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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 340180 times)

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MuskogeeHogFan

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10300 on: September 16, 2016, 08:00:19 pm »

I'm thinking this Auburn team is much better than people expect, throw in home field and I'm not too surprised although I was thinking it would be closer to a pick.

I think A&M beats Auburn by a TD.
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10301 on: September 16, 2016, 09:40:23 pm »

I hate to say this but I'm taking Texas st +31.  I think the Hogs play this game fairly conservative and hold back some of the playbook for A&M.  This is the classic "sandwich" game between 2 tough opponents.  I think we win 35-17 or something like that. 
My favorite bets this week are Texas -7 over Cal, TCU -24 over Iowa st, Pitt +4.5 and the money line over OK st, Navy -5.5 over Tulane.  I bet on about 20 games this week but those are my "most confident" games.
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Green_Lanternn

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10302 on: September 16, 2016, 10:21:18 pm »

Baylor... >:(
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10303 on: September 16, 2016, 10:47:18 pm »

For Saturday going to go:

Rutgers -6, 3 units
Bama -11, 4 units
Central Michigan -11, 4 units
Colorado/Michigan under 56, 5 units
Mizzou +7, 5 units

Good luck guys
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10304 on: September 17, 2016, 12:52:48 am »

Won the over on UTSA/ASU tonight.  Line was 59 and final score was 32-28.  Won by 1 point!  Glad I didn't take ASU and lay the 20 points.  They were losing the whole game until they finally went ahead in the fourth quarter.  UTSA looked pretty decent.   
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10305 on: September 17, 2016, 07:39:51 am »

So far.
Louisville +1.5 / 2 units
Pitt +3.5 / 2 units
Michigan-18 / 2 units
Syracuse +14 / 5 units
Ohio St -1 / dime
Bama -10 / dime
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10306 on: September 17, 2016, 10:48:03 am »

Bama -10
Notre Dame -7
Oklahoma +1
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10307 on: September 17, 2016, 11:02:05 am »

Bought more FSU at +2.5 (bought them earlier this week at -2, as well)
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10308 on: September 17, 2016, 11:05:09 am »

I couldn't get a feel for fsu Louisville. I wanna give the edge to the cardinals, but I couldn't pull the trigger
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10309 on: September 17, 2016, 11:20:00 am »

Bought more FSU at +2.5 (bought them earlier this week at -2, as well)

I prob bought the sucker bet w/ this add-on.
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Green_Lanternn

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10310 on: September 17, 2016, 12:28:28 pm »

Got Louisville (0) 1h for 3 units.  Which is looking great right now.  Now to see the 2h line
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10311 on: September 17, 2016, 01:40:47 pm »

Bama -10 // 5 units
Ohio St. pk // 4 units. 

Down 5 units on the year (only previous bet was the ND loss)

And for fun I did a little $10 parlay (my version of lotto tickets) that pays around $1000:

Michigan St. +7
Bama -10
A&M +2.5
LSU -13
Ohio St. pk
Georgia -7
Va. Tech -6.5


Good luck today everyone
« Last Edit: September 17, 2016, 02:34:55 pm by Huckleberry Pig »
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10312 on: September 17, 2016, 03:07:20 pm »

I prob bought the sucker bet w/ this add-on.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10313 on: September 17, 2016, 03:36:21 pm »

Let's try this again....adding to an existing bet, again.....A&M  +2  4u
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10314 on: September 17, 2016, 03:49:25 pm »

Let's hope Bama wakes up soon
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10315 on: September 17, 2016, 04:02:54 pm »

Think Ole Miss will join my list of "Never Bet".  They are just so inconsistent (both good and bad). 

The good news is a lot of time is left and Saban is about 3 times the coach Freeze is when it comes to halftime adjustments.  Will be interesting to see how Bama comes out 2nd half.  Wouldn't wanna be in their locker room during half.
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Green_Lanternn

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10316 on: September 17, 2016, 04:08:47 pm »

Refs favoring Ole Miss.  How to play this one now??  at 24-3
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10317 on: September 17, 2016, 04:17:16 pm »

Haha scratch what I said above.  Let's hope OSU can take out OU, don't see any way Bama covers this one
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BigSexyHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10318 on: September 17, 2016, 05:04:31 pm »

3 team parlay (Kansas, Mid Tennessee St and Miami )  thanks Kansas :(

Miami straight up
Oregon straight up
VA Tech straight up

Probably taking LSU AND AUBURN
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10319 on: September 17, 2016, 05:15:37 pm »

Haha scratch what I said above.  Let's hope OSU can take out OU, don't see any way Bama covers this one


:)
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jared72404

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10320 on: September 17, 2016, 05:17:07 pm »

Took A&M +1 for 2U, should've got in earlier. also La tech +10.5 for 2U
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10321 on: September 17, 2016, 06:50:47 pm »

Bama = GD joke.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10322 on: September 17, 2016, 07:10:39 pm »

Didnt bet it, but think auburn beats breaks off aggies
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10323 on: September 17, 2016, 07:13:51 pm »

Bama = GD joke.

