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RB Sports Discussion => Monday Morning Quarterback => Topic started by: WILL CLINTON on August 28, 2011, 09:41:36 pm

Title: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 28, 2011, 09:41:36 pm
Each year, we always have a thread or 50 about everyone's picks, sportsbooks, breaking down lines, totals, value, write-ups, etc. I thought this year we could keep it all in one central location. 

Also thought this would be the best way to keep up with everyones record.  Please dont use this as a chance to advertise your tout services in the thread, if your picks are good enough, people will ask you for your information. 

I post weighted picks, which means that I place a value system based on how "sure" I am it will hit. My units are:
1* - 5% of my total bankroll
2* - 10% of my bankroll
3* - 20% of my bankroll
5* - 50% of my bankroll


To kick this thing off here's my first pick of the week

Georgia +3.5....3*
I really like Georgia in this game at a Neutral site, I figure Richt knows what he has to do to keep his job, and winning vs Boise St will be the beginning.  I also think that Georgia is just as sick of hearing about how Boise St belongs with the big boys and want to put an end to any potential dreams they have of being in the MNC.  Basically with the 3 point home advantage, the line is saying that Boise St will win by 6 and I just dont see it.  I may be a blind SEC homer, but so be it.


Im also looking at 2 other games, but what I don't have down as a definite pick by Thursday before kick off of the first game, won't go on my record.

2011-2012 CFB
  Record 0-0-0     Profit - $0     Bankroll $1000
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on August 28, 2011, 10:01:14 pm
I started looking at some lines today.  I will looking over all the lines over the next couple of days.  I have a feeling the UGA/Boise game will get alot of action.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 29, 2011, 03:26:29 pm
Adding:

UCLA +3....1*
Rick Neuheisel(sp) is on the hot seat as well.  This is a chance for him to get a respectable win against a very potent offensive team.  Keenum is coming off the knee injury and UCLA has a stout defense.  Their will be a learning curve seeing as the Bruins are breaking in 5 new coaches on staff, but I think they get it done.  Seeing as they are only giving up the home field advantage, it is basically a pick'em.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on August 30, 2011, 11:19:29 am
Not sure how many of these I will play but I am looking at

Baylor +7
Auburn -21 1/2
mizz - 17 1/2
Houston -3
s. Florida +11 1/2
BYu - 3

See if those lines move any over the next couple of days.   Of course I will change my mind 50 times before Sat gets here.

Looking forward to reading everyone elses thoughts.  Zark buddy where you at!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Mike Shelton on August 30, 2011, 11:57:29 am
Wish I understood all this, and knew where I could place a bet right afterwards LOL. Wps!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on August 31, 2011, 04:03:42 pm
bump
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 31, 2011, 07:20:59 pm
Wish I understood all this, and knew where I could place a bet right afterwards LOL. Wps!

There are several posters here who are more well versed than I at the intricacies of sports investing, but I will give it the ole college try if you have questions.  I can't help you on finding a bookie, I use one of about 3 internet sites and hope like hell I run into a bookie somewhere soon. 

I'm also adding:

Boise St v. UGA over total of 51....2*
The opening game, in a dome, in the spotlight, on National TV, what more could 2 qb's with title hopes want?

I also edited the first post to show upgrading Georgia +3.5 from 2* play to 3* play.  I also may play a parlay on these 2, but I don't count parlay's in the record.

Vandy -12....1*
Again, SEC homerism engaged, I don't see any SEC team losing to a low end FCS team, which describes Elon to a T...yes I remember Ole Miss...I got to think that Franklin has brought some energy to the team and at least has them pumped up for the first game, or its going to be a long season....For the Dores and my bankroll...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on August 31, 2011, 07:28:41 pm
I like the Georgia and Vandy picks.  I'm not so sure on the UCLA pick.  I kind of like Houston in that one.  It is not a play for me.

I honestly think Baylor beats TCU outright.

I haven't seriously looked at too many games and will likely add some picks at some point in the future.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: OnYourToes on August 31, 2011, 08:23:00 pm
http://www.hogville.net/yabbse/index.php?topic=419262.msg6400004#msg6400004 (http://www.hogville.net/yabbse/index.php?topic=419262.msg6400004#msg6400004)

I guess it was too early.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 31, 2011, 08:27:20 pm
haha, yeah I guess.

I admit I didn't do a search or anything, but I did look to see if anything was on the front page...

I'll ask one of the mods to combine the threads so we can keep them together
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on August 31, 2011, 08:29:48 pm
I'm usually conservative on the opening weekend but a few lines were interesting.

I'm pondering:

UNLV +35 at Wisconsin

I'm really digging:

Kent St at Bama, taking the over, 45.5

W. Mich at The Big House, taking the over, 61 - its a big number but WMU's QB Alex Carder and WR Jordan White will put some points on the board.  This is the most underrated game of the weekend for entertaining offense. It will also be interesting to see what Brady Hoke does with Denard Robinson in the passing game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 31, 2011, 08:45:48 pm
Kent St at Bama Over 38

Do you mean Kent St +38 over Alabama?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on August 31, 2011, 08:50:37 pm
Do you mean Kent St +38 over Alabama?

Oops, meant the over, 45.5.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on August 31, 2011, 09:54:22 pm
Ham's Picks:

Miss St -29 Memphis
TCU -6 Baylor
Auburn -21 Utah St.
BYU - 3 Ole Miss
Boise St -3.5 Georgia
Oregon -1 to -3 LSU

To read my preview of each of these games, click http://jonham.weebly.com/jons-articles.html
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 01, 2011, 02:06:30 pm
My favortie thread of the year. This means college football is back and it means another payday is here as well...

Last season was profitable but i did lose a good chunk on the hogs in the sugar bowl. Nonetheless, i made some money so im here to win again. Getting things started....im going with Wisky -34.5 at home to UNLV. When you mix the travel to Wisconsin, plus an o-line with no experience protecting a sophmore QB and no run game, you think, this is a good bet. Then you add in that Wisky has 2 stellar running backs who amassed close to 2000 yards last year, a transfer QB from NCState who was really good, and a good o-line, i think it makes this one a no-brainer.

Wisky -34.5 vs UNLV

Bank Roll=1000
Betting 150
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: want2be on September 01, 2011, 03:38:31 pm
Baylor should upset TCU
Georgia over Boise
BYU of Miss

Playing all 3 games as a teaser and adding 5 points to my favorites
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 01, 2011, 03:46:34 pm
Had to play some games tonight although I don't see any of them as strong bets.

I played

miss st -29 1 unit
Unlv +36 1 unit
Syracuse -6.6 1 unit

I also tied all three together for a three teamer.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 01, 2011, 03:48:58 pm
Someone says 10 guys aren't playing for MSU tonight. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 01, 2011, 03:50:46 pm
Someone says 10 guys aren't playing for MSU tonight. 

 I saw that.  Too late now.  I mean memphis is horrible though.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 01, 2011, 04:18:12 pm
I saw that.  Too late now.  I mean memphis is horrible though.

I jumped on Miss Stank as well.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 01, 2011, 04:31:23 pm
What does everyone think of the Kentucky game tonight? 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 01, 2011, 04:35:20 pm
I jumped on Miss Stank as well.



I think it should be fine.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 01, 2011, 05:34:16 pm
Almost time. ;)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 01, 2011, 10:49:13 pm
Well thank you Cuse!!!! Holy Cow I wrote that off.

Kentucky on the other hand..... well not so much.

Still 2-1 came out ahead tonight
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 01, 2011, 10:53:15 pm
WAy to go Cuse!  3 for 3 and popped the three team parlay!  Great start to the season. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 02, 2011, 04:05:05 am
as a rule, i always buy the hook. 34.5 should have been down to 34, but this day i was in a hurry. Not buying the hook cost me a buck 50. Here is to getting back on track and congrats to all who won tonight.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Iwastherein1969 on September 02, 2011, 04:25:20 am
I go by one simple rule....its what I call the 'smell test'....I look at a betting line and if it looks too good to be true, it is......bet the other way......I've been in the BLACK ever since I adopted this simple way of betting football some 4 years ago.....admittedly, some years are better than others....if you have any doubts, ask THE HOGFATHER, he'll tell you the same thing
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 02, 2011, 07:47:13 am
I go by one simple rule....its what I call the 'smell test'....I look at a betting line and if it looks too good to be true, it is......bet the other way......I've been in the BLACK ever since I adopted this simple way of betting football some 4 years ago.....admittedly, some years are better than others....if you have any doubts, ask THE HOGFATHER, he'll tell you the same thing

No doubt.  The best example was 2 years ago at Ole Miss.  BPs 2nd year here.  I might try to go find some of those threads.  It was bad for Razorback fans.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: daprospecta on September 02, 2011, 08:34:17 am
Had to play some games tonight although I don't see any of them as strong bets.

I played

miss st -29 1 unit
Unlv +36 1 unit
Syracuse -6.6 1 unit

I also tied all three together for a three teamer.
You had a good night! I had Cuse and I gave up on the play and just watched for entertainment value.  That comeback was like a scripted movie.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: daprospecta on September 02, 2011, 08:35:31 am
I'm at 1500 now.
Wow that UNLV team is waaaaaay worse than I imagined. Thought I would win that one by a lot more than 1.5 points.
Ill look at the lines and see If I can invest anything for the weekend.

I don't think they are that bad.  They had consistent drives against a team that is a candidate for the national championship.  UNLV will compete in their conference this year.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: scottagee on September 02, 2011, 10:15:08 am
I think a lot of folks knew how bad Memphis really was. And Miss St just took care of business.

Looking at one other small play this weekend. Maybe 2, no more.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: daprospecta on September 02, 2011, 10:22:56 am
Im just watching the TCU game but word is the qb for TCU is hurt. Tread lightly.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hoggy1 on September 02, 2011, 10:25:45 am
I liked TCU at -3 1/2 on Bodog last night.  Woke up and it's at 4, so I just took TCU straight up.

Haven't researched tomorrows games
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 02, 2011, 10:47:58 am
Using an RLM strategy, I'm on Baylor and UCLA
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Simple Swineman on September 02, 2011, 10:54:41 am
I love Kent State +38.5 at Bama. Saban is a Kent State graduate. He also played and coached there. I doubt he will try and humiliate them so he may call off the dogs early. Bama will also likely be looking ahead to Penn State.

Didn't realize it until all my picks were in, but I'm liking the underdogs in week 1. My other picks:
Utah State +23 at Auburn
Rice +24.5 vs Texas
Tulsa +25.5 at Oklahoma
Western Michigan +14 at Michigan
Ball St +6 vs Indiana
USF +11 at Notre Dame
Northwestern +3 at BC
Hawaii -7 vs Colorado
Marshall +23 vs West Virginia

I also had Western Kentucky +17 against Kentucky last night.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 02, 2011, 11:39:30 am
Added a 6p teaser . . .

UGA +9 with A&M -9.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 02, 2011, 12:11:55 pm
EDIT: took TCU game off my card for now...

I honestly thik I'm just being over-informed and am going to kick myself for not betting it, but until I can understand how the line movements vs betting trends work, or keep myself from looking too deeply, I'll deal.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on September 02, 2011, 12:14:06 pm
I'm also liking UGA +3 but I think Boise will get the win. Georgia is young and Boise has 16 returning senior starters.  Tough one to pull the trigger on.  ONE NOTE ON THIS GAME: Boise will have 3 players staying home now due to a eligibility issue: Sr would be starting safety, a back up WR, and a back up DT.

I'm also liking BYU to cover the 3 at OM. Obviously this game has emotion involved and making a play on a game with emotion usually would break rule #1 for me. BYU has 15 starters returning and OM expects to rotate QBs and rely on running heavy with Bolden. If you like the ground game, this game is for you. Another tough one to pull the trigger on in week 1.

Lastly, the 56.5 O/U for aTm and SMU is very tempting. aTm should be better on offense but their D is the big ?. SMU has their O and D lines returning in full. 70% of their total yardage last year returns and I would think June Jones will come up with something to get points on the board.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: jdelo77 on September 02, 2011, 12:29:30 pm
What website does everyone use to bet ??? i cant remember the name of the one i used last year....
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: jdelo77 on September 02, 2011, 12:34:59 pm
Nevermind found it...playing a 3 team parlay

UCLA +3
Baylor +3.5
BYU   -2.5

risking
 20 on it to win 150....
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 02, 2011, 01:49:29 pm
I am on baylor tonight +4.5 and I think they win the game.

Also considering the over in this one.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 02, 2011, 02:53:13 pm
I am on baylor tonight +4.5 and I think they win the game.

Also considering the over in this one.

I just looked at the Betting Trends, and most of all the spread based bets are/have been coming in on TCU, which is exactly the opposite of what the line movement is showing. I went back and looked and something happened on 8/31 between 1:18 and 1:43 to change the line from -6 to -4.5, but there wasn't a increase/decrease on the amount of money coming in on TCU, so something is up here, and I'm just not smart enough to figure it out.  If anyone has any insight on this, please share it with me. I'm taking this game off my card for now.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Great Hambino on September 02, 2011, 03:01:21 pm
4/6 last night.

here's to a good weekend of "investing"
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 02, 2011, 03:06:06 pm
im on baylor as well....getting them at +4.

playing small....75 USD

As for the guy who asked what website to use...there are numerous amounts of them. Ive been a bodog guy for a while, but there are plenty. Do a google search for top sportbooks and you will find one you are lookign for. Find one that is offering a big deposit bonus, one that has timely and easy payouts, and one that isn't inflating the juice, which means charging you more than what the bet shoudl be....

for instance....if you bet 1.00, you should get close to 1.00 in winning if you have average odds. Some sites add juice to the line which would be betting 1.00 to win. 70 or .80. You should always be able to get at least -110 when betting ATS, which means you shold pocket at least .90 for every 1.00 you bet.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 02, 2011, 03:06:17 pm
I just looked at the Betting Trends, and most of all the spread based bets are/have been coming in on TCU, which is exactly the opposite of what the line movement is showing. I went back and looked and something happened on 8/31 between 1:18 and 1:43 to change the line from -6 to -4.5, but there wasn't a increase/decrease on the amount of money coming in on TCU, so something is up here, and I'm just not smart enough to figure it out.  If anyone has any insight on this, please share it with me. I'm taking this game off my card for now.

TCU QB is hurt is what someone said earlier.  That could explain it.  Or, it could just be that there's some big money coming in on Baylor from the "sharps", while most of the little guy bets are coming in on TCU.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 02, 2011, 03:09:35 pm
TCU QB is hurt is what someone said earlier.  That could explain it.  Or, it could just be that there's some big money coming in on Baylor from the "sharps", while most of the little guy bets are coming in on TCU.

And this is why I'm torn. People could be jumping on Baylor because of the QB being hurt, or there was a huge bet on Baylor that took the spread down but didn't budge the betting trend.  On the other hand, the QB thing coud be just what all the sharps were waiting on, and are now middling the bet with TCU -6.5 AND -3....I just don't know

Like I said, information overload. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 02, 2011, 03:12:05 pm
And this is why I'm torn. People could be jumping on Baylor because of the QB being hurt, or there was a huge bet on Baylor that took the spread down but didn't budge the betting trend.  On the other hand, the QB thing coud be just what all the sharps were waiting on, and are now middling the bet with TCU -6.5 AND -3....I just don't know

Like I said, information overload. 

I know one thing.  I wish I would've taken Baylor earlier, when it was at 7.  Oh well.  I'll probably still end up taking the points..
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Pigs_In_Zen on September 02, 2011, 03:28:00 pm
Oregon 5*
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 02, 2011, 03:47:09 pm
Oregon 5*


You better watch out.  I am playing LSU plus the points, but I wouldn't call it a 5 star game either way.  Whatever system your is.  For me it will be LSU plus the points for 2 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 02, 2011, 03:51:12 pm
And this is why I'm torn. People could be jumping on Baylor because of the QB being hurt, or there was a huge bet on Baylor that took the spread down but didn't budge the betting trend.  On the other hand, the QB thing coud be just what all the sharps were waiting on, and are now middling the bet with TCU -6.5 AND -3....I just don't know

Like I said, information overload. 



There is supposedly a injury to tcu starting qb.  Of course whomever they start will be new regardless.  Seems like Dalton was there about 25 years.  My assumption on the line is some heavy money early brought it down.  I would imagine now you have many playing the middle hoping to hit both sides.  ''

Also likely that local (non vegas sports book) bookies are laying off some in Vegas.  I will take the team with the proven QB almost every time.

Don't discount revenge.  TCU has smacked Baylor around pretty good as of late.  Griffen at QB to me should be the difference in this one.

Of course that's just my logic.  I certainly don't have any info I am keeping back.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 02, 2011, 04:21:14 pm
I am leaning towards Baylor as well.  Big fan of Robert Griffen and Coach Brilles
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: scottagee on September 02, 2011, 04:36:46 pm
In games with close spreads this year be wary of TCU and Tex. A&M. Zebras matter.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 02, 2011, 05:43:15 pm
in reading some other sports investing boards, ive noticed most of the touts are on Baylor, except for root, who has a millionaire play with TCU. Most of "name" touts are going with Baylor at 3.5 or 4.

No matter what the touts are doing, im confident in Baylor tonight.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 02, 2011, 08:14:45 pm
They are a field goal away from covering the over with 11:42 to go in the second quarter.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 02, 2011, 08:36:19 pm
They are a field goal away from covering the over with 11:42 to go in the second quarter.

how is your record on totals?


Im just about average with them.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 02, 2011, 08:56:31 pm
Honestly I do not play them often.  That's because I do not do very well with them.  Almost a toss up for me.  I will play very few on Saturday's.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hoggy1 on September 02, 2011, 10:09:31 pm
If TCU can come through I'll be 5-1 so far.  Not too shabby, I got UGA +3, LSU + 3 1/2 and BYU -3 so far tomorrow
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 02, 2011, 10:28:17 pm
Unreal. Briles went all Nutt like and got conservative. Worst special teams and defense ever.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 02, 2011, 10:55:36 pm
maybe so, but got the cover and ill take it whichever way they can give it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on September 02, 2011, 10:58:08 pm
in reading some other sports investing boards, ive noticed most of the touts are on Baylor, except for root, who has a millionaire play with TCU. Most of "name" touts are going with Baylor at 3.5 or 4.

No matter what the touts are doing, im confident in Baylor tonight.
which boards you read? tia.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 02, 2011, 10:59:56 pm
Hopefully this good luck will carry over to tomorrow. 3-1 so far.  Good start.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 02, 2011, 11:01:28 pm
Way to go Baylor!  5-0 plus the 3 team parlay last night makes it +11 units going into Saturday.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 02, 2011, 11:04:35 pm
Way to go Baylor!  5-0 plus the 3 team parlay last night makes it +11 units going into Saturday.

Nice way to start the year.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on September 02, 2011, 11:05:24 pm
i did a chalkeater round robin x2 on thusdays games...just to get off to a good start. heh. i am up +1.16 units. i took ucla su at +120 for 1 unit so far for saturday. trying to figure out two more maybe three. nobody likes georgia or lsu su?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 02, 2011, 11:10:39 pm
I like Oklahoma and Hawaii for sure tomorrow.  Also playing LSU and Georgia as well.  Will be more specific tomorrow.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: justmakeit2thebcs on September 02, 2011, 11:11:01 pm
I love Kent State +38.5 at Bama. Saban is a Kent State graduate. He also played and coached there. I doubt he will try and humiliate them so he may call off the dogs early. Bama will also likely be looking ahead to Penn State.

Didn't realize it until all my picks were in, but I'm liking the underdogs in week 1. My other picks:
Utah State +23 at Auburn
Rice +24.5 vs Texas
Tulsa +25.5 at Oklahoma
Western Michigan +14 at Michigan
Ball St +6 vs Indiana
USF +11 at Notre Dame
Northwestern +3 at BC
Hawaii -7 vs Colorado
Marshall +23 vs West Virginia

I also had Western Kentucky +17 against Kentucky last night.
I'll take the other side of every one of those games as my picks, except KY and Colorado.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 02, 2011, 11:13:36 pm
Nice way to start the year.

I am very pleasEd.  Hope to keep it going tomorrow.0
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: tiber on September 02, 2011, 11:55:49 pm
Minnesota +24 --- USC
UGA +3 --- Boise State
LSU +3.5 --- Oregon

3 team parlay - $40


Almost pulled the trigger on Colorado also... new coach, new conference, new life. 

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 03, 2011, 06:31:17 am
I don't like Minnesota at all.  I do like the other two though.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 03, 2011, 10:07:02 am
Think my biggest play of the day is Oregon....  I have a feeling they are going to put the Louisana Bow-Tie to the Tigers tonight.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 03, 2011, 11:09:21 am
This morning I played
Bama
And Boston college minus the points
Miami of Ohio plus the points.

Three team parlay
USC
Ou
Hawaii all minus the points.

Afternoon straight bets to come.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on September 03, 2011, 12:45:20 pm
http://twitpic.com/6fet49/full (http://twitpic.com/6fet49/full) mine for today.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 03, 2011, 01:48:33 pm
It is beyond me why saban keeps playing sims at QB he is awful.  Hope he dies that against the hogs.  Not liking the look of my early action.

I have as follows
USC- for 1 unit
Ole piss + for 1 unit
Hawaii - for one unit

Georgia + for two units
LSU + for three units

OU - for 5 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 03, 2011, 02:02:44 pm
K must have lost my mind on this first weekend

Also took fl st - for one unit
And the Irish - for one unit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 03, 2011, 03:22:27 pm
Took Mizzouri this morning.  Very surpirsed by the results.  OH well.

Got S. Florida and BYU this afternoon.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 04, 2011, 09:44:36 am
Well started the day at +11 units.

Yesterday the wins were 13 units

The losses were 6.5 units.  For a net gain of 6.5 units on the day.

Brings total to +17.5 units since game one Thursday.

Today I played

W VV - the points for one unit.

Over on the total in W VA & Marshall for one unit

A&m - the points for one unit.

Then tied all three together in a 3 team parlay for one unit.

Hope everyone had a profitable day yesterday.  Hope today is as well.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on September 04, 2011, 01:34:19 pm
After all the debate, I stayed conservative and finished 4-1: Boise straight up; Bama got the over by themselves, Wiscy called off the dogs enough to not cover, and the BYU/OM under came through. I missed the Michigan/Western Michigan over due to the game being called early for weather. Not too bad for week one. I will likely kick myself for not taking the over on aTm and SMU. I think that game should have plenty of points.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 05, 2011, 11:14:27 am
Ok, I finished up 2-2. Lost 3* and a 1*, won a 2* and a 1* for a total profit of -$125 for the weekend. 

2011-2012 CFB
  Record 2-2-0     Profit - $-125     Bankroll $875

Heres to another week. Some really good weekends put up in this thread.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Simple Swineman on September 05, 2011, 11:44:20 am
I love Kent State +38.5 at Bama. Saban is a Kent State graduate. He also played and coached there. I doubt he will try and humiliate them so he may call off the dogs early. Bama will also likely be looking ahead to Penn State.

Didn't realize it until all my picks were in, but I'm liking the underdogs in week 1. My other picks:
Utah State +23 at Auburn
Rice +24.5 vs Texas
Tulsa +25.5 at Oklahoma
Western Michigan +14 at Michigan
Ball St +6 vs Indiana
USF +11 at Notre Dame
Northwestern +3 at BC
Hawaii -7 vs Colorado
Marshall +23 vs West Virginia

I also had Western Kentucky +17 against Kentucky last night.

Had a little luck on my side this weekend due to weather ending the Marshall/WVU and Michigan/WMichigan games early. Those weren't looking good for me but had no action since the games were called.

Finished 6-3, but missed with my big bet on Kent St.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2011, 01:28:01 pm
Well I won 1 unit in the aggies.

My three team parlay reverted to a 1 unit win again on aggies. Sucks because it was looking like I was gonna hit both sides of w VA game.

So plus to units to plus 19.5 for the weekend.

Just won one unit on the over 10 runs yanks and o's. They covered that in the second inning. A + 20.5 so far. 

I made a small 38.00 bet on rangers to win 50.00 that's looking like a loss.

So all and all 2014.00 to the good assuming the ranger loss. 

I am leaning toward Miami tonight plus the points even with the suspended players.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2011, 01:38:21 pm
Finished single game bets at 13-4 luckily won the 5 and 3 unit play.

Three team parlays I was 1-1. Thanks a lot USC for blowing the second one.

As I said the third 3 reamer was no action because it was called due to weather.

Let's all win this game tonight and gear up for a great weekend.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 05, 2011, 01:47:06 pm
Finished single game bets at 13-4 luckily won the 5 and 3 unit play.

Three team parlays I was 1-1. Thanks a lot USC for blowing the second one.

As I said the third 3 reamer was no action because it was called due to weather.

Let's all win this game tonight and gear up for a great weekend.

What a weekend! I was 1-2, which has been my long-term betting history. Maybe I should just copy your picks :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2011, 02:05:08 pm
What a weekend! I was 1-2, which has been my long-term betting history. Maybe I should just copy your picks :)


Thanks for the compliment. I am flattered and you are welcome to use my picks anytime. Just keep in mind my week could have gone the other way very easily.  I generally do pretty well when I am betting my own money. I suck at the hogville pickem.

My betting style has changed.  With a wife and 1 year old I put money aside for gambling until the season started. If I lose that I am done for a while.  My point is in days past I would win much more money, but also ran the risk of losing more. Set up a bankroll and use a weighted system.  I use units based on 100.00. So a one unit bet is 100.00 a 2* is 200.00 and so forth. Bet units on each based on the strength of your belief in the cover.  You can get a bit freaky if you start out hot on Thur night, but I don't suggest it.  Pick and weigh out each play for the entire weekend before your first bet. Do not change course on that based on how you do.  Don't double up or bet a higher unit amount just because you are winning.

If you are averaging 1-2 you should either research more, or use someone else pick for a while until you truly have a feel for what you are doing. I do not mean that as a slight to you. Only to say if its not working change it.

Good luck to you.  For tonight do some research. How many starters returning for each team. What team has more players with real game experience. Decide if the Miami chaos is a negative or a rallying point. I believe the latter.  Better talent even with backups, and a come together moment.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 05, 2011, 02:31:55 pm

Thanks for the compliment. I am flattered and you are welcome to use my picks anytime. Just keep in mind my week could have gone the other way very easily.  I generally do pretty well when I am betting my own money. I suck at the hogville pickem.

My betting style has changed.  With a wife and 1 year old I put money aside for gambling until the season started. If I lose that I am done for a while.  My point is in days past I would win much more money, but also ran the risk of losing more. Set up a bankroll and use a weighted system.  I use units based on 100.00. So a one unit bet is 100.00 a 2* is 200.00 and so forth. Bet units on each based on the strength of your belief in the cover.  You can get a bit freaky if you start out hot on Thur night, but I don't suggest it.  Pick and weigh out each play for the entire weekend before your first bet. Do not change course on that based on how you do.  Don't double up or bet a higher unit amount just because you are winning.

If you are averaging 1-2 you should either research more, or use someone else pick for a while until you truly have a feel for what you are doing. I do not mean that as a slight to you. Only to say if its not working change it.

Good luck to you.  For tonight do some research. How many starters returning for each team. What team has more players with real game experience. Decide if the Miami chaos is a negative or a rallying point. I believe the latter.  Better talent even with backups, and a come together moment.

+1
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2011, 03:12:16 pm
Thanks Will.  I remember your stuff from last season and know you are not new to this.  Hope you have a great week.  It's official. Win or lose I am on the canes tonight+4 for 1 unit only.

Do not have a total available yet, but if I get one and play it I will let you guys know what I did fir what its worth.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 05, 2011, 04:15:28 pm
I don't know what I'm doing. I liked BU at +3.5 against TCU. I also liked Ucla +2.5 vs Hou.....1-1.

I loved A&M -15.5 vs SMU. But I was hesitant on UgA +3 vs BSU. So I teased the 2 -- made A&M more attractive at -9.5 and allowed me to feel better about taking UGA at +9....UGA got me, however.

I should probably stop making my own picks, since my career avg is only 39%. I have a lot of fun making my own picks, but I'm sure I'd enjoy winning even more.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2011, 04:54:20 pm
I never play teasers at all.  Simply don't like them.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2011, 05:04:10 pm
Okay I bumped my canes +4 pick to 2 units.

I then played the  over 45 for 1 unit.

Then did a two team parlay the same way for 1 unit.

This one could end up biting me in the butt.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: SixtySecondsOfPitino on September 05, 2011, 05:17:18 pm
The picks I am going with this week.

Iowa -7
TCU -2.5
GT -11
Texas -7
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 05, 2011, 05:26:12 pm
I'm with u on the canes +4....1* for me
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2011, 06:39:56 pm
I'm with u on the canes +4....1* for me




Hope we win that one.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2011, 08:52:49 pm
Wow Canes had appeared to really find a good groove until that goofball fumble return for a TD.  That makes the over almost a lock, but need the Canes to at least outscore them by 3 in the second half.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 05, 2011, 09:46:10 pm
i didnt play anything on saturday, which is odd. Truth be told, i didnt have access to a computer much of the day.

Did get in a play tonight, over 44.5 miami-maryland and if Miami can get a fg here, ill cash this one in. Had 250 on it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2011, 09:54:53 pm
I just need canes to keep Terps out of the damn endzone to have a huge night!

Miami deserves to win if for no other reason those awful unis Maryland is wearing.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2011, 09:56:58 pm
Son of s. How do you let that receiver get behind you like that. Crap Miami.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 05, 2011, 10:06:13 pm
so for the weekend i ended up...3-1.

I tend not to play as many games per day as some of you do.


wisconsin -34.5 L  ....-250
Baylor +3.5 W......+90
Detroit Tigers -1.5 W.......+70
Miami/Maryland Over 44.5....W 250

Profit of 160 for the weekend.

Starting Bankroll=1000
Week 1 Bankroll=1160

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2011, 10:11:13 pm
Unreal.  Only way we lose that game is giving up a defensive TD at the end and damn if it didn't happen.

Wow.  Oh well thats why they call it gambling.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 05, 2011, 10:11:28 pm
which boards you read? tia.

Therxforum.com mainly...lots of good info over there. They post most service plays, which i use only as a tool to better my own bets. I don't follow touts blindly, but i will use their opinion if i am torn on which way to go. I may have a board with 10 games on it and narrow it down to 5, then if i have a game which all  my info leaves me right in the middle, i may look for some of the better touts to go one way or the other. But the main reason i use it is for the info they bring.
I also check sbr forums, but mainly rx.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 05, 2011, 10:12:09 pm
you still had a monster weekend. Good job.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2011, 10:26:49 pm
you still had a monster weekend. Good job.

Thanks man.  That last throw tonight made me lose 2 bills tonight rather than winning 5.5.   I am very happy with the weekend.  I am even happy with picking the canes plush the points tonight. The odds of the last play going the opposite direction are very long.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 06, 2011, 08:58:56 pm
Can't believe the CB ran that one back..even the coach said he wished he wouldn't have scored. it was a done deal. Oh well, must've been the uniforms...

2011-2012 CFB
  Record 2-3-0     Profit - $-180     Bankroll $820
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 06, 2011, 09:05:32 pm
Can't believe the CB ran that one back..even the coach said he wished he wouldn't have scored. it was a done deal. Oh well, must've been the uniforms...

2011-2012 CFB
  Record 2-3-0     Profit - $-180     Bankroll $820


HORRIBLE.  I had Miami and OVER.  I just knew I had it won.  4th down.  They get it, I win.  They don't, I win.  They throw a pick 6, I lose.  When I'm on a side in a particular game, the worst usually happens.  ;)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 08, 2011, 12:21:17 pm
how are we playing tonight.....

Im kinda leaning to Arizona +15 against OSU and i kinda like the under 47.5 total in the NFL game.

Thought on tonights?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: megabull on September 08, 2011, 01:07:38 pm
AZ on the road
early week game
criner out
Okie Lite defense not as bad a most think

I'll take the Pokes -14
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 08, 2011, 01:47:26 pm
AZ on the road
early week game
criner out
Okie Lite defense not as bad a most think

I'll take the Pokes -14

I like the pokes alot myself
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 08, 2011, 02:43:49 pm
small parlay tonight...

250 on NO Saints +4.5 and Arizona +14 to win 560
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 08, 2011, 03:22:43 pm
Making a couple of plays for this weekend. Not a whole lot I like going into the weekend.  Seems to be some really accurate and tight lines out there for this weekends action. 

