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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 327749 times)

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Jon Ham

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #400 on: October 16, 2011, 06:06:39 pm »

Okay  bears -3 dime play.  There you go.  10 units.

About to lose my Pats and New Orleans picks, so I'm going to hop on this game too. I got Bears -3 and Over 41.5.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #401 on: October 16, 2011, 07:17:07 pm »

Got the Bears also, but brought the 2.5 to 2.
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Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #402 on: October 16, 2011, 09:42:35 pm »

Do we have documentation on that 25-9. If there is I might look.  Does me no good if I can't look at those plays before the games.  I mean that's garbage.  If you are that solid why not share with others?  That's really pretty typical.

Best thing I can tell you is reread the thread. I usually put the lines that made my "final cut" here and I make those plays unless I say Im leaving it alone. I'll be the first to admit I am very conservative and disciplined in the plays I make because my goal is a 75% success rate each year. I also give myself an investment return dollar target each season. Once I hit that target, I'm done for the year.  Most folks don't like my style because its meticulous and I hold myself to a target. For me, and this week was a good example, getting agressive tends to yield more margin of error and less return. I just try to hit my target, even if it does mean controlling my return a bit.
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Jon Ham

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #403 on: October 16, 2011, 10:56:22 pm »

6-4 on the weekend:

Pats -7 Cowboys L
Saints -6 Bucs L
Bears -3 Vikings W
Bears-Vikings over 41.5 W

Utah St-Fresno St under 63 W
OU-Kansas under 71 W
AU +2 UF W
LSU -17 Tenn W
Hawaii-San Jose St over 58 L
Hawaii -6.5 San Jose St L
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weatherhawg

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #404 on: October 16, 2011, 11:46:41 pm »

3-2 this weekend.  9-3 overall...

Really grateful (sarcasm) to S Carolina for taking that safety at the end of the game.  Helped me turn a push into a loss (Had SC covering -4)

S Carolina -4 Miss. State L
Auburn +2 over Florida W
SMU -3 over UCF W

Parlay:
Alabama -25.5 over Mississippi
Arizona State +15 over Oregon W

Parlay:
Purdue +12 over Penn State
Toledo -7.5 over Bowling Green
OU/KU over (73.5)
WMU/NIU over (69.5) L

I bet Arkansas (-16.5) but depending on line movement may try to middle...esp if the line moves to -20 or -21...

Also looking at Northwestern +4 over Penn State, Mizzou ML/SU over Oklahoma State, Michigan State ML over Wisconsin, Michigan State (+7) over Wisconsin, and Alabama (-28) over Tennessee

Could be some upsets this weekend...
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #405 on: October 17, 2011, 10:10:33 am »

Conservative but decent weekend for me....I took A&M and Chicago Bears to cover...only 1 unit a piece though.  Bears probably should have bet it all that was a lock, but I only like to make bets like that when it's gonna be a tight game....makes it more interesting.  Why would you wanna bet a lot of money on the locks?  That would make it too easy. 

If everybody was smart we would just bet about 25 units every week on Bama ATS...and screw betting anything else.  But doing something like that....I just don't know you would make too much money, and it would be too easy....takes the fun out of it. 

May be a trap bet but I'm putting 1 unit on Jets tonight -7.  I hate the Jets but figure they cover here...at home on Monday night, and Henne is out for year.  Dolphins are awful. 
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #406 on: October 17, 2011, 07:16:05 pm »

NYJ -7
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Blutoblutarsky

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #407 on: October 18, 2011, 03:08:50 pm »

I might take the Red Wolves thurs night.  -3
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agr347

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #408 on: October 18, 2011, 03:29:44 pm »

I might take the Red Wolves thurs night.  -3

They play tonight.   You may have meant that, I just didn't want you to miss it.  I like the Wolves at home myself.
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swinemaster

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #409 on: October 18, 2011, 03:39:51 pm »

I'm going with home underdogs this week.  I know the favorites are rolling this year, and I will probably take a bath, but that's what makes playing fun.

