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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 338723 times)

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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1400 on: October 06, 2012, 06:50:16 pm »

Georgia looks awful
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1401 on: October 06, 2012, 06:55:08 pm »

Georgia looks awful

Yes they do, but a lot of game left. And already a good day with Michigan and Clemson!
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1402 on: October 06, 2012, 07:35:35 pm »

So N Illinois was a good late add.

Good OU call
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1403 on: October 06, 2012, 08:39:52 pm »

The two teams I bet on, auburn and Georgia, both forgot that you have to score points to win. Auburn I can see, but really Georgia? They might get shut out.  I'm at a loss for words
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1404 on: October 06, 2012, 08:44:18 pm »

I can't believe how awful Georgia looks. It's just sad...

I suppose I should have listened about the TCU game, and I should have learned my own lesson about VT.

Sitting at 3-4 on the week though, and Clemson was my big pick, so I'm actually not doing that bad $$$ wise.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1405 on: October 06, 2012, 08:45:06 pm »

UGA (sigh)...along w/ texas, the teams that do the least w/ the talent they supposedly get.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1406 on: October 06, 2012, 08:47:53 pm »

I can't believe how awful Georgia looks. It's just sad...

I suppose I should have listened about the TCU game, and I should have learned my own lesson about VT.

Sitting at 3-4 on the week though, and Clemson was my big pick, so I'm actually not doing that bad $$$ wise.

I went to the VT well too many times this season . . . dry each time.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1407 on: October 06, 2012, 09:42:15 pm »

Finally got around to updating my record. I went from 6 games up to 1 down in a two week span. Had a 6-1 day today to get back to a positive mark, both in record and units. I'm thinking about laying off the nfl because I'm getting my head handed to me. I don't have time to really work NCAA and nfl .
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1408 on: October 06, 2012, 10:10:13 pm »


I dunno about everybody else, but whatever units I post I play, and I play them directly thru a casino in Nevada, occasionally one in AC. My unit play has drastically increased as this season has moved on.  This has been one of the wackiest in recent memory.  Took several weeks to get an actual read on many of these teams.

Most seasons you can ride highly ranked big spread favorites in the first two weeks and get yourself a great start. This year not so much.  Take USC for example.  You never know if they are gonna put 65 on the board or give up 65.  I did not bet them in the game with Utah.  Had I bet I would have won. On the flip side I would have lost had I played the in the Syracuse game.  The more info you get the more comfortable you are laying larger sums.

I understand what yraciv is saying. Since people have been being called out for posting records after the fact, they have started saying their wins are weighed heavier than the losses thereby making their record seem less important than their overall bankroll.

The problem is that since nobody is posting bet tickets or receipts, tracking bankroll is useless, and like Will says, it's not anybody's business how much we play. People like you post your units with your picks, so you can back up what u say you post. Not everybody posts units beforehand.

I don't post units. I will occasionally post if I'm up or down unit wise. But I like seeing how you weigh your picks as it shows how much confidence u have in the play , no matter if a unit is 5 bucks or 1000
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1409 on: October 06, 2012, 10:56:00 pm »

I understand what yraciv is saying. Since people have been being called out for posting records after the fact, they have started saying their wins are weighed heavier than the losses thereby making their record seem less important than their overall bankroll.

The problem is that since nobody is posting bet tickets or receipts, tracking bankroll is useless, and like Will says, it's not anybody's business how much we play. People like you post your units with your picks, so you can back up what u say you post. Not everybody posts units beforehand.

I don't post units. I will occasionally post if I'm up or down unit wise. But I like seeing how you weigh your picks as it shows how much confidence u have in the play , no matter if a unit is 5 bucks or 1000


The only reason I post *'s by each pick is for this exact reason. I want people to know that I was way more confident about Clemson than I was about LSU or USC. That way, if anyone is following me, they don't have to bet all the games I do, but can hone in on the higher weighted ones.

I also do it to see at the end of the season how my reads were.

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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1410 on: October 07, 2012, 08:47:04 am »

Same here.  If I say a dime play or 5 unit play it means I really really like those games.  If its a 1 unit play I am betting it yes, but more of a lean than a bigtime pick.  A 1 unit play for me is often a time when it's the only game on, and I am playing it for fun.  I know I know and I have known for years it's not a smart thing to do, but I do it anyway :)
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1411 on: October 07, 2012, 09:32:10 am »

I don't post units/play b/c I only bet 1 unit for every bet I make due to a below-mediocrity betting record (but I find betting fun, so I bet anyway).

But I appreciate those that do post their units/play for the reasons Will and Jeff stated above.
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Dr. Starcs

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1412 on: October 07, 2012, 09:50:45 am »

Went 6-7 this week. Grrrr.