Louisville -4....1*
for some reason, a couple of vegas books opened this line at -9 and it got pounded down to -4, where it started at most sportsbooks. To me, that just shows that there are a lot of people who looked at the Louisville game last week and see easy $$.  I believe that Louisville will be a more prepared team, especially facing Florida International.

Michigan +4....2*
I just don't know why Notre Dame is giving up points here after getting whipped by USF.  Michigan is a better football team in my opinion and I don't see Brian Kelly getting past yr 3 at ND.

Vandy -2....2*
I like what Vandy did last weekend, even though it was against Elon. I think Franklin has a chance to win 3 or 4 games this year, and that starts with the ooc. They may even scare some folks in the East and probably beat Ole Miss.


I may add another couple, I'm not sure yet.  I've learned from now on, I won't look at any trends or stats or bet % until after I make my picks.  G/L to all this week...and thank God or (insert your personal favorite diety here) for college football season.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Great Hambino on September 08, 2011, 03:32:16 pm
Arizona tonight.
Mizzou tomorrow night.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 08, 2011, 03:43:42 pm
Arizona tonight.
Mizzou tomorrow night.

I'm on the other side of the Ok St game, but not putting my money where my mouth is. G/L to you. 

96% of the money coming in on the ML is on Mizzou, but 71% of the spread money is on ASU. Take that for what its worth. 

I see why people are on Mizzou (100 to win 300 is a better payday than 110 to win 100), but Im staying away from it. Mizzou hasn't had temps in the 100's since the first week of August, and the temp for the game is 100 with Heat Index of 98. I see fatigue being a problem for them.

If you don't mind, what makes them look good to you?  Im always looking for new angles and information.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 08, 2011, 04:27:22 pm
small parlay tonight...

250 on NO Saints +4.5 and Arizona +14 to win 560


Where are you playing?  If you are playing a 2 team parlay the payout should be higher than that. 250 2 teamer should pay 625.

Are you buying points?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 08, 2011, 04:31:50 pm
Tonight and I may be crazy but I played as follows

Arizona +13.5 1 unit

Over 66 2 units

2 team parlay same wAy 1 unit.

I played

Packer -4.5 1 unit

Over 47 1 unit

Parlay same wAy 1 unit.


Hey will check your pm's
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 09, 2011, 02:09:24 am
ouch, another week starting down 250. Hope to get it going this weekend.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on September 09, 2011, 12:10:08 pm
Therxforum.com mainly...lots of good info over there. They post most service plays, which i use only as a tool to better my own bets. I don't follow touts blindly, but i will use their opinion if i am torn on which way to go. I may have a board with 10 games on it and narrow it down to 5, then if i have a game which all  my info leaves me right in the middle, i may look for some of the better touts to go one way or the other. But the main reason i use it is for the info they bring.
I also check sbr forums, but mainly rx.
thanks! i have been using thespread.com and covers.com forums.

this was my last week... Totals: risk $385.50 to win $596.76 amount paid $426.67
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 10, 2011, 12:19:31 am
who's got the picks for tomorrow?  Didn't play anything Thurs or Friday. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 10, 2011, 07:20:26 am
I am on Iowa this morning for 3 units.  Have not yet planned the rest of the action for today.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 10, 2011, 08:55:17 am
Jumped in on Wisconsin and Iowa this morning.  Liked a few more but need to limit my early games...LOL

Hopefully I picked the right ones.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ur on September 10, 2011, 09:16:09 am
stanford, bama, houston.
also like miss state, SCe, Florida.
out on a limb-Wisc, oregon, neb, ohio state, minn.
And of course, The Hogs!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on September 10, 2011, 10:03:02 am
my picks for today. these are all two team 6 point teasers and some totals at 2 units each....
Arizona State -4.0 win
BYU +13.0

Alabama -4.0
Michigan +9.0

Iowa -1.0
California -0.0

Wisconsin -14.0
Ohio State -11.5

UTEP @ SMU: Over 54.5
Alabama @ Penn State: Under 41.5
New Mexico @ Arkansas: Over 54.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 10, 2011, 10:59:08 am
I've teased Wiscy to -15 w/ Miss St to -0.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 10, 2011, 03:07:44 pm
Iowa stunk it up.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 10, 2011, 10:27:29 pm
Freakin Notre Lame is costing me big time.  Looks like a big ole fashion split today... 2-2


thanks Wisconsin and Vandy... Suck on it Iowa and Notre Lame...

Freaking giving up 21 points in the 4th... Spare a$$ program.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Polecat on September 10, 2011, 10:31:24 pm
Parlayed the over in the hogs game and Houston to cover. Nice hit. Also won with tcu and Arkansas covering. Msu screwed me, but a good day. Ready for NFL tomorrow
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 10, 2011, 11:56:03 pm
nothing today. Plan on playing a few tomorrow.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 10, 2011, 11:56:05 pm
Missed big time on Louisville, totally had them overrated in my mind. Almost missed Mich, but ND really is not a good football team and shouldn't have been in that game like they were. Vandy had me scared though. I hit the other two games I was watching, Tenn v Cincy and Oregon v Nevada, but I never felt good enough to put them down. Should have gone with my gut...


2011-2012 CFB
  Record 4-4-0     Profit - $-57     Bankroll $943
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 11, 2011, 12:00:18 am
Missed big time on Louisville, totally had them overrated in my mind. Almost missed Mich, but ND really is not a good football team and shouldn't have been in that game like they were. Vandy had me scared though. I hit the other two games I was watching, Tenn v Cincy and Oregon v Nevada, but I never felt good enough to put them down. Should have gone with my gut...


2011-2012 CFB
  Record 4-4-0     Profit - $-57     Bankroll $943

I almost pulled the trigger on Tenn as well.  But decided against it.. Costly mistake...lol
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 11, 2011, 11:03:14 am
I dont know if i'm cursed or what, but it seems when i post my picks i lose and if i just stay away, i win. Last season i didnt post in here and had a solid year...this year, not so much.

That said, I have a couple of solid games today in the NFL. I like Pitt +1 at Baltimore and I like Arizona -6 against the Cams. I like these picks a lot....i plan to right the ship today.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 11, 2011, 11:13:19 am
I played the steelers +1.5 for 1 unit

Lions +1.5 one unit

Jets -5.5 3 units.

2 team parlay steelers and jets.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 11, 2011, 02:58:40 pm
oi....the steelers. Didnt play much, just 75 , but its another loss. Made a couple more plays today. not gonna post em to see if i can break my curse.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on September 11, 2011, 04:29:53 pm
Went 3-0 on the weekend. Took Michigan, the Bama/PSU under, and the Auburn/MSU over. Haven't seen any early lines yet but am curious about the line on OU/FSU. Thinking it will be OU by 3-4.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 11, 2011, 06:27:39 pm
wowza...put 250 on the niners against the seahawks. With the niners up 9, TJAck blows up for 55 yards to cut it to 2....ensuing kickoff puts me back on top for the spread. This is nuts.

The Cardinal win was for 250...1-1 on the day, one pending and i got some action on the sunday night game. Really need the niners to hold on.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 11, 2011, 06:31:14 pm
and Ginn is my favorite player in the NFL. His k/o return put me back to 9, and then the man returns a punt. Holy Moley.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 12, 2011, 08:26:46 am
I ended up - 5 units on the weekend.  Means I am due for another bigtime week like week 1.  Let's go guys good luck all.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 12, 2011, 09:33:36 pm
-250 on the parlay on thursday
-75 on the steelers
+ 250 with the niners, +250 on the cardinals, +250 on the cowboys.

Previous week Bankroll= 1670
Week 2 Earnings = 425
Current bankroll =2095

Ive got 150 on the broncs tonight, so this will change barring a push. All in all a solid weekend.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 12, 2011, 09:43:43 pm
Sir pigs. Best of luck.  I have 5 units on the raiders tonight.  One of the few bets o made this weekend.

Honestly been caught up on the 9/11 stuff.  Very personal to me.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on September 12, 2011, 09:59:49 pm
A few interesting lines out:

Auburn at Clemson (-4) liking Auburn despite the taste of bile in my mouth
OU at FSU (+3.5) leaning towards taking OU
Okie St at Tulsa (+14) liking Okie St
Ohio St at Miami (-2) toss up
LSU at MSU (+3.5) TBD
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 12, 2011, 10:47:10 pm
Sir pigs. Best of luck.  I have 5 units on the raiders tonight.  One of the few bets o made this weekend.

Honestly been caught up on the 9/11 stuff.  Very personal to me.

looks like u got it. I thought the broncs would show up, but this offense is simply anemic. By the way, I miss dmac
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 13, 2011, 01:31:52 am
Nice play on NE and Oak tonight
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: scottagee on September 13, 2011, 09:11:27 am
LSU is going to kill Miss. St. Going to be very ugly.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 13, 2011, 09:26:48 am
LSU is going to kill Miss. St. Going to be very ugly.

I'm not so sure...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 13, 2011, 09:41:19 am
I will probably just stay away from that LSU miss st game.  Too much uncertainty for me.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on September 13, 2011, 09:41:33 am
LSU is going to kill Miss. St. Going to be very ugly.
still do not understand that line. vegas knows something.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on September 13, 2011, 10:10:07 am
I will probably just stay away from that LSU miss st game.  Too much uncertainty for me.

Same here. I will likely leave LSU/Miss ST alone but thought the line was interesting.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 13, 2011, 10:26:26 am
still do not understand that line. vegas knows something.

Yeah, like MSU is still a good team and playing at home, even though they looked kinda bad last week.  LSU has had everything their way so far, but I'm not so sure they're as good as they've looked.  We'll see Saturday.  Sure looks like the books want LSU money, though, meaning they'll probably win by 3 or less or lose outright (I think the line is 3.5).
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ur on September 13, 2011, 02:38:46 pm
I know this does not pertain to anyone on here  ;) but I have an honest question. I have been trying to read up on the legality and finding different opinions. Is Online offshore sports investing on college football legal? Some say it is, some not. Also that it is illegal for U.S. banks to accept any money from these accounts. Also that even though you may not be able to get your money, you still owe taxes on it. Thanks in advance.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 14, 2011, 03:54:11 pm
Looks like I may have more picks than normal this week.

I'm starting this week out with a couple of picks based completely on line movement. 
WV +3....1*
UTEP +3....1*
What happened here was that both of these teams opened up as 2 point favorites, and the betting has pushed the line to what you see above.  Ive not seen that kind of movement very often and I want to see if I have a pretty good read on this.

Vandy +1.5....2*
Vandy has been good to me so far this year, and I don't see them slowing down. Ole Miss is in shambles on offense with 3 or 4 QB's already seeing playing time in 2 games. I think Vandy could get off the Eastern Division cellar this year.

Ball St -5.5....1*
Ball St and Bowling Green have almost always been profitable investments for me over the years.  Im not sure why, but they have.  For some reason this one just stood out to me, so I'm going with my gut.

Ohio St +2.5....3*
Ohio St is a better football team than Miami, and they don't have 1/2 the distractions that Miami has. Besides, with HPA, the line is pointing to a 1/2 point Buckeyes win. I'll buy the hook to be sure.

Oklahoma St -13.5....2*
I just don't understand how Ok ST is favored over Tulsa by LESS than they were over Arizona.  Playing at Tulsa and whatever rivalry there is aside, Ok St should be able to name their score against an overmatched Tulsa team.


still got a couple I'll be watching over the next day or so. Texas v UCLA, Miami of Ohio v Minnesota and Stanford v Arizona.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 14, 2011, 04:04:33 pm
Looks like I may have more picks than normal this week.

I'm starting this week out with a couple of picks based completely on line movement. 
WV +3....1*
UTEP +3....1*
What happened here was that both of these teams opened up as 2 point favorites, and the betting has pushed the line to what you see above.  Ive not seen that kind of movement very often and I want to see if I have a pretty good read on this.

Vandy +1.5....2*
Vandy has been good to me so far this year, and I don't see them slowing down. Ole Miss is in shambles on offense with 3 or 4 QB's already seeing playing time in 2 games. I think Vandy could get off the Eastern Division cellar this year.

Ball St -5.5....1*
Ball St and Bowling Green have almost always been profitable investments for me over the years.  Im not sure why, but they have.  For some reason this one just stood out to me, so I'm going with my gut.

Ohio St +2.5....3*
Ohio St is a better football team than Miami, and they don't have 1/2 the distractions that Miami has. Besides, with HPA, the line is pointing to a 1/2 point Buckeyes win. I'll buy the hook to be sure.

Oklahoma St -13.5....2*
I just don't understand how Ok ST is favored over Tulsa by LESS than they were over Arizona.  Playing at Tulsa and whatever rivalry there is aside, Ok St should be able to name their score against an overmatched Tulsa team.


still got a couple I'll be watching over the next day or so. Texas v UCLA, Miami of Ohio v Minnesota and Stanford v Arizona.

The lines for both of the osu teams stood out to me as well.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 14, 2011, 04:06:53 pm
Okie st looks like a 5 unit play for me.  Unfortunately there is generally a reason and I have yet to sniff out why it's so low,
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on September 14, 2011, 04:24:43 pm
Okie st looks like a 5 unit play for me.  Unfortunately there is generally a reason and I have yet to sniff out why it's so low,

Yeah, that Okie St line is still puzzling me.  No major injuries. Only thing I can theorize is Vegas thinks Okie St could be looking ahead to aTm the week after.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Polecat on September 14, 2011, 04:45:10 pm
Houston also looks good at -7 vs La Tech
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 14, 2011, 04:45:10 pm
Yeah, that Okie St line is still puzzling me.  No major injuries. Only thing I can theorize is Vegas thinks Okie St could be looking ahead to aTm the week after.

I think they could look ahead blind folded and still cover that line.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Polecat on September 14, 2011, 04:46:29 pm
I think I'll shy away from the Hogs game this week, which typically indicates I think they'll win, but not cover. Hard to say because my heart always gets in the way when it comes to Razorback games
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 14, 2011, 05:02:54 pm
Okie st looks like a 5 unit play for me.  Unfortunately there is generally a reason and I have yet to sniff out why it's so low,

We always say, if it looks too good to be true . . . get the bloodhounds on it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on September 14, 2011, 05:04:03 pm
These games made my "final cut" of potential plays:

Stanford at Arizona (+10)- I like Stanford to win, just concerned about them going into the desert.

Oklahoma at FSU (+3) 55 o/u-  Liking OU and the under.

Ohio St at Miami (-2.5)- leaning towards taking OSU in the "Taking My Ineligibility to South Beach" Bowl.

North Texas at Bama (-46)- Sounds crazy but I may take North Texas and the points for a few bucks here because I think Saban will rest some guys/call off the dogs early to avoid injuries heading into our game on the 24th.  I see this being a 42-3 kind of game and taking North Texas would be a no guts, no glory play.

Louisville at Kentucky (-7) 42.5 o/u-  Based on each team's struggles the first two weeks, this game gives off a take the under aroma.

Houston at LaTech (+7) - Like Houston to cover on the road; the 70pt o/u stuck out like a sore thumb on this one. Will stick to just taking Houston to cover here cause 70 makes me a bit too nervous.

NoIllinois at Wisconsin (-16)- Wisconsin is one of those teams I do well with whether going with them or against them so I have a habit of looking at their lines.  My gut says they cover the 16 at home this week.

UT at Florida (-9.5)- This line has moved up from 8.5 to 9.5 since yesterday.  I think this will be a close game and I am actually leaning toward taking UT and the points.

Boise at Toledo (+20)- This game is getting a lot of action based on Toledo's near win at OSU last week. Line opened at 17.5 and moved to 20 today.  I don't know if I'll make a play here but find the line movement and "hype" for this game interesting.

LSU at MSU (+3) 50 o/u- This game has been a coin flip to me this week so I probably wont make a play here but kept it on my big board for curiosity's sake.

Okie St (-13.5) at Tulsa- Love Okie St to cover and per previous posts, am puzzled at the line here.


Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 14, 2011, 05:24:50 pm
Couple thoughts here. Take them for what they are worth. Maybe .50 cents and a cup of coffee.

I am not playing the LSU MISS ST game.  If someone handed me a grand and said you must bet it one way or the other I would take MISS ST +3.5

I think many gamblers look too hard at rankings when making their bets. Example:  I think TCU started the season in the top 20.  They lost multiple starters and a QB that had started like a million games. That ranking to me was based in large part on schedule.  Same team playing an SEC schedule and they would not have been ranked at all.  Many easy wins for them so they will finish with a nice record.

LSU beat what I thought to be an overrated Oregon team.  See above pre-season rankings based on schedule.

Auburn is nowhere near as bad as their week 1 showing. MISS ST defense is not as bad as they looked against auburn.

Long and short.  We don't know much about these teams.  LSU shoved Oregon around. They are bigger, stronger, and just as fast.  That's why I bet LSU.

Miss ST big strong and fast as well.  I look for a low scoring game by college standards. 

Miss ST 31 LSU 30
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on September 14, 2011, 06:45:02 pm
I think they could look ahead blind folded and still cover that line.

I think so as well.  I've been investigating this line a bit so here are some notes. Tulsa lost a starting corner to academics last week. No major injuries for either team. Interestingly, OSU was a 7 pt favorite last year at home(I think Blackmon was out) and won by 37. The average spread the last 10 times these two have played is OSU -8.5. The home team is 7-3 ATS in those 10 games. In the 4 games at Tulsa during that stretch, Tulsa is 3-1 ATS and 2-2 straight up. Tulsa does hold a 22-14-2 record in the series at home and have won 5 of the past 7 at home vs OSU, last win being in '98. The game is a late one (9:00pm) for central time and there's a 40% chance of rain. I figure OSU would be -21ish if this game was in Stillwater so maybe Vegas set this line based on some of the history here.

I still love OSU to cover the 13.5. I think they win 45-24ish.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 14, 2011, 07:32:14 pm
Couple thoughts here. Take them for what they are worth. Maybe .50 cents and a cup of coffee.

I am not playing the LSU MISS ST game.  If someone handed me a grand and said you must bet it one way or the other I would take MISS ST +3.5

I think many gamblers look too hard at rankings when making their bets. Example:  I think TCU started the season in the top 20.  They lost multiple starters and a QB that had started like a million games. That ranking to me was based in large part on schedule.  Same team playing an SEC schedule and they would not have been ranked at all.  Many easy wins for them so they will finish with a nice record.

LSU beat what I thought to be an overrated Oregon team.  See above pre-season rankings based on schedule.

Auburn is nowhere near as bad as their week 1 showing. MISS ST defense is not as bad as they looked against auburn.

Long and short.  We don't know much about these teams.  LSU shoved Oregon around. They are bigger, stronger, and just as fast.  That's why I bet LSU.

Miss ST big strong and fast as well.  I look for a low scoring game by college standards. 

Miss ST 31 LSU 30

Completely agree.  I think it'll be lower scoring, though.  I'm thinking something like 24-20 or 24-21 MSU.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ur on September 14, 2011, 07:32:31 pm
top 4: hogs, houston, cinn, okie state
2nd 4: ttech, aub, LSU, Boise
Strongly considering: Stanford, ou ,tcu, florida, wisc (may replace Lsu and boise with stanford and one other)
I only do parlays. have won every week. You don't want to know how much auburn cost me last week on a 7 team parlay.
Still waiting for an answer on my earlier question. please pm if you don't want to post it. Thanks in advance.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 14, 2011, 08:21:00 pm
I know this does not pertain to anyone on here  ;) but I have an honest question. I have been trying to read up on the legality and finding different opinions. Is Online offshore sports investing on college football legal? Some say it is, some not. Also that it is illegal for U.S. banks to accept any money from these accounts. Also that even though you may not be able to get your money, you still owe taxes on it. Thanks in advance.

IDK

All I can say is that sportsbook.com takes deposits via cash transfer or visa, stating that visa is far less likely to reject your deposit to off-shore accts, as compared to Amex, mastercard, and discover. A year ago they were also accepting mastercard w/ the caveat that it was more likely to get rejected than visa. Now I no longer see mastercard listed under the deposit section of the site.

I know this doesn't answer your question but I wanted to pass along what I know.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ur on September 14, 2011, 08:35:14 pm
IDK

All I can say is that sportsbook.com takes deposits via cash transfer or visa, stating that visa is far less likely to reject your deposit to off-shore accts, as compared to Amex, mastercard, and discover. A year ago they were also accepting mastercard w/ the caveat that it was more likely to get rejected than visa. Now I no longer see mastercard listed under the deposit section of the site.

I know this doesn't answer your question but I wanted to pass along what I know.
Thanks. That is who I use. Started out as something fun because I watch so much college football. Like I said, last week, if Miss. State would have won, I would have been calling a cpa and an attorney. Considering switching to another venue. Do they offer this at any of the casinos in oklahoma or tunica?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 14, 2011, 08:40:15 pm
Thanks. That is who I use. Started out as something fun because I watch so much college football. Like I said, last week, if Miss. State would have won, I would have been calling a cpa and an attorney. Considering switching to another venue. Do they offer this at any of the casinos in oklahoma or tunica?

No sports gambling at either
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on September 14, 2011, 10:47:22 pm
I think I'll shy away from the Hogs game this week, which typically indicates I think they'll win, but not cover. Hard to say because my heart always gets in the way when it comes to Razorback games

My number one rule is never make a play on a game featuring a team I have an emotional tie to.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 15, 2011, 11:40:08 am
My number one rule is never make a play on a game featuring a team I have an emotional tie to.

Im usually with you, but this week I honestly want Vandy to win, so it may be blinding me a tad...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 15, 2011, 05:17:42 pm
Okay everyone I lied.  I did just make a couple plays on the game tonight.

I played

Miss St +3.5 for 1 unit.

Over 49 1 unit

Two team parlay the same way for half a unit.

I may miss this all around, but I don't think so.  I know 49 sounds like a lot for these two teams, but!

remember it's college.  Clock stops on every first down.  This leads to a team behind to have a better chance of scoring late.  Even if it is a courtesy clock killing drive. 

I also expect a few turnovers and short fields for the offenses.  Never underestimate LSU scoring a TD off special teams as well.

Sorry for saying before I wouldn't play it because I did.  I am honest about all my picks.  Even the ones I do not feel super great about.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 15, 2011, 08:12:26 pm
Wow looks like I certainly shifted on the over.

But good thing about taking the over is they can score till 00 on the clock.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 15, 2011, 10:12:57 pm
Okay everyone I lied.  I did just make a couple plays on the game tonight.

I played

Miss St +3.5 for 1 unit.

Over 49 1 unit

Two team parlay the same way for half a unit.

I may miss this all around, but I don't think so.  I know 49 sounds like a lot for these two teams, but!

remember it's college.  Clock stops on every first down.  This leads to a team behind to have a better chance of scoring late.  Even if it is a courtesy clock killing drive. 

I also expect a few turnovers and short fields for the offenses.  Never underestimate LSU scoring a TD off special teams as well.

Sorry for saying before I wouldn't play it because I did.  I am honest about all my picks.  Even the ones I do not feel super great about.



Tough beat tonight bro. Sometimes that's just how it goes though. I was scared of this game, but I had no idea it would be a defensive struggle. Or maybe its just that LSU's offense is awful..Either way that defense is TOP NOTCH.  20 yds in the 2nd half?? dumb.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 15, 2011, 11:42:09 pm
again, im late to the party. Workin a ton right now.....hard to post during the peak hours.

did get a play in, and luckily went with LSU -3. Another 250 bet. Hood to start the week on top than in the hole.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: scottagee on September 16, 2011, 09:59:42 am
It wasn't the rout I thought but there wasn't much doubt either. Always nice to have a really big play on Thursday. LSU just has a nasty defense and MSU has an offense that plays right into their strength. They never had a chance.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 16, 2011, 12:55:13 pm
Parlay . . .

WVa  +1
Okie St  -13.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 16, 2011, 03:20:38 pm
Played Boise for 2 units

Iowa ST for 1 unit

2 team parlay the same way for 1 unit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 16, 2011, 05:25:12 pm
got cono tonight minus four
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 16, 2011, 10:57:48 pm
Hit all the way around tonight fir +5.5 units.  Nice after my screw up last night.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 17, 2011, 12:17:28 am
blah....uconn cost me a unit. 250-100= +150 for the week so far. Couple games im likely to bet tomorrow.....

Temple +7
Ohio U -5
North Texas +47 (thats a lotta points for bama to cover)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 17, 2011, 07:59:17 am
A ton of games I like today and that's not always a good thing.

What I have placed already with more to follow later.

Penn st -7. 1 unit
Auburn +3.5. 1 unit
W VA +1.5. 1 unit
Wisconsin -17. 2 units

Three team parlay.
Penn st -7
Houston -6.6
Okie st -13.5   
1 unit.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on September 17, 2011, 08:42:42 am
my picks for today...
ok st. -13.5    4 units
ole miss -2.5    2 units
houston -7    4 units
stanford -9    2units
penn st. -7    2 units

and then a 6 point teaser with...
florida -3.5
ucla +9.5 for 2 units

*edit also took mich st moneyline for +175 for 1 unit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 17, 2011, 10:28:13 am
Well I went with Clemson and Maryland.  Clemson has screwed me so much in the past as I have been sucked in by all the hype around them.  Maybe its finally their time.  Also not a believer in West Virginia but what do I know.

Good luck to everyone today except if you have Auburn and West Virginia. :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 17, 2011, 11:29:21 am
Clemson was the worst bet in the history of gambling.  My God they are horrible and I knew it and still put money on those arse clowns in Orange. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ChicoHog on September 17, 2011, 12:19:30 pm
I like your Okie st choice.  My best bet is AZ plus 10 vs Stanford in Tucson.  Stanford has played zero competition and lost 4 o-lineman.  Duke put him on his back last week.  their D is still good but I think they are highly over ranked at this time.  AZ needs a big win as Stoops is under pressure and of course are under valued after that debacle in Stillwater 10 days ago.  Look for a close game and maybe even an upset. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 17, 2011, 02:39:50 pm
WVa won, now if Okie St doesn't look ahead too much to A&M
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: BigSexyHog on September 17, 2011, 02:53:15 pm
Well happy with the split this morning.  Clemson had me really worried.  No 2:30 action for me
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ChicoHog on September 17, 2011, 02:53:42 pm
Clemson was the worst bet in the history of gambling.  My God they are horrible and I knew it and still put money on those arse clowns in Orange. 
You want to take that back?  They came out to play after the early deficit. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: agr347 on September 17, 2011, 08:33:25 pm
I took Okie St. -13.5.  Seems to ggod to be true, which usually means it is, but we will see
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 17, 2011, 09:38:38 pm
blah....uconn cost me a unit. 250-100= +150 for the week so far. Couple games im likely to bet tomorrow.....

Temple +7
Ohio U -5
North Texas +47 (thats a lotta points for bama to cover)


pulled the trigger on these. 5 units on temple, 2.5 on the other 2. Added Kansas st for 2, Navy for 2, and Miami OH for 3.

Have 3 on Oklahoma state tonight.

5-1 so far...had a really good day.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 17, 2011, 11:35:08 pm
This okie lite / Tulsa game needs to be played so I can (hopefully) collect on the parlay.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 18, 2011, 02:28:21 am
Finished up 5-2 today, so not a bad day.

Overall
2011-2012 CFB
  Record 9-6-0     Profit - $-10     Bankroll $990

Next week lines should be out tomorrow. I guess we'll see what we got
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on September 18, 2011, 08:16:22 am
Finished 7-2 this week. Won on OU, Stanford, North Texas, Okie St, Western Mich, the UK/UL under, and Wisconsin. Lost on Tennessee and Houston. Can't complain.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 18, 2011, 09:48:36 am
Finished 7-2 this week. Won on OU, Stanford, North Texas, Okie St, Western Mich, the UK/UL under, and Wisconsin. Lost on Tennessee and Houston. Can't complain.

No you can't, great week. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ur on September 18, 2011, 10:17:40 am
How in the heck can La Tech go into ot with uca and then play Houston to within one point. Them, the hogs, and once again auburn, hurt me. 9-3 for the weekend.  Still way, way up thanks to weeks one and two. Time to par down the parlays. Games will get tougher with conf. play beginning. Home field will play big from here on out.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on September 18, 2011, 06:49:14 pm
Might as well get a start on the week. Here's a few early lines worth noting:

Ark at Bama -12.5- I'll never touch a Hog game but it will be interesting to see how much the line changes.

UGA -6 at OM- I'd take UGA but I won't touch this one out of discipline.

LSU -6 at WVU- Need to check out WVU because I thought this line would be higher, like LSU -12.

Florida -11 at UK- Liking Florida to cover on the road.

USC-E -18.5 at Vandy- Gut says take Vandy and the points. Based on that statement alone, I need to dig into this one a bit.

West. Mich at Illinois -15.5- I really want to see the o/u on this one. WMU can put up some points.

SMU -21.5 at Memphis- This says love SMU all day but my gut says it's a trap. TBD

Rice at Baylor -19.5- Initially like Baylor here

Okie St at aTM -3 -  Leaning towards taking Okie St.

Missouri at OU -19.5 - Thinking OU hammers Mizzou in this one.

Nebraska -25.5 at Wyoming- My gut says Neb. wins by 30. TBD

LaTech at MSU -18 - All a matter of what MSU team shows up. MSU also goes to UGA next week so they could call off the dogs if they have a 2 TD+ lead in the second half. TBD

Fla.Atl at Auburn -31.5 - Auburn goes to USC-E next week so they could call off the dogs early here. TBD


Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Polecat on September 19, 2011, 12:08:41 pm
Might as well get a start on the week. Here's a few early lines worth noting:

Ark at Bama -12.5- I'll never touch a Hog game but it will be interesting to see how much the line changes.

UGA -6 at OM- I'd take UGA but I won't touch this one out of discipline.

LSU -6 at WVU- Need to check out WVU because I thought this line would be higher, like LSU -12.

Florida -11 at UK- Liking Florida to cover on the road.

USC-E -18.5 at Vandy- Gut says take Vandy and the points. Based on that statement alone, I need to dig into this one a bit.

West. Mich at Illinois -15.5- I really want to see the o/u on this one. WMU can put up some points.

SMU -21.5 at Memphis- This says love SMU all day but my gut says it's a trap. TBD

Rice at Baylor -19.5- Initially like Baylor here

Okie St at aTM -3 -  Leaning towards taking Okie St.

Missouri at OU -19.5 - Thinking OU hammers Mizzou in this one.

Nebraska -25.5 at Wyoming- My gut says Neb. wins by 30. TBD

LaTech at MSU -18 - All a matter of what MSU team shows up. MSU also goes to UGA next week so they could call off the dogs if they have a 2 TD+ lead in the second half. TBD

Fla.Atl at Auburn -31.5 - Auburn goes to USC-E next week so they could call off the dogs early here. TBD




I'm with you. I think I'll put a small amount of coin on the Hogs, that way I'm double happy when they win.

I also like SMU and Georgia quite a bit. Would be a nice 3-team parlay to throw in Florida. Just my opinion
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Polecat on September 19, 2011, 12:11:27 pm
I also hit a nice NFL 3-team parlay taking the over in Dallas/San Fran, Bengals/Broncos and Pats/Chargers. Hit the over in the Eagles late game as well.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 19, 2011, 05:18:42 pm
I cant believe I missed UGA at 6, up to 7 that is a 5* stone cold lock of the year. Even at -10, where it is now, its prolly still a 1 or 2* play.

Florida St -3....2*
I think they try to make a statement after losing to OU

LSU -5.5....3*
 I see them destroying WVU on defense, and their offense is just enough to carry them to about a 31-10 game.

UCLA +3.5....3*
If UCLA can't beat Oregon St this year, then Neuhisel is on his way out the door, they are getting 3.5 points so I like them ATS and SU.


These are all I saw so far, and I still may add Georgia.  I was 2-0 on the unusual line movement picks and I've got my eye out for anything else crazy. There are a couple of trends starting to develop already from just the past 24 hours of betting.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 19, 2011, 05:21:10 pm
I am probably crazy but.

Rams +6.5. 1 unit
Under 44.5 1 unit

2 team parlay same way for 1 unit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 19, 2011, 05:23:12 pm
I am probably crazy but.