Home DOG weekend:

Michigan State +3   Win
Wazzou +21           Loss
Aubbie +2              Win

Parlay these three with:

Kansas +36            Win
Mississippi +28        Loss
Utah St. -3            Loss

Something's gotta change.  IT's been a rough year so far.

P.S. I'm going to bet whatever hogfanintx does next week if this doesn't work. ;)

I still suck. 
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #410 on: October 18, 2011, 07:04:50 pm »

Can't believe I am saying it, but played arky st -3 and over 52 tonight
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #411 on: October 18, 2011, 07:08:03 pm »

Swinemaster thanks but check my last weekend.  Almost a even split, but I did hit the big dime play on the bears sun night.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #412 on: October 18, 2011, 07:13:20 pm »

I'm late, but I've got ASU on the ML.

Sorry for late post
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #413 on: October 18, 2011, 07:29:35 pm »

It happens
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #414 on: October 18, 2011, 07:36:31 pm »

AR ST not looking too hot in the early going.
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scottagee

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #415 on: October 18, 2011, 11:04:49 pm »

How many points is Ole Miss going to score? We get a minimum of 38. 42-49 is very possible and 50+ is not out of the question. I had made a choice on this game last week. When I saw it open at 14.5 I bought the hook and loaded up.

So, how many? The answer, no more than 21.
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swinemaster

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #416 on: October 18, 2011, 11:49:10 pm »

Swinemaster thanks but check my last weekend.  Almost a even split, but I did hit the big dime play on the bears sun night.

Yeah, I probably jinxed you.  I am "Schleprock".
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #417 on: October 19, 2011, 09:01:04 am »

Well that horrible first half last night knocked me off the over.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #418 on: October 19, 2011, 02:35:21 pm »

With LSU involved I am always scared they will end up with 15 starters suspended for doing something stupid the night before.

Your crystal ball was working well.  Good Call!
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #419 on: October 19, 2011, 03:23:11 pm »

Rangers -155 for the Series . . . money I hope to lose.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #420 on: October 19, 2011, 05:27:56 pm »

So far this week Im looking at

Penn St -4 @ NW -4
Southern Cal +8.5 @ Notre Dame -8.5
Kansas St -11 @ Kansas +11
Ok St -6.5 @ Mizzou +6.5...I'm gonna lock this one in for 2* on Ok St.
Army +10.5 @ Vandy -10.5 (buy the hook to -10)
New Mexico +41 @ TCU -41....I'm gonna lock this one in for 1* New Mexico
Ga Tech +2.5 @ Miami (buy the hook up to 3)
Illinois -4 @ Purdue

Looks like I love the visitors this week.
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agr347

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #421 on: October 19, 2011, 08:09:41 pm »

I like:

Illinois -4
Mich St. +9.5

Not seeing a lot of others I like.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #422 on: October 20, 2011, 02:26:04 pm »

Well for what it's worth I played ucla +4 for 1 unit.

Leaning toward central Florida tonight but waiting to see if line drops a bit more.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #423 on: October 20, 2011, 04:04:57 pm »

Alright.  Not advising others to do it, but I played central Florida -15.5 fir 1 unit and played over 45.5 in the same game for 1 unit.
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #424 on: October 20, 2011, 06:11:15 pm »

Small play on Zona tonight.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #425 on: October 20, 2011, 08:57:13 pm »

Bruins playing some of the worst defense I have ever seen.  Making zona look like the Patriots!
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #426 on: October 20, 2011, 09:48:26 pm »

Well looks like a loss on central Florida and a win on the over for a split.

Unfortunately ucla should just not come out of the locker room for the second half.  Pitiful

Saturday couldn't get here soon enough.
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scottagee

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #427 on: October 21, 2011, 09:32:41 am »

Some serious cases of no respect for once powerful teams. On the money line, Auburn +1050, Tennessee +3375. The flip side of the Tennessee game is worse. Bama -8000.

The two biggest money line favorites this week? Off the board at most places but still on enough to show up in the Vegas Insider consensus lines. TCU -94,500 and BYU -50,000.

