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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 341367 times)

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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10450 on: October 02, 2016, 07:29:12 pm »

Rough go for me on the chargers today. They were up 13 points with 5:30 to go in the 4th...with possession of the ball...and still managed to lose the game.

NFL is truly a coin flip I feel sometimes. 
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woodhog14

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10451 on: October 02, 2016, 09:16:54 pm »

After going 4-0 last week, this week I went 1-2...isn't that how it always goes?

Michigan -10....L
Michigan St -5.5....L
Ole Miss -16...W
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10452 on: October 03, 2016, 07:42:32 am »

Great weekend for college, just average on the pros.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10453 on: October 03, 2016, 08:56:19 am »

Last weekend was the worst one I've had in years, going 4-7 (36.4%) for - 3 units, putting me at 55.6% and -2 units YTD.  I probably jumped the gun a bit and put too much weight on a trend with such a small sample size. 

After week 5, Road/Home teams are still hitting very balanced (49/51) and Favs/Dogs are hitting at around (53/47).  There was a bit of a correction for Road Favorites/Home Dogs (43/57) to drop Road Favorites to around 54% YTD. 

I've been tinkering with some minor upgrades to the spreadsheets that have eaten into my time for running what-if scenarios, but I should have things sufficiently pieced together this week to run several hundred thousand searches looking for trends that might be legitimate.  I've spotted a few trends of interest but nothing earth-shattering yet.     
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10454 on: October 03, 2016, 09:16:34 am »

I'll be the first to say it. Bama -13 is tempting.

I didn't wager this weekend fyi. got my account setup last minute and did not want to dive in without doing any homework.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10455 on: October 03, 2016, 09:26:57 am »

I'll be the first to say it. Bama -13 is tempting.

I didn't wager this weekend fyi. got my account setup last minute and did not want to dive in without doing any homework.

Arkansas first half might be a good play.  Arkansas starts strong and bama starts slow...
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10456 on: October 03, 2016, 10:46:41 am »

early leans this week:

memphis -9.5
tulsa - 17 ( smu is just terrible )
indiana +29
wash -8
fsu +3
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10457 on: October 03, 2016, 01:09:14 pm »

Man, under 14, Bama lock. Over 21 I have to lean Arkansas. It's that 15-20 spot I wouldn't touch. 14 can turn into 21 and 17 can turn into 24 just that quick, and I'm not too sure we won't see another late game meltdown if Arkansas gets behind late after being competitive early. I'd take Arkansas in 1st half if the line is under 10.

Arkansas first half might be a good play.  Arkansas starts strong and bama starts slow...

Great minds and all that jazz.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10458 on: October 03, 2016, 06:17:04 pm »

Thursday:
Houston -27...W

Friday:
Washington -3...W

Saturday:
Ole Miss -14***...W
Western Michigan -4...W
Louisville -1...L
Oregon -1...L
Miami -9...W
Tenn -4...L
South Florida -6...W
Iowa -13...L
*Mizzou +14...L

2016 Record: 26-29  47%  Bankroll: $919

3 winning weeks in a row after 2 losing. My Ole Miss 3* bet paid off nicely. My "system" picks went 2-2, but I did have Indiana.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10459 on: October 03, 2016, 06:31:26 pm »

Way too early leans:

VT +2.5
BG +12
NC State pick'em
Eastern Michigan +17
Oklahoma -10.5
Georgia State -10
Charlotte +14
UCLA -10
Ball State +12.5
TAMU -7
Miss St +2.5
Washington -8.5
UTEP -5.5
Bama -14
UNLV +14


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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10460 on: October 03, 2016, 07:05:22 pm »

Everybody is on Minnesota tonight.....

Not so fast my friend,
Giants +4 and the outright win

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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10461 on: October 03, 2016, 07:10:57 pm »

Ftr, I only played the spread.
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woodhog14

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10462 on: October 03, 2016, 07:32:05 pm »

Way too early leans:

VT +2.5
BG +12
NC State pick'em
Eastern Michigan +17
Oklahoma -10.5
Georgia State -10
Charlotte +14
UCLA -10
Ball State +12.5
TAMU -7
Miss St +2.5
Washington -8.5
UTEP -5.5
Bama -14
UNLV +14




I really like aTm this weekend.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10463 on: October 03, 2016, 07:47:19 pm »

My first (usually only) bets of NFL this season are:

Giants ML +270
Giants +6.5
Giants v Minnesota o41.5
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10464 on: October 03, 2016, 10:08:36 pm »

I really like aTm this weekend.

