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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 340029 times)

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McHogLovin

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4550 on: September 22, 2013, 08:53:16 pm »

I don't get this A&M line at all.  Makes no sense. 

5Dimes.eu   
TA&M: +3
ARK: -3   -110
-110
   
N/A   o: 0
u: 0
   TA&M: 0
ARK: 0
BOVADA   
TA&M: +3
ARK: -3   -110
-110
   
N/A   o: 0
u: 0
   TA&M: 0
ARK: 0
BETONLINE.ag   
TA&M: -3
ARK: +3   -110
-110
   
N/A   o: 0
u: 0
   TA&M: 0
ARK: 0
Fantasy911.com   
TA&M: +3
ARK: -3   -110
-110
   
N/A   o: 0
u: 0
   TA&M: 0
ARK: 0
SportsBetting.ag   
TA&M: -3
ARK: +3   -110
-110

I've checked 5Dimes multiple times and see no line for Arkansas.  Lots of others but nothing for Arkansas yet.  And I guarantee if all you guys bet together you will lose.  It's part of being a Hog.
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BJOhog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4551 on: September 22, 2013, 08:55:58 pm »

wish i had played it here but my hogville bankrloo is nonexistant but jsut made a killing on indie moneylne. not mentioning it ato brag but just because i think of most of yal as freinds
btw i took raiders in a ml to but i just dont have the hogvile credits toplay it here

i think i need to borrow another 1k from the hogvile bank to play them all again
xxxxxxxWin   9/22/13 4:25pm  NFL Football  411 Indianapolis Colts +350* vs San Francisco 49ers
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4552 on: September 22, 2013, 08:56:16 pm »

Past week:

CLE/NCST u66 2 units...W
Fresno -4 1 unit...L
Utah St. +7 3 units...W
FL/TN u47.5 3 units...L
MIZ -3 1 unit...W
MIC St./ND u42 1 unit...W

4-2 +3 units
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4553 on: September 22, 2013, 09:57:11 pm »

I hope someone faded me today, if so congrats on an awesome day.   :puke:

I played Chi -2 and over for 1 unit parlay to hopefully salvage something!
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4554 on: September 22, 2013, 09:58:45 pm »

wish i had played it here but my hogville bankrloo is nonexistant but jsut made a killing on indie moneylne. not mentioning it ato brag but just because i think of most of yal as freinds
btw i took raiders in a ml to but i just dont have the hogvile credits toplay it here

i think i need to borrow another 1k from the hogvile bank to play them all again
xxxxxxxWin   9/22/13 4:25pm  NFL Football  411 Indianapolis Colts +350* vs San Francisco 49ers

Billy Joe.  We are posting the bets we make thru online services, local books, and Vegas and A.C.  We didn't all start with an imaginary Hogville bankroll.  You are confusing me sir.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4555 on: September 22, 2013, 10:03:12 pm »

THIS is why I stay away from NFL except for very small stuff for entertainment.  I paid quite well for that lesson :)  I'm gaining confidence that college is about to get good, very good. 
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4556 on: September 22, 2013, 10:05:14 pm »

NFL Picks today:

Rams +3.5 @ Cowboys -- 1*   L
Cardinals +7.5 @ Saints -- 1*   L
Giants -1 @ Panthers -- 1*   L
Bills +1 @ Jets -- 2*   L
Lions pk @ Redskins -- 2*   W
Vikings -6.5 vs Browns -- 3*   L

Need to update record from Saturday, went 5-3 and had a good day.  This offset it.  Think I'm done with NFL.  My strength seems to be SEC football (4-1 this weekend, only loss was ours  >:( >:()

1-5 & -6 units tonight, will update full record tomorrow
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BJOhog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4557 on: September 22, 2013, 10:26:08 pm »

Billy Joe.  We are posting the bets we make thru online services, local books, and Vegas and A.C.  We didn't all start with an imaginary Hogville bankroll.  You are confusing me sir.

the very first post i think i misanderstandit all

so there is no hogvile bankroll i thought we all start with 1k
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4558 on: September 22, 2013, 10:40:45 pm »

the very first post i think i misanderstandit all

so there is no hogvile bankroll i thought we all start with 1k


Mine is small, but very real.

