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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 342530 times)

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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9300 on: November 30, 2015, 09:32:46 am »

I could use some college bball tips.  Let's hear 'em Sanity. 

Well, I may be the wrong guy there. Mich St has been good at covering so far. Notre Dame scorched me 3 times last week. I've been playing the under in MIch St games, their D is pretty good. Kansas looks really solid, already won 3 times with them. My best plays so far have been the under in many games that look like mismatches. The favorites do not tend to be as focused, so their shooting is often not as good, passing not as crisp, basically roll the ball out and just take care of business.
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campushog23

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9301 on: November 30, 2015, 01:47:51 pm »

Went 2-0 on Sunday to cap off a strong weekend. Also ended up adding Den +3 last night but won't count it towards the records since I didn't post it here. There were definitely some very questionable calls late in that game. Updated records:
7-2 NCAAF
5-1 NFL
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9302 on: November 30, 2015, 06:30:59 pm »

Browns -4...L
« Last Edit: December 01, 2015, 11:25:22 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9303 on: November 30, 2015, 10:44:25 pm »

Well, I may be the wrong guy there. Mich St has been good at covering so far. Notre Dame scorched me 3 times last week. I've been playing the under in MIch St games, their D is pretty good. Kansas looks really solid, already won 3 times with them. My best plays so far have been the under in many games that look like mismatches. The favorites do not tend to be as focused, so their shooting is often not as good, passing not as crisp, basically roll the ball out and just take care of business.

So what you are saying is now is the time to bet the Irish in hoops?  I'm on it
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9304 on: November 30, 2015, 10:46:23 pm »

Well, I may be the wrong guy there. Mich St has been good at covering so far. Notre Dame scorched me 3 times last week. I've been playing the under in MIch St games, their D is pretty good. Kansas looks really solid, already won 3 times with them. My best plays so far have been the under in many games that look like mismatches. The favorites do not tend to be as focused, so their shooting is often not as good, passing not as crisp, basically roll the ball out and just take care of business.

I like this logic.  I defer to those that know more than me.  Let me know who to bet and when.
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9305 on: December 01, 2015, 08:05:14 am »

I like this logic.  I defer to those that know more than me.  Let me know who to bet and when.

You might want to just fade me. Last night I had Wake -5, KY -20, mn-1.5, lsu-5.5 and OR -11. went 2-3. then in the nba I had GS-7 and okc-3, went 0-2 on those.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9306 on: December 01, 2015, 01:04:04 pm »

You might want to just fade me. Last night I had Wake -5, KY -20, mn-1.5, lsu-5.5 and OR -11. went 2-3. then in the nba I had GS-7 and okc-3, went 0-2 on those.


Soooooo hoops tonight?
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9307 on: December 01, 2015, 02:31:45 pm »


Soooooo hoops tonight?

YEa, but I am not going to do anything until 4 or 5pm, too busy to look at anything before that. Lot of college games that when I glanced last night looked pretty good.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9308 on: December 01, 2015, 03:15:08 pm »

YEa, but I am not going to do anything until 4 or 5pm, too busy to look at anything before that. Lot of college games that when I glanced last night looked pretty good.

Will check in later
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9309 on: December 01, 2015, 05:02:41 pm »

I like Purdue +1...W

But I'm 0-3 on the year
« Last Edit: December 01, 2015, 11:25:09 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9310 on: December 01, 2015, 05:55:59 pm »

I'm on the following, take it for what it's worth.

Richmond +9
Villanova/St Joe's 1H over 67.5
Northwestern -1
San Diego St -3 (bought .5)
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9311 on: December 01, 2015, 10:17:46 pm »

Just seeing this so didn't bet any hoops. It's more unpredictable than NFL
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9312 on: December 01, 2015, 11:54:41 pm »

Finally got off the mat in CBB...