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Jon Ham

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #428 on: October 21, 2011, 01:14:32 pm »

I can't find one college football pick for this weekend that I feel comfortable with... Guess I'll be sitting it out this weekend. Good luck to the rest of you.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #429 on: October 21, 2011, 01:15:34 pm »

Tonight I played
 Rutgers +1.5 for 1 unit.
W VA -14 for 1 unit


I must be crazy but played over 41 on Rutgers and Louisville for 2 units.
« Last Edit: October 21, 2011, 01:17:36 pm by hogfanintx »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #430 on: October 21, 2011, 01:18:42 pm »

I can't find one college football pick for this weekend that I feel comfortable with... Guess I'll be sitting it out this weekend. Good luck to the rest of you.

Might wanna consider okie st - the points.
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Jon Ham

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #431 on: October 21, 2011, 01:22:47 pm »

Might wanna consider okie st - the points.

Are you saying I should bet the spread or the money line? I like OSU, but they're on the road against a decent Missouri team and have to win by more than a TD. If I had to bet it, I would definitely take OSU, but my gut is telling me to be conservative and just sit it out. Do you think OSU will roll?
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hawgwild child

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #432 on: October 21, 2011, 03:10:18 pm »

i took wvu to cover and Louisville -1.5 both for 1 unit
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #433 on: October 21, 2011, 03:26:22 pm »

I think OSU will roll.
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #434 on: October 21, 2011, 05:52:11 pm »

I took the Rutgers over tonight.
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hawgwild child

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #435 on: October 21, 2011, 07:59:57 pm »

west virginia has no defense...they wont cover that spread if syracuse keeps chewing that clock with those long drive
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justmakeit2thebcs

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #436 on: October 21, 2011, 08:14:18 pm »

WF -3 over Duke
Ark -15 over Ole Piss
Wash +20.5 vs. Stanford
Aub +21 vs LSU
Neb -24.5 over Minn
AF +29.5 vs Boise St
Wash St -3 over Ore St
USC +8.5 vs ND
KSU -10.5 vs Kansas
OSU/Mizz over 69.5
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #437 on: October 22, 2011, 03:41:55 am »

What an ugly night last night.  Just terrible by me.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #438 on: October 22, 2011, 07:35:57 am »

Time to forget last night. Never happened and on to today.

1 unit Plays

Hogs -16
Illinois -3
Maryland +18
Oregon -31
Auburn +21

2 unit plays
Wake Forrest -3
K ST -10
Okie ST -7


Good luck everyone.
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weatherhawg

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #439 on: October 22, 2011, 08:11:12 am »

My (novice) plays....

Arkansas (-17) over Ole Miss (Got the line at a bad time....lesson learned...hope this doesn't come back to bite me...)
Missouri +7 over Oklahoma State
Missouri ML over Oklahoma State
Kansas +10.5 over Kansas State
Kansas ML over Kansas State
Michigan State +7 over Wisconsin
Navy -12 over East Carolina (another line I got bad....missed -8.5 earlier in the week....)

Parlay:
Notre Dame -10, Alabama ML, LSU ML, Oklahoma ML

« Last Edit: October 22, 2011, 08:48:19 am by weatherhawg »
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scottagee

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #440 on: October 22, 2011, 08:15:28 am »

What does a money line parlay like that return? 3 of those teams are just huge favorites on a money line.

My (novice) plays....

Arkansas (-17) over Ole Miss (Got the line at a bad time....lesson learned...hope this doesn't come back to bite me...)
Missouri +7 over Oklahoma State
Missouri ML over Oklahoma State
Kansas +10.5 over Kansas State
Kansas ML over Kansas State
Michigan State +7 over Wisconsin

Notre Dame -10 over USC
Parlay:
Notre Dame ML, Alabama ML, LSU ML, Oklahoma ML
Navy -12 over East Carolina (another line I got bad....missed -8.5 earlier in the week....)

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IBGPN

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #441 on: October 22, 2011, 08:42:56 am »

early games... 6 point teaser... Arkansas -10 and OK State -1. later games GA Tech +2.5, Stanford -20, Wiscy -7 and Penn St. -4
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weatherhawg

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #442 on: October 22, 2011, 08:47:05 am »

My mistake....

