagles-Redskins.  This bet actually makes a lot of sense to me but nothing is ever a gimme...I am risking $350 to make $322 but man that extra 1/2 point is worth it sometimes.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7072 on: September 18, 2014, 05:41:10 pm »

Guess I should have read more before hitting post...lol

Glad we are on the same side on this one.

How you like my bet management? only bet 25 games through the first 3 weeks, last year I was putting 25 bets for 1 game sometimes...haha

Well I guess if War dang eagle covers this thread will be happy, if not we will all be very pissed! 

I'm like you, I can have 10 bets plus on a game, especially if I'm having a bad saturday or sunday and trying to make up some with quarters or halfs. 
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7073 on: September 18, 2014, 06:38:59 pm »

I didn't play any football but had I played, it would been over 62

As it stands, I have the mariners over the angels
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7074 on: September 18, 2014, 07:39:59 pm »

I just bet a $350 6 1/2 point teaser...took Auburn down to -2 1/2 and over 43 1/2 in Eagles-Redskins.  This bet actually makes a lot of sense to me but nothing is ever a gimme...I am risking $350 to make $322 but man that extra 1/2 point is worth it sometimes.

Sick feeling in my stomach! 
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7075 on: September 18, 2014, 07:45:20 pm »

Holy cow!  I can't watch cause I'm at a function deal but I'm told auburn is tanking
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7076 on: September 18, 2014, 08:02:35 pm »

Guess I should have read more before hitting post...lol

Glad we are on the same side on this one.

How you like my bet management? only bet 25 games through the first 3 weeks, last year I was putting 25 bets for 1 game sometimes...haha


Proud of you. I quit saying stuff to you about it last year, but you were out of control homie. Worst part is I knew that you knew better!
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7077 on: September 18, 2014, 08:09:55 pm »

Proud of you. I quit saying stuff to you about it last year, but you were out of control homie. Worst part is I knew that you knew better!

Thanks, yes I was, more than anyone here knows, and yes, yes I did. This year is different.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7078 on: September 18, 2014, 08:32:11 pm »

I'm ready for some of ole Gus' balleyhooed halftime adjustments to kick in.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7079 on: September 18, 2014, 09:29:59 pm »

I'm ready for some of ole Gus' balleyhooed halftime adjustments to kick in.

I'm scared they will give kansas st the cushion to score another 7 and ruin the spread!  DANGIT
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hollywood hog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7080 on: September 18, 2014, 09:53:20 pm »

Hogville curse in full effect.  I wouldn't have put a dime on this turd if I had seen everyone was playing it.  Instead I end up dropping a dime on it.... 
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7081 on: September 18, 2014, 09:57:10 pm »

That hurt.  I guess it's good I couldn't watch the game. 
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7082 on: September 18, 2014, 09:58:34 pm »

That sucks! Oh well, k state gave them every opportunity to pour it on and Auburn didnt take advantage of it.
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Polecat

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7083 on: September 18, 2014, 09:59:59 pm »

Frick frick frick frick Auburn and their qb. That is all
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7084 on: September 18, 2014, 10:17:45 pm »

Auburn brings me to 7-8, tough beat.

Saturday card finalized:

GT +8
Utah +3.5
MIZ -13.5
Idaho +14
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hawgwild child

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7085 on: September 18, 2014, 10:49:20 pm »

3-0 tonight. 
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7086 on: September 18, 2014, 10:54:52 pm »

That Utah line has moved the opposite direction needed all week long.. I should have jumped on it early as I was wanting to bet that game....irritating because I thought money would come in on Michigan and would move in my favor.

I feel like if I'm gonna bet it now I just need to play the money line.
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hawgwild child

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7087 on: September 18, 2014, 11:00:47 pm »

Thinking of teasing both Duke and Boise to -11 for 5 units
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7088 on: September 19, 2014, 12:22:08 am »

Auburn brings me to 7-8, tough beat.

Saturday card finalized:

GT +8
Utah +3.5
MIZ -13.5
Idaho +14

The spreadsheets like all of those plays.  I just couldn't bring myself to bet on Idaho & Paul.  Plus, it's a week or two away from having enough data to have much confidence in the spreadsheets just yet.  I'm also a little worried about the quick about-face on MO.  Locally, it moved from -14 to -15 yesterday, and today it had moved back to -13.5.  I took it anyway.  Good luck!
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7089 on: September 19, 2014, 02:36:31 am »

Smartest man in the room....

