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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 339541 times)

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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6650 on: August 31, 2014, 01:33:06 pm »

I agree, but he's lost everyone he can throw too along with ther D front seven and I think RB too. So I'm stuck!  Haha

I did just add some Baylor bets.  Baylor 1H -20.5 1unit

How bout this then....Tennessee falls into the folliwing trend that's hitting at about 80%


A home team in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more losses in last 5 game s, with 5 offensive starters returning are just 10-35 ATS over the last 10 years.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6651 on: August 31, 2014, 01:57:34 pm »

How bout this then....Tennessee falls into the folliwing trend that's hitting at about 80%


A home team in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more losses in last 5 game s, with 5 offensive starters returning are just 10-35 ATS over the last 10 years.

I placed bets about 10 minutes ago you jerk!  haha.  I took the O at 49 points for the game and took tenner -2.5 in the 1H.  I think it may take U state a bit to get started, in front of 100,000.  I think tenner can lead by 3 at half at home, then the QB for Ustate may take over, may not.  All this being said, I need baylor to blow SMU -21.5 in 1H and -33.5 for the game. 
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6652 on: August 31, 2014, 04:09:22 pm »

SMU u76    1.5 units
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6653 on: August 31, 2014, 07:51:51 pm »

SMU u76    1.5 units

Where did you find that kind of number????  You sure on that?  Most SMU/Tenner O/U were around 50?
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6654 on: August 31, 2014, 07:58:03 pm »

Looks like everyone had a pretty good weekend on the betting front. Good deal there...I did pretty good too up +5 unit wise. Added a 3 unit bet on Tennessee -4.5 hopefully it holds up.
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The Hogfather

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6655 on: August 31, 2014, 09:03:17 pm »

My big one for this weekend:  Tennersee -6

They'll beat Utah State by double digits, imo.

Tennersee is young, but talented.  As long as the young/new guys don't play like it is the 1st time they've ever played football before, I think they'll be too much for Utah State.  Utah State does return Chuckie Keeton, but I think his talents will be mitigated by Tennersee's defensive line.

BOOM!
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6656 on: August 31, 2014, 10:31:38 pm »

Where did you find that kind of number????  You sure on that?  Most SMU/Tenner O/U were around 50?

My book is BetUS. I assure you that's the numbers I got. Where did you get 50?
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6657 on: August 31, 2014, 10:32:48 pm »

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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6658 on: August 31, 2014, 10:33:16 pm »

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Spikes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6659 on: September 01, 2014, 12:02:14 am »

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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6660 on: September 01, 2014, 05:16:15 am »

“@BruceFeldmanCFB: Wow #Vols played 21 true freshmen today & 45% of UT players in game were making their college debuts"


Wow, indeed.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6661 on: September 01, 2014, 07:01:16 am »

“@BruceFeldmanCFB: Wow #Vols played 21 true freshmen today & 45% of UT players in game were making their college debuts"


Wow, indeed.

I had 4 bets on the Tenner game, won 3/4.  Only one I lost was the O at 49.  If Utah st could have scored another 7 in that game I would have won 5 units on that game alone.  Thanks to Tenner and Baylor I dug myself out of my USC e and Arkansas holes. 

Now lets discuss Louisville and Miami.  Also their are some really good lines right now for next weekend.  I'll compile a list shortly, but a couple game sticking out to me are Arizona -7, Missouri -6, and duke -18.5, Auburn -30.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6662 on: September 01, 2014, 07:07:46 am »

1-5 on Thu & Fri games
8-2 on Sat & Sun games
....that's betting for you, ha.

9-7 overall
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6663 on: September 01, 2014, 07:08:37 am »

1-5 on Thu & Fri games
8-2 on Sat & Sun games
....that's betting for you, ha.

9-7 overall

Hmm I only look at the money side, let me count my record.

21-20 with losing my two largest bets. 
2-5 on parlay which I actually made money on. Also lost a nice parlay by 3 point over.  Got a nice parlay hanging in the balance as we speak with Baylor -20.5 first half (won) and Louisville -3 for the game. 

