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College Football Playoff Projections and Committee Rankings

Started by jbcarol, October 26, 2014, 07:24:14 am

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jbcarol

https://twitter.com/Carvell_AJC/status/766698573694205952

QuoteThere will be 12 members of the selection committee this year. That's been the case in each of the previous two years as well, as Archie Manning left in 2014 and Pat Haden stepped down in 2015.
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jbcarol

https://twitter.com/Carvell_AJC/status/767889182186409985

Quote"I do think that it has my name on it, so I don't want someone else to represent me."

"I think now you have a group that doesn't have, supposedly, bias," Bielema said. "You're going to have some bias. I mean, my AD (Jeff Long) is there.

"That's why you have certain guys from the SEC, Big Ten, Pac-12. But coaches don't have enough time to watch enough film on their own, let alone their opponents."

Bielema is one of seven SEC coaches — along with Auburn's Gus Malzahn, Vanderbilt's Derek Mason, State's Dan Mullen, Bama's Nick Saban, Georgia's Kirby Smart and A&M's Kevin Sumlin — to vote in the 2016 coaches poll.
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jbcarol

https://twitter.com/Carvell_AJC/status/768914981014339584

QuoteCollege Football Playoff Committee announced when they will release its first batch of rankings.

The first set of rankings will be revealed on ESPN on Nov. 1 between 7-8 p.m. The selection committee will pick the top 25 teams and rank them. The rankings will be released every Tuesday from there on out for the remainder of the season.

The final rankings will be announced on Sunday Dec. 4. The New Year's Six games will also be announced on that date, as well as the semifinal participants.

"The integrity of our members and the dedication they bring to the table is clear,"  Kirby Hocutt, Selection Committee chair, said.  "We will give the time, energy and effort each week to ensure we rank the best 25 teams.  Our members take their appointment seriously and we look forward to the season kicking off this week.  This week, we reviewed our procedures and we discussed the data and analytics that are available to help members make their decisions."

The committee will also use its recusal policy again this year.
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jbcarol

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jbcarol

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jbcarol

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jbcarol

https://twitter.com/Michael_Carvell/status/772551410227576832

Brett McMurphy

@McMurphyESPN

Updated @CFBPlayoff title odds via @LVSuperBook: Bama 9-2, Clem/OhSt/FSU 6-1, Mich 8-1, Tenn 12-1, LSU 15-1, UH/OU/ND 20-1, Stan/Wash 30-1
3:01 PM - 4 Sep 2016
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jbcarol

Brett McMurphy ‏@McMurphyESPN 15s15 seconds ago

Can't wait for @CFBPlayoff semifinals: Texas vs. Houston; Alabama vs. South Alabama
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jbcarol

Bruce Feldman ‏@BruceFeldmanCFB 7h7 hours ago

Power 5 records by conference vs Power 5 teams/ND from other leagues: ACC, Big Ten, Big12 2-1; Pac12 2-3; SEC 3-4.
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jbcarol

Ross Dellenger ‏@RossDellenger 45m45 minutes ago

New Heisman and CP odds from @BovadaLV.



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jbcarol

Wes Rucker ‏@wesrucker247 1h1 hour ago

In this College Football Playoff era, I don't get people who cheer against teams in their own conference in non-conf games. That matters.



I was never one to think that a TV spectator's personal affection affected the outcome.
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jbcarol

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jbcarol

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jbcarol

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jbcarol

https://twitter.com/ESPN_Pac12blog/status/782073705740414976

SEATTLE -- Chris Petersen, with a 5-0 record and a win over a top-10 team under his belt, is going to be utterly annoyed.

That record and Friday night's 44-6 win over No. 7 Stanford are only going to drum up more Washington hype, more questions about the Pac-12 title march and more considerations about the College Football Playoff.
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jbcarol

Kyle Tucker ‏@KyleTucker_AJC 10h10 hours ago

Mercy. How many top-10 teams we gonna see get curb-stomped this season?
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jbcarol

Brett McMurphy ‏@McMurphyESPN 9h9 hours ago

Selection committee's worst nightmare: Bama, Clemson, Mich/OhSt, Washington & Baylor win league titles at 12-1 or better & UL finishes 11-1
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jbcarol

National championship odds

QuoteCrimson Tide and No. 2 Ohio State were both listed at 11/4 odds to win the 2016 College Football Playoff, the best of any team.

Clemson, Washington, Louisville, Houston and Michigan comprise the next group of schools, with odds ranging from 13/2 down to 14/1, and they're followed by a trio of SEC schools.

Texas A&M, Tennessee and Florida — all winners this weekend — round out the top 10.

