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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 331442 times)

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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4000 on: September 14, 2013, 09:04:03 am »

Here's one for you: Ohio State (-16) 66 @ California

Ohio St averaging 452.5 and 41 points on offense, 269 and 13.5 points on defense.
Cal is averaging 582.5 and 33.5 points on offense, 530.5 and 37 points on defense.

Jeff, what are your thoughts on this game?  OSU -16? The "Over"?

Man I was on the damn phone. At 10:00 with two different people last night trying to get info or insight on this game. One of the guys is in Carson City and I consider him a PAC whatever they are now guru.

The other guy is in Atlantic City and deals heavily with Big Ten.

Talked to a guy in Youngstown this morning that is the best I have ever seen college and pro.

Consensus is. You waiting! :). Nobody knows.  They are running that line waaaay up and down locally just trying to keep the money even ( of course everyone that takes bets wants it even). Guy in Youngstown has gone up to Ohio St -23 and is still getting takers swallowing the points.  Of course probably a lot of buckeye fans.

Guy in Carson City has taken it down to Ohio St -9 and is still getting takers on Cal plus the points.

Guy in A City has left his line at 14.5 and has a pretty good split.

Conversations all went just like this. What are you thoughts on this game.  Replies were exactly what I was thinking. Nobody likes Big Ten traveling west. Cal is horrible across the board. Ohio St could win by 40, or they could do what Clemson has done at least once the past ten years.  Lose outright a game they should dominate.

I'm not touching this one as of now.  If I HAD to play it this second would probably take Cal +14.5.  None of these guys allow me to bet with them because of the information we share back and forth.

I do like the over.  Nobody this far is a real believer in OSU defense, but Cals Offense could be just bad enough to not score.

Could I possibly have further muddied the water?
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4001 on: September 14, 2013, 09:07:25 am »

I like a lot of games this week.  Honestly I played more than I should have.  That said I don't see any 4 or 5* plays out there.  Might not be such a bad thing considering the Texas debacle last week. I totally blew that pick.  I'm not ashamed of okie st bet last week because they truly should have covered by 3 scores.
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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4002 on: September 14, 2013, 09:17:09 am »

Man I was on the damn phone. At 10:00 with two different people last night trying to get info or insight on this game. One of the guys is in Carson City and I consider him a PAC whatever they are now guru.

The other guy is in Atlantic City and deals heavily with Big Ten.

Talked to a guy in Youngstown this morning that is the best I have ever seen college and pro.

Consensus is. You waiting! :). Nobody knows.  They are running that line waaaay up and down locally just trying to keep the money even ( of course everyone that takes bets wants it even). Guy in Youngstown has gone up to Ohio St -23 and is still getting takers swallowing the points.  Of course probably a lot of buckeye fans.

Guy in Carson City has taken it down to Ohio St -9 and is still getting takers on Cal plus the points.

Guy in A City has left his line at 14.5 and has a pretty good split.

Conversations all went just like this. What are you thoughts on this game.  Replies were exactly what I was thinking. Nobody likes Big Ten traveling west. Cal is horrible across the board. Ohio St could win by 40, or they could do what Clemson has done at least once the past ten years.  Lose outright a game they should dominate.

I'm not touching this one as of now.  If I HAD to play it this second would probably take Cal +14.5.  None of these guys allow me to bet with them because of the information we share back and forth.

I do like the over.  Nobody this far is a real believer in OSU defense, but Cals Offense could be just bad enough to not score.

Could I possibly have further muddied the water?

Naw, not at all. I've studied this game too and I know the Big Ten doesn't travel/play well going West. Will Ohio St screw the pooch tonight and lose? I don't think so. They'll win, just not sure they cover because Cal will be running that up tempo and will be throwing the ball all over the field.

I'm a little reluctant on the Over in this game because Ohio St does have a good defense.

That being said, and talking about Big Ten teams traveling West, Wisconsin may get their arses beat in Tempe tonight by Arizona State as well and ASU may cover the -5.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4003 on: September 14, 2013, 09:21:54 am »

Naw, not at all. I've studied this game too and I know the Big Ten doesn't travel/play well going West. Will Ohio St screw the pooch tonight and lose? I don't think so. They'll win, just not sure they cover because Cal will be running that up tempo and will be throwing the ball all over the field.

