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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 342084 times)

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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4600 on: September 24, 2013, 10:58:10 am »

I'm huge on Oregon and Baylor (I know they have the week off).
This will be Cal's first away game for a freshman QB.
Oregon and Ohio State have Cal in common. Everyone will be comparing scores similar to the Tenn game, If they both finish undefeated.
Oregon's Defense is better than most people think.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4601 on: September 24, 2013, 11:28:47 am »

I'm huge on Oregon and Baylor (I know they have the week off).
This will be Cal's first away game for a freshman QB.
Oregon and Ohio State have Cal in common. Everyone will be comparing scores similar to the Tenn game, If they both finish undefeated.
Oregon's Defense is better than most people think.

-36 is such a big number... Even if it is Oregon
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4602 on: September 24, 2013, 11:45:07 am »

Oregon/CAL total is 84 which tells me Vegas fully expects Oregon to cover. Cal isn't going to score more than 24.
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4603 on: September 24, 2013, 11:57:09 am »

Anyone have any faith in Clemson, after last weeks debacle, at home against Wake Forest?
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4604 on: September 24, 2013, 12:06:06 pm »

Anyone have any faith in Clemson, after last weeks debacle, at home against Wake Forest?

I think there are better options than laying 28 with a team who didn't necessarily play up to par last week. WF is terrible though. They can't move the ball which leads me to lean u58 a tad. Clemson should cover in my opinion, but its a lot of points for an offense that wasn't firing on all cylinders last week.   
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4605 on: September 24, 2013, 03:09:44 pm »

Anyone know why aggies had all the game time suspensions (6 I think) against Rice. Wondering if something like this may be brewing down there.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4606 on: September 24, 2013, 03:45:19 pm »

idk but I have locked in my first pick of the weekend.  Line was already jumping from -2 or so...


Navy -3 @ Western Kentucky -- 5*

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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4607 on: September 24, 2013, 03:48:07 pm »

just settled up with my guy. he was grinning ear to ear. got him to admit sunday was one of the biggest NFL days he's collected on.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4608 on: September 24, 2013, 03:54:10 pm »

idk but I have locked in my first pick of the weekend.  Line was already jumping from -2 or so...


Navy -3 @ Western Kentucky -- 5*



Wow, what is making you feel this strongly about this game? Not that I disagree with you, but it was really a no play for me so I would like to know your angle.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4609 on: September 24, 2013, 04:18:41 pm »

Wow, what is making you feel this strongly about this game? Not that I disagree with you, but it was really a no play for me so I would like to know your angle.

First off, when was the last time Petrino saw an offense like Navy's.  This game will be very difficult for the Hilltoppers to prepare for defensively.  Navy averaging 398yrds per game on offense, Hilltoppers lowing 200yrds per game on Defense.  This matchup alone does not bode well for Hilltoppers. 

Second, Navy coming off a bye week with much time to prepare for an offense similar to what they saw from Indiana.  Won't be new to their Navy's.  Also, Navy's best D may be their running game.  If they can establish long, clock eating drives on the ground it will keep Petrino's O off the field. 

Third, I'm just not that confident in Hilltoppers offense.  Their QB has thrown for 8 INTs in his last two full games.  Hilltoppers played W. Kentucky well but it was their first game and Bobby had plenty of time to gameplan for that game.  Not the case here.  Think this one is a blowout.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4610 on: September 24, 2013, 06:12:23 pm »

First off, when was the last time Petrino saw an offense like Navy's.  This game will be very difficult for the Hilltoppers to prepare for defensively.  Navy averaging 398yrds per game on offense, Hilltoppers lowing 200yrds per game on Defense.  This matchup alone does not bode well for Hilltoppers. 

Second, Navy coming off a bye week with much time to prepare for an offense similar to what they saw from Indiana.  Won't be new to their Navy's.  Also, Navy's best D may be their running game.  If they can establish long, clock eating drives on the ground it will keep Petrino's O off the field. 

Third, I'm just not that confident in Hilltoppers offense.  Their QB has thrown for 8 INTs in his last two full games.  Hilltoppers played W. Kentucky well but it was their first game and Bobby had plenty of time to gameplan for that game.  Not the case here.  Think this one is a blowout.

You may me right, and I have no plans to play it, but if I did I would bet on Petrino. I am picturing the strides Casey dick made weekly under Petrino. That said not planning to play it. That said hope you win it!
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4611 on: September 24, 2013, 07:33:17 pm »

First off, when was the last time Petrino saw an offense like Navy's.  This game will be very difficult for the Hilltoppers to prepare for defensively.  Navy averaging 398yrds per game on offense, Hilltoppers lowing 200yrds per game on Defense.  This matchup alone does not bode well for Hilltoppers. 

