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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 330657 times)

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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1300 on: September 30, 2012, 10:48:29 am »

Good week here too.  Went 3-3 this week but hit my 3 biggest plays so ended up +14 for the week & +13 for the season.

Losses
Georgia -13.5 (4)
Stanford -6 (2)
Bama -29.5 (1)

Wins
A&M -13.5 (8 )
SC -20.5 (8 )
Missouri +2.5 (5)
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1301 on: September 30, 2012, 11:21:03 am »

Chargers -1 / 5 unit play
bengals pk / 2 units
49ers -4 / 3 units
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Dr. Starcs

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1302 on: September 30, 2012, 11:22:56 am »

Went 6-5 this week
Wins
Penn St +1 1/2
Texas A&M -11
Uab +17
Clemson -7
New Mexico +30
Texas +5 1/2
   Losses
Nevada -21
Central Michigan +12
Florida St -14
Oregon -28
Alabama -30

Really mad at Bama, Flo St and Oregon.

18-7-1 on the season.
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Porked Tongue

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1303 on: September 30, 2012, 11:28:01 am »

DET/VIK over 48.5

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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1304 on: September 30, 2012, 11:39:00 am »

det -4..................L
O44 cinci/ jax........L

YTD RECORD 25-25
« Last Edit: October 06, 2012, 08:45:29 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1305 on: September 30, 2012, 02:44:34 pm »

I have been posting my picks ad amounts but not running a total. Trying to reverse the jinx.

Good day yesterday.  Looking like a great day today knock on wood!
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1306 on: September 30, 2012, 03:02:43 pm »

Had a good weekend, lost my two parlays but hit all 3 of my big bets! Summary below:

$72.50 6 team parlay - pays $2,900 (note this was all bonus money, wouldnt do this with my own money):  LOSS

Stanford (-7) @ Washington

Texas A&M (-13.5) vs Arkansas

Clemson (-9.5) @ Boston College

Florida State (-17) @ South Florida

Texas (-2.5) @ Oklahoma State

TCU (-16.5) @ SMU


$35 5 team parlay, pays $875 (note: this was done before the 6 team parlay and with my own money):  LOSS

Texas A&M (-13.5) vs Arkansas

Clemson (-9.5) @ Boston College

Florida State (-16) @ South Florida

Texas (-2.5) @ Oklahoma State

TCU (-18) @ SMU


Regular bets:

Texas (-2.5) @ Oklahoma State -- 7 units.   WIN

Clemson (-9.5) @ Boston College -- 8 units.   WIN

Texas A&M (-13.5) vs Arkansas -- 4 unit.   WIN


I have been very fortunate this year in that I've hit almost all my really big bets...

Wanted to bet some NfL games but didnt have time to do any research so I held off
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1307 on: September 30, 2012, 03:22:57 pm »

Hey Will.  I am on one of those rolls baby!
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1308 on: September 30, 2012, 03:23:59 pm »

what time does Vegas come out with their odds for the upcoming week? Sun night or Monday morning?
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1309 on: September 30, 2012, 07:11:32 pm »

Lol hogfanintx back on track in a big way.

Tonight
G-men / 2 units
Over / 2 units

Two team parlay the same way 2 units.
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ed_wheeley

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1310 on: September 30, 2012, 07:29:46 pm »

I did a 5 game parlay today on the moneyline, picked

New England
Arizona
Atlanta
San Francisco
Houston

Seemed like really easy money, but man ATL and AZ really came down to the wire. Wow that was a lot of fun. Plus I pocked like $60, which is big money for me.

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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1311 on: September 30, 2012, 09:08:40 pm »

Lol hogfanintx back on track in a big way.

Tonight
G-men / 2 units
Over / 2 units

Two team parlay the same way 2 units.

saw this bet and sounded like you were on a roll so i went with it, now regretting it haha.  still, if anyone can score quickly it's the giants, but their O Line has gotta step up in the 2nd half
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1312 on: September 30, 2012, 09:18:28 pm »

lines are out... some i like so far:

Auburn (-10) vs Arkansas

West Virginia (+7) @ Texas  ::hornsdown::

Georgia (+3) @ S. Carolina

UL Monroe (-3.5) @ MTennSt



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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1313 on: September 30, 2012, 09:25:14 pm »

actually dont know about that ULM game, MTennSt had a pretty good showing against Georgia Tech...