#ThatsWhatHeSaid
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4559 on: September 22, 2013, 10:46:50 pm »

so there is no hogvile bankroll i thought we all start with 1k

Man, I want my 1k Hogville bankroll!  Did you guys stiff me!?! :) 

There is no imaginary bankroll.  If you are making plays in real life and care to share them with us, post your plays and the units (everyone sets their own unit amount ... for some, a unit is $100, for others a unit may be $10, $20, $25, $50, or other amounts ... you are free to disclose that information or not).  The size of your unit is less important than your posted record ATS ... yeah, yeah, get your minds out of the gutter :)  There is no limit to how many units you can use or replenish.  If you blow your account through poor bankroll management, bad luck, bad picks, or any other reason, you aren't "out of the game".   As long as you are making plays in real life and don't mind sharing them, post 'em here and let everyone decide for themselves how your plays might influence their own decisions based largely on your track record of posted plays.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4560 on: September 23, 2013, 12:18:55 am »

If I had known all of HV was betting the Vikes I would've laid off.  I'm telling ya boys, we are Hog fans and if we all bet the same side of the same game we will take a ball kicking.  I almost vomited this morning when I got on here and saw everyone had the Vikings.  You guys make sure u bet aTm this weekend if they are -13.  I don't want you guys costing me my whole roll.

There may be some truth to this. Clemson Thursday night and Oklahoma state against UTSA for other examples.

I've made most of my money on games like umass against vandy and Wyoming over Air Force. Nobody was playing those games.

Very weird phenomenon you are suggesting. Id like to see if we all won betting the same game.
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BJOhog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4561 on: September 23, 2013, 12:25:53 am »

guess i thought that the hogville bankroll was to keep folk honest on the standings i cant lie i am at 0 dollares now ill have to borrow from the hogville bankroll to keep going
i never said i was a sharp stick i guess i misunderastanding that ole first post
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4562 on: September 23, 2013, 12:30:26 am »

guess i thought that the hogville bankroll was to keep folk honest on the standings i cant lie i am at 0 dollares now ill have to borrow from the hogville bankroll to keep going
i never said i was a sharp stick i guess i misunderastanding that ole first post


Or you could post the plays you play in real life like the rest of.
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BJOhog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4563 on: September 23, 2013, 12:37:40 am »

Or you could post the plays you play in real life like the rest of.

i think ill stay true and just borrow money and play it real. btw my ..... friend...... i have played it two thousan percent straight here in football excat for this week because i misjudged the rules i still dont post the other sports here because im a private man you are a pice of work.
tho id be real interesting to see what folk would have with a hogville bank roll. so ill stay true and ill borrow 1k more from hogville that make me -2400 here. i dont hide and aint ashamed i know i have a lot of big money futures that will make it even in the end.
good luck to you pice of work

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McHogLovin

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4564 on: September 23, 2013, 01:09:44 am »

There may be some truth to this. Clemson Thursday night and Oklahoma state against UTSA for other examples.

I've made most of my money on games like umass against vandy and Wyoming over Air Force. Nobody was playing those games.

Very weird phenomenon you are suggesting. Id like to see if we all won betting the same game.

A lot of people dropped coin on that Ball State game.  Will had it as a 5* and we all followed him to heartbreak.  And when the game was 20-3 Ball State it was sure looking like a 5*.  I
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Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4565 on: September 23, 2013, 07:11:58 am »

I'm dumbfounded by the NFL today. I'm sorry to anybody who tailed my Vikings selection.

