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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 341587 times)

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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5150 on: October 11, 2013, 09:55:59 pm »

Taking Troy over Georgia State at -16.5

First year in the Sun belt for gstate, averaging 14 pts a game and 300 yards of offense. Troy is averaging almost 35 and has a good senior qb.

Georgia state looked like a junior high team against bama last week. Theyre tiny and slow. I know troy is far from bama but I think this one is ugly.

Im going 2 units on troy


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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5151 on: October 11, 2013, 10:34:49 pm »

Two LONG pass plays called back for holding.  Ref doesn't want Cincy to cover.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5152 on: October 12, 2013, 04:49:24 am »

MAN I hate 11:20 kick-offs.  I've been up since 4:00, just got the ribs on the smoker, and will be up a little longer while I get the temperature dialed in. 
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5153 on: October 12, 2013, 06:28:48 am »

Finally got in that last power ranking.  It didn't add much to what I had already decided on, so I'll probably just ride with what I have (and possibly tail Jeff on a play or two).  I like that, even though I was giving up a lot of points, all but one of the picks got hammered after I made the play.  Good luck to everyone!  Time to get a nap while the ribs & smoker do their thing.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5154 on: October 12, 2013, 06:40:36 am »

MAN I hate 11:20 kick-offs.

Agreed. I don't sleep well the night before Hog games, and last night was no exception. Now I'm prepping to make the trip to Fayetteville for this hated kick-off time, feeling exhausted. Didn't help that I watched the Cards game till conclusion either.
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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5155 on: October 12, 2013, 07:34:34 am »

I'm seeing -10.5, lots of money just came in on Texas within the last few hours. Those are always hard to tell. Could be injury, sharp money, or a head fake to get better line on OU.

-10.5 leaves many options for a tease open. It would be great if it hit 10, but it could turn around too.

I like the 1st half play on OU of -6.5 play with the line drop.

You guys are braver than I am. I know what all of the analysis says and chances of rain are reduced to 30% throughout the game. Wind out of the SSW at 7 mph, so not significant.

The bad thing about this game is not only the fact that it is an annual rivalry game between two schools that hate each other, but rumors are flying that if Mack Brown loses this game, and especially if they get blown out, that he will be canned. You know the players are hearing that too and while Mack may have lost his edge, he is still a revered Texas icon so you never know if these kids end up playing inspired and well above their heads (or at least up to their actual talent levels) and keep this game very close.

I don't see any inbetween here. This is either a very close game or Oklahoma completely blows them off the field. Neither outcome would surprise me. Problem is, we don't know which is going to happen. This is perhaps a game that is lot less reliably predicted than others.
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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5156 on: October 12, 2013, 08:53:49 am »

I post on SBR from time to time (different username), and while 90% of it is BS, there are some really smart people on there, you just have to find them.

I'm on A&M and The Cocks.
I'll take less than a TD with superior teams and although A&M has a weak defense, that doesn't bother me one bit and Ole Miss has LSU next week, while A&M has a fun loving Auburn team, which should be a barn burner for points.
Sometimes is just comes down to your gut, but both A&M and USC-East are the better teams than their competition.
The Boise St is another one that I don't understand. You can't lose your darkhorse Heisman QB and expect to compete. The same thing applies here, better team and a TD or less to cover.


I think A&M -6 @ Ole Miss is a good play. I've got them by at least 7 to 8 points.

S. Carolina -6 @ Arkansas is a shaky play but it all depends on the play of our QB. If Casey Dick, errr, I mean Brandon Allen can complete 58% to 60% of his passes, I think Arkansas beats S. Carolina. S. Carolina's pass efficiency defense is ranked #104...worse than ours if that is possible. If Allen can consistently hit some throws and gain some passing yardage, that is going to keep S. Carolina from loading up on our offensive line which is important considering that their front 7 is about on the same level with ours. If Allen throws like he has the last couple of weeks, S. Carolina will cover the point spread.

Difficult game to pick.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5157 on: October 12, 2013, 09:03:37 am »

Gonna be a great day boys....

Nebraska -14   7 units

Ms. State -11.  3 units

Ole miss +7.5. 1 unit
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5158 on: October 12, 2013, 09:05:50 am »

Finally got in that last power ranking.  It didn't add much to what I had already decided on, so I'll probably just ride with what I have (and possibly tail Jeff on a play or two).  I like that, even though I was giving up a lot of points, all but one of the picks got hammered after I made the play.  Good luck to everyone!  Time to get a nap while the ribs & smoker do their thing.

