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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 326933 times)

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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2150 on: January 03, 2013, 11:02:53 pm »

Saweeeeeeeeeet!
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2151 on: January 04, 2013, 08:18:29 am »

Tonight's the night gents. A&M.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2152 on: January 04, 2013, 08:58:00 am »

That was a pretty exciting game last night, especially from an ATS point of view.  The momentum swings kept me guessing.  The first minute looked like it would be a blow out, the next 28 minutes, it looked like KS would impose it's style of play and cover, the last minute of the first half ... not so much.  Even late in the second half, I was starting to get a glimmer of hope that KS would close it to an 8 point gap (so that I could collect on both sides of my hedged bet).  Fun game to watch!
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2153 on: January 04, 2013, 09:10:08 am »

sportsbook has a&m down to -3 now.  really wanna play this game and am leaning toward a&m but don't know if i'll pull the trigger (which probably means I shouldn't lol).  OU has the 2nd best pass eff. D in the nation so that kinda scares me.  Also when was the last time OU was a dog in a bowl game... What are ya'lls thoughts?
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2154 on: January 04, 2013, 09:18:08 am »

Under 73 tonight 10 unit dime play.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2155 on: January 04, 2013, 09:22:37 am »

Under 73 tonight 10 unit dime play.

like it that much huh

edit: I like it too, gonna take it. 
« Last Edit: January 04, 2013, 10:23:24 am by Huckleberry Pig »
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2156 on: January 04, 2013, 10:35:16 am »

I'm following leads from here for tonight so have:

A&M -3 (5 units)
under 73 (5 units)
parlay of these two for 1 unit
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2157 on: January 04, 2013, 01:01:17 pm »

I'm on OU and the under tonight.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2158 on: January 04, 2013, 01:11:18 pm »

What makes y'all like the under? I think it's at a pretty tough spot because you have to assume each team will score at least 4 touchdowns.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2159 on: January 04, 2013, 01:28:24 pm »

like it that much huh

edit: I like it too, gonna take it. 

Yep but who knows.
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2160 on: January 04, 2013, 01:31:23 pm »

What makes y'all like the under? I think it's at a pretty tough spot because you have to assume each team will score at least 4 touchdowns.

74 is a lot of points. I like the under due to the long layoff and aTm having a new playcaller.  Oklahoma has played two top 10 teams they scored 13 and 19 points.  aTm has played two top 10 teams they scored 29 and 19. 
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2161 on: January 04, 2013, 01:35:02 pm »

74 is a lot of points. I like the under due to the long layoff and aTm having a new playcaller.  Oklahoma has played two top 10 teams they scored 13 and 19 points.  aTm has played two top 10 teams they scored 29 and 19.

exactly, their ppg are both very high but they are largely inflated to games against sub-par talent.  10 TDs and a FG would have to be scored in order for this game to go Over.  With two quality teams, I just don't see that happening.  Also, OU has the 2nd best pass eff D in the nation.  should help them keep manziel on the ground a bit more. 
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2162 on: January 04, 2013, 01:38:48 pm »

What makes y'all like the under? I think it's at a pretty tough spot because you have to assume each team will score at least 4 touchdowns.

I could be wrong, but with long layoffs offenses often times tend to be a bit sluggish.  Hell they may score a combined 120 for all I know, but only takes one team sputtering a bit to throw that off.  Would take 10 T.D's 10 made extr Poibts and a field goal to push the total. Yes special teams and short field turnovers could hurt the under, but that's the way I am betting.

Every day I hachanged my mind about which team to bet. Sooo I an just betting the total tonight.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2163 on: January 04, 2013, 02:13:47 pm »

I'll probably take the under too. Maybe in a parlay with A&M.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2164 on: January 04, 2013, 02:26:37 pm »

I played them separately. Got the under at 72 though.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2165 on: January 04, 2013, 02:28:42 pm »

A&M's defense is vastly underrated as well.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2166 on: January 04, 2013, 04:26:17 pm »

I also played a couple of prop bets for the first time.

Total score between 64-70 +500
OU wins by 7-10 +1000
« Last Edit: January 04, 2013, 04:53:02 pm by WILL CLINTON »
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2167 on: January 04, 2013, 04:50:21 pm »

Ags -3.5 and under 74.5
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2168 on: January 04, 2013, 05:26:45 pm »

I took the OU moneyline, so we'll see how it plays out. Just don't think it comes down to a FG.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2169 on: January 04, 2013, 07:20:16 pm »

wish they hadnt scored THAT fast.  should settle down a bit though.  hopefully
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2170 on: January 04, 2013, 08:56:34 pm »

Added OU +2 and under 35 in the 2nd half. parlay and straight up.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2171 on: January 04, 2013, 09:19:35 pm »

I cleaned up my mess guys.
« Last Edit: January 05, 2013, 08:52:00 am by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson »
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2172 on: January 04, 2013, 10:02:40 pm »

Tailed your under and glad for it.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2173 on: January 04, 2013, 10:45:18 pm »

Tailed your under and glad for it.

