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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 341029 times)

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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10050 on: March 19, 2016, 10:29:25 pm »

I went 2-1 yesterday in CBB. Won with SDS and Northern Iowa, lost on Asheville.  Think my plays today are UK -4 and Spurs -4.

I went with Indiana and golden state today, so we both just lost some juice.
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10051 on: March 19, 2016, 10:40:35 pm »

Should have bet on Gonzaga!  Haven't decided what to take tomorrow yet.  Going to wait until the am to decide. 
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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10052 on: March 21, 2016, 08:42:42 am »

lookin' at sooners...

will be as close to a home crowd as your gonna get in the tourney... CS Bakersfield is a team just happy to be there and as of late - on the road against opponents far lesser than this (-35 at Saint Marys, -16 at Arizona State) they dont have size the reg season competition to prepare them for the sooners. -14.5 in pocket.

i dont want to even talk about last night... trojans had no idea what they were doing and with :21 sec left - no way it should have been a 1 possession game in favor of USC.... AND providence was losing by 1 :puke:

providence and Oklahoma losses were brutal. and to correct my statement above... i lost providence by the hook... then OU the next day. oh well... maybe this week will be profitable.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10053 on: March 21, 2016, 08:50:08 am »

ran into Userpick at the track casino this weekend. He's alive!
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10054 on: March 21, 2016, 09:36:01 am »

I was there on Saturday, got stroked on every race except the Rebel. 

This weekend hurt me all around.  Lost three maybe even a fourth big play by .5, and I just for some stupid reason stopped buying those when I have been buying the .5 all season.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10055 on: August 07, 2016, 05:21:10 pm »

It's baaaccckkkkkk.....
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10056 on: August 07, 2016, 11:12:32 pm »

Yes it is, already have my eye on few college games
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10057 on: August 08, 2016, 08:52:39 am »

And they canceled the first game on us. I bet the NFL
Office is loving themselves this morning.

I read a stat yesterday, in pre season chip Kelly is has only not covered the spread once and the same for the over I believe.
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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10058 on: August 08, 2016, 10:42:23 am »

my early convictions...

chicago bears +6 vs texans on 9/11
got this one in 7/22 before jj watt news hit the presses and i think osweiler will have some trouble with o'briens complicated playbook. last i saw line was at 3.5 - value and timing bet alone basically.

carolina panthers over 10.5 wins
so the markets are telling me they will lose 5 more games than last year with a better defense and (at least) as good as offense?

tampa bay bucs over 7.5 wins
i am basically betting on jameis... he is 22... young but one year older... he scored 27 on the wonderlic (one less than peyton manning), they went from 2-14 in 2014 to 6-10 last year with winston as a rookie. and if you catch any of quotes coming out of camp... well, he seems to have turned a corner. here are a few...

jameis
“If you’re trying to push leadership on guys, that guy is not going to want to follow you. Me and the Chaplain, Doug (Gilcrease), we were talking about Biblically what leadership means. Leadership means to serve others. As long I as I can serve the guys around me, I feel like I’m doing a good job of being a leader to them and I know they will do anything for me just like I will for them.’’

Gerald McCoy
"Me and Jameis had a private conversation about what he feels like this team needs me to be as a leader. I'm not going to say, but I think it will be obvious when it happens, because you guys are used to doing things a certain way.

"That's going to change. The face of the franchise came to me and said 'Hey, listen. If we're going to win, we need you to do this. OK?' My quarterback said this is what he needs, so it's what I'm going to do. If he feels like that's what our team needs in order for us to win, who am I to tell him, 'No, I'm not going to do that.' I want to win, too.

"He's an intelligent guy, young or not. Very mature, very intelligent. He sits back and watches and analyzes, and he's seen something he feels like I can do to help this team be better. It's not hard to do. It's just a matter of me just doing it. I love Jameis, man. He's like my brother.”