Also threw in a little golf bet.  2-0 on golf for .5 unit, but will lose .5 unit today to take that back to even, unless Kuchar screws the pooch (pleeeeassseeeeee).
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6664 on: September 01, 2014, 07:12:11 am »

I didn't have the sack to pull the trigger on WVU +26. I talked it up to any bettor that would listen hoping someone would reinforce my opinion. None did, so I didn't act.
It wasn't Bama's O that was the problem, which is where I thought they'd struggle based on continuing reports from Bama beat writers nearly since Lane came onboard. Instead, it was their D that continues to struggle against up-tempo, spread offenses.

#NoGutsNoGlory
#ShouldaCouldaWoulda
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6665 on: September 01, 2014, 07:14:13 am »

Hmm I only look at the money side, let me count my record.

I should look more at the money side. My betting units are so small that I've not bothered to do so. A tracking app I use tells me what money side is, but I only look at the W-L record.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6666 on: September 01, 2014, 07:19:40 am »

I didn't have the sack to pull the trigger on WVU +26. I talked it up to any bettor that would listen hoping someone would reinforce my opinion. None did, so I didn't act.
It wasn't Bama's O that was the problem, which is where I thought they'd struggle based on continuing reports from Bama beat writers nearly since Lane came onboard. Instead, it was their D that continues to struggle against up-tempo, spread offenses.

#NoGutsNoGlory
#ShouldaCouldaWoulda

I stayed away from that game completely.  Wish I hadn't, but did.  I will say this though, their QB (WVU) showed they will score some points.  The Big 12 may be a league to be taking the O in all year long.  Will be interesting to see if Baylor QB is alright.  He hurt himself in the first half last night and they couldn't move the ball without him
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6667 on: September 01, 2014, 07:20:24 am »

I should look more at the money side. My betting units are so small that I've not bothered to do so. A tracking app I use tells me what money side is, but I only look at the W-L record.

Ha, I'm not doing it for the record.  I'm trying to make some coin!
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6668 on: September 01, 2014, 07:20:28 am »

Will be interesting to see if Baylor QB is alright.  He hurt himself in the first half last night and they couldn't move the ball without him

True
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6669 on: September 01, 2014, 11:24:31 am »

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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6670 on: September 01, 2014, 11:28:16 am »

Ha, I'm not doing it for the record.  I'm trying to make some coin!

If you have a sound strategy,  your bankroll should reflect your record.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6671 on: September 01, 2014, 11:39:44 am »

If you have a sound strategy,  your bankroll should reflect your record.

Oh I agree, I just had to scramble some small last minute bets during A&M/USC dubacle, vandy crapfest, and then lost a nickel on the Hogs.  So being even close back to even after those and a pretty even record, I'm happy. 

If Louisville does what I think to a freshman Miami QB tonight then I will be sitting nice. 

I know I'm new to this thread.  What do you guys think about throwing up some early lines and discussing?  Or are yall trying to simply keep this thread as what you picked and record? 

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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6672 on: September 01, 2014, 11:41:41 am »

I had 4 bets on the Tenner game, won 3/4.  Only one I lost was the O at 49.  If Utah st could have scored another 7 in that game I would have won 5 units on that game alone.  Thanks to Tenner and Baylor I dug myself out of my USC e and Arkansas holes. 

Now lets discuss Louisville and Miami.  Also their are some really good lines right now for next weekend.  I'll compile a list shortly, but a couple game sticking out to me are Arizona -7, Missouri -6, and duke -18.5, Auburn -30.

I really like K St -12 @ IA St
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6673 on: September 01, 2014, 11:47:58 am »

I really like K St -12 @ IA St

I don't know enough about either team, didn't watch this past weekend either.  An image that sticks in the back of my mind though, Iowa state always pulls out a game a year at home that they shouldnt. 
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6674 on: September 01, 2014, 11:48:03 am »


What do you guys think about throwing up some early lines and discussing?  Or are yall trying to simply keep this thread as what you picked and record? 



