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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 331085 times)

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Polecat

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6550 on: August 28, 2014, 03:32:43 pm »

Parlaying Ole Miss and UL Monroe tonight. My friends in Mississippi (spit) suggest the Rebs should roll tonight.
Also taking the under in the Cocks/Ags game. We shall see
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6551 on: August 28, 2014, 03:46:55 pm »

For the reasons stated above I am not betting the Hogs this week.  My immediate thought is hogs plus the points and still think it's a decent bet, but not touching it.

Just my opinion if course, but

I give coaching advantage to Auburn
QB advantage to Auburn only because I feel their offense is tailored to his strengths. I think BA could be a really fine QB, but based on what I saw last year he is a square peg being plugged into a round hole ( that's what she said)

Offense advantage Auburn
Defense advantage Auburn
Skill position well I love our backs, but overall auburn.

First week of the season however so hogs could surprise. Big line, but they could also lose by 40. If they get down two scores early I have seen nothing YET to indicate a quick strike come from behind team. Perhaps that will change this year, but I gotta see it!
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6552 on: August 28, 2014, 03:51:01 pm »

playing my original teaser plus

Scar -10
ole miss -10
1 unit
had to buy the hook on both
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OnYourToes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6553 on: August 28, 2014, 03:55:11 pm »

Wash st and rutgers is really looking good.  not knowing too much about these teams turnover is keeping me away, but wash st should be a high scoring affair.  Thinking of taking Wash st -7

UL Monroe is another, but wake is known to sneak up, not much of a spread here at -1.5.

I have been toggling the OK st FS st game for days now.  What you guys think?

At first Wash St and Rutgers made my cut, long story but I browse all lines and make my initial thoughts then cut them down.  I know it's at Rutgers and that is a cross country trip for the Cougars.  Plus I don't know about  either team, so I decided against it

UL Monroe almost made my final list, I made a LOT of money off them in the first month last year.
But I haven't done my research on them over the summer and, it being such a small line, I have no idea.

FL St -17.5 at home against an unproven Ok St team. . .seems legit but I felt better about the ones I picked.
Again, just not feeling or knowing that game either way.   
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6554 on: August 28, 2014, 04:05:27 pm »

Good luck this season all! Let's get it!

S Car -10 - 2 units
Vandy Under 50.5 - 1 unit
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6555 on: August 28, 2014, 04:10:52 pm »

To summarize my bets tonight:

Jeff's picks



Only difference is Vandy was -13 on my site.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6556 on: August 28, 2014, 04:41:20 pm »

I know I'm an idiot, but playing under 61 on s Carolina am tonight.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6557 on: August 28, 2014, 05:24:21 pm »

Wow as usual I'm looking like an early season idiot!
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6558 on: August 28, 2014, 05:53:29 pm »

Dont sweat it, passing teams always start out fast.. remember the scripted plays by petrino? Defensive teams always adjust after a few series.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6559 on: August 28, 2014, 06:30:26 pm »

Vandy line has moved recently.  Might entice some late action.  Could buy it down under 7 now I believe...
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6560 on: August 28, 2014, 06:44:10 pm »

Vandy line has moved recently.  Might entice some late action.  Could buy it down under 7 now I believe...

Wow, it has. Down to -8 on mine from -13 real recently.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6561 on: August 28, 2014, 06:44:58 pm »

Damn TAMU is mudholing South Carolina. I thought for sure that the Ole Ball Coach would have them more ready than this.

The hogs may have a better chance against SC than TAMU if this game holds up.
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mckinneyhog5

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6562 on: August 28, 2014, 06:53:13 pm »

Damn TAMU is mudholing South Carolina. I thought for sure that the Ole Ball Coach would have them more ready than this.

The hogs may have a better chance against SC than TAMU if this game holds up.

I took the Aggies and I can guarantee you SC will do better in the 2nd half.  Will they cover?  I doubt it but the game will tighten up.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6563 on: August 28, 2014, 06:58:21 pm »

A&M gives me the creeps.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6564 on: August 28, 2014, 06:59:16 pm »

I took the Aggies and I can guarantee you SC will do better in the 2nd half.  Will they cover?  I doubt it but the game will tighten up.
Cover spread or O/U?  I'm trying to make up my hit by taking USC -10 but taking the over in the 2nd.  If USC pushes TAM at all, no way sumlin pulls up. 
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mckinneyhog5

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6565 on: August 28, 2014, 07:08:19 pm »

Cover spread or O/U?  I'm trying to make up my hit by taking USC -10 but taking the over in the 2nd.  If USC pushes TAM at all, no way sumlin pulls up. 
I meant the spread for the game...I don't play halfs.  My site is showing SC -6 and O/U 34 1/2.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6566 on: August 28, 2014, 07:16:07 pm »

I meant the spread for the game...I don't play halfs.  My site is showing SC -6 and O/U 34 1/2.