Also Clemson (-10) vs Georgia Tech looks attractive
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gguillo

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1314 on: September 30, 2012, 09:51:10 pm »

Opening line for Auburn vs. Hogs is -10

Hogs haven't even come close to covering ONCE this entire season.

-41 vs. Jacksonville St. - Fail
-30.5 vs. La-Monroe - Fail
+20.5 vs. Alabama - Fail
-7 vs. Rutgers - Fail
+14 vs. A&M - Fail

Lock of the week.

40-10 AUBURN
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1315 on: September 30, 2012, 10:00:15 pm »

makes me sick... but i just put $500 on auburn (-10).  i just dont see how we cover.  aubie has had two weeks to prepare and played a good game against LSU
« Last Edit: September 30, 2012, 10:18:50 pm by Huckleberry Pig »
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bsking

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1316 on: September 30, 2012, 11:47:37 pm »

Games I will definitely play:

Auburn -10
Oklahoma -4.5 (probably drop a lot on this one)
West Virginia +7
Clemson -10
Georgia +3 (Probably put several units here too)
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1317 on: October 01, 2012, 01:23:23 am »

Just locked in

USC -13....1*
LSU -3....1*
Georgia +3....1*
Clemson -10....1*

I imagine there will be more and I will probably up the ante on almost all of these.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1318 on: October 01, 2012, 06:10:08 am »

And of course neither team puts up many points last night.  Still a great day.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1319 on: October 01, 2012, 07:15:02 am »

Games I will definitely play:

Auburn -10
Oklahoma -4.5 (probably drop a lot on this one)
West Virginia +7
Clemson -10
Georgia +3 (Probably put several units here too)

like all of these!
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razorjack12

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1320 on: October 01, 2012, 07:21:31 am »

Opening line for Auburn vs. Hogs is -10

Hogs haven't even come close to covering ONCE this entire season.

-41 vs. Jacksonville St. - Fail
-30.5 vs. La-Monroe - Fail
+20.5 vs. Alabama - Fail
-7 vs. Rutgers - Fail
+14 vs. A&M - Fail

Lock of the week.

40-10 AUBURN

I'll be curious to see if the line moves on Aub/Ark.   My guess is that it will move to -12.5 by kickoff.  Just a guess. . . .
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Dr. Starcs

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1321 on: October 01, 2012, 07:56:18 am »

This weeks picks -

USC -12 @ Utah
Arkansas St +1 1/2 @ FIU
Utah St +9 @ BYU
Air Force -9 v Navy
Northern Illinois +1 @ Ball St 
BC -8 @ Army
Clemson -10 v Georgia Tech
South Florida -4 1/2 @ Temple
Missouri -6 1/2 v Vandy
Wisconsin -11 1/2 v Illinois
Auburn -10  v Arkansas
Maryland -2 v Wake Forest
Notre Dame -9 1/2 v Miami
LSU -2 1/2 @ Florida
North Texas -11 @ Houston

Going to probably trim these down as the week progresses, buy wanted to get them all out there.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1322 on: October 01, 2012, 10:23:11 am »

Went 1-3
#MeanReversion

Last night I locked these in.....
WVU  +7
Northwester  +3.5
UGA  +3
VaTech  +3.5 (I'm going to win a VaTech game once this year, damnit!)
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1323 on: October 01, 2012, 12:00:52 pm »

already locked these in:

Georgia (+3) @ South Carolina -- 8 units

Auburn (-10) vs Arkansas -- 20 units

1 unit = $25

gonna wait till the end of the week to see where the lines go on the other games
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Wildhog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1324 on: October 01, 2012, 12:01:41 pm »

Arkansas is a cash cow this year.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1325 on: October 01, 2012, 12:49:48 pm »

auburn line down to -9.5.  I'm shocked.
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Blutoblutarsky

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1326 on: October 01, 2012, 02:56:41 pm »

Anyone taking any action tonight on Da Bears/girls game?  Should be a real pillow fight
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MS_HogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1327 on: October 01, 2012, 03:01:52 pm »

already locked these in:

Georgia (+3) @ South Carolina -- 8 units

Auburn (-10) vs Arkansas -- 20 units

1 unit = $25

gonna wait till the end of the week to see where the lines go on the other games

WOW
Good luck on the Auburn game.
You started the year betting 25 bucks and 5 weeks later you got 500 on one game. You must be having a good year.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1328 on: October 01, 2012, 03:48:23 pm »

Since I didn't post my pics ahead of time I'll just say I started awful and finished very strong. Ended up -44 bucks overall. I am now winless on Thursday night college games. Done betting those.