I followed BOTH of your leads tonight & am very glad I did so.  We all develop our own test/systems/hurdles.  Just because a game doesn't fit MY criteria doesn't mean I pass on it.  Tonight's game didn't clear all of my own internal hurdles, but I'm a big believer in listening to others whom I've grown to trust over time, and I'm profiting from following your leads. You guys ROCK!  Hopefully, my game-picking skills will get good enough to return the favors. Thanks again for teaching & sharing!
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2174 on: January 04, 2013, 10:48:38 pm »

I really like Pitt tomorrow, prob my favorite of last week.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2175 on: January 05, 2013, 12:53:13 am »

Some solid people I follow are on Pitt, but I like Ole Miss. Going with the Rebs tomorrow.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2176 on: January 05, 2013, 08:50:53 am »

I'm gonna go back and clean up my mini rant above.  It was really not directed at anyone here.

Had a buddy call me a few weeks back and ask about a specific NFL game he wanted to play. I told him I didn't like the game either way ad wouldn't touch it.  I had no lean either way an told him this. He said if you had to pick one. Told him I was going to flip a coin. Guess he didn't believe me, but I did and game him a team. Obviously the team lost.

This same knucklehead called before last nights game wanting to know who I liked. Told him the under, and that I liked it a lot. So he stars badgering me to pick the winner.  Told him I had flip flopped on it too many times. He then wanted a big explanation as to why I liked the under.

So I apologize for not being clear in my little tantrum above that it was not directed at anyone here. Was me venting about a moron I have known forever.
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2177 on: January 05, 2013, 09:41:40 am »

going all dogs today.

Houston is choking, Cinci has won like 7 of 8 and that one by 1 pt.  Cincy +5

Green Bay can't stop the run Minn has the best RB in football, still think GB will probably win but going  Vikes +8.5

Pitt has played some really good teams really close Louisville, ND, they beat Rutgers and Va tech.  Lets be honest Miss is bad should not be bowling beat us, auburn and Miss St.  going Pitt +3.5
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2178 on: January 05, 2013, 10:58:42 am »

OM also gave A&M and LSU a run for their money.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2179 on: January 05, 2013, 11:07:55 am »

going all dogs today.

Houston is choking, Cinci has won like 7 of 8 and that one by 1 pt.  Cincy +5

Green Bay can't stop the run Minn has the best RB in football, still think GB will probably win but going  Vikes +8.5

Pitt has played some really good teams really close Louisville, ND, they beat Rutgers and Va tech.  Lets be honest Miss is bad should not be bowling beat us, auburn and Miss St.  going Pitt +3.5

collin cowherd also likes Cincy +5, the Houston D has not been the same since Cushing got hurt.  The Bengals have a very solid secondary and a surprisingly good DL.  And you're right, Cincy is hot coming into this game, like them +5 as well. 
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2180 on: January 05, 2013, 11:21:46 am »

Ray Graham is out for Pitt. Liking OM even more now. Don't play NFL often, or hardly ever, but tailed Cowherd on the Bengals and Packers.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2181 on: January 05, 2013, 11:29:13 am »

btw Jeff thanks for the tip on the under, payed off pretty good.  Wouldn't have looked at it had you not mentioned it and knowing that it was a dime play for you gave me a lot of confidence in playing it.  Appreciate it!
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2182 on: January 05, 2013, 11:38:52 am »

I'm gonna go back and clean up my mini rant above.  It was really not directed at anyone here.

Had a buddy call me a few weeks back and ask about a specific NFL game he wanted to play. I told him I didn't like the game either way ad wouldn't touch it.  I had no lean either way an told him this. He said if you had to pick one. Told him I was going to flip a coin. Guess he didn't believe me, but I did and game him a team. Obviously the team lost.

This same knucklehead called before last nights game wanting to know who I liked. Told him the under, and that I liked it a lot. So he stars badgering me to pick the winner.  Told him I had flip flopped on it too many times. He then wanted a big explanation as to why I liked the under.

So I apologize for not being clear in my little tantrum above that it was not directed at anyone here. Was me venting about a moron I have known forever.

No problem...I've kinda wondered about betting etiquette on here. Obviously, if I'm copying someone's picks, I'm not complaining afterwards if they blew arse that weekend. This is kinda obvious, since it was my choice to copy them. And I'm certainly not going to question them about the pick.