Wins - Ark St +1 1/2, Wisc -11 1/2,  Clemson -10, Mary -2, Iowa St +10, 
Notre Dame -9 1/2

Losses - Usc -12, Air Force -9, BC -8 
South Florida -4 1/2, Auburn -10, LSU -2 1/2, Mizz -6 1/2

24-14-1 on the season.
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1413 on: October 07, 2012, 10:45:27 am »

I am having a crap year.  4-9 so far but haven't bet in a week or so, I have to get away from the college lines I am not even in the ballpark on em. 

I am going 3 team teaser $120 to win $100:  Green bay +3 Giants +1 and Ravens +3.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1414 on: October 07, 2012, 11:41:27 am »

Went 6-7 this week. Grrrr.

Wins - Ark St +1 1/2, Wisc -11 1/2,  Clemson -10, Mary -2, Iowa St +10,
Notre Dame -9 1/2

Losses - Usc -12, Air Force -9, BC -8
South Florida -4 1/2, Auburn -10, LSU -2 1/2, Mizz -6 1/2

24-14-1 on the season.


Where did u get Maryland -2?
« Last Edit: October 07, 2012, 11:43:29 am by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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Dr. Starcs

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1415 on: October 07, 2012, 12:07:46 pm »

Sir pigs, I got on it early Monday morning. Believe it was MGM. However, it should be noted I am only doing this for fun. Don't have the guts to do the online thing.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1416 on: October 07, 2012, 12:55:28 pm »

I have no plays as of now today.  My Vegas guy is playing in a damn benefit  golf tourney.  Lol

If I do anything on afternoon or night games I will post them.
« Last Edit: October 07, 2012, 08:14:43 pm by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson »
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1417 on: October 07, 2012, 01:10:08 pm »

Heck of a day. 6-2 and up 12 units
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1418 on: October 07, 2012, 07:20:44 pm »

SD +3.5
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ed_wheeley

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1419 on: October 07, 2012, 07:51:11 pm »

CFB lines are out. Arkansas is -17.5 against Kentucky... Probably not going to bet on that game at all, unless it's on the money line. I've figured it out, I'm not betting early in the week anymore. I lose my ass on college games and then win it all back on 7 and 8 team moneyline parlays on NFL games. I'll waiting until Thursday and do the same on college games, unless I see a line that I just absolutely love. Ole Miss -4.5 vs Auburn is one of those.
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razorjack12

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1420 on: October 08, 2012, 03:26:39 am »

I am taking Kentucky +17.5       The Hogs are definitely a risky bet this season, but I just can't leave 17.5 pts on the table . .. .
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1421 on: October 08, 2012, 08:58:00 am »

CFB lines are out. Arkansas is -17.5 against Kentucky... Probably not going to bet on that game at all, unless it's on the money line. I've figured it out, I'm not betting early in the week anymore. I lose my ass on college games and then win it all back on 7 and 8 team moneyline parlays on NFL games. I'll waiting until Thursday and do the same on college games, unless I see a line that I just absolutely love. Ole Miss -4.5 vs Auburn is one of those.

THIS.  I am waiting till thursday or friday from now on.  Gives me time to do research and let the lines move.  if it moves away from me then I just need to let it go.  Had an awful weeend, went 0-2 on my big bets (aubur and Georgia), and lost a parlay I did.  I have one game tonight, got the Texans at -9.  Could really use a win.

This is my first year doing this and man have I learned some lessons very quickly haha 
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1422 on: October 08, 2012, 10:37:30 am »

Went 3-2 on the weekend but lost my largest play so ended up even on the weekend and +13 for the season. 

Losses (total: 14 units)
Auburn (12 units) (first time I've ever been HAPPY about losing my largest play)
Missouri (2 units)

Wins (total: 14 units)
Miss St (8 units)
Florida (4 units)
SC (2 units)
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1423 on: October 08, 2012, 11:03:26 am »

few lines I'm leaning towards so far, wont bet them all but will take into consideration...

Ole Miss (-4.5) vs Auburn

Duke (+10) @ Va. Tech.

