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Gambling Picks

Started by yraciv, September 28, 2007, 04:55:58 pm

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yraciv

September 28, 2007, 04:55:58 pm
Who you guys have this weekend.  I'm liking OU and South Florida, but will post my picks later.

yraciv

September 28, 2007, 05:48:56 pm #1
I'm up by 500 on the season.  I like Penn State -3, Oklahoma -23, Arizona State -14.5, S Carolina -13.5, South Florida +7.5, and Washington +20.5.
 

blue

September 28, 2007, 06:20:25 pm #2
Listen up. Virginia Tech, Mich, Nevada

Miss ST and over, Alabama and under

LSU, OU

SPAL

September 28, 2007, 06:22:35 pm #3
buy the spread down to 7 and take WVU.....nevr lose a game because of half a point..

blue

September 28, 2007, 06:27:29 pm #4
Quote from: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 28, 2007, 06:22:35 pm
buy the spread down to 7 and take WVU.....nevr lose a game because of half a point..
Why buy the spread down? Either play the other way or play on the money line

SPAL

September 28, 2007, 06:32:39 pm #5
Quote from: blue on September 28, 2007, 06:27:29 pm
Quote from: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 28, 2007, 06:22:35 pm
buy the spread down to 7 and take WVU.....nevr lose a game because of half a point..
Why buy the spread down? Either play the other way or play on the money line

because id rather push than lose a nickle because WVU only won by 7

leavenworth1

September 28, 2007, 06:39:41 pm #6
No way Notre Dame loses to Purdue by more than 22 points. Take ND in all their awfulness and you'll still come out ahead.  I've got money on ND, Cal +5, WVU -6.5, Iowa St. +21, and Auburn +18. 

SPAL

September 28, 2007, 06:51:44 pm #7
Quote from: leavenworth1 on September 28, 2007, 06:39:41 pm
No way Notre Dame loses to Purdue by more than 22 points. Take ND in all their awfulness and you'll still come out ahead.  I've got money on ND, Cal +5, WVU -6.5, Iowa St. +21, and Auburn +18. 

where the heck did u find WVU -6.5?

_Collin1

September 28, 2007, 08:34:32 pm #8
Quote from: leavenworth1 on September 28, 2007, 06:39:41 pm
No way Notre Dame loses to Purdue by more than 22 points. Take ND in all their awfulness and you'll still come out ahead.  I've got money on ND, Cal +5, WVU -6.5, Iowa St. +21, and Auburn +18. 
There is another post that has been going all week about betting lines...  I have the exact opposite of everything you just posted.  We shall see....
Arkansas Alumni: Undergrad 2000, Graduate 2002
Voter: Heisman | Ray Guy | Biletnikoff
Action Network: https://www.actionnetwork.com/article/author/collin-wilson
The Athletic: https://theathletic.com/author/collin-wilson/

ErieHog

September 28, 2007, 08:37:09 pm #9
Quote from: leavenworth1 on September 28, 2007, 06:39:41 pm
No way Notre Dame loses to Purdue by more than 22 points. Take ND in all their awfulness and you'll still come out ahead.  I've got money on ND, Cal +5, WVU -6.5, Iowa St. +21, and Auburn +18. 

Have you watched Purdue play at all this year?

They're a 45PPG offense, playing a ND team with 2 offensive TDs on the season.  It would not surprise me to see them beat ND by 30+
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leavenworth1

September 28, 2007, 08:40:21 pm #10
Quote from: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 28, 2007, 06:51:44 pm
Quote from: leavenworth1 on September 28, 2007, 06:39:41 pm
No way Notre Dame loses to Purdue by more than 22 points. Take ND in all their awfulness and you'll still come out ahead.  I've got money on ND, Cal +5, WVU -6.5, Iowa St. +21, and Auburn +18. 

where the heck did u find WVU -6.5?