But if copying someone's picks, should you post that on here (and I don't mean just 1 of their picks, but all their picks verbatim)?

Pros of posting the deed:  it is a compliment to copy someone's picks and let them know it.
Cons of posting the deed:  that person being copied put all the work in, maybe they don't want it put in their face that their picks are being copied. It is coattail riding.


* Full disclosure -- I sometimes copy verbatim, b/c I suck at betting. But I don't always know if that person minds or will get pissed about my stealing their work.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2183 on: January 05, 2013, 11:41:35 am »

btw Jeff thanks for the tip on the under, payed off pretty good.  Wouldn't have looked at it had you not mentioned it and knowing that it was a dime play for you gave me a lot of confidence in playing it.  Appreciate it!

Me, as well. Thanks Jeff.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2184 on: January 05, 2013, 11:46:14 am »

I am playing cincy +4.5 / 5 units
Green Bay -7 / 5 units.  bought the hook


not touching pitt / ole piss.  I am kinda a Pitt fan and hope they win, but not confident enough to bet either team

what the heck I have been on a massive roll.

pitt + 3.5 / 3 units

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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2185 on: January 05, 2013, 11:54:00 am »

taking Bengals @ +4 and Vikings @ +8, both 2 unit plays (don't like putting too much on NFL). 

Also did a $10 parlay with Bengals +4, Vikings +8, and Ole Miss -4 (Graham being out had me take OM here, thanks for that update widespread).  will win $60 if i hit. 

Good luck gents

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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2186 on: January 05, 2013, 12:01:11 pm »

I went all dogs today too. None of them are strong leans so I'm sticking with 1 unit or less (except that I took Cincy +4.5 for 2 units).
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2187 on: January 05, 2013, 12:42:47 pm »

Lol that's what I get for betting with my heart. Should have left that game alone.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2188 on: January 05, 2013, 01:11:17 pm »

Lol that's what I get for betting with my heart. Should have left that game alone.

haha i was shocked you put 3 units on it.  still lots of game left
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2189 on: January 05, 2013, 01:34:40 pm »

I am playing cincy +4.5 / 5 units
Green Bay -7 / 5 units.  bought the hook


not touching pitt / ole piss.  I am kinda a Pitt fan and hope they win, but not confident enough to bet either team

what the heck I have been on a massive roll.

pitt + 3.5 / 3 units



I left the Pitt and Miss game alone, those teams were way to unpredictable for me.

Not gonna lie though, I'm tailing EVERY NFL play you post or text me. I don't follow it enough to know jack about it, so you are the man as far as my NFL action goes.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2190 on: January 05, 2013, 03:09:47 pm »

haha i was shocked you put 3 units on it.  still lots of game left

Was silly of me, and wouldn't have had I not been killing it the last 5 or 6 weeks.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2191 on: January 05, 2013, 04:01:14 pm »

Was silly of me, and wouldn't have had I not been killing it the last 5 or 6 weeks.

i hear ya, you were on a heater... gotta ride it out!
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2192 on: January 05, 2013, 05:20:02 pm »

Did the Bengals know they were supposed to bring an offense?
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2193 on: January 05, 2013, 05:22:38 pm »

or that you're supposed to try to hit the QB, schaub has ALL DAY to throw
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2194 on: January 05, 2013, 05:29:20 pm »

Just saw where Christian Ponder is out for the Vikes and the backup hasn't thrown a pass all year or something. thinking of doubling up on the Pack and throwing a lil down on the over.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2195 on: January 05, 2013, 05:55:07 pm »

Bumped pack to a dime play.  Right there with you Will.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2196 on: January 05, 2013, 06:35:33 pm »

Dalton missed a few very big throws.  Then why throw to anyone not beyond the first down marker on 4th.

Oh well they had their chances.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2197 on: January 05, 2013, 06:44:13 pm »

Just saw where Christian Ponder is out for the Vikes and the backup hasn't thrown a pass all year or something. thinking of doubling up on the Pack and throwing a lil down on the over.

Webb can't be worse than Ponder, right? Frankly he'll probably be an improvement.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2198 on: January 05, 2013, 06:47:21 pm »

GB has gone from -7.5 to -11 on my site.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #2199 on: January 05, 2013, 07:03:08 pm »

GB has gone from -7.5 to -11 on my site.

same for me. still thinking it may be worth it,
Dalton missed a few very big throws.  Then why throw to anyone not beyond the first down marker on 4th.

Oh well they had their chances.

My thought at the time was why not go for the FG, then try to play the toughest defense you have all day and get another drive to tie.

but throwing a 6 yd in when you need 11 for the 1st was a dumass move.
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