Second, Navy coming off a bye week with much time to prepare for an offense similar to what they saw from Indiana.  Won't be new to their Navy's.  Also, Navy's best D may be their running game.  If they can establish long, clock eating drives on the ground it will keep Petrino's O off the field. 

Third, I'm just not that confident in Hilltoppers offense.  Their QB has thrown for 8 INTs in his last two full games.  Hilltoppers played W. Kentucky well but it was their first game and Bobby had plenty of time to gameplan for that game.  Not the case here.  Think this one is a blowout.

nice breakdown, and I see the logic. Hope it pays out better than my 5* pick. lol  Good Luck
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4612 on: September 24, 2013, 07:36:47 pm »

Public is really on Ole Miss. Line is already at -15.5 from -17.

Georgia Tech line moved down a half point also.
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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4613 on: September 24, 2013, 07:42:50 pm »

Early Picks pending further evaluation:

LSU @ Georgia (-3) 61-1/2                           LSU +3

S. Carolina (-7) 53 @ UCF                             Over

Ole Miss @ Alabama (-15-1/2) 57                  Ole Miss +15-1/2

Oklahoma (-3-1/2) 48.5 @ Notre Dame         Oklahoma -3-1/2

What do you guys think of these?
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checkraiser88

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4614 on: September 24, 2013, 08:24:36 pm »

Everybody jump on the bandwagon for the over 42 points in the Georgia Tech/Virginia Tech game. Looking at those teams scoring totals on the season it should easily get above 42..
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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4615 on: September 24, 2013, 09:14:51 pm »

Everybody jump on the bandwagon for the over 42 points in the Georgia Tech/Virginia Tech game. Looking at those teams scoring totals on the season it should easily get above 42..

I agree that the Over might be a good pick, but I think that GT -7 might be a good pick as well.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4616 on: September 25, 2013, 12:01:15 am »

Here's what I've done so far:

GA Tech -6.5 (bought hook)  5 units
Oregon -36.5  2 units
Ball St. -1.5 (bought hook)  2 units
Missouri -20.5  (bought hook) 1 unit
Vandy -19.5   1 unit
Central FL  +8 (bought hook)  1 unit

There are all spreadsheet plays.  They all fell within a few small trends hitting at 80+% and within a few larger trends hitting at 60+%.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4617 on: September 25, 2013, 01:21:56 am »

I'm curious if any of you guys play any baseball? I know we typically only post about football for the purpose of this thread, but I've been playing bases all year and have had really good success. I find 1 game a day and play it hard and implement a modified martingale system if I lose. To this point I'm hitting over 60% and haven't had the system bust yet. I've only lost 3 in a row twice.

With that said, and With the playoffs around the corner, i would like to post my picks on here for you guys to  discuss or laugh at or give advice. So with your permission, I would like to do that and if anybody else plays, I'd love to hear your picks as well.

I love the MLB playoffs probably more than any sports postseason.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4618 on: September 25, 2013, 07:17:06 am »

I'm curious if any of you guys play any baseball? I know we typically only post about football for the purpose of this thread, but I've been playing bases all year and have had really good success. I find 1 game a day and play it hard and implement a modified martingale system if I lose. To this point I'm hitting over 60% and haven't had the system bust yet. I've only lost 3 in a row twice.

With that said, and With the playoffs around the corner, i would like to post my picks on here for you guys to  discuss or laugh at or give advice. So with your permission, I would like to do that and if anybody else plays, I'd love to hear your picks as well.

I love the MLB playoffs probably more than any sports postseason.

I play some bases as well. Hockey too actually.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4619 on: September 25, 2013, 08:36:22 am »


I love the MLB playoffs probably more than any sports postseason.

Agreed.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4620 on: September 25, 2013, 08:38:07 am »

For me it's the Hockey playoffs and not even close.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4621 on: September 25, 2013, 10:16:21 am »

no baseball here - hockey and football. 

Jeff didn't know you were a hockey fan as well.  Love me some hockey.  It's no football but it's my second favorite sport to watch on TV.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4622 on: September 25, 2013, 10:16:44 am »

what's everyone's take on the LSU @ Georgia Game? 

I tend to lean Georgia but I'm pretty torn.

LSU really didn't play Auburn that well after the 1st quarter.  It was a night game in death valley and LSU came out and jumped to a 14pt lead.  After that though, Auburn matched them for the final 3 quarters. 

I think Georgia can take this one at home but LSU does have a tendency to play up/down to competition.  Georgia defense not impressive, Mettenberger getting better and has two very good receivers and a good RB.  Georgia offense very good and LSU D not as strong as last season.

Tough one here.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4623 on: September 25, 2013, 10:46:26 am »

what's everyone's take on the LSU @ Georgia Game? 

I tend to lean Georgia but I'm pretty torn.

