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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 330073 times)

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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9450 on: December 19, 2015, 06:26:35 pm »

I picked every bowl game this year because I'm in a pool at my g/f work, I think 1st place is like $600.



Edit: See post from 12/26. I goofed.
« Last Edit: December 26, 2015, 07:49:08 pm by WILL CLINTON »
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9451 on: December 19, 2015, 09:40:04 pm »

Of course, we start out bowl season with a push.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9452 on: December 20, 2015, 09:14:57 am »

Falcons +3....W
Panthers -5.5....L

I may have a play on a couple other late games. I wanna see if the line will move in my favor.
« Last Edit: December 30, 2015, 10:40:20 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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Green_Lanternn

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9453 on: December 20, 2015, 11:59:11 am »

Monmouth vs Rutgers -10
Monmouth vs Rutgers OVER 142.5
Green Bay -3.5
Arizona -4
Chicago +5.5
Pittsburgh -6.5
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9454 on: December 20, 2015, 03:11:40 pm »

Denver +7...P
« Last Edit: December 30, 2015, 10:40:32 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9455 on: December 20, 2015, 03:26:11 pm »

I can't believe the bull crap I just saw....35-7 panthers and fail to cover ....wow
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9456 on: December 20, 2015, 07:44:22 pm »

I can't believe the bull crap I just saw....35-7 panthers and fail to cover ....wow

Panthers got to stay healthy here on out. The over was the only play in that game.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9457 on: December 20, 2015, 09:49:54 pm »

Busy weekend out of town and didn't get a chance to post but played Ohio +7 and La T -1 so nice start to bowl season, looking at USF +2.5 tomorrow
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9458 on: December 21, 2015, 11:06:24 am »

I can't believe the bull crap I just saw....35-7 panthers and fail to cover ....wow

2nd time this year that a game like that cost me HUGE parlays. It is crap like that that fuels the fires of conspiracy about fixed games. Up 35-7, then suddenly cant move the ball and cant stop anyone, then once tied, Panthers have no problem moving right down the field for the game winning fg. Panthers stay perfect, Giants cover.

Did start off pretty good on the bowls, but I have done great on college football all year only to give it mostly back on nfl.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9459 on: December 21, 2015, 12:19:46 pm »

USF +3

41-45 YTD (posted)
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9460 on: December 21, 2015, 02:17:45 pm »

Should have been 3-0 yesterday in the NFL. Panthers up 35-7 and let the giants score 28 straight and the Broncos let Pitt score 21 unanswered to push me.

1-1-1 in what should have been a huge day.
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9461 on: December 21, 2015, 02:37:57 pm »

Should have been 3-0 yesterday in the NFL. Panthers up 35-7 and let the giants score 28 straight and the Broncos let Pitt score 21 unanswered to push me.

1-1-1 in what should have been a huge day.

If No covers tonight it will payoff  3 team and a 4 team parlay. Also had a nice little one with AZ + 4, az/phil ov 51 No -3 and no/det over 51 still in play.

That Car game was just about enough to make me quit playing the nfl. Same kind of crap goes on in the nba. Team goes off at -8, gets up by 30 but somehow only ends up winning by 7.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9462 on: December 21, 2015, 06:28:41 pm »

I'm with you. I'm pretty sick of the NFL.

But I'm playing the saints -3 tonight cause I already had it circled.
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9463 on: December 22, 2015, 10:31:43 am »

I'm with you. I'm pretty sick of the NFL.

But I'm playing the saints -3 tonight cause I already had it circled.

Well, that did not work out for either of us.

The thing with the nfl, after I sat and thought about it, the rules, not just on the field, but in salaries, free agency, etc are there to make everyone as equal as possible. That is why 8 points in a spread is huge, and 14 like the Pats were is just crazy. It is much easier to look at a college game and see pretty quickly if it is a mismatch or not. 
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9464 on: December 22, 2015, 12:00:06 pm »

True. And I'll probably lay off the NFL the rest of the way.

AKron +8....W
« Last Edit: December 23, 2015, 01:27:16 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9465 on: December 22, 2015, 12:10:04 pm »

True. And I'll probably lay off the NFL the rest of the way.