Also, welcome to the new fellas that have been posting. The more the merrier. Is it just me, or does this year seem to be the best year we've had as a group?
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9313 on: December 02, 2015, 09:10:25 am »

I'm starting to tinker with graphing the weekly performance of the trends in hopes of being able to distinguish the good ones from the bad sooner rather than later.  Here is the graph of the trend hitting at 83.3% with 66 occurrences.  Hopefully, I'll be able to spot this type of trend by around week 6 or 7 next season and ride it for 6 or 7 weeks instead of only getting to ride it for 2 or 3. (A couple of notes on the graph: week 1 had no picks because the trend relies on team statistics that aren't available until week 2, and ignore weeks 14-16 because there is only data through week 13).


« Last Edit: December 02, 2015, 09:21:16 am by DadVader1 »
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9314 on: December 02, 2015, 11:41:33 am »

Air force -14 CBB
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9315 on: December 02, 2015, 12:46:50 pm »

Tonight:

Fordham -7.5 over St Johns. Until St Johns proves they are not simply awful I will keep playing them not to cover.

Mich St -5.5  also taking the over 136

Okie St -2 Tulsa

Miss St/TX So ov 150.

Duke -10.5

Gonz -9.5
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9316 on: December 02, 2015, 01:20:14 pm »

Tailing your OK state play, Sanity
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9317 on: December 02, 2015, 03:26:31 pm »

Tailing your OK state play, Sanity

well you're screwed.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9318 on: December 02, 2015, 06:08:34 pm »

Tulsa is better than most give them credit for.  But I don't think +2.5 is enough points.

Good luck tonight guys. I'm not playing any picks of my own tonight because I didn't have a chance to look today.

Like the mich st over and zags play
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9319 on: December 02, 2015, 06:34:14 pm »

well you're screwed.

Hey. That's my line.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9320 on: December 02, 2015, 09:06:52 pm »

Finally got off the mat in CBB...

Also, welcome to the new fellas that have been posting. The more the merrier. Is it just me, or does this year seem to be the best year we've had as a group?


It does seem to be.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9321 on: December 02, 2015, 10:01:01 pm »

Ugh.

That is all
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9322 on: December 03, 2015, 08:01:59 am »

Ugh.

That is all

Teams that I wont play at least for a while, been burned by them at least twice:

Notre Dame
Okie St
Georgia
Arizona
LSU

Take just about anyone against St John. They are abysmal. They lost one of their exhibition games by 20+ points, iirc.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9323 on: December 03, 2015, 09:00:27 am »

CBB teams I have seen with added value in their lines as of right now but I think Vegas will be catching up soon;

Tulsa
Butler
Cal
Wake Forrest
Valpo
Creighton (Although they gave a game away last night)
Mich st early (I think that is gone now though, but early in the tourney's they were cashing daily)
Texas A&M
Syracuse(Another may not be now though)

These are the ones I have had good success with so far this year. 
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9324 on: December 03, 2015, 12:00:01 pm »

Here's what I've done so far, 3 units each on:

Mich St. -3(h)
App -18
W. Va. -6.5
NM St. +2  ( I JUST missed getting it at +3 darn it)

The 83% trend has only 1 pick this week, NM St. +2
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9325 on: December 03, 2015, 01:48:55 pm »

In less than 2 hours, NM St. went from +3 to Pick'em.

As a side note, the 83% trend has no picks this week now that NM St. has moved to Pick'em.
« Last Edit: December 03, 2015, 02:33:03 pm by DadVader1 »
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9326 on: December 03, 2015, 03:33:02 pm »

In less than 2 hours, NM St. went from +3 to Pick'em.

As a side note, the 83% trend has no picks this week now that NM St. has moved to Pick'em.

Vader, any of the other picks following trends or do you just like those games?
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9327 on: December 03, 2015, 03:45:40 pm »

They all fall into a few nice trends, including some of the stronger trends of a few different rating systems.  The sheets love W. VA and App. 
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campushog23

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9328 on: December 03, 2015, 04:27:11 pm »

Packers -3

They have been terrible as of late but feel like they get it together tonight. Hopefully looking for some revenge from the previous meeting.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9329 on: December 03, 2015, 05:17:51 pm »

Packers -2.5 / 2 units
Over 47 / 2 units.