Koetter
"Jameis is very perceptive about not only what he needs to get better but what our offense and our team needs to get better. That’s one of the things when you’re around him more, he’s mature way beyond his years with that sort of thing. The reason I got a smile is because that’s a good thing for the Bucs.’’

los angles rams vs 49ers under 45.5 total
2 of the worst offensive teams and both have decent defenses, line seems out of whack.

here are a few i have not pulled the trigger on, yet.

9/3 usc +10.5 vs bama
just a gut play, lots of talent on usc squad and thats a pretty big number...
LSU to win the SEC
just a value play... there are some good numbers out there, its off on my book today and cant remeber the exact line, but...
« Last Edit: August 08, 2016, 10:54:05 am by gotyacovered »
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10059 on: August 08, 2016, 10:47:28 am »

Carolina O 10.5 is plus money too, I've stayed away from it but fully expect I give in before season.  I was all over Carolina in this thread last year and they single handidly kept me in the black probably.  They got no love from the books and I never understood it. 
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10060 on: August 08, 2016, 12:27:33 pm »

College lines I'm interested in right now:

Vandy -3 vs. USC-e
Stanford -16 vs. K St.
UCLA +2 @ A&M
LSU -10 vs. WIS
UNC +3 vs. UGA
ND -4.5 @ TX
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10061 on: August 08, 2016, 03:49:11 pm »

College lines I'm interested in right now:

Vandy -3 vs. USC-e
Stanford -16 vs. K St.
UCLA +2 @ A&M
LSU -10 vs. WIS
UNC +3 vs. UGA
ND -4.5 @ TX

the 1st 4 games scare me, I think UNC and ND are locks to cover easy.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10062 on: August 20, 2016, 11:28:47 am »

That time of year again.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10063 on: August 20, 2016, 01:00:59 pm »

Anyone do any future betting?

I took TN to NOT win the East at +100
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10064 on: August 26, 2016, 09:06:47 pm »

Cal -19......W

1-0
« Last Edit: August 27, 2016, 05:56:25 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10065 on: August 27, 2016, 05:56:34 pm »

Indy -1
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sooiepig_12

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10066 on: August 29, 2016, 12:56:48 am »

Toledo +3 at stAte looks awfully tasty.  Don't know how much Toledo has lost though 
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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10067 on: August 29, 2016, 08:52:47 am »

Anyone do any future betting?

I took TN to NOT win the East at +100

i have since added....

USC Trojans under 7.5 wins
South Alabama +31 (look who the D coordinators dad is--and do you think miss st is going to be trying to win by 5 TD's with south carolina and LSU the next 2 following weeks?) plus lots freshman gettgin snaps.

here is my question... anyone unbiased enough to logically justify hogs over 7.5 RSW?

my early convictions...

chicago bears +6 vs texans on 9/11
got this one in 7/22 before jj watt news hit the presses and i think osweiler will have some trouble with o'briens complicated playbook. last i saw line was at 3.5 - value and timing bet alone basically.

carolina panthers over 10.5 wins
so the markets are telling me they will lose 5 more games than last year with a better defense and (at least) as good as offense?

tampa bay bucs over 7.5 wins
i am basically betting on jameis... he is 22... young but one year older... he scored 27 on the wonderlic (one less than peyton manning), they went from 2-14 in 2014 to 6-10 last year with winston as a rookie. and if you catch any of quotes coming out of camp... well, he seems to have turned a corner. here are a few...

jameis
“If you’re trying to push leadership on guys, that guy is not going to want to follow you. Me and the Chaplain, Doug (Gilcrease), we were talking about Biblically what leadership means. Leadership means to serve others. As long I as I can serve the guys around me, I feel like I’m doing a good job of being a leader to them and I know they will do anything for me just like I will for them.’’

Gerald McCoy
"Me and Jameis had a private conversation about what he feels like this team needs me to be as a leader. I'm not going to say, but I think it will be obvious when it happens, because you guys are used to doing things a certain way.