-6 is just for the second half correct?  I'm not even sure I'd take that bet.  I think A&M will pay out in this game.  Lol
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6567 on: August 28, 2014, 07:55:37 pm »

I can't find a reason for the precipitous Vandy drop. The line was still -13 as of 1pm today. Have bought more of them at -8.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6568 on: August 28, 2014, 07:58:48 pm »

I can't find a reason for the precipitous Vandy drop. The line was still -13 as of 1pm today. Have bought more of them at -8.

I did the same, but it's creeping back up, so I went with 1st half

Weather is suppose to be bad, maybe that's why
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6569 on: August 28, 2014, 08:16:06 pm »

Shows what I know. My greatest fear has been realized. Aggies actually have A QB! That's what a good offensive coach can do!

Jeez.akes my thoughts for hogs season even more bleak.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6570 on: August 28, 2014, 08:28:00 pm »

Shows what I know. My greatest fear has been realized. Aggies actually have A QB! That's what a good offensive coach can do!



Agreed. Sumlin is fantastic offensively. When the Ags hired him, I told my wife that if Petrino were to leave (we still had him, but for a brief time longer), I'd want Sumlin.
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6571 on: August 28, 2014, 09:11:13 pm »

Shows what I know. My greatest fear has been realized. Aggies actually have A QB! That's what a good offensive coach can do!

Jeez.akes my thoughts for hogs season even more bleak.
Ole piss may be our best chance for a conf win. They are stinking it up.
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mckinneyhog5

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6572 on: August 28, 2014, 09:16:28 pm »

A&M +10
Ark +18 1/2
Ul Monroe -1 1/2
$50 parlay
Already have the hogs +21 for a nickel.
Hope the Hogs can keep it under 18!
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6573 on: August 28, 2014, 11:32:00 pm »

ULM -1     2 units...W
Tulsa -7    2 units...P


1-0-1
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6574 on: August 29, 2014, 06:39:07 am »

What did the sharps know about last night's Vandy game that the oddsmakers didn't see when they set the line at -13.5 a week ago? That line started moving downward fast yesterday afternoon, which before then kept holding in the -13 to -13.5 range?
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6575 on: August 29, 2014, 07:58:28 am »

What did the sharps know about last night's Vandy game that the oddsmakers didn't see when they set the line at -13.5 a week ago? That line started moving downward fast yesterday afternoon, which before then kept holding in the -13 to -13.5 range?

No clue, but they were the worst looking SEC team I believe I have ever seen last night.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6576 on: August 29, 2014, 08:02:39 am »

What did the sharps know about last night's Vandy game that the oddsmakers didn't see when they set the line at -13.5 a week ago? That line started moving downward fast yesterday afternoon, which before then kept holding in the -13 to -13.5 range?

I'm guessing here, because I said I would stay away from this game, yet when it moved I bought it down to -7.  Then GOT HOSED!  I was able to make a move at half time and recoup half of what I was going to lose, but that sucked.  Not to mentioned I stayed up to watch the worse football game of the year.  I think with Rivers they thought vandy would throw it all over, then the rain came and they collapsed the line. 

I'm ready to see the Ole Miss Vandy line for next weekend.  I think I'll take -50 on Ole miss. 

What's everyone got for the next two days games?
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The Hogfather

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6577 on: August 29, 2014, 08:09:27 am »

I've been thinking this way all week, but I'm starting to wonder if EVERYONE is wrong and TAMU might be able to hang.

10 is a lot in a game like this.
I really think Ole Miss will absolutely kill Boise if they are ready.  I wouldn't want to bet them above 10, though.

Luckily, I went with TAMU +10, Ole Miss -10, ULM -1.5, and Rutgers +8.

4-0 in college.

