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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 341244 times)

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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1950 on: November 25, 2012, 11:24:29 am »

+1

Guessing that means you were on board and made some coin also? Good job my man.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1951 on: November 28, 2012, 10:40:03 am »

Here's what I've done so far this week:

Cincinnati -5.5 @ Conn. (1 unit)
Kansas +19.5 @ W. Virginia (1 unit)
S. Alabama +5.5 @ Hawaii (1 unit)

I haven't followed these teams closely, so these are all small plays based more on a spreadsheet review than anything else.

EDiT: Added 3 more units to each.
« Last Edit: December 01, 2012, 12:49:10 pm by DadVader1 »
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1952 on: November 28, 2012, 11:32:11 am »

What's up with Kent St. getting 6 Friday night? Seems kinda easy. Like the Bama/UGA under too at 50.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1953 on: November 29, 2012, 01:36:29 pm »

any action tonight?
Rutgers -3.5
Falcons -3.5

Think im taking Rutgers and maybe teasing Falcons up.

Falcons +2.5  o/u 61 UNDER


For sunday:
6 pt teaser
49ers -1  o/u 34 OVER

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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1954 on: November 29, 2012, 01:58:39 pm »

any action tonight?
Rutgers -3.5
Falcons -3.5

Think im taking Rutgers and maybe teasing Falcons up.

Falcons +2.5  o/u 61 UNDER


For sunday:
6 pt teaser
49ers -1  o/u 34 OVER

Thinking I am going to go Saints +4
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1955 on: November 29, 2012, 02:33:32 pm »

Like Rutgers. Also taking K State and UGA Saturday.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1956 on: November 29, 2012, 02:46:09 pm »

I also took Rutgers
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1957 on: November 29, 2012, 02:57:22 pm »

Did you guys buy the half to -3? mine still says -3.5
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1958 on: November 29, 2012, 03:28:32 pm »

FWIW, vegasinsiders free picks are Rutgers and Falcons.


Last week wasn't great, 5-6, but lost a LOAD on LSU v Arkansas. Serves me right I guess and I was playing with house money, so not as big of a deal as it was on Saturday as it was happening.

LSU -12....3*  L
Ohio St -4.5....1*  W 
Louisville -13....1*  L
Georgia -14....2*  W
Oregon -10.5....2*  W
Clemson -4....1*  L
bowling green -8....1*  L
Ball st -9....1*  L 
Notre dame -5....3*  W
Pats -7….1*  W
LSU -11....3*  L 


Record 49-42-1 (53%) Profit $4056 Bankroll $6056 ROI 203%

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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1959 on: November 29, 2012, 03:56:59 pm »

College hoops:

Kentucky +1 @ Notre Dame??
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1960 on: November 29, 2012, 04:34:41 pm »

I added Rutgers -2.5 (4 units, bought the hook)
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1961 on: November 29, 2012, 05:47:13 pm »

YTD: 62-43-1, +28.5 units

2 units
Louisville +3.5 W
UCLA +10 W

1 unit
Bama -8 L
Pitt -7 W
Wis +3 W
« Last Edit: December 01, 2012, 11:12:20 pm by yraciv »
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1962 on: December 01, 2012, 11:17:00 am »

For today:

Bama -8....1*
Nebraska -3....1*
Boise St -8....1*
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1963 on: December 01, 2012, 11:13:13 pm »

Another solid day at the office!  Hate to see the season come to an end.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1964 on: December 02, 2012, 09:07:07 am »

Rams +7.5 / 3 units
Indy + 6.5 / 3 units
Pats -7 / 3 units
Steelers +7.5 / 3 units
Cincy -1 / 3 units

Rams, Pats, Colts three team parlay 1 unit.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1965 on: December 02, 2012, 06:42:51 pm »

Jeff, you SLAYED it today!  THANKS for sharing!  I think that was the first NFL parlay I have ever hit (I bought the hook to get the Pats -6.5 in the parlay).
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1966 on: December 02, 2012, 07:51:08 pm »

Jeff, you SLAYED it today!  THANKS for sharing!  I think that was the first NFL parlay I have ever hit (I bought the hook to get the Pats -6.5 in the parlay).