My history with the NFL is hit or miss and around 55% over time so I tend to leave it alone. Heck, I doubt Brian Hoyer's mom took the Browns yesterday yet he throws for 300+ and 3 tds.
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Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4566 on: September 23, 2013, 08:43:13 am »

Looks like the Hogs are going to open as a 13 point dog at home this weekend. Sounds about right.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4567 on: September 23, 2013, 08:49:24 am »

Official Picks for tomorrow:

North Texas +33 @ Georgia -- 1*   W
Tennessee +16.5 @ Florida -- 2*   W
UL Monroe +30.5 @ Baylor -- 1*   L
Texas A&M -27.5 vs SMU -- 1*   W
Arkansas +2.5 @ Rutgers -- 2* (Homer Pick)    L  >:(
Auburn +17 @ LSU -- 3*   W
Stanford -6 vs ASU -- 2*   W
Kansas State +6.5 -- 3*   L

5-3 on Saturday and +3 units

1-5 yesterday and -6 units.

6-8 over the weekend for -3 units.  NFL just killed me.  Done with that nonsense.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4568 on: September 23, 2013, 08:51:00 am »

First two picks of the weekend are...

Clemson (-13.5) -- 5*  -  First 5* play of the year.  On the road here tonight against a NC State team that has given them problems in years past.  However, I think this one will be different.  NC State is very young, only 11 starters returned from last year.  Currently, their QB Pete Thomas has thrown 0 TDs to 3 picks.  Their leading rusher and leading receiver are both true freshman.  This will be NC State's biggest game of the year and there will be a lot of pressure on those kids.  I just don't think they will deal with it well even if they are at home. 

With the big win against Georgia, Clemson knows this is their year.  They know that they must win the ACC and win big to get a chance to make the BCS Championship.  Their team speed should overwhelm NC State, who's D isn't great.  I just think this one is a 21-30 point game and was expecting the line at -18 to -21 at the least, not -13.5.  I know the problems Clemson has had in the past but with their big win against LSU last season and Georgia this year I think they are for real. 


Kansas City (+3) -- 2*  -  The Kansas City Chiefs are a REAL team.  This team returns a ton of pro bowlers and finally has a coach/QB capable of winning games.  Their O-line looked good against Dallas and should be even better against a weak Eagles D.  Jamaal Charles should have a BIG day.  I think Reid will really try to stick to running the ball/short passes and milk that time of possession.  Best D against Chip Kelly's O will be to have the ball out of their hands.  KC has the running game to do this. 

KC Defense is not bad either and after each game Chip Kelly has coached, that's another game of film teams get to watch.  This KC D is by no means a juggernaut but I think they are better than any D the Eagles have played yet.  Cheifs hang on to the ball, milk the clock, and win 27-24.

almost forgot about these.  1-1 on thursday, -3 units.  brings me to -6 units this weekend.  YUCK
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4569 on: September 23, 2013, 08:55:53 am »


Overall Record:  12-14-2
5*: 0-1-0   (-5 units)
3*: 5-5-0   (0 units)
2*: 7-3-2   (+8 units)
1*: 7-14-0   (-7 units)

P/L: -4 units

College: 13-13-1
NFL: 6-9-1
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4570 on: September 23, 2013, 09:40:06 am »

Interesting, All the other results for teams show the closing line and Total, but not Oregon.
http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/teams/team-page.cfm/team/oregon
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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4571 on: September 23, 2013, 09:42:32 am »

Looks like the Hogs are going to open as a 13 point dog at home this weekend. Sounds about right.

Opened at A&M -3 in Vegas. I'm sure that will change, but that is where it opened.
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4572 on: September 23, 2013, 09:49:19 am »

Burdorf has his predictions out for this week.
http://www.burdorfratings.com/collegepicks.html
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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4573 on: September 23, 2013, 10:09:22 am »

Burdorf has his predictions out for this week.
http://www.burdorfratings.com/collegepicks.html

So basically, A&M -24 vs Arkansas? Sounds about right. Ironic though that Vegas opens at A&M -3? They must be looking at the pressure that our front four can put on Manziel to open at -3?
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4574 on: September 23, 2013, 10:25:13 am »

Someone needs to "properly" explain Vegas Insider to me....

I get the "Open Line": "Consists of the first betting line received from one of our Las Vegas or Online sportsbooks."  Someone out there put A&M -3 and this was the first line VI received.  I get this.