I am 7-2 on halftime college bets, 1-3 on NFL halftime bets.

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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1329 on: October 01, 2012, 03:56:59 pm »

WOW
Good luck on the Auburn game.
You started the year betting 25 bucks and 5 weeks later you got 500 on one game. You must be having a good year.

the Jets game a few weeks ago was a big win for me, then this weekend I won all three of my big bets (posted my winnings somewhere above or a page before), acct is up to $900, started with $250.  that helps.
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ed_wheeley

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1330 on: October 01, 2012, 04:22:34 pm »

I did horribly on college games this weekend. I need to change my betting strategy AWAY from high-risk/high-reward parlays. I guess it's an attitude adjustment. I felt like risking $1 to win $30 was worth it, but try that 100 times and even if you're 90% correct you won't win anything. Gonna try some if-win bets this week.

For anyone keeping track of my picks last week, I took the points on Buffalo, Middle Tennessee State, Idaho, Colorado State, and Marshall.

I'll admit that I should've stayed away from Idaho... Didn't really do my research there. Regardless, I was 60% correct in games that most people don't care about, which I thought was kind of cool. MTSU upsetting GaTech was icing on the cake. I'll announce my "Ed's Boring Picks of the Week" later.

Against my best judgement, I bet on pro games this weekend. And somehow I quadrupled my money, completely making up for the losses I sustained on college games.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1331 on: October 01, 2012, 05:18:26 pm »

Anyone taking any action tonight on Da Bears/girls game?  Should be a real pillow fight


Cows -3 / 2 units.  And man I hate the cows!
Under 41.5 / 2 units

Tied together 2 team parly for 2 units.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1332 on: October 01, 2012, 05:27:19 pm »


Cows -3 / 2 units.  And man I hate the cows!


I will enjoy watching this game knowing that in at least some small way, you'll be cheering for Dallas tonight.  ;D
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1333 on: October 01, 2012, 05:54:56 pm »

Alright, I'm piggy-backing Jeff....if he, the great hater of all things Cowboys, is putting money on the line, then who am I to argue?

Dallas   -3
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1334 on: October 01, 2012, 06:07:41 pm »

Ed, I'm not an expert. That being said, I'd just do a few parlays a week for small amounts. They're fun and will allow you to have something riding on more games throughout the weekend.

You're never really going to get ahead betting a bunch of parlays.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1335 on: October 01, 2012, 06:48:34 pm »

Alright, I'm piggy-backing Jeff....if he, the great hater of all things Cowboys, is putting money on the line, then who am I to argue?

Dallas   -3


Lol isn't that the truth. Just hope one of Romo' good personalities shows up.  His game has many different ones. Never know when mr Hyde will show up.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1336 on: October 01, 2012, 06:54:48 pm »

I'm something like 2-9 in my last 11. Seeing Jeff come out of his funk makes me hopeful. So I'm on the cowboys at -3 hoping to get back on track


Cowboys -3.........L

YTD RECORD 25-26
« Last Edit: October 06, 2012, 08:47:05 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1337 on: October 01, 2012, 08:43:15 pm »

Dear sweet fancy Moses. Makes me so glad I am and never have been a cow fan.  That damn Romo is bi polar I swear.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1338 on: October 01, 2012, 08:46:20 pm »

Dear sweet fancy Moses. Makes me so glad I am and never have been a cow fan.  That damn Romo is bi polar I swear.

i can tell you that it is awful.  Born and raised Dallas, am back here now after my time at the UofA... have loved the Boys since I was a kid, I now wish I had chose another team to like.  You never know which cowboys team you will get.  Thats why I never bet them, they are the most bipolar team in the league
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Dr. Starcs

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1339 on: October 01, 2012, 08:55:52 pm »

Bryant gets the blame there. Should have broken off hot on the blitz.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1340 on: October 02, 2012, 12:30:14 pm »

Duke -2 at home against Virginia. UVA is 0-5 against the spread this season, and picking LaTech against them last week worked out. They lost against a WAC team at home, and Duke's only loss was against Stanford. I take Duke to cover this spread easily.
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1341 on: October 02, 2012, 12:34:30 pm »

Duke -2 at home against Virginia. UVA is 0-5 against the spread this season, and picking LaTech against them last week worked out. They lost against a WAC team at home, and Duke's only loss was against Stanford. I take Duke to cover this spread easily.

liking this too, thanks for the info ed!