Rams +6.5. 1 unit
Under 44.5 1 unit

2 team parlay same way for 1 unit.

i like it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 20, 2011, 06:57:03 pm
I'm bumping my Florida St -3 bet up to a 3*, and because of the line movement I'm adding:

Florida St  +1...3*
Just like last week, this is one of the games that the line movement has already shifted Florida St from a 3 point favorite all the way to a 1 point dog, and it probably isn't done moving yet.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ur on September 20, 2011, 08:03:00 pm
Looks like FSU is really banged up.
http://espn.go.com/ncf/preview?gameId=312670228
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ur on September 23, 2011, 10:48:34 am
My favs for the weekend. Boise, oregon, LSU, florida, georgia, smu, auburn, nebraska, south florida, geo tech, miami, va tech.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 23, 2011, 11:27:14 am
I'm bumping my Florida St -3 bet up to a 3*, and because of the line movement I'm adding:

Florida St  +1...3*
Just like last week, this is one of the games that the line movement has already shifted Florida St from a 3 point favorite all the way to a 1 point dog, and it probably isn't done moving yet.


LIne is up to Florida St +2.5.  This is what makes me take a closer look at this game; the line started at Florida St -3, 71% of the money is coming in on the Seminoles, and yet the line is moving in Clemson's favor.

Also adding

Georgia -10....1*
As I said earlier, I would have made this my lock of the year at 6.5-7, and even at 10 I still think Georgia wins handily. 45-7 Dawgs
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ur on September 23, 2011, 01:15:44 pm
The movement on FSU is puzzling. They are really banged up on offense but their defense may be able to shut Clemson down. I am afraid to touch that one. Good luck and go Noles!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 23, 2011, 01:25:01 pm
I like UCF tonight.  Haven't decided if I'm going to make a play on the total yet.  Kind of like the OVER, but not sure if I'm going to pull the trigger.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: SixtySecondsOfPitino on September 23, 2011, 01:30:30 pm
UCF +2
GA Tech -7
Army -4

Love all of these.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: arkfanchip on September 23, 2011, 01:47:06 pm
UCLA +5.5 (I know they are not very good but OState is terrible)

Oklahoma State +4 (A toss up game to me so take the plus 4)

Ole Miss  +10 (I know they are bad but the bulldog linebackers are terrible and I mean TERRIBLE!  I think Georgia wins but plus 10 on the road is a tall order.)

LSU -6.5 (This one kinda scares me because LSU offense is so bad and WVU may be able to hit some big pass plays.  But I think the defensive line is the difference.  From what I have seen LSU has the best defensive line in the country.

FSU +3 (Another battle of a great defense against a great offense.  I thought that Auburn controlled Clemson until a few TO changed the game.  FSU offense was stalemated last week but CLemson DLine and Linebackers are nowhere near the speed of OU)

Arkansas +11 (I usually stay away from Arkansas games but this seems to good to be true.  I am the one who said arkansas only had a 25% chance of winning but I don't think alabama blows Arkansas out.  I could see a ten point win at most from bama.  I realize that Bama defense is great but their offense is not going to be able to score on Arkansas like the experts think they will.  Our defense is not great but they are good enough to stop an average offense.)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: SixtySecondsOfPitino on September 23, 2011, 01:52:32 pm
LIne is up to Florida St +2.5.  This is what makes me take a closer look at this game; the line started at Florida St -3, 71% of the money is coming in on the Seminoles, and yet the line is moving in Clemson's favor.

Also adding

Georgia -10....1*
As I said earlier, I would have made this my lock of the year at 6.5-7, and even at 10 I still think Georgia wins handily. 45-7 Dawgs

Should go this way, but if Bolden gets more carries than Crowell, I could see OM pulling this out.  Then again, I would be surprised if UGA's defense doesn't dramatically improve as the season goes on.  They have way too much talent, size, and seasoning to be a middling defense, as they have been.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 23, 2011, 03:35:48 pm
I already played the hogs +12.5 with my guy.  4 units

I don't like fl st.  Clemson always has talent. Major talent.  With Clemson it's all a matter of avoiding the game where they simply no show.

I like the Irish for 5 units.

More to come.  Been a great year so far even with bumps along the way.

Probably playing byu-2 at home tonight.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Polecat on September 23, 2011, 03:45:23 pm
I played the money line on the Hogs to win.

Also 4-way parlayed the under in LSU game with
Georgia -10
Oregon -15
and SMU -22

Memphis may be the worst DI team in the past 3 or 4 years. 10x odds. Hope it pays off!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: SixtySecondsOfPitino on September 23, 2011, 03:47:26 pm
I played the money line on the Hogs to win.

Also 4-way parlayed the under in LSU game with
Georgia -10
Oregon -15
and SMU -22

Memphis may be the worst DI team in the past 3 or 4 years. 10x odds. Hope it pays off!

Nm
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hoggy1 on September 23, 2011, 03:49:04 pm
Hogs +12
UGA -10
LSU -6
Oregon -15 1/2
Colorado +15
USC + 2 1/2

5 Teamer with UGA -10, Hogs +12, Michigan -11, LSU -6 and Miss State -20

Only 1 NFL so far, Chargers -15
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on September 23, 2011, 03:54:04 pm
I ended up getting a few plays in early: UGA -6 (now -10) and Florida -11(now -17). Also took LSU -6, Nebraska -21, the WMU/Illinois over (53.5), OU -19, and Okie State +3.

Good luck to everyone on their investments!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 23, 2011, 04:23:16 pm
Ark +12.5
Vandy +15.5

and then, being a chicken,

LSU & Georgia on the money line.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 23, 2011, 10:13:50 pm
I like UCF tonight.  Haven't decided if I'm going to make a play on the total yet.  Kind of like the OVER, but not sure if I'm going to pull the trigger.

Talk about a self destruction in the 2nd half....

I didn't end up taking the OVER, but I do have UCF.  This has been pitiful in the 2nd half.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 24, 2011, 02:53:05 am
2.5 units on BYU at -1. Thank God for Reggie Fish
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: SixtySecondsOfPitino on September 24, 2011, 09:38:56 am
UCF just gave the game away.   Even with great play from their backup QB, they squander it by allowing the kickoff return, dumbest muffed punt return I've seen, missed field goal, a fumble, and finally the late pick.  Simply gave the game away.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 24, 2011, 09:40:31 am
UCF just gave the game away.   Even with great play from their backup QB, they squander it by allowing the kickoff return, dumbest muffed punt return I've seen, missed field goal, a fumble, and finally the late pick.  Simply gave the game away.

Seriously.  That was a frustrating one to watch.  Oh well.  On to today!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hoggy1 on September 24, 2011, 10:38:07 am
2-0 so far with Cincy -8 and BYU -2.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 24, 2011, 10:40:35 am
2-0 so far with Cincy -8 and BYU -2.

You got lucky with BYU.  Bastard...

Just messin with ya.  Who you got today?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 24, 2011, 10:41:50 am
Michigan -10
Ga Tech -7
Notre Dame -4

Early games.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 24, 2011, 10:46:24 am
Michigan -10
Ga Tech -7
Notre Dame -4

Early games.

ND -4?  Where did you get that?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on September 24, 2011, 10:56:36 am
my picks for today...
***2 Team Parlay:
1. Arkansas +17.0
2. Notre Dame -1.5
***
***2 Team Parlay:
1. LSU -1.0
2. LSU @ West Virginia: Under 52.0
***
***2 Team Parlay:
1. Miami -7.0
2. Oregon -10.5
***
***2 Team Parlay:
1. Georgia -4.0
2. Oklahoma State +10.0
***
Florida State +2.5
Georgia Tech -6.5

edit...the parlays are teasers. i use betbud app on my android and it calls them parlays.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 24, 2011, 10:57:24 am
my picks for today...
***2 Team Parlay:
1. Arkansas +17.0
2. Notre Dame -1.5
***
***2 Team Parlay:
1. LSU -1.0
2. LSU @ West Virginia: Under 52.0
***
***2 Team Parlay:
1. Miami -7.0
2. Oregon -10.5
***
***2 Team Parlay:
1. Georgia -4.0
2. Oklahoma State +10.0
***
Florida State +2.5
Georgia Tech -6.5

Those aren't parlays.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on September 24, 2011, 11:03:11 am
damn you fast. i edited it soon as it posted. its that betbud app that does that.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 24, 2011, 11:05:31 am
damn you fast. i edited it soon as it posted. its that betbud app that does that.

Ha!  Just didn't want people looking for those lines.  :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 24, 2011, 11:07:24 am
I'll post my top 5 in here today, which I have a variety of ways I've "invested" in them. Been on a roll lately, so hope I don't have a Hogville jinx.
Arkansas +12.5
SMU -24.5
S Car -15.5
Washington -1.5
Toledo +2
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on September 24, 2011, 11:22:45 am
Ha!  Just didn't want people looking for those lines.  :)
+1 no joke. i saw somebody had ND at -4. i wanted that!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 24, 2011, 11:25:39 am
Adding

Texas A&M -4.5....1*
just a gut play really. No other reason.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hoggy1 on September 24, 2011, 12:03:16 pm
You got lucky with BYU.  Bastard...

Just messin with ya.  Who you got today?

I've took BYU all 4 weeks this year, I'm 3-1 with em so they are trendy for me :D

For today it's

Hogs +12
UGA -10
LSU -6
Oregon -15 1/2
Colorado +15
USC + 2 1/2
Michigan St -22
SMU-22
TAMU -4
Temple +9
ND -7

5 Teamer with UGA -10, Hogs +12, Michigan -11, LSU -6 and Miss State -20
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: SixtySecondsOfPitino on September 24, 2011, 12:44:11 pm
Love watching Tech's triple option.  UNC's defensive lined can't withstand that many runs.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on September 24, 2011, 01:01:55 pm
I am really regretting not taking SMU to cover on the road. Oh well, they've burned me a few times so probably best to stay disciplined in the long run vs an hour of two of regret.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 24, 2011, 01:07:25 pm
ND -4?  Where did you get that?
Sorry, that's 7
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 24, 2011, 01:24:08 pm
Teased UA to +18 and OU to -13.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 24, 2011, 08:42:21 pm
counting the LSU game as a win, I finished up 3-3 today...

2010-2011 record

12-9-0   Profit: $64  Bankroll: $1054
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 25, 2011, 12:37:59 am
Thank you LSU.  Thank you asu.

Got a dime on Hawaii but who knows.  Huge week if they covet.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 25, 2011, 09:55:34 am
Dear lord

-4 units on hogs
-4 units on the Irish.

Won 4 units on Clemson
Won 4 units on asu
Won 10 units at Hawaii
Cleaned up on LSU


Horrible start but even better finish.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 25, 2011, 10:57:36 am
Well great week again so far let's try and keep it going.

Today I live Miami +2. Solid defense against Colt McCoy. Hillis is out and he helps take focus off colt. The phins at 0-2 it is a must win for then.

I know it's crazy but playing the giants +8 against Philly.

Riding that Detroit lions train and laying the points.  Lions-3 against the vikes.


Buffalo +7 at home against the pats.

More to follow.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 25, 2011, 12:45:58 pm
Got screwed on Toledo, shouldn't have trusted the Hogs, but other then that it was a good day. I like the Ravens -5.5 today.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 25, 2011, 03:51:24 pm
On ravens-7

Cards -3

Bears +4

Raiders +3

Steelers -10.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 25, 2011, 03:55:36 pm
3 wins and one push on the early NFL action.

Hoping for good afternoon as well.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on September 25, 2011, 07:23:29 pm
Finished 5-2 on the week, 19-5 on the year.  Missed on OU covering and the Illinois/WMU over.

A few early lines this week of interest:

MSU at UGA -8
Arizona at USC -13.5
Bama at Florida +5
Clemson at VaTech -7
Memphis at MTSU -21
Nebraska at Wisconsin -9.5
OM at Fresno St -4.5
Oregon St at Ariz St -17
Auburn at USC-E -11.5
aTm vs Arkansas +3
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 26, 2011, 09:29:43 am
A few below the radar games of interest this week:

Georgia Tech (4-0 ATS) -12 at NC State (0-4 ATS)
Navy (3-0 ATS) -3 at home against Air Force (0-3 ATS)
Ark State (4-0 ATS) -10.5 at W. Kentucky (1-2 ATS & 16-game home losing streak)

I'm also waiting on the Over for the Ark/A&M game.

 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: daprospecta on September 26, 2011, 10:29:28 am
A few below the radar games of interest this week:

Georgia Tech (4-0 ATS) -12 at NC State (0-4 ATS)
Navy (3-0 ATS) -3 at home against Air Force (0-3 ATS)
Ark State (4-0 ATS) -10.5 at W. Kentucky (1-2 ATS & 16-game home losing streak)

I'm also waiting on the Over for the Ark/A&M game.

 
GT looks really good this year..........really good despite turnovers.
Western Kentucky seems to be headed north just a little. 
I always stay away from games like Navy and Air Force. Too many unpredictable things can happen in games like that.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: arkfanchip on September 26, 2011, 12:52:52 pm
I went 3-3 last week in college and 2-0 on NFL games.  The over on Oakland and Jets was my lock of the year. 

This week I love Navy -3 (Neither team is good at stopping the run but Navy did play a great game at south carolina and the game is at home.  Air Force gave up over 400 yards to Tenn. St. also)  I think it will be a high scoring game.  45-35

Auburn +10.5- This spread has me baffled.  I am as close to saying this is a 5* lock as I can be.  I know Auburn defense is terrible but so is South Carolina.  Georgia is very average this season and scored 42 offensive points and south carolina was +1 on turnovers.  Auburn may not win but it will be a shootout and will be close.  If you can get 10.5 I would jump on it today.

Clemson +7 (I listened to VA. Tech struggle to move the ball on Arkansas State.  And I watched them barely move the ball on East Carolina.  I think VA. Tech defense is very good but Clemson has playmakers on offense.  I really pay attention to the lines when I watch and I don't think VA. Tech will overpower clemson line enough.  I think VA. Tech will win a close game in the 20's.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: daprospecta on September 26, 2011, 02:23:58 pm
I went 3-3 last week in college and 2-0 on NFL games.  The over on Oakland and Jets was my lock of the year. 

This week I love Navy -3 (Neither team is good at stopping the run but Navy did play a great game at south carolina and the game is at home.  Air Force gave up over 400 yards to Tenn. St. also)  I think it will be a high scoring game.  45-35

Auburn +10.5- This spread has me baffled.  I am as close to saying this is a 5* lock as I can be.  I know Auburn defense is terrible but so is South Carolina.  Georgia is very average this season and scored 42 offensive points and south carolina was +1 on turnovers.  Auburn may not win but it will be a shootout and will be close.  If you can get 10.5 I would jump on it today.

Clemson +7 (I listened to VA. Tech struggle to move the ball on Arkansas State.  And I watched them barely move the ball on East Carolina.  I think VA. Tech defense is very good but Clemson has playmakers on offense.  I really pay attention to the lines when I watch and I don't think VA. Tech will overpower clemson line enough.  I think VA. Tech will win a close game in the 20's.
The Clemson game is a coin flip to me.  You have one a good offense versus a good defense but that good defense is at home and that good offense hasn't left home yet. UCSE plus Lattimore plus Aubie's giving up 4.5 yards per carry spells trouble, maybe not 11 point win trouble but trouble.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 26, 2011, 06:20:26 pm
Played skins +3.5


Under 46.5.  2 units on each.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 27, 2011, 05:22:05 pm
For this week:

Bama -4....3*
I have no idea what people are seeing to jump on Florida so hard that they have pushed this line down from -6. I saw -6 as a gimme, and this is almost a lock. Florida probably get beat as bad as we did, but they will still lose by a TD+.

New Mexico St -2.5....1*
I don't see New Mexico beating much of anything, the spread, the team, the heat...nothing

Oklahoma -37.5....2*
After the close call last weekend, the Sooners are going to come out and try to have their starters sitting in the 2nd qtr after they put up about 50...this one isn't even close and if Ball St scores, I'll be amazed...unless its against the students that Oklahoma picks out of the crowd at halftime to finish the game. if OU will punish a conference rival 77-7, they may score 120.

Texas Tech -6.5....1*
I think kansas is overvalued because of the win last week against Miami, but Tommy T will be trying to get either the Ole Miss or Georgia HC for the rest of the year so as soon as this went under 7 I bit.

Ole Miss +3.5....3*
Everyone has been wondering which game Nutt bucks up and wins that he shouldn't. This game has that written all over it. They are underdogs to a "weaker" team from a weaker conference so Nutt even has the fire'em up ammo he will need after the game to break his arm patting his own back.



For the record, this thread has had some major win lately in picking, if I have the time after I study for my Philosophy exam, I may get a overall record going.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 27, 2011, 06:14:54 pm
That would be cool will.  If I can be of any help compiling numbers please let me know.  Question is do we use only picks that were posted before the games.  I think that would be the way to go.  I mean I posted 2 or 3 that I did not put up beforehand.  I don't think they should count because I could say anything after the fact.

Hope that made sense.  If not we can always take people's word for it. ;)

Lol joking I don't care how it's done.  I have had pretty decent numbers either way.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: daprospecta on September 27, 2011, 08:39:38 pm
For this week:

Bama -4....3*
I have no idea what people are seeing to jump on Florida so hard that they have pushed this line down from -6. I saw -6 as a gimme, and this is almost a lock. Florida probably get beat as bad as we did, but they will still lose by a TD+.

New Mexico St -2.5....1*
I don't see New Mexico beating much of anything, the spread, the team, the heat...nothing

Oklahoma -37.5....2*
After the close call last weekend, the Sooners are going to come out and try to have their starters sitting in the 2nd qtr after they put up about 50...this one isn't even close and if Ball St scores, I'll be amazed...unless its against the students that Oklahoma picks out of the crowd at halftime to finish the game. if OU will punish a conference rival 77-7, they may score 120.

Texas Tech -6.5....1*
I think kansas is overvalued because of the win last week against Miami, but Tommy T will be trying to get either the Ole Miss or Georgia HC for the rest of the year so as soon as this went under 7 I bit.

Ole Miss +3.5....3*
Everyone has been wondering which game Nutt bucks up and wins that he shouldn't. This game has that written all over it. They are underdogs to a "weaker" team from a weaker conference so Nutt even has the fire'em up ammo he will need after the game to break his arm patting his own back.



For the record, this thread has had some major win lately in picking, if I have the time after I study for my Philosophy exam, I may get a overall record going.
I wouldn't touch Ole Miss at all right now. I also wouldn't touch the New Mexico St. game either because NM just fired their coach and that can motivate players at times.  I haven't locked anything in yet but these are my current leans.  I haven't had a chance to update lines so they may be a tad off.

USF +2
Temple -7
Baylor -4.5
N. Illinois -10
Arizona +13.5
Washington +7
Alabama -4.5

I really want to play the Georgia Tech game at -11.5 but 96% of the public is on them and the line actually moved toward toward GT a half a point.  Seems like the books want people to take GT.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 27, 2011, 10:06:14 pm
1-1-1 on saturday.

no plays on sunday.

Hit a big parlay on monday with the skins +3 and the under 45 total.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 29, 2011, 03:05:34 pm
Anyone like the USF-Pitt action tonight?  USF -4. O/u 51. At Pittsburgh
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 29, 2011, 03:35:53 pm
Anyone like the USF-Pitt action tonight?  USF -4. O/u 51. At Pittsburgh

I really don't "like" either one, but the line started out at Pitt -3 and "the public" is on USF hard core, as in, moved the line 6 points in little under an hour. USF is also 2-5 in its last 7 vs Pitt...

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: daprospecta on September 30, 2011, 12:10:07 pm
I was going to take USF last night but backed off because they don't play Pitt very well.  I have dwindled my leans down to Washington +10 and Arizona +13.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 30, 2011, 02:19:17 pm
Bama -4
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: daprospecta on September 30, 2011, 02:32:46 pm
Bama -4
Don't ask me why but I think that one point might crucial in this matchup.  I think Bama wins by 3
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: daprospecta on September 30, 2011, 02:33:45 pm
Adding N.Illinois back to my leans.  I will lock my plays in tonight. Let's start keeping a record guys.  I'm 0-0 right now posted here.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: wholehog92 on September 30, 2011, 03:40:13 pm
College

Taking a flyer on the dogs moneyline +235 over the other dogs. 2 units
Took hogs +120 as well for a half unit.
Navy -3.5 2 units
Mountaneers to cover 19 for 2 units
Utes to cover -10 for 1 unit.
Tide to cover -3.5 for 3 units
Rebs + 3.5 1 unit


NFL

Bears -6.5 for 1 unit
Falcons -4.5 1 unit
Jets +3 1 unit

damn I hope state surprises some folks this weekend and I hope bama doesn't surprise at least me!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: scottagee on September 30, 2011, 05:02:47 pm
Bama is going to treat Florida badly.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 30, 2011, 05:08:44 pm
Don't ask me why but I think that one point might crucial in this matchup.  I think Bama wins by 3

I hope the difference in coaching experience keeps that 1pt inconsequential.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: pig pickin on September 30, 2011, 05:41:58 pm
What's the point of having a bankroll if your are willing to bet 50% of it on a single event?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on September 30, 2011, 09:50:04 pm
Only bet I like this weekend is Bama straight up (-190; risk $1 to win $0.53).
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 30, 2011, 11:36:53 pm
Big Card this weekend.

 
Illinois (-8 1/2) L
Syracuse (pick) L (what a collapse)
Virginia (-16 1/2)
San Jose State (+4)
Georgia (-7)  W
Virginia Tech (-7)
Wisconsin (-9 1/2)
Fresno State (-3 1/2) .
Arkansas State (-13 1/2)
Middle Tennessee State (-22 1/2)

Already 2-0 with Pitt and Utah St. Hoping for a big weekend. GL2A

Updated 1-2 so far
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 01, 2011, 07:19:29 am
Only bet I like this weekend is Bama straight up (-190; risk $1 to win $0.53).


Is it possible to bet 1.00 to win .53. That one dollar and second is 53 cents?

I mean not meaning to be critical,  but is it worth the time and effort to put in a bet like that?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 01, 2011, 07:20:26 am
Or are you betting 100.00 to win 53
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: scottagee on October 01, 2011, 08:02:02 am
I bet far fewer games for more money than most people putting picks on here.


What's the point of having a bankroll if your are willing to bet 50% of it on a single event?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ur on October 01, 2011, 08:57:42 am

Is it possible to bet 1.00 to win .53. That one dollar and second is 53 cents?

I mean not meaning to be critical,  but is it worth the time and effort to put in a bet like that?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on October 01, 2011, 09:03:47 am
Middle Tennessee State should beat Memphis by 40.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 01, 2011, 10:15:22 am
1 units plays

MInn +20 1 unit
Wake -1
Toledo +8           
W Va -19
Texas tech -6.5
Hogs + 2.5 


2 unit plays

Colorado -3
Colorado ST -3.5
Baylor - 3.5
Miss ST +7
Auburn +10.5
 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on October 01, 2011, 10:16:09 am
Arkansas +2.5

***2 Team Parlay:
1. Georgia Tech -4.0
2. Georgia -2.0
***
***2 Team Parlay:
1. Michigan -14.0
2. Arkansas +8.5
***

Georgia -7.0

Baylor -3.5

***2 Team Parlay:
1. Virginia -9.5
2. Michigan State +9.5
***
***2 Team Parlay:
1. TCU -7.0
2. Texas -3.0
***
***2 Team Parlay:
1. South Carolina -4.5
2. Auburn @ South Carolina: Over 56.0
***

Alabama -4.0

Utah -10.0

Wisconsin -10.0

Fresno State -3.5

*edit... if it says parlay its a teaser. no teaser function on that betbud app. why lines look skewed.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: 1CavHog on October 01, 2011, 10:57:05 am
Hogs 28
Ags  20

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: daprospecta on October 01, 2011, 12:26:46 pm
I'm going to take Washington + 10 and Arizona + 12.5. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 02, 2011, 02:19:38 am
5-0 on the day, these are the days u enjoy, because when it's the opposite kind, it hurts so bad.


2010-2011 record

17-9-0   Profit: $694  Bankroll: $1694
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 02, 2011, 02:30:41 am
What's the point of having a bankroll if your are willing to bet 50% of it on a single event?

When that is gone, I'm done. I'm not trying to do this as a second job. It's more about the picking and finding trends, and seeing things most wouldn't that does it for me. The bankroll is a fictitious amount and I use it to place weight on my picks. If I lose enough to lose $1k, then I'm not doing something right and I drop it and pick it up next year. Usually that means I'm thinking too much or reading into things too much.

Trust me, you won't see more than 1 or 2 5* games all year. I actually think I missed one in Ole Miss today.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 02, 2011, 07:51:28 am

Is it possible to bet 1.00 to win .53. That one dollar and second is 53 cents?

I mean not meaning to be critical,  but is it worth the time and effort to put in a bet like that?

I wasn't saying I was in fact risking $1; I was just explaining what (-190) meant for those new to sports betting.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: daprospecta on October 02, 2011, 09:49:55 am
5-0 on the day, these are the days u enjoy, because when it's the opposite kind, it hurts so bad.


2010-2011 record

17-9-0   Profit: $694  Bankroll: $1694

Great day for you! I went 2-0 myself. It feels really good when I had so many leans and I decide not to take them and they lose.  Makes me feel like I"m doing something right.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 02, 2011, 11:34:21 am
Bama -4 was as easy as money gets. I expected that line to -7 or -8 (which Bama still would have covered easily), -4 was a no brainer.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 02, 2011, 12:01:37 pm
so far today I played

lions, steelers, redskins 1 unit on each

Saints and Giants 2 units each.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 02, 2011, 12:03:00 pm
I wasn't saying I was in fact risking $1; I was just explaining what (-190) meant for those new to sports betting.


LOL  okay.  Wasn't trying to sound like an ass.  Was just thinking is somebody out there actually taking the time to bet one dollar.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 03, 2011, 12:31:09 am
So had another killer week. Even played a 6 team parlay for the hell of it, and hit 5, damn BYU and my urge to have something down Friday. Bama was easy money, and they were bet multiple way. I usually pick 7 or 8 college games a week, and overall I was 6-2.  Got pressed for my NFL pick of the day, don't usually play, and went with the Giants. Needless to say I had a good weekend.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 06, 2011, 04:39:37 pm
Sorry for the late posts, but school is getting to the point in the semester where I actually have to pay attention and do some work occasionally.

For the week, these are all I see that interest me. All the other lines seem to be right about where I think so unless there is major line shifting, I probably wont add anything else.


Penn St -3.5....1*
I don't like to count anyone out, and Joe Pa is constantly showing why he hasn't retired, because he knows football. I like Penn St at home in what may be one of the last home games for Joe Pa.

Georgia -2....2*
I'm riding the Georgia train. I thin if they had another 10 chances to beat S Carolina, they probably would 7 or 8 times. Also, this is a matter of pride for the Dawgs, they have been beat the past 2 games in Knoxville.

East Carolina +10.5....1*
Based on line movement alone, the line has shifted in East Carolina's favor, but 77% of the bets are coming in on Houston...means some big money is on ECU.

There are a few of the lines that I want to bet based on line movement alone, but im going to hold off on those for now...if the line moves more dramatically though, they may end up being added. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: swinemaster on October 06, 2011, 04:46:51 pm
Funny, my lock of the week is Iowa +4 @ Penn St.  I think Iowa wins by at least 7.  Penn St. is not good.  I was impressed with Iowa when they came back and beat Pitt.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 06, 2011, 04:50:21 pm
Funny, my lock of the week is Iowa +4 @ Penn St.  I think Iowa wins by at least 7.  Penn St. is not good.  I was impressed with Iowa when they came back and beat Pitt.

Well, at least one of us will be happy... haha

The public agrees with you, to the tone of 72% of the bets coming in on Iowa...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 07, 2011, 04:59:31 pm
Okay I have a special request for some.  If this does not apply to you then don't get your panties in a twist.  If it does apply to you then get it right.

I have been betting sports for over 20 yeas.  Truth be told I lost money the first 4 years or so.  I do not mean betting your buddy twenty bucks on a game.

Since that time I have done pretty well most years.  Some better than others.  In other words.  When I post a pick on here I bet it and with real money.  I know many others on here that also do.  It's not a pretend bankroll to see how well you do.

Next.  If you have time to come on each week and tell us how great your picks were then you should pop on here and occasionally post them BEFORE the games have been played.  I know sometimes I slip a bet in late and don't have time to post on here, but when that happens I generally don't mention it win or lose.

Basically unless you have a proven record of winning don't pop on here after each game to tell us how much you made picking it unless you told us you were doing it beforehand.

I am not calling people liars, but those of us that do this a lot know what percentage of people make money betting sports. 

Little story.  I have a buddy that every time he plays golf alone has the greatest round ever.  Then every time I am present he shoots 95 rather than 78.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 07, 2011, 05:03:54 pm
FYI I am playing Boise -21 tonight for 2 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Polecat on October 07, 2011, 05:06:36 pm
FYI I am playing Boise -21 tonight for 2 units.

I tagged Oregon State -24 last night.
I parlayed Boise, Oklahoma and Ark State. I got the Sooners early at -9.
WPS!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 07, 2011, 05:10:24 pm
Okay I have a special request for some.  If this does not apply to you then don't get your panties in a twist.  If it does apply to you then get it right.

I have been betting sports for over 20 yeas.  Truth be told I lost money the first 4 years or so.  I do not mean betting your buddy twenty bucks on a game.

Since that time I have done pretty well most years.  Some better than others.  In other words.  When I post a pick on here I bet it and with real money.  I know many others on here that also do.  It's not a pretend bankroll to see how well you do.

Next.  If you have time to come on each week and tell us how great your picks were then you should pop on here and occasionally post them BEFORE the games have been played.  I know sometimes I slip a bet in late and don't have time to post on here, but when that happens I generally don't mention it win or lose.

Basically unless you have a proven record of winning don't pop on here after each game to tell us how much you made picking it unless you told us you were doing it beforehand.

I am not calling people liars, but those of us that do this a lot know what percentage of people make money betting sports. 

Little story.  I have a buddy that every time he plays golf alone has the greatest round ever.  Then every time I am present he shoots 95 rather than 78.

^^^^^
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 07, 2011, 05:15:32 pm
In action tomorrow I have already bet

1 Unit Games

Oklahoma -10.5
Penn ST -4
Arizona ST -3.5
Notre Dame -14
Wake Forrest +10

2 Unit Games

Pitt -7
Va Tech -7.5
Nebraska -10
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 07, 2011, 05:31:11 pm
Okay I have a special request for some.  If this does not apply to you then don't get your panties in a twist.  If it does apply to you then get it right.

I have been betting sports for over 20 yeas.  Truth be told I lost money the first 4 years or so.  I do not mean betting your buddy twenty bucks on a game.

Since that time I have done pretty well most years.  Some better than others.  In other words.  When I post a pick on here I bet it and with real money.  I know many others on here that also do.  It's not a pretend bankroll to see how well you do.

Next.  If you have time to come on each week and tell us how great your picks were then you should pop on here and occasionally post them BEFORE the games have been played.  I know sometimes I slip a bet in late and don't have time to post on here, but when that happens I generally don't mention it win or lose.

Basically unless you have a proven record of winning don't pop on here after each game to tell us how much you made picking it unless you told us you were doing it beforehand.

I am not calling people liars, but those of us that do this a lot know what percentage of people make money betting sports. 

Little story.  I have a buddy that every time he plays golf alone has the greatest round ever.  Then every time I am present he shoots 95 rather than 78.

Good post.

My bankroll on here is a fictious amount, because I don't feel anyone needs to know how much I bet or how much I start off with. I know you werent directing this at me necessairly, but I wanted to make it clear.

I learned not to pay attention to anyone that doesn't post their picks before the game and then comes on here to crow about how they went 25-1 and made $10k. 

To be honest hogfanintexas, one of the reasons I stopped trying to keep up with an overall record of this thread, was because I got tired of having to check to see if people had posted the picks before the amazing weekend they had.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 07, 2011, 05:43:36 pm
Good post.

My bankroll on here is a fictious amount, because I don't feel anyone needs to know how much I bet or how much I start off with. I know you werent directing this at me necessairly, but I wanted to make it clear.

I learned not to pay attention to anyone that doesn't post their picks before the game and then comes on here to crow about how they went 25-1 and made $10k. 

To be honest hogfanintexas, one of the reasons I stopped trying to keep up with an overall record of this thread, was because I got tired of having to check to see if people had posted the picks before the amazing weekend they had.