Thanks man. This is the time of year I make my coin.  Hope you won huge!
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1967 on: December 04, 2012, 08:57:56 am »

Took the Hogs -3 tonight. May get it at 3.5 though, bookie hasn't texted me back yet and the line moved literally a second after I texted him.

Anyone scoped any bowl lines yet?
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1968 on: December 04, 2012, 09:35:48 am »

Went 1-3 on the week last week for a -8 week, making it +21 for the season.  Finished the SEC Rant ATS contest in third place at 67% for the season (two folks tied for first at 70%).  I'm not counting the NFL plays that I luckily copied from Jeff on Sunday.

As we approach the Bowls, any words of wisdom from you veterans on what you do differently on your Bowl picks?  It's my impression that there are more issues to consider than during the regular season, like coaching changes and whether or not the team wants to be in that particular bowl and will show up to play.  Someone once told me to always take the points in bowl games.  I did some checking and decided that that was not a sound strategy.
« Last Edit: December 06, 2012, 10:36:29 pm by DadVader1 »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1969 on: December 04, 2012, 10:01:07 pm »

Well hmmmm. I have been thrown off by the coaching search. Time to put it all aside and pick winners. If you notice I left college alone last week, but Sunday was nice.  Very nice. Lets do it again and all make some coin.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1970 on: December 04, 2012, 10:03:48 pm »

Went 1-3 on the week last week for a -8 week, making it +21 for the season.  Finished the SEC Rant ATS contest in third place at 67% for the season (two folks tied for first at 70%).  I'm not counting the NFL plays that I luckily copied from Jeff on Sunday.

I got a decent start on the database design but will probably use a combination of spreadsheets and a database for next season.  Thanks to Google, I've had a pretty steep learning curve with Excel and have figured out how to do things with it that I had no idea you could do with a spreadsheet.  It's going to be pretty sweet by the time next season rolls around.

As we approach the Bowls, any words of wisdom from you veterans on what you do differently on your Bowl picks?  It's my impression that there are more issues to consider than during the regular season, like coaching changes and whether or not the team wants to be in that particular bowl and will show up to play.  Someone once told me to always take the points in bowl games.  I did some checking and decided that that was not a sound strategy.

Honest answer and obviously this could be wrong, but I bet bowl games on the best QB playing.  Never ever bet a bowl game until 48 hours before kickoff.  College kids and anything can happen as far as last minute suspensions o.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1971 on: December 06, 2012, 10:45:07 am »

Thanks for the tips on differences in picking bowl games!  They make sense.

You know it's been an interesting week when this thread slips to page 7. 

I took Navy -6.5 @ Army (5 units, bought the hook)

This is a spreadsheet play.  The higher than normal units is mainly because there aren't a lot of other games this weekend and is not because I have strong feeling about this one.

Added: Denver -9.5 @ Oakland (5 units, bought the hook, same reasoning as above) W
« Last Edit: December 07, 2012, 09:54:29 am by DadVader1 »
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1972 on: December 06, 2012, 02:57:15 pm »

Decided to test the waters with some college basketball.  Added:

San Diego St. -15 v. UC Santa Barbara (1 unit) L
Syracuse -21.5 v. Long Beach St. (1 unit) W
Xavier -10.5 v. Vandy (1 unit) L
« Last Edit: December 07, 2012, 09:54:56 am by DadVader1 »
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1973 on: December 06, 2012, 03:04:58 pm »

Going Denver -10 tonight
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1974 on: December 06, 2012, 03:28:59 pm »