Maryland (+2.5) @ Virginia

Oregon St (+2.5) @ BYU

Alabam (-21.5) @ Mizzou

W. Virginia (-4.5) @ Texas Tech

Florida (-7.5) @ Vandy

South Carolina (+2.5) @ LSU (night game at LSU is TOUGH, but I have no faith in LSU's offense to score against SC's defense

Miss. St (-3) vs Tenner


Thoughts on any of these?
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1424 on: October 08, 2012, 11:15:42 am »

Texans -8.5 / 2 units
Under 40 / 2 units
Two team parlay texans to the under for two units.
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MS_HogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1425 on: October 08, 2012, 11:16:06 am »

Quote
W. Virginia (-4.5) @ Texas Tech

This one looks so good its scary.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1426 on: October 08, 2012, 11:19:20 am »

Yeah, I've got my self-imposed $5 NFL limit on Texans -8.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1427 on: October 08, 2012, 11:20:01 am »

This one looks so good its scary.

exactly what I was thinking... something's fishy
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ed_wheeley

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1428 on: October 08, 2012, 11:25:23 am »

few lines I'm leaning towards so far, wont bet them all but will take into consideration...

Ole Miss (-4.5) vs Auburn

Duke (+10) @ Va. Tech.

Maryland (+2.5) @ Virginia

Oregon St (+2.5) @ BYU

Alabam (-21.5) @ Mizzou

W. Virginia (-4.5) @ Texas Tech

Florida (-7.5) @ Vandy

South Carolina (+2.5) @ LSU (night game at LSU is TOUGH, but I have no faith in LSU's offense to score against SC's defense

Miss. St (-3) vs Tenner


Thoughts on any of these?

I'm with in on all of those games except one, Maryland-Virginia. I wouldn't bet on that game. It seems like every time I see those teams play, a different team shows up. Maryland kept it close with WVU but lost to UCONN. Virginia played TCU well but has lost 4 straight. Against quality opponents, UVA would be 0-6. If I had to bet, I'd pick Maryland. +2.5, but I wouldn't stake much on it.

To keep tonight interesting (my night off!) I've done a three game parlay picking Houston -9, the Nats to beat the Cards, and the Yankees to beat the Orioles.
« Last Edit: October 08, 2012, 11:27:42 am by ed_wheeley »
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1429 on: October 08, 2012, 11:40:10 am »

starting to have second thoughts on the Miss State vs Tenner game, Miss St has yet to play a quality opponent, will be intersting to see how they actually matchuup vs a decent Tenner team.  Dont think I will be touching this one
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1430 on: October 08, 2012, 02:30:13 pm »

starting to have second thoughts on the Miss State vs Tenner game, Miss St has yet to play a quality opponent, will be intersting to see how they actually matchuup vs a decent Tenner team.  Dont think I will be touching this one


I think tenner wins that game outright.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1431 on: October 08, 2012, 02:34:48 pm »

For now, I've taken:

Bama -21.5 @ Missouri (2 units)
Georgia beat down Missouri to the point that MO about quit, and GA & SC both beat MO by 21. With MO now at 0-3 in SEC and doubting themselves after losing to Vandy, I think Bama steamrolls them much worse.

SC +3 @ LSU (2 units)
SC's D is as good or better than LSU's, SC's O is better than LSU's, and I think Clowney & company will rattle Mettenberger and force him into making mistakes.  It's hard to go against LSU at home at night, but LSU just isn't as good as this year, and SC looks legit.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1432 on: October 08, 2012, 02:39:09 pm »

Love your Duke pick Huck. With the way VT has been the suckage lately, I don't see any reason Cutcliffe can't get the Devils up for that one.

I really like WV -4.5 also, but TT can be tricky at home in big games. They've played the spoiler role well.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1433 on: October 08, 2012, 02:45:07 pm »


I think tenner wins that game outright.

No lie, last night that's the first thing that popped into my head.

I'm leaning towards Bama, as long as it stays under 21. That's still a lot of points though.
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ed_wheeley

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1434 on: October 08, 2012, 02:56:10 pm »

I think we all agree on most of these. I picked Bama and the points. Missouri's rude awakening continues.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1435 on: October 08, 2012, 03:05:07 pm »

Love your Duke pick Huck. With the way VT has been the suckage lately, I don't see any reason Cutcliffe can't get the Devils up for that one.

I really like WV -4.5 also, but TT can be tricky at home in big games. They've played the spoiler role well.

with how they dismantled Virginia, I think they definitely stay within 10. 

and Texas Tech always makes me nervous.  they are famous for playing the spoiler role in the Big 12.  this may be a bit of a trap game for WVU as well, but gosh thats a low spread for a team that just beat UT @ UT vs a team that got blown out at home vs OU...
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1436 on: October 08, 2012, 03:06:33 pm »


I think tenner wins that game outright.

I could very well see this, esp with them coming off a bye
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1437 on: October 08, 2012, 03:30:46 pm »

I went ahead and added another 8 units to Bama -21.5.  With almost 70% of the action on Bama, I wouldn't be surprised to see the line start to grow. 

