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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 327385 times)

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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5950 on: December 07, 2013, 02:43:13 pm »

Went 2-4 on the UCF v SMU game, then went 4-0 on the Rice v Marshall game. split the Ok St game 1-1 for a 7-5 start to the day. Combined with my 0-3 on Cincy game and then 5-0 on Bowling green, I'm 12-8 for the week.

Edit: As I was typing this, OU got a pick-6 to blow the under to take me down to 11-9 on the week, and 6-6 today.

Baylor -17  1* 

Since OU won, if Baylor wins they go to a BCS bowl. I expect them to come out gunning.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5951 on: December 07, 2013, 03:04:15 pm »

Added:
Baylor -15.5  1*
Auburn +2  1*
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5952 on: December 07, 2013, 04:21:20 pm »

Added:

2h Texas +7.5  1*
2h Texas v Baylor u32.5  1*
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5953 on: December 07, 2013, 06:02:34 pm »

Stanford +3  1*
Rutgers -4  1*
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5954 on: December 07, 2013, 09:04:04 pm »

Fresno St -2.5  1*
2h Duke +14.5  1*
2h Mich St +5.5  1*
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5955 on: December 07, 2013, 09:06:04 pm »

Stanford -13.5  1*
Stanford v Ariz St u62.5  1*
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hollywood hog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5956 on: December 07, 2013, 09:56:00 pm »

I hear ya, but gotta call them like I see them my man.

This is not the game for your luck to start leveling out.  GO SPARTANS!!!  They'll probably get a safety and lose by 5 here. 
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hollywood hog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5957 on: December 07, 2013, 10:47:40 pm »

Yes!!!  nice dime play jeff
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hollywood hog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5958 on: December 07, 2013, 10:58:47 pm »

I'm actually impressed by the Big 10 not protecting Ohio State here.  A lot of calls went to the booth that they coulda screwed MSU on, but they didn't.  Hats off to the Big 10 for that. 
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5959 on: December 07, 2013, 11:07:51 pm »

Yes!!!  nice dime play jeff

Thanks man. My dime and dime plus plays have been strong most all year.  Has really helped out since my percentages haven't been quite as high as I would like with my smaller plays.
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HogFanatic

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5960 on: December 08, 2013, 04:43:56 am »

There was never any doubt in my mind that Michigan State was gonne take that game.
I actually expected them to win by more than 10.

Good day of football. Missed my Mizzou over Auburn pick.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5961 on: December 08, 2013, 09:28:52 am »

Saints
Steelers
NY Jets
Philly
Chiefs

All the above at -3 all for 3 units

Remove Jets and took the other four in a parlay for one unit.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5962 on: December 08, 2013, 10:24:41 am »

thanks jeff!
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5963 on: December 08, 2013, 12:08:28 pm »

You NFL guys should check the weather and bet the unders in the snow bowls today. Dumping in Philly.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5964 on: December 08, 2013, 02:02:56 pm »

You NFL guys should check the weather and bet the unders in the snow bowls today. Dumping in Philly.

Looks freakin' awesome. I can't get enough of seeing football in that kind of weather.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5965 on: December 08, 2013, 03:31:05 pm »

You NFL guys should check the weather and bet the unders in the snow bowls today. Dumping in Philly.

You see they combined for like 54 in that one and 55 in skins game. 
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5966 on: December 08, 2013, 04:58:53 pm »

You see they combined for like 54 in that one and 55 in skins game. 
Looking at the closing lines, looks like vegas checked the weather before figuring those totals. The only under, at Tampa. Go figure. Glad I don't do the NFL. 
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5967 on: December 08, 2013, 06:42:38 pm »

Boosting my saints play to 5 units.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5968 on: December 08, 2013, 08:05:21 pm »