I know exactly what you mean, and you are right my post was not directed at you.  But you see what I am saying.  I have great weeks, but I also have bad weeks.  The only people that never have bad weeks never post their picks before the games.  Then even if they admit it it is diminished. 

It is really easy to throw out picks if you aren't actually betting money.  Even easier if you wait until after the game to make your picks.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: scottagee on October 07, 2011, 05:44:07 pm
I probably play about 1 game for every 20 some of you do. Maybe even 1 in 30. As in I don't even have a play every week. I have had three big games this year and they have all been on here. I know you are not talking to me because I haven't talked about any results. I had LSU over Miss St., Georgia over Ole Miss and Bama over Florida all big. My only other big play I didn't say anything about was Ark/A&M over the total.

Basketball has always been my main money maker but I have learned with study and patience I can do well at football.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 07, 2011, 06:03:02 pm
My bad guys, thought this was a pick discussion thread as well.  I have posted picks many times in these threads throughout the last couple years, and have had success doing so.  Felt lucky on that Giants game and felt the urge to come post after a strong weekend.  I don't have time to get in here every week and get them down, but I'll stick to just picking from now on. Thread title is pretty self explanatory now that I relook at it. That being said...

Tennessee +2
Nebraska -11
Pitt -7
UCLA -3.5
LSU under 44.5
TX +10.5
ECU +10.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 07, 2011, 06:31:24 pm
Basketball has always been my main money maker but I have learned with study and patience I can do well at football.

Dude, please when you start betting on basketball, post in here. I have NEVER won a basketball game I placed a bet on...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 07, 2011, 06:33:42 pm
A lot of +1's in the posts this afternoon.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 07, 2011, 06:48:06 pm
A lot of +1's in the posts this afternoon.

+1 to you also...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 07, 2011, 06:52:33 pm
Here's my picks, no research went into them. Totally gut instinct!

Auburn-Arkansas under 64

LSU-UF under 43

LSU - 14 UF

USC -21 Kentucky

OU -11 Texas

Boise State -21.5 Fresno State

Boise State-Fresno State under 60

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 07, 2011, 07:35:56 pm
A lot of BSU love tonight....I'm going to copy you guys for -21.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Polecat on October 07, 2011, 07:56:41 pm
Fwiw, I don't like the under in the lsu game. They've gone over in recent weeks
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 07, 2011, 10:01:24 pm
Hey seriously wasn't trying to be a butt head to anyone.  Was just pointing out how it looks at times.  Hope we all have a big week this week.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 07, 2011, 11:16:00 pm
Hey seriously wasn't trying to be a butt head to anyone.  Was just pointing out how it looks at times.  Hope we all have a big week this week.

It needed to bs said...just rubs people the wrong way. Kind of an unwritten rule.

Otherwise, good luck to all.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 07, 2011, 11:18:49 pm
And thanks for that bsu play, guys. +1
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 07, 2011, 11:19:33 pm
Boise State -21.5 Fresno State

Boise State-Fresno State under 60

1-1 tonight...

I had the under until Boise scored on 4th down with :17 seconds left after Fresno threw an interception to put them in good field position. Frikin' Fresno...


Also, check out this prop bet:

Will either Arkansas or Auburn score 3 unanswered times?

Yes (-380)
No (+250)


I feel like "no" would be a great bet with those odds...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 08, 2011, 06:53:12 am
I hear you on that prop bet.  Sounds like a great bet.  I know auburn scored 28 straight on us during last years game though.

Also don't forget if a team say scores a TD, and then kicks a field goal before half then get the ball back to start the second and score that counts too.

Imagine a safety counts as well.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on October 08, 2011, 08:46:25 am
today...2 Team Teaser: 1. Georgia Tech -8. 2. Oklahoma -5 and 2 Team Teaser: 1. LSU -7 2. Arkansas -4 ghg! wps! BP edited!

i might put something on penn st -3.5 too.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 08, 2011, 10:44:44 am
Today's teaser:

Uga +3 @ UT
ECU +17.5 @ Hou
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 08, 2011, 11:04:49 am
Iowa +5...going against the RLM
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 08, 2011, 02:15:28 pm
Added LSU -14, based on UF's qb situation
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 08, 2011, 05:44:21 pm
I am loaded for bear on Michigan -7   5 unit play.


Hope I don't jinx anything, but hogs -10. 2 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 08, 2011, 05:48:15 pm
A&m -9  for 2 units

East Carolina +11 for  1 unit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 09, 2011, 02:18:28 am
2010-2011 record

19-10-0   Profit: $855  Bankroll: $1855

Missed ECU, but I'm liking my read on Georgia right now.

First lean for next week....Alabama -anything up to 20 against Ole Miss
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hoggy1 on October 09, 2011, 11:22:52 am
Date placed:
Oct 09, 2011 1:09a   Single #226768435 (Placed by Web)
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Moneyline
NFL WEEK 5
(417) Tennessee Titans +150 Sun@12:00p
Competitor:(418) Pittsburgh Steelers

   
Date placed:
Oct 09, 2011 1:01a   4 Team Parlay #226767501 (Placed by Web)
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
NFL WEEK 5
(420) New York Giants -10 (-105) Sun@12:00p
Competitor:(419) Seattle Seahawks
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
NFL WEEK 5
(425) San Diego Chargers -4 Sun@3:15p
Competitor:(426) Denver Broncos
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
NFL WEEK 5
(421) Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 (-125) Sun@3:05p
Competitor:(422) San Francisco 49ers
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
NFL WEEK 5
(413) New Orleans Saints -6½ (-115) Sun@12:00p
Competitor:(414) Carolina Panthers

Date placed:
Oct 09, 2011 1:00a   Single #226767405 (Placed by Web)
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
NFL WEEK 5
(413) New Orleans Saints -6½ (-115) Sun@12:00p
Competitor:(414) Carolina Panthers

Date placed:
Oct 09, 2011 12:59a   Single #226767267 (Placed by Web)
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
NFL WEEK 5
(411) Oakland Raiders +5 Sun@12:00p
Competitor:(412) Houston Texans

   
Date placed:
Oct 09, 2011 12:57a   Single #226766952 (Placed by Web)
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
NFL WEEK 5
(405) Kansas City Chiefs +3 (-135) Sun@12:00p
Competitor:(406) Indianapolis Colts

Date placed:
Oct 09, 2011 12:55a   Single #226766792 (Placed by Web)
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
NFL WEEK 5
(425) San Diego Chargers -4 Sun@3:15p
Competitor:(426) Denver Broncos

   
Date placed:
Oct 09, 2011 12:53a   Single #226766573 (Placed by Web)
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
NFL WEEK 5
(420) New York Giants -10 (-105) Sun@12:00p
Competitor:(419) Seattle Seahawks

   
Date placed:
Oct 09, 2011 12:52a   Single #226766421 (Placed by Web)
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
NFL WEEK 5
(421) Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 (-125) Sun@3:05p
Competitor:(422) San Francisco 49ers

   
Date placed:
Oct 09, 2011 12:51a   Single #226766326 (Placed by Web)
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
NFL WEEK 5
(410) Buffalo Bills +3 (-115) Sun@12:00p
Competitor:(409) Philadelphia Eagles

   
Date placed:
Oct 09, 2011 12:50a   Single #226766218 (Placed by Web)
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
NFL WEEK 5
(407) Arizona Cardinals +3 Sun@12:00p
Competitor:(408) Minnesota Vikings

   
Date placed:
Oct 07, 2011 4:37p   Single #226397951 (Placed by Web)
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread
NFL WEEK 5
(423) New York Jets +9 (-115) Sun@3:15p
Competitor:(424) New England Patriots
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 09, 2011, 11:32:40 am
Today

1 Unit Plays I did are

Arizona +3

Oakland +5.5

Cincy -2.5

Giants -10

TB +3

Jets +7.5

2 Unit Plays

Saints _6.5

San Diego -3.5

Green Bay -6

Generally a bad sign when I am playing this many games on Sunday.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 09, 2011, 04:30:27 pm
Auburn-Arkansas under 64 - W

LSU-UF under 43 - L

LSU - 14 UF - W

USC -21 Kentucky - W

OU -11 Texas - W

Boise State -21.5 Fresno State - W

Boise State-Fresno State under 60 - L

5-2 yesterday
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on October 09, 2011, 07:48:50 pm
My bad guys, thought this was a pick discussion thread as well.  I have posted picks many times in these threads throughout the last couple years, and have had success doing so.  Felt lucky on that Giants game and felt the urge to come post after a strong weekend.  I don't have time to get in here every week and get them down, but I'll stick to just picking from now on. Thread title is pretty self explanatory now that I relook at it. That being said...

Tennessee +2
Nebraska -11
Pitt -7
UCLA -3.5
LSU under 44.5
TX +10.5
ECU +10.5





Oh man you got bent over yesterday!!!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 09, 2011, 08:44:44 pm
5-2 yesterday

Very nice day. I severly underestimated Oklahoma, or overestimated Texas. And man, Kentucky has an APB out and has contacted the FBI to help find the terrorist group that kidnapped their defense and bring them to justice. Steve Spurrier hasn't had someone give it up that easy since prom night.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 09, 2011, 08:49:50 pm


Tennessee +2
Nebraska -11
Pitt -7
UCLA -3.5
LSU under 44.5
TX +10.5
ECU +10.5



Oooooh man. Sorry bout that. +1 cuz you need it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 10, 2011, 07:26:08 am
Well ended up +3 units on Saturday.  Sunday I ended up splitting so had to eat the juice.

Basically was a +2.5 weekend.  Wait I am sorry I didn't count Boise st so was a +4.5 unit weekend.

Michigan game was a huge boost.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hoggy1 on October 10, 2011, 01:23:50 pm
6-3 on college, 5-6 on NFL with Lions -7 tonight.

Not too bad
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on October 10, 2011, 03:10:25 pm
Bears +7 tonight.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 10, 2011, 04:27:00 pm
I played the lions tonight -5.5 for 2 units.

I also must be insane but played under 47 for 2 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on October 10, 2011, 06:39:33 pm
Had a light weekend but went 3-0 (22-5 YTD), with Bama, LSU, and Boise all covering. Time to get aggressive this week.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on October 10, 2011, 06:55:27 pm
A few early lines this week:

Purdue at Penn St (-11.5)- TBD; PSU should cover but their O has been sloppy.
Indiana at Wisconsin (-38)- Always do well with Wiscy lines; think they cover here.
USC-E at Miss St (+5)- Really liking USC-E to cover.
Baylor at aTm (-10)- Gut says take Baylor here but may leave this one alone.
OSU at Illinois (-3)- Leaning towards Illinois to cover.
Okie St at Texas (+6)- Leaning towards taking Okie to cover.
Bama at OM (+23.5)- One would think Bama would steam roll OM here.
Kansas St at Texas Tech (-4)- Surprising line to me, liking KSU on the road.
OU at Kansas (+31.5)- One would think OU would hammer rock chalk here.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 10, 2011, 07:01:52 pm


Oh man you got bent over yesterday!!!

Thanks for taken some pity on me guys.  I actually came out okay, losses, but not as bad as it seems. I'll spare you the details though. Definitely feel I brought some bad mojo to this thread and I even anticipated a Hogville curse, so I won't poison your thread for the next couple weeks.

Go Bears +7!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 10, 2011, 07:21:30 pm
Thanks for taken some pity on me guys.  I actually came out okay, losses, but not as bad as it seems. I'll spare you the details though. Definitely feel I brought some bad mojo to this thread and I even anticipated a Hogville curse, so I won't poison your thread for the next couple weeks.



Go Bears +7!


Lol why would you think you poisoned the thread man. Nobody wins every week if they say they are well you know.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on October 10, 2011, 07:22:53 pm
I've never done better than 55% on the NFL so I don't touch it out of discipline. However, I was very tempted to throw a bill on the Lions tonight. We'll see if discipline pays or not.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on October 10, 2011, 09:31:34 pm
i believe in the hogville curse. Just look at my picks that i post on here....im probably 25%. But for the year, im hitting about 61 and have actually turned a decent profit so far.

I can't wrap my brain around it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 11, 2011, 11:57:35 am
I dunno about the hogville curse.  My picks seem to average out the same when I post them beforehand or not.

Guess it's possible though.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 11, 2011, 11:59:25 am
Nice 2 unit hit on lions and nice 2 unit hit on under.

Of course now I wish I had tied them together as a 2 team parlay for 2 units as well.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 11, 2011, 02:50:22 pm
H'ville curse . . . an after-the-fact excuse for having revealed some crappy picks, ha.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on October 11, 2011, 04:31:16 pm
I was really liking USCe to cover -5 at MissSt.  Then it dropped to -3.  Now it's dropped to -2.5.  All with the public heavily on USCe.  What am I missing?  I didn't expect Garcia to play, so it looks like him getting kicked off the team should be a manageable distraction (although it makes me a tiny bit nervous about their back-up qb having no experience).  Does it have something to do with the thought that Russell might start or that Relf might see very limited action?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 11, 2011, 05:49:59 pm
H'ville curse . . . an after-the-fact excuse for having revealed some crappy picks, ha.


It certainly could be this.


I am 100% on my picks when I make them after the game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 11, 2011, 06:18:08 pm
LSU -17 Tenn

That's the only one I like so far...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 11, 2011, 07:33:57 pm


I am 100% on my picks when I make them after the game.


Agreed. The best thing I ever did was to give my picks accountability....yes, I still suck, but now I KNOW my win %, versus before I was inflating the number in my head (and likely inflating my results to others).
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on October 11, 2011, 08:06:21 pm

I am 100% on my picks when I make them after the game.


I remember that one pick I missed after a game a couple years ago so I'm at 99% :D
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 11, 2011, 09:39:33 pm
It's time for a rant or tutorial.  You know who you are.  For starters if you are actually wagering money I suggest you go back and read every page.  Many good tips from people in the know.

I must now address the Hogville curse.I think McKdaddy said it best.  To make a long story short hindsight is 20/20.  Nobody is fooling anyone.  If you win every week then post your picks and lose then you were lying about the previous weeks.  Plain and simple.

I am not the best and never claimed to be, but if you will start from the beginning of this thread you will see that it is documented.  Good weeks and bad.

Tip for newbies betting real money.  If you use a local book occasionally bet the other way.  Example  if your local guy knows you are a cowboy fan and you bet them every week he will jack the line.  Put a small bet on the other team sometime.

Also do not ask what is the line on the cowboy game. Use the game numbers.  A  local guy learns trends just like everyone else.  If you will take the cows _7 you will certainly take them -8.  Hope what I am saying makes sense.

Have a second wagering outlet.  Do not rely on one guy or site for a line.  Yes Vegas controls a ton, but your local guy, OOOORRR your website will adjust the line based on money coming in. 

Please keep in mind. EVERY book local or vegas wants the same amount of cash on each team in most cases.  They pay out nothing and collect the ten percent juice.

VERY IMPORTANT  if you are betting a game just to bet you shouldn't be involved.  If you are betting a game because it's on TV and you can follow you shouldn't be involved. 

This is not a put down or insult this is the truth.  I am going to be 40 years old this December and have been doing this since I was 14.  Got introduced early.  I took a ton of beat downs in those early years.  It helped me learn while I paid my money as a bag boy in a supermarket.

People come onto this thread looking for guidance.  Do not throw out random picks unless you post them ahead of time and you are betting real money.

Allow me to share a bit.  I used to make a living doing this,.     well more money than most make at their salaried job,  I now have a 1 year old so my betting tendencies have changed.  Rather than bet 3 or 4 games at a dime each week I dropped to 1 and 2 unit plays. I mixed in a couple 5 unit and a dime play, hit them all by the way.  Yes they are documented on here.   But now I bet more games at a lesser amount.  No I will not make the scratch I used to, but I also do not run the risk of losing it.  My being a father dictates that, but rest assured EVERY BET I POST I PLACE AND FOR THAT AMOUNT>   

Go back to the start.  Read learn and ask any questions you want.  I am no genius, but proof is in the pudding as they say.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: swinemaster on October 11, 2011, 09:53:52 pm
Funny, my lock of the week is Iowa +4 @ Penn St.  I think Iowa wins by at least 7.  Penn St. is not good.  I was impressed with Iowa when they came back and beat Pitt.

I suck.  Never blow your roll on a one game "lock"!

You're the Man Will!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 11, 2011, 09:59:16 pm
Hogfanintx, I'll ask you to expound on something you said previously in this thread.....you don't like teasers. Why not? Lower payout and/or no pushes?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 11, 2011, 10:16:46 pm
Hogfanintx, I'll ask you to expound on something you said previously in this thread.....you don't like teasers. Why not? Lower payout and/or no pushes?


Many reasons.  Yes you get to move the line.  Simply go back and see how many have won and lost. 

A guy worth his stuff can find two wins in a weekend.  a two team parlay pays 2.5 to 1.   a teaser pays even money.  On a teaser a push is out the window.  If you bet a two team parlay for instance and win the first game, but push the second on the line it reverts to a single game bet.  You can still win money.

A teaser is to me a bet for someone that wants to make the game interesting by betting, but does not wanna lose much. 

The better play is not tease.  Play a two team parlay instead and lower your bet..  You risk losing less, but get the better payoff. 

They call it a teaser for a reason.   Avoid it, don;t play it. Stay away from it. 

Either bet the parlay or make two straight bets.  One bet on each game. 

For instance.  Monday Night I wasn't 100% certain so I bet the Lions -5.5 for two units and the under 47 for two units.   My mind said also tie them together on a two team parlay for two.  Had I done so I would have made 9 units rather than 4.  In a sense I hedged myself.  Minimized my winnings, but also did the same on the losing end.  If I split I only lose the juice.   

Seem to be rambling hope that makes sense.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 12, 2011, 10:49:19 pm
Likely my only picks this week. No research, just gut instinct:

AU + 2 Florida
LSU -17 Tenn (line is now -17.5, and I still like LSU -17.5)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 13, 2011, 08:09:13 am
LSU should kill them, that is a bet I will wait to make until game day.  I will take my chances on the line going even higher.

With LSU involved I am always scared they will end up with 15 starters suspended for doing something stupid the night before.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 13, 2011, 09:08:47 am

Many reasons.  Yes you get to move the line.  Simply go back and see how many have won and lost. 

A guy worth his stuff can find two wins in a weekend.  a two team parlay pays 2.5 to 1.   a teaser pays even money.  On a teaser a push is out the window.  If you bet a two team parlay for instance and win the first game, but push the second on the line it reverts to a single game bet.  You can still win money.

A teaser is to me a bet for someone that wants to make the game interesting by betting, but does not wanna lose much. 

The better play is not tease.  Play a two team parlay instead and lower your bet..  You risk losing less, but get the better payoff. 

They call it a teaser for a reason.   Avoid it, don;t play it. Stay away from it. 

Either bet the parlay or make two straight bets.  One bet on each game. 

For instance.  Monday Night I wasn't 100% certain so I bet the Lions -5.5 for two units and the under 47 for two units.   My mind said also tie them together on a two team parlay for two.  Had I done so I would have made 9 units rather than 4.  In a sense I hedged myself.  Minimized my winnings, but also did the same on the losing end.  If I split I only lose the juice.   

Seem to be rambling hope that makes sense.

Thx!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 13, 2011, 09:12:23 am
LSU should kill them, that is a bet I will wait to make until game day.  I will take my chances on the line going even higher.

With LSU involved I am always scared they will end up with 15 starters suspended for doing something stupid the night before.

Any thoughts on AU + 2 UF?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 13, 2011, 12:22:05 pm
Eh I would lean toward auburn.  Not a game I have really looked at much yet.

Got my brain wrapped around those two tonight.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: weatherhawg on October 13, 2011, 12:38:45 pm
I'm relatively new to the betting scene (and thus I haven't done anything using real money yet) but I'm following things closely and testing out my strategy.  If I do well enough I will start to use real cash...

I don't see any lines that stand out as a easy money.  This week I am picking Auburn over Florida (+2) because Auburn, given their youth, will play it better at home.  Florida just took two beatings back to back against Bama and LSU, losing their starting qb in the process.  It's very hard to win back-to-back conference games on the road.

Early in the week I got S. Carolina -4 over Miss. State but recent line movement and Garcia's suspension makes me very nervous.  From what I gather, Shaw has accuracy problems and plus it'll be his first SEC road game as a starter.    State has enough problems of it's own: it's o-line injuries and QB play were problematic enough that they failed to get on the scoreboard against UAB (yes, UAB!) in the first half last week.  This one could go either way...and it could come down to who Mullen decides to start at QB.  In hindsight I should have left this game alone...

I also did a small wager on a two game parlay for Alabama (-25.5) to cover against Mississippi and for Arizona State (+15) over Oregon.  Oregon's defense is suspect and last year Arizona State held them to less than 200 yds rushing, forcing Oregon to throw to win.  ASU also outgained Oregon by ~200 yards, but turnovers (7) killed the Sun Devils.  I actually have an inclination to pick ASU to win outright, but two factors make me stop short of this: 1) Oregon is very tough to beat at home, and 2) ASU just played on the road at Utah...   As for Ole Miss...as long as they continue having the problems they have on offense, they will struggle to score against the decent defenses.  Bama should win this handily I do believe....
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 13, 2011, 02:54:16 pm
good stuff all around Hogfan...nice to have your knowledge here...

I had a chance to type up some really good info on some of the games that interest me earlier today, and then as I was about to hit post, my laptop got funky and shut down internet explorer. So, now, Im just gonna give the lines of interest.

None of these are my picks, I will update with my picks tomorrow evening probably.

North Carolina -3 v Miami...I just like North Carolina at home.

South Carolina -3 @ Miss St...line has gone down 2 points and 90% of the bets are coming in on SC...funny line movement

BYU +3 @ Oregon St...I just think BYU is the better football team here. No trends or anything, I just said "WTH" when I saw this line.

I love Mich St -2.5 v Michigan...The public is all on Mich, ESPN has them as a solid top 10 BCS team, I'm not sold though. I like this at -3, but at -2.5 it is a steal. If people keep hitting Michigan though, this could easily be under 2 by kickoff. Waiting to post unit play, but this will be one of my plays here.

Florida -2 @ Auburn...I don't like this game, over 70% of the bets coming in on Auburn, but the line moves the other direction 3 points...Im still trying to get a handle on this type of movement, but gut says take Florida and lay the points. Highly doubt this makes the cut.

Georgia -11 @ Vandy...I just like Georgia, they are still the 2nd best team in the East even though they got beat by SC.

I may add more and there is some line movement that is really confusing, but these are my first impressions. We'll see what tonight and tomorrow do to those impressions.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 13, 2011, 03:49:15 pm
Well take it for what it is worth but here is what I did tonight.

San Diego ST +7 for 1 unit.   From what I can see they and Air Force are almost the same team.  Take away the 3 points Air Force is giving by being the home team and you would still be getting 4 with the Aztecs.   

I played USC -3 at CAL for 2 units.  Neither of these teams are very good.  USC hasn't destroyed CAL the last few years.  I am playing the team with more talent here. 

I played the over 58 in the USC cal game as well for 1 unit.  Both play terrible defense.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on October 13, 2011, 03:51:36 pm
I played the over 58 in the USC cal game as well for 1 unit.  Both play terrible defense.

This is my main lean for tonight, but I have to do more research.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on October 13, 2011, 05:27:36 pm
Put 1 on the Aztecs. And 1 on USC teased to -3. Betus is at -4 right now, all based on Rashun Woods being a playmaker. And Cals qb looked horrible last week
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 13, 2011, 07:05:15 pm
I'm on USC -3.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 13, 2011, 07:26:31 pm
I made those bets, but the over scared me because both these teams have shown the ability to struggle in the red zone.  As long as they don't go on clock churning drives and turn it over or start trading field goals for a half it should be safe.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 13, 2011, 07:48:38 pm
-3 SC
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 13, 2011, 08:24:34 pm
Of course USC turns it over down by cal goal line. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on October 13, 2011, 08:46:42 pm
Alright!  Lookin great on that USC over!   :puke:
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hogball33 on October 13, 2011, 08:56:22 pm
I like Bama to cover on Ole Piss -27. I think Bama has covered nearly every game this year. They beat us by 24, they will murder Ole Piss.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 13, 2011, 09:06:51 pm
I like Bama to cover on Ole Piss -27. I think Bama has covered nearly every game this year. They beat us by 24, they will murder Ole Piss.

Especially with those Ole Miss suspensions. I checked the line soon after the suspensions were announced and it was scratched.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hogball33 on October 13, 2011, 09:19:02 pm
Especially with those Ole Miss suspensions. I checked the line soon after the suspensions were announced and it was scratched.

Wow. Lucky I got mine in yesterday.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on October 13, 2011, 09:22:58 pm
Sd state up 27-20 late 3rd and trojans lookin to go up 20-0
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on October 13, 2011, 09:23:44 pm
Salty!!!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: agr347 on October 14, 2011, 12:56:30 pm
I am late on my last night picks, but I had:
USC- 3
SDSU +7, both winners

For this weekend I like:

Penn St. -12   (this one they should cover easily, but who knows)
Rutgers -4
Virginia Tech-6.5
Oklahoma -38 (Ok wants to prove to the voters that they are as good as the SEC teams.  Should
                           name their own score here)
UGA -11  ( I am riding this train til I lose on it.  They keep hitting them.)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 14, 2011, 01:35:21 pm
The LSU-Tenn line is up to 18.5 on bodog now...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 14, 2011, 02:53:59 pm
Well won 1 unit on sd st won 2 units on USC

Lost 1 unit on over with USC/Cal. Too many field goals and turnovers.

So for the week plus 2 units minus the juice.


I am probably insane, but playing Hawaii -5 for 2 units tonight.

I simply think the rainbows have more weapons and more ways to score.  The down side is they are never nearly as good on the road.  I know Hawaii doesn't have the biggest stadium or loudest or most rabid fans, but when teams travel out there they struggle.  Maybe they relax and eat too much.

Anyway taking Hawaii on the road tonight.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on October 14, 2011, 03:55:31 pm
Funny that the only play I talked about on here yesterday was the O58 in the USC/Cal game and that was the only one I lost last night.  I also had USC and San Diego State.

Also, hogfanintx, I like Hawaii tonight as well and have the same worry as you.  I always worry about Hawaii coming to the mainland.  They are awesome at home, but usually aren't as good away from home.

Those of you talking about laying 17.5+ points and taking LSU should be careful.  I think there are much better games out there and I actually think Tenner can keep it under the number.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on October 14, 2011, 04:05:14 pm
I'm not touching the tenn game Hogfather, but the corndogs should cover, all of tenners big time players are hurt. I hate this weekends lines!!!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on October 14, 2011, 04:07:38 pm
I'm not touching the tenn game Hogfather, but the corndogs should cover, all of tenners big time players are hurt. I hate this weekends lines!!!

Vegas knew that when they put the line there.  Favorites have been dominating lately, though.  I just think it is a dangerous game to take the favorite.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 14, 2011, 04:47:03 pm
So just Placed my bets for tonight.  The delay cost me a point

Hawaii -6 for 2 units

Over 56.5 for 2 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 14, 2011, 04:52:08 pm
HogfatherI agree.  LSU should kill the Vols, but.  That's just it there are too many buts.   Never forget the Vols have talent even if it's young.  I do think LSU kills them, but many more attractive gAmes out there for me to bet.

Everyone should remember.  You don't decide what you will be wAtching on tv and simply bet that game just because.  If you really believe LSU then by all means bet it.

If someone handed me money and I had to bet it I would take LSU, but to me this has trap game written all over it.  No way I think tenner wins, but that line I dunno.

He'll with all the injuries the Vols may run option and churn clock all game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 14, 2011, 05:51:22 pm
Ok, I'm locking them in:

Hawaii -6.5 San Jose St.
Hawaii-San Jose St. over 58
LSU -17 Tenn
AU +2 UF
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hoggy1 on October 14, 2011, 06:02:46 pm
Hawaii -6
Bama -26
Ok. State -8
Cowboys + 7 1/2
Colts +7
Packers -15
Steelers -12 1/2
Raiders -6
Toledo -8 1/2
Michigan +2
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on October 14, 2011, 06:54:55 pm
I'm taking the under tonight.  58   
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: swinemaster on October 14, 2011, 07:41:24 pm
I'm going with home underdogs this week.  I know the favorites are rolling this year, and I will probably take a bath, but that's what makes playing fun.

Home DOG weekend:

Michigan State +3
Wazzou +21
Aubbie +2

Parlay these three with:

Kansas +36
Mississippi +28
Utah St. -3

Something's gotta change.  IT's been a rough year so far.

P.S. I'm going to bet whatever hogfanintx does next week if this doesn't work. ;)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 14, 2011, 08:16:10 pm
UNC -3....1*
I like UNC at home against a depleted Canes team. I know both of these teams are in disarray, but I feel UNC is holding it together better.

South Carolina -3....2*
I thin SC names their score against this pitiful Miss St D. Their O is getting just as bad. I'm looking for another Kentucky type day from SC.

BYU +3....2*
I really want to make this a 3*, but Im not because no matter how much of a read I think I have, Vegas always has a better one. I dont see anyway that BYU doesn't win by 10-14, but I'm going conservative here.

Mich St -3....2*
I can't believe I missed it at 2.5, that would have been s sure fire 3* winner. This may end up being just a push. I still love Mich ST. Maybe its because if Mich loses, then Arkansas is almost guaranteed a spot in the top 10 of the BCS standings coming out Sunday, but I'll go with blind homerism occasionally.

Georgia -11....1*
Riding the Georgia bus once again. I still think Vandy will go to a bowl game, but number 4 won't come against the Dawgs.
[/i]
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 14, 2011, 10:52:01 pm
This Hawaii-San Jose game has been nuts! Hawaii has had 6 turnovers, and San Jose has 5. That's the most in any game yet this season.

Hawaii is up 27-22 at the beginning of the 4th...

San Jose State just blocked an XP and picked it up and got 2 points! It would have been 28-20 had the XP been made.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 14, 2011, 11:23:56 pm
Wow I was wrong. Special teams kill,
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on October 15, 2011, 12:05:51 am
ok guys, i took hawaii for the to cover for my first pick...didnt think think 6 turnovers was gonna happen...fail, imma learn and get back with it tho
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on October 15, 2011, 12:07:09 am
This Hawaii-San Jose game has been nuts! Hawaii has had 6 turnovers, and San Jose has 5. That's the most in any game yet this season.

Hawaii is up 27-22 at the beginning of the 4th...
this...my first pick, i felt good and was excited and then...(&(*&(&


San Jose State just blocked an XP and picked it up and got 2 points! It would have been 28-20 had the XP been made.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 15, 2011, 12:14:22 am
If they were to replay the game, I'd still take Hawaii -6.5 and over 58 again... Both offenses could move the ball but there was just an insane amount of turnovers. You win some you lose some... Hopefully LSU and AU cover and get me even on the weekend tomorrow.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: weatherhawg on October 15, 2011, 02:20:26 am
Couple of more picks and some thoughts going forward...

Went ahead and picked SMU (-3) over Central Florida...SMU is much improved this year and has been having some good offensive output ever since playing against A&M the first game of the season.  Last year when they played, yardage was about even (317-311) but turnovers hurt the Ponies.  Think they cover at home, especially after a bye week and momentum from upsetting TCU two weeks ago...

In my second ever parlay, I chose the following four picks:

OU vs. Kansas over (73.5)
Purdue +12 over Penn State
Toledo (-7.5) over Bowling Green
Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois over (69.5)


Wager was very small....not too worried if I miss one of these....

The developments in Oxford this week are very strange...particularly the timing (two days in advance of the game against Bama) and the fact that all the suspensions were offensive players.   I did some digging around for info and found several  unconfirmed rumors indicating that some players are a bit unhappy with the game plan for Alabama....and that there's some general unrest amongst the team.  This is unlike Houston Nutt...he seems to do a good job of rallying his troops in adversity.  But apparently there are a lot of problems down there (the "Forward Rebels" group is an indication of that.)  Take all this with a grain of salt...  but if any of this negativity begins to affect on-the-field play...it could be a sign to bet against Ole Miss for the remainder of the season (especially ATS...perhaps even SU)

I'd love to hear feedback....still new to all this...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 15, 2011, 08:22:18 am
Weather hog.