I doubt I'll touch Tenn @ State.  I could see it going either way.  Tenn is 2-0 ats on the road and can score some points when Bray keeps his composure (which is hard to predict).  I think State is the better team, but they haven't played anyone yet and haven't exactly steamrolled inferior opponents.
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Blutoblutarsky

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1438 on: October 08, 2012, 03:32:49 pm »

Anyone like the MNF game?
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sooie dog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1439 on: October 08, 2012, 03:38:30 pm »

Watchout for a let down with USCe. WVU is traveling a lot and may be part of the reason for that line being so low.  I'm not saying go either way with these it's just my observations.
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1440 on: October 08, 2012, 03:38:44 pm »

Small play, but I'm taking Jets +10 for 1 unit.
« Last Edit: October 08, 2012, 06:28:37 pm by yraciv »
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1441 on: October 08, 2012, 03:49:11 pm »

Small play, but I'm taking Jets +9.5 for 1 unit.

Do you mind giving some information as to why? Not trying to be sarcastic, but just would like to know your reasoning. I don't bet NFL because I don't follow it that much, but I can't imagine the Jets being that close to the Texans, who look dominant.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1442 on: October 08, 2012, 04:22:49 pm »

Do you mind giving some information as to why? Not trying to be sarcastic, but just would like to know your reasoning. I don't bet NFL because I don't follow it that much, but I can't imagine the Jets being that close to the Texans, who look dominant.

I got $150 on the Texans at -9.  Jets lost their best receiver (who wasnt even that good to begin with), they have one of the worst qb's in the league, no running game, and their best corner (revis) is out for the season.  Houston has the best RB in the league, one of the better WR's in Andre Johnson (with no revis to cover him) and a top 3 D in the league.  They are set up very similar to the 49ers and we know how that went for the Jets last week

This is why im taking the Texans.  I would also be genuinely curious as to why you're taking the jets.  I've been wrong before and I will be wrong again, hopefully not on this one though lol

« Last Edit: October 08, 2012, 04:24:50 pm by Huckleberry Pig »
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1443 on: October 08, 2012, 06:25:11 pm »

I never play the NFL as ya'll can see in here, but I've been rather hot picking games on ESPNs ATS and thought I'd give it a try.  It's really just a hunch play because I don't think the Jets are as bad as they've shown.  The Texans have played what I perceive to be the easiest schedule in the NFL, so far and I think they are being overvalued.  I have confidence in a Rex Ryan defense to bounce back and be up for primetime games. Andre Johnson hasn't been 100%, and hasn't been getting targeted much lately. Maybe it's because he hasn't been needed, but Cromartie is plenty good to keep him under wraps.  Aarian Foster has also not been up to his usual standards averaging less that 4 YPC against bad teams. Then there is always the chance for some Tebow magic.

The Jets are my V Tech of the NFL. I just can't imagine they are as bad as they showed last week. We'll see if it burns me!
« Last Edit: October 08, 2012, 06:28:04 pm by yraciv »
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bsking

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1444 on: October 08, 2012, 06:28:23 pm »

I know we haven't quite finished up this current week but opening lines have come out for college and I wanted to see what you guys thought about West Virginia -4.5 @ Texas Tech.  This is about as tantalizing of a line as I've seen this year.  I know that's a lot of travel from WV to Austin to WV to Lubbock but after watching WV @ Texas and OU @ TTU I feel like WVU runs away with this one?  Thoughts?
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1445 on: October 08, 2012, 06:49:37 pm »

Posted mine earlier my man. Texas and the under and a two teamer the same way.
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1446 on: October 08, 2012, 07:17:01 pm »

I know we haven't quite finished up this current week but opening lines have come out for college and I wanted to see what you guys thought about West Virginia -4.5 @ Texas Tech.  This is about as tantalizing of a line as I've seen this year.  I know that's a lot of travel from WV to Austin to WV to Lubbock but after watching WV @ Texas and OU @ TTU I feel like WVU runs away with this one?  Thoughts?
I'm liking WV and Okie state killing KU a lot.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1447 on: October 08, 2012, 07:26:35 pm »

Sure fire loss but I'm on Texas -9. Seems too easy, which means i picked wrong.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1448 on: October 08, 2012, 07:27:39 pm »

Actually just put 135.00 to win 100.00 on the Yankees tonight.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1449 on: October 08, 2012, 07:38:03 pm »

I'm liking WV and Okie state killing KU a lot.

didnt see the Okie state spread, but definitely like it.  23 is a lot but KU has lost to Northern Illinois and Rice this year.  They only got beat by 14 by TCU but I really think TCU is vastly over rated, plus they cant score like OSU can.  I really like that pick
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