May play OAK and the points. Double digit home dogs are something like 22-1 ATS in the last 23. Can't really find a point to back the Raiders on though other than that. They suck really bad.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1975 on: December 06, 2012, 04:34:07 pm »

Going Denver -10 tonight

Teased denver to -3.5 and 42 Over

Hope it hits, i had an awful weekend :(
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1976 on: December 06, 2012, 04:49:31 pm »

Teased denver to -3.5 and 42 Over

Hope it hits, i had an awful weekend :(

Only thing you have to worry about I think is if Oak can score enough to get it over 42.  I could see a 34-10 or 17 game. 
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1977 on: December 06, 2012, 05:15:51 pm »

Not playing this game, but if I did I would take raiders + and the under.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1978 on: December 07, 2012, 07:55:54 pm »

Added a few NFL games:

Atlanta -3 @ Carolina (2 units)
Tampa -7 v. Philadelphia (2 units)
Indy -4.5 v. Tennessee (2 units)
Seattle -9.5 v. Arizona (2 units)

I'll probably add Cleveland or Cincinnati later.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1979 on: December 09, 2012, 08:53:44 am »

Titans +5.5 / 3 units
Bears -3 / 3 unuts
Rams +3 / 3 units
Packers -6.5 / 5 units
Patriots -3 / 5 unuts


Three team parlay for 1 unit
Pats
Packers
Titans
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1980 on: December 09, 2012, 08:54:38 am »

Teased denver to -3.5 and 42 Over

Hope it hits, i had an awful weekend :(

Dude that avatar is just plain scary to me
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1981 on: December 10, 2012, 06:22:10 pm »

anyone playing tonight?

I took NE -5.5 1.5 units

Over 50 2 units
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The Great Hambino

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1982 on: December 10, 2012, 06:48:10 pm »

Start posting your bowl confidence picks based on available spreads. :)
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1983 on: December 10, 2012, 06:49:14 pm »

anyone playing tonight?

I took NE -5.5 1.5 units

Over 50 2 units

I went NE as well. Now you got me thinking about that over, I expect a shootout. 
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1984 on: December 10, 2012, 10:38:42 pm »

anyone playing tonight?

I took NE -5.5 1.5 units

Over 50 2 units

Congrats bud.  I ended up going with my original bet then doubled up -.5 on Pats 2nd half line good night. 
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1985 on: December 10, 2012, 10:39:14 pm »

For the second week in a row, Jeff's picks have saved me from my own picks and have turned bad weekends into good ones.  THANKS again Jeff!  You are on a roll!
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1986 on: December 11, 2012, 04:20:40 am »

For the second week in a row, Jeff's picks have saved me from my own picks and have turned bad weekends into good ones.  THANKS again Jeff!  You are on a roll!


Thanks man killed it again along with nailing another 3 teamer.  Feel good when it's going this way.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1987 on: December 11, 2012, 08:58:20 am »

Never ever bet a bowl game until 48 hours before kickoff.  College kids and anything can happen as far as last minute suspensions.

And it begins ... 3 Oregon State players suspended after a bar fight (http://sports.yahoo.com/news/3-players-suspended-team-following-031625451--ncaaf.html

There are too many coaching changes to list without making this a really long post.  My initial thoughts were to pass on the teams that lost their coaches, but I'd like to hear other opinions on possible exceptions.  For example, with N.C. State adding Dave Doeren and W. Kentucky adding BP, if they end up coaching in their bowl games, could that be considered a wash? (gaining a really good coach but losing the continuity that goes along with having the coach that got them to the bowl game)

EDIT: Just saw that neither Doeren nor Petrino will coach their new teams in their bowl games.
« Last Edit: December 11, 2012, 11:16:38 am by DadVader1 »
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1988 on: December 11, 2012, 11:51:00 am »

Start posting your bowl confidence picks based on available spreads. :)

Playing all of these: Rutgers +2.5 vs. VA Tech, Vandy -7 vs. NC St., OK St. -16.5 vs. Purdue, K St. +9.5 vs. ORE, A&M -4.5 vs. OK, OM -3.5 vs. Pitt, and ND +10.5 vs. Bama
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1989 on: December 11, 2012, 11:52:01 am »

Most confident about A&M
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1990 on: December 11, 2012, 01:07:13 pm »

Congrats bud.  I ended up going with my original bet then doubled up -.5 on Pats 2nd half line good night. 