Avoided the Thursday night meltdown that is typically thought to be attributed to the hogville curse and had another good night on bases with Seattle over the angels. Nothing good happens on Thursday night when the Hogville Investors Club all bet on the same team. I've learned it the hard way. You could do some serious damage to the books if you fade hogville on Thursday night.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7090 on: September 19, 2014, 09:14:09 am »

Smartest man in the room....

Avoided the Thursday night meltdown that is typically thought to be attributed to the hogville curse and had another good night on bases with Seattle over the angels. Nothing good happens on Thursday night when the Hogville Investors Club all bet on the same team. I've learned it the hard way. You could do some serious damage to the books if you fade hogville on Thursday night.

Kicking a man when he's down, just wrong!  haha. 

I got lucky and made up half of what I lost my teasing Auburn and Atlanta for nickel. 
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7091 on: September 19, 2014, 09:22:43 am »

3 team 10 point teaser that pays 7-8 (almost even $ and you don't lose on any pushes).  Hogs -4 Sooners +2 NOSaints at pick em....if this loses then the world is coming to an end next week...LOL
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7092 on: September 19, 2014, 09:27:02 am »

3 team 10 point teaser that pays 7-8 (almost even $ and you don't lose on any pushes).  Hogs -4 Sooners +2 NOSaints at pick em....if this loses then the world is coming to an end next week...LOL

I've always lost on teases when it's a push.  Maybe I need to look back into that. 
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7093 on: September 19, 2014, 11:01:01 am »

That Utah line has moved the opposite direction needed all week long.. I should have jumped on it early as I was wanting to bet that game....irritating because I thought money would come in on Michigan and would move in my favor.

I feel like if I'm gonna bet it now I just need to play the money line.

I hear that. Thought it would go up too. 5dimes is reporting 58% of the bets on MIC though, a little reverse line movement. I like being on that side.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7094 on: September 19, 2014, 11:06:30 am »

The spreadsheets like all of those plays.  I just couldn't bring myself to bet on Idaho & Paul.  Plus, it's a week or two away from having enough data to have much confidence in the spreadsheets just yet.  I'm also a little worried about the quick about-face on MO.  Locally, it moved from -14 to -15 yesterday, and today it had moved back to -13.5.  I took it anyway.  Good luck!

These MIZ lines have been weird this season. Vegas completely whiffed on them the past two weeks. Idaho has been averaging around 35 points this season while Ohio is around 12. Ohio also replaced 8 starters on offense this season. Ohio may not even pull this one out as Idaho is my most confident bet, not confident enough for a max bet though. Best of luck to you too, as always.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7095 on: September 19, 2014, 11:31:12 am »

I took South Florida -2 for 2 units for tonight.  Hope to solidify my weekend stuff up after lunch.  Looking at some major teases since not liking some of the spreads. 

NFL looks promising this weekend, just hope the lines hold through saturday.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7096 on: September 19, 2014, 11:41:38 am »

3 team 10 point teaser that pays 7-8 (almost even $ and you don't lose on any pushes).  Hogs -4 Sooners +2 NOSaints at pick em....if this loses then the world is coming to an end next week...LOL

Be careful crossing 0 on teases, I tend to think a lot of value is lost when doing so. For instance, if OU were to lose straight up, I doubt that +2 is going to matter. On the other hand if you had WVU +18, that's a pure +10 point advantage. Anyone else have thoughts on this? Best of luck to you.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7097 on: September 19, 2014, 01:34:32 pm »

Smartest man in the room....

Avoided the Thursday night meltdown that is typically thought to be attributed to the hogville curse and had another good night on bases with Seattle over the angels. Nothing good happens on Thursday night when the Hogville Investors Club all bet on the same team. I've learned it the hard way. You could do some serious damage to the books if you fade hogville on Thursday night.


Alcohol helped get over it.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7098 on: September 19, 2014, 01:41:10 pm »

Be careful crossing 0 on teases, I tend to think a lot of value is lost when doing so. For instance, if OU were to lose straight up, I doubt that +2 is going to matter. On the other hand if you had WVU +18, that's a pure +10 point advantage. Anyone else have thoughts on this? Best of luck to you.

My opinion is stay away from crazy parlays and weird teasers and stick to a sound, financial system. I see too many people bust trying to hit a big bet and get rich quick. I like residual income. My system plays 1 or 2 plays every single day and I have steady income per day. I still believe a slow and steady approach and a sound reinvestment strategy is the way to go. 
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #7099 on: September 19, 2014, 02:08:21 pm »

I've always lost on teases when it's a push.  Maybe I need to look back into that. 

This is who I have used for sports and horses for over 5 years...never had an issue and never lose on a push in a teaser!
http://www.mysportsbook.ag/
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