"That's going to change. The face of the franchise came to me and said 'Hey, listen. If we're going to win, we need you to do this. OK?' My quarterback said this is what he needs, so it's what I'm going to do. If he feels like that's what our team needs in order for us to win, who am I to tell him, 'No, I'm not going to do that.' I want to win, too.

"He's an intelligent guy, young or not. Very mature, very intelligent. He sits back and watches and analyzes, and he's seen something he feels like I can do to help this team be better. It's not hard to do. It's just a matter of me just doing it. I love Jameis, man. He's like my brother.”

Koetter
"Jameis is very perceptive about not only what he needs to get better but what our offense and our team needs to get better. That’s one of the things when you’re around him more, he’s mature way beyond his years with that sort of thing. The reason I got a smile is because that’s a good thing for the Bucs.’’

los angles rams vs 49ers under 45.5 total
2 of the worst offensive teams and both have decent defenses, line seems out of whack.

here are a few i have not pulled the trigger on, yet.

9/3 usc +10.5 vs bama
just a gut play, lots of talent on usc squad and thats a pretty big number...
LSU to win the SEC
just a value play... there are some good numbers out there, its off on my book today and cant remeber the exact line, but...
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10068 on: August 29, 2016, 08:58:05 am »

Early leans Da Ville -39 large
Vols -20 large
S Carolina +4 medium
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10069 on: August 29, 2016, 11:07:20 am »

Already put in Clemson -6.5

Still looking at ND -3, Stanford -15.5, MIZ +9.5, and FSU -4
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10070 on: August 29, 2016, 05:44:03 pm »

Marlins/Mets Over 7.5.  Loved this game at 7 and then waited and had to get it at 7.5. 
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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10071 on: August 30, 2016, 10:54:25 am »

Already put in Clemson -6.5

Still looking at ND -3, Stanford -15.5, MIZ +9.5, and FSU -4

i like clemson, i didnt pull trigger bc ole gus will pull out all the stops. also one to note in the future - they got a lot of extra practice time from the title game....
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10072 on: August 30, 2016, 11:05:28 am »

1st picks of the year

Vandy/SC under 43.5

West Va -10
Clem -7.5
OU - 11


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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10073 on: August 30, 2016, 11:17:13 am »

I know some people dropping some major coin on that clemson line before it moved to -7.5. 
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10074 on: August 30, 2016, 11:25:00 am »

I know some people dropping some major coin on that clemson line before it moved to -7.5. 

It is actually my lightest play, but I think clemson has way too much for Auburn. My big concern for many of the games in the southeast this weekend is the potential for this tropical system currently in the gulf to make it a messy wet day.
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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10075 on: August 30, 2016, 03:02:24 pm »

i bet flat, but if i were to load up on one, i think it would be South Alabama.

in case it got overlooked... and the fact it created zero discussion...

South Alabama +31 (look who the D coordinators dad is--and do you think miss st is going to be trying to win by 5 TD's with south carolina and LSU the next 2 following weeks?) plus lots freshman gettgin snaps.

to me this is a dream... you think dave wommack isnt going to help his son beat their biggest arch rival... add in the fact he worked for his dad last year and is the youngest assistant coach in the nation (28)... its all about edges and i think this is a good one. i about fell out of my chair when i saw the father/son relationship on twitter. youve never seen a bet placed faster than this one.

my intrest today is kstate +15.5/47.5... not sure exactly how to approach it but it'll either be the wildcats +15.5 with a significant upgrade (i think) at QB and the standford QB set up. long time since they have had anyone like andrew luck and from what i understand both ryan burns and keller chryst will play... the thing to watch may be the standford heisman rb who may have a chip on his shoulder... over 47.5/48 may be the way... dunno. they have USC then at washington, at UCLA so a savvy coach like david shaw may push pace a little more than usual to maximinze playing time.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10076 on: August 30, 2016, 03:14:37 pm »

Clemson/LSU/Bama ML Parlay +108
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10077 on: August 30, 2016, 03:38:09 pm »

Lines I'm looking at now, some I'm playing, some just looking.  A lot of Home Opening plays that look tasty, some based on coaching story lines, some based on travel.