AKron +8

Still some good plays in the NFL, but the next 2 weeks will really be tough with teams maybe resting players, teams out of the playoffs just playing out the string, etc.

I am doing the bowls in groups of 4 or 5, my group right now:

WKU - 3 (w)
Ut St - 7 (l)
BG - 7.5
Boise - 8.5
« Last Edit: December 23, 2015, 10:20:16 am by hogsanity »
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9466 on: December 22, 2015, 12:38:27 pm »

Lost USF 41-46 YTD
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9467 on: December 22, 2015, 12:55:12 pm »

.
« Last Edit: December 26, 2015, 08:07:55 pm by WILL CLINTON »
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9468 on: December 22, 2015, 08:44:55 pm »

For all the games where you get freaking lucky on a late cover I have to come and tell when I get screwed.  1 point cost me two huge bball plays tonight. 

Wake forrest +7.5, up 15 at half, coach allows his team to come out flat at half and Xavier goes on a 17-2 run and wake forrest makes no substituion or calls a timeout on that run.  Just watches it like a spectator.  Wake losses by 8.

Memphis under 193.5.  Memphis has the ball with 20 seeconds to go and shot clock off, total at 193.  DA Tony Allen goes to the hoop after holding for 10 seconds and gets fouled.  Makes 1 free throw for a total of 194.  I push this because I also had memphis -10 and they covered, but just stupid idiot, hold the ball and go home. 

Needed it after having Utah st -7 earlier today. 
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9469 on: December 23, 2015, 02:14:21 am »

.
« Last Edit: December 26, 2015, 08:08:03 pm by WILL CLINTON »
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9470 on: December 23, 2015, 10:22:22 am »

For all the games where you get freaking lucky on a late cover I have to come and tell when I get screwed.  1 point cost me two huge bball plays tonight. 

Wake forrest +7.5, up 15 at half, coach allows his team to come out flat at half and Xavier goes on a 17-2 run and wake forrest makes no substituion or calls a timeout on that run.  Just watches it like a spectator.  Wake losses by 8.

Memphis under 193.5.  Memphis has the ball with 20 seeconds to go and shot clock off, total at 193.  DA Tony Allen goes to the hoop after holding for 10 seconds and gets fouled.  Makes 1 free throw for a total of 194.  I push this because I also had memphis -10 and they covered, but just stupid idiot, hold the ball and go home. 

Needed it after having Utah st -7 earlier today. 

If you bet basketball for anything other than fun, it will make you physically ill. I have quit playing games straight up. A couple nights a week, I will pick 4 or 5 games and them round robin 2 or 3 team parlays. I have a couple where I have hit all 5, and at least I usually hit 2 or 3 which minimizes the loss.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9471 on: December 23, 2015, 12:00:07 pm »

3-4-1 bowl record.

Tomorrow (tonight) I'm on Bowling Green -7 and Boise St -9

Bowling Green has been a great cover all year. i'm on it as well.

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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9472 on: December 23, 2015, 03:38:27 pm »

Bowling Green has been a great cover all year. i'm on it as well.



I think everyone is on BG, which scares me.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9473 on: December 23, 2015, 04:15:00 pm »

I'm on em as well....

BG -5.5...L
« Last Edit: December 30, 2015, 10:37:07 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9474 on: December 23, 2015, 05:30:59 pm »

BG -4.5
UCLA -6.5 (Sat.)
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9475 on: December 23, 2015, 05:39:52 pm »

A bit puzzled on the BG line movement, the play is square as hell but BG's offense is a well oiled machine. They will get their points, undoubtedly it seems. Also GA So. is coming off a beat down and they're losing their HC and OC to Tulane but I believe they'll be coaching tonight.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9476 on: December 23, 2015, 10:29:27 pm »

Bowling green coah screwed the pooch. He's coached himself and his team right out of this game.

4th and 9 early in the 3rd and you run the ball? 

Rain pouring and Youve not been a run/pass option team but you decide to let your QB continue the run pass gimmicky junk. 

It's all to often that these coaches try to outthink themselves. Do what you are good at and see if it's enough. 
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9477 on: December 24, 2015, 06:24:48 am »

Why I hate bowl season.
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9478 on: December 24, 2015, 10:13:11 am »

For all the games where you get freaking lucky on a late cover I have to come and tell when I get screwed.  1 point cost me two huge bball plays tonight. 