Only sometimes do I understand the "VI Concensus". The definition of VI Concensus makes sense on VI's site: "Consists of the current betting line which occurs most frequently among our list of Las Vegas and Online sportsbooks."  I understand this definition and what a concensus is. However, much searching for a UA/A&M line leads me to almost nothing. I've seen a -13 on Covers and a -3 on VI, but almost nothing else.  Where/who is this concensus?
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4575 on: September 23, 2013, 10:44:20 am »

Someone needs to "properly" explain Vegas Insider to me....

I get the "Open Line": "Consists of the first betting line received from one of our Las Vegas or Online sportsbooks."  Someone out there put A&M -3 and this was the first line VI received.  I get this.

Only sometimes do I understand the "VI Concensus". The definition of VI Concensus makes sense on VI's site: "Consists of the current betting line which occurs most frequently among our list of Las Vegas and Online sportsbooks."  I understand this definition and what a concensus is. However, much searching for a UA/A&M line leads me to almost nothing. I've seen a -13 on Covers and a -3 on VI, but almost nothing else.  Where/who is this concensus?
I think they are using the offshore lines for the concensus until the vegas lines come out. Click on offshore odds tab.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4576 on: September 23, 2013, 10:53:52 am »

I think they are using the offshore lines for the concensus until the vegas lines come out. Click on offshore odds tab.

That makes sense, except I bet thru 3 offshore books and don't see a line for the UA/aTm game on any of them.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4577 on: September 23, 2013, 10:56:00 am »

EARLY leans, no thorough analysis yet. Just gut feelings off of spreads:

UCF +7.5 vs South Carolina -- Both teams coming off a bye. UCF playing SOLID defense and South Carolina offense not great. Look for this to be a low-scoring slugfest. UCF has upset potential.

Mississippi +17.5 @ Alabama -- Mississippi coming off a bye week, has been focused on this game for the last two weeks. They have the offense to get it done. Their D is also better than a&m's, look for them to get pressure on AJ. Think they keep it within 2 scores.

Florida -13.5 @ Kentucky -- Think the backup may be better than Driskell. Florida handled Tennessee pretty well. Don't see Kentucky scoring many points here. Like Florida by 17.

Tennessee -18.5 vs South Alabama -- Butch Jones needs a big win here to calm the fanbase. Two big losses in a row doesn't sit well and look for them to take it out on the little guy. like Tennessee by 21-24.

Vanderbilt -20.5 vs UAB -- Vandy looked uncomfortable up north for an early game. At home, night game, should be fine here. Like them by 28.

Missouri -21 vs Arkansas State -- This Arkansas State team is NOT good, esp on the road. Missouri is just as good as Auburn and has a better offense IMO. Again, night game for the home team. Like them big here.

Georgia -3 vs LSU -- Think this one will be close, but this will be the best offense LSU has played by a long shot. Don't let the UNT game fool you - bad weather, early game, looking forward to LSU. Think LSU offense is still pretty weak, dont trust Mettenberger. LSU had a home game at night, jumped out to an early lead in the first. Thats home field advantage for ya. After that quarter, they played Auburn even. Don't expect the quick start out of the gates here. Georgia by 6 or 7.

Wisconsin +7.5 @ Ohio State -- Think Ohio State wins but I think this one stays very close. Think anything over a TD is too much. Ohio State hasn't been tested yet, Wisconsin has. Wisconsin will be ready to
go.

Oklahoma State -21 @ West Virginia -- This West Virginia team is AWFUL. No offense whatsoever. Okie State will force turnovers and should score at will. After a 35-0 beat down it will be interesting to see how West Virginia reacts. Don't think they put up much of a fight.