Auburn -1.5  2* W +$41
Mich St +6  2* W +$41
Duke +29  2* L -$45
Cincy +3  1*  L -$22
Cincy ML  1* L -$22
Cincy v Louisville under 50  1* L -$22
Bowling Green -4.5  1*  W +$20
Bowling Green -3  2* W +$41
Over 70.5  1* W +$20
over 69.5  2* W +$41
2h Bowling Green +4.5  1* W +$20
UCF -14  1* L -$22
SMU +4.5  1* W +$20
SMU +3.5  1* L -$22
SMU ML 1* L -$22
UCF v SMU u44.5  1* W +$20
Rice +7  1* W +$20
Rice -4.5  1* W +$20
rice v Marshall u 65.5  1* W +$20
Rice v Marshall u 70.5  1* W +$20
Oklahoma St -10  1* L -$22
Ok St v OU u 53.5  1* L -$22
Auburn +1.5  2* W +41
SMU ML +300.  1* L -$22
Baylor -17  1* W +$20
Baylor -15.5  1* W +$20
Auburn +2  1* W +$20
2h Texas +7.5  1* L -$22
2h Texas v Baylor u32.5  1* L -$22
Stanford +3  1* W +$20
Rutgers -4  1* W  +$20
Fresno St -2.5  1* W +$20
2h Duke +14.5  1* L -$22
2h Mich St +5.5  1* W +$20
Stanford -13.5  1* W +$20
Stanford v Ariz St u62.5  1* W +$20
*2h Aub v Mizzou u34  1* L-$22
*2h Auburn -2  1* W +$20
*Texas v Baylor u42.5  1* W+$20
*Mizzou v Auburn o87.5  1* W +$20
*Texas v Baylor u48.5  1* W +$20
*Texas v Baylor u50.5  1* W +$20   
*Texas ML +$555  1* L -$22

*-I don’t know how, but I only entered these last 7 bets on Facebook instead of on here. I have that proof I can show anyone who is interested, or I can show my bet ticket if anyone still doesn’t believe me.

Weely Record:
28-15  65%  +$312

Overall Record:
173-156-9 (53%)  $720  -76% ROI

Well, it was one helluva weekend for me. 2 out of the 3 bets I placed last Sunday hit, and I hit multiple bets on almost every game. The only ones I blanked were Ok St and Cincy. Getting geared up and ready for Bowl Season. I saw the matchups earlier and I can’t wait to see all the lines.

I’m already on
FSU -8  2*
FSU v Auburn o65  2*
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5969 on: December 08, 2013, 09:33:46 pm »

Auburn -1.5  2* W +$41
Mich St +6  2* W +$41
Duke +29  2* L -$45
Cincy +3  1*  L -$22
Cincy ML  1* L -$22
Cincy v Louisville under 50  1* L -$22
Bowling Green -4.5  1*  W +$20
Bowling Green -3  2* W +$41
Over 70.5  1* W +$20
over 69.5  2* W +$41
2h Bowling Green +4.5  1* W +$20
UCF -14  1* L -$22
SMU +4.5  1* W +$20
SMU +3.5  1* L -$22
SMU ML 1* L -$22
UCF v SMU u44.5  1* W +$20
Rice +7  1* W +$20
Rice -4.5  1* W +$20
rice v Marshall u 65.5  1* W +$20
Rice v Marshall u 70.5  1* W +$20
Oklahoma St -10  1* L -$22
Ok St v OU u 53.5  1* L -$22
Auburn +1.5  2* W +41
SMU ML +300.  1* L -$22
Baylor -17  1* W +$20
Baylor -15.5  1* W +$20
Auburn +2  1* W +$20
2h Texas +7.5  1* L -$22
2h Texas v Baylor u32.5  1* L -$22
Stanford +3  1* W +$20
Rutgers -4  1* W  +$20
Fresno St -2.5  1* W +$20
2h Duke +14.5  1* L -$22
2h Mich St +5.5  1* W +$20
Stanford -13.5  1* W +$20
Stanford v Ariz St u62.5  1* W +$20
*2h Aub v Mizzou u34  1* L-$22
*2h Auburn -2  1* W +$20
*Texas v Baylor u42.5  1* W+$20
*Mizzou v Auburn o87.5  1* W +$20
*Texas v Baylor u48.5  1* W +$20
*Texas v Baylor u50.5  1* W +$20   
*Texas ML +$555  1* L -$22

*-I don’t know how, but I only entered these last 7 bets on Facebook instead of on here. I have that proof I can show anyone who is interested, or I can show my bet ticket if anyone still doesn’t believe me.

