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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 338888 times)

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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9800 on: January 28, 2016, 08:08:11 pm »

Towson makes it 3-0, 12 in a row

Definitely the best run I've ever seen. Keep it up!
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9801 on: January 28, 2016, 08:40:39 pm »

Monmouth 4-0 , 13 in a row
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9802 on: January 28, 2016, 08:53:59 pm »

Definitely the best run I've ever seen. Keep it up!

Me too...I can't even believe it. But barring something crazy, Oregon state us gonna end the streak
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9803 on: January 28, 2016, 09:29:58 pm »

Oregon state 4-1 ends the streak
Northwestern about to make it 4-2
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Big Boi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9804 on: January 28, 2016, 10:14:22 pm »

Definitely the best run I've ever seen. Keep it up!
It was awesome
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9805 on: January 28, 2016, 10:19:36 pm »

Gonna end up 0-4 in the 2nd half of plays....I would say my luck is out. Next man up...lol
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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9806 on: January 28, 2016, 10:54:41 pm »

Gonna end up 0-4 in the 2nd half of plays....I would say my luck is out. Next man up...lol

Haha slow and steady man! Keep doing your thing
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9807 on: January 29, 2016, 09:51:22 am »

Haha slow and steady man! Keep doing your thing

Awesome run Sir!  Even with the 0-4 ending for the night, it's going to be hard to find a next man up who will hit at over 76% ATS like you just did. 

I love the discipline of this group.  This thread taught me the difference between being a "gambler" and a "sports investor," and I'm loving the ROI from those lessons.  Keep up the excellent work!
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9808 on: January 29, 2016, 03:53:55 pm »

I've been tinkering with adding new filters to the football spreadsheets during the off season.  I tried to duplicate the conventional wisdom that bigger games have tighter lines, but so far, taking into account Top 25 match-ups hasn't had much impact on the ATS winning % of the power rating systems.  On a positive note, taking into account win/lose streaks and taking into account strength of schedule have both improved the ATS winning % of the top power rating systems.

In the category of Keep It Simple Stupid, it was also nice to notice that a few of the top power rating systems hit at or over 60% ATS last season on something as simple as picking road favorites.  Here's hoping the grind pays off for next football season.

You guys are setting the bar high during bball.  Keep up the good work!
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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9809 on: January 29, 2016, 04:34:49 pm »

VCU -2 is my only play tonight. Good luck guys.
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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9810 on: January 29, 2016, 04:35:29 pm »

I've been tinkering with adding new filters to the football spreadsheets during the off season.  I tried to duplicate the conventional wisdom that bigger games have tighter lines, but so far, taking into account Top 25 match-ups hasn't had much impact on the ATS winning % of the power rating systems.  On a positive note, taking into account win/lose streaks and taking into account strength of schedule have both improved the ATS winning % of the top power rating systems.

In the category of Keep It Simple Stupid, it was also nice to notice that a few of the top power rating systems hit at or over 60% ATS last season on something as simple as picking road favorites.  Here's hoping the grind pays off for next football season.

You guys are setting the bar high during bball.  Keep up the good work!

I love the analysis. It'll pay off.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9811 on: January 29, 2016, 04:45:00 pm »

New streak....

Davidson +1.5

Going against UP tonight
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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9812 on: January 29, 2016, 07:14:23 pm »

1-0 night.

42-21 season to date.
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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9813 on: January 30, 2016, 09:32:00 am »

1-0 night.

42-21 season to date.

Nice.

1-0 for me also, had lakers/clippers under, also had Boston -8 as a go but ended up on a flight at game time and couldn't get it to go thru... SMH. Prob woulda tailed VCU, but couldn't for the same reason above.

Only thing that's caught my eye so far: Aggies at home and pissed.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9814 on: January 30, 2016, 09:55:37 am »

I've circled Auburn and Arkansas also... TT/pokes aren't gonna make the tourney, maybe not even a small one and these mid season non-conf games both non-contenders for the big dance should be flat. Additionally you have auburn that'll have a sell out crowd tonight on ESPN and a coach that knows how to exploit that situation; on the other side you have the hogs with some momentum, playing great D.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9815 on: January 30, 2016, 11:10:24 am »

Hogs -5
Duquesne -4.5
Chattanooga -4.5
Monmouth -12

Most know I don't play the hogs with emotional investment. The hogs are a solid bet today from a vetting standpoint.
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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9816 on: January 30, 2016, 11:31:05 am »

Georgetown -2.5
Akron -1

Best of luck guys
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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9817 on: January 30, 2016, 02:29:48 pm »

Akron got me off to a good start. Georgetown needs to make it a 2-0 night.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9818 on: January 30, 2016, 06:26:39 pm »

Never any doubt on the Hogs cover ;)    I was pulling for OT big time and loved it when they sent Hannahs to the line for the cover.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9819 on: January 30, 2016, 08:10:56 pm »