I love your bet on Toledo.
I am the other way taking Penn st

The two games you played the totals who knows.  I wouldn't play those two at all.  If I did I would have played the under on the ou game.  Yes Oklahoma may score 70 alone, but Kansas may not see the pay dirt all day.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 15, 2011, 08:28:26 am
Okay apparently I have lost the plot.  Literally gone off the reservation but already made these plays.  Made way too many bad ju ju.

1 unit plays

Penn st -12
Clemson -8
VA Tech -6
Baylor +8
Byu +3
Georgia Tech -7
Pitt -6
Georgia -11
Illinois -3
Auburn +3

2 unit plays

Wisconsin -39.5
Ou -27

4 unit play

Fl st -12.5

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on October 15, 2011, 09:08:18 am
Weather hog.

I love your bet on Toledo.
I am the other way taking Penn st

The two games you played the totals who knows.  I wouldn't play those two at
 all.  If I did I would have played the under on the ou game.  Yes Oklahoma may score 70 alone, but Kansas may not see the pay dirt all day.


I see a 56-10 type game in Lawrence. Kansas is god awful

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on October 15, 2011, 11:00:14 am
early games...Michigan State -3, Penn State -12, South Carolina -3 also parlayed Penn St -12 with under 41.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: mckinneyhog5 on October 15, 2011, 11:05:50 am
Penn St-12 1/2
Mich St-3
North Carolina-3
BAylor+8
4 team Parlay
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on October 15, 2011, 12:50:57 pm
Texas A&M  -4 1/2 for 1st half
Texas A&M. -7 for game
South car. -3

Then money lined south car. In a live bet after they went down 7-0. +3.5. (+135)

1unit each
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 15, 2011, 02:07:49 pm
Posting all my play. Know I'm late , but all that started are still in question.
Mich St. -2.5
Baylor +9
West Mich -2
BYU +3.5
FL State -12.5
Stanford -22
NW +6.5
OK State -6

5-3; I'll take it
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Porked Tongue on October 15, 2011, 02:45:34 pm
South car. -3
South Carolina -3
South Carolina -3....2*
I thin SC names their score against this pitiful Miss St D. Their O is getting just as bad. I'm looking for another Kentucky type day from SC.

And the rest of you, that safery was brutal.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hoggy1 on October 15, 2011, 02:53:04 pm
SC -3 just hurt my feelings....ouch.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: liljohn41 on October 15, 2011, 03:13:45 pm
i was so excited i was gonna win my first pick with usc -3
i knew what was about to happen when they lined up in the shotgun
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 15, 2011, 03:27:48 pm
Are u kidding me? FU spurrier. I think I bought into the hype of SC's destruction of Ky.

And WTH is up with Miami? They had no business being in that game, much less winning. Not a good start today.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 15, 2011, 05:58:01 pm
My single unit plays early were terrible.
Luckily I hit the 2 unit with wisconsin and the 4 unit with fl st.

Bumped OU to a 3 unit play.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on October 15, 2011, 06:51:43 pm
Ugh, this was a terrible week to get aggressive. 4-4 thus far. Won on Wiscy, LSU, aTm, and okie St. Lost on Illinois, michigan, USC-E, and GaTech. Still got some plays to make up the loses but this week is why you look at season to date success instead of week to week success.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on October 15, 2011, 07:02:31 pm
I was deflated after the scar safety. Just makes me want Nov. 5th here earlier
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 15, 2011, 07:56:05 pm
I'm headed for a break-even weekend, so I want to break the tie:

Utah St-Fresno St under 63
OU-Kansas under 71
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on October 15, 2011, 08:06:30 pm
Thank god for Bama's thrashing of Ole Missmatched. Up to 5-4 but plus 4 units from that game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 15, 2011, 08:15:45 pm
Just played Arizona ST +14.5 for 1 unit.

Also played second half line on Stanford -10.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 16, 2011, 12:22:27 am
4-2 on the weekend! I'll take it...

Utah St-Fresno St under 63 W
OU-Kansas under 71 W
AU +2 UF W
LSU -17 Tenn W
Hawaii-San Jose St over 58 L
Hawaii -6.5 San Jose St L
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 16, 2011, 12:44:33 am
Just played Arizona ST +14.5 for 1 unit.

Nice late night play! Oregon's up by 14 and State has the ball with under a minute left.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 16, 2011, 01:42:39 am
NFL picks anyone? I'm going with:

Patriots -7 Cowboys
New Orleans -6 Tampa Bay
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: agr347 on October 16, 2011, 06:37:07 am
I like:

Pittsburgh -13
New Orleans -5.5
Philadelphia -1.5
Oakland-7

Not sure which of those I will take, but that is what stands out to me when I look at it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 16, 2011, 10:37:44 am
Well finished yesterday +1 unit, but factor in the juice and came out a bit behind.  Sooners messed up what would have been a nice day.


Early action today
Steelers -12
Packers -14
Bills +3.5
Lions -4
Atlanta -4
Skins +3

Those were all 1 unit plays.

Also did a 4 team round robin that consists of 6 2 team parlays. Washington, Detroit, Houston, new Orleans.

Did 4 team round robin that is 4 3 team parlays steelers, redskins, falcons, texans.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 16, 2011, 12:36:48 pm
UNC -3....1*
I like UNC at home against a depleted Canes team. I know both of these teams are in disarray, but I feel UNC is holding it together better.

South Carolina -3....2*
I thin SC names their score against this pitiful Miss St D. Their O is getting just as bad. I'm looking for another Kentucky type day from SC.

BYU +3....2*
I really want to make this a 3*, but Im not because no matter how much of a read I think I have, Vegas always has a better one. I dont see anyway that BYU doesn't win by 10-14, but I'm going conservative here.

Mich St -3....2*
I can't believe I missed it at 2.5, that would have been s sure fire 3* winner. This may end up being just a push. I still love Mich ST. Maybe its because if Mich loses, then Arkansas is almost guaranteed a spot in the top 10 of the BCS standings coming out Sunday, but I'll go with blind homerism occasionally.

Georgia -11....1*
Riding the Georgia bus once again. I still think Vandy will go to a bowl game, but number 4 won't come against the Dawgs.
[/i]

Wow what a week. A safety for SC, I was completely off on North Carolina, and Vandy bit me in the ass with their last TD. 2-3 on the week.

2010-2011 record

21-13-0   Profit: $919  Bankroll: $1919

Both of the picks I won, I was leaning toward making them 3*'s. This could have been a really good week, instead, I ended up +less than .5 a unit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on October 16, 2011, 02:39:35 pm
Finished an aggressive week 6-4, with Bama and Oregon coming through late to finish in the black.  25-9 for the season. This week will be toned down a bit me thinks.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 16, 2011, 02:53:18 pm
Pats -7
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 16, 2011, 03:36:17 pm


Saints-6.2  for 2 units

Browns pats texans saints 4 team round robin. 6 2 team parlays and 4 3 tea era.

1 unit
Browns +6.5
Texans +8
Pats -6.5


I tried to post this earlier.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 16, 2011, 03:39:52 pm
Finished an aggressive week 6-4, with Bama and Oregon coming through late to finish in the black.  25-9 for the season. This week will be toned down a bit me thinks.

Do we have documentation on that 25-9. If there is I might look.  Does me no good if I can't look at those plays before the games.  I mean that's garbage.  If you are that solid why not share with others?  That's really pretty typical.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 16, 2011, 04:05:00 pm
I saw the pats at -6 while in church, but thought I'd have better karma if I waited to place the bet till afterwards. My conviction cost me a point!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 16, 2011, 06:03:25 pm
Okay  bears -3 dime play.  There you go.  10 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 16, 2011, 06:06:39 pm
Okay  bears -3 dime play.  There you go.  10 units.

About to lose my Pats and New Orleans picks, so I'm going to hop on this game too. I got Bears -3 and Over 41.5.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 16, 2011, 07:17:07 pm
Got the Bears also, but brought the 2.5 to 2.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on October 16, 2011, 09:42:35 pm
Do we have documentation on that 25-9. If there is I might look.  Does me no good if I can't look at those plays before the games.  I mean that's garbage.  If you are that solid why not share with others?  That's really pretty typical.

Best thing I can tell you is reread the thread. I usually put the lines that made my "final cut" here and I make those plays unless I say Im leaving it alone. I'll be the first to admit I am very conservative and disciplined in the plays I make because my goal is a 75% success rate each year. I also give myself an investment return dollar target each season. Once I hit that target, I'm done for the year.  Most folks don't like my style because its meticulous and I hold myself to a target. For me, and this week was a good example, getting agressive tends to yield more margin of error and less return. I just try to hit my target, even if it does mean controlling my return a bit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 16, 2011, 10:56:22 pm
6-4 on the weekend:

Pats -7 Cowboys L
Saints -6 Bucs L
Bears -3 Vikings W
Bears-Vikings over 41.5 W

Utah St-Fresno St under 63 W
OU-Kansas under 71 W
AU +2 UF W
LSU -17 Tenn W
Hawaii-San Jose St over 58 L
Hawaii -6.5 San Jose St L
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: weatherhawg on October 16, 2011, 11:46:41 pm
3-2 this weekend.  9-3 overall...

Really grateful (sarcasm) to S Carolina for taking that safety at the end of the game.  Helped me turn a push into a loss (Had SC covering -4)

S Carolina -4 Miss. State L
Auburn +2 over Florida W
SMU -3 over UCF W

Parlay:
Alabama -25.5 over Mississippi
Arizona State +15 over Oregon W

Parlay:
Purdue +12 over Penn State
Toledo -7.5 over Bowling Green
OU/KU over (73.5)
WMU/NIU over (69.5) L

I bet Arkansas (-16.5) but depending on line movement may try to middle...esp if the line moves to -20 or -21...

Also looking at Northwestern +4 over Penn State, Mizzou ML/SU over Oklahoma State, Michigan State ML over Wisconsin, Michigan State (+7) over Wisconsin, and Alabama (-28) over Tennessee

Could be some upsets this weekend...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: jkstock04 on October 17, 2011, 10:10:33 am
Conservative but decent weekend for me....I took A&M and Chicago Bears to cover...only 1 unit a piece though.  Bears probably should have bet it all that was a lock, but I only like to make bets like that when it's gonna be a tight game....makes it more interesting.  Why would you wanna bet a lot of money on the locks?  That would make it too easy. 

If everybody was smart we would just bet about 25 units every week on Bama ATS...and screw betting anything else.  But doing something like that....I just don't know you would make too much money, and it would be too easy....takes the fun out of it. 

May be a trap bet but I'm putting 1 unit on Jets tonight -7.  I hate the Jets but figure they cover here...at home on Monday night, and Henne is out for year.  Dolphins are awful. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 17, 2011, 07:16:05 pm
NYJ -7
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on October 18, 2011, 03:08:50 pm
I might take the Red Wolves thurs night.  -3
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: agr347 on October 18, 2011, 03:29:44 pm
I might take the Red Wolves thurs night.  -3

They play tonight.   You may have meant that, I just didn't want you to miss it.  I like the Wolves at home myself.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: swinemaster on October 18, 2011, 03:39:51 pm
I'm going with home underdogs this week.  I know the favorites are rolling this year, and I will probably take a bath, but that's what makes playing fun.

Home DOG weekend:

Michigan State +3   Win
Wazzou +21           Loss
Aubbie +2              Win

Parlay these three with:

Kansas +36            Win
Mississippi +28        Loss
Utah St. -3            Loss

Something's gotta change.  IT's been a rough year so far.

P.S. I'm going to bet whatever hogfanintx does next week if this doesn't work. ;)

I still suck. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 18, 2011, 07:04:50 pm
Can't believe I am saying it, but played arky st -3 and over 52 tonight
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 18, 2011, 07:08:03 pm
Swinemaster thanks but check my last weekend.  Almost a even split, but I did hit the big dime play on the bears sun night.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 18, 2011, 07:13:20 pm
I'm late, but I've got ASU on the ML.

Sorry for late post
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 18, 2011, 07:29:35 pm
It happens
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 18, 2011, 07:36:31 pm
AR ST not looking too hot in the early going.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: scottagee on October 18, 2011, 11:04:49 pm
How many points is Ole Miss going to score? We get a minimum of 38. 42-49 is very possible and 50+ is not out of the question. I had made a choice on this game last week. When I saw it open at 14.5 I bought the hook and loaded up.

So, how many? The answer, no more than 21.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: swinemaster on October 18, 2011, 11:49:10 pm
Swinemaster thanks but check my last weekend.  Almost a even split, but I did hit the big dime play on the bears sun night.

Yeah, I probably jinxed you.  I am "Schleprock".
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 19, 2011, 09:01:04 am
Well that horrible first half last night knocked me off the over.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on October 19, 2011, 02:35:21 pm
With LSU involved I am always scared they will end up with 15 starters suspended for doing something stupid the night before.

Your crystal ball was working well.  Good Call!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 19, 2011, 03:23:11 pm
Rangers -155 for the Series . . . money I hope to lose.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 19, 2011, 05:27:56 pm
So far this week Im looking at

Penn St -4 @ NW -4
Southern Cal +8.5 @ Notre Dame -8.5
Kansas St -11 @ Kansas +11
Ok St -6.5 @ Mizzou +6.5...I'm gonna lock this one in for 2* on Ok St.
Army +10.5 @ Vandy -10.5 (buy the hook to -10)
New Mexico +41 @ TCU -41....I'm gonna lock this one in for 1* New Mexico
Ga Tech +2.5 @ Miami (buy the hook up to 3)
Illinois -4 @ Purdue

Looks like I love the visitors this week.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: agr347 on October 19, 2011, 08:09:41 pm
I like:

Illinois -4
Mich St. +9.5

Not seeing a lot of others I like.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 20, 2011, 02:26:04 pm
Well for what it's worth I played ucla +4 for 1 unit.

Leaning toward central Florida tonight but waiting to see if line drops a bit more.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 20, 2011, 04:04:57 pm
Alright.  Not advising others to do it, but I played central Florida -15.5 fir 1 unit and played over 45.5 in the same game for 1 unit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 20, 2011, 06:11:15 pm
Small play on Zona tonight.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 20, 2011, 08:57:13 pm
Bruins playing some of the worst defense I have ever seen.  Making zona look like the Patriots!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 20, 2011, 09:48:26 pm
Well looks like a loss on central Florida and a win on the over for a split.

Unfortunately ucla should just not come out of the locker room for the second half.  Pitiful

Saturday couldn't get here soon enough.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: scottagee on October 21, 2011, 09:32:41 am
Some serious cases of no respect for once powerful teams. On the money line, Auburn +1050, Tennessee +3375. The flip side of the Tennessee game is worse. Bama -8000.

The two biggest money line favorites this week? Off the board at most places but still on enough to show up in the Vegas Insider consensus lines. TCU -94,500 and BYU -50,000.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 21, 2011, 01:14:32 pm
I can't find one college football pick for this weekend that I feel comfortable with... Guess I'll be sitting it out this weekend. Good luck to the rest of you.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 21, 2011, 01:15:34 pm
Tonight I played
 Rutgers +1.5 for 1 unit.
W VA -14 for 1 unit


I must be crazy but played over 41 on Rutgers and Louisville for 2 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 21, 2011, 01:18:42 pm
I can't find one college football pick for this weekend that I feel comfortable with... Guess I'll be sitting it out this weekend. Good luck to the rest of you.

Might wanna consider okie st - the points.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 21, 2011, 01:22:47 pm
Might wanna consider okie st - the points.

Are you saying I should bet the spread or the money line? I like OSU, but they're on the road against a decent Missouri team and have to win by more than a TD. If I had to bet it, I would definitely take OSU, but my gut is telling me to be conservative and just sit it out. Do you think OSU will roll?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on October 21, 2011, 03:10:18 pm
i took wvu to cover and Louisville -1.5 both for 1 unit
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 21, 2011, 03:26:22 pm
I think OSU will roll.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 21, 2011, 05:52:11 pm
I took the Rutgers over tonight.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on October 21, 2011, 07:59:57 pm
west virginia has no defense...they wont cover that spread if syracuse keeps chewing that clock with those long drive
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: justmakeit2thebcs on October 21, 2011, 08:14:18 pm
WF -3 over Duke
Ark -15 over Ole Piss
Wash +20.5 vs. Stanford
Aub +21 vs LSU
Neb -24.5 over Minn
AF +29.5 vs Boise St
Wash St -3 over Ore St
USC +8.5 vs ND
KSU -10.5 vs Kansas
OSU/Mizz over 69.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 22, 2011, 03:41:55 am
What an ugly night last night.  Just terrible by me.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 22, 2011, 07:35:57 am
Time to forget last night. Never happened and on to today.

1 unit Plays

Hogs -16
Illinois -3
Maryland +18
Oregon -31
Auburn +21

2 unit plays
Wake Forrest -3
K ST -10
Okie ST -7


Good luck everyone.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: weatherhawg on October 22, 2011, 08:11:12 am
My (novice) plays....

Arkansas (-17) over Ole Miss (Got the line at a bad time....lesson learned...hope this doesn't come back to bite me...)
Missouri +7 over Oklahoma State
Missouri ML over Oklahoma State
Kansas +10.5 over Kansas State
Kansas ML over Kansas State
Michigan State +7 over Wisconsin
Navy -12 over East Carolina (another line I got bad....missed -8.5 earlier in the week....)

Parlay:
Notre Dame -10, Alabama ML, LSU ML, Oklahoma ML

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: scottagee on October 22, 2011, 08:15:28 am
What does a money line parlay like that return? 3 of those teams are just huge favorites on a money line.

My (novice) plays....

Arkansas (-17) over Ole Miss (Got the line at a bad time....lesson learned...hope this doesn't come back to bite me...)
Missouri +7 over Oklahoma State
Missouri ML over Oklahoma State
Kansas +10.5 over Kansas State
Kansas ML over Kansas State
Michigan State +7 over Wisconsin

Notre Dame -10 over USC
Parlay:
Notre Dame ML, Alabama ML, LSU ML, Oklahoma ML
Navy -12 over East Carolina (another line I got bad....missed -8.5 earlier in the week....)

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on October 22, 2011, 08:42:56 am
early games... 6 point teaser... Arkansas -10 and OK State -1. later games GA Tech +2.5, Stanford -20, Wiscy -7 and Penn St. -4
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: weatherhawg on October 22, 2011, 08:47:05 am
My mistake....

Notre Dame ML should be Notre Dame (-10)...

Parlay:
Notre Dame -10, Alabama ML, LSU ML, Oklahoma ML

Pays ~1.2/1
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: iCalledThatHogBrotha! on October 22, 2011, 09:42:14 am
Heard our line dropped from -16 to -10 overnight?  What happened??  Somebody hurt or suspended?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 22, 2011, 10:08:08 am
Penn St -3.5....1* (bought down to -3)
Buy the hook though, always buy the hook.  Not too much went into this one, I just think that Penn St is 3 points better than NW.
Southern Cal +9.5....1* (buy that hook, you don't want to be on USC 21 ND 31)
I'm not too sure on this one, but I am still not sold on ND. Even though the trojans played ugly last week, this is one of their rivalry games and they always bring it.
Kansas St -10.5....2* (always buy the hook)
I just don't see KU having the firepower to stop this team. KSU has been playing good ball and Turner Gill's club isn't. I know its a huge rivalry, but the Wildcats take it home today, and it may get way uglier than the spread suggests.
Ok St -6.5....3*
I locked this in at 6.5 earlier in the week and I'm glad I did because it is up to 7 now and I would've had to buy the hook. Saved myself some money. I'm also upping it from 2* to 3*. I just don't think Mizzou can pull off the upset here.
Vandy -10.5....1* (buy the hook to -10)
I missed this line somewhere because it opened up at 8.5, but no big deal for Vandy, because I see this as another Ole Miss beatdown, and they are at home to boot. I may bump this up to a 2* later on today
New Mexico +41....1*
Normally I wouldn't touch New Mexico with a ten foot pole. but with playing a down TCU team, its gonna be hard to win by 41. This is one of those bets where I'm almost exclusively betting on pride. Not mine of course, but the team who is a 40+ point underdog.
Ga Tech +3....1*
I haven't had much luck betting against Miami this year, but I'm hoping this week, Ga Tech turns that around for me. I think they can handle the canes.
Illinois -3.5....3* (always buy the hook)
Last week, Ohio ST had just enough studs on defense to hold the Zookers down. Not this week, Purdue isn't a good football team and the Fightin Illini should take care of this game pretty easy, and the public is going against me which makes me even more happy with my pick here. Somehow, people have been dropping loads on Purdue, this line has moved from 6 all the way down to 3.5, and I love it.
[/i]

75% of my roll out there this week. I'm either gonna be really happy tonight, or really sad.

2010-2011 record

21-13-0 (62%)   Profit: $919  Bankroll: $1919


Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 22, 2011, 10:10:07 am
Heard our line dropped from -16 to -10 overnight?  What happened??  Somebody hurt or suspended?

I just checked my sites, and its up to 16.5 for me. If you can find out where that line is, please post it on here or PM me. I will sell everything I own to get on that line.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: iCalledThatHogBrotha! on October 22, 2011, 10:25:11 am
I just checked my sites, and its up to 16.5 for me. If you can find out where that line is, please post it on here or PM me. I will sell everything I own to get on that line.

Sorry I was wrong. -10 is the first half line.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 22, 2011, 10:37:32 am
Haven't played the Hogs straight since New Mexico. Not worried this week. Yikes, good thing I upped my Tech bet.

3 Unit Plays
Hogs -16 L
Texas Tech +30 W

2 Unit Plays
Akron +14.5   L
Ok State -6.5 W
Wake Forest -3 L

1 unit plays
Auburn +21  L
SMU +3 L
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 22, 2011, 10:50:18 am
3 team tease (I know, I know, forgive me hogfanintx) . . .

-1 okie lite
-10 UA
+28.5 Auburn
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 22, 2011, 10:56:39 am
3 team tease (I know, I know, forgive me hogfanintx) . . .

-1 okie lite
-10 UA
+28.5 Auburn



Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 22, 2011, 10:58:04 am
Hey Mckaddy nothing wrong with a teaser if you hit.

What is the payout on a 3 teamer.  Looks like you bet a good one.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 22, 2011, 12:19:26 pm
$20 to win $37.60....given that info, how would I better answer your question?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 22, 2011, 02:14:02 pm
Nebraska -25 1 unit

Georgia Tech +3 1 unit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 22, 2011, 02:26:06 pm
$20 to win $37.60....given that info, how would I better answer your question?

Answers it perfectly my man.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 22, 2011, 02:27:40 pm
Let's go get a TD, I need a couple more points.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 22, 2011, 02:52:19 pm
Whew, I had typed a message that posted, "thank God we won, but that nutt always finds a way to kick me in the sack" after that last TD to knock my -10 teaser off the table. THEN WE LOSE THE ONSIDE KICK!!!!

DELETE, DELETE, DELETE!!!!

Then we get the int, so NOW we win.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 22, 2011, 05:28:53 pm
Irish -9 for 2 units.

Ou -29 for 2 units

Mich st +7 for 2 units.

Washington +21 for 2 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 22, 2011, 06:03:59 pm
Bama -29 5 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 22, 2011, 11:58:46 pm
today showed exactly why I don't bet on the hogs. 5-3 record, but I was AMAZED by Illinois today, disappointed is more like it. I just dont get it at all. I'm still 0-fer betting on any Miami game, so I will be on alert with them from now on. I feel like I missed a lot of money on Vandy. I had a feeling, but didn't have the sack I guess.

2011-2012 record

26-16-0 (62%)   Profit: $1207  Bankroll: $2207
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 23, 2011, 01:01:53 pm
Didn't get on here early enough to post my morning NFL

I played the steelers - for 5 units this afternoon though.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hoggy1 on October 23, 2011, 01:38:34 pm
Irish -9 for 2 units.

Ou -29 for 2 units

Mich st +7 for 2 units.

Washington +21 for 2 units.
Didn't get on here early enough to post my morning NFL

I played the steelers - for 5 units this afternoon though.

Trying to do a little catching up are we?

I feel your pain somewhat.  I went 1-5 yesterday, at 1 unit a game and 1 parlay.

Cowboys -13
Packers -10 1/2
Bears -1
Broncos + 1/2
Ravens -8
Chargers - 2 1/2

for today
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: weatherhawg on October 23, 2011, 02:45:13 pm
Terrible weekend for me...figured there'd be more upsets but I just picked the wrong ones...  1-6 this weekend.  Ouch...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 24, 2011, 08:49:49 am
Well played new Orleans for two units so yay, but like the jack wagon I am I also played the under for 2 units.  Knew new Orleans would score alot and Indy not much. Had no thought of the saints scoring friggin 62
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 24, 2011, 10:57:20 am
Terrible weekend . . . . I only got my UA-Aubie-okie lite teaser posted on here (a loss), but went 1-3 in total.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 24, 2011, 07:44:50 pm
Played the ravens -9.5 for 2

Over 38 for 2
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 24, 2011, 07:45:47 pm
I parlayed the over with Cardinals, so we'll see how that goes.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on October 24, 2011, 10:14:11 pm
played the jags on the money line and its gonna quadruple my bet if they hold on
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 25, 2011, 06:56:46 am
Stink stank stunk!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 27, 2011, 03:36:57 pm
Well this thread has lost a lot of steam.  Hate to see that. Generally means people are struggling.  I had a rough last week and time for this one.

Tonight.

Canes -13.5  for 2 units
Over 47.5 in same game fir 2 units
Houston -27.5 for 2 units
Under 78 in that one for 3 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 27, 2011, 05:11:43 pm
I sat out last week b/c none of the lines were appealing.

I have Ark -10 Vandy (buy half a point) this weekend though.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Mr. Hog Jangles on October 27, 2011, 05:50:29 pm
I got killed last week. Luckily Stanford came through for me in the late game...

I parlayed Miami -14.5 with the over 48  3 units

hopefully this week is a little nicer than the last few
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: swinemaster on October 28, 2011, 12:54:00 am
Well this thread has lost a lot of steam.  Hate to see that. Generally means people are struggling.  I had a rough last week and time for this one.

Tonight.

Canes -13.5  for 2 units
Over 47.5 in same game fir 2 units
Houston -27.5 for 2 units
Under 78 in that one for 3 units.

Who do you like on Saturday?  I'm leaving for Vegas in the morning.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 28, 2011, 09:28:03 am
I really like the hogs -9 and I live VA Tech -14 at duke.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 28, 2011, 09:29:28 am
I sat out last week b/c none of the lines were appealing.

I have Ark -10 Vandy (buy half a point) this weekend though.

Line is now down to Ark -10, -9 on some places I'm hearing. What do yall think about the Ark-Vandy game?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on October 28, 2011, 09:30:40 am
I really like the hogs -9 and I live VA Tech -14 at duke.

Nice, answered my question right before I asked it. I like hogs too. I can see us winning by 7-20 points, most likely 14-17 points.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 28, 2011, 11:42:05 am
Havent had much time this week with an 8 page philosophy paper due, but here are the games I like this weekend. For me anyway, this has to be one of the weakest weeks in recent memory, no 3* picks at all.

Clemson -3.5 @ Ga Tech....1*
Georgia -2.5 v Florida....1*
Oklahoma -13.5....2*
Stanford -8....1*
South Carolina -3.5....1*
Washington -4.5....1*

2011-2012 record

26-16-0 (62%)   Profit: $1207  Bankroll: $2207
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on October 28, 2011, 03:39:28 pm
I may be dumb as hades   But I put a unit on over 8 runs tonight. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Razorback4 on October 28, 2011, 03:51:53 pm
Hey all. New to sports betting (investing) and trying to get into it lol. Anyone suggest any particular sites?  ;D
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 28, 2011, 04:11:54 pm
I may be dumb as hades   But I put a unit on over 8 runs tonight. 


May depend on how many players play tight tonight, with their stomachs in their throats. If its the pitchers that are tight instead of the bats, then you could hit a homer yourself.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on October 28, 2011, 04:37:04 pm
Hey all. New to sports betting (investing) and trying to get into it lol. Anyone suggest any particular sites?  ;D
i just started 3wks ago and im on bodog, no complaints so far
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on October 28, 2011, 04:42:23 pm
Hey all. New to sports betting (investing) and trying to get into it lol. Anyone suggest any particular sites?  ;D
oh and btw if you refer me i get 10% hint hint :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: tiber on October 28, 2011, 04:51:19 pm
The Razorbacks have already lost more games against the spread this year than they did all of last year. 
Alabama has only lost one game this year ATS... against North Texas. 

If you put a set amount on us every game last year ATS, you made out great. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 28, 2011, 05:04:18 pm
I may be dumb as hades   But I put a unit on over 8 runs tonight. 



Nothing wrong with that bet.  Real question is how will carpenter do on 3 days rest.  Sometimes a pitcher does better.  With the arm not being quite as live their breaking stuff can be sharper.  Sometimes it goes horribly wrong.  Who knows.  Good luck though.  Hope you hit it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on October 28, 2011, 05:04:55 pm
i think this week is different, since alabama we have been scored on first by EVERY TEAM.  I think this week we come out strong early and put pressure on vandy to throw, i put 4units on ark -10. Vandys O shouldnt put up more than 20 on us...well they shouldnt anyways
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 28, 2011, 05:06:44 pm
Played BYU +13.5 tonight and over 57 for 1 unit each.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hoggy1 on October 28, 2011, 05:21:11 pm
BYU +14
Saints -14
Steelers +3
Michigan State +4
Cal -5
Texans -10
Georgia Tech +4
Auburn -10 1/2
Wisconsin -7

All for a unit each.

Texans, Saints, Steelers and Chargers -4 for a unit too.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on October 28, 2011, 05:29:11 pm
Played
UVA +14
Ark -10
USC-E -4
Wisc -7.5
Side not Mirko "cro cop" money line at +240 <--feel good about that one
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dickdoc on October 28, 2011, 08:30:42 pm
Ark -10 4*
Wisconsin -8 1/2 4*
OU - 13 1/2 2*
Georgia -3 2*
upset special USC over Stanford on the money line ( 100 gets 250)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 29, 2011, 08:05:57 am
So far today.

Hogs -9. 3 units
VA tech -14 for 3 units

Oklahoma -13.5. For 1 unit
Nebraska -4 for 1 unit
West Virginia -6.5 for one unit

Looking at several late games.  I know I am on Wisconsin tonight just haven't decided how heave.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 29, 2011, 08:54:27 am
VaTech -15
UA -9

Not really copying you hogfan, ha/ha, but it sure looks like it. I like OU as well, but have a kid's game to go to now.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on October 29, 2011, 09:03:02 am
nobody is liking iowa at -15 at minnesota?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on October 29, 2011, 09:18:07 am
whole day today...
***2 Team Teaser: 1. Arkansas -3.0 2. Michigan State +10.0 *** 2 units
Arkansas -9.0   3 units
Iowa -15.0   2 units
Oklahoma State -14.0    3 units
Stanford -7.5    3 units
Wisconsin -7.5   2 units



*edit...might add ga tech in there with the points. almost think they outright win.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 29, 2011, 09:18:23 am
nobody is liking iowa at -15 at minnesota?

I plan on betting that one, but want 1 final look when I get back home.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on October 29, 2011, 09:22:55 am
I plan on betting that one, but want 1 final look when I get back home.

http://www.greymatterstats.com/PrintGame_NCAAF.aspx (http://www.greymatterstats.com/PrintGame_NCAAF.aspx) has it at 33-17 iowa. that site is pretty good at predictions. i use it to confirm/deny what i'm thinking.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 29, 2011, 09:28:01 am
OU -13
PSU -5.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 29, 2011, 09:28:56 am
http://www.greymatterstats.com/PrintGame_NCAAF.aspx (http://www.greymatterstats.com/PrintGame_NCAAF.aspx) has it at 33-17 iowa. that site is pretty good at predictions. i use it to confirm/deny what i'm thinking.

Thx
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 29, 2011, 10:10:19 am
Played Penn st -5 for 1

Under 39 in that one for 1 as well.  Great snow game
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: weatherhawg on October 29, 2011, 10:30:01 am
Lots of plays this week.  I think I might be playing too many.  But here goes.....

Illinois at Penn State under 39 (Think the snow will have an effect here...)
Ole Miss at Auburn over 51
Kansas +28 over Texas
Notre Dame -23 over Navy
Florida +3 over Georgia
USC +7 over Stanford
West Virginia at Rutgers under 49.5 (Heavy cold rain will hamper the game here...)

