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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 326377 times)

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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6100 on: December 28, 2013, 09:23:35 am »

To be fair to everyone.  I am a bit of a Notre Dame fan so I might be pushed toward betting them with that huge line because of it, but I still think they cover.

Don't let proximity fool you.  Yankees Stadium should still seem like a home game for the Irish.
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6101 on: December 28, 2013, 10:48:50 am »

1-3 for bowl season ugh!

Going

ND/Rutgers under 54
Kansas St./Michigan under 54
Louisville -4.5
Cici +2.5
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6102 on: December 28, 2013, 01:24:10 pm »

I think ND lost both its offensive and defensive coordinators to the coaching carousel.  Those are the types of added variables that usually lead me to sit out a game.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6103 on: December 28, 2013, 01:36:05 pm »

Well, followed up my 4-8 start with a 6-8 yesterday. Im starting to think I should fade my own picks.

Good news for Jeff and everyone else on the same ones he is, I'm on the opposite on NC and Miami so its almost a guaranteed cash for y'all. The only thing keeping from me taking Michigan is the new freshman starting QB, so you all should be good on that one also.

NC -3  1*
Miami +6  1*
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6104 on: December 28, 2013, 01:57:18 pm »

I also figured you people on ND needed some help, so I went ahead and put down the following.

Rutgers ML +300  1*
Rutgers +6.5  1*
over 43.5  1*
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6105 on: December 28, 2013, 02:15:44 pm »

Barring a defensive score Irish likely don't cover.  Shame too cause should be up 20 plus at this point. Very sloppy against a horrible Rutgers team.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6106 on: December 28, 2013, 02:19:45 pm »

Well there's the int. now need them to rip off a long TD run.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6107 on: December 28, 2013, 02:25:52 pm »

Barring a defensive score Irish likely don't cover.  Shame too cause should be up 20 plus at this point. Very sloppy against a horrible Rutgers team.

You didn't calculate the effect my bet had on Rutgers. As soon as I got confirmation, Rutgers was doomed.
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6108 on: December 28, 2013, 02:28:36 pm »

Playing Michigan +7 and Louisville -5.5 today.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6109 on: December 28, 2013, 02:44:32 pm »

I also figured you people on ND needed some help, so I went ahead and put down the following.

Rutgers ML +300  1*
Rutgers +6.5  1*
over 43.5  1*



Dude that's rough!
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6110 on: December 28, 2013, 02:59:12 pm »


Dude that's rough!

And I didn't even help yall since the line was ND -14. We all lost.

Except for that over.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6111 on: December 28, 2013, 03:04:04 pm »

And I didn't even help yall since the line was ND -14. We all lost.

Except for that over.


Lol I know.  At least the Heels are looking good early.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6112 on: December 28, 2013, 03:05:06 pm »

Lol I know.  At least the Heels are looking good early.

Give them time. I have no doubt they will collapse since I bet on them.
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6113 on: December 28, 2013, 03:26:55 pm »

I have been looking for a reason to throw some units at Louisville over Miami like y'all are saying, came close to pulling the trigger, at first glance it sounds good but at closer glance it looks a little weird.

I did watch Miami get dismantled by Duke (& lost $ on it)...but other than that I'm not seeing the appeal here. Louisville has been awful ATS...this is in Florida.

Miami ATS ain't much better, but I think they have played a much tougher schedule, as most would agree Louisville's schedule is a joke...and they haven't exactly blown a lot of teams out this year. Their last 3 games against weak opponents have been decided by 7 points.

I'm not saying it's a bad bet, I was just curious to the thinking behind it.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6114 on: December 28, 2013, 03:30:09 pm »

Just to be sure that all of you win your Cincy bets, I just added this:

NC -17.5  1*

Your welcome.
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6115 on: December 28, 2013, 03:32:22 pm »

Just to be sure that all of you win your Cincy bets, I just added this:

NC -17.5  1*

Your welcome.
May very well be a good bet. This looks like a mismatch to me talent wise across the board. What did u get that at +300 or something?
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6116 on: December 28, 2013, 03:43:35 pm »

In case anyone was on the over, I just bet:

NC v Cincy u62.5  1*

so your over should hit by about the middle of the 3rd qtr.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6117 on: December 28, 2013, 03:51:07 pm »

May very well be a good bet. This looks like a mismatch to me talent wise across the board. What did u get that at +300 or something?

Nah, after they went up 23-3, 17.5 was the in-game line sportsbook was offering. It was -110 like normal.
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6118 on: December 28, 2013, 03:59:38 pm »

Nah, after they went up 23-3, 17.5 was the in-game line sportsbook was offering. It was -110 like normal.