FRICK!

I do not know what happend, because I am almost certain i submitted my bets last night. Did it an hour before kickoff. Checked the halftime line and noticed my wager was allegedly never placed. Still got NE at -.5 2nd half but missed out on a 3.5 unit payout :(
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1991 on: December 11, 2012, 02:44:36 pm »

This weekend, I like Utah St. -9.5 vs. Toledo.  I also like your Rutgers and Kansas State picks but probably won't pull the trigger on those until closer to game day.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1992 on: December 12, 2012, 09:13:09 am »

My leans against the line on all bowl games.

Arizona
Utah st
Byu
Ball st
ULL
Boise st
Fresno st
Central Michigan
San Jose st
Cincy
Ucla
La Monroe
Rutgers
Tx tech
Rice
Az st
W Virginia
Oregon st
Mich st
Vandy
USC
Iowa st
LSU
Okie st
Miss st
S Carolina
Georgia
Wisconsin
Fl St
Louisville
Oregon
Oklahoma
Ole miss
Arky st
Alabama
Bama 38 Notre Dame 24
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1993 on: December 13, 2012, 09:38:01 am »

Who likes NO -3 vs. TB and DET -7 @ AZ on Sunday?
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1994 on: December 13, 2012, 09:38:38 am »

I mean, all DET has to do is kick a few FGs right?
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1995 on: December 13, 2012, 11:46:56 am »

These are my leans that I plan on playing:

Arizona (already played 2 units)
Utah State (a favorite: already played 5 units)
UL Monroe
UL Lafayette
Rutgers
Rice
Arizona State (a favorite)
Oklahoma State
Northwestern
South Carolina (a favorite)


EDIT:  Upon further study, I'm leaning more toward Oregon than Kansas State.  If I play this game, it will probably be a small play.  I've also decided to move one "favorite" selection from Arizona State to Vanderbilt.

EDIT 2:  More waffling.  I'm dropping Vandy, adding OSU & UL Lafayette, and making Arizona State a favorite again.
« Last Edit: December 14, 2012, 11:26:42 pm by DadVader1 »
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1996 on: December 13, 2012, 11:54:55 am »

These are my leans that I plan on playing:

Arizona (already played 2 units)
Utah State (a favorite: already played 5 units)
UL Monroe
Rutgers
Rice
Arizona State (a favorite)
Vanderbilt
Northwestern
South Carolina (a favorite)
Kansas State

Like the Rice play. Convince me on Utah St. and/or Zona. I'm trying to get some CFB action this weekend after nothing to play in two weeks. Hell, I almost played Ole Dominion last Saturday I was so bored.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1997 on: December 13, 2012, 01:21:51 pm »

Utah State has the better qb, the better coach (who turned down offers from Cal and Colorado), the better D, the better record, and the better record ATS.  A few rating systems with pretty good records when predicting Utah State to cover have also predicted that Utah State will cover.  Finally, Utah State is on a 6-game winning streak, and Toledo has lost 2 of its last 3 games, with its only win coming against 1-11 Akron.
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1998 on: December 13, 2012, 05:45:09 pm »

Who likes NO -3 vs. TB and DET -7 @ AZ on Sunday?

I like Det but don't like NO, think TB may win that game TB has found rushing games since they played early, and oh BTW the Saints have ZERO defense.  Probably best bet in that one is the over. 
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1999 on: December 13, 2012, 05:46:47 pm »

Going Bengals -5.5 tonight. 
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