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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 331645 times)

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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1850 on: November 10, 2012, 02:47:02 pm »

And

Ole miss -2.     1.5 units....L
« Last Edit: November 10, 2012, 09:52:24 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1851 on: November 10, 2012, 10:18:31 pm »

4-4 +3 on the weekend - average, but profiting is always good
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1852 on: November 11, 2012, 01:18:53 am »

YTD RECORD 75-52

Went 3-3 on the day but hit my 2 biggest plays including my 10 unit play so I ended up having a profitable day.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1853 on: November 11, 2012, 05:32:03 am »

Went 2-1 on the weekend for +7 for the weekend & +7 for the season.

« Last Edit: December 06, 2012, 10:14:01 pm by DadVader1 »
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1854 on: November 11, 2012, 09:47:27 am »

San fran -12.    6 units
Detroit -3.        3 units..........L
Baltimore -7.    1.5 units.......W
« Last Edit: November 11, 2012, 03:10:05 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1855 on: November 11, 2012, 10:31:08 am »

Falcons -2.5 / 5 units
Cincy +6 / 2 units
Oakland +8 / 3 units
Bills +13.5 / 3 units
Rams +13 / 3 units.
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Porked Tongue

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1856 on: November 11, 2012, 11:03:26 am »

NO on the money line.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1857 on: November 11, 2012, 03:57:07 pm »

It's safe to assume my hot streak is over. About to go 1-2 missing on my 6 unit.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1858 on: November 11, 2012, 07:42:20 pm »

Bears -1     2.5 units
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1859 on: November 12, 2012, 09:24:51 am »

,,,,
« Last Edit: December 06, 2012, 10:16:11 pm by DadVader1 »
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1860 on: November 12, 2012, 10:24:10 am »

I don't know of one, DadVad.

I'm 44-45 on the season, a good year for me. No, really.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1861 on: November 12, 2012, 11:08:05 am »

Texans and Boys got me to 18-20 on the season, -4 units. Looking for a strong finish beginning this week.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1862 on: November 12, 2012, 04:06:42 pm »

Steelers -13.       2.5 units
Under 41.           2.0 units
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1863 on: November 13, 2012, 04:53:29 pm »

any college hoops wagers tonight?

I've got kentucky +4 vs. Duke

Kansas -3.5 vs. michigan state


Both games are in Atlanta at the champions classic
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1864 on: November 13, 2012, 04:55:34 pm »

any college hoops wagers tonight?

I've got kentucky +4 vs. Duke

Kansas -3.5 vs. michigan state



Like those two. Just hard to put money on a Kentucky team who will be fielding the court with players who are literally playing the best team each has faced individually.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1865 on: November 13, 2012, 05:52:18 pm »

Like those two. Just hard to put money on a Kentucky team who will be fielding the court with players who are literally playing the best team each has faced individually.

I agree. I am new to college hoops wagering so i've cut my base bet down for now.

Either way, I see a game this early in the season being more about talent and less about coaching so I like the Cats.

Kansas was a much easier bet though.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1866 on: November 13, 2012, 09:22:26 pm »

Ended up taking the under in the Duke/Kentucky game. Looking pretty good right now. I tail a guy on twitter who is good at college hoops, 60%+ good. Stucky2 is his account.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1867 on: November 14, 2012, 08:26:36 am »

For Saturday I'm looking at TN +4 @ Vandy, Oregon -20.5 vs. Stanford, and Mizzou -4.5 vs. Syracuse.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1868 on: November 14, 2012, 11:57:15 am »

Here's what I've done so far:
Miss St. -6 v. Hogs (15 units)(State's passing game has improved enough to take advantage of our weak secondary.  At home on what would be Nick Bell's senior day, I think they win by at least a TD)
Stanford +21 @ Oregon (2 units)(This is more of a spreadsheet play.)
Notre Dame -23.5 v. Wake Forest (4 units)(Another spreadsheet play.  Wake is bad (lost by 31 to NC State last week), and ND will be looking for style points.)
« Last Edit: December 06, 2012, 10:39:46 pm by DadVader1 »
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1869 on: November 14, 2012, 12:20:56 pm »

Also intrigued with BC +9.5 at home against VT.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1870 on: November 14, 2012, 01:18:07 pm »

Also intrigued with BC +9.5 at home against VT.

That one looks good to me too.  I added BC +10 (2 units).
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1871 on: November 14, 2012, 02:56:09 pm »

Ohio +7.     2.5 units
Uni -10.      2.5 units

Parlay same way 2 units
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1872 on: November 14, 2012, 07:05:59 pm »

Adding....