Dude honestly that comment is a joke. They cost me 1000.00 dollars not being able to field sn onside kick. That said. How many sec teams on the road come back and win down 24-3.

Need to put that crack pipe down
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10324 on: September 17, 2016, 07:39:21 pm »

Added:

Mich St ML +175
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10325 on: September 17, 2016, 08:31:52 pm »

Added:

Mich St ML +175

 
Always good to have an additional reason to pull against the irish.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10326 on: September 18, 2016, 08:24:12 am »

Rather lackluster day for me thanks to the Tide not fielding the onside kick.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10327 on: September 18, 2016, 08:25:22 am »

Had another good week, going 5-2 for +3/8 units for the week, making it 11-5 (68.8%) for +6/8 units YTD.  My tails of Jeff are still my best plays at 75% YTD.   So far, home teams and road teams are still both hitting at 50%.  Favs are hitting at 54%, and Road Favs are hitting at 56.8%.  I'll still probably wait until week 6 to ramp up my plays by any significant amount. 
« Last Edit: September 18, 2016, 02:35:46 pm by DadVader1 »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10328 on: September 18, 2016, 08:35:15 am »

Ravens -5
G-Men -4
Steelers -3
Tampa +7
SF +13

Early action all 1 unit plays.
Parlay
Ravens
G-Men
SF
1 unit
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10329 on: September 18, 2016, 08:49:27 am »

Dude honestly that comment is a joke. They cost me 1000.00 dollars not being able to field sn onside kick. That said. How many sec teams on the road come back and win down 24-3.

Need to put that crack pipe down
This is true & was a knee jerk comment by me, but against Ole Miss it seems to be a common theme this season. Cost me a smooth 400. Way she goes. Would rather the team I'm on lose 50-0 vs scenerio like that. Still an ok Saturday but minus that would've been great day.

For today gonna play Ravens -5 for 3 units.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10330 on: September 18, 2016, 12:35:13 pm »

Awful 0-3 yesterday.

Today....

Vikings +1
Rams +5
Falcons +4
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10331 on: September 18, 2016, 05:56:24 pm »

I got killed yesterday, especially the early games.  TCU giving up the back door cover to Iowa st hurt bad along with Oregon not kicking PATs and missing 2 point conversions.  I made up a little ground on the late games especially A&M, but pushed on UCLA thanks to the late BTU TD and lost on Texas.   Looking forward to next saturday and redeeming myself (hopefully). 
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10332 on: September 19, 2016, 02:28:46 pm »

Way to early leans:

Clemson -9
Mich St -6
FSU -7.5
Wake Forest +7.5 (think they have a chance to win outright)
Duke +21.5
Nebraska -7
Louisville -26

I'm sure I'll talk myself into some I shouldn't take, and out of some I should take. My leans last week went 6-2-1, but I went 6-6 on my picks.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10333 on: September 19, 2016, 05:13:58 pm »

3-0 with the pros yesterday.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10334 on: September 19, 2016, 06:28:06 pm »

Bears -3
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iCalledThatHogBrotha!

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10335 on: September 19, 2016, 06:57:20 pm »

I'm batting a miserable .150 this year so here's the plan: I'll post my picks, you bet against them, and try to remember the little people when you're rich and famous.

This is what I had for week 3:

L: TCU - 24
W: Louisville +3
L: Texas - 8
W: Miss State +12.5
L: Auburn -3
W: Stanford -9
L: Michigan -20.5
L: Cincinnati +7.5
L: Duke +6
L: ECU +3.5
L: Baylor/Rice OVER 65.5
L: Mississippi State (money line)
L: Cincinnati / Houston OVER 64.5
L: Texas State +31
L: 2s and 3s round robin parlay (money line): Cincy, ECU, aTm, Pitt
L: 2s and 3s round robin parlay (money line): Louisville, BC, ECU, Duke
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iCalledThatHogBrotha!

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10336 on: September 19, 2016, 07:18:47 pm »

That said, here's Andy's Awful Action for Week 4:

Arkansas / aTm OVER 50.5
Louisville - 25.5
Houston -34.5
Auburn +3.5
OK State / Baylor OVER 73
Florida State -6
Ole Miss -7
Kent State +43.5
TCU -20.5

My favorites out of those are FSU, Ole Miss, and the over on OK State / Baylor, FWIW.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10337 on: September 20, 2016, 08:36:28 am »

This is true & was a knee jerk comment by me, but against Ole Miss it seems to be a common theme this season. Cost me a smooth 400. Way she goes. Would rather the team I'm on lose 50-0 vs scenerio like that. Still an ok Saturday but minus that would've been great day.