Ole Miss 60/1

Arkansas 80/1
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jbcarol

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jbcarol

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jbcarol

 Michael Carvell ‏@Michael_Carvell 6m6 minutes ago

College Football Playoff projections: Ohio State in semifinal as experts disagree on Michigan
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jbcarol

https://twitter.com/Michael_Carvell/status/789139209529487360

The Gators would have to win out against a schedule that includes road games against LSU, Arkansas, Florida State and an SEC Championship Game, likely against Alabama," Palm writes. "Good luck with that."
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jbcarol

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jbcarol

College Football Playoff projections

Peach Bowl    Dec. 31    Atlanta, Ga.    (1) Alabama vs. (4) Ohio State
Fiesta Bowl    Dec. 31    Glendale, Ariz.    (2) Clemson vs. (3) Washington
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jbcarol

Ralph D. Russo ‏@ralphDrussoAP 3h3 hours ago

Ralph D. Russo Retweeted Chuck Cottrell

Louisville , not winning a conference, is not getting in over the B1G champ if it has only 1 loss.
No way. No how. Not happening
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jbcarol

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jbcarol

Stewart Mandel ‏@slmandel 20h20 hours ago

The committee method is such a huge upgrade from traditional polls. Actually look at who they played rather than ordering by # of losses.

5-2 Penn State w/ a win over Ohio State didn't crack the coaches poll. That's rich. Same poll had 5-2 Arkansas 17th last week.

Reminder this poll used to be 1/3 of the formula that determined who played in the BCS championship game.
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jbcarol

https://twitter.com/slmandel/status/791315255938822145

QuoteFirst, let's pause for a second to appreciate how amazing this matchup would be if it came to fruition. But let's also accept that it's highly unlikely. Either Louisville is going to have to win the ACC and make the playoff, or Alabama is going to have to slip to the Orange Bowl.

In other words, this is purely a fantasy.

I wouldn't say either is "unstoppable." Clemson stopped Jackson enough times to win a football game, and Ole Miss scored 24 points in the first half against the Tide. Certainly both are aberrations to this point. Also, we know QBs with running ability have been the rare Kryptonite for past Nick Saban teams...
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jbcarol

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jbcarol

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jbcarol

https://twitter.com/Michael_Carvell/status/793943416858177537

Quote"When I saw Texas A&M pop up, I just kind of shook my head," Klatt said. "I was like, 'This is unbelievable.' This all about ratings and interest rather than actually valuing what these kids are doing on the field. Because no one in their right mind would rate Texas A&M above Washington. They just wouldn't or else they haven't watched.

"I feel bad for the Aggie fans that they were overvalued because they had two very average teams, both should be 3-5, that took the Aggies to overtime in their own stadium. I feel bad I feel bad for the Aggie fans that they were overvalued having been outgained by three opponents this year and having five opponents gain more first downs than they did. And having two opponents of Alabama gain more yards than they did against Alabama. So the committee is using you to drive ratings."

A&M's only loss came to No. 1 Alabama...
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jbcarol

Brett McMurphy Verified account
‏@McMurphyESPN

Alabama would be favored at neutral site by 6.5 vs. OhioSt; 7.5 vs. UL, 9 vs. Mich, 9.5 vs. Clem, 12.5 vs. UW via @LVSuperBook


Nothing on A&M
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jbcarol

Brett McMurphy ‏@McMurphyESPN Nov 1

Tonight is 14th all-time @CFBPlayoff ranking. Only 3 teams have been No. 1: Clemson 6 weeks, Alabama 5 (including tonight) & Miss. State 3
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jbcarol

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jbcarol

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jbcarol

Scott Rabalais Verified account
‏@RabalaisAdv

For the mildly curious #LSU fans out there, here's your CFP top four:
1. Alabama
2. Clemson
3. Michigan
4. Washington
LSU is 24th
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jbcarol

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jbcarol

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jbcarol

 ESPN Stats & Info ‏@ESPNStatsInfo 11h11 hours ago

Only time Nos. 2, 3, 4 in AP poll lost on same day in reg season: Oct. 19, 1985 (2 Mich L at 1 Iowa, 3 Okla L vs Miami, 4 Ark L vs Texas)
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jbcarol

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jbcarol

Michael Carvell ‏@Michael_Carvell 19h19 hours ago

Kirby Hocutt: College Football Playoff selection committee has 'a right' to pick team that doesn't win conference

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jbcarol

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jbcarol

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jbcarol

https://twitter.com/Michael_Carvell/status/802970426775322624

QuoteAs outlined in the "principles" section of the protocol, there are five bullet points mentioned:

    Conference championships won
    Strength of schedule
    Head-to-head competition
    Comparative outcomes of common opponents (without incenting margin of victory)
    Other relevant factors such as key injuries that may have affected a team's performance during the season or likely will affect its postseason performance.

Ohio State
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jbcarol

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jbcarol

https://twitter.com/Michael_Carvell/status/803319840165556226

QuoteMurphy was the only voter in the AP Poll this week to put Michigan ahead of Ohio State, although he has since retracted his reasoning, but not his vote. His explanation is fascinating, but it's his vote and he can do whatever he wants with it. Plus, with the College Football Playoff rankings the end-all, be-all when it comes to teams' biggest aspirations, the AP Poll means practically nothing nowadays.
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jbcarol

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jbcarol

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jbcarol

https://twitter.com/Michael_Carvell/status/804072094334144519

QuoteAnd despite finishing third in their own division, it appears the Wolverines still have a legitimate shot at making the four-team playoff.

To those in Ann Arbor, it made sense...

https://twitter.com/finebaum/status/804061843841019904
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