4-0 today. Good to be back
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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9820 on: January 31, 2016, 11:22:26 am »

43-22


Colorado -3.5
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9821 on: January 31, 2016, 12:18:04 pm »

Iowa -11
Oregon -2.5
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9822 on: January 31, 2016, 01:48:19 pm »

Iowa -11
Oregon -2.5

Dang it. Stepped away for a few days to finish duck season. Already placed mine one NW and oregon. I sure hope oregon wins for us! 
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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9823 on: January 31, 2016, 07:51:11 pm »

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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9824 on: January 31, 2016, 11:25:31 pm »

2-0 today. New streak of 6-0
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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9825 on: February 01, 2016, 08:16:17 am »

not a great weekend for me... 3 consecutive nights I went 0-1, 1-2 and 1-2. I did hop on colorado yesterday, thanks UP. Need a 3-0 sweep tonight to get me back in pay status.
« Last Edit: February 01, 2016, 08:54:47 am by gotyacovered »
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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9826 on: February 01, 2016, 02:51:40 pm »

44-22

Mercer -2

Best of luck everyone!
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9827 on: February 01, 2016, 05:52:14 pm »

Louisville -1
Mercer -2.5
Iona -5
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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9828 on: February 01, 2016, 08:07:00 pm »

Louisville -1
Mercer -2.5
Iona -5

It's a good night for both of us. Let's keep it going.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9829 on: February 01, 2016, 09:55:25 pm »

Providence -7 Tuesday play I think might move quick. 
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9830 on: February 01, 2016, 10:45:01 pm »

It's a good night for both of us. Let's keep it going.

Let's roll
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9831 on: February 01, 2016, 10:45:21 pm »

3-0 tonight....9 in a row
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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9832 on: February 02, 2016, 09:00:51 am »

2-2 for me. I missed mercer, I need a CBB/NBA schedule a 3 year old can read.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9833 on: February 02, 2016, 09:02:03 am »

3-0 tonight....9 in a row

Two great runs in back to back weeks! You bet online or local?
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9834 on: February 02, 2016, 10:09:33 am »

Two great runs in back to back weeks! You bet online or local?

Online
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9835 on: February 02, 2016, 10:50:58 am »

Plays for tonight:

South Carolina +1
Iowa State -4.5
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gotyacovered

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9836 on: February 02, 2016, 11:14:37 am »

Online

that is some nice paydays. you bet them flat or units?
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9837 on: February 02, 2016, 01:49:49 pm »

I use the martingale system...

Bet 1=x

If bet 1 wins, tomorrow I bet the same unit.

If bet 1 loses, I multiply the previous by 2.1

Bet 2 will either be x or x(2.2)

If I win bet 2, I go back to bet 1 amount. If I lose, I multiply bet 2 by 2.2

Each pick I make is a different system. The only way I lose, is if any 1 system loses 4 in a row. For the purpose of this thread, I just post my plays....not the system record.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9838 on: February 02, 2016, 01:50:25 pm »

New Mexico -2.5
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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9839 on: February 02, 2016, 02:56:49 pm »

New Mexico -2.5

I was on this one as well
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9840 on: February 02, 2016, 02:57:45 pm »

45-22

New Mexico -2.5
Akron +2
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9841 on: February 02, 2016, 04:56:52 pm »

I was on this one as well

Good luck man
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9842 on: February 02, 2016, 05:57:33 pm »

Providence line got to -8, thought it might move another point or two. 

Put a small bit on Providence first half at -4 today as well as my play from last night at -7.

Tailing:
Houston Rockets -4

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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9843 on: February 02, 2016, 05:59:13 pm »

adding Kentucky -8
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9844 on: February 02, 2016, 09:26:54 pm »

45-22

New Mexico -2.5
Akron +2

2-0.

47-22 year to date.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9845 on: February 02, 2016, 09:48:35 pm »

1-0 tonight...... 10 straight.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9846 on: February 02, 2016, 09:53:47 pm »

adding Kentucky -8

I had this on my list but cut it.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9847 on: February 02, 2016, 10:48:22 pm »

I had this on my list but cut it.

Up like 21 and I go to cook dinner and find something better to watch.  They gave up a 20 somethibg lead in like 3 minutes.  Monk might be playing for a new coach next year.  I think cal is losing interest at UK

Not a great night with providence going down.  I had a good bit riding on them
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9848 on: February 03, 2016, 09:45:02 am »

2-0.

47-22 year to date.

I've been tailing you for a week or so. You're digging me out of a hole, big time.

I owe you beers.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9849 on: February 03, 2016, 10:38:21 am »

I've been tailing you for a week or so. You're digging me out of a hole, big time.

I owe you beers.

These two guys are killing it!   Wish I could blindly tail, but I know if I were I'd screw it all up.  So I will keep my own and just watch the great records keep going! 
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