Vandy-4.5 V South Carolina

Oregon St +13 @ Minn - Playing - New Coach at Minn and Oregon St is on the rise with multiple key starters returning.

Stanford - 15.5 v KState - Playing - Home Opener for the Cardinal and Heisman campaign for Christian McCaffery starts now.

Michigan - 40 v Hawaii - Hard lean - Lot of points but Hawaii just played in Sydney Australia and then has to go to a 5 hour time difference the other way, this will be the shortest week in the lives of the Rainbow Warrior players and coaches.  Oh and their reward for nearly and entire day lost to travel, is Michigan's  home opener in the Big House.  It may be a 52 - 7 type of game.

Ohio St -27.5 v Bowling Green - Hard lean - Again, that's a lot of points and Ohio St has some injuries to deal with, but this is the Urban Bowl, where he started and where he might finish.  Another home  opener he may be looking to make a statement.

Washington - 26.5 v  Rutgers - Hard lean- Washington Home opener plus Rutgers cross country flight. . .

Alabama -11.5 v USC - Playing - Talent and Coaching security of Alabama

Clemson -7.5 @ Auburn - Playing - Talent difference, Clemson's QB is the real deal and their D will disrupt anything Gus tries to hurry up

Notre Dame -3.5 @ Texas - Hard lean - Texas is improved but not quite to the level of beating ND this early in the season.

Ole Miss +4.5 v Florida St - Interesting - Ole Miss has a chance to have an "Us against the world" mentality.  No sanctions yet, so they have to win everything now and make a statement before the fit hits the shan.



This is the most wonderful time of the year!!!
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10078 on: August 30, 2016, 04:02:14 pm »

Havent even really looked at Saturday yet. Hoping to come.out of the gate fast Thursday night.
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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10079 on: August 30, 2016, 04:14:45 pm »

I'm back! Lets make this season a profitable one.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10080 on: August 30, 2016, 07:00:43 pm »

Tailing a guy that killed it last year with this play. Arkansas state -3-120 huge
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10081 on: August 30, 2016, 08:46:21 pm »

I parlayed GT -3, Irish -3 and LSU -10.  Kind of like La Tech +26 or maybe even the under total of 56 in Hogs game but I can't bet against them.  I think Bielema may play this game fairly conservative in order not to show much going into the TCU game the following week.  Thinking Hogs may win 35-14 or something like that. 
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10082 on: August 31, 2016, 11:19:20 am »

Glad to be starting another season, and good to see a lot of familiar "faces" and a few new ones.  I plan to start out slow to amass a few weeks data before ramping up.  I left my bankroll intact from last season in hopes of getting a decent return on a larger starting amount this season.  Good luck all!
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10083 on: August 31, 2016, 11:36:45 am »

Thoughts on Vandy -4.5?
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10084 on: August 31, 2016, 12:31:32 pm »

Thoughts on Vandy -4.5?

I think Vandy wins in what should be a low scoring game. Opened at 2.5 and the fact it's crossed 3 and 4, I'm not playing it. Figure the value lies on the other side now.
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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10085 on: August 31, 2016, 12:49:18 pm »

I parlayed GT -3, Irish -3 and LSU -10.  Kind of like La Tech +26 or maybe even the under total of 56 in Hogs game but I can't bet against them.  I think Bielema may play this game fairly conservative in order not to show much going into the TCU game the following week.  Thinking Hogs may win 35-14 or something like that. 

i think your right about hog game plan.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10086 on: August 31, 2016, 04:51:32 pm »

It's way too early to put any stock in the power ranking systems, but the top six systems from last season all agree on three games in week one:

Stanford -14
Toledo +3.5
BYU +1.5

I'm doing those three and tailing Jeff to play (all for 1/8 unit ... I'm serious about starting small in wk 1)
TN -20
Lou -39.5. 
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10087 on: August 31, 2016, 07:28:31 pm »

It's way too early to put any stock in the power ranking systems, but the top six systems from last season all agree on three games in week one:

Stanford -14
Toledo +3.5
BYU +1.5

I'm doing those three and tailing Jeff to play (all for 1/8 unit ... I'm serious about starting small in wk 1)
TN -20
Lou -39.5.