Milwaukee -4.     2 units
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1873 on: November 14, 2012, 07:40:54 pm »

Arkansas St -6....2*  W
New Mexico +1....1*  L
Pitt -3....2*  L
Oklahoma -20....1*  L
Louisville -3....3*  L

2012-2013 CFB
Record 42-35-1 (54%) Profit $3145 Bankroll $5145 ROI 157%


Horrible Weekend, went 1-4. This weekend there's not too much that catches my eye. I am liking Vandy -4, but not ready to pull the trigger.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1874 on: November 14, 2012, 08:37:50 pm »

I am looking long and hard at this weekend.  Only appears to be a few gems out there to be had.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1875 on: November 14, 2012, 08:50:49 pm »

The Tenn v. Vandy game just has too many questions for me to get comfortable with it.  How will Tenn play with Dooley all but gone?  How big of an impact will it have on Vandy to have their lead RB out or playing injured? If Ole Miss can light up the Vandy D for 400+ passing yards, what will Bray do to them?  I thought Ole Miss outplayed Vandy for much of the game last week but sputtered at the end (maybe a lack of depth).  I'd generally lean toward Franklin at  home over Dooley on the road, but Tenn has owned Vandy for the last several years, and neither one of them is doing all that well ATS.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1876 on: November 14, 2012, 08:54:20 pm »

Ball state halftime line -1 lol. Boredom bet.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1877 on: November 14, 2012, 09:08:02 pm »

I like TN, Dad.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1878 on: November 14, 2012, 10:34:13 pm »

I know it's a weak conference, but NIU might have the second most fun qb to watch in football this year. Lynch just shreds it up!
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1879 on: November 15, 2012, 04:57:40 pm »

Dolphins +3 tonight?
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1880 on: November 15, 2012, 05:47:58 pm »

Buffalo -3.     4 units
Nets -4.         2 units
Virginia +4.   1.5 units
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1881 on: November 16, 2012, 02:50:29 pm »

so, I've decided on

Vandy -3.5...2*
Troy +3....1*
Ohio St +2.5....3*


Probably be all I do this weekend. Maybe a parlay involving these but nothing more. Just not a whole lot out there looking that great.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1882 on: November 16, 2012, 03:00:24 pm »

I am playing Air Force -22 tonight. Hawaii is turrible.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1883 on: November 16, 2012, 03:02:59 pm »

so, I've decided on

Vandy -3.5...2*
Troy +3....1*
Ohio St +2.5....3*


Probably be all I do this weekend. Maybe a parlay involving these but nothing more. Just not a whole lot out there looking that great.


Nope, my board sucks too
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1884 on: November 16, 2012, 03:04:55 pm »

I am playing Air Force -22 tonight. Hawaii is turrible.

I would lean toward the under 61 in this one
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1885 on: November 16, 2012, 03:12:07 pm »

I'm tinkering with a college basketball system I'm developing. This is my first test. Keeping it small till I iron out the kinks....

Utah -5                      2 units
Loyola Chicago -4       1 unit


Nba
Ok city -5.                 2 units

Cfb
Air Force -22             2.5 units
« Last Edit: November 16, 2012, 03:27:35 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1886 on: November 16, 2012, 03:56:16 pm »

college hoops:

North Carolina -11.5 @ Long Beach State

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Tai_Mai_Shu

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1887 on: November 16, 2012, 04:19:54 pm »

My picks this week:

Ohio St +2
Rutgers +6
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la20688

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1888 on: November 16, 2012, 11:46:47 pm »

Cincy  -6
UAB   -10
Mich  -17
LSU  -19
K St  -13
Ohio st +3
Oregon/Stanford over 65

Lots of favorites this week, which sometimes bites me. However, feel pretty good about fading the teams they are playing. So I'm going with my ratings, fwiw
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1889 on: November 17, 2012, 08:18:32 am »

Iowa St -4.5 / 3 units
Clemson 17 / 2 units
Vols +3.5 / 4 units
Ohio St+2.5 / 2 units
USC -4 / 5 units
Stanford +21.5 / 2 units
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1890 on: November 17, 2012, 09:13:03 am »

Missouri -5.     7 units
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1891 on: November 17, 2012, 10:14:48 am »

YTD: 58-42-1, +23.5 units

3 units
Tulsa -1 W

2 units
USC -3 L
AR State -3.5 W
Boise -28.5 L - tough one, should have bought the point
MS State -4.5 W

1 unit
Northwestern +7 W
Baylor +13 W
Cal +14.5 L
« Last Edit: November 18, 2012, 11:05:31 am by yraciv »
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1892 on: November 17, 2012, 10:38:56 am »

Arkansas line from 6.5 to 4.5 in a day. Going to be hard not to take state
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1893 on: November 17, 2012, 11:37:04 am »

Added

Vols +2.5.      1.5 units
Wiscy -2.        1.5 units
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1894 on: November 17, 2012, 03:36:46 pm »

Tomorrows bets thus far:
Redskins -3.5
Saints -3.5

Prob 3 unit bets each if not more
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1895 on: November 18, 2012, 08:15:13 am »

I've been a few last-second collapses/flukes away from having big weekends in maybe 2 or 3 of the last few weekends, and FINALLY had things break my way this weekend.  Went 4-0 for +23 units, making it +30 for the season.  Also moved into 3d place in a TD SEC Rant ATS pick'em contest, within striking distance of 1st going into the last week of the season. 