Get some Q-view please
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nughaud

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5159 on: October 12, 2013, 09:49:53 am »

Looks like the OU line was just a head fake. The 1st half is now -7, glad I took some -6.5 last night and the overline line is moving back up from a low of -10.5, from yesterday evening.

Right now the line is back to -12 this morning, which seems to indicate that it was just either a large bettor, or a head fake to get more money on OU under -14. I still like OU teased down below a TD and while the 1st half is -7 that still might be good.

I believe OU has outscored their opponents 57-0 in the 2nd quarter, so that might be something to look at if you play those.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5160 on: October 12, 2013, 10:13:19 am »

Florida +7.5 / 5 units
Baylor -17 / 5 units
Indiana +10.5 / 5 units
Iowa St +15 / 5 units.

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nughaud

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5161 on: October 12, 2013, 10:33:24 am »

BM has OU -3 (-119), was (-115) 1st quarter. Everywhere else it's -3.5

5Dimes has Baylor -10 (-115) 1st half - Still checking but probably -10.5 elsewhere
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5162 on: October 12, 2013, 10:34:39 am »

Florida +7.5 / 5 units
Baylor -17 / 5 units
Indiana +10.5 / 5 units
Iowa St +15 / 5 units.



You're back! Good to see you.
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5163 on: October 12, 2013, 11:05:07 am »

YTD 28-30 -3 units

4 units
Michigan -2.5 L

3 units
A&M -6.5 L
Indiana +10 L

2 units
UGA -6 L
NW +10 L
1 unit
USC -5.5 W
Wyoming -13.5 L
Texas +14 W
Rutgers +20 W
« Last Edit: October 17, 2013, 01:55:45 pm by yraciv »
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5164 on: October 12, 2013, 11:08:04 am »

Really feeling good about my picks today. Michigan is a steal at 2.5.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5165 on: October 12, 2013, 12:01:45 pm »

Really feeling good about my picks today. Michigan is a steal at 2.5.

You have a good card
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5166 on: October 12, 2013, 12:04:19 pm »

Anybody like Teasers on here?  I've been successful going big on pairing two 6-7 point favorites teased to pick 'ems.  College and NFL.

This weeks is LSU and A&M straight up.
Anybody like Teasers on here?  I've been successful going big on pairing two 6-7 point favorites teased to pick 'ems.  College and NFL.

This weeks is LSU and A&M straight up.
Anybody like Teasers on here?  I've been successful going big on pairing two 6-7 point favorites teased to pick 'ems.  College and NFL.

This weeks is LSU and A&M straight up.

Personally I hate teasers.  The kind you are talking about I hate the most. You are teasing down two favorites of less than 7 or more.  What that tells me is either dog could win outright.  I actually like Florida to win this game, and ole miss may as well.
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UAstudent13

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5167 on: October 12, 2013, 12:04:30 pm »

YTD 26-24 +11 units

4 units
Michigan -2.5

3 units
A&M -6.5
Indiana +10

2 units
UGA -6
NW +10

1 unit
USC -7 W
Wyoming -13.5
Texas +14
Rutgers +20 W

Not to be picky or anything but isn't USC -7 a push? I was on the other side with Zona +7. I'm also on NW and Indiana as well with you.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5168 on: October 12, 2013, 12:05:56 pm »

You're back! Good to see you.

Thanks man.
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5169 on: October 12, 2013, 12:06:37 pm »

Not to be picky or anything but isn't USC -7 a push? I was on the other side with Zona +7. I'm also on NW and Indiana as well with you.

You are right. Misremembering back to Thur., but it was at 5.5 when I grabbed it.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5170 on: October 12, 2013, 12:07:48 pm »

Really feeling good about my picks today. Michigan is a steal at 2.5.

That game scares the hell out of me at Happy Valley.  Will be a white out and crazy crowd.  I don't like it enough either way to bet it, but I like a Penn St win in this one.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5171 on: October 12, 2013, 12:15:05 pm »

Recap of my card for this week.

Rutgers/Louisville Over 55½ 2*   L
New York Giants +9½  2*  W
Cincinnati U -20½  1*  L
Duke -3  2*
UCLA -25  2*
Bowling Green +11  1*
Ball State -14  2*
Oklahoma -11  2*
Texas A&M 1st Half -3  2*
Ball State 1st Half -7½  2*
Northern Illinois 1st Half -14  2*
UCLA 1st half -15  1*


Huge card for me today, but only a few games.
« Last Edit: October 12, 2013, 01:59:14 pm by WILL CLINTON »
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5172 on: October 12, 2013, 12:17:20 pm »

Florida +7.5 / 5 units
Baylor -17 / 5 units
Indiana +10.5 / 5 units
Iowa St +15 / 5 units.