Also did a crazy 9 game parlay (risk $10 to win $3434.91)
Central Michigan/Akron over 51
Iowa -15.5 over Minnesota
Kansas/Texas over 64.5
Bowling Green -3.5 over Kent State
Air Force/New Mexico over 63
East Carolina -16.5 over Tulane
Missouri/Texas A&M over 63.5
Florida +2.5 over Georgia
Hawaii -7 over Idaho

1-7 Last week....9-8 on the season.  Still a novice but hoping to redeem myself a bit this week....

GL everyone!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 29, 2011, 11:17:00 am
I hate betting the Hog games and did lose on it last week, but really think this is a good line for us.

3 Dime
Wisconsin -7.5

2 Dime
Ark -9.5 L
OU -13.5W

1 Dime
USC +7.5 L
NWest -9 W
Tulsa Over L
ASU -31 W
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 29, 2011, 02:20:17 pm
No Brantley for UF....so I'll add UGA -3

Brantley wasn't out there for warm-ups, now he starts  }-(
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 29, 2011, 08:27:33 pm
2-3 today (sigh)

I'm glad I stayed off the Iowa game, but on the other hand I had been talking down TT to a buddy of mine this week, but didn't pull the trigger.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 30, 2011, 09:58:27 am
Ravens -12.5
Saints -14
Cowboys +3
Giants -10
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hoggy1 on October 30, 2011, 11:56:13 am
I hate betting the Hog games and did lose on it last week, but really think this is a good line for us.

3 Dime
Wisconsin -7.5

2 Dime
Ark -9.5 L
OU -13.5

1 Dime
USC +7.5
NWest -9 W
Tulsa Over
ASU -31


Man that USC game was a real screw ball. I feel for the USC bettors.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on October 30, 2011, 12:35:40 pm
Man that USC game was a real screw ball. I feel for the USC bettors.

That was so ridiculous. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: weatherhawg on October 30, 2011, 12:52:43 pm
Illinois at Penn State under 39 W
Ole Miss at Auburn over 51 W
Kansas +28 over Texas L
Notre Dame -23 over Navy W
Florida +3 over Georgia L
USC +7 over Stanford L (sigh)
West Virginia at Rutgers under 49.5 L

Also did a crazy 9 game parlay (risk $10 to win $3434.91) L
Central Michigan/Akron over 51
Iowa -15.5 over Minnesota
Kansas/Texas over 64.5
Bowling Green -3.5 over Kent State
Air Force/New Mexico over 63
East Carolina -16.5 over Tulane
Missouri/Texas A&M over 63.5
Florida +2.5 over Georgia
Hawaii -7 over Idaho

3-5 on the week....  12-13 on the season...   :-\
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on October 30, 2011, 06:43:06 pm
Dallas +3
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on October 30, 2011, 06:50:11 pm
Dallas +3

Man I really like that one too,  I have had a rough weekend, just hit Detroit -4, for a big un thinkin of letting it ride on the cowboys. 

Philly is 0-2 at home, Dallas has played well on the road against Jets, Patriots, and San Fran, 3 really good teams. 

Philly has beaten a bad STL and not much better Washington. 

Only thing that scares me is Philly is comin off bye. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: michaelfroms on October 30, 2011, 08:19:59 pm
 The majority of you posters aren't investing, you're gambling, and very poorly by the looks of it.. I'm going to do you guy's a favor and give some free advice.. Bet fewer games for more money.. I also recommend betting the same amount of money on all wagers.. This should limit your plays while at the same giving relevance to your win percentage.. MFS
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 30, 2011, 11:08:08 pm
4-1-1 on the day yesterday, not to bad. Almost 4-2. Man did Clemson get rocked. Funny how most teams play above their heads when a top 10 team comes to town.

2011-2012 record

30-17-1 (63%)   Profit: $1636 (164% ROI) Bankroll: $2636

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 31, 2011, 05:59:49 am
My bankroll ballooned yesterday! !

/sarcasm
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on November 03, 2011, 11:45:54 am
There are actually a few good games to make some $$$ on now that the lines have made their mid-week shift. Shouldn't be too much variance between now and kickoff unless a suspension or injury happens.

OU -13.5....2*
Bobby Stoops isn't going to let up on the gas pedal on anyone the rest of the year. Unfortunately for our SOS, OU will prove why Texas A&M was overrated when we played them.

Vandy +14....1*
Normally, I wouldn't touch Vandy in the Swamp with less than 21 pts on the line. This aint your daddy's Vandy....or Florida for that matter. I really like Franklin, and the energy he has brought to this team, and I think they take another step towards bowl eligibility.

UTEP +1....1*
Rice is horrible. UTEP is the step above horrible. This started out at UTEP -1.5 and I liked that line, so this is a no brainer.

Mizzou +2.5....1*
No rhyme or reason, I just like Mizzou here. Probably going to get it handed to me, but going with my gut.

Houston -28....2*
Normally, I try to stay away from games with a spread in this range, because you never know how the other team is going to react to being such a huge underdog. They could lay down and cower, or come out with a vengeance and keep it under 20. The reason I am taking this one, is that Houston knows that they have to go undefeated and blow people out by HUGE margins from here on out to even have a chance to SNIFF the BCS. I don't see them slowing down for a bumb in the road like UAB.

and my "out-there" pick this week is...
LSU vs Alabama over 41.5....2*
These defenses are good, good enough to score 14-21 points themselves, each. Throw in a touchdown for each team, or a couple of field goals and you are above 42. I see this game being a 3-7 point game just like Vegas.

Good luck to all, hope your bankroll gets so big this weekend, you have to get another one to hold it all....
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on November 03, 2011, 08:26:35 pm
Hockey tonight play the Pens on the road. Trust me on this.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on November 03, 2011, 09:31:24 pm
Hockey tonight play the Pens on the road. Trust me on this.

Have never bet hockey before, so why not now? I'm in.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on November 03, 2011, 10:10:48 pm
Have never bet hockey before, so why not now? I'm in.

Lol, me too, but as I was doing it, I thought maybe I should slow down. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on November 03, 2011, 10:18:18 pm
What you guys like on Sunday?

I am thinking:

Atlanta -7 1/2 vs. Indy

Tampa +9 1/2 vs. New Orleans

Kansas CIty -4 1/2 over Miami

Buffalo -2 over Jets


Thoughts?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on November 03, 2011, 10:21:26 pm
Lol, me too, but as I was doing it, I thought maybe I should slow down. 

Lol, +1.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on November 05, 2011, 08:53:28 am
Hogs money line. 5*
Vandy over 14 for the game *2
LSU +5  *2
Iowa St -14 1/2
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on November 05, 2011, 09:27:34 am
LSU+ 3 units.

Okie st - for 3 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on November 05, 2011, 11:15:46 am
3 Units
Bama -4.5

2 Units
Ou -13.5
UCLA +9

1 Unit
Houston -28
Iowa +4.5
Wash +17.5
TN -22

6-1 with the miss on my top play...I'll take it
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on November 05, 2011, 11:25:34 am
Vandy +13
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hoggy1 on November 05, 2011, 11:29:09 am
WVU -14
Mich State -28
Rutgers +3
Bama- moneyline
Cowboys -12
Atlanta -7
Bengals +3
Saints -8 1/2
49ers -3
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: TN HOG on November 05, 2011, 05:53:34 pm
Ark 4*
Ok St 2*
Miss St 1.5*
Tn 1*

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on November 10, 2011, 10:53:14 pm
Arkansas -5 1/2 W +5units
Arizona Cards -1 W +1unit
Chicago Bears +8 W +1unit
Northern Illinois -6 W +2 units
Arizona Wildcats -9 1/2 L -1unit
Florida Panthers W +1unit
Ohio Bobcats -6 W +1unit
Oakland +7 1/2 W +1unit
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on November 11, 2011, 11:15:04 am
Taking Auburn +11
Ok state -18
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on November 11, 2011, 05:15:23 pm
Made a couple of dumb mistakes this past week and it cost me. I don't know what I was doing when I didn't post buying the hook on the Mizzou game, and LSU v Bama total was WAY OFF!!! Still made out a winner because of my 2* picks, but not as big of one as I should have been.

2011-2012
Picks:33-20-1 (61%)  Profit:$1716 (172% ROI)  Bankroll: $2716

Now on to this week. Nothing really too strong left for me this week, because I missed the Houston game yesterday.


UNLV -7....1*
Southern Miss -9....1* (hope I'm not late to the party)
Ole Miss +2....2* (Nutt's last stand)
UAB -5....1* (Memphis is horrible)
Illinois -1....2*
Vandy -13....2*
Kansas St +5.5....1* (BUY THE HOOK)
tcu +16....1*
West Virginia +3.5....2* (again, BUY THE HOOK)
UGA -12....1*

Another big week with 70% of my bankroll out there....lets hope it goes good for everyone.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on November 11, 2011, 06:18:10 pm
Just did a little figuring and my 2* picks are where it's at this year...so far I'm

5-4 on my 3* picks
13-2 on my 2* picks
15-14-1 on my 1* picks

I may not even have a 5 star pick for the rest of the season. I can't believe I missed the GA v Tenn game and Ole Miss v Fresno St as my 5* locks.

This thread is getting dead, has everyone lost their money???  lol
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dickdoc on November 11, 2011, 09:11:16 pm
I parlayed Arkansas, Biose st. And Bama. Bet Hogs straight up and feel they may be best bet of weekend . Really like Texas but can't figure out why the spread is only 2 1/2. Trap game? Laid off the Stanford/Oregon game but like Oregon. Got my bankroll restored on the Hogs last weekend and expect more of the same this weekend.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on November 12, 2011, 08:47:08 am
whole day...
***3 Team Teaser:
1. Auburn +23.5
2. Mississippi St +27.0
3. Stanford +6.5
***
***2 Team Parlay:
1. Auburn +13.0
2. Arkansas -13.5
***
***3 Team Parlay:
1. Auburn +13.0
2. Stanford -3.5
3. Arkansas -13.5
***
Nebraska -3.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on November 12, 2011, 09:09:33 am
whole day...
***3 Team Teaser:
1. Auburn +23.5
2. Mississippi St +27.0
3. Stanford +6.5
***
***2 Team Parlay:
1. Auburn +13.0
2. Arkansas -13.5
***
***3 Team Parlay:
1. Auburn +13.0
2. Stanford -3.5
3. Arkansas -13.5
***
Nebraska -3.5

I noticed auburn is in 3 bets, is there something u see, or just your gut feeling? I'm all over Georgia in this one.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on November 12, 2011, 09:59:31 am
Auburn +12.5. 3 units
Oregon +3 for 3 units
Tcu+15.5. 3 units
Virginia -10 5 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on November 12, 2011, 10:58:28 am
2 Units
Oregon +3
Texas -2
Ole Miss ML

1 Unit
Hogs -16.5
Bama -18
Illinois PK
Iowa +3
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on November 14, 2011, 09:27:39 pm
Well, went 6-4 so I made a little scratch, and learned some things this week.
I was late to the Southern Miss party;
I’ll probably take LSU and MSU minus the points against Ole Miss, no matter what they are, that team is somewhere else;
Really UNLV? I mean AYSM? New Mexico was WINLESS, lame;
Illinois keeps on letting me down;

2011-2012
Picks:39-24-1 (61%) Profit:$1908 (191% ROI) Bankroll: $2908

1* - 18-17-1
2* - 15-4
3* - 5-4

On to this week. Here is what I am looking at, will finalize at the end of the week.

Boise St -18….1*
Boise St is pissed, but they didn’t even fall out of the top 10, so they still have a chance to get in if Houston gets beat (see below on what I think of that). I think they curbstomp SD St. by at least 3 TD’s.

Miami -1.5….?
I love Miami here vs. USF, but I’ve been off on my read of Miami almost every week, so I may just lay off this, there are ones I feel much better about.

Houston -19.5….2*
SMU is hopeless here. I know every one will say “But SMU played some good games earlier”. Case Keenum threw for 9 TD’s in a game. They know they are in the drivers seat on the ride to the BCS for all Non AQ schools, and they wont slow down the pace. They know they have to look like they are truly a dominating football team so they can go to the Fiesta Bowl and get mudholed. I’d bite on this one all the way up to 21, as I would think that would be a push at the worst.

KSU +9.5….1*
I just think that KSU is gonna be able to go into Austin and handle a weak Texas team. I really like their he’s-really-old-but-he’s-the-only-one-who-can-win-here-so-we’ve-hired-him-again coach. For whatever reason he can work magic up there in the middle of nowhere.

LSU -29….?
The Ole Miss team has officially let go of the rope. They’re done and just waiting to see who their next coach is going to be. They don’t give a crap about Nutt and his ”win these last 2 for me” speeches. I just don’t know if Ole Les will run it up on’em.

Vandy -1.5….2*
I’m gonna keep on riding the Vandy train as long as they keep handing out money to get on. Tennessee is a bad team without Bray, and Vandy is an energized team with a chance to gain bowl eligibility on their rival’s turf. They won’t waste this chance.
 
Va Tech -10.5….1*
Sr night in Blacksburg, a reeling UNC team supposedly on the way to hiring the once popular OC at Auburn to try and right their ship. I see Va Tech running all over them in a 17-24 pt win.

The ones I weighted already may go up by Thursday, but they won’t go down. Looking forward to a big week.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on November 19, 2011, 10:16:35 am
So far today I have played

Wisconsin -14 for 3 units

Nebraska +3.5 for 2 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on November 19, 2011, 10:58:57 am
Taking out the LSU and Miami games. Adding Nebraska -4....2*

Good luck
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on November 19, 2011, 11:03:35 am
Took NEB on the moneyline for 1 unit, imma wait after that one to find some other games, i dont like any of the early games
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on November 19, 2011, 11:35:51 am
Taking out the LSU and Miami games. Adding Nebraska -4....2*

Good luck



Will I am hoping you got Nebraska +4 and not minus.  Assuming thats a typo.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on November 20, 2011, 01:44:29 pm

Will I am hoping you got Nebraska +4 and not minus.  Assuming thats a typo.

Yeah, haha, typo but it didn't even matter. Can't believe that game went down like it did.

Also can't believe that the 2 games I kicked out, both came through. And Illinois won the week I quit betting them. Amazing.

Came out 3-3 on the week, but down $217. Next 2 weeks and bowl season are all I have left to make this a very profitable year.

2011-2012
Picks:42-27-1 (60%) Profit:$1691 (169% ROI) Bankroll: $2691

1* - 20-11-1
2* - 16-6
3* - 5-4

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on November 22, 2011, 12:40:30 pm
First of the year, 5* stone cold lock. Houston -3 over Tulsa


or as I heard on the gambling show on 103.7 on saturday mornings, its my "billion star lock of the year"
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on November 24, 2011, 04:29:09 pm
I like aggies big tonight. Dime play.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on November 24, 2011, 10:41:10 pm
Adding:

Bowling Green +2.5....1*

West Virginia -6.5....1*

Georgia -6....2*

Vandy -1.5....1*

Stanford -7....2*


along with my 5* Houston lock, that is 85% of my bankroll out there, and I may find a couple more to put it all out there to try and double up before bowl season.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on November 26, 2011, 04:32:39 pm
Adding:

Bowling Green +2.5....1*

West Virginia -6.5....1*

Georgia -6....2*

Vandy -1.5....1*

Stanford -7....2*


along with my 5* Houston lock, that is 85% of my bankroll out there, and I may find a couple more to put it all out there to try and double up before bowl season.

4-1 with Stanford left to play, Houston was free money, hope you got some of it.

2011-2012
Picks:46-28-1 (61%) Profit:$3427 (343% ROI) Bankroll: $4427

1* - 22-12-1
2* - 17-6
3* - 5-4
5* - 1-0
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on November 27, 2011, 11:11:03 am
I don't have the reputation as Will Clinton but,

Carolina -3 1/2 today vs. Indy. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on December 03, 2011, 01:08:16 pm
I like Iowa st early today.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on December 03, 2011, 02:04:43 pm
T-sips +3
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on December 08, 2011, 06:27:46 pm
4-1 with Stanford left to play, Houston was free money, hope you got some of it.

2011-2012
Picks:46-28-1 (61%) Profit:$3427 (343% ROI) Bankroll: $4427

1* - 22-12-1
2* - 17-6
3* - 5-4
5* - 1-0

Wanted to post the final update for the regular season. I will do more for the bowls after they are confirmed.

Final Season Numbers:

47-28-1 (62%) Profit: $3696 (397% ROI) Bankroll: $4696

1* - 22-12-1
2* - 18-6
3* - 5-4
5* - 1-0
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on December 09, 2011, 09:43:38 am
Nice season will.  I had a nice one also but haven't played much the past few weeks.  I had one terrible week and followed it up with another losing week.  That was the indicator for me to leave it alone.  Luckily been at it long enough to know when it's simply not going my way.  I will gear back up for bowl games and NFL playoffs.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on January 02, 2012, 10:32:32 am
Hey guys wanted to see what everyone liked today. 

I am on Georgia and Ok St giving the points. 

Kind of like Houston -7 as well but haven't pulled the trigger on that one yet. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on January 02, 2012, 10:55:13 am
I've got

-- UH -7, w/ psu's starting QB out

-- okie st -4.5

-- a teaser w/ MSU +9 & SC +3

-- a teaser on the "over" b/t okie st/Stan & Ore/Wisc...bringing them down to 68 & 65.5 respectively.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on January 02, 2012, 05:53:44 pm
Nice season will.  I had a nice one also but haven't played much the past few weeks.  I had one terrible week and followed it up with another losing week.  That was the indicator for me to leave it alone.  Luckily been at it long enough to know when it's simply not going my way.  I will gear back up for bowl games and NFL playoffs.

Thanks, let's just hope I can string together a couple like that. I never got excited about any of the lines I saw for any of the bowls, so I just didn't bet any of them. And its a good thing as I've lost the only 2 I was pretty confident about.

I will say that I like Bama in the NC game. First, it's going to be hard as hell to beat Saban 3 times in a row, much less 2 times in the same year.  LSU's offense may not get a first down till sometime in the late 2nd qtr. I'm sure that every waking minute of practice for the kickers have been spent trying to remedy the mistakes of the last game, but I don't think FG are going to decide this game. LSU is going to have a tough defense also, but the veterans for Bama do more than the youngsters of LSU.

See ya next year, same bat time, same bat channel.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ur on January 07, 2012, 06:07:37 pm
Last two bowl games. I am liking the over with Godaddy (65) and the under with Nat champ (40). What do you guys think?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on January 08, 2012, 04:56:18 pm
Last two bowl games. I am liking the over with Godaddy (65) and the under with Nat champ (40). What do you guys think?

I like the over in the national championship a lot. Godaddy no clue, but I'm leaning N. Illinois.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ur on January 08, 2012, 09:05:09 pm
I like the over in the national championship a lot. Godaddy no clue, but I'm leaning N. Illinois.
I hate betting the under. In fact, if I don't think it will be an over I usually don't bet on the game. Things that make me think it might be under. Previous game score, one month layoff, OC for Bama is splitting time as HC at Col. State, only two teams have scored more than 20 points on LSU, only one team has scored more than 20 on bama. Now watch it be a shootout. :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on January 22, 2012, 10:56:33 am
Well had to get some down for today. Chance of making a great year a spectacular one.

Giants +1.5 3 units
Ravens +7 for 3 units.

3 unit two team parlay the same way.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jon Ham on January 22, 2012, 10:59:22 am
I like the over for both games today.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on January 22, 2012, 11:01:55 am
I like the over for both games today.


I can't bring myself to bet totals today. Frigid in Foxboro and slop in SF
If I had to bet it I would go the same way you are mainly because I hate the under.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Porked Tongue on January 22, 2012, 05:37:59 pm
Love the 41 over in the SF/NYG game.  Best play of the weekend.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on January 22, 2012, 05:46:57 pm
Love the 41 over in the SF/NYG game.  Best play of the weekend.

Eh again I hate totals. Actually like the under there but won't bet it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Porked Tongue on January 22, 2012, 05:50:02 pm
I can see DEF/ST scoring.  But no doubt totals can be rough.  I'd also take NYG if was playing today.

I figure NE is going to be the Super Bowl favorite around 3 regardless of the opponent.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on February 05, 2012, 09:31:40 am
Well conf champ weekend was great to me.  Hit both for 3 units each plus the two team parlay for three units the same way. +13.5 units for the weekend.

Gonna try and do it again today.

G-men +3 for three units.

Under 54 for 3 units and a two teamer the same way for 3.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on February 05, 2012, 11:31:42 pm
Well conf champ weekend was great to me.  Hit both for 3 units each plus the two team parlay for three units the same way. +13.5 units for the weekend.

Gonna try and do it again today.

G-men +3 for three units.

Under 54 for 3 units and a two teamer the same way for 3.

Good Lord Man!! You couldn't have been more perfect the past 2 weeks. I should have tailed you. Looking forward to next Sept.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on February 06, 2012, 06:19:45 am
Good Lord Man!! You couldn't have been more perfect the past 2 weeks. I should have tailed you. Looking forward to next Sept.

Thanks man. Great finish to the season.  I will play a little on the bases, but otherwise really looking forward to next sept as well.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on August 22, 2012, 08:46:39 pm
Come on Will Clinton give me some pics bub, actually kind of forgot how spot on Hogfanintx was at the end of the year. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on August 22, 2012, 09:05:01 pm
i dont want this thread to get buried.  im ready for sum picks next week.  spreads come out monday next week?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 22, 2012, 09:32:41 pm
Well guys it is that time again.  I am fired up for the season.   Great year last year, and expecting an even better one this year.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 22, 2012, 09:39:41 pm
WOOOOO PIGGGGGGG SOOOOIIIIIEEEEEE

This is how I know it's almost time for the season.

I was wondering if it was worth it for a new thread. I'd like to be able to keep up with everyone's record, but when I went back through this thread, after like 3 pages I was spending more time seeing if the picks were posted before the game, or just to gloat after the win.

I will have picks for week 1 up by Wednesday of next week. Taking 20 hours this semester, working 40 hours a week and trying to have some semblance of a life outside of that will make it hard, but I will give it my best shot.

Come on Will Clinton give me some pics bub, actually kind of forgot how spot on Hogfanintx was at the end of the year. 

I honestly don't think I've seen anyone on a better run than he finished football on last year.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 22, 2012, 09:50:19 pm
I couldn't help myself....so here you go


All of these are leans, not picks. I am also looking at some games because of line movements.

USCe -7 @ Vandy
Tulsa -1 @ Iowa St (this may move to a pick'em or even Tulsa +1)
Miami +1 @ BC (this line began at UM -2.5 and moved to BC -1 even with 88% of the bets coming in on UM)
Clemson -3 @ Auburn
Oklahoma -31 @ UTEP (Stoops isn't one for playing nice, they should have this covered by halftime.)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: HoneyNuttPetrinoos on August 22, 2012, 11:01:14 pm
Auburn +3. Clem has key players susp
Navy +17 Rees n starting lb out for ND
NC State +3.5. Glennon should dominate tenn secondary

Just leans not picks.


Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 22, 2012, 11:21:26 pm
Auburn +3. Clem has key players susp
Navy +17 Rees n starting lb out for ND
NC State +3.5. Glennon should dominate tenn secondary

Just leans not picks.




I like the Navy lean, it caught my eye earlier.

I just don't think, with no QB situated, average at best skill players on both sides of the ball (yes I know about lugenhocker) that Auburn can hang with Clemson. Sammy Watkins is good, but I still think that Clemson offense hums along without him. Tahj Boyd isn't a slouch.

I just plain don't like the Tennessee game. Started out at Tenn -7, and is now Tenn - 3.5 or maybe 4.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 23, 2012, 06:52:45 am
I will post some picks next week.  Gonna finish my preseason studying this week evaluating some of the west coast squads.  Will finish my prep work with a final check on who is suspended where and for how long. For whatever reason it seems like this last weekend before the start a lot of arrests are made. Dunno if that's true it just seems that way.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: HoneyNuttPetrinoos on August 23, 2012, 12:16:14 pm
I like the Navy lean, it caught my eye earlier.

I just don't think, with no QB situated, average at best skill players on both sides of the ball (yes I know about lugenhocker) that Auburn can hang with Clemson. Sammy Watkins is good, but I still think that Clemson offense hums along without him. Tahj Boyd isn't a slouch.

I just plain don't like the Tennessee game. Started out at Tenn -7, and is now Tenn - 3.5 or maybe 4.

i like nc state b/c well tenn is just tenn..  nc st at home will be fired up and they have a talented rb also who gets no attention..  Tenn not sure Bray is the answer at qb..  they have problems that need to be addressed and not sure if it will in week 1..  I'm gonna watch the line some more but i'm not touching under a fg..
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on August 23, 2012, 03:26:06 pm
i like oklahoma -31
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: tconey1 on August 23, 2012, 03:35:51 pm
What sites do you guys use? I need to find a new one.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 23, 2012, 04:27:44 pm
i like nc state b/c well tenn is just tenn..  nc st at home will be fired up and they have a talented rb also who gets no attention..  Tenn not sure Bray is the answer at qb..  they have problems that need to be addressed and not sure if it will in week 1..  I'm gonna watch the line some more but i'm not touching under a fg..

With Da'Rick out now, it may be a good line to snatch up. I can't believe it's still at Tenn -4. I suppose this one will move now.

What sites do you guys use? I need to find a new one.

I'll send you a pm. Lanny doesn't want betting sites posted on the forums.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 23, 2012, 07:13:30 pm
I use a combo local guy for payouts and collects, but place everything with him online.  I also now have a tie in in Vegas so that I can go direct.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: LGHOG on August 23, 2012, 08:49:48 pm
With Da'Rick out now, it may be a good line to snatch up. I can't believe it's still at Tenn -4. I suppose this one will move now.

I'll send you a pm. Lanny doesn't want betting sites posted on the forums.


Will...will you PM me also with some sites? Thanks.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 24, 2012, 01:12:45 am
PM's sent.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: arkfanchip on August 24, 2012, 08:44:33 am
could you send me a PM also of sites that allow mastercard?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 24, 2012, 02:54:21 pm
this might be a dumb question, but is there anyway we could move this to another forum, one that doesnt have as much activity?  It can get lost down the page pretty easily in MMQB..

Also, Will, would you PM me a site as well.  I will prob use the one my boss uses, but I'd like to see some other options.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 24, 2012, 03:01:02 pm
could you send me a PM also of sites that allow mastercard?

I have no idea on this.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on August 24, 2012, 03:01:30 pm
Michigan St. -7 at home against Boise St.

La. Tech +7.5 at home against Texas A&M

West Virginia -24 at home against Marshall
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 24, 2012, 03:06:18 pm
Michigan St. -7 at home against Boise St.

La. Tech +7.5 at home against Texas A&M

West Virginia -24 at home against Marshall

like the west virginia bet.  They will want to put big points on the board to get that offense tuned
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on August 24, 2012, 03:19:51 pm
could you send me a PM also of sites that allow mastercard?

i didnt have a mastercard either, what i did was just get one of those cheap walmart visa cards.  u just load some money up on it and then go from there, its pretty easy
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 24, 2012, 03:36:10 pm
Michigan St. -7 at home against Boise St.

La. Tech +7.5 at home against Texas A&M

West Virginia -24 at home against Marshall

Liking the Mich St -7, with the depleted roster of the Broncos, it could be ugly.

Don't like La Tech at all. TAMU is going to try and show that they deserve to be in the SEC so they are going to put on a show. I see TAMU walking away with that one.

WV is just too big of a line to me. if it was under 20, I'd prolly lay a lil bit on it, but at 24 there isn't too much value to me. Not that they can't/wont win by that much, but still.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on August 24, 2012, 03:49:46 pm
Liking the Mich St -7, with the depleted roster of the Broncos, it could be ugly.

Don't like La Tech at all. TAMU is going to try and show that they deserve to be in the SEC so they are going to put on a show. I see TAMU walking away with that one.

WV is just too big of a line to me. if it was under 20, I'd prolly lay a lil bit on it, but at 24 there isn't too much value to me. Not that they can't/wont win by that much, but still.

I see the Aggies having a difficult time moving the ball in the season opener due to a new QB (brand new), new head coach, new offensive schemes, and a great tail back but one returning from a season ending injury the previous year. La. Tech is returning 15+ starters from a team that was very solid last season. Put 'em at home against this A&M squad, can't see them losing by more than 7 if not winning.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 24, 2012, 05:19:19 pm
Put 'em at home against this A&M squad, can't see them losing by more than 7 if not winning.

That I may agree with. But at Kyle Field, 1st game in the SEC, I just got to believe TAMU brings it. Either way, that's why they call it gambling.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 24, 2012, 07:25:08 pm
could you send me a PM also of sites that allow mastercard?


I will send you a pm with one that I think still takes MC. Give me a couple hours.  Got a few things to do first.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 24, 2012, 08:00:57 pm
this might be a dumb question, but is there anyway we could move this to another forum, one that doesnt have as much activity?  It can get lost down the page pretty easily in MMQB..

Also, Will, would you PM me a site as well.  I will prob use the one my boss uses, but I'd like to see some other options.



Hey huck.  Even if it gets burried and doubt it will durning football.  Now that you have posted here just click toward the top of the page that says show replies to you post.  Will pull up any thread you have posted in if someone has made a post since.

Hope that helps.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 24, 2012, 09:55:40 pm
Even if it gets burried, and I doubt it will during football.  Now that you have posted here just click toward the top of the page that says show replies to you post.  Will pull up any thread you have posted in if someone has made a post since.

and between jeff and I, we keep this thing on the front page. We are some degenerate gamblers....lol
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 25, 2012, 07:38:52 am
and between jeff and I, we keep this thing on the front page. We are some degenerate gamblers....lol

Lol that's no lie!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on August 25, 2012, 04:21:15 pm
Thoughts on Kentucky @ Louisville (-13)

I know Louisville is in the top 25, but they also play in the big east. Kentucky is not expected to do much this season, but this is usually a close rivalry game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 25, 2012, 04:47:30 pm
Thoughts on Kentucky @ Louisville (-13)

I know Louisville is in the top 25, but they also play in the big east. Kentucky is not expected to do much this season, but this is usually a close rivalry game.

No way I am betting that game, but if someone put a gun to my head I would take Kentucky +13
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 25, 2012, 04:49:10 pm
No way I am betting that game, but if someone put a gun to my head I would take Kentucky +13

I second that. No value in this game at all. Louisville has a better chance to blow out KY than vice-versa, but either team could win this.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 25, 2012, 04:50:48 pm
As of October 1st anyone not wanting to play via the Internet shoot me a PM and I will let you know what I've got going.  Can probably help you out.  Actually will be all set by Sept 15th
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 26, 2012, 01:49:12 pm
Getting closer every day.  Will start looking at week one this afternoon.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 26, 2012, 05:48:51 pm
Getting closer every day.  Will start looking at week one this afternoon.

Looking forward to it and to a hopefully successfull season for us all!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: zumhog on August 26, 2012, 07:39:53 pm
Ive never done nothing but lose when i bet on football. So ill keep my picks to my myself.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Porked Tongue on August 26, 2012, 08:08:32 pm
Ive never done nothing but lose when i bet on football. So ill keep my picks to my myself.
Actually, if you're a consistent loser then we'd appreciate you picking games.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on August 27, 2012, 11:25:49 am
That I may agree with. But at Kyle Field, 1st game in the SEC, I just got to believe TAMU brings it. Either way, that's why they call it gambling.

I believe that game is in Shreveport.  Probably a pretty neutral crowd. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on August 27, 2012, 11:42:34 am
I believe that game is in Shreveport.  Probably a pretty neutral crowd. 

Yeah, you're right. Forgot about that.

I think I like Vandy +7. Will be too hard to bet though, so probably staying away from it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 27, 2012, 11:49:45 am
I like the Oregon -35.5 vs Arkansas State line

Anyone think Arkansas State will stay within 35?  I'm thinking no.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 27, 2012, 12:09:57 pm
I like the Oregon -35.5 vs Arkansas State line

Anyone think Arkansas State will stay within 35?  I'm thinking no.

Oregons starting QB may or may not play. Don't know for sure yet, but keep that in mind.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 27, 2012, 12:45:21 pm
Oregons starting QB may or may not play. Don't know for sure yet, but keep that in mind.

Thanks for that. 