Two team parlay same way / 1 unit
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9330 on: December 03, 2015, 05:25:43 pm »

I got the packers on one book -3+105 and -2.5 -105

Playing both
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9331 on: December 03, 2015, 05:33:30 pm »

Packers as well.  So that could be trouble...I think they have to win this game and in that situation it's either Aaron rogers or no play for me and since I have nothing else better to do I will be watching...might as well play. 
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9332 on: December 03, 2015, 06:34:09 pm »

Rolling with y'all.

GB -2.5 / 2 units
Over -46.5 / 2 units

Parlay with both / 1 unit

Am a huge Cowboys fan but second favorite team is the pack.  Will be repping my Brett Favre jersey tonight
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campushog23

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9333 on: December 03, 2015, 08:01:35 pm »

Solid start for the Packers...
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9334 on: December 03, 2015, 08:10:55 pm »

Lol I expected this.  Anytime all of us are on the same side, it never bodes well
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9335 on: December 03, 2015, 08:12:07 pm »

Still a lot of game left, GB gets a score here and we have a game
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9336 on: December 03, 2015, 09:33:48 pm »

Ya this one is done
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9337 on: December 03, 2015, 09:50:23 pm »

Ya this one is done

Please let this crockett kid run us right back into the game.  He is fun and look at him bounce up just happy he has a chance.  That's fun to watch. 
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campushog23

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9338 on: December 03, 2015, 10:41:29 pm »

Hahaha that's great, congrats everybody!
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9339 on: December 03, 2015, 10:41:31 pm »

PACKERS TAKE IT TO THE BANK BABY
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Huckleberry Pig

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9340 on: December 03, 2015, 10:55:53 pm »

I forgot to click "confirm bet".  This one hurts.
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Oliver

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9341 on: December 03, 2015, 10:58:45 pm »

If I was ever hiring a Defensive Coordinator, my first question would be:

1.  When is a good time to rush 3 defensive lineman?

If their answer is anything other than, "Never", I'd say, "Thanks for coming by."

That one hurt.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9342 on: December 03, 2015, 11:48:59 pm »

Wow. Sometimes it really is better to be lucky than good.  I've lost some games by crap like that, I think it is NY first win.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9343 on: December 04, 2015, 08:44:35 am »

Between Tulsa's pick six cover and GB's Hail Mary cover, the ball has been bouncing our way lately.  Adds to the fun of it.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9344 on: December 04, 2015, 09:21:51 am »

I was also on the Tulsa side of the Tulsa Tulane game.   I enjoy these but that being said we lose just as many by bad calls or stupid plays as well
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9345 on: December 04, 2015, 12:51:20 pm »

still upset I forgot to confirm the bet.  Though to be fair, for all but the last play, I would have been very excited to not have placed the bet. 

Maybe that was my sign to stay away from NFL like I had said I would do lol


Who's ready for NCAAF this weekend??  any leans?
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9346 on: December 04, 2015, 01:10:56 pm »

Somebody tell me why I shouldn't hammer Wake -5 tonight?
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9347 on: December 04, 2015, 02:13:57 pm »

Somebody tell me why I shouldn't hammer Wake -5 tonight?

I'm wondering the same. I can't find a reason to not hammer Wake.
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9348 on: December 04, 2015, 02:24:47 pm »

Somebody tell me why I shouldn't hammer Wake -5 tonight?

Because, for me anyway, I have a hard time betting against teams I really root hard for. Also, anytime I have bet against the Hogs I get burned. But yea, if you are not emotionally attached to the Hogs, there is no reason not to bet WF pretty hard.
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #9349 on: December 04, 2015, 02:30:45 pm »

Going with all favorites tomorrow:

BG-12
WKU -7
Stan -4.5
MSu -2.5

Have not pulled the trigger on Clem/NC. NC has the horses to win outright, but the QB is so turnover prone I just can't play them.
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