I was wondering why I hadn't got a text yet. You're here already..

Nice to have you back. Good Luck today, glad we aren't on opposite sides on anything.

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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5173 on: October 12, 2013, 12:34:24 pm »

You guys are braver than I am. I know what all of the analysis says and chances of rain are reduced to 30% throughout the game. Wind out of the SSW at 7 mph, so not significant.

The bad thing about this game is not only the fact that it is an annual rivalry game between two schools that hate each other, but rumors are flying that if Mack Brown loses this game, and especially if they get blown out, that he will be canned. You know the players are hearing that too and while Mack may have lost his edge, he is still a revered Texas icon so you never know if these kids end up playing inspired and well above their heads (or at least up to their actual talent levels) and keep this game very close.

I don't see any inbetween here. This is either a very close game or Oklahoma completely blows them off the field. Neither outcome would surprise me. Problem is, we don't know which is going to happen. This is perhaps a game that is lot less reliably predicted than others.

Like I said. But I have to admit, I never saw this coming at half time of the game. Figured close, but not Texas handing OU their arse.
« Last Edit: October 12, 2013, 12:51:50 pm by MuskogeeHogFan »
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5174 on: October 12, 2013, 12:57:39 pm »

Boo Sips, booooooo
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5175 on: October 12, 2013, 12:59:50 pm »

Like I said. But I have to admit, I never saw this coming at half time of the game. Figured close, but not Texas handing OU their arse.

The either way thing you talked about is exactly why I will not play rivalry games. Numbers go out the window and all my plays are based on numbers.
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nughaud

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5176 on: October 12, 2013, 01:30:56 pm »

It's hard to say what OU did wrong, but play calling has been pretty bad, the early missed TD and just not being up and ready for the game. Texas was ready, had a plan and has been able to execute it.

Bell has looked horrible, and has been exposed as a passer.  OU can't stop the run and now after the punt return, OU looks like toast. They have to come out firing passes from here on out.

So far Cocks are blowing out the Hogs... no surprise, and QB and secondary play continue to be some of the worst in college.
Nebraska is handling Purdue with another bad line.
Let's see if A&M, Boise and Oregon St can finish it out.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5177 on: October 12, 2013, 01:44:39 pm »

Recap of my card for this week.

Rutgers/Louisville Over 55½ 2*   L
New York Giants +9½  2*  W
Cincinnati U -20½  1*  W
Duke -3  2*
UCLA -25  2*
Bowling Green +11  1*
Ball State -14  2*
Oklahoma -11  2*
Texas A&M 1st Half -3  2*
Ball State 1st Half -7½  2*
Northern Illinois 1st Half -14  2*
UCLA 1st half -15  1*


Huge card for me today, but only a few games.

Cinci didn't cover 20.5
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5178 on: October 12, 2013, 01:55:41 pm »

It's hard to say what OU did wrong, but play calling has been pretty bad, the early missed TD and just not being up and ready for the game. Texas was ready, had a plan and has been able to execute it.

Bell has looked horrible, and has been exposed as a passer.  OU can't stop the run and now after the punt return, OU looks like toast. They have to come out firing passes from here on out.

So far Cocks are blowing out the Hogs... no surprise, and QB and secondary play continue to be some of the worst in college.
Nebraska is handling Purdue with another bad line.
Let's see if A&M, Boise and Oregon St can finish it out.

I didn't play this game because I am a QB guy. OU is playing arguably the worstQB on their roster. Doesn't matter how bad Texas is. Make any team one deminsiinal and they become beatable.

Sad thing is I believe the hogs have a QB. But!
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5179 on: October 12, 2013, 01:58:59 pm »

Cinci didn't cover 20.5

You're right, don't know what I was looking at. Fixed.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5180 on: October 12, 2013, 02:00:11 pm »

FYI guys I'm back and thanks for the support. I will probably stick mostly to this thread alone.

I got clarification from a mod as to why I was banned. If true it's totally my fault. It was for telling cosmodrum to go blank himself. I used the letter F rather than the word, and seems it was typed sometime before the ban. I think maybe some went back I search and find a reason.

