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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 326501 times)

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HogFanatic

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3700 on: September 08, 2013, 06:19:49 pm »

Somebody convince me why I shouldn't put everything I own on SF -4.5 at home?

Aaron Rogers.
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3701 on: September 08, 2013, 06:48:08 pm »

Dang that game was brutal, looks like I am going to be a half point short. 
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3702 on: September 08, 2013, 06:48:34 pm »

not hitting this GB bet makes this the worst 2 day stretch ive had since i started betting again last fall.

yuuuuck.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3703 on: September 08, 2013, 06:49:50 pm »

Whew...finally had some good fortune go my way.

2-0-1 on the day.
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3704 on: September 08, 2013, 06:52:04 pm »

1-1-1 today.  Playing the Cowboys tonight. 
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HogFanatic

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3705 on: September 08, 2013, 06:56:50 pm »

IMO it takes brass balls to bet against Manning, Rodgers, or Kaepernick.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3706 on: September 08, 2013, 07:00:40 pm »

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hollywood hog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3707 on: September 08, 2013, 07:01:48 pm »

IMO it takes brass balls to bet against Manning, Rodgers, or Kaepernick.

What if Ditka was coaching the opponent? Then who would win?
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HogFanatic

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3708 on: September 08, 2013, 07:04:38 pm »

What if Ditka was coaching the opponent?

Haha!
"What if the hurricane was named Ditka?"
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3709 on: September 08, 2013, 07:04:45 pm »

My gosh....you boys don't play. Already throwing out college lines. Whew....I need a day off.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3710 on: September 08, 2013, 07:10:04 pm »

Here is where I'm practicing discipline. I wanna press my luck tonight with Dallas -3.5 but I'm gonna stand pat and shut it down. Good luck boys.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3711 on: September 08, 2013, 07:11:56 pm »

My gosh....you boys don't play. Already throwing out college lines. Whew....I need a day off.

I spend about 95% of my free time around the house pondering on college football lines and totals. I love it.
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3712 on: September 08, 2013, 07:28:24 pm »

I spend about 95% of my free time around the house pondering on college football lines and totals. I love it.
LOL I'm with you. Empty nester here as of two weeks ago so that's all I have to think about now.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3713 on: September 08, 2013, 07:53:03 pm »

LOL I'm with you. Empty nester here as of two weeks ago so that's all I have to think about now.

I'm a new member of the empty nester club too.  My football spreadsheets were a factor in losing a girlfriend last season.  I'm hoping to strike a better balance and win ATS without losing the new girlfriend this season.  With a year of build-out under my belt, the spreadsheet should be more low maintenance this season.  I'm also old enough to know not to comment on whether the girlfriend is low maintenance :)
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3714 on: September 08, 2013, 08:32:24 pm »

I spend about 95% of my free time around the house pondering on college football lines and totals. I love it.

Lol...I believe it.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3715 on: September 08, 2013, 09:57:10 pm »

My gosh....you boys don't play. Already throwing out college lines. Whew....I need a day off.

I'm with you there. Rough weekend. Clearing the head and not looking at a college line till Thursday morning!
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3716 on: September 08, 2013, 10:39:42 pm »

Looks like I am going to end the day 2-1-1.  Freaking half a point on two games from having a 4-0 day.  But Ill take it after yesterday
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3717 on: September 08, 2013, 11:45:59 pm »

Looks like I am going to end the day 2-1-1.  Freaking half a point on two games from having a 4-0 day.  But Ill take it after yesterday

Let this be a lesson to ALWAYS, ALWAYS buy the hook. It's better to win small than lose by half a point.

Generally speaking....but I always buy the hook in a single digit line.
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hawgmasta

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3718 on: September 09, 2013, 12:17:04 am »

Once again the ones I felt more confident in didn't do as well. Pats aren't gonna be nearly as dangerous this year and the bucs still have some issues. That's why it's so scary to bet on opening weekend NFL. All the teams have top shelf talent, any given Sunday isn't just the title of a movie.

NFL

2 2* unit losses, 2 1* unit wins. So -2 unless the skins and RGIII circle the wagons for me tomorrow night.
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3719 on: September 09, 2013, 08:06:48 am »

First stone-cold 5* lock of the year for me

Ball St -3 @ North Texas

I also like wisky getting 5.5 at Arizona St, and just noticed the o/u for the Bama v TAMU game is 63. Definitely liking the under in that one. Georgia Tech -8 is tempting, as is Maryland -7.5 v UConn
Duke QB out with broken collarbone.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3720 on: September 09, 2013, 09:07:31 am »

What if Ditka was coaching the opponent? Then who would win?

Da Bears!
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3721 on: September 09, 2013, 09:25:01 am »

On vacay so gonna go ahead and lock in my picks...