Thoughts?
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4578 on: September 23, 2013, 11:01:16 am »

If it stays at -20, Miami at USF looks good. 
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4579 on: September 23, 2013, 11:06:54 am »

I like what you are thinking. Kentucky concerns me a little since they played Louis. within 14 but I agree, FL should cover.
I am leaning more toward Lsu than Geo. Geo is like an acc team to me. They burn me at least once a year.
Same thing with OSU and Wisky. Leaning wisky but it is a home game for OSU.
Okie state should roll but I'm still pissed about the utsa game. will prob go with them though.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4580 on: September 23, 2013, 11:11:29 am »

I like what you are thinking. Kentucky concerns me a little since they played Louis. within 14 but I agree, FL should cover.
I am leaning more toward Lsu than Geo. Geo is like an acc team to me. They burn me at least once a year.
Same thing with OSU and Wisky. Leaning wisky but it is a home game for OSU.
Okie state should roll but I'm still pissed about the utsa game. will prob go with them though.

like your miami take.  Think Florida actually matches up better with Kentucky than Louisville.  Their D is better than Louisville and I think Kentucky has a tough time scoring more than 10. 
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4581 on: September 23, 2013, 11:16:20 am »

Lines that pop out are:

FSU -21.5 @ BC
Wazzu +10.5 vs. Stanford
LSU +3 @ UGA
Washington -7 vs. Zona

AR will not open up at 3. That is a line error on an offshore book in my opinion. Vegas insider will post errors as their "open." Look at SJSU/USU line for an example.
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4582 on: September 23, 2013, 11:50:19 am »

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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4583 on: September 23, 2013, 11:55:01 am »

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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4584 on: September 23, 2013, 12:17:44 pm »

Early Favs. Oregon, Aggies, FSU, Okie State, Stanford, OU, Mizzou, Miami, LSU, Az State
Looking at Clemson, Wyoming, NC.
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4585 on: September 23, 2013, 01:19:03 pm »

Pulled this off one of the Prediction sites. LOL

17. Louisiana Monroe at Baylor. (0.56)
Baylor (26) will beat Louisiana Monroe (76) by 12.6 at home. Louisiana Monroe has a 24% chance of beating Baylor.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4586 on: September 23, 2013, 01:21:21 pm »

the very first post i think i misanderstandit all

so there is no hogvile bankroll i thought we all start with 1k


Lol nope. We are posting our actual wagers.  What that's why we call BS when a newbie comes in and says oh yeah I didn't post my plas but I hit 15 of 16 and won 14 grand.  No worries though.  I thought maybe you had it mixed up.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4587 on: September 23, 2013, 01:26:38 pm »

guess i thought that the hogville bankroll was to keep folk honest on the standings i cant lie i am at 0 dollares now ill have to borrow from the hogville bankroll to keep going
the very first post i think i misanderstandit all

so there is no hogvile bankroll i thought we all start with 1k

the very first post i think i misanderstandit all

so there is no hogvile bankroll i thought we all start with 1k

the very first post i think i misanderstandit all

so there is no hogvile bankroll i thought we all start with 1k

i never said i was a sharp stick i guess i misunderastanding that ole first post



Lol nope. We are posting our actual wagers.  What that's why we call BS when a newbie comes in and says oh yeah I didn't post my plas but I hit 15 of 16 and won 14 grand.  No worries though.  I thought maybe you had it mixed up.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4588 on: September 23, 2013, 01:29:35 pm »

Sorry dont know why that posted 700 times like it did.
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4589 on: September 23, 2013, 01:37:15 pm »

Pointshare leading at 65% now.
http://www.thepredictiontracker.com/ncaaresults.php

Pointshare picks this week.
http://www.pointshareratings.com/ncaafootballprediction.htm

Some of these picks are crazy.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4590 on: September 23, 2013, 02:37:54 pm »

Going under 50 tonight for 3 units.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4591 on: September 23, 2013, 02:45:56 pm »

Updated record post 9/22 NFL DEBACLE for those who can't see it as my signature.

TOTAL 31-24-3 (.564)

NCAA RECORD            NFL RECORD  
25-16-1                     6-8-2
1 unit plays: 12-4       2-2
2 unit plays: 4-6-1      0-3-1
3 unit plays: 7-3         2-2-1
4 unit plays: 1-3         2-1
5 unit plays: 1-0         0-0
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4592 on: September 23, 2013, 03:30:37 pm »

Interesting games this week.

