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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 195882 times)

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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1900 on: November 18, 2012, 11:41:02 am »

Added packers -3
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1901 on: November 18, 2012, 11:56:46 am »

I KNOW you like the Steelers, but I just have a VERY hard time putting money on a team when Leftwich is their starting qb.

THANKS for the rundown of your week.  I'm trying to move more toward a pattern like you describe.  I don't have the connections to make those calls, but it sounds similar to how I'm trying to use the ratings systems.  I try to get my own feel for how I think things will play out on Sunday before I download the ratings system info and basically use the data-mined ratings systems as my "sources."  If the right ones are all in agreement with my leans, I increase the units. Later in the week, I also watch for predictions by a few folks on here and by a few of the leaders of the TD SEC ATS pick'em contest.  I'll compare those to the ratings systems and will usually add a play or two based on that. 

On getting in early bets, on Sundays, I still try to pick one or two games where I think the line will move rapidly and try to get a great spread before it moves too much.  I am starting to get the feeling that it isn't making much difference, so I plan on watching it to see if I can justify the risk of pulling the trigger so soon.  On that note, I think you may have been the one who taught me to NEVER bet on LSU early in the week for fear of arrests/suspensions during the week. 

I don't like the Steelers I love the Steelers.  I generally either bet them or like last week leave it alone.  Didn't play the game against the chiefs.  Was too many points.

As for tonight's game I am taking the steelers plus the points.  I would rather Batch get the start over Byron.  Honest truth is everyone I have spoken to actually has this as the strongest play on the board I day and I agree.  I could certainly be wrong, but the Ravens run D has been horrible.  I don't know if the Steelers will have enough to win( and thy have lost all 4 against Ravens without Ben). But I look for a very tight field position game. Steelers win 19-17

As far as connections go those come with time, and luck.  Have had the benefit of living lots of places and meeting some people that have a ton of knowledge and let's just say generally know the second before Vegas does and occasionally before.

Heck I I get a call with a tip on a horse at Belmont or aqueduct I immediately drop what I am doing and run up to lone star park and place the bet.  Had one call on that this summer and my 40.00 bet paid 3500.00. Trifecta with favorite going off at like 40-1.  What a great day that was. 2 horse led wire to wire!
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1902 on: November 18, 2012, 11:57:42 am »

Added packers -3


I just added that game, but bought a half point ad went Lions +3.5 / 3 units.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1903 on: November 18, 2012, 03:09:40 pm »

Broncos -7 / 3 units
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1904 on: November 18, 2012, 04:19:48 pm »


I just added that game, but bought a half point ad went Lions +3.5 / 3 units.

:)
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Tai_Mai_Shu

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1906 on: November 19, 2012, 08:37:10 am »

My picks this week:

Ohio St +2
Rutgers +6

Both hit for me! YES SIR!
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1907 on: November 19, 2012, 08:51:45 am »


Lmao WTH!

I had no idea GB covered. I was playing golf with KodQ, Cosmo, and WH. Checked my phone for scores and it was 21-20 GB with like 1:30 left and they didn't have the ball. So, i still don't know what happened. Sweet bet.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1908 on: November 19, 2012, 09:43:17 am »

LSU -12....3*

This will probably be a 5* before it is all over with.

Ohio St -4.5....1*
Louisville -13....1*
Georgia -14....2*
Oregon -10.5....2*
Clemson -4....1*
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1909 on: November 19, 2012, 09:47:08 am »

LSU -12....3*

This will probably be a 5* before it is all over with.

Ohio St -4.5....1*
Louisville -13....1*
Georgia -14....2*
Oregon -10.5....2*
Clemson -4....1*


LSU might be the biggest bet i've made all year IF my frickin guy will open the bet. something tells me it will be at 13.5 or higher by the time i get it :(

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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1910 on: November 19, 2012, 09:47:20 am »



Vandy -3.5...2*  W
Troy +3....1*   L
Ohio St +2.5....3*   W


2-1 on the week, but hit the top 2 and lost the weak one.

Record 44-36-1 (54%) Profit $4407 Bankroll $6407 ROI 220%
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1911 on: November 19, 2012, 09:49:06 am »

Do you like the 49ers at -5? O/U is at 35 too.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1912 on: November 19, 2012, 11:06:51 am »

I will probably play the bears plus the points.  Think both teams have the backups starting.  Not sure haven't really looked at it that much.  Will be a small play tonight if I do anything at all that is.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1913 on: November 19, 2012, 11:14:57 am »

I will probably play the bears plus the points.  Think both teams have the backups starting.  Not sure haven't really looked at it that much.  Will be a small play tonight if I do anything at all that is.

mine moved to -3.5, interdasting.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1914 on: November 19, 2012, 11:51:25 am »

I got my tiny play in on the Bears at +5 earlier this morning, and it's now at +3 on my site.  I'm guessing that might be the confirmation that Alex Smith really is going to miss the game tonight (as will Cutler).
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1915 on: November 19, 2012, 12:18:09 pm »

Early football lines that pop out at me:

LSU -12
Vandy -12 @ WF
OK St. +8.5 @ Oklahoma
Ole Miss -1 vs. Miss. St.
A&M -22 vs. Mizzou
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1916 on: November 19, 2012, 06:07:38 pm »

Bears +3.5. / 3 units
Under 35.5 5 units

I actually like kaepernick better than Campbell, but points are points!
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WaltKowalski

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1917 on: November 19, 2012, 06:09:07 pm »

Grude +3.5
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1918 on: November 19, 2012, 06:30:23 pm »

Bears +3.5. / 3 units
Under 35.5 5 units

I actually like kaepernick better than Campbell, but points are points!