I bought a half point on sportsbook.com.   My bet is not looking so good now.   

blue

September 28, 2007, 08:45:27 pm #11
A winner is a winner, but imo you can't make money buying points. Play the money line if you can't beat the spread, but be aware of the sure thing.

WILL CLINTON

September 28, 2007, 09:01:50 pm #12
I'm 19-13 on posted picks this year for 59%, and I went 3-2 last week winning Ball ST (still 100% on games bet involving Ball St.), Georgia, and Toledo.  I lost on Tulsa and BYU. 

This week I like:

Miss St.  2*  over 41  3*

Mississippi State: 6-0 ATS in road games
South Carolina: 12-4 Over as a home favorite

Temple +6½ 2*

Temple: 12-3 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Army: 2-10 ATS off an Over

Ball St -14 5*

Buffalo: 12-5 Over vs. conference opponents
Ball State: 11-1 ATS off an Over

Central Mich -3  3*

Northern Illinois: 0-6 ATS off a road game
Central Michigan: 9-1 ATS vs. conference opponents

UCLA +2   5* lock of the week

UCLA: 7-1 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Oregon State: 1-6 ATS in September

Nevada -3½  3*

UNLV: 7-18 ATS playing on artificial turf
Nevada: 8-0 ATS as a favorite

Louisville -9  4*

Louisville: 11-2 ATS vs. ACC opponents
NC State: 1-7 ATS in September
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.
 

hoggydog

September 28, 2007, 09:30:08 pm #13
my $100 three teamer north texas +36 miami -24 arizona st. -14

ChicoHog

September 28, 2007, 10:04:56 pm #14
I like USF +7 although now that it's the fourth quarter anyone could pick that.  Other games are MTSU -12 vs FIU.  FIU is horrible and MTSU can score.  Illinois +3 vs Penn st, Cal +6 vs Oregon, Indiana +11 over Iowa, and Bama +3 over FSU and their pathetic offense. 

hirebutchdavis

September 28, 2007, 10:11:14 pm #15
Alabama +3 kansas st +14.4
USC -21   Oklahoma -22
Cincy -14

_Collin1

September 29, 2007, 02:47:53 am #16
Quote from: leavenworth1 on September 28, 2007, 06:39:41 pm
No way Notre Dame loses to Purdue by more than 22 points. Take ND in all their awfulness and you'll still come out ahead.  I've got money on ND, Cal +5, WVU -6.5, Iowa St. +21, and Auburn +18. 

So far your WVU pick was wrong.  I really think (and I have money down) that all your picks are wrong!
Arkansas Alumni: Undergrad 2000, Graduate 2002
Voter: Heisman | Ray Guy | Biletnikoff
Action Network: https://www.actionnetwork.com/article/author/collin-wilson
The Athletic: https://theathletic.com/author/collin-wilson/

leavenworth1

September 29, 2007, 05:08:32 pm #17
Quote from: BigC51 on September 29, 2007, 02:47:53 am
Quote from: leavenworth1 on September 28, 2007, 06:39:41 pm
No way Notre Dame loses to Purdue by more than 22 points. Take ND in all their awfulness and you'll still come out ahead.  I've got money on ND, Cal +5, WVU -6.5, Iowa St. +21, and Auburn +18. 

So far your WVU pick was wrong.  I really think (and I have money down) that all your picks are wrong!

Still feel that way?!!  If Auburn shows up and Cal holds in 4th Q, I'm in the money. 

Bomis Hawg

September 29, 2007, 05:32:59 pm #18
Rutgers is about to cost me.  Same for Clemson.  That wastes what I thought was my best pick of the day (Central Michigan).

Kent is about to cover.  SMU is up (-3) by 14.  Cincinnati plays later.

leavenworth1

September 29, 2007, 09:13:57 pm #19
Bet on the underdogs! Vegas hasn't caught up with all the parity in CFB these days.   I'm telling you, I've done very well the last couple years with that approach.  I won about 6 of my 9 weekly 3 team parlays betting the dogs last year and having similar success this year.  I got five of six correct today. 
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