Unfortunately, I took Seattle -5, NYG -3, and NYJ +2.5 in the NFL.  Totally threw away a decent amount of college profit (like an idiot).
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6578 on: August 29, 2014, 08:56:52 am »

Luckily, I went with TAMU +10, Ole Miss -10, ULM -1.5, and Rutgers +8.

4-0 in college.



Good work on the cfb.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6579 on: August 29, 2014, 08:59:38 am »



What's everyone got for the next two days games?

I'll tail Jeff (assuming he still doesn't mind).  On my own (which means you should go the other way, ha), I've got...

Hogs +21.5
Idaho +37.0 (Not convinced UF is "back", particularly on offense)
PSU +1.0
Bowling Green -8.0

Still leaning WVU vs Bama.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6580 on: August 29, 2014, 09:24:19 am »

I'll tail Jeff (assuming he still doesn't mind).  On my own (which means you should go the other way, ha), I've got...

Hogs +21.5
Idaho +37.0 (Not convinced UF is "back", particularly on offense)
PSU +1.0
Bowling Green -8.0

Still leaning WVU vs Bama.

I got Hogs +21.5 as well.

Idaho, I think florida could Temple vs Vandy them and get 40 something.  Idaho may not get a point. 

I've been staring at the WKU/BG game.  Can't figure that one out, but does look like some points will be scored.  I hate that I didn't keep up with WKU after BP left, I have no idea who came in or anything. 

I'm staying clear of Bama.  What scares me is Bama could run it down their throats for 3 quarters.  Dana could come in and screw up the bets with 1st team O vs Bama walk ons in the 4th.  Also, if saban doesn't like the way the first half goes, he could leave the first team in.  Just too many scenarios. 

Why does everyone think Penn st is a good bet at +1?  New coach, no telling how they are buying in.  Central Florida had some players last year.  BTW, Penn st is +2 for me.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6581 on: August 29, 2014, 09:34:11 am »

I'm looking at Col St. +3 and WKU +8. Col St. because of Vader's spreadsheet (no guarantee obviously, but proven system) and WKU because I have a group message with all my buddies and they're all on BG. Fading group plays turns a profit more times than not. Also, the public is both on COL and BG, love fading the public when it's around 60%, which both are right now.
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6582 on: August 29, 2014, 09:38:32 am »

I think UF rolls Idaho.  I have always been UF hater but I really believe they will be a force in the SEC east this year.  they got hit by an extraordinary amount of injuries last year and this year all eyes will be watching Kurt Roper's offense.  Driskel is back, team is injury free and also Idaho's HC is Paul Petrino.  Enough said.  UF scores 50 and gives up 10 at the most.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6583 on: August 29, 2014, 09:43:04 am »

I think UF rolls Idaho.  I have always been UF hater but I really believe they will be a force in the SEC east this year.  they got hit by an extraordinary amount of injuries last year and this year all eyes will be watching Kurt Roper's offense.  Driskel is back, team is injury free and also Idaho's HC is Paul Petrino.  Enough said.  UF scores 50 and gives up 10 at the most.

This is what I'm thinking!  I don't think paul can move the ball on UF D.  UF florida's D up until after the hogs game last year was just plain nasty!  Still though, that's a lot of points to cover. 
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6584 on: August 29, 2014, 09:46:43 am »

I think UF rolls Idaho.  I have always been UF hater but I really believe they will be a force in the SEC east this year.  they got hit by an extraordinary amount of injuries last year and this year all eyes will be watching Kurt Roper's offense.  Driskel is back, team is injury free and also Idaho's HC is Paul Petrino.  Enough said.  UF scores 50 and gives up 10 at the most.

There's the problem. No team will ever put up 50 with Driskel at QB, he is horrible. Granted, I don't think Idaho scores...maybe 3 or 7.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6585 on: August 29, 2014, 10:10:56 am »

Colorado st. +2    2 units

1-0-1
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OnYourToes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6586 on: August 29, 2014, 10:20:15 am »

Fresno St +20.5, I feel pretty good about that one. - 1 unit
I got South Carolina -9.5 - 1 unit = WOW, just wow
Ole Miss -10 - 2 units - Win

Penn St +2 - 1 unit


1-1
Looking for a turn around with Penn St and Fresno St
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6587 on: August 29, 2014, 10:23:50 am »

Mich st -34 is looking good right now too.  I dont know why that line took till today to come up. 
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6588 on: August 29, 2014, 10:56:11 am »

I think UF rolls Idaho.  I have always been UF hater but I really believe they will be a force in the SEC east this year.  they got hit by an extraordinary amount of injuries last year and this year all eyes will be watching Kurt Roper's offense.  Driskel is back, team is injury free and also Idaho's HC is Paul Petrino.  Enough said.  UF scores 50 and gives up 10 at the most.