I'd love to discuss some lines, whether betting them or not. We are open to whatever.

The ONLY rule in this thread is to post your picks before the game IF possible. What drives us crazy is the 1 dude each year that comes on here on Monday, stating that he went 12-2 and didn't post his picks ahead of time. Nobody EVER comes here after a crappy weekend, going 2-6, and posts that he went 2-6, if he didn't post picks beforehand. Actually, I did this once last year, just to prove to myself that it is possible for someone to do it, ha. But generally speaking, I've yet to see anyone that didn't post their picks ahead of time, come on here afterwards and post a bad weekend.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6675 on: September 01, 2014, 11:55:53 am »

These are some notables I pulled this morning, some I already listed. 

Arizona -7 @ UTSA .... Arizona should light up UTSA, I can't believe it's only -7 to the point I'm scared I am missing something big. 

Mizzou -6 vs Toledo.... Mizzou with Maulk should cover a -6 point spread all day long. 

Tenner -17 vs Astate.... Astate new coach, have no clue how they stand.  I think tenner got a bigger line than they probably should have just because of this past weekend.  Probably will cover, but like the Mizzoue and Arizona line better. 

Miss st -29 vs UAB.  That's a big spread for Miss st IMO, but they did route this past weekend.  UAB however showed they had some offense this past weekend. 

Stanford -3 vs USC....  Will USC have the depth to compete vs stanford late?  Did standford return the same QB from last year?

Kentucky -10 vs Ohio... I think this might be a good betting line worth buying it under -10. 

Ole Miss -20 vs Vandy.  Ole miss quick D and should improve the 7 false starts on offense.  I think this is a comfy bet. 

Duke -18.5 vs Troy.  Troy showed against UAB no Defense and no Offense.  Will have to research Duke some, but they showed to be able to score last year?

Auburn -31 vs San Jose st.  Should be a covered spread close to the first half. 

Oklahoma -24.5 vs Tulsa...  Gonna have to research Tulsa, but OK showed to be able to score this past weekend. 

I am sure some of these will move through out the week.  I will probably take some action later tonight after tonights game. 
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6676 on: September 01, 2014, 12:00:00 pm »

I'd love to discuss some lines, whether betting them or not. We are open to whatever.

The ONLY rule in this thread is to post your picks before the game IF possible. What drives us crazy is the 1 dude each year that comes on here on Monday, stating that he went 12-2 and didn't post his picks ahead of time. Nobody EVER comes here after a crappy weekend, going 2-6, and posts that he went 2-6, if he didn't post picks beforehand. Actually, I did this once last year, just to prove to myself that it is possible for someone to do it, ha. But generally speaking, I've yet to see anyone that didn't post their picks ahead of time, come on here afterwards and post a bad weekend.

I may be that way from time to time, but it is not intentional.  I make some very late last minute picks, and like this past weekend, I may have multiple small ones running trying to offset a big one going bad!  Hence my 40 bet weekend, well that will probably higher after tonight. 

Currently open I have,

Parlayed Baylor -33 and Louisville -3... 2 units

Louisville -1.5 1H.... 1.5 units

Louisville vs Miami U54 .5 unit. (I think I will regret this bet).

Might stack another unit on Louisville -3, but the line is moving to -3.5 maybe even 4 by game time and I'm not feeling buying a full point there. 
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6677 on: September 01, 2014, 12:20:29 pm »

Mizzou, AZ, and OU games are on my board for next week's action. UTSA has come a long way w/ its fledgling program, but not that far, imo.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6679 on: September 01, 2014, 04:54:25 pm »

Early leans:

KY -10
SC -16
Mich St +13
Mich +5
UCLA -24
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6680 on: September 01, 2014, 05:40:06 pm »

Jeff is going Louisville  -3 2 units and taking 56 over for another 2

edit: i am tailing both bets
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6681 on: September 01, 2014, 05:42:45 pm »

I'm grabbing Louisville -4 for 1 unit.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6682 on: September 01, 2014, 05:49:48 pm »