Okie State -26.5 -- 3*  L
Oregon -22.5 -- 2*  W
Western Kentucky +13.5 -- 1*  L
Arkansas State +10.5 -- 1*  L
South Caroline +3 -- 1*  L

1-4 on Saturday, -4 units

1-0 yesterday on Cowboys, +3 units

2-4 on the weekend, -1 unit -- Cowboys saved my butt from a BAD weekend.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3722 on: September 09, 2013, 09:28:39 am »

Overall Record:  5-5
3*: 2-1
2*: 1-0
1*: 2-4

P/L: +3 units

College: 4-5
NFL: 1-0
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3723 on: September 09, 2013, 09:29:26 am »

Rough day yesterday, think I was 1-4.  On the phone so will update Monday when I'm on a comp.

Today:

Cowboys -3 -- 3*

just to reference my pick on the Boys
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3724 on: September 09, 2013, 10:00:13 am »

Anyone playing tonight?
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3725 on: September 09, 2013, 10:28:37 am »

Anyone playing tonight?

will be taking:

Texans -4 -- 1*
Eagles +3.5 -- 1*
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3726 on: September 09, 2013, 10:38:40 am »

Will also tail Will on his Ball State pick.

Ball State -3 -- 3*
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Oliver

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3727 on: September 09, 2013, 10:54:50 am »

SEA -3 next week. 

Has to be the lock of the year.
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DamonBoost

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3728 on: September 09, 2013, 10:59:39 am »

Will also tail Will on his Ball State pick.

Ball State -3 -- 3*
Doing the same @ 5*
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3729 on: September 09, 2013, 11:26:02 am »

SEA -3 next week. 

Has to be the lock of the year.

reasoning?  I find myself liking SF at + pts
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3730 on: September 09, 2013, 11:27:34 am »

anybody plan on watching Money Talks with Steve Stevens on CNBC Prime tomorrow night?  Looks interesting
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3731 on: September 09, 2013, 11:39:18 am »

Locked in this morning:

LOU -13
Rice -5
Tailing Mr. Clinton on Ball -3

Feeling really good about these. I like Rice to win by 10+. Not sure what Vegas' angle on the LOU line is.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3732 on: September 09, 2013, 11:41:22 am »

Skins -2.5 / 2 units
Chargers +6.5 2 units
Two team parlay same way for 1 units
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3733 on: September 09, 2013, 11:43:10 am »

Skins -2.5 / 2 units
Chargers +6.5 2 units
Two team parlay same way for 1 units

 >:(  don't like being on the opposite side of you on both my plays...

and where are you getting your lines?  5 dimes has Skins as -3.5 and Chargers as +4.  Props to you!
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3734 on: September 09, 2013, 11:43:49 am »

if anyone else uses sportsbook, can you look at see if they are showing you any NCAA lines? I'm getting the "there are no lines for this event" error screen. If I miss Ball St at -3, I'm going to go crazy (although I would take it all the way up to Ball St -10, it's not near as much a lock as the -3 is)
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3735 on: September 09, 2013, 11:54:20 am »

if anyone else uses sportsbook, can you look at see if they are showing you any NCAA lines? I'm getting the "there are no lines for this event" error screen. If I miss Ball St at -3, I'm going to go crazy (although I would take it all the way up to Ball St -10, it's not near as much a lock as the -3 is)

If you wouldn't mind, I would love to hear your angle on this game. Might double dip.
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Oliver

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3736 on: September 09, 2013, 12:00:15 pm »

reasoning?  I find myself liking SF at + pts

There's home field advantage and then there is a Seahawks home field advantage.  They are a different team in that stadium.  Niners secondary is still full of holes and Wilson will exploit it all night long amongst thousands of rowdy, drunk Seattle fans.  This is THE new NFL rivalry
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DamonBoost

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3737 on: September 09, 2013, 12:05:01 pm »

if anyone else uses sportsbook, can you look at see if they are showing you any NCAA lines? I'm getting the "there are no lines for this event" error screen. If I miss Ball St at -3, I'm going to go crazy (although I would take it all the way up to Ball St -10, it's not near as much a lock as the -3 is)
I am getting the exact same thing and freaking out.. I also notice their lines arent up on vegasinsider either.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3738 on: September 09, 2013, 12:21:57 pm »

Agreed, on Sportsbook.com....but VegasInsider doesn't have odds for several books.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3739 on: September 09, 2013, 12:53:39 pm »

USC -14 vs BC?? Can USC score 14 pts?  I'm tempted to lock this in, someone tell me why I shouldn't
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3740 on: September 09, 2013, 12:57:15 pm »

Really like ULM getting 3 against wake. Wake Forest may be the worst team in football.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3741 on: September 09, 2013, 12:57:47 pm »

Auburn -5 at home to MSU is interesting.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3742 on: September 09, 2013, 01:00:10 pm »

USC -14 vs BC?? Can USC score 14 pts?  I'm tempted to lock this in, someone tell me why I shouldn't