No more than a hunch on my part, and a way to feed my addiction.
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6589 on: August 29, 2014, 01:27:19 pm »

Would be nice if everyone can keep up with their records this year, so we can see who is hot and not.
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6590 on: August 29, 2014, 01:32:21 pm »

Luckily, I went with TAMU +10, Ole Miss -10, ULM -1.5, and Rutgers +8.

4-0 in college.

Unfortunately, I took Seattle -5, NYG -3, and NYJ +2.5 in the NFL.  Totally threw away a decent amount of college profit (like an idiot).

Serves you right betting on preseason football, and the backups none the less.  Pretty impressive night in college though. I saw you were on A&M and Ole Miss, but didn't see you ULM and Rutgers picks.
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The Hogfather

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6591 on: August 29, 2014, 03:13:33 pm »

Serves you right betting on preseason football, and the backups none the less.  Pretty impressive night in college though. I saw you were on A&M and Ole Miss, but didn't see you ULM and Rutgers picks.

It does serve me right.  I know better.

I don't post official picks or anything.  Normally, I just give my thoughts on games.  I didn't post anything on those last 2 games.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6592 on: August 29, 2014, 05:22:23 pm »

Couldn't stay away from the Friday heat:

Col St. +3
Jax St. +34.5


MLB: TOR/NYY o8.5
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6593 on: August 29, 2014, 05:34:34 pm »

Couldn't stay away from the Friday heat:

Col St. +3
Jax St. +34.5


MLB: TOR/NYY o8.5

I'm right there with you.   Been staring at sir pigs pick and now yours, I don'nt know a thing on the COl st vs Col game.  I'm also trying to figure out where I want to play the mich st game.  Thinking of parlying something tonight, but haven't put it together yet.

Well I took a little action. 

Bowling green -6.5
Col st +2.5

still back and forth on the Mich st game.  Jack st shows a chance to score a couple points, but then again Mich st should have one of hte top D in the nation. 
« Last Edit: August 29, 2014, 05:58:38 pm by onebadrubi »
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Spikes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6594 on: August 29, 2014, 06:35:31 pm »

4 games

Jack st +34.5

W Ky + 7.5. Bought a pt

Over in Texas San/ Houston 55 1/2

UNLV /AZ over 60


Record 2-3
Good luck 
« Last Edit: August 29, 2014, 07:54:11 pm by Spikes »
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6595 on: August 29, 2014, 06:58:20 pm »

There's the problem. No team will ever put up 50 with Driskel at QB, he is horrible. Granted, I don't think Idaho scores...maybe 3 or 7.
I disagree with your driskel assessment.  I think he ws ok and this year will be pretty good.  he has had injury issues and 3 different coordinators.  I'll take him over many of the SEC QBs.  Having said all that I hope they go 0-12. 
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6596 on: August 29, 2014, 07:33:34 pm »

1-2 last night

Taking colo state +3 and over 54 both 1 unit
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6597 on: August 30, 2014, 12:51:20 am »

Well hat to do this now but placing. Gonna be out of pocket most of the day tomorrow.

Bowling Green -6.5 / 2 units
Penn ST +2 / 2 units
Ohio ST -15 / 5 units yeah I know about Braxton
Virginia +21.5 / 2 units
Nebraska -22 / 5 units
Georgia -7 / 5 units
Okie ST +19 / 5 units.
LSU -5 / dime play
Va Tech -21 / dime play.


Let's go big or go home!

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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6598 on: August 30, 2014, 12:57:41 am »

Yeah I posted bowling green because I bet it!
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6599 on: August 30, 2014, 05:56:09 am »



Hogs +21.5
Idaho +37.0
PSU +1.0
Bowling Green -8.0




This and this....




Penn ST +2 / 2 units
Ohio ST -15 / 5 units yeah I know about Braxton
Virginia +21.5 / 2 units
Nebraska -22 / 5 units
Georgia -7 / 5 units
Okie ST +19 / 5 units.
LSU -5 / dime play
Va Tech -21 / dime play.




I can't find VaTech on my site, so not that one, unless it pops up later.
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