LSU really didn't play Auburn that well after the 1st quarter.  It was a night game in death valley and LSU came out and jumped to a 14pt lead.  After that though, Auburn matched them for the final 3 quarters. 

I think Georgia can take this one at home but LSU does have a tendency to play up/down to competition.  Georgia defense not impressive, Mettenberger getting better and has two very good receivers and a good RB.  Georgia offense very good and LSU D not as strong as last season.

Tough one here.

Sounds like you like the over more than anything.
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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4624 on: September 25, 2013, 10:49:28 am »

Early Picks pending further evaluation:

LSU @ Georgia (-3) 61-1/2                           LSU +3

S. Carolina (-7) 53 @ UCF                             Over

Ole Miss @ Alabama (-15-1/2) 57                  Ole Miss +15-1/2

Oklahoma (-3-1/2) 48.5 @ Notre Dame         Oklahoma -3-1/2

What do you guys think of these?

what's everyone's take on the LSU @ Georgia Game? 

I tend to lean Georgia but I'm pretty torn.

LSU really didn't play Auburn that well after the 1st quarter.  It was a night game in death valley and LSU came out and jumped to a 14pt lead.  After that though, Auburn matched them for the final 3 quarters. 

I think Georgia can take this one at home but LSU does have a tendency to play up/down to competition.  Georgia defense not impressive, Mettenberger getting better and has two very good receivers and a good RB.  Georgia offense very good and LSU D not as strong as last season.

Tough one here.

Here's mine at this point.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4625 on: September 25, 2013, 10:51:35 am »

muskogee why do you like LSU? 

and i'm starting to think S. Alabama may cover against Tennessee.  Tenner looked awful last week and have Georgia next weekend.  May be caught looking ahead.  Also, S. Alabama coming off a bye
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UAstudent13

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4626 on: September 25, 2013, 10:58:23 am »

Thoughts on OK State -18.5, Miami -18.5 and SC -7.5? Thinking Miami covers easily.. Opinions?
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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4627 on: September 25, 2013, 10:59:47 am »

muskogee why do you like LSU? 

and i'm starting to think S. Alabama may cover against Tennessee.  Tenner looked awful last week and have Georgia next weekend.  May be caught looking ahead.  Also, S. Alabama coming off a bye

I have a spread sheet that I run. Georgia generates more offense than LSU, but Georgia's defense isn't good. LSU has a much better offense this season and a really good defense. I think this line is upside down and unless there are LSU injuries or suspensions that are pending, I see this as more of a LSU -7 kind of game.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4628 on: September 25, 2013, 11:06:22 am »

I have a spread sheet that I run. Georgia generates more offense than LSU, but Georgia's defense isn't good. LSU has a much better offense this season and a really good defense. I think this line is upside down and unless there are LSU injuries or suspensions that are pending, I see this as more of a LSU -7 kind of game.

I agree 100%. LSU finally has an offense to go along with the athletes they possess on defense. LSU may be the SEC champs this year.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4629 on: September 25, 2013, 11:08:08 am »

Thoughts on OK State -18.5, Miami -18.5 and SC -7.5? Thinking Miami covers easily.. Opinions?

like the teams but hate taking three road favorites
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4630 on: September 25, 2013, 11:15:38 am »

Find myself agreeing with ya'll - taking LSU + 3 -- 3* for my second pick of the week.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4631 on: September 25, 2013, 11:39:15 am »

I have a spread sheet that I run. Georgia generates more offense than LSU, but Georgia's defense isn't good. LSU has a much better offense this season and a really good defense. I think this line is upside down and unless there are LSU injuries or suspensions that are pending, I see this as more of a LSU -7 kind of game.

I've capped this game at LSU -7 too. There's really no debate on which team has looked better thus far.

LSU- 34
UGA- 27
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4632 on: September 25, 2013, 11:52:14 am »

I've capped this game at LSU -7 too. There's really no debate on which team has looked better thus far.

LSU- 34
UGA- 27

i'm on it with ya'll.  LSU always shows up for big games too, and road games don't seem to bother them
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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4633 on: September 25, 2013, 11:55:39 am »

I've capped this game at LSU -7 too. There's really no debate on which team has looked better thus far.

LSU- 34
UGA- 27

I am projecting LSU 41-Georgia 28.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4634 on: September 25, 2013, 12:51:25 pm »

Thoughts on OK State -18.5, Miami -18.5 and SC -7.5? Thinking Miami covers easily.. Opinions?

I like Miami.  My gut says SC, but my spreadsheets have UCF +7.5 in a few different trends that have been hitting at over 70%, so I'd approach that one with caution.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4635 on: September 25, 2013, 12:59:22 pm »

i'm on it with ya'll.  LSU always shows up for big games too, and road games don't seem to bother them

I'm not on them quite yet. A little more research to be done.