Weely Record:
28-15  65%  +$312

Overall Record:
173-156-9 (53%)  $720  -76% ROI

Well, it was one helluva weekend for me. 2 out of the 3 bets I placed last Sunday hit, and I hit multiple bets on almost every game. The only ones I blanked were Ok St and Cincy. Getting geared up and ready for Bowl Season. I saw the matchups earlier and I can’t wait to see all the lines.

I’m already on
FSU -8  2*
FSU v Auburn o65  2*


Lol WTH Will
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5970 on: December 08, 2013, 09:44:13 pm »

At least Will seems to be enjoying his sickness.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5971 on: December 09, 2013, 07:49:14 am »

Lol he certainly does.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5972 on: December 09, 2013, 02:08:35 pm »

Bowl games that pop out at me, a lot of favorites:

ECU -13.5
A&M -13
Bama -16.5
OSU -3
Ball St. -8
AUB +7.5
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5973 on: December 09, 2013, 02:24:30 pm »

Like TT +13 too
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The Hogfather

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5974 on: December 09, 2013, 02:33:47 pm »

I cannot for the life of me figure out why Auburn would be a 7+ point underdog to FSU.  I feel like the books are begging for Auburn money at that price.  It feels like a trap to take Auburn.  Seems waaaaay too easy.  I might have to take FSU, especially if I can get them under a TD.
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The Hogfather

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5975 on: December 09, 2013, 02:39:09 pm »

I feel like the Over is a play as well.  Only thing that scares me about that is a repeat of what happened to Oregon when they played Scam and the Tigers.  Both teams came out cold and basically cost the Over bettors.  I feel like Winston could get rattled on the big stage and not be able to recover.  He got rattled against Duke early and was horrible for awhile.  They were able to overcome that against a team like Duke.  Against Auburn, if he struggles like that in the 1st quarter, they may be spotting Auburn 21 points and be trying to play catch-up for the remainder of the game.  That plays into Auburn's hands perfectly.  Also, FSU hasn't had to face adversity yet.  If Auburn gets a big lead early, FSU might just fold up like a cheap suit.

I haven't made my final decisions yet.  Just my initial thoughts.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5976 on: December 09, 2013, 02:51:03 pm »

I'm looking forward to hearing Jeff's strategy on bowl game betting
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5977 on: December 09, 2013, 03:15:30 pm »

Without comparing the defenses FSU has faced vs the offenses AUB has faced it's easy to think FSU will cover because that what the numbers point to. Understanding the levels of competition each of these teams have faced is key. AUB has the 7th best redzone D in the nation by the way.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5978 on: December 09, 2013, 03:56:15 pm »

I'm looking forward to hearing Jeff's strategy on bowl game betting

Check out my profit from last years bowl season.  It's posted in this thread somewhere.

Will provide what some of the things I look for are soon.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5979 on: December 09, 2013, 03:57:53 pm »

I'm looking forward to hearing Jeff's strategy on bowl game betting

FYI went 4-5 on Sunday.  If you are following we have both been making money every week it seems for quite some time now.  Had a few very rough weeks early on though.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5980 on: December 09, 2013, 04:08:09 pm »

FYI went 4-5 on Sunday.  If you are following we have both been making money every week it seems for quite some time now.  Had a few very rough weeks early on though.

I am making a little. If I were able to change my unit sizes and follow yours consistently I'd be making a lot more. unfortunately I don't scale mine as well as you so I end up getting smaller returns in the end proportional to my units.

probably going to up the ante during bowl season though since there's fewer games.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5981 on: December 09, 2013, 06:05:40 pm »

I am making a little. If I were able to change my unit sizes and follow yours consistently I'd be making a lot more. unfortunately I don't scale mine as well as you so I end up getting smaller returns in the end proportional to my units.

probably going to up the ante during bowl season though since there's fewer games.

The one thing I always say about bowl games. No matter how much you like a line you don't want to jump on it early!
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Spikes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5982 on: December 09, 2013, 06:17:00 pm »

Jeff

Amazing weekend brother!!

You have any insight for the game tonight or you passing?