All day...I got Bears +4.5  $100
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1919 on: November 20, 2012, 08:32:47 pm »

Texas - 3
Pats - 6.5

Both Thursday bets, and why not.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1920 on: November 20, 2012, 08:46:54 pm »

I'm playing Vandy, Ole Miss, and A&M big.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1921 on: November 20, 2012, 11:41:53 pm »

So far, I've done:

LSU -12.5 (10 units)
Vandy -11 v. Wake Forest (4 units)
Rutgers +2 v. Pitt (2 units)
Ore St. +9.5 v. Ore (2 units)

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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1922 on: November 22, 2012, 07:35:39 am »

Lions +3 / 3 units
Skins +3.5 / 7 units
Patriots -6.5 / 3 units

All three tied in for a three teamer 1 unit.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1923 on: November 22, 2012, 05:38:11 pm »

Lsu line down to +11

About to double my bet
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1924 on: November 22, 2012, 07:31:17 pm »

Lsu line down to +11

About to double my bet

 no doubt. Last time money was this easy was bama -12.5 against Arkansas
I'm gonna put everything I have left in my online acct. so now I'm adding

LSU -11....3*
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1925 on: November 22, 2012, 07:32:06 pm »

Also adding the Pats -7. This is my first NFL bet all year
 
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1926 on: November 22, 2012, 08:07:14 pm »

Lsu  -11  4 units
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1927 on: November 22, 2012, 11:19:38 pm »

Can't say LSU -11 isn't enticing, however 71% of the bets are on LSU and the line is moving the other...be weary. I'm playing the over at 51. $$$$$.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1928 on: November 23, 2012, 07:15:41 am »

Great day NFL yesterday. 2-0-1. Push on lions dropped my 3 teamer down I a 2 teamer, but still a hell of a day.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1929 on: November 23, 2012, 07:20:07 am »

Kent st -9 / 2 units
W Va -1 / 3 units
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1930 on: November 23, 2012, 08:08:51 am »

ha, lsu back up to -12.5
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1931 on: November 23, 2012, 10:58:57 am »

Added:

Bowling Green -9.5

Cincy - 13
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1932 on: November 23, 2012, 11:09:55 am »

Got

LSU -13
Arizona -3
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1933 on: November 23, 2012, 11:55:02 am »

Added:

bowling green -8....1* (just to make it worth keeping up with, i know nothing on this one)
Ball st -9....1* (same as above)
Notre dame -5....3*  i just dont see notre dame crapping the bed like they almost did with Pitt.
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ChicoHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1934 on: November 23, 2012, 02:47:00 pm »

Az minus 3
UW - 14
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1935 on: November 23, 2012, 05:11:22 pm »

unbelievable. Is LSU just overrated or what?
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1936 on: November 23, 2012, 05:13:36 pm »

unbelievable. Is LSU just overrated or what?


Probably, but they are winning the way they usually win. Ugly!
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1937 on: November 23, 2012, 05:24:04 pm »

Probably, but they are winning the way they usually win. Ugly!

I would take them -12.5 100 times out of 100. Can't believe this.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1938 on: November 23, 2012, 05:57:07 pm »

Barf.

I was just fine with us winning but good grief lose big or win.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1939 on: November 23, 2012, 07:10:26 pm »

Had I bet the game I would have taken LSU as well.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1940 on: November 23, 2012, 07:11:14 pm »

Well that time of year for me again. I'm on a roll.  Just hope it keeps up.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1941 on: November 24, 2012, 07:31:47 am »

Added 6 more units to Vandy -11.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1942 on: November 24, 2012, 08:14:50 am »

Michigan +4.5 / 3 units
Mich St -8 / 3 units
Miami -6 / 3 units
Fl +7 / 5 units
Pitt -1.5 / 3 units
Clemson -4 / 5 units
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1943 on: November 24, 2012, 10:11:43 am »

Michigan +4.5 / 3 units
Mich St -8 / 3 units
Miami -6 / 3 units
Fl +7 / 5 units
Pitt -1.5 / 3 units
Clemson -4 / 5 units

This, plus GaTech  +14.5 & ND  -5.5

Spread differences from above (UF and Mich same as Jeff shows):
Clem  -3
Pitt  -1
MSU  +8.5
Mia  -6.5

Thanks Jeff, for any wins I might get today.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1944 on: November 24, 2012, 11:12:01 am »

This, plus GaTech  +14.5 & ND  -5.5

Spread differences from above (UF and Mich same as Jeff shows):
Clem  -3
Pitt  -1
MSU  +8.5
Mia  -6.5

Thanks Jeff, for any wins I might get today.

Hope it works out my man!
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1945 on: November 24, 2012, 07:08:28 pm »

Added:

Notre Dame -3 (2 units)
San Jose State -3 (1 unit)
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1946 on: November 25, 2012, 09:48:31 am »

Had a solid money making day yesterday.  A play or two away from being huge.  Only one I really regret is taking Clemson over an sec team.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1947 on: November 25, 2012, 09:52:39 am »

Steelers -1.5 / 3 units
Denver -10 / 3 units
Minnesota +6 / 3 units
Seattle Seachunks -3 / 3 units
Rams +1.5 / 3 units

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1948 on: November 25, 2012, 10:24:45 am »

Had a solid money making day yesterday.  A play or two away from being huge.  Only one I really regret is taking Clemson over an sec team.

+1
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1949 on: November 25, 2012, 11:21:10 am »

Went 3-3 for -1 on the week and +29 on the season.  Went 2-1 in the Rant SEC ATS contest, so held steady at 67% for the season and will probably end up around 3rd.  Looking forward to next season ... just not as much as I'm looking forward to the announcement of our new HC.
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