I'm a little reluctant on the Over in this game because Ohio St does have a good defense.

That being said, and talking about Big Ten teams traveling West, Wisconsin may get their arses beat in Tempe tonight by Arizona State as well and ASU may cover the -5.


I agree.  I'm leaning Sun Devils at the moment.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4004 on: September 14, 2013, 09:29:08 am »

The ASU v Wiscy game is one I can't wait to watch. Every "expert" has ASU winning outright. On the betting side of things, the the public is on Wiscy (61%), bringing the line from -5.5 to -4.

I think the Sips will have a bounce-back game, but don't know how McCoy compares to Ash.

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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4005 on: September 14, 2013, 09:40:42 am »

The ASU v Wiscy game is one I can't wait to watch. Every "expert" has ASU winning outright. On the betting side of things, the the public is on Wiscy (61%), bringing the line from -5.5 to -4.

I think the Sips will have a bounce-back game, but don't know how McCoy compares to Ash.



It's going to be about 90 degrees when that game starts in Tempe tonight. I'll be interested to see how Wisconsin handles the heat. if they have simulated the heat in practice along with ramping up the humidity, they'll have no problem handling the weather.

Wisconsin hasn't played anyone yet, but neither has Ariz St (Sacramento State?). Both teams have shown good defense but how good can it be against who they have played?

Big question here is, can Wisconsin drive the ball with a running game and be successful and work the clock while Arizona State throws the ball all over the field?

Is this a case of who scores last?

Should be an interesting game.
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Porked Tongue

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4006 on: September 14, 2013, 09:43:49 am »

Alabama(-8) 1 unit
Ark over 49   1 unit
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4007 on: September 14, 2013, 09:56:40 am »

Added Stanford/Army....over(52)    1 unit
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BJOhog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4008 on: September 14, 2013, 09:58:52 am »

Anybody else interested in buy this week? I know I am.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4009 on: September 14, 2013, 10:09:17 am »

Full card

USC -14  3 units.                 W


Kentucky +15.5.  1 unit.      W
Nebraska -3         1 unit.      L
Ms. St + 7.5         1 unit.     W
« Last Edit: September 14, 2013, 09:24:21 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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san1981

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4010 on: September 14, 2013, 10:10:36 am »

Anybody have any thoughts on Oregon and Tenn? It opened at 20 and I got it at 28. Vegas is never this far off, so I put my money on Vegas and took the 28.

Also two off the radar picks...Utah St. and Youngstown St.
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UAstudent13

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4011 on: September 14, 2013, 10:22:19 am »

UCLA - Nebraska has dropped to a pick em on Sportsbook.. Interesting. 2 days ago it was -4.5 Nebraska.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4012 on: September 14, 2013, 10:38:11 am »

UCLA - Nebraska has dropped to a pick em on Sportsbook.. Interesting. 2 days ago it was -4.5 Nebraska.

Crap. I placed my wager at 9:53 and took it at 3. Less than an hour it's a pk. Luckily, it's just a unit play for me.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4013 on: September 14, 2013, 10:40:13 am »

Adding

Bama -8.  1*
Washington -10.  1*
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hawgmasta

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4014 on: September 14, 2013, 10:59:15 am »

Did very little research this past week been super busy with everything. No excuses though here we go.

NCAA:

    Oregon -28.5 2* (Tennessee has some good players but Oregon will want to make a statement against the sec)

    Bama -9 2*(so much hype, kinda similiar to what I said about new England and got burned but until proven otherwise I'm gonna keep taking bama)

    Northen Illinois -29.5 1* (this is kind of a high spread but Paul Petrino sucks, nuff said)

   Auburn -7 1* ( at home against a struggling miss st team I think the gus bus is gonna try to run it up)

    Ohio St -15 1* (cal underperforms in big games and Ohio state knows they have to win and provably big to stay in national title talk)

    Texas -3 1* (definitely only one unit cause this could go either way, either Texas regroups at home or continues to fall apart)

   Arizona -24.5 3*(Arizona has done me right recently, I'll stay on them, might as well 3* unit it)

   Wisconsin +4.5 1* (Wisconsin historically doesnt travel/play well on west coast and the heat will probably be a factor. I just feel like their going to try and make a statement with this.)