I have added Wazzu +10 vs. Stanford.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4636 on: September 25, 2013, 12:59:53 pm »

Dad Vader, any thing hitting on your spreadsheet regarding Wazzu/Stanford?
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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4637 on: September 25, 2013, 01:17:05 pm »

I'm not on them quite yet. A little more research to be done.

I have added Wazzu +10 vs. Stanford.

Might be a good bet, but it is a risk.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4638 on: September 25, 2013, 01:23:15 pm »

Might be a good bet, but it is a risk.

It's a small play, meant to put 1 unit out to the side.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4639 on: September 25, 2013, 01:26:35 pm »

Official Picks for Weekend of 9/28:


Navy -3 @ Western Kentucky -- 5*

LSU +3 @ Georgia -- 3*

Vanderbilt -19.5 vs UAB -- 3*

Oklahoma State -18 @ WVU -- 3*

Florida -12.5 @ Kentucky -- 3*

Ole Miss @ Alabama Over 55.5 -- 2*

South Alabama +19.5 @ Tennessee -- 1*



Great weekend of football, have 20 units on the line (more than normal). Hopefully make up for last Sunday. Good luck this weekend everyone
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4640 on: September 25, 2013, 01:44:21 pm »

It didn't fall into any of the smaller trends that I like to see, but one combination of power systems that are pretty good when they agree on a favorite are picking Stanford to cover.  I would lean Stanford but don't plan on playing it.

It looks like, rushing - advantage Stanford, passing - advantage Wash St.,  scoring o vs. scoring d is about a wash, and Stanford has a big edge in third down efficiency and red zone efficiency.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4641 on: September 25, 2013, 02:27:50 pm »

It didn't fall into any of the smaller trends that I like to see, but one combination of power systems that are pretty good when they agree on a favorite are picking Stanford to cover.  I would lean Stanford but don't plan on playing it.

It looks like, rushing - advantage Stanford, passing - advantage Wash St.,  scoring o vs. scoring d is about a wash, and Stanford has a big edge in third down efficiency and red zone efficiency.

Appreciate the response. I played Wash. St. for the simple fact that it was a line that popped out to me as to many points when I initially scanned lines for this week. I'll read anywhere from 5-10 articles on lines like that to see if there's a reason I should go against my gut. This one cut it close with Stanford's front 7, but like you said Wash St. passes the ball well. If the TO's are kept to min. or none at all, I don't see this one getting out of hand and being a good ball game into the fourth quarter. Their game last season coming down to the wire at Stanford also played a part in this play.
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4642 on: September 25, 2013, 02:53:30 pm »

Stanford vs Wash. State game is in Seattle. I'm trying to figure out who will have the most fans there. I assume both have a strong alumni base in Seattle. I don't see Wazzu having the home field advantage (3pts) like they would have if played in Pullman.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4643 on: September 25, 2013, 03:04:36 pm »

Stanford vs Wash. State game is in Seattle. I'm trying to figure out who will have the most fans there. I assume both have a strong alumni base in Seattle. I don't see Wazzu having the home field advantage (3pts) like they would have if played in Pullman.

Palo Alto is about 12 hours from Seattle and Pullman is about 4. Doesn't say much for a home field advantage either way but you would have to lean Wazzu based off that.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4644 on: September 25, 2013, 04:59:31 pm »

LSU +3 locked and loaded. LSU D outplays Georgia's for the victory. ML play to possibly come later.
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jdelo77

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4645 on: September 25, 2013, 05:29:17 pm »

Heading to Vegas Friday , I love LSU +3 ...
Does anyone know if you can play parlays in the sports book ? Sorry I've never bet on sports in Vegas ( just horses )
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4646 on: September 25, 2013, 06:35:19 pm »

Heading to Vegas Friday , I love LSU +3 ...
Does anyone know if you can play parlays in the sports book ? Sorry I've never bet on sports in Vegas ( just horses )

:) dude you can play anything at a sports book!  Anything. If you aren't married or have kids you may never leave!
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4647 on: September 25, 2013, 06:36:21 pm »

Stanford vs Wash. State game is in Seattle. I'm trying to figure out who will have the most fans there. I assume both have a strong alumni base in Seattle. I don't see Wazzu having the home field advantage (3pts) like they would have if played in Pullman.

People love the Pirate!
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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4648 on: September 25, 2013, 06:38:45 pm »

It's a small play, meant to put 1 unit out to the side.

After a further look, that might be a really good play at WSU +10.
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BJOhog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4649 on: September 25, 2013, 07:00:54 pm »

getingmy acount healthy
20 units 9/26/13 12:00am  WTA Tennis  301 Venus Williams -167* vs Eugenie Bouchard

that eugene is a lil ole hottie but her last openatnt choked and she is in over her head shoudl be sure money
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