All that said its in the past and I don't want to do anything to hurt this thread so I am letting it go. I do believe a lot of it was from my dislike and being very outspoken about the BP fire and CBB hire.  I simply need to be more cautious. Good luck to all!
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5181 on: October 12, 2013, 02:00:51 pm »

I do wanna I told you so about hogs on many threads, but not going to!
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5182 on: October 12, 2013, 02:06:30 pm »

You're right, don't know what I was looking at. Fixed.


I missed on it too. Only reason I noticed. Haha
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nughaud

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5183 on: October 12, 2013, 02:10:04 pm »

Haha, it's not the starter for the Hogs I can tell you that. Maybe Peavy is the answer next year, or B. Allen's bro?

Bell was serviceable before the game, but he is scared and can't make a play to save himself this game. OU should be running more outside, but that's why Josh H. isn't a good play caller. He doesn't go with his strengths.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5184 on: October 12, 2013, 03:14:35 pm »

Just got Oregon -10.5 on an in-game line for 1*


And I'll be darned if Ball St isn't the most bipolar team I've ever seen. Kent St is HORRIBLE. Ball ST is tied at the half at 7.

AHHHHHHH!!!
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5185 on: October 12, 2013, 03:18:42 pm »

Went to confirm the LSU/Florida under 46.5 bet, and it had moved down to 44, so no bet for me.
« Last Edit: October 12, 2013, 04:24:22 pm by WILL CLINTON »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5186 on: October 12, 2013, 03:30:46 pm »

Haha, it's not the starter for the Hogs I can tell you that. Maybe Peavy is the answer next year, or B. Allen's bro?

Bell was serviceable before the game, but he is scared and can't make a play to save himself this game. OU should be running more outside, but that's why Josh H. isn't a good play caller. He doesn't go with his strengths.

Bell before this season was nothing more than a short yardage battering ram.  Has misses plenty of time this year as a starter as well. Terrible QB
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UAstudent13

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5187 on: October 12, 2013, 03:32:04 pm »

Baylor WRs dropped passes... Killer.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5188 on: October 12, 2013, 06:23:53 pm »

Ole Miss +8.5 / 10 unit dime play!
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5189 on: October 12, 2013, 06:30:57 pm »

Ole Miss +8.5 / 10 unit dime play!

wish i could get em at that, its still at +7 on mine
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5190 on: October 12, 2013, 06:32:45 pm »

wish i could get em at that, its still at +7 on mine


I had to call around to get that line my man.
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razorbacker231

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5191 on: October 12, 2013, 06:33:57 pm »

Phew.  Made out on my oregon -14.5. But it was sure scary
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5192 on: October 12, 2013, 06:43:01 pm »

i'd like to lay down one or 2 more this evening. thoughts?
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5193 on: October 12, 2013, 07:01:49 pm »

i'd like to lay down one or 2 more this evening. thoughts?

A&M! Conflicting board opinion on that one though. Like Boise a lot against Utah State, seeing as Utah State just lost their stud QB.
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nughaud

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5194 on: October 12, 2013, 07:09:30 pm »

Whoever gave you +8.5 isn't going to be around long. It's been 6.5/7 all day.
That would be a good play for a middle.

Speaking of SEC... Bama is sleepwalking through this 1st half up 3-0 with 10 mins in 2nd. Of course, as I say that they just catch a bomb @ the 1 yard line, about to be 10-0.

Stanford is behind against Utah 21-14 in the 3rd.
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razorbacker231

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5195 on: October 12, 2013, 08:05:56 pm »

A&M! Conflicting board opinion on that one though. Like Boise a lot against Utah State, seeing as Utah State just lost their stud QB.

I rolled my entire bankroll on AM Tonight.  Bought down to -6.5 tho
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5196 on: October 12, 2013, 08:24:53 pm »

I rolled my entire bankroll on AM Tonight.  Bought down to -6.5 tho

I hope you didn't really
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5197 on: October 12, 2013, 08:47:10 pm »

I hope you didn't really

This is the same guy who earlier today said he had Oregon -14.5 for all of his profits on the season. I sure hope he didn't bet his entire bankroll on A&M no matter how much I liked them.  We can't all be Floyd Mayweather!
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5198 on: October 12, 2013, 09:54:48 pm »

Added TAMU -3 2nd half  1* and under 60.5 in same game for 1*

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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5199 on: October 12, 2013, 10:09:42 pm »

Bad day, 2nd losing week of the season...will tally up records tomorrow. Did add OM +7.5.
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