Also ASU dismissed WR Earl Lucas yesterday and WR Tres Houston on Friday.  Anyone familiar with ASU know  how much of an impact losing those two will have? 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 27, 2012, 01:18:13 pm
It will be interesting to see where Hurricane Isaac ends up on the weekend, could affect a lot of games. 

For example, if it's raining in Nashville for the USCe vs Vandy game, I think taking the under on 46 looks like an attractive bet as the game will be forced to be played on the ground, taking a lot of time off the clock and making it tough to score big points
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 27, 2012, 02:41:20 pm
Also really leaning toward the Under on the 62pt OU for the aTm vs. La Tech game

aTm's offense oughta be rusty with a new qb/coach but should still be able to hold La Tech on D. 

Thoughts?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 27, 2012, 05:17:56 pm
Games I am leaning toward as of now.  Nothing official as of yet. 

Aggies -7
S Carolina -6.5
Michigan +13  no way I think they win, but late junk TD could be the cover there.
W Virginia -24
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 27, 2012, 09:36:44 pm
Also really leaning toward the Under on the 62pt OU for the aTm vs. La Tech game

aTm's offense oughta be rusty with a new qb/coach but should still be able to hold La Tech on D. 

Thoughts?

Key to this bet will be the weather. If it is raining and has been for a couple of days, I can't see anything but the under.

I believe that game is in Shreveport.  Probably a pretty neutral crowd. 

Thanks for that, completely zoned on that one. Makes this one a little more interesting.
I like the Oregon -35.5 vs Arkansas State line

Anyone think Arkansas State will stay within 35?  I'm thinking no.

I really don't like a lot of 25-40 point spreads, because they can go either way. You can be sitting at 42-3 looking good, and a late TD because the waterboys and cheerleaders are playing can ruin a good night. Seen it happen too many times.

There are some teams I don't mind playing that big of a spread, like OU (stoops would run it up vs his mothers team), old Florida, and most Pac-12 games, but wouldn't advise doing it regularly.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 27, 2012, 09:58:25 pm
Also really leaning toward the Under on the 62pt OU for the aTm vs. La Tech game

aTm's offense oughta be rusty with a new qb/coach but should still be able to hold La Tech on D. 

Thoughts?

I don't bet totals much in the college game or ( over / under). I do more so in the pros.  College totals can actually reach the 70's and even 80 at times.  College games often times scores come in huge bunches. 

A 45 point total for the nfl is considered high.  I know a lot of people that are great cappers vs the line in college ball, but they end up giving back large chunks of their winnings on totals. 

62 is not a huge number, but if I had to play it I would take the under.  Heavy rain should help as well, but also remember that same nasty weather can cause tons of turnovers on punts, fumbled hand offs you name it.  This often leads to many short fields.  Bit of a catch 22 at times.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on August 27, 2012, 10:23:33 pm


62 is not a huge number, but if I had to play it I would take the under.  Heavy rain should help as well, but also remember that same nasty weather can cause tons of turnovers on punts, fumbled hand offs you name it.  This often leads to many short fields.  Bit of a catch 22 at times.

Good pt. My natural inclination is to play the U, b/c I'm only thinking about how the rain can support my bet, instead of how it can also be adverse to my position.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: daprospecta on August 27, 2012, 10:41:48 pm
Games I am leaning toward as of now.  Nothing official as of yet. 

Aggies -7
S Carolina -6.5
Michigan +13  no way I think they win, but late junk TD could be the cover there.
W Virginia -24
Glad this thread is revived.  Don't take the USC-e pick. It's a trap if I've ever seen one.  First off this game started off at 6.5 and everybody and I mean everybody is betting on USC-e.  That being said it's only moved half a point.  That's extremely fishy. Key numbers are important in the NFL but not so much in cfb.  Another thing is Vandy tends to stay in games.  Very few losses last year were by 6 or more.  We seen what Jordan Rogers can do. He's not great but he can play and you know he trained with brother in the off season when he could.  I think USC-e can cover but I see back door written all over this one.  USC-e running Lattimore to burn clock and Vandy sneaks in one.  Vegas doesn't give away games and when they do they move the lines fast.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on August 27, 2012, 11:03:14 pm
Not Official but i like
NC St +3.5
Navy +16
Texas A&M -7
I actually like Bama to cover -13
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 28, 2012, 06:32:59 am
Glad this thread is revived.  Don't take the USC-e pick. It's a trap if I've ever seen one.  First off this game started off at 6.5 and everybody and I mean everybody is betting on USC-e.  That being said it's only moved half a point.  That's extremely fishy. Key numbers are important in the NFL but not so much in cfb.  Another thing is Vandy tends to stay in games.  Very few losses last year were by 6 or more.  We seen what Jordan Rogers can do. He's not great but he can play and you know he trained with brother in the off season when he could.  I think USC-e can cover but I see back door written all over this one.  USC-e running Lattimore to burn clock and Vandy sneaks in one.  Vegas doesn't give away games and when they do they move the lines fast.

I understand what you are saying, but gotta do what I gotta do.  Not playing this game heavy at all,  but will put one unit on SC unless something drastic happens between now and then.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 28, 2012, 06:36:09 am
Not Official but i like
NC St +3.5
Navy +16
Texas A&M -7
I actually like Bama to cover -13



You may be right on Bama, and I think most would agree with you.  The tide could win it by 40. 

I am thinking bama sputters just enough on offense to keep it interesting.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 28, 2012, 09:49:20 am
I don't bet totals much in the college game or ( over / under). I do more so in the pros.  College totals can actually reach the 70's and even 80 at times.  College games often times scores come in huge bunches. 

A 45 point total for the nfl is considered high.  I know a lot of people that are great cappers vs the line in college ball, but they end up giving back large chunks of their winnings on totals. 

62 is not a huge number, but if I had to play it I would take the under.  Heavy rain should help as well, but also remember that same nasty weather can cause tons of turnovers on punts, fumbled hand offs you name it.  This often leads to many short fields.  Bit of a catch 22 at times.

Agreed, totals in college games tend to be much higher.  The reason I like it here is because I dont think aTm will allow that many points, I'm thinking 10-14 at most.  I also dont expect them to score a lot of points with the new offense/coach/qb.  Also if it is wet I think that will slow the game down, keep it on the ground and eat up the clock.  Also if it stays on the ground I expect aTm's D-line to be able to hold La Tech pretty easily.  Just my opinion for this game
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 28, 2012, 10:12:54 am

I really don't like a lot of 25-40 point spreads, because they can go either way. You can be sitting at 42-3 looking good, and a late TD because the waterboys and cheerleaders are playing can ruin a good night. Seen it happen too many times.

There are some teams I don't mind playing that big of a spread, like OU (stoops would run it up vs his mothers team), old Florida, and most Pac-12 games, but wouldn't advise doing it regularly.

I normally dont either but the reason I like it is because it is Oregon, at Oregon.  They are not known to ease off the gas and it is a very high-octane offense that I dont think Arkansas State will be able to stay close with.  Oregon also has a potential Heisman candidate in De'Anthony Thomas and I expect them to beef up his resume early on.  Just my reasoning behind my lean 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 28, 2012, 10:52:10 am
BTW they have a pretty good sign-up deal going on at one of the gambling sites.  PM me if you're interested.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on August 28, 2012, 10:57:21 am
Best. Hogville. Thread.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 28, 2012, 11:57:00 am
line bumped up to -7.5 for a&m, makes it a little less safe.  anyone still gonna bite? Im leaning towards still taking it
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on August 28, 2012, 12:08:58 pm
line bumped up to -7.5 for a&m, makes it a little less safe.  anyone still gonna bite? Im leaning towards still taking it

I just don't think anyway that game gets played Thursday.  Looks like ole Issac will be hanging out over shreveport around game time. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 28, 2012, 12:53:48 pm
I just don't think anyway that game gets played Thursday.  Looks like ole Issac will be hanging out over shreveport around game time.

good point hooch
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 28, 2012, 01:05:39 pm
line bumped up to -7.5 for a&m, makes it a little less safe.  anyone still gonna bite? Im leaning towards still taking it

I'm sure I still will, but I will buy that Half point and bet it -7
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 28, 2012, 01:44:34 pm
looking at doing a 6pt tease down for Oregon (-35.5), West Virginia (-24.5), and OU (-30.5)...

any thoughts/input on this?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on August 28, 2012, 03:47:34 pm



You may be right on Bama, and I think most would agree with you.  The tide could win it by 40. 

I am thinking bama sputters just enough on offense to keep it interesting.
Bama is a game i like but will probably lay off and now im having 2nds thoughts on the A&M game
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on August 28, 2012, 03:50:23 pm
Anybody have any thoughts on Boise St at Michigan St -7
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 28, 2012, 04:02:50 pm
Anybody have any thoughts on Boise St at Michigan St -7

hate betting Boise State lol
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on August 28, 2012, 05:08:46 pm
Anybody have any thoughts on Boise St at Michigan St -7

I would lean Mich St if I had to but I ain't touching.  I understand Boise lost a lot but look how they start the season each year.  Doesn't Michigan state look like they belong at the top of this list?

2011 beat #19 Georgia @ Georgia 
2010 beat #10 Georgia Tech
2009 beat #16 Oregon

Boise manages to play WAY above their heads at the first of the year then seems to come back to earth as the season goes on.  Actually I looked up you know Boise has started at least 8-0 every year since 2006 except 1 and that was a loss at Washington.  They have lost 1 opener since 2002 that is pretty good, I know some of those teams are crap but most are  really good teams. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 28, 2012, 05:14:07 pm
Anybody have any thoughts on Boise St at Michigan St -7


Mich ST
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 28, 2012, 05:16:11 pm
looking at doing a 6pt tease down for Oregon (-35.5), West Virginia (-24.5), and OU (-30.5)...

any thoughts/input on this?



I never play teasers of any kind.  I certainly wouldn't with multiple large spreads like you are looking at.  The return is simply not worth the risk.  I know many people play them, but not my thing. 

Better bet is find your three strongest plays and parlay them for the 6-1 return on your money should you hit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 28, 2012, 05:38:12 pm
A&M Game officially postponed. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on August 28, 2012, 05:47:47 pm
So much for a&m game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on August 28, 2012, 05:50:19 pm
My Ag in-laws aren't looking forward to their FR qb's first. Ollege game to be a start vs UF. But the silver lining will be that, relatively speaking, this UF team is a little weak and might present a&m a chance to beat them.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on August 28, 2012, 05:52:28 pm
UF will have very little intel on Ags; Ags will have very little intel on Ags, ha.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: jdelo77 on August 28, 2012, 08:01:29 pm
I've got a few I like

Iowa state +1
Miami -3
Bama to cover
WV to cover
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 28, 2012, 10:28:39 pm
I've got a few I like

Iowa state +1
Miami -3
Bama to cover
WV to cover


Like the 1st 2, wouldn't bet the last 2 with your money.

The truth is, West Virginia may win by 34, but a 24 point spread is just too much chalk to lay when you could be up 45-20 and a late FG or TD screws you out of your money.

As far as Bama goes, I can see them winning by a FG, and I can see them winning by 3 TD's. I don't think that Robinson will be able to be Magic Man against their D, but it's Michigan and Hoke has them going in the right direction. I can see them keeping it close, less than a TD, but I just can't see Bama being the team to pull out the bottom Jenga block on the SEC dominance.

I will have my picks posted sometime tomorrow.

Get ready for some football folks, 45 hours and counting. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on August 28, 2012, 10:57:10 pm
Like the 1st 2, wouldn't bet the last 2 with your money.

The truth is, West Virginia may win by 34, but a 24 point spread is just too much chalk to lay when you could be up 45-20 and a late FG or TD screws you out of your money.

As far as Bama goes, I can see them winning by a FG, and I can see them winning by 3 TD's. I don't think that Robinson will be able to be Magic Man against their D, but it's Michigan and Hoke has them going in the right direction. I can see them keeping it close, less than a TD, but I just can't see Bama being the team to pull out the bottom Jenga block on the SEC dominance.

I will have my picks posted sometime tomorrow.

Get ready for some football folks, 45 hours and counting. 
i just can't see michigan controlling either side of the ball for 4 quarters.  i just keep seeing a 27-13 score.  I like bama to cover, i say it could be around a 17-7 halftime score and them keeping it close for a half but i think bama will cover in the 2nd half
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 29, 2012, 08:40:27 am


I never play teasers of any kind.  I certainly wouldn't with multiple large spreads like you are looking at.  The return is simply not worth the risk.  I know many people play them, but not my thing. 

Better bet is find your three strongest plays and parlay them for the 6-1 return on your money should you hit.

thanks for the advice!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Oliver on August 29, 2012, 08:42:15 am
Someone may have already posted it but Wyoming +30
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on August 29, 2012, 09:06:01 am
I"m eyeing these:
ISU +1
NC St +3
Also, O/U for Oregon / ASU was 67 on my site yesterday, but has disappeared today. I like the O. A buddy of mine has it showing on his site, but I'll have to keep checking mine.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 29, 2012, 09:24:31 am
The truth is, West Virginia may win by 34, but a 24 point spread is just too much chalk to lay when you could be up 45-20 and a late FG or TD screws you out of your money. 

I actually like WVU at -25 and the OVER on that game at 65.  Last year's final score was 34-13 but the game was called because of storms with 14:36 left to play in the 4th quarter (aka they didnt play the entire 4th quarter).  WVU returns 4 starters on the O Line, QB Geno Smith, his two favorite receivers Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey, and their 2 running backs Dustin Garrison and Shawn Alston.

On the other hand, WVU ranked next to last in points allowed last year and their D is transitioning this spring from a 3-3-5 to a 3-4.  They also lost 4 of their top 7 tacklers from last season.  Marshall returns their sophmore QB Rakeem Cato (started all of last season as a fresh) who threw for 2,059 yards and 15TDs (again, as a freshman).  They also return 4 of their 5 top receivers.  I really think they will be able to put points on the board.

That being said I have picked WVU at -23.5 (I bought 1.5 points because I wanted to keep their spread under that 24 mark) and have also bet the over at 65.  Sorry for the long post but just wanted to give an informed reason for my pics.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 29, 2012, 09:51:29 am
The two WVU bets were my first two (of three) bets for the weekend.  My last bet was taking Oregon to cover -34.5 (again, the spread is -35.5 but I bought 1 point to keep the spread under that 35 mark just in case). 

I know Oregon has a freshman starting at QB but they have one of the best running back tandems in the nation.  I expect a lot of dump screens and short passes, nothing too hard for the new QB.  With their up tempo offense, I dont think Arkansas States D keeps up.

Granted Arkansas State has the reigning sunbelt player of the year at QB, and they will be trying to establish an up-tempo offense with Malzahn there.  However, Arkansas State also lost two of their receivers recently and Oregon is used to going up against this type of offense in practice.  Overall, I just think there will be too much of a learning curve this early for the ASU guys to put up big points against Oregon.   

It sounds like most of you dont bet the big spreads and I completely understand.  Just wanted to give you my pics for the weekend and my reasons behind my pics.  Please le tme know if you have any input, would love to hear it!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on August 29, 2012, 10:10:26 am
I could be wrong, but by just going off the top of my head I believe ASU has done a helluva job against the spread against BCS opponents over the past few years.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 29, 2012, 10:14:33 am
I could be wrong, but by just going off the top of my head I believe ASU has done a helluva job against the spread against BCS opponents over the past few years.

You do mean Arkansas State when you say ASU right?

I honestly am unsure of that.  I'll do some research but if you recall the games please let me know
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on August 29, 2012, 10:36:12 am
You do mean Arkansas State when you say ASU right?

I honestly am unsure of that.  I'll do some research but if you recall the games please let me know

Yeah, Arkansas State. Last season, Illinois and Va. Tech couldn't cover. In 2010 Auburn and Indiana couldn't cover. In '09 Iowa didn't cover.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 29, 2012, 11:01:53 am
Yeah, Arkansas State. Last season, Illinois and Va. Tech couldn't cover. In 2010 Auburn and Indiana couldn't cover. In '09 Iowa didn't cover.

+1 Razorback1, appreciate the insight.  However, ASU did lose 7 starters on D from last year so I expect them to allow some big points.  I still feel confident in my bet but I would have definitely been a little more hesitant had I known that.  We will see how it goes!   
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 29, 2012, 11:20:30 am
The two WVU bets were my first two (of three) bets for the weekend.  My last bet was taking Oregon to cover -34.5 (again, the spread is -35.5 but I bought 1 point to keep the spread under that 35 mark just in case). 

I know Oregon has a freshman starting at QB but they have one of the best running back tandems in the nation.  I expect a lot of dump screens and short passes, nothing too hard for the new QB.  With their up tempo offense, I dont think Arkansas States D keeps up.

Granted Arkansas State has the reigning sunbelt player of the year at QB, and they will be trying to establish an up-tempo offense with Malzahn there.  However, Arkansas State also lost two of their receivers recently and Oregon is used to going up against this type of offense in practice.  Overall, I just think there will be too much of a learning curve this early for the ASU guys to put up big points against Oregon.   

It sounds like most of you dont bet the big spreads and I completely understand.  Just wanted to give you my pics for the weekend and my reasons behind my pics.  Please le tme know if you have any input, would love to hear it!

Not trying to be critical. Just letting you know some of my process. To each his own. I will buy a 1/2 a point on spreads like 7.5 or 3.5. Usually cost ten percent so unread of 110.00 to win 100.00 it's 120.00 and even higher for a full point.  I NEVER buy points on huge spreads in college.  Yes it could save you if they win by exactly 36, but what are the odds of that in college with missed extra points ad frequent 2 point conversions.  If the line is that big and you are worried about 1 point you shouldn't be betting the game. Only time I play a 35 point line is when I expect the favorite to score 50 and te dog to not score at all.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on August 29, 2012, 11:21:48 am
+1 Razorback1, appreciate the insight.  However, ASU did lose 7 starters on D from last year so I expect them to allow some big points.  I still feel confident in my bet but I would have definitely been a little more hesitant had I known that.  We will see how it goes!   

Hope it works out of ya! Thomas and Barner should run all day.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 29, 2012, 11:28:32 am
Hope it works out of ya! Thomas and Barner should run all day.

Thanks! you betting any games this weekend?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on August 29, 2012, 11:31:29 am
Thanks! you betting any games this weekend?

Yeah. I'm taking Michigan St. -6.5 (now), and maybe WVU -25, still unsure about that one.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 29, 2012, 11:41:55 am
Yeah. I'm taking Michigan St. -6.5 (now), and maybe WVU -25, still unsure about that one.

I bit on the WVU -25, also bit on the Over 65.  posted about it above.  What's your take on the Michigan State game, Im scared to bet anything involving boise state lol
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on August 29, 2012, 12:44:22 pm
I bit on the WVU -25, also bit on the Over 65.  posted about it above.  What's your take on the Michigan State game, Im scared to bet anything involving boise state lol

Yeah, wouldn't bet against a Boise team from the past few years but this one isn't nearly as talented. Especially with them breaking in a new QB, I like this for an easy pick due to Michigan St.'s D and ground attack.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: daprospecta on August 29, 2012, 02:10:19 pm
The two WVU bets were my first two (of three) bets for the weekend.  My last bet was taking Oregon to cover -34.5 (again, the spread is -35.5 but I bought 1 point to keep the spread under that 35 mark just in case). 

I know Oregon has a freshman starting at QB but they have one of the best running back tandems in the nation.  I expect a lot of dump screens and short passes, nothing too hard for the new QB.  With their up tempo offense, I dont think Arkansas States D keeps up.

Granted Arkansas State has the reigning sunbelt player of the year at QB, and they will be trying to establish an up-tempo offense with Malzahn there.  However, Arkansas State also lost two of their receivers recently and Oregon is used to going up against this type of offense in practice.  Overall, I just think there will be too much of a learning curve this early for the ASU guys to put up big points against Oregon.   

It sounds like most of you dont bet the big spreads and I completely understand.  Just wanted to give you my pics for the weekend and my reasons behind my pics.  Please le tme know if you have any input, would love to hear it!
Let's think about what you are asking of Oregon. You are asking them to beat a team that has a player of the year qb and offensive mastermind as a coach(say what you want but the guy can coach offense) to win by 5 touchdowns or more in a game. I'm sure Malz has spent the entire summer summer preparing for this one game and I'm also sure Oregon is overlooking it.  New qb for oregon and along with many other replacements.  Oregon will score but so will ASU. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 29, 2012, 03:17:48 pm
Let's think about what you are asking of Oregon. You are asking them to beat a team that has a player of the year qb and offensive mastermind as a coach(say what you want but the guy can coach offense) to win by 5 touchdowns or more in a game. I'm sure Malz has spent the entire summer summer preparing for this one game and I'm also sure Oregon is overlooking it.  New qb for oregon and along with many other replacements.  Oregon will score but so will ASU.

Not gonna lie, I may have bet that game a bit premature.  I am having a bit of better's remorse.  You bring up very good points.  We will see how it goes.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 29, 2012, 03:39:09 pm
Not trying to be critical. Just letting you know some of my process. To each his own. I will buy a 1/2 a point on spreads like 7.5 or 3.5. Usually cost ten percent so unread of 110.00 to win 100.00 it's 120.00 and even higher for a full point.  I NEVER buy points on huge spreads in college.  Yes it could save you if they win by exactly 36, but what are the odds of that in college with missed extra points ad frequent 2 point conversions.  If the line is that big and you are worried about 1 point you shouldn't be betting the game. Only time I play a 35 point line is when I expect the favorite to score 50 and te dog to not score at all.

appreciate the advice Jeff!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on August 29, 2012, 04:02:22 pm
Few things:

Ark. St. is now +37, that's a lot of points.

Who likes Navy +15.5 at home against ND?

Who likes Stanford -25 at home against San Jose St.?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 29, 2012, 04:34:26 pm
Few things:

Ark. St. is now +37, that's a lot of points.

Who likes Navy +15.5 at home against ND?

Who likes Stanford -25 at home against San Jose St.?

Thinking of hedging my original Oregon bet by taking Ark. St. at +37 lol

Initially I dont like the Stanford -25.  I'd have to do more research to be sure though. 

Not sure on the Navy vs ND game
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 29, 2012, 04:35:20 pm
Few things:

Ark. St. is now +37, that's a lot of points.

Who likes Navy +15.5 at home against ND?

Who likes Stanford -25 at home against San Jose St.?


As of now I'm not playing any of those games. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 29, 2012, 04:44:20 pm

As of now I'm not playing any of those games.

What are your leans Jeff?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on August 29, 2012, 04:45:54 pm
Thinking of hedging my original Oregon bet by taking Ark. St. at +37 lol

Initially I dont like the Stanford -25.  I'd have to do more research to be sure though. 

Not sure on the Navy vs ND game

I don't think hedging your Oregon bet would be a terrible idea by any means.

As for Navy and Stanford, I'm staying away for now.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on August 29, 2012, 04:46:43 pm
All I'm playing right now is Michigan St. I'll keep the thread updated with any other activity.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 29, 2012, 06:15:09 pm
What are your leans Jeff?

Will post some stuff later this evening after I put my kiddo to bed.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 29, 2012, 06:26:11 pm
It’s my favorite time of year again and I am as ready as anyone to jump in with both feet and hopefully win some dough while watching some awesome football.

A couple of things that I’d like to mention here as we start the season that will make things go smooth. 
1.   Please dont use this as a chance to advertise your tout services in the thread, if your picks are good enough, people will ask you for your information. 
2.   Lanny (the owner of Hogville) doesn’t want gambling sites posted on his site. I have exchanged a couple of PM’s with him about this, but just don’t do it. You won’t last, and more than likely, this thread won’t either.
3.   No one here does this professionally, that I know of. We are not the end all be all’s of sports investing by ANY STRETCH OF THE IMAGINATION. We are regular folks who like to spice up the games a little. Most of the people from last year, and this year, that I’ve messaged with, have their own ways of choosing games. Most of these people are not in the habit of sharing the way they pick games. It’s not being a doucher, it’s just like asking a fisherman where his favorite spot to fish is. We have all done this for a while, so we have our own little things we do, and also, a lot of it is just having a feel for a certain team or game. Do your own due diligence in picking games.
4.   I’d really like to be able to keep a record going of everyone’s games they pick, but last year we had so many GREAT handicappers AFTER the games were played that it was truly impossible to decipher who posted what, when, and so forth. Now, I can’t enact or enforce any rules, but, seriously, you aren’t impressing anyone by coming in after the final whistle and telling everyone how you had such and such -7 when they won by 20 and bragging about how would have taken the line up to -30.
5.   As I said, no one here is a professional, so I bet a lot more games than a tout service offers. I know that, and now you know that I know that. No reason to come into the thread just to beat down the people who are trying to enjoy themselves. Everyone hates to lose and loves to win.
6.   Don’t be afraid to ask questions and someone will definitely answer them. We may not give you the answer you like, but as far as I know we are all honest because we could all care less what anyone thinks.
[/b]

I post weighted picks, which means that I place a value system based on how "sure" I am it will hit. My units are:
1* - 5% of my total bankroll
2* - 10% of my bankroll
3* - 20% of my bankroll
5* - 50% of my bankroll



SC -6.5 @ Vandy….2*
I don’t have a whole lot of information and trends to back this one up, I just have a feeling that the Ole Ball Coach is going to be pressing his team to wipe out all their SEC east opponents. He knows as well as anyone that style points matter, so I don’t look for him to stop scoring. On defense, I can’t see USC letting Vandy doing too much. Yes, Vandy is better than they have been, but they are still Vanderbilt, one season and one recruiting class doesn’t make you a contender.

Mich St -7 vs Boise St….2*
This isn’t the Boise St of the last couple years. I’m sure Peterson has recruited well enough for there not to be a tremendous drop off of talent, but they will surely not be what they have been. Michigan St is tough and could contend for the B1G title with Wisconsin and Michigan. 

Tennessee -3 @ NC State….1*
This is just SEC homerism. I could easily see this one going either way, but I think Tennessee has the better athletes, and if Tyler Bray has his head screwed on correctly, he can lead a team.

Ohio +6 @ Penn St….1*
Normally I wouldn’t have even looked at this game, but something caught my eye. 88% of the best have been coming in on Penn St, but the line has moved 9.5 points in Ohio’s favor. That means some BIG money has been put on Ohio. Obviously, some of the defections from Penn St. had a bit of an influence, but overall, I don’t think that is what moved it such a large margin.

Miami -2 @ BC….1*
Neither of these teams are going to challenge for the ACC title, with Miami replacing Jacory Harris and BC replacing Butkus, Nagurski, Lombardi, and Lott Impact trophy winner Luke-Kuechly. I think that the team with the better athletes will come out on top, and few teams, especially in the ACC have as many good athletes as Miami.

Clemson -3 (bought .5 point) vs Auburn….2*
I just don’t see Auburn being good enough in the secondary to handle the challenge  from Tahj Boyd. I also don’t see Auburn being better than 4th in the west, but that is another story. They could just as easily rise up and beat Clemson and challenge for 3rd place in the West. I can assure that Dabo has preached and pounded into the heads of his players all off-season that this is a chance at redemption after the BEATDOWN at the hands of WV in the bowl game. No way Clemson loses this game in my opinion, and I could easily see a 7-10 point win.

Oklahoma -31 @ UTEP...2*
No way Bob doesn't run it up on UTEP. This may be covered by halftime.



2012-2013 CFB
  Record 0-0-0     Profit - $0     Bankroll $2000


Good Luck to All…May your bankroll be fat, and your bookie be broke.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 29, 2012, 08:29:12 pm
Thanks for the post Will.  I liked your OU (currently at -30.5) bet and just put money on that game as well.  That will be my last bet for the weekend.

Summary of my bets for the weekend:

WVU -25 vs Marshall

WVU vs Marshall 65 OVER

Oregon -34.5 vs Arkansas State (I'll admit to having a little bit of betters remorse here)

OU -30.5 vs UTEP

All my bets were for $50

Good luck this weekend everyone!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 29, 2012, 08:57:10 pm
Great Post Will

Now I will add my two cents

I agree with Will 100%.  It would be great to track the season and see how everyone did.  We attempted that last year, but as he said we had too many people that had tremendous weekends, but miraculously never posted their picks before the games were played.  To me this doesn't count.  You will get many times the " i don;t post my picks because it jinxes me and I lose when I do post them before the games."  I call BS  on that every time.  Lets post them before they are played and try to track this sucker.

Now for some you may not care about this portion of my post, but we may have people that are new to this entire thing, and I would like to throw out a few helpful suggestions.  Maybe they will help maybe they won't.  I have been doing this for over 20 years and what I do works for me.  Everyone is different.  Some go on gut feel, some focus heavily on line movement, injuries, trends, and the list goes on and on.  I try and combine everything and don't lean to heavily on any one factor.  For instance I put very little value in line movement, and to many that is their strongest variable.

For football college or pro.  Before the first game.  Pick all your games for the day and decide and decide how much you are betting on each.  If you lose an 11:00 am game a 3:00 pm game, and a 5:00 pm game when that 9:00 game comes up bet exactly what you planned to bet it in the morning.  Do not try to double up your winnings or recoup your losses.  If you have a bad day do not add games to your schedule if you were not planning to bet them anyway.  Those things will get you killed.

Everyone has a bad day or week or even two.  Do not let it drastically change your plan.  If you are a 1 or 2 unit player stick with that.  No matter what anyone says nobody wins all the time.  I had a two week stretch last season where I would have done better flipping a coin.  I just kept grinding and ended up having a great season. 

If you play online.  Monitor closely the site, and the government and changes in legality of offshore accounts.  If you have a huge week get your winnings out of there.  Leave what you started with or maybe a little more.  If you are playing online stay out of the freaking casinos those sites offer.

If you are going through an individual make sure they are reliable.  That also means you are probably playing on credit.  Be careful you don't get yourself into a bind.  Treat this like you should a trip to a casino.  Expect to lose every bet, and budget accordingly.  If the amount you bet could change anything in your day to day life you should not be betting it.

I personally do not play teasers.  I do not buy points on any line over 10.5     If you play a 3 team parlay for say 100.00 and the first two games are in the books as a winner decide weather or not to hedge.  If you put 100.00 on the opposite team in the final game at worst you break even.  Best case your three teamer hits and you pocket 600.00 less the 110.00 you lost on the final game.  490.00 profit.  Or you can stick to your guns and not hedge.  I have done that both ways. 

Hope I didn't offend anyone with those tips and suggestions.  If any of them help someone great.  These are simply things I have learned by trial and error.  I still take my lumps sometimes too, but not at all like I did my first couple years.  I learned some of those things the hard way early on.

FYI if you follow me and win congrats.  If you follow me and lose don't get all butt hurt.  ; )

Good luck to everyone on a great season.

Picks to follow
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 29, 2012, 09:11:12 pm
Thanks for the post Jeff, +1
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 29, 2012, 09:23:24 pm
Here we go. 

South Carolina -6.5/ 2 unit play.  I know many on here and many of the top cappers are picking Vandy, but I am going the other way.

Mich ST -6.5 / 3 unit play.  I know Boise does a great job when they have forever to prepare.  Not this time.  They lost too much.

W Virginia -25 / 2 units

OU -30.5 / 3 units


As is usual with me first week of the season I am heavy on some of the favorites.  Could have a few more to come.



Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on August 29, 2012, 10:14:59 pm
Eastern Michigan +3.5 at Ball St
NC St +3.5 at home
Navy +16 at home
OU -31
South Carolina -7

I usually pick 5 games a week, more throughout the day if i do good on the first picks
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 30, 2012, 12:30:33 am
+1 Jeff, good info. Anyone who has done this has ridden the ups and downs. I've been up $4000 after a day and a half of betting college football, and because I didn't have the dilligence and will power to back off, lost it all plus 1500 in the next 2 days of football. It's no fun, but you live, you learn.

hawgwild, your Eastern Michigan bet intrigues me. Some line movement I'm watching this week that supports your pick. I've been watching some line movement patterns since last year and this is the first game I tagged to watch this year.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 07:29:17 am
Remember guys this is not a sprint.  It's a marathon.  Budget accordingly.  You am sprint in short bursts when you are winning everything you touch, but be ready to reign it in quickly at first sign of a reversal.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 30, 2012, 08:56:27 am
I went ahead and took Michigan State -7 and Navy +15.5, but only put $10 on each.