Where can I get Stanford at -14? 

And to consider Toledo the same as last year, do you factor in everything they lost?
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10088 on: August 31, 2016, 07:49:31 pm »

5Dimes still has Stanford at -14 (110).  This afternoon it was at -14 (105), so  I actually took it at -13.5 (115).

I did no independent research on Toledo (one of the side effects of a 1/8 unit bet).  I'm just hoping that at least one  or two of the six top rating systems from last year took that into account. 
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Fort Dweller

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10089 on: August 31, 2016, 08:16:19 pm »

ND -3

Texas starting a true freshman at QB. 
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10090 on: August 31, 2016, 10:21:43 pm »

5Dimes still has Stanford at -14 (110).  This afternoon it was at -14 (105), so  I actually took it at -13.5 (115).

I did no independent research on Toledo (one of the side effects of a 1/8 unit bet).  I'm just hoping that at least one  or two of the six top rating systems from last year took that into account.

Dang it!!  I swore off 5dimes after I got into it with their customer service. They are AWFUL!!! 
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10091 on: September 01, 2016, 03:17:24 am »

FINALLY!!!

Thursday, Sept 1:

Vandy -4 v South Carolina ...L
Vandy v South Carolina u 41.5 ...W

Friday, Sept 2:

Saturday, Sept 3:

OU -11...L
UCLA +3...L
Clemson -8...L
WVU -10 ...W
UNC +4...L
KY -4...L
Texas +4 v ND...W
FSU -4 v OM...W

Leans:

2016 Record: 4-6  40%  Bankroll: $922
« Last Edit: September 05, 2016, 11:39:56 pm by WILL CLINTON »
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WooPig90

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10092 on: September 01, 2016, 10:30:31 am »

Took a 6 pt 2 team teaser....Vandy +2 and Indiana -4
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10093 on: September 01, 2016, 11:12:03 am »

Staying away from the marquee games today. Gonna go with

Rice +17 for 7 units

Wake Forest -16 for 4 units

Try and hit it hot out of the gate here. Good luck guys.
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10094 on: September 01, 2016, 11:27:00 am »

tonight
vandy -4
vand/sc under 43.5
tn -20.5
wku -16.5

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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10095 on: September 01, 2016, 01:56:14 pm »

Indiana/Stanford/Ark St. ML Parlay +117
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10096 on: September 01, 2016, 02:56:32 pm »

So, so many of us on Vandy tonight. Hope the hogville curse doesn't strike. And we're all on the under also.

Most of my bets will be 3% of my bankroll. My heaviest bet will only be 5%. Trying a bit of strict bankroll management this year.

« Last Edit: September 01, 2016, 03:45:07 pm by WILL CLINTON »
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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10097 on: September 01, 2016, 03:56:47 pm »

Best of luck fellas... my updated open sheet.

Futures:
Carolina Panthers over 10.5 wins
Tampa Bay Bucs Over 7.5 Wins
9/11/16  Bears +6 vs Texans
9/12/16 LA Rams 49ers U45.5

South Alabama +31 vs Mississippi St
Kansas State vs Stanford Over 48
BYU PK vs Arizona

Vandy is popular everywhere, not just here!
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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10098 on: September 01, 2016, 04:03:47 pm »

couple other things that made it into my notes for the weekend...

Mazzone current off coordinator for aggies held that position at UCLA last year;
Dave Aranda was the def coordinator at Wisconsin is this weekend he is on the other side line;
Shannon Dawson, off coordinator at Southern Miss is playing Kentucky team where he was in same position last year;
everybody should have already seen my south bama/miss st edge.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10099 on: September 01, 2016, 05:22:19 pm »

Tennessee -21
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