I have never bet an in game line so wasn't sure how that worked. I do bet 2nd half lines though. Right now Heels -.5 looks pretty enticing.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6119 on: December 28, 2013, 04:13:58 pm »

I have never bet an in game line so wasn't sure how that worked. I do bet 2nd half lines though. Right now Heels -.5 looks pretty enticing.


I can only speak for sportsbook, but all my in-game bets are just like any other bet as far as the juice. Sometimes they fluctuate when one side is really getting hammered. Earlier one of the best I made was -130, but that is the highest I've ever paid.

I just added

2h UNC +.5  1*

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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6120 on: December 28, 2013, 05:29:39 pm »

Just boosted my k-st play to a dime.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6121 on: December 28, 2013, 05:36:42 pm »

Holy Jeezus. Just went 4-0 on one game. Which means I will lose my next 12 or so.

I might stay away from Mich v Ks St until the 2nd qtr or so. I have no read on this game, but I still lean Mich. Which bodes well for you Jeff.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6122 on: December 28, 2013, 05:51:27 pm »

I'm thinking that this Louisville and Miami game is going to be one of the best games this bowl season.

I'm also adding

Miami v Louisville o60.5  1*

I was too slow on the trigger and the game kicked off before I could confirm. I'm sure there will be an in game line shortly that I'll jump on.
 
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6123 on: December 28, 2013, 07:44:17 pm »

Added:

2h Louisville -4  1*
Louisville -27.5  1*
Louisville -27  1*
under 51.5 1*


« Last Edit: December 28, 2013, 08:52:13 pm by WILL CLINTON »
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6124 on: December 28, 2013, 09:19:35 pm »

Ehhh...2-2-1 in the last game...better than 0-5.

Michigan +7  1*
Michigan v Kansas St o52.5  1*
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6125 on: December 28, 2013, 10:31:51 pm »

Hedging

Kansas St -17.5  2*
2h Kansas St -3  1*
2h KSU v Mich o24.5  1*
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6126 on: December 29, 2013, 12:31:16 am »

Anyone want to throw a guess out there why Michigan went for 2 there?

I hate to be a conspiracy theorist, but the final in-game line was 17.5, the 2h line was KSU -3 (it finished at 2). Coincidence?

Looks like I was seeing into the future with this
Ehhh...2-2-1 in the last game...better than 0-5.

Went 0-5 in the KSU v Mich game to finish 7-9-1 today for a bowl season record of 17-25-1. Absolutely atrocious.

I'm seriously embarrassed, not because of the number of bets I'm betting, but for my percentage and losses, and I hope you all are fading me so you can make some doe this bowl season.



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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6127 on: December 29, 2013, 07:11:39 am »

I think the Duke-Texas A&M game may end up being more interesting than the point spread would indicate. This morning the line is A&M -12 with the total at 74-1/2.

Duke has scored one point for every 12.9 yards of offense while A&M has allowed one point for every 14.9 yards of total offense allowed.

A&M has scored one point for every 12.3 yards of total offense while Duke has allowed one point for every 16.5 yards of total offense allowed.

Average number of fumbles lost to fumbles recovered for each team are about even.

Duke will likely rush for more yards than A&M (nearly 200 to 180).

A&M should pass for around 300 compared to Duke's 240-250.

Both teams will likely throw 1 INT.

Neither team should have a problem scoring once in the RZ unless that is where their INT comes.

The biggest area of separation comes when you look at scoring offense vs. scoring defense.
Duke averages 31.6 pts per game while A&M allows 30.9 per game.
Dukes averages allowing 24.7 point per game while A&M averages scoring 43.6 points per game.

My head keeps telling me that A&M -12 is the pick, but the numbers I have ran make this look a lot closer like A&M 35 Duke 31.

What are you guys seeing?
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6128 on: December 29, 2013, 07:59:25 am »

No scientific data here, Musk:

My Ag in-laws think the Ags won't be as focused for this game as they should be. Sumlin may not allow that to happen, of course. But this season has been a big disappointment from where the Ags began the season ranked and their expectations. This bowl is a disappointment and Duke is an opponent whereby teams look at the name on the jersey instead of the collection of work in 2013 (ie  overlooked).
 
I like DU +13.5
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6129 on: December 29, 2013, 09:27:43 am »

Anyone want to throw a guess out there why Michigan went for 2 there?

I hate to be a conspiracy theorist, but the final in-game line was 17.5, the 2h line was KSU -3 (it finished at 2). Coincidence?

Looks like I was seeing into the future with this
Went 0-5 in the KSU v Mich game to finish 7-9-1 today for a bowl season record of 17-25-1. Absolutely atrocious.