I just told Jeff I was with him on Louisville, even put down a parlay because of his over bet, but I hate seeing everyone on Louisville. Hope the old hogville curse doesnt rear its head.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6683 on: September 01, 2014, 05:57:59 pm »

Jeff is going Louisville  -3 2 units and taking 56 over for another 2

edit: i am tailing both bets

This
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6684 on: September 01, 2014, 06:00:52 pm »

This

Except I had to buy UL down from 4 to 3, and my over is 55.5.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6685 on: September 01, 2014, 06:27:17 pm »

Louisville -4    2 units

Waited too long, I wanted this at 3.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6686 on: September 01, 2014, 06:48:07 pm »

Louisville -4    2 units

Waited too long, I wanted this at 3.

I don't think it will matter.  I got a feeling it will be 7+ or a loss.  Petrino doesn't have a hocker type, when he doesn't he likes to go for 7 over the sure 3. 

I noted eariler, I regretted taking the under at 49 I believe, I still live by that.  Hopefully I can pick up that in a 2H bet. 

Good luck guys!  Let's hope Petrino finally has a D with charlies guys and for once a top D cordinator. 
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6687 on: September 01, 2014, 10:20:23 pm »

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6688 on: September 01, 2014, 10:29:01 pm »

Great week guys!! Hope yall are collecting tomorrow:)
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6689 on: September 01, 2014, 10:29:13 pm »

Hope everyone faired well off that Louisville game.  I got lucky and went 6-0 on it with a couple parlay bets on it. 
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6690 on: September 02, 2014, 10:46:38 am »

Colo St. +3  W
Wash -17     L
Utah St. +6  L
N. Tx +25.5  L
Troy +3       L
Fresno +22   L

It looks like last year's trends don't travel well into the current season.   Inexpensive lesson learned. Glad I started small so as not to dig too deep of a hole at the beginning. Started off 1-5 ats and -2 units. 
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MS_HogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6691 on: September 02, 2014, 10:57:05 am »

Colo St. +3  W
Wash -17     L
Utah St. +6  L
N. Tx +25.5  L
Troy +3       L
Fresno +22   L

It looks like last year's trends don't travel well into the current season.   Inexpensive lesson learned. Glad I started small so as not to dig too deep of a hole at the beginning. Started off 1-5 ats and -2 units. 

That looks exactly like my stat lines every time i bet. LOL
That is why I just read now
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6692 on: September 02, 2014, 10:57:47 am »

Did yall discuss NFL picks last year in here?
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6693 on: September 02, 2014, 11:18:47 am »

Did yall discuss NFL picks last year in here?

We didn't discuss them as involved as we do colkegw, but yes. And we Def posted the ones we played. I personally won't play as many this year. The last 2 years, I've sucked at picking winners. I'll play a couple, but not much more. Actualky, I'm playing less across the board.

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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6694 on: September 02, 2014, 01:44:16 pm »

Good week 1.
YTD 8-3, +9 Units
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6695 on: September 02, 2014, 01:58:43 pm »

After a few years of having good Saturdays followed by bad Sundays, I think several of us started shying away from the NFL and sticking more with college.  I'll tail a few of Jeff's NFL plays on a few rare occasions but mainly just stick with college.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6696 on: September 02, 2014, 01:59:26 pm »

Jeff usually picks 2-4 NFL games too. his dime plays were great last year on sundays
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6697 on: September 02, 2014, 09:17:26 pm »

Other leans:

Pitt -4.5
TN -16
KY -12
AUB -31
MSU +12.5

TN & KSU are looking like for sure plays right now.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6698 on: September 02, 2014, 09:20:46 pm »

The Missouri line, which was kind of fishy from the open (-6), has moved to -4.5. Staying away from that.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6699 on: September 02, 2014, 11:29:36 pm »

The Missouri line, which was kind of fishy from the open (-6), has moved to -4.5. Staying away from that.

Yeah it's moving towards Toledo because of toledo's record beating people there. 

I'm scared of the msu line, and what do you know about the ksu and pit lines?
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