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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 342777 times)

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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10250 on: September 12, 2016, 10:19:57 pm »

A&M will torch that Auburn back 7.  A&M should also have the defense to slow any auburn offensive attack. 
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hawgmasta

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10251 on: September 12, 2016, 11:20:30 pm »

Took the 49ers tonight at -3, won on the Vikings -3 on Sunday. Betting only one or two fans at a time on NFL but am 4-1 so far; small sample size but feeling pretty cocky now. ;D
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10252 on: September 12, 2016, 11:22:47 pm »

49ers were +3 for me?  I am on that and the over, looking like a push. 
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10253 on: September 13, 2016, 08:25:25 am »

A&M will torch that Auburn back 7.  A&M should also have the defense to slow any auburn offensive attack. 

That's my thinking, too.  I'd have assumed A&M a slight favorite @ Aub.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10254 on: September 13, 2016, 08:37:40 am »

Leans...
FSU  -2
Mia  -4
A&M  +3.5
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10255 on: September 13, 2016, 09:27:50 am »

Right now I am on

Miami -3.5
houston -7.5
arizona st -18

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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10256 on: September 13, 2016, 10:31:27 am »

south florida -14
air force -18.5
south carolina +9

this is not for the faint of heart - i pulled the trigger on washington st. +400 and plan on hedging it with a line bet... holding out for key number (+13).

i had a pretty good week.. when hogs hit 10.5/+350 i got a piece of both. been a good start to the season. if washington could have scored from the 35 with under 2 mins... well... i can keep on dreaming of the +400.

i am looking at standford so far... i am already on USC under 7.5 regular season wins... in terms of this game, its again one of my favorite angels. scheduling... usc started classes late august... standford start class 9/26. so that means they had the traditional early fall camp in august, then play kstate, then a full 2 weeks to be completely ingrained in nothing but preperation to beat the trojans - who - are in the full swing of figuring out the student athlete workload and juggling schedules. the icing on the cake for me is the experience level (esp in the trenches) and a new coach... the talent level of the trojans at skilled positions is really good... but that doesnt help when mccaffrey will shred their d line enabling them to control the clock. the line jumped from 6.5 to 9, so i am going to have to wait it out... usc is a popular team so i can only hope it will go back down at some point.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10257 on: September 13, 2016, 01:15:57 pm »

Way to early leans:

Houston -7.5***
Baylor -30.5
FSU -3
Miami -3.5
VT -6
TAMU +3.5
Mich St +7
Ohio St -2.5
UCLA -3

I'm sure I'll have this whittled down to a few losses by Thursday.

Jeff, you still on Louisville vs FSU? I think that Defensive line may give ole Bobby P some problems ala Bama when he was at Arkansas. I'm still of the opinion that Defense wins championships and FSU definitely has the better defense.


Dunno. Tough one to pull the trigger on.  Yep Fl ST d is tough. Jackson ability to rip off big runs might slow that down some. My bigget concern is Louisville stopping FL ST running game. Cards had them on the ropes last year. Then couldnt srop Cook in second half.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10258 on: September 13, 2016, 10:37:36 pm »

My book already has Houston up to -8.5 so I went ahead and pulled the trigger before it got too far from optimal. Biggest bet of the season so far. Almost 10% of my bankroll.

Thursday:
Houston -8*** ...W
Houston -4.5 1h ...L

Friday:
Baylor -33 ...L
Az St -22 ...L

Saturday:
Texas -7 ...L
OSU -1.5 ...W
TAMU +3 ...W
*South Florida -14 ...W
Michigan -19 ...L
Miami -4 ...W
FSU -1.5 ...L
Mich St ML +175 ...W

Went 6-6 for the week, but my leans went 6-2-1. Still made money with my big Houston bet, and the ML bet on the Spartans.

2016 Record: 14-20  41%  Bankroll: $847
« Last Edit: September 18, 2016, 01:59:08 am by WILL CLINTON »
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10259 on: September 14, 2016, 04:55:44 am »

My book already has Houston up to -8.5 so I went ahead and pulled the trigger before it got too far from optimal. Biggest bet of the season so far. Almost 10% of my bankroll.

Do we know yet about Greg ward?
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Junkyard Hog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10260 on: September 14, 2016, 08:36:30 am »

Headed to Vegas in the morning!

Early leans:

Houston -7
Baylor -30
AZ St over 60
TCU -24
GTech -6.5
LaTech +11
Hogs over 61
Tenner -27.5
Nebraska -3
Miami -3.5
OKState -6 and over 59
MichSt +7.5
A&M +4
Ohio St -2
Bama -11
Georgia -6.5
Stanford over 53
Cal +8
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10261 on: September 14, 2016, 08:50:47 am »

Headed to Vegas in the morning!