I'm seriously embarrassed, not because of the number of bets I'm betting, but for my percentage and losses, and I hope you all are fading me so you can make some doe this bowl season.





I love a good gambling conspiracy theory as much as the next guy, but not when it comes to in game betting. 
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6130 on: December 29, 2013, 09:38:07 am »

Well went 2-2 yesterday, bit the good kind of 2-2

Lost a 3 unit game and a 2 unit game while hitting two dime plays.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6131 on: December 29, 2013, 09:47:33 am »

Packers -2 / 3 units

Steelers -6.5 / dime play. Bought half point here.

Skins +3.5 / 3 units

Jets +7 3 units

Pats -7 / dime play
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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6132 on: December 29, 2013, 11:11:45 am »

No scientific data here, Musk:

My Ag in-laws think the Ags won't be as focused for this game as they should be. Sumlin may not allow that to happen, of course. But this season has been a big disappointment from where the Ags began the season ranked and their expectations. This bowl is a disappointment and Duke is an opponent whereby teams look at the name on the jersey instead of the collection of work in 2013 (ie  overlooked).
 
I like DU +13.5

And all of that may very well be enough reason for A&M to underachieve/underperform in this game.
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6133 on: December 29, 2013, 11:15:30 am »

Man I love the Vikings today. Started -3 now at +1 they have actually been playing well and the Lions are doing their usual collapse.  I think the Vikings win by 7-10.

I am going 5 units on it.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6134 on: December 29, 2013, 11:15:58 am »

Steelers up to 9.5 glad I got on it early jeff.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6135 on: December 29, 2013, 11:20:11 am »

Man I love the Vikings today. Started -3 now at +1 they have actually been playing well and the Lions are doing their usual collapse.  I think the Vikings win by 7-10.

I am going 5 units on it.
Peterson is doubtful. Foot and groin issues.
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6136 on: December 29, 2013, 11:30:03 am »

Yeah I don't think it matters.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6137 on: December 29, 2013, 11:56:34 am »

Steelers up to 9.5 glad I got on it early jeff.

I got Jeff's picks except Pitt, who had jumped to the 9.5-10 range on my books by 11:45 when I started placing his picks.

Adding SF +3, 1u
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6138 on: December 29, 2013, 12:40:10 pm »

I love a good gambling conspiracy theory as much as the next guy, but not when it comes to in game betting. 

I was half joking. I hate it when things like that happen. I'd rather lose by 20 than lose by a point or less with something suspicious happening. Even though I "know" nothing hokey happened, it's hard not to think about it.

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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6139 on: December 29, 2013, 02:50:17 pm »

Late Games

Pats  -7  1 unit
Denver -10 2 units
Seattle/Rams   over 41 2 units
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6140 on: December 29, 2013, 03:16:36 pm »

49'ers +3 
Pats -7.5
Broncos -11
Chiefs +14
Eagles -7
Packers -3
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6141 on: December 29, 2013, 06:45:13 pm »

Nice NFL day 3-1 up 6 units. 

Adding Eagles -7 for 3 units. 
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6142 on: December 29, 2013, 06:54:52 pm »

Great, I can go 5-0 picking NFL games but can't get to .500 in college.

Wow.
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Spikes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6143 on: December 29, 2013, 06:59:28 pm »

Great job guys!!! Let's finish tonight off with a bang!!
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6144 on: December 29, 2013, 07:18:55 pm »

Jeff made me some good money this weekend... hate that a stupid missed fg keeps pitt out of the playoffs though.
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StuartDavin

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6145 on: December 29, 2013, 07:39:46 pm »

Jeff made me some good money this weekend... hate that a stupid missed fg keeps pitt out of the playoffs though.

Not sure i've ever posted in this thread, but I have to second this. Between his plays yesterday and his two dime plays today, I have about two car payments in my pocket. Very nice little run.
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Spikes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6146 on: December 29, 2013, 09:01:40 pm »

Jeff is the man, esp his dime plays!!! Oh those dime plays!!! $$$
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6147 on: December 29, 2013, 09:04:24 pm »

Not playing it but the Eagles -3 would be my 2nd half play. 
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6148 on: December 29, 2013, 10:40:50 pm »

Great, I can go 5-0 picking NFL games but can't get to .500 in college.

Wow.

5-1. I don't even know what to say.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #6149 on: December 29, 2013, 11:03:06 pm »

Not sure i've ever posted in this thread, but I have to second this. Between his plays yesterday and his two dime plays today, I have about two car payments in my pocket. Very nice little run.

welcome! you should stick around, we need more folks.
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