I haven't analyzed it in any detail yet, but I couldn't resist making a small play on Texas A&M when it came out at -6.5. 
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10465 on: October 03, 2016, 10:57:45 pm »

I like Texas Tech +7 @ K St, A&M, Hogs, and SC +7.5 at home against UGA
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10466 on: October 04, 2016, 08:33:23 am »

I like Texas Tech +7 @ K St, A&M, Hogs, and SC +7.5 at home against UGA
My first (usually only) bets of NFL this season are:

Giants ML +270
Giants +6.5
Giants v Minnesota o41.5

um, that looks like typical nlf results
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10467 on: October 04, 2016, 05:19:18 pm »

um, that looks like typical nlf results
and I'll stop at 0-3. No more NFL this year.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10468 on: October 04, 2016, 05:21:27 pm »

Yeah, I'm an idiot.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10469 on: October 04, 2016, 05:25:16 pm »

Orioles ML +165
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10470 on: October 04, 2016, 08:14:42 pm »

I like Texas Tech +7 @ K St, A&M, Hogs, and SC +7.5 at home against UGA

Didn't realize Mahomes is Questionable. Explains the line I guess.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10471 on: October 04, 2016, 09:42:54 pm »

I'm sure that most of you guys are way ahead of me on this, but don't forget to take into account the weather for East coast games since there may be a hurricane headed that way.
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10472 on: October 05, 2016, 08:15:28 am »

Orioles ML +165

yea I ate that one too. I had done really well with the O's the last two weeks.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10473 on: October 05, 2016, 10:05:43 am »

Liking:

Western Kentucky -2.5
Houston -17
Colorado +4.5
Minnesota +1.5
Washington -8.5
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10474 on: October 05, 2016, 12:33:11 pm »

playing the giants tonight

Football -

GA So -7 & -4 ( 1h )
WKU - 2.5
memphis -10
Notre Dame + 2.5
Hou -17
lsu/fla un 41
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10475 on: October 05, 2016, 02:26:50 pm »

I haven't found any extraordinary trends but found enough to start to get comfortable ( a few hitting in mid 60's with 80+ occurrences, some in 70's with 50+ occurrences, a few 80's with 30+ occurrences), including a pretty steady one that has hit close to 70% every week.  Here's what I'm doing so far (1 unit each):

AZ St. +10
GA So. -7.5 (h)
Toledo -17
Aub -2.5
Ohio St. -29
SDS -14
SJS -2.5 (h)
TX AM -6.5
S. Miss -16.5
W. Mich -19
Air Force -10.5
OK -10
« Last Edit: October 05, 2016, 07:22:45 pm by DadVader1 »
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WooPig90

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10476 on: October 05, 2016, 03:06:00 pm »

GA Southern -7.5 2u
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10477 on: October 06, 2016, 08:59:27 am »

playing the giants tonight

Football -

GA So -7 & -4 ( 1h )
WKU - 2.5
memphis -10
Notre Dame + 2.5
Hou -17
lsu/fla un 41


Well I am off to a great start, GA so puked on themselves
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10478 on: October 06, 2016, 11:57:56 am »

Well I am off to a great start, GA so puked on themselves
5 turnovers for Red Wolves vs 0 for Georgia Southern. Minus the turnovers AR state wins that game by 3 scores.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10479 on: October 06, 2016, 12:06:28 pm »

5 turnovers for Red Wolves vs 0 for Georgia Southern. Minus the turnovers AR state wins that game by 3 scores.

Reminded why I hate gambling on such awful teams.  That was just awful to watch from every aspect. Players, Coaching, ref's, all of it just awful.  I am sure I will be vulnerable to MaCtion coming up soon too.
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10480 on: October 06, 2016, 12:10:31 pm »

Reminded why I hate gambling on such awful teams.  That was just awful to watch from every aspect. Players, Coaching, ref's, all of it just awful.  I am sure I will be vulnerable to MaCtion coming up soon too.
I agree it was awful football on both sides no matter how you slice it. Sloppiest game I can remember watching.

I guess you could give major props to the Red Wolves defense though.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10481 on: October 06, 2016, 12:13:36 pm »

I agree it was awful football on both sides no matter how you slice it. Sloppiest game I can remember watching.

I guess you could give major props to the Red Wolves defense though.