And I'm gonna do western Kentucky/south bama Over 55 cause with a crappy defense Petrino can score that much with just WKU
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4015 on: September 14, 2013, 11:12:25 am »

Crap. I placed my wager at 9:53 and took it at 3. Less than an hour it's a pk. Luckily, it's just a unit play for me.


Sorry about this bro, but last night I saw where a guy on therx was talking up UCLA, ML, side and was making it one of his biggest play. Not that he moved the line, but there are several people on the other side.

Anybody have any thoughts on Oregon and Tenn? It opened at 20 and I got it at 28. Vegas is never this far off, so I put my money on Vegas and took the 28.

Also two off the radar picks...Utah St. and Youngstown St.

it's in Oregon, and Tennessee is in a rebranding/rebuilding mode. I can easily see a cover by Oregon, but the back door cover has run rampant this year, and I do believe that Tennessee will keep it right on the edge where a late FG or TD in scrub time could lose some people a lot of money.

to be honest, I see the 1st half of that game at -17 is the better bet. That 17 points should be covered in the first 10-12 minutes.
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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4016 on: September 14, 2013, 11:15:29 am »


Sorry about this bro, but last night I saw where a guy on therx was talking up UCLA, ML, side and was making it one of his biggest play. Not that he moved the line, but there are several people on the other side.

it's in Oregon, and Tennessee is in a rebranding/rebuilding mode. I can easily see a cover by Oregon, but the back door cover has run rampant this year, and I do believe that Tennessee will keep it right on the edge where a late FG or TD in scrub time could lose some people a lot of money.

to be honest, I see the 1st half of that game at -17 is the better bet. That 17 points should be covered in the first 10-12 minutes.

Autzen Stadium is traditionally a tough place to play. We'll see, but I am not sure this will even be close.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4017 on: September 14, 2013, 11:29:52 am »

Added

Maryland -6   1*
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UAstudent13

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4018 on: September 14, 2013, 01:31:37 pm »

Full card

USC -14  3 units


Kentucky +15.5.  1 unit
Nebraska -3         1 unit
Ms. St + 7.5         1 unit

Gotta say, we went opposite on each game haha. Good luck though.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4019 on: September 14, 2013, 01:57:44 pm »

Go Zips! Didn't bet it but have a great bet story about the Akron Zips!
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4020 on: September 14, 2013, 02:01:09 pm »

My Zips story is how I came to own this shirt!

[attachment deleted by admin]
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4021 on: September 14, 2013, 02:10:24 pm »

Sir Pigs, grats on that KY line
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4022 on: September 14, 2013, 02:15:05 pm »

My Zips story is how I came to own this shirt!

gosh please let them win!

side note: can't believe va tech isn't going to cover against ECU.  Sheesh their offense is bad.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4023 on: September 14, 2013, 02:23:51 pm »

You want to see sharps in action?

Louisville opens at -7.5. Within a day maybe, the line gets up to about -12.5 and continues creeping upwards until it hits a high of 15.5. At this point it gets HAMMERED back down to 13 at some places within an hour, maybe within minutes.

Good call Sir Pigs on Kentucky, you got it at the BEST time.




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BJOhog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4024 on: September 14, 2013, 02:27:57 pm »

ucla just showed how the better coached team can make adjustments at half and win
good outing for those boys
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4025 on: September 14, 2013, 02:33:45 pm »

ucla just showed how the better coached team can make adjustments at half and win
good outing for those boys


I agree 100%...Also I'm tailing you on this one.

Buffalo -13   1*
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4026 on: September 14, 2013, 02:35:06 pm »

2-1 on the day so far, up 2 units.  Glad I got Louisville when I did at -13.  Wish I had made UCLA a bigger play but hindsight is always 20-20 lol 
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DamonBoost

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4027 on: September 14, 2013, 03:02:37 pm »

So irritated with my book right now regarding Louisville. They never had them at anything less than 14 so I got them at 14.5. 
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UAstudent13

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4028 on: September 14, 2013, 03:34:45 pm »

So irritated with my book right now regarding Louisville. They never had them at anything less than 14 so I got them at 14.5.
[/quote


Have to buy points sometimes man.
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DamonBoost

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4029 on: September 14, 2013, 03:36:31 pm »

So irritated with my book right now regarding Louisville. They never had them at anything less than 14 so I got them at 14.5.
[/quote


Have to buy points sometimes man.