Wake forrest +7.5, up 15 at half, coach allows his team to come out flat at half and Xavier goes on a 17-2 run and wake forrest makes no substituion or calls a timeout on that run.  Just watches it like a spectator.  Wake losses by 8.

Memphis under 193.5.  Memphis has the ball with 20 seeconds to go and shot clock off, total at 193.  DA Tony Allen goes to the hoop after holding for 10 seconds and gets fouled.  Makes 1 free throw for a total of 194.  I push this because I also had memphis -10 and they covered, but just stupid idiot, hold the ball and go home. 

Needed it after having Utah st -7 earlier today. 

Last night had monmouth -10.5. They are up 12 with 11 seconds to go, cornell misses a 3, monmouth rebounds.  All they have to do is stand still and the clock runs out. Instead they somehow turn it over and cornell bangs a garbage 3.  Then, I have ill -5. They are up TWENTY with around 14 mins left. They promptly let mizzu have a 15-0 type run, bt tey still are up 7, with the ball, with not much time left. Somehow end up winning on the number for a push.
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The Hogfather

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9479 on: December 24, 2015, 11:15:04 am »

Last night had monmouth -10.5. They are up 12 with 11 seconds to go, cornell misses a 3, monmouth rebounds.  All they have to do is stand still and the clock runs out. Instead they somehow turn it over and cornell bangs a garbage 3.  Then, I have ill -5. They are up TWENTY with around 14 mins left. They promptly let mizzu have a 15-0 type run, bt tey still are up 7, with the ball, with not much time left. Somehow end up winning on the number for a push.

I can't tell you how many times these types of things have happened to me this year (I know, I know, it happens to everyone).  It has been unbelievable.  Worst year I've ever had!
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The Hogfather

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9480 on: December 24, 2015, 11:17:19 am »

Bowling green coah screwed the pooch. He's coached himself and his team right out of this game.

4th and 9 early in the 3rd and you run the ball? 

Rain pouring and Youve not been a run/pass option team but you decide to let your QB continue the run pass gimmicky junk. 

It's all to often that these coaches try to outthink themselves. Do what you are good at and see if it's enough. 

That call made me think he was throwing the game.  Totally idiotic or genius (if he was throwing the game).
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DeltaHog66

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9481 on: December 24, 2015, 11:29:53 am »

Anybody like San Diego state today?
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9482 on: December 24, 2015, 11:43:26 am »

Geez, another L with BG. Probably hanging it up for the season after this UCLA play regardless of outcome, we'll see...been a rough season.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9483 on: December 24, 2015, 12:41:23 pm »

That call made me think he was throwing the game.  Totally idiotic or genius (if he was throwing the game).

With a 7 point line movement late, right before the game, you could definitely have ground to stand on in that argument of BG throwing the game and some huge money pouring in on SOGA. 
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9484 on: December 24, 2015, 12:42:10 pm »

Last night had monmouth -10.5. They are up 12 with 11 seconds to go, cornell misses a 3, monmouth rebounds.  All they have to do is stand still and the clock runs out. Instead they somehow turn it over and cornell bangs a garbage 3.  Then, I have ill -5. They are up TWENTY with around 14 mins left. They promptly let mizzu have a 15-0 type run, bt tey still are up 7, with the ball, with not much time left. Somehow end up winning on the number for a push.

Just a little tidbit I picked up early in the year.  Mizzou is a 2nd half back door covering team.  THey are fade material this year but do it on Fh bets. 
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9485 on: December 24, 2015, 12:53:24 pm »

With a 7 point line movement late, right before the game, you could definitely have ground to stand on in that argument of BG throwing the game and some huge money pouring in on SOGA. 
What everyone's opinion on this in general? This year in particular...I began to notice late line movement. As in 1-2 hours prior to the game. Majority of the time when I was on the opposite side of this movement I lost. Is there a correlation with late line movement and winning/losing?