Was there most of last week.  Sat next to a TCU person in a sportsbook during our game.  Thankfully he wasn't obnoxious (nor do I try to be).  I stayed as long as I could, but unfortunately we had to leave at the end of reg to get to the George concert in time.  I was able to watch OT via my phone but just not enjoy OT in front of my new TCU friend.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10262 on: September 14, 2016, 08:59:54 am »

Do we know yet about Greg ward?


Cleared to play.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10263 on: September 14, 2016, 09:00:58 am »

My book already has Houston up to -8.5 so I went ahead and pulled the trigger before it got too far from optimal. Biggest bet of the season so far. Almost 10% of my bankroll.

I have 4 units on houston -7 with one guy and 4 units on them -8 with another. The 7 unit play i bought the hook.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10264 on: September 14, 2016, 09:40:30 am »

I'm probably just remembering the losses more than the wins, but my cfb betting on Thursday nights  haunts me.  Hou is up to -9 on my site.
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10265 on: September 14, 2016, 09:47:06 am »

I can Houston on my book this morning -7 at -105 juice. Looks like another one of those "easy" bets everyone will be on like Clemson vs Auburn opening week.

That is big news that Ward will be playing though. I would feel more comfortable betting Houston if line were -14.5 or something like that.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10266 on: September 14, 2016, 10:30:20 am »


Was there most of last week.  Sat next to a TCU person in a sportsbook during our game.  Thankfully he wasn't obnoxious (nor do I try to be).  I stayed as long as I could, but unfortunately we had to leave at the end of reg to get to the George concert in time.  I was able to watch OT via my phone but just not enjoy OT in front of my new TCU friend.

I'll be going to one of the next george concerts out there.  How did you like it?
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Junkyard Hog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10267 on: September 14, 2016, 10:48:10 am »


Was there most of last week.  Sat next to a TCU person in a sportsbook during our game.  Thankfully he wasn't obnoxious (nor do I try to be).  I stayed as long as I could, but unfortunately we had to leave at the end of reg to get to the George concert in time.  I was able to watch OT via my phone but just not enjoy OT in front of my new TCU friend.

Nothing better than spending a college football Saturday in the sportsbook!
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10268 on: September 14, 2016, 10:57:56 am »

I'll be going to one of the next george concerts out there.  How did you like it?

It was fine, a typical George show.  He announced the Vegas dates this time last year.  At the time it was only announced he would play the two April dates and the two Sept dates in 2016. It has since been announced he'll do 6 Vegas shows per year and has added Dec 2016 and Feb 2017.

At the original announcement he stated the shows would be about the hits, playing those songs everyone loves, and admitted in some form that most people didn't care about hearing new stuff, such as soon-to-be-on-the-radio songs from Cold Beer Convos.  Anyway, he mostly stuck to the script, as you can see via his setlists from the April and September shows, but played a bit more from the Cold Beer Convos album than I expected.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10269 on: September 14, 2016, 11:01:06 am »

Nothing better than spending a college football Saturday in the sportsbook!

This was my first trip to LV...I'd get up early to workout and grab a coffee.  Walking past the sportsbook each morning around 7am It was always interesting to see how many guys (usually old men) would be sitting at those tables w/ the tiny TV's making notes.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10270 on: September 14, 2016, 11:04:23 am »

Yesterday I locked-in....

A&M  +3.5
Mia  -4
FSU  -2
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Junkyard Hog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10271 on: September 14, 2016, 11:15:15 am »

This was my first trip to LV...I'd get up early to workout and grab a coffee.  Walking past the sportsbook each morning around 7am It was always interesting to see how many guys (usually old men) would be sitting at those tables w/ the tiny TV's making notes.

We go a couple of times a year. March Madness or football season is the only time for me (I play poker and bet on games).  We were there this past New Year's.  Bowl season is awesome in the sportsbook.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10272 on: September 14, 2016, 12:38:03 pm »

Who is George?
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10273 on: September 14, 2016, 01:33:09 pm »

Who is George?
George strait has an ongoing show in Vegas
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10274 on: September 14, 2016, 03:26:12 pm »

Still too early to place much confidence in the power rating systems, but the top 7 systems ats to date all agree on 7 plays.  I'm doing 1/8 unit on each:

Bowling Green +7 (h)
Cal +8
Central Mich. -13
Colo +21 (h)
Ohio St. -1
Syr +14.5
Army -3.5

I'm also tailing Jeff on Houston -7(h)
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10275 on: September 14, 2016, 05:29:00 pm »

Added

OSU  -1.5
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sooiepig_12

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10276 on: September 15, 2016, 01:34:50 am »

I'm tempted to pound Baylor -31.  I know it's on the road but Rice is bad.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10277 on: September 15, 2016, 08:27:52 am »

I'm probably just remembering the losses more than the wins, but my cfb betting on Thursday nights  haunts me.  Hou is up to -9 on my site.