Really like Houston Texans -9 @ New York Jets.  Jets will get creamed here, only reason the line is low is cause they are so popular. 
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ed_wheeley

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1342 on: October 02, 2012, 01:33:18 pm »

The only SEC matchups I'm comfortable picking are TXAM-Ole Miss and MissSt-Kentucky.
I know the Ark-TXAM line was an easy one, but I just can't confidently pick Auburn ATS. As bad as our defense is, their offense might be worse. That's a similar matchup to what we had with Rutgers, but the flipside of that was that Rutgers had a decent defense to lean on. Auburn doesn't have that defense. We'll be effective throwing the ball against them. I see this either as a close Auburn win, or a runaway Arkansas victory. It ultimately comes down to Kiehl Frazier and Knile Davis/Ark O-Line showing up. I'm not touching the game though.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1343 on: October 02, 2012, 02:08:10 pm »

I'm having trouble getting comfortable with the SEC line-up this week too, and stick mainly with SEC games, so probably won't do quite as much this week.  Here's what I've done so far:

Auburn -10 v. Hogs (8 units ... In hindsight, I'm wishing that I would have only done around 4 units for many of the reasons Ed outlined.  I still think our weaknesses are greater then Auburn's weaknesses, our coaches are worse than their coaches, and that our players are about at the point where they expect to lose.  I'll probably keep betting that the Hogs won't cover the spread, until they actually cover one.)

Florida (+3) v. LSU (4 units)(a coin toss, but I think FL may win this at home)
Missouri (-6.5) v. Vandy (2 units)(I may add more here later if it stays below 7)
SC (-1.5) v. Georgia (2 units)(a coin toss, but I'll take Spurrier at home over Richt on the road with two fairly evenly matched teams)
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razorjack12

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1344 on: October 02, 2012, 02:12:14 pm »

I'll be curious to see if the line moves on Aub/Ark.   My guess is that it will move to -12.5 by kickoff.  Just a guess. . . .

And I could be mistaken.   The line has moved the other direction and is as low as -8 1/2
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razorjack12

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1345 on: October 02, 2012, 02:15:56 pm »

Nobody's taking Utah +14 this Thursday night?

Night game, ESPN, @Utah.    Last year, Utah was only down 17-14 and was attempting a last second field goal which got blocked by USC.

I think this is going to be a defensive struggle . . and I am looking hard at the O/U which is 47 1/2.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1346 on: October 02, 2012, 02:19:47 pm »

I thought the same thing and wanted to lock it in at -10 before it grew to -12.5+.  This has the look and feel like Auburn fans are betting against Auburn at a slightly greater pace than Arkansas fans are betting against Arkansas.
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ed_wheeley

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1347 on: October 02, 2012, 02:39:43 pm »

Nobody's taking Utah +14 this Thursday night?

Night game, ESPN, @Utah.    Last year, Utah was only down 17-14 and was attempting a last second field goal which got blocked by USC.

I think this is going to be a defensive struggle . . and I am looking hard at the O/U which is 47 1/2.

I don't bet on West Coast games or Thursday games anymore. Anything associated with USC, Stanford, BYU, or Utah just hurts me.

DadVader, you brought up a valid point about coaching. We are definitely outcoached against Chizik. That's the first time that sentence has ever been said.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1348 on: October 02, 2012, 02:44:32 pm »

We are definitely outcoached against Chizik. That's the first time that sentence has ever been said.

And it will hopefully (and almost certainly) be the last!
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1349 on: October 03, 2012, 10:18:16 am »

Auburn -10 v. Hogs (8 units ... In hindsight, I'm wishing that I would have only done around 4 units for many of the reasons Ed outlined.  I still think our weaknesses are greater then Auburn's weaknesses, our coaches are worse than their coaches, and that our players are about at the point where they expect to lose.  I'll probably keep betting that the Hogs won't cover the spread, until they actually cover one.)

I'm having a bit of betters remorse as well, in that I wish I had only put about $250 to $300 instead of $500

My favorite pick of the week is Houston Texans (-9) @ New York Jets.  I just locked it in for $150 and if i win my auburn bet I will be putting more on it assuming the line is -10 or below.  Texans are built similar to the 49ers and the 49ers demolished NYJ this past weekend.  Now looks like santonio holmes wont play.  Jets have NO offense.  I don't see them scoring more than 10, and I think Houston puts up 30-40 easy.  Like I said, if I win my aubie bet, I will be loading up on this game!
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