I think about it but it just irks me when I see everyone else on other books buying it at what I WANT to buy it at.. without buying the points.  That alone makes me feel like I shouldnt...
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4030 on: September 14, 2013, 04:24:03 pm »

I think about it but it just irks me when I see everyone else on other books buying it at what I WANT to buy it at.. without buying the points.  That alone makes me feel like I shouldnt...

I don't always post when I buy the hook or 1 point.  Doesn't cost much generally to do so.
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UAstudent13

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4031 on: September 14, 2013, 04:24:03 pm »

BC +14 is looking a little rough for me. They are getting smothered on offense by just reading the box score. Yikes.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4032 on: September 14, 2013, 04:26:48 pm »

BC +14 is looking a little rough for me. They are getting smothered on offense by just reading the box score. Yikes.

I'm in that same boat.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4033 on: September 14, 2013, 04:29:29 pm »

Just put down

Bama -5 2nd half  1*
Bama v TAMU under 31.5 2nd half    1*

went against my gut and put both in a parlay also.

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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4034 on: September 14, 2013, 04:31:46 pm »

UTEP -3 / 4 units.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4035 on: September 14, 2013, 04:34:53 pm »

South Carolina is down to 11.5 on my book, what do yall think?
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4036 on: September 14, 2013, 04:51:30 pm »

Got on Bama -4 second half, sorry for late post
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4037 on: September 14, 2013, 04:52:01 pm »

Vols are taking it in the pooper today!
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UAstudent13

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4038 on: September 14, 2013, 04:57:49 pm »

I'm in that same boat.

Well, it didn't work out for us.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4039 on: September 14, 2013, 05:03:05 pm »

Well, it didn't work out for us.


USC is so freaking unpredictable. In fact I may never bet on a game they are in period.  Always seem to be on the wrong side with those guys.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4040 on: September 14, 2013, 05:07:07 pm »

Tennessee is finding out what it's like to be a cupcake.

52-7
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san1981

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4041 on: September 14, 2013, 05:18:14 pm »

I still can't believe the Oregon game opened at 20. Vegas was really off on this one.
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BJOhog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4042 on: September 14, 2013, 05:19:38 pm »

i am not doing great not as bad as last weekend but i gotta say men this here isa college football fans dream day im wathing 3 tvs and 2 laptops all day so far love it love it
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UAstudent13

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4043 on: September 14, 2013, 05:24:08 pm »

Tennessee is finding out what it's like to be a cupcake.

52-7

Hard to say much though. Oregon would demolish us as well.
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BJOhog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4044 on: September 14, 2013, 05:26:22 pm »

Hard to say much though. Oregon would demolish us as well.
yes probably worse that tenner team aint as bad as folk think.
that oregon team is showing me something
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4045 on: September 14, 2013, 05:26:24 pm »

i am not doing great not as bad as last weekend but i gotta say men this here isa college football fans dream day im wathing 3 tvs and 2 laptops all day so far love it love it

ive gone from the couch, to the recliner, to my bed and back to the couch. Sam Adams Octoberfest, my ipad, and the dogs. ole gal came by to bring me some exedrin and "covered the spread" during the bama halftime. I'M 3-0 on the day so far on bets.

Just got invited to watch the Mayweather fight for free tonight at a buddys house.


TODAY WAS A GOOD DAY.
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Hog0808

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4046 on: September 14, 2013, 05:28:27 pm »

Aubie -6.5 vs miss st.  Thoughts?
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4047 on: September 14, 2013, 05:28:54 pm »

I still can't believe the Oregon game opened at 20. Vegas was really off on this one.

That's the first step . Find the games that appear to have been overlooked or just flat out missed by Vegas. They do make mistakes, every week. Once you have the lines that are off, figure out why . That's the hard part.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4048 on: September 14, 2013, 05:33:53 pm »

added a 4 team parlay for fun. i love having small ones going if they're all games starting around the same time. fun to have my eyes glued to the espn ticker!

maryland -5
western kentucky -7
s carolina -11.5
osu -11

1 unit
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #4049 on: September 14, 2013, 05:34:17 pm »

I haven't even put pants on today.  No gf around, just football, beer, and more football.  It's been a wonderful day
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