Notre Dame ML should be Notre Dame (-10)...

Parlay:
Notre Dame -10, Alabama ML, LSU ML, Oklahoma ML

Pays ~1.2/1
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iCalledThatHogBrotha!

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #443 on: October 22, 2011, 09:42:14 am »

Heard our line dropped from -16 to -10 overnight?  What happened??  Somebody hurt or suspended?
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #444 on: October 22, 2011, 10:08:08 am »

Penn St -3.5....1* (bought down to -3)
Buy the hook though, always buy the hook.  Not too much went into this one, I just think that Penn St is 3 points better than NW.
Southern Cal +9.5....1* (buy that hook, you don't want to be on USC 21 ND 31)
I'm not too sure on this one, but I am still not sold on ND. Even though the trojans played ugly last week, this is one of their rivalry games and they always bring it.
Kansas St -10.5....2* (always buy the hook)
I just don't see KU having the firepower to stop this team. KSU has been playing good ball and Turner Gill's club isn't. I know its a huge rivalry, but the Wildcats take it home today, and it may get way uglier than the spread suggests.
Ok St -6.5....3*
I locked this in at 6.5 earlier in the week and I'm glad I did because it is up to 7 now and I would've had to buy the hook. Saved myself some money. I'm also upping it from 2* to 3*. I just don't think Mizzou can pull off the upset here.
Vandy -10.5....1* (buy the hook to -10)
I missed this line somewhere because it opened up at 8.5, but no big deal for Vandy, because I see this as another Ole Miss beatdown, and they are at home to boot. I may bump this up to a 2* later on today
New Mexico +41....1*
Normally I wouldn't touch New Mexico with a ten foot pole. but with playing a down TCU team, its gonna be hard to win by 41. This is one of those bets where I'm almost exclusively betting on pride. Not mine of course, but the team who is a 40+ point underdog.
Ga Tech +3....1*
I haven't had much luck betting against Miami this year, but I'm hoping this week, Ga Tech turns that around for me. I think they can handle the canes.
Illinois -3.5....3* (always buy the hook)
Last week, Ohio ST had just enough studs on defense to hold the Zookers down. Not this week, Purdue isn't a good football team and the Fightin Illini should take care of this game pretty easy, and the public is going against me which makes me even more happy with my pick here. Somehow, people have been dropping loads on Purdue, this line has moved from 6 all the way down to 3.5, and I love it.
[/i]

75% of my roll out there this week. I'm either gonna be really happy tonight, or really sad.

2010-2011 record

21-13-0 (62%)   Profit: $919  Bankroll: $1919


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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #445 on: October 22, 2011, 10:10:07 am »

Heard our line dropped from -16 to -10 overnight?  What happened??  Somebody hurt or suspended?

I just checked my sites, and its up to 16.5 for me. If you can find out where that line is, please post it on here or PM me. I will sell everything I own to get on that line.
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iCalledThatHogBrotha!

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #446 on: October 22, 2011, 10:25:11 am »

I just checked my sites, and its up to 16.5 for me. If you can find out where that line is, please post it on here or PM me. I will sell everything I own to get on that line.

Sorry I was wrong. -10 is the first half line.
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #447 on: October 22, 2011, 10:37:32 am »

Haven't played the Hogs straight since New Mexico. Not worried this week. Yikes, good thing I upped my Tech bet.

3 Unit Plays
Hogs -16 L
Texas Tech +30 W

2 Unit Plays
Akron +14.5   L
Ok State -6.5 W
Wake Forest -3 L

1 unit plays
Auburn +21  L
SMU +3 L
« Last Edit: October 23, 2011, 12:26:15 am by yraciv »
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #448 on: October 22, 2011, 10:50:18 am »

3 team tease (I know, I know, forgive me hogfanintx) . . .

-1 okie lite
-10 UA
+28.5 Auburn
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #449 on: October 22, 2011, 10:56:39 am »

3 team tease (I know, I know, forgive me hogfanintx) . . .

-1 okie lite
-10 UA
+28.5 Auburn



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