BC isn't as good as wake Forrest made them look. That's all I got...lol
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3743 on: September 09, 2013, 01:02:27 pm »

also looking at UCLA +4.5
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3744 on: September 09, 2013, 01:04:51 pm »

Fresno state -9 at Colorado looks juicy
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3745 on: September 09, 2013, 01:34:30 pm »

if anyone else uses sportsbook, can you look at see if they are showing you any NCAA lines? I'm getting the "there are no lines for this event" error screen. If I miss Ball St at -3, I'm going to go crazy (although I would take it all the way up to Ball St -10, it's not near as much a lock as the -3 is)

why are you so big on ball state?
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3746 on: September 09, 2013, 01:39:48 pm »

WEEK 2 ramblings and rumblings:

1. Be thankful, gentlemen. It's a blessing to wake up and be able to take a breath. In every day, find something to be thankful for. Be encouraged, be gracious, be a friend. Exceed expectations.

2. We made it through week 2. Some limped out, others crawled out, some actually flew through unscathed. Some feel like the only thing worse than week 2, is going through week 2 in slow motion, post root canal, in a body cast, listening to one direction and Justin Bieber.

3. The old poker adage is "if you have a chip, you have a chance." Same hold true here. If you have an account with at least a dollar, you aren't out of it. My advice is play smart. Don't try to recoup loss by chasing. Stick to your gameplan.

4. Try to post your YTD record. We go through 3 or 4 pages on game day. It's taxing trying to search and then add up wins and losses. If you could, add your YTD record towards the end of the night. I like to encourage those who are struggling and praise those who are winning.

5. This is a great thread. Lets not do something to get it taken away. Take a seco d to think before you hit reply. Ask yourself if you are posting in the spirit of debate or in the spirit of malice. Don't get baited into a flame. Keep this professional and be courteous of other opinions. We aren't always going to agree. For instance, I didn't like Oklahoma state to cover against UTSA. Nobody agreed with me, but not one person devalued my opinion. I have my reasons and others countered with theirs. It was a good debate. If you disagree, tell us why.

6. Buy the hook. I read where some guys lost games because of a half of a point. Don't lose games because of a hook. At least on a single digit line, buy the hook.

7. I meant to do this last week, but did t get it posted. I'm starting a weekly MVP type thing for bragging rights. Basically if you had the best week of betting, I'll label you the Book Breaker of the week. Right now it's only my opinion, but if its something you all wanna participate in, everybody can be included in a vote. I'm not gonna request your vote, but if you want to, PM me your vote for book breaker of the week and I will factor in your vote. In the event of a tie, I reserve the right to be the final vote. I don't care if you vote for yourself if you think you had the best week. I don't wanna disinclude people, but for your vote to count, you need to have placed a minimum of 3 bets and posted them here prior to kickoff. I will send out a reminder for anybody wishing to vote on Sunday night. So without further adieu....

BOOK BREAKERS:
Week 1: Jeff Anderson
Week 2: Will Clinton

Congrats both of you and good luck the rest of the way.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3747 on: September 09, 2013, 01:51:20 pm »

will try to post compiled week 2 results. there will be a few bets I didn't post beforehand but they were last minute additions, so I hope no one is offended.

FSU -10 1u win
FSU O    1u win

1uparlay:
Ravens +7.5 Lose
Ravens/Broncos u Lose

Sat College
OSU -26 4u LOSE
Houston -4 2u WIN
S Florida +23 1u WIN
Virginia +23.5 1u LOSE
Duke -4 1u WIN
Hogs     2u LOSE
Colorado -13.5 1u WIN
Minn -15 1u WIN
ND +4 1u LOSE
Texas -7 2u LOSE
Wash St +16 1u WIN

Sun NFL
Bengals +3 2u Push
Pats -9.5 2u LOSE
Pack +5.5 1u LOSE


Bad week. my week goes Mon-Sun so that's why my mid week picks are included.


8-1-8 for the week
-4 units total
+4 units for the season ;D

FAR too many bets on Saturday but i'll learn. I suck at NFL, and should also have bought the hook for the packers' game so i'd at least have pushed.

« Last Edit: September 09, 2013, 03:47:43 pm by Hawgndaaz »
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3748 on: September 09, 2013, 02:03:28 pm »


FAR too many bets on Saturday but i'll learn. I suck at NFL, and should also have bought the hook for the packers' game so i'd at least have pushed.



Yes, it's EASY to get carried away, make your own plays and then add one or two plays here tailing one guy, one or two plays there tailing another guy, and you wind up with so many plays that you can't remember them all.  I'm starting year four in this and am getting better about sticking with a fairly small number of plays each week.  I started to pick up that habit/discipline doing the TD SEC RANT ATS contest in which you only need to pick 30 SEC games on the year.  Focusing more on keeping a high winning percentage made me more careful about adding plays without having a good reason.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #3749 on: September 09, 2013, 02:17:01 pm »

I'm 12-9 YTD
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