Hou back to -8 on my site
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10278 on: September 15, 2016, 09:19:44 am »

I'm tempted to pound Baylor -31.  I know it's on the road but Rice is bad.

i keep looking at that one and thinking baylor can score 80 if they want to, but the question is do they want to play the starters very long with Okie St coming up next weekend.
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10279 on: September 15, 2016, 09:42:00 am »

Gonna play the over 64..Houston/Cincinnati for 4 units.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10280 on: September 15, 2016, 09:53:23 am »

Houston -7 buying points looks like a great play. 
Houston over 64 also looks good. 

Baylor -31 looks great as well.  Does anyone know if they still have Seth Russels backup from last year, the kid that came in and slung it around before getting hurt?  If he is there backup then there won't be much of a drop off when the 2's come in, it will all matter what that coach wants to do play calling wise. 

EDIT: Jarrett Stidham did leave Baylor, has not landed anywhere, but Gus is on top of it and appears to be leading the way for his services.... 
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10281 on: September 15, 2016, 10:04:23 am »

Houston -7 buying points looks like a great play. 
Houston over 64 also looks good. 

Baylor -31 looks great as well.  Does anyone know if they still have Seth Russels backup from last year, the kid that came in and slung it around before getting hurt?  If he is there backup then there won't be much of a drop off when the 2's come in, it will all matter what that coach wants to do play calling wise. 

EDIT: Jarrett Stidham did leave Baylor, has not landed anywhere, but Gus is on top of it and appears to be leading the way for his services.... 

Whoa, I had no idea Stidham hadn't enrolled anywhere yet.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10282 on: September 15, 2016, 10:08:28 am »

Whoa, I had no idea Stidham hadn't enrolled anywhere yet.

Looks like is gus is going to try and use him for a contract extension after this year, cause he is sure going to need something!
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WooPig90

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10283 on: September 15, 2016, 11:36:54 am »

Took a couple of teasers for tonight...UH -2 with the over 59 and UH -2 with the over 35 in the bills game
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10284 on: September 15, 2016, 01:15:58 pm »

I'm taking the over on Houston and caught it at 64.
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jdelo77

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10285 on: September 15, 2016, 05:10:41 pm »

My betus account was closed due to inactivity ...any one recommend a good sports book ?
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10286 on: September 15, 2016, 05:49:58 pm »

Even though I know I shouldn't, I'm going to take Houston -4.5 1h also.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10287 on: September 15, 2016, 06:28:46 pm »

Houston -7
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10288 on: September 15, 2016, 08:29:07 pm »

LOL

Even though I know I shouldn't, I'm going to take Houston -4.5 1h also.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10289 on: September 15, 2016, 10:36:25 pm »

My betus account was closed due to inactivity ...any one recommend a good sports book ?

Betdsi is suppose to be good. Find a local though man
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10290 on: September 16, 2016, 06:50:24 am »

Just put 4 units on Baylor -31
« Last Edit: September 16, 2016, 09:44:02 am by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson »
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10291 on: September 16, 2016, 08:47:46 am »

Just put 4 units on Baylor -4

I'm thinking there might be a typo in there somewhere.  If you could get Baylor at -4 against Rice, you'd be doing a LOT more than 4 units :)
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10292 on: September 16, 2016, 09:45:02 am »

I'm thinking there might be a typo in there somewhere.  If you could get Baylor at -4 against Rice, you'd be doing a LOT more than 4 units :)

I'm thinking there might be a typo in there somewhere.  If you could get Baylor at -4 against Rice, you'd be doing a LOT more than 4 units :)
ll

Thanks. Corrected it.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10293 on: September 16, 2016, 12:30:39 pm »

Added

Tx Tech  -10  2u
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10294 on: September 16, 2016, 04:04:08 pm »

Had houston -7.5

also have

az -18
miami -3.5
mid tn -6.5
rut -6.5
oh/tn ov 58

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Sanctified Swine

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10295 on: September 16, 2016, 04:10:10 pm »

I am locked in for Baylor to cover. Been 50% for the year...need a good week! Here goes!
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10296 on: September 16, 2016, 05:22:16 pm »

Ugh too much chalk again. Worked last time. Added utah st -9 and AZ ST -21 / 4 units each. Last one scares me. Utsa screwed me a few years ago against the other zona. Wildcats.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10297 on: September 16, 2016, 05:23:01 pm »

I am locked in for Baylor to cover. Been 50% for the year...need a good week! Here goes!

50% is losing money. Get it in gear buddy :)
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10298 on: September 16, 2016, 07:00:57 pm »

Added:

Baylor -33 (yes, horrible line, waited too long)
Az St -22 (see above^^)
Texas -7
OSU -1.5
TAMU +3
South Florida -14
Michigan -19
Miami -4
FSU -1.5

The only one I may add tomorrow is Mich State, but want to see how that line looks in the morning.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10299 on: September 16, 2016, 07:25:54 pm »

Utah state -9
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