Spikes
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5983 on: December 09, 2013, 06:55:41 pm »

Jeff

Amazing weekend brother!!

You have any insight for the game tonight or you passing?

Spikes

Thanks man.  Tonight ugh!  I am making a 3 unit play on over 49.  I know it's gonna be bitter cold, but still like the over.  Not playing the point spread either way though.  Got no clue. Two very inconsistent teams. 
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5984 on: December 09, 2013, 07:08:35 pm »

Chi  pk  1u....and Jeff's pick but at 48.
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Spikes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5985 on: December 09, 2013, 07:08:37 pm »

Thanks man.  Tonight ugh!  I am making a 3 unit play on over 49.  I know it's gonna be bitter cold, but still like the over.  Not playing the point spread either way though.  Got no clue. Two very inconsistent teams. 

Sounds good
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5986 on: December 09, 2013, 07:16:20 pm »

Sounds good


Just keep in mind. This time of year for me a 3 unit pick is like a 1 unit pick for me earlier in the season. I like it, but not jumping all over it.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5987 on: December 09, 2013, 07:17:00 pm »

Chi  pk  1u....and Jeff's pick but at 48.

Good luck Bud. Hope you hit them both!
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5988 on: December 09, 2013, 07:26:41 pm »

Good luck Bud. Hope you hit them both!

Gracias, back at ya.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5989 on: December 09, 2013, 07:29:28 pm »

i took the lolboys at +2 2units
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Spikes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5990 on: December 09, 2013, 08:14:56 pm »

Just keep in mind. This time of year for me a 3 unit pick is like a 1 unit pick for me earlier in the season. I like it, but not jumping all over it.

10-4
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5991 on: December 10, 2013, 11:27:43 am »

Way to go guys! Nice end to an already great week !!!
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Spikes

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5992 on: December 10, 2013, 09:56:39 pm »

Thanks again Jeff

+1
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5993 on: December 10, 2013, 10:16:03 pm »

Don't mean to be a dick, but I really am pretty good!
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5996 on: December 11, 2013, 12:43:51 pm »

I gave bookmaker a hard time last week when they insisted on charging me for a withdrawal, so I figure that I at least owe them a somewhat positive report for getting the check to me sooner than I expected.  Even though I requested the payout past their cut-off time last Tuesday, the check arrived within a week. 
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5997 on: December 12, 2013, 09:09:44 am »

The Las Vegas Hotel says it had 14 bettors who placed a bet on Auburn to win it all at 1,000-1 odds. A spokesman for Sportsbook.com said it had two bettors who threw down $100 at 1,000-1 odds.

http://espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/id/10120901/auburn-tigers-fan-made-100-bet-win-national-title-500-1-odds#comments

Ok, I know this topic has been discussed thoroughly but this seems like a catch 22 situation for these two guys on sportsbook.com.  If they are from the U.S., and if they win, do they pay the taxes and risk arrest for online gambling or, do they not report it and risk arrest for tax fraud? This is not like winning a couple of hundred bucks gambling online. This is getting into big money.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5998 on: December 12, 2013, 10:36:07 am »

The Las Vegas Hotel says it had 14 bettors who placed a bet on Auburn to win it all at 1,000-1 odds. A spokesman for Sportsbook.com said it had two bettors who threw down $100 at 1,000-1 odds.

http://espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/id/10120901/auburn-tigers-fan-made-100-bet-win-national-title-500-1-odds#comments

Ok, I know this topic has been discussed thoroughly but this seems like a catch 22 situation for these two guys on sportsbook.com.  If they are from the U.S., and if they win, do they pay the taxes and risk arrest for online gambling or, do they not report it and risk arrest for tax fraud? This is not like winning a couple of hundred bucks gambling online. This is getting into big money.

Leave it in sportsbook and take withdrawals under the 10k limit until it runs out.
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5999 on: December 12, 2013, 10:59:19 am »

Leave it in sportsbook and take withdrawals under the 10k limit until it runs out.
Yes, but I believe you owe the taxes on the full amount in the year that you win it. If a person were to get audited, would the IRS just take the info that you provided on the amount you won or would they want something official from sportsbook? And with sportsbook being offshore, they don't have to report anything.
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