In the spirit of Thanksgiving, I'm thankful for you seasoned veterans who keep teaching and sharing picks with the rest of us. I'm also thankful to have this as a fun distraction from our dumpster fire of a season, and I'm ESPECIALLY thankful that The Search should be over soon.  I feel like a kid waiting on Christmas morning and hoping it gets here by maybe the Tuesday after Thanksgiving.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1896 on: November 18, 2012, 08:35:23 am »

...
« Last Edit: December 06, 2012, 10:38:33 pm by DadVader1 »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1897 on: November 18, 2012, 09:04:41 am »

I've been a few last-second collapses/flukes away from having big weekends in maybe 2 or 3 of the last few weekends, and FINALLY had things break my way this weekend.  Went 4-0 for +23 units, making it +30 for the season.  Also moved into 3d place in a TD SEC Rant ATS pick'em contest, within striking distance of 1st going into the last week of the season. 

In the spirit of Thanksgiving, I'm thankful for you seasoned veterans who keep teaching and sharing picks with the rest of us. I'm also thankful to have this as a fun distraction from our dumpster fire of a season, and I'm ESPECIALLY thankful that The Search should be over soon.  I feel like a kid waiting on Christmas morning and hoping it gets here by maybe the Tuesday after Thanksgiving.


It's really rough when you have what you feel solid picks.  They lose the cover late, ad you look back and say I would have bet the same way 10 times out of 10.  I had some truly horrible week early this year the likes of wish I hadn't experienced in ages.  Just made me focus and work harder.  Turned it around pretty nicely.

Your database questions are lost on me.  I am a bit more old school.  Have my little war room with a huge dry erase.  Monday morning I look at games and lines. Monday is nothing but gut feel.  Games I like go on my board an I forget about it. 

Tuesday I start trimming it down.  Trends and other info. Trends and line movement make up very little if what I decide.

Wednesday the focus becomes much more serious.  Games that looked great on Monday but feel iffy now I either drop entirely or make a small play.

Thursday is my day to check weather, injuries, suspensions.  I then make 5 or 6 phone calls to people I feel I get great info from.  One call goes to Nevada, one goes to Cleveland, one to the Bronx, and a couple to A.C.  If they are all in agreement on a game I am looking at its a dime play or larger.  If its larger than a dime and I post it on here I still post as a dime.  When they all agree or if I get a call saying Jeff get on this game I do in a big way.  I never say that here because if someone went that way for more than they could afford I would feel awful.

I will say this when I get a call or they all agree its literally hit 19 of 22 times.  I generally text that out.  Sent one out to a fellow hogvillian once before, but he didn't get it in time.  Think he was working or had class or something when I sent te text.

Friday I just firm up in my mind what I decided on Thursday.  Another check for arrests, injuries, suspensions.  Sat morning I make my plays and sun morning for NFL.  I almost never place early to get what I consider a great line because of fear it will move the other way.  Yep sometimes it bites me in the butt, but more times than not it has saved me a huge headache.

Anyhoo.  Hope everyone has a great week.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1898 on: November 18, 2012, 09:06:17 am »

Rough day yesterday.  Was a tough day to pick.  Like today much much better
Cardinals +9.5 / 2 units
Tampa -1 / 2 units
Indy +9 / 3 units
Cincy -3 / bought the hook / 3 units
Steelers +3.5 / 5 units
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1899 on: November 18, 2012, 09:34:59 am »

Steelers +3.5 / 5 units

I KNOW you like the Steelers, but I just have a VERY hard time putting money on a team when Leftwich is their starting qb.

THANKS for the rundown of your week.  I'm trying to move more toward a pattern like you describe.  On getting in early bets, on Sundays, I still try to pick one or two games where I think the line will move rapidly and try to get a great spread before it moves too much.  I am starting to get the feeling that it isn't making much difference, so I plan on watching it to see if I can justify the risk of pulling the trigger so soon.  On that note, I think you may have been the one who taught me to NEVER bet on LSU early in the week for fear of arrests/suspensions during the week. 
« Last Edit: December 06, 2012, 10:38:03 pm by DadVader1 »
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