Liking the following on first look:
Washington -7.5 vs Arizona
LSU +3 at Georgia
Over Okie St at WVU o/u 61
UnderOhio St at Wiscy o/u 57
Oklahoma -3.5  at Notre Dame
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4593 on: September 23, 2013, 04:27:09 pm »

I seriously think this may be the worst 2 week stretch I've ever had. I also don't remember having 3 pushes in a year, much less at the end of week 4.

Here is my last week's action, plus the last 2 from week 3.

Washington -10 1* pushed from 9/15
Maryland -6 1* W $206

Arkansas St -4 1* L$40
Arkansas +2 1* L$40
Fresno St -4 1* L$40
Ga Tech -6.5 1* W$37
Arkansas pick’em 1* L$40
Mich St +4 1* push
Mich St ML 1* L$40

17-23-3   $561   -81% ROI

Hope next week is better. Not like it can get any worse.

Liking:
Ga Tech -8  (going to ride the horse till it dies)
Ball St -3 (I know, I know)
Ole Miss +17
Washington -8
Stanford -10.5
Arizona St -6.5
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4594 on: September 23, 2013, 07:53:14 pm »

My book has a free 10 dollar MNF bet every week on who will have the first first down and tonight I selected Erick decker at even odds....

So I just won 10 bucks at no cost.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4595 on: September 23, 2013, 09:40:53 pm »

Took Washington -8 vs. Zona for 2 units. Washington's defense should be able to prevent Arizona's offense from keeping up with their offense. Washington has over 1700 total yards of offense in three games while holding opponents under 300 on average. Washington is very strong at QB and RB. Arizona is also very strong at RB wit Kadeem Carey, but they have run the ball 73% of the time this season as they break in a new QB who is dead last in pass efficiency in the Pac 12. Washington also has stellar home field advantage. Lot of reasons to not bet Arizona if you ask me.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4596 on: September 24, 2013, 05:42:30 am »

I seriously think this may be the worst 2 week stretch I've ever had. I also don't remember having 3 pushes in a year, much less at the end of week 4.

Here is my last week's action, plus the last 2 from week 3.

Washington -10 1* pushed from 9/15
Maryland -6 1* W $206

Arkansas St -4 1* L$40
Arkansas +2 1* L$40
Fresno St -4 1* L$40
Ga Tech -6.5 1* W$37
Arkansas pick’em 1* L$40
Mich St +4 1* push
Mich St ML 1* L$40

17-23-3   $561   -81% ROI

Hope next week is better. Not like it can get any worse.

Liking:
Ga Tech -8  (going to ride the horse till it dies)
Ball St -3 (I know, I know)
Ole Miss +17
Washington -8
Stanford -10.5
Arizona St -6.5


Mine haven't been great either the last two weeks it happens.  He the Ball ST play was solid two weeks ago and had no business not covering.  Had you bet them last week they would have made you money :)
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4597 on: September 24, 2013, 07:32:18 am »

Georgia -3 @ LSU looks upside down to me. At this point that looks like a 37-31 LSU win. Thoughts?
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4598 on: September 24, 2013, 07:41:09 am »

Georgia -3 @ LSU looks upside down to me. At this point that looks like a 37-31 LSU win. Thoughts?

I like LSU and they will be the side I'm on if I play this game. ML possibly.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4599 on: September 24, 2013, 10:36:22 am »

The spreadsheets really like Oregon at -35.5 and Georgia Tech at -7. 

Oregon's lowest margin of victory so far has been 45.  Cal's rush defense is ranked 121, their pass defense is ranked 110, and their scoring defense is ranked 119.  It falls within a few trends hitting over 70% ATS.

Georgia Tech has been beating better teams, and VA Tech barely survived Marshall last week.  GT's scoring O is ranked 10th, VT is 85th, it's a Thursday night game at GT, and it falls within a few trends hitting over 70% ATS.  The power ranking systems have also been pretty good at picking both GT games & VT games ATS.

On Georgia/LSU, my gut says LSU, but a few trends hitting at over 70% say Georgia.  I'll probably sit that one out.
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