For example...say I got a line at -6 the night before and then an hour or two before the game if had moved to -3 or -3.5, I knew I was SCREWED. Anyone else noticed this?
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9486 on: December 24, 2015, 01:27:24 pm »

My thoughts only here jkstock,

If I take a game at -6 and it moves to -3 and nothing has changed, I'm going to put a little more money on the -3.  If I liked a game at -6, and you are changing the score a full score I am jumping on it.  If the move is from -6 to -4 I probably will just stick with my already placed wager.  If there is an injury or something else then I may look at a total to try and recoup some money or just let it ride.  I try my hardest in football not to buy out a bet unless I can get get a full touchdown difference, and that would only be trying to middle. 

Now, going the other way, after the giants game on sunday, I was taking the vikings on monday no matter the line.  I think it opened -4, after Beckham suspension it has moved to -6, I am still taking the vikings.  I like the vikings at whatever the spread is on Sunday against the giants. 

I've tried to understand line movements but you just never know what is going on behind the scenes.  You can have huge money move a line, happened to me late on Navy vs Houston when houston qb was named starter about an hour before the game.  You can also have vegas bait you with a line movement and I think that may have been what the Bowling green game was yesterday (or you have the BG coach was on the take).  There are websites that supposedly track money on each side of a game, but in reality I am not sure i believe them fully.

There are also many people who gamble for a living and have ways of getting 100,000-500,000 on games.  Most of these guys place their bets before game day but they can place a wager late to move a line, just not often.  I see no way those sites can track these types of plays. 
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9487 on: December 24, 2015, 02:50:21 pm »

You are probably right, it may just be a superstition I developed this year because I was getting hammered so badly.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9488 on: December 24, 2015, 03:47:58 pm »

Raiders -5.5....W
« Last Edit: December 30, 2015, 10:37:27 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9489 on: December 24, 2015, 03:54:41 pm »

The world is on SD state tonight and the line is moving down, similar to BG.  This is just weird.  Everyone knows that guy that makes cases for games being fixed and what not, I tend to think those guys are lunacy but there is some solid evidence being put up so far this bowl season and I fully think this game tonight will be another, unfortunately.

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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9490 on: December 26, 2015, 10:30:39 am »

Duke +3.5....W
« Last Edit: December 26, 2015, 06:30:42 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9491 on: December 26, 2015, 10:55:34 am »

CBB louisville +1.5
Under 140

Really liked the Ml but didn't jump on it then ate breakfast and now it's moved down
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9492 on: December 26, 2015, 06:30:20 pm »

UCLA -5....L
« Last Edit: December 30, 2015, 10:37:46 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9493 on: December 26, 2015, 06:38:15 pm »

UCLA -5

Apparently in every bowl, take the over. Good grief, VT/Tu had 31 pts in the 1st 4.5 minutes. I think they had the game over total by the 9 min mark of the 2nd q.

I think Neb has a good shot tonight
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9494 on: December 26, 2015, 08:12:30 pm »

1st things 1st
Tonight I got UCLA -5.5 (hook), and over 62.5 (hook)

2nd, I goofed. The pick’em contest I entered isn’t ATS, it’s just picking SU. My g/f called me from work and I gave her my picks over the phone while I was looking at Sportsbook because I misunderstood and was picking ATS. When she gave me the copy of the pick sheet I noticed it. So far, I’ve got an 11-5 bowl record in the contest. Here is the sheet she brought home on Christmas Eve with my picks.

In addition to the UCLA bet today, the only additional games I bet on are the original 7 games I listed here:

Ohio St -7***
Duke +2  W
Washington -8  W
Bowling Green -8***   L
North Carolina +3
Auburn -2.5
Michigan -4***

So far, I’m 2-1 those games, and 0-1 in the “big money” games I marked.
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campushog23

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9495 on: December 27, 2015, 11:46:47 am »

Gonna give the NFL another shot today. Went 2-1 on the bowl games yesterday but didn't post any before.

Buffalo -6 2u
Arizona -4.5 2u
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9496 on: December 27, 2015, 11:59:04 am »

Jets +2.5....W
« Last Edit: December 30, 2015, 10:38:04 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9497 on: December 27, 2015, 12:23:35 pm »

On Pats today heavy
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9498 on: December 27, 2015, 12:29:42 pm »

Happy birthday, Jeff

Thanks buddy. Just saw this.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9499 on: December 27, 2015, 12:30:09 pm »

Should I share a few pics from my trip?
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