For today gonna play Ravens -5 for 3 units.



It happens to all of us.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10338 on: September 20, 2016, 08:37:02 am »

I'm batting a miserable .150 this year so here's the plan: I'll post my picks, you bet against them, and try to remember the little people when you're rich and famous.

This is what I had for week 3:

L: TCU - 24
W: Louisville +3
L: Texas - 8
W: Miss State +12.5
L: Auburn -3
W: Stanford -9
L: Michigan -20.5
L: Cincinnati +7.5
L: Duke +6
L: ECU +3.5
L: Baylor/Rice OVER 65.5
L: Mississippi State (money line)
L: Cincinnati / Houston OVER 64.5
L: Texas State +31
L: 2s and 3s round robin parlay (money line): Cincy, ECU, aTm, Pitt
L: 2s and 3s round robin parlay (money line): Louisville, BC, ECU, Duke



Wow!  That's a rough week buddy.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10339 on: September 20, 2016, 12:50:44 pm »

The 6 best power rating systems to report so far this week all agree on the following 8 games.  I'm doing 1/8 unit on each. 

SC +2.5
Miss -7
Duke +21
Rice -7(h)
Temple -27.5
Ark +6.5
Stanford -3
S. Miss -10
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10340 on: September 20, 2016, 04:24:03 pm »

OK State +10
AR +6.5
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10341 on: September 20, 2016, 09:54:20 pm »

The 6 best power rating systems to report so far this week all agree on the following 8 games.  I'm doing 1/8 unit on each. 

SC +2.5
Miss -7
Duke +21
Rice -7(h)
Temple -27.5
Ark +6.5
Stanford -3
S. Miss -10

I'm on Stanford and Arkansas already.  Also on Under in Fla/Tenn, UF +7, Clemson -10, under on Hogs/A&M.  I'm sure I will find some more to bet on before saturday. 
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10342 on: September 21, 2016, 11:44:15 am »

With more rating systems reporting and some line movements, the top 6 rating systems now all agree on the following 4:

San Jose St. +7
SC +2.5
UTSA +3.5
Rice -7

I added 1/8 unit each on SJS & UTSA.
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yardpig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10343 on: September 21, 2016, 12:01:36 pm »

With more rating systems reporting and some line movements, the top 6 rating systems now all agree on the following 4:

San Jose St. +7
SC +2.5
UTSA +3.5
Rice -7

I added 1/8 unit each on SJS & UTSA.


The originals still in play?
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10344 on: September 21, 2016, 12:53:43 pm »

Yes.  The top 6 systems available earlier in the week still like the original plays.  With updates, the top 6 who have now reported include 4 of the same systems from before and 2 replacement systems (1 legit & 1 with too few picks to really count).  Most of the earlier picks that dropped off the list did so because of the questionable system without enough picks to take seriously yet.   

It's still too early to place too much weight on these.  My gut tells me that it's about time for a "correction" week to bring the winning percentages of the power rating systems back down in line with where you would expect them to be.  Too many of them are currently ahead ats.  About weeks 6-12 is when I try to grow the bankroll.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10345 on: September 22, 2016, 12:49:39 pm »

Ga Tech  +10

Texans  pk
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10346 on: September 22, 2016, 01:44:24 pm »

indiana -7.5
mich -19
old misses -7
wyoming/emu ov 63
tcu -20.5
clem -9.5
NE/Hou un 41.5
NE un 19.5
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10347 on: September 22, 2016, 05:35:54 pm »

MSU/wisc  u42
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10348 on: September 22, 2016, 05:47:47 pm »

Thursday:

Clemson -10...W
Clemson v GT o58...L

Im thinking this one is a shootout and blowout, so it will probably be low scoring and close.

Saturday:

Mich St -4.5...L
Fl St -5...W
*VT -14...W
Akron +6...L
Stanford -2...W
Wake Forest +7...W
Duke +20...W
South Carolina +2...L

2016 Record: 20-24  45%  Bankroll: $885

« Last Edit: September 25, 2016, 01:37:03 pm by WILL CLINTON »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10349 on: September 22, 2016, 07:42:09 pm »

Clemson -9.5 several units  i was late and hogville slow as crap. Will just pist ticket on these when my local call in hits.

Texans pk 4 units.

Fyi clemson was -9.5, but 115.00 to get 100.00
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