I was flipping back and forth between that and the wildcard game so didn't really pay that much attention.  But from what I did see, Ga so in the 4th just tried to run between the tackles to run the clock out, so it appeared?  Ark st did everything they could to give that game away and Ga so just didn't want to do it.
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10482 on: October 06, 2016, 03:39:45 pm »

I was flipping back and forth between that and the wildcard game so didn't really pay that much attention.  But from what I did see, Ga so in the 4th just tried to run between the tackles to run the clock out, so it appeared?  Ark st did everything they could to give that game away and Ga so just didn't want to do it.

GA So has 3 qb's and all 3 are banged up from being used as sacrifices on so many qb runs and options. One could run but has a banged up arm, another could throw but could not run, and the 3rd looked awful doing both.

I was flipping too because I had SF -1.5 and figured I was going down on that too. Had them straight and parlayed with Bos tonight ( -1.5 ).

If I could stay off of any day but Sat I would be doing pretty good, but the NFL and these early games just eat my lunch.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10483 on: October 06, 2016, 03:43:05 pm »

GA So has 3 qb's and all 3 are banged up from being used as sacrifices on so many qb runs and options. One could run but has a banged up arm, another could throw but could not run, and the 3rd looked awful doing both.

I was flipping too because I had SF -1.5 and figured I was going down on that too. Had them straight and parlayed with Bos tonight ( -1.5 ).

If I could stay off of any day but Sat I would be doing pretty good, but the NFL and these early games just eat my lunch.

The. We need to share picks. I'm doing well in NFL and getting my teeth kicked in throughout the week.

I had bluejays -1.5 then San Fran ml so was sweating those out right there with you.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10484 on: October 06, 2016, 06:07:11 pm »

SF + 3.5 / 5 units
Memphis -10 / 5 units
Western KY -3 / 5 units
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10485 on: October 07, 2016, 08:04:33 am »

SF + 3.5 / 5 units
Memphis -10 / 5 units
Western KY -3 / 5 units

good morning
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10486 on: October 07, 2016, 08:53:09 am »

good morning

Wish I didn't have WKY or Memphis last night.  Geeze.
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10487 on: October 07, 2016, 09:13:08 am »

Wish I didn't have WKY or Memphis last night.  Geeze.

Oh I had both of them and the redsox.
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WooPig90

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10488 on: October 07, 2016, 09:49:51 am »

SF + 3.5 / 5 units
Memphis -10 / 5 units
Western KY -3 / 5 units

Ouch
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WooPig90

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10489 on: October 07, 2016, 09:50:28 am »

Luckily had Cards -3.5, the LA Tech Over kept on going on so I didnt take it but still should have!
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Polecat

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10490 on: October 07, 2016, 09:54:52 am »

Love the over in the Chargers/Raiders game
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10491 on: October 07, 2016, 09:57:02 am »

Bad nights happen, I know I'd rather not be reminded of mine when they occur.
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10492 on: October 07, 2016, 04:09:51 pm »

Got mine set for tomorrow already, feeling froggy & going a little heavy on everything:

Hogs +14, 5*
Maryland -2.5, 4*
Florida st +3, 4*
Va tech +2, 4*
Michigan st -5.5, 4*
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10493 on: October 07, 2016, 06:30:03 pm »

BC +19
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10494 on: October 07, 2016, 06:37:18 pm »

Cubs ML -160
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10495 on: October 07, 2016, 07:21:00 pm »

Got mine set for tomorrow already, feeling froggy & going a little heavy on everything:

Hogs +14, 5*
Maryland -2.5, 4*
Florida st +3, 4*
Va tech +2, 4*
Michigan st -5.5, 4*


I don't play too much anymore but I actually teased VT, FSU, and Hogs for my action tomorrow, so must say I like those three.
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BigSexyHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10496 on: October 07, 2016, 10:13:54 pm »

For your Friday evening laughter. ....


I signed up for this service at the start of the year.   $99 for college and pros. For the most part they are at about 65% for the year.  Don't play all their games and go against them at times.   Tonight they had 2 5000 star plays.  New Mexico and BC.    LMAO....  How do you miss on your college locks of the year....lol.


Oh and the cherry on top of the sundae.   They also said play Tulsa.  And went 1-1 on the Thursday games... not starting the week off great....
« Last Edit: October 07, 2016, 11:14:39 pm by BigSexyHog »
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10497 on: October 07, 2016, 10:53:52 pm »

What service are you using ?
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BigSexyHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10498 on: October 07, 2016, 11:13:04 pm »

What service are you using ?


Called guaranteed picks.  Guaranteedpicks.com
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Green_Lanternn

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10499 on: October 08, 2016, 01:18:34 am »

Took SMU +16
Taking Texas A&M -7
Taking Hogs +14.5

will add more
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