Those will for sure be the last two bets I place for the weekend.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: LGHOG on August 30, 2012, 09:23:03 am
I've been reading this thread and keeping up with it for awhile. Very good thread with very good advice from those that are experienced. I used to bet in the past religiously and one system I used which was very good for me was this; It was mainly NFL but went the college route every now and then; I would take 2 teams, say the Pats and Packers. Each week I would only bet them. On the line bet, never parlay in any way shape or form. I would study them throughout the week and would try to find out any info I could on them. I also would highly advise staying away from reading "free" pick advice because you could go to different sites and get very different information and picks from all of them. It will drive you crazy. Do your own research. Follow trends, watch the weather, look who they are playing the next week, etc...I used to bet quarters, halfs, who would score first, would it be a FG or TD or interception. The best advice I could give is keep it very simple. Put ZERO emotions into it. Put thought into it but not to much thought.

Just thought I would throw my .02 cents in. Good luck to all this season.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 09:50:54 am
I've been reading this thread and keeping up with it for awhile. Very good thread with very good advice from those that are experienced. I used to bet in the past religiously and one system I used which was very good for me was this; It was mainly NFL but went the college route every now and then; I would take 2 teams, say the Pats and Packers. Each week I would only bet them. On the line bet, never parlay in any way shape or form. I would study them throughout the week and would try to find out any info I could on them. I also would highly advise staying away from reading "free" pick advice because you could go to different sites and get very different information and picks from all of them. It will drive you crazy. Do your own research. Follow trends, watch the weather, look who they are playing the next week, etc...I used to bet quarters, halfs, who would score first, would it be a FG or TD or interception. The best advice I could give is keep it very simple. Put ZERO emotions into it. Put thought into it but not to much thought.

Just thought I would throw my .02 cents in. Good luck to all this season.

I certainly agree with being leery of free picks.  Those generally come from services that want to sell you a season package. I am still working on the development of my own site for this and can tell you as a fact!!!!!!   Many of those sites give their free pick the opposite way to every other person.  Example mich st -6.5. Every other person that calls or clicks half get mich st - and the other half would get Boise +.  This way they insure looking brilliant to half the people that could become a paying customer. The touts way of hedging their bet.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: MS_HogFan on August 30, 2012, 10:30:11 am
Is there a way to use one of the online sites without getting a bunch of crap sent to your house? I used 1 once a few years ago and still get stuff sent to my home.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 30, 2012, 12:42:05 pm
Is there a way to use one of the online sites without getting a bunch of crap sent to your house? I used 1 once a few years ago and still get stuff sent to my home.

Not really. To deposit or withdraw money they have to have a physical address, so there isn't any way you won't get gambling stuff sent to your house that I know of.

But as long as they bring a fat check to your house when they deliver that spam mail, who cares.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on August 30, 2012, 12:43:16 pm
My first bet this year was a parlay not gonna lie.  Tonight on EMU and USC-E
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 30, 2012, 01:09:02 pm
K...so I feel the need to say I apologize to u guys. Jeff seems to indicate that I post plays after the fact and maybe I did. I don't remember making many picks last year. I had a lot going on personally that I wont delve into, but I didn't play many games and didn't watch many. I certainly do nit have the intention of appearing like a savant. I do bet real money and I do invest time, neither of which I had last year. So if it seemed like I posted records without posting plays, I am sorry. But I don't remember playing much at all and I don't wanna go back and look. So with that said, I for plan on playing this year and will post picks prior to kickoff. I do play some that I don't post here but I never expectedanybody to count anything I posted after the fact. I usually lose but I'm hoping for a turn around

Again, I'm sorry if I soured the apple cart.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: LGHOG on August 30, 2012, 01:14:22 pm
My first bet this year was a parlay not gonna lie.  Tonight on EMU and USC-E


Good luck. A parlay is like the worst game in Vegas...Roulette. How much did you bet and what was the payout if won?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 01:18:27 pm
K...so I feel the need to say I apologize to u guys. Jeff seems to indicate that I post plays after the fact and maybe I did. I don't remember making many picks last year. I had a lot going on personally that I wont delve into, but I didn't play many games and didn't watch many. I certainly do nit have the intention of appearing like a savant. I do bet real money and I do invest time, neither of which I had last year. So if it seemed like I posted records without posting plays, I am sorry. But I don't remember playing much at all and I don't wanna go back and look. So with that said, I for plan on playing this year and will post picks prior to kickoff. I do play some that I don't post here but I never expectedanybody to count anything I posted after the fact. I usually lose but I'm hoping for a turn around

Again, I'm sorry if I soured the apple cart.


Sir Pigs.  Was not directed at you or any one poster.  We had tons of that going on.  Pretty sure you even made mention that you wouldn't be playing as much as you usually do and such.

Believe me it was a group effort.  I assure you that you did not sour the apple cart ( never heard that one before) :0
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Monk-N-Dunk on August 30, 2012, 01:33:17 pm
What sites are ya'll using nowadays? I used to use Bodog about two years ago but saw they are something like Bovada?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 30, 2012, 01:40:03 pm
Hawaii vs USC: The Hawaii line has moved to +42 (up from +40 yesterday), thats a lot of points.  Anyone takin hawaii to cover?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 01:53:41 pm
What sites are ya'll using nowadays? I used to use Bodog about two years ago but saw they are something like Bovada?


I don'[t really use online sites.  I do use one for things like a 5 dollar ten team parlay.  Will PM you the name of the site.  I know they pay out because I hit a ten teamer that paid 3500.00 and a 9 teamer that paid out as well.  Everything else I do goes through an individual or vegas.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 30, 2012, 01:56:29 pm
Thanks Jeff...sorry if it wasn't directed at me. Guess if u throw a stone at a pack a dogs, the one that's gets hit will yelp everytime. I might have been guilty of it occasionally.

But new year, new slates, new.picks, new.sportsbook. I've been with bodog for years, but am going with topbet this year. Hoping for a better year. Dabbled in NFL preseason just to whet my whistle and hone my skills.....but like the preseason, u are more.or.less working.out kinks.

BANK: 1000
RECORD: 0-0-0

TONIGHT I'm going with south Carolina -7. Don't buy the hype. South Carolina is clearly the better team. While I usually like home dogs, tonight isn't the night. South Carolina has a.legit chance to win the sec. They have a vastly superior.defense and a stout running game that will give Vanderbilt trouble.  Vanderbilt is being touted as turning the corner and they certainly have improved. But when u take the emotion out of it, this is an easy pick.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 01:58:00 pm
Hawaii vs USC: The Hawaii line has moved to +42 (up from +40 yesterday), thats a lot of points.  Anyone takin hawaii to cover?


The only way I will even consider playing that game is if I have won pretty much everything leading up to it.  If I was forced to bet it I would take the Rainbows plus the point, but that game is not on my radar as of now.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 30, 2012, 02:03:05 pm
BYU -11.5

Public feels like wsu and the pirate will take buy to the woodshed with an air attack and 70 passes . I do expect wazu to be better but it will not start tonight. Byu will put up a ton of points on a squad that was very generous a year ago. Wazu will have trouble protecting the an and I'm not sold that breaking in a new.coach with a new system and a new.offensive philosophy will be able.to fire.on enough cylinders to.make this game.competitive. I like Byu big but beware of a Backdoor.cover if its close.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 30, 2012, 02:11:31 pm
Guess I should have said....both plays are 50 dollar plays
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 02:14:14 pm
Check out Leroy's college challenge.  Was bought and taken over by William Hill.  I am sure many on here know that name.

May be telling you guys about it too late this season, but it's 100.00 entry fee.  You pick 7 games from a pick card each Saturday.  The winner each week gets 5K  the season winner gets I think 50k and a trip.  The cool thing is if you are willing to pay a little extra you can do it by proxy.  That way you don't have to be there to make your picks each week. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on August 30, 2012, 04:32:41 pm
Officially, so far (1 unit each)...
SC -6.5
Over 68 on Ducks & Injuns

More to come on Fri (same leans as on pg 15, ISU +1, NC St +3)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 30, 2012, 04:40:42 pm
The CFB year is almost upon us, good luck everyone who bet the USCe - Vandy game tonight!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 30, 2012, 04:42:00 pm
Officially, so far...
SC -6.5
Over 68 on Ducks & Injuns

More to come on Fri (same leans as on pg 15, ISU +1, NC St +3)

like the Over 68 on Ducks and Injuns (hey you cant say that!, you mean redwolves right  ;))pick
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 04:45:40 pm
The CFB year is almost upon us, good luck everyone who bet the USCe - Vandy game tonight!


Already called mine in S Carolina -6.5 for 2 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 30, 2012, 04:49:30 pm
K...so I feel the need to say I apologize to u guys. Jeff seems to indicate that I post plays after the fact and maybe I did. I don't remember making many picks last year. I had a lot going on personally that I wont delve into, but I didn't play many games and didn't watch many. I certainly do nit have the intention of appearing like a savant. I do bet real money and I do invest time, neither of which I had last year. So if it seemed like I posted records without posting plays, I am sorry. But I don't remember playing much at all and I don't wanna go back and look. So with that said, I for plan on playing this year and will post picks prior to kickoff. I do play some that I don't post here but I never expectedanybody to count anything I posted after the fact. I usually lose but I'm hoping for a turn around

Again, I'm sorry if I soured the apple cart.

It was more than any one person. It didn't really ruin anything, there was just no way to keep up with the record. It was more of an annoyance than a major problem. This year, I would like to be able to track people.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on August 30, 2012, 04:50:11 pm
I got $100 on USCe at -6.5

Going Tenner at -3.5 for $100

and Clemson -3.5 for $100 as well
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 30, 2012, 04:55:23 pm
I got $100 on USCe at -6.5

Going Tenner at -3.5 for $100

and Clemson -3.5 for $100 as well

you have some kahuna's my friend, was nervous to bet any of those
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 30, 2012, 04:56:04 pm

Already called mine in S Carolina -6.5 for 2 units.

Hope it goes your way!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on August 30, 2012, 04:56:35 pm
It was more than any one person. It didn't really ruin anything, there was just no way to keep up with the record. It was more of an annoyance than a major problem. This year, I would like to be able to track people.

Agreed.  I don't care to go thru all the pages, so I don't remember who it was, but some person last year was posting their bets well after the games were over, and they were supposedly knocking the cover off the ball...stuff like 11-1 every weekend.

If I forget to post my bets on HV before a game goes off, I won't post it at all.  Actually, I will mention the bet if I lost, but not if I won.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 30, 2012, 05:01:44 pm
WVU -23.5 vs Marshall -- $55

WVU vs Marshall 65 OVER -- $40

Oregon -34.5 vs Arkansas State (I'll admit to having a bit of betters remorse here) -- $55

OU -30.5 vs UTEP -- $50

Michigan State -7 vs Boise State -- $10

Navy +15.5 vs Notre Dame -- $10

Hawaii +42 vs USC -- $30

BANK: 250
RECORD: 0-0-0
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 30, 2012, 05:09:03 pm
Not saying I'm putting anything down...but I like the Hawaii pick. 45 points is hard to cover against a high school team. First you have to actually score 45 points. Which isn't just a sneeze. Then u have to pretty much shut the other team out. I'm not saying its not.doable, but its a very large spread to.cover.

WVU -23.5 vs Marshall -- $55

WVU vs Marshall 65 OVER -- $40

Oregon -34.5 vs Arkansas State (I'll admit to having a bit of betters remorse here) -- $55

OU -30.5 vs UTEP -- $50

Michigan State -7 vs Boise State -- $10

Navy +15.5 vs Notre Dame -- $10

Hawaii +42 vs USC -- $30

BANK: 250
RECORD: 0-0-0

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 05:13:36 pm
Almost time to kick off the season. Let's go gamecocks start it off with the 2 unit win.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on August 30, 2012, 05:18:30 pm
For posterity sake, I put money on Ark over 8.5 wins this year. Easy bet in '11, and have us going 9-3 this season, so why not.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on August 30, 2012, 05:28:11 pm

Good luck. A parlay is like the worst game in Vegas...Roulette. How much did you bet and what was the payout if won?
im just playin small change, 10 a game, im in college so im not risking houndreds of dollars or nuthin.  i would say this is like my 5th parlay ever.  this is gonna be my indication of how my season will go lol
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 30, 2012, 05:28:27 pm
For posterity sake, I put money on Ark over 8.5 wins this year. Easy bet in '11, and have us going 9-3 this season, so why not.

I think you win this by at least a game and a half.

On the Hawaii game, I had a wise man once tell me he bet every game over a 45 point spread. Said it was way to hard to score more than 45, and even harder to hold the other team after you have scored 45. If I had a gun to my head, I would bet Hawaii, but USC, especially with Lane Kiffen, could put up 65 in most games.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on August 30, 2012, 05:29:01 pm
Anybody get on the Eastern Mich pick, im feeling good bout it
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: IBGPN on August 30, 2012, 05:40:05 pm
my plays for the first night of ncaaf...usc(e) -6, unlv +9.5 and ucla/rice o59.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 05:43:50 pm
Anybody get on the Eastern Mich pick, im feeling good bout it

 Not betting this game, but I like the Eastern Mich pick.  Heck they should actually be the favorite in this game.  That's kinda what scares me.  Almost seems too good.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on August 30, 2012, 05:53:26 pm
South Carolina -6 - 1 star
WASU +11.5 - .5 star

Record: 0-2 -1.5 unit
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 30, 2012, 05:54:55 pm
Not betting this game, but I like the Eastern Mich pick.  Heck they should actually be the favorite in this game.  That's kinda what scares me.  Almost seems too good.
I agree.
 BALL STATE is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite and only 1- 9 ATS in their last 10 home games as a favorite .
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 30, 2012, 07:20:45 pm
Without Connor Shaw, not feeling so confident.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 07:35:56 pm
Without Connor Shaw, not feeling so confident.



They should still cover this thing.  Clearly twice as much talent.  All Sc needs to do is pound the ball and quit giving up the big play.  Obvious Vandy can't drive the length of the field.  Or have shown nothing to indicate they can.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 08:17:09 pm
I have always thought The visor a pretty sharp coach, but no clue what they are thinking out there. Run the ball.  That backup QB has looked horrible.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 30, 2012, 08:18:24 pm
I have always thought The visor a pretty sharp coach, but no clue what they are thinking out there. Run the ball.  That backup QB has looked horrible.

I'm thinking that something is wrong with Lattimore. No other reason not to give that dude the ball at least 39 times this game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on August 30, 2012, 08:19:07 pm
its gettin hard to watch there offense.  but on a side not, we move up in the polls.  that field goal vandy made just made that mountain a lil tougher to climb
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 08:23:21 pm
its gettin hard to watch there offense.  but on a side not, we move up in the polls.  that field goal vandy made just made that mountain a lil tougher to climb


Lol yep.  May need a defensive score to have a shot covering this one.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on August 30, 2012, 08:24:26 pm

Lol yep.  May need a defensive score to have a shot covering this one.
i got them at -7 to :(
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 08:26:38 pm
Never over till its over.   Not looking good though.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 30, 2012, 08:47:56 pm
I would liked to have seen a fg there to tie.  Ot may ha e been the last chance to push
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 08:51:11 pm
Need one more drive out of shaw.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on August 30, 2012, 08:57:03 pm
well i gotta root for vandy now, emu is gettin hammered.  my 2 game parlay went in the dumps.  good luck tho
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 08:58:52 pm
I just took Washington St +13.5 for 1 unit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 30, 2012, 09:05:39 pm
0-1 to start. Need byu  to bail me out
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 30, 2012, 09:18:22 pm
South Carolina was 20% on 3rd downs until that last run by shaw. All Vandy had to do was hold them, Spurrier would have been forced to kick a FG, and we cover. WOW....

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 30, 2012, 09:20:54 pm
Terrible football game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on August 30, 2012, 09:23:32 pm
SC's o-line was a sieve when any of their qb's dropped back.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 30, 2012, 09:32:56 pm
SC's o-line was a sieve when any of their qb's dropped back.

Seemed like they only dropped back 5 times. 3 with a backup
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on August 30, 2012, 09:36:21 pm
Seemed like they only dropped back 5 times. 3 with a backup

It looked like they didn't have time to complete a 5-step drop...they'd be 2-4 steps into it ans a Vandy player would be in the backfield.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 09:56:59 pm
South Carolina was 20% on 3rd downs until that last run by shaw. All Vandy had to do was hold them, Spurrier would have been forced to kick a FG, and we cover. WOW....







Yep or even on the drive before if the SC guy holds onto the ball on 3rd and 11 it's a Jimmie field goal or TD.

Oh well.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 30, 2012, 10:39:38 pm
Well by te looks of it I may have gone 0-2 on opening day.  Find out in the morning.  No way I am staying up to watch all of this late game.  Wash St may not stop Byu again all night.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 30, 2012, 10:41:30 pm
I just wonder how much learning and getting better they can do by November. Cuz if they don't do a lot of it, that game will be a nothing more than a tune-up
 for the Hogs.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 31, 2012, 09:41:25 am
Wow, what a crazy night! Sorry for those who lost on the SC game, cant believe they didnt cover. 

Just wanted to point this out... On the site im on, there is a futures bet for the Arkansas vs Mississippi State game on November 17th.  You can get Arkansas at -6.5. I plan on making that bet on Sunday.  Will Clinton I know you are on the same site, it's under the 2012 NCAA Football Games of the Year.  I know it's very far out, but I think thats a really attractive line.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 31, 2012, 09:51:03 am
I think you win this by at least a game and a half.

On the Hawaii game, I had a wise man once tell me he bet every game over a 45 point spread. Said it was way to hard to score more than 45, and even harder to hold the other team after you have scored 45. If I had a gun to my head, I would bet Hawaii, but USC, especially with Lane Kiffen, could put up 65 in most games.

The reason I dont think USC covers is that they arent very deep on Offense and they can't afford any injuries.  I think Kiffin gets a comfortable lead and then rests his starters, runs the ball and manages the clock.  Just don't think he will run the score up too much.  we will see
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 31, 2012, 10:11:53 am
1-1-0

Michigan St -7 over Boise
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 31, 2012, 10:13:42 am
1-1-0

Michigan St -7 over Boise

lets hope!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: jkstock04 on August 31, 2012, 10:25:35 am
I didn't touch any of the games last night...but for tonight and this weekend here's what I'm doing:

Tenn (-3)  $50.00
Bama (-14) $100.00
Miami (-2.5) $50.00
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on August 31, 2012, 10:33:58 am
I got Mich. St. -6.5 for $30.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 31, 2012, 10:39:46 am
I got Mich. St. -6.5 for $30.

I wish I had bought a half point for that game.  Got Mich St. -7
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 31, 2012, 10:41:14 am
I didn't touch any of the games last night...but for tonight and this weekend here's what I'm doing:

Tenn (-3)  $50.00
Bama (-14) $100.00
Miami (-2.5) $50.00

you got more guts than I do betting the Tenn and Bama game.  Like your Miami bet, I think they have too many/better athletes than BC
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on August 31, 2012, 10:41:57 am
I wish I had bought a half point for that game.  Got Mich St. -7

Didn't have to. My guy has it at 6.5. Pretty lucky.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 31, 2012, 10:46:49 am
Didn't have to. My guy has it at 6.5. Pretty lucky.

very nice.  I dont THINK it will matter, I think MState takes it by 10 at least. but thats why they play the game and thats why they call it gambling
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: jkstock04 on August 31, 2012, 10:47:14 am
you got more guts than I do betting the Tenn and Bama game.  Like your Miami bet, I think they have too many/better athletes than BC
I'll be shocked if Bama doesn't crush Michigan.  Of course I have been wrong before!  But, right this second I'm pretty confident on this one.  Betting a Saban coached Bama is never a BAD bet in my mind...honestly I don't think I have ever lost betting on them to cover the past 3 years (thats about how long I have been betting football). 

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 31, 2012, 10:50:17 am
I'll be shocked if Bama doesn't crush Michigan.  Of course I have been wrong before!  But, right this second I'm pretty confident on this one.  Betting a Saban coached Bama is never a BAD bet in my mind...honestly I don't think I have ever lost betting on them to cover the past 3 years (thats about how long I have been betting football).

Agree with you on Bama crushing Michigan, the 14pt spread was too much for me to bite though...  I definitely like Bama in this one, just not gonna bet it
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 31, 2012, 10:55:09 am
If I were betting the bama game, I would play the under. But I'm not touching it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 31, 2012, 11:01:32 am
If I were betting the banana gam, I would play the under. But I'm not touching it.

got a good chuckle out of that, +1
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 31, 2012, 12:18:13 pm
got a good chuckle out of that, +1

Haha...love auto correct
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 31, 2012, 02:06:27 pm
anybody here bet futures? there are some pretty dang good lines for games later on in the season... would be glad to share if anybody bets those. let me know
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 31, 2012, 03:38:38 pm
Just called in my mich st and they had dropped to -6.5. Love that.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on August 31, 2012, 03:57:52 pm
actually changed mine a little, going with a teaser tenner +2.5 and Mich St. -1.5 for $100
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 31, 2012, 03:59:23 pm
Just called in my mich st and they had dropped to -6.5. Love that.

LUCKY!  we will both be pulling for michigan state to win tonight, I need them by more than 7 though  :-\
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 31, 2012, 04:01:14 pm
just now checked and the site I used and a few casinos have michigan state at -7.5 now
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on August 31, 2012, 04:08:42 pm
I'm off to faytown for the weekend, good luck on everyones bets tonight/tomorrow (unless it's the opposite of mine lol)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 31, 2012, 04:54:01 pm
When I checked earlier in the week my line was mich st -6.5, but was afraid it would go up. Be a nice 3 unit hit if it comes thru.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on August 31, 2012, 05:47:47 pm
Like Tennessee tonight , and got them at -3 for 2 units. W

Record: 1-2, up .5 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on August 31, 2012, 06:28:52 pm
Got NCSt +3.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 31, 2012, 06:31:18 pm
I am also 0-2
- 3 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: MuskogeeHogFan on August 31, 2012, 06:33:50 pm
Agree with you on Bama crushing Michigan, the 14pt spread was too much for me to bite though...  I definitely like Bama in this one, just not gonna bet it

Now that Michigan has suspended their starting RB for the Bama game, -14 might not be too far fetched. Now they can focus on stopping Robinson for the most part.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: MuskogeeHogFan on August 31, 2012, 06:36:11 pm
When I checked earlier in the week my line was mich st -6.5, but was afraid it would go up. Be a nice 3 unit hit if it comes thru.

It is a bit of a risk, not knowing how Boise will respond with a new QB, but I kinda like the current odds, Boise +7-1/2.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 31, 2012, 06:52:08 pm
Anybody know who Boise suspended? Usually the whales get info like this, u would have expected the line to move in favor of msu,  not Boise.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 31, 2012, 07:31:17 pm
Just takes one stupid play like that to turn a profit to a loss.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 31, 2012, 07:53:00 pm
I can't believe Mayweather put 3 mil on Michigan tomorrow.  I was leaning Michigan and the points early in the week, but more and more thinking bama. Just don't know if Michigan will be able to score.  Still undecided on that one.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on August 31, 2012, 09:25:14 pm
Sweet fancy Moses.  Mich St can't wait to get it back so they can turn it over again.  Left sooo many points on the board tonight.  I'm going to bed.  Tomorrow is a new day and maybe Sparty will improve while I sleep. :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on August 31, 2012, 10:20:15 pm
4 yards away from a win....and all those opportunities sparty left. Terrible.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on August 31, 2012, 10:22:40 pm
4 yards away from a win....and all those opportunities sparty left. Terrible.

2 times in back to back nights, beat by a conservative offense. Kick a FG for my sake. Both games had the same spread, same ending score, and both teams had a chance to cover. Unbelievable.

Never thought I'd say this, but thank God for Tennessee or I'd be 0-3 right now.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on August 31, 2012, 10:33:00 pm
Record: 1-2, up .5 unit

Time to go ahead and get my picks in for tomorrow.
OU -30 - 2 units
Clemson -2.5 - 2 units
Ark State +37 - 1 unit
Notre Dame -14.5 - 1 unit
Northwestern PK - .5unit
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 01, 2012, 06:51:58 am
Troy -6
ISU +1.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 01, 2012, 07:10:31 am
2 times in back to back nights, beat by a conservative offense. Kick a FG for my sake. Both games had the same spread, same ending score, and both teams had a chance to cover. Unbelievable.

Never thought I'd say this, but thank God for Tennessee or I'd be 0-3 right now.


Wow me too.  I am 0-3 and down 6 units going into Saturday #1
Two games in a row taking the knee unreal.  Oh well it happens. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 01, 2012, 07:15:25 am
I am breaking one of my own rules, and I am on too many games today, but I am locked and loaded on my picks alread.

OU-30   3 unit play       I may add to that one later.
W.VA-25  2 unit play
Colorado ST +6 1 unit
FL -28   2 unit play
Bama -14 2 units
San Diego ST +14.5   2 unit play
Clemson -2.5  2 unit play (this one feels so right, but scres the hell out of me.betting against any SEC team playing out of conference)
ISU +1.5   2 unit play.


Let's see what the day holds.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 01, 2012, 09:36:31 am
Added....
OU -30
Clem -2.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 01, 2012, 10:26:34 am
as of right now....

northwestern +1 at cuse
Florida international +3 at Duke

1-2 on the year

likely more.to.come
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Oliver on September 01, 2012, 10:31:21 am
Anybody know who Boise suspended? Usually the whales get info like this, u would have expected the line to move in favor of msu,  not Boise.

Boise usually plays their first game of the year well.  They play very well when they have lots of time to prepare.  I actually picked Boise St to win in pick'ems and definitely would have played them to cover the spread.  While Mich St missed a lot of opportunities, that pick Boise threw in the end zone early in the game hurt too
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 01, 2012, 10:32:08 am
added.....

Iowa St. +2 at Tulsa
ou -30

barking with the dogs today
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: LGHOG on September 01, 2012, 11:04:14 am
WV covers
OU covers
BC +2.5
South Alabama SU
Florida covers


Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: HoneyNuttPetrinoos on September 01, 2012, 11:09:38 am
Picks in..  didn't like my leans lol

Auburn/Clemson over 55.5
Ohio/Penn St under 45
Tulsa/Iowa St over 51
Arizona -10.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 01, 2012, 02:39:52 pm
Northwestern was up 35-13. Now trail 41-35. Are you kidding me?


as of right now....

northwestern +1 at cuse
Florida international +3 at Duke

1-2 on the year

likely more.to.come
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 01, 2012, 03:09:58 pm
This is why I enjoy sports investing.  I wouldn't have cared about northwestern and Syracuse otherwise and it turned into a pretty good game. Just glad it went my way for once.

RECORD UPDATED : 2-2
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 01, 2012, 11:03:51 pm
Well, started out Thursday and Friday 0-2, then went on a 4-0 tear with Oklahoma left to play

Loses
SC -6.5 @ Vandy….2*
Mich St -7 vs Boise St….2*
Oklahoma -31 @ UTEP....2*
 
Wins
Tennessee -3 @ NC State….1*
Ohio +6 @ Penn St….1*
Miami -2 @ BC….1*
Clemson -3 (bought .5 point) vs Auburn….2*

Left to finish

 


2012-2013 CFB
  Record 4-3-0 (57%)    Profit - $-160     Bankroll $1840    ROI -8%
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Great Hambino on September 01, 2012, 11:04:37 pm
I got paid today.

Floyd Mayweather did not.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 01, 2012, 11:17:47 pm
Record: 1-2, up .5 unit

Time to go ahead and get my picks in for tomorrow.
OU -30 - 2 units
Clemson -2.5 - 2 units
Ark State +37 - 1 unit
Notre Dame -14.5 - 1 unit
Northwestern PK - .5unit

Well 'm definitely up on the day. Doesn't look like Malzahn or Stoops will help me out much, but I'll always take a winning day.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 01, 2012, 11:37:02 pm
Thursday 1-1
South carolina-7 L
Byu -11 W

Friday 0-1
Mich St. -7 L

Saturday (2-2)
Northwestern +1 W
Iowa St. +3 W
Fla intl +2 L
OU -30 L (Technically not over but its all but over.)

3-4 for the weekend.


Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 02, 2012, 12:47:26 am
Not a bad days work will...Congrats.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 02, 2012, 12:59:51 am
My main concern is how far off I was on the 3 I lost. Especially Oklahoma. WOW at UTEP hanging with them.

Gonna do a little more looking and studying this week, or it's gonna be a long season.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 02, 2012, 01:27:06 am
WC, you had a lot of company w/ the OU bet (me included). OU (or Utep, depending how you look at it) fooled a lot of people today.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 02, 2012, 07:50:31 am
Well on Sat I went 6-2

OU and Florida were me two losses


Winners were.
Bama
Clemson
Colorado St
Iowa St
W VA
San Diego St


Up 6 units sat.  But was down 6 from Thur and Fri


So I am down the Juice or essentially a little of half of one unit.

6-5 for the season


I said I wasn't gonna play KY Louisville today, but I might.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 02, 2012, 10:09:51 am
Woke up to an email saying I won the ou utep game because apparently I accidentally bet on utep...so while its good news, for all intents and purposes,  I went with Oklahoma and posted as such so I'm counting it a loss.

Today I'm on Kentucky +14
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 02, 2012, 10:15:08 am
Woke up to an email saying I won the ou utep game because apparently I accidentally bet on utep...so while its good news, for all intents and purposes,  I went with Oklahoma and posted as such so I'm counting it a loss.

Today I'm on Kentucky +14


Lmao. That is hilarious.  Had that been me and I accidentally bet the wrong team no way I would have won.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 02, 2012, 12:16:20 pm

Lmao. That is hilarious.  Had that been me and I accidentally bet the wrong team no way I would have won.

I have hoped many times I accidentally clicked the wrong team but its never happened before.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 02, 2012, 12:49:04 pm
Well playing Kentucky +14 for 2 units.  May end up kicking myself.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 02, 2012, 03:00:08 pm
Took Louisville -14 for .5. Little bet, prob should have went big
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 02, 2012, 03:07:07 pm
Solid day yesterday going 4-1, only loss was OU.  Record now sits at 5-3, and I'm up 3 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 02, 2012, 05:16:37 pm
Well playing Kentucky +14 for 2 units.  May end up kicking myself.

Kick the UK running backs while u are at it. They cost us a profit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 02, 2012, 05:44:14 pm
Added SMU/Baylor over 57 for 1 unit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 02, 2012, 06:40:39 pm
Kick the UK running backs while u are at it. They cost us a profit.


Sure did.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: jkstock04 on September 02, 2012, 09:24:14 pm
Wound up going 3-0 on the weekend....up an even 2 units on the year.  Everything went pretty much how I figured it would. 

My only mistake was not taking advantage of the Bama-Michigan game like I should have....instead of a 1 unit bet it I should have at least bet 2...probably 3 on that one. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 03, 2012, 12:06:48 am
Week 1 Results: 6-3, +4 units....I'll take it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 03, 2012, 07:40:43 am
6-6. Minus 2 units.  Worrisome part is I usually kill it week one.  Oh well see if I can pick a winner tonight and have a great week next week.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: LGHOG on September 03, 2012, 08:26:14 am
We need to petition Lanny to start a new forum for handicapping. Sound like a good idea?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 03, 2012, 09:31:32 am
Wound up going 3-0 on the weekend....up an even 2 units on the year.  Everything went pretty much how I figured it would. 

My only mistake was not taking advantage of the Bama-Michigan game like I should have....instead of a 1 unit bet it I should have at least bet 2...probably 3 on that one.

Hindsight is always 20/20  ;)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 03, 2012, 09:38:16 am

WVU -23.5 vs Marshall -- $55.    W

WVU vs Marshall 65 OVER -- $40.   W

Oregon -34.5 vs Arkansas State (I'll admit to having a bit of betters remorse here) -- $55.   L - cant believe this one, was 29-0 after the 1st quarter and had it covered going into the 4th...

OU -30.5 vs UTEP -- $50.   L - along with the rest of the board it sounds like lol

Michigan State -7 vs Boise State -- $10    L

Navy +15.5 vs Notre Dame -- $10.   L

Hawaii +42 vs USC -- $30.   W

BANK: 225
PROFIT: -25
RECORD: 3-4-0


Not the best weekend, but not bad. need to study up some more this week!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 03, 2012, 11:22:47 am
I'm looking at the opening lines, and my favorite of the year so far is

Georgia -3.5 @ Mizzou....2*

Gonna go ahead and put this one down. This may be the first 5* lock of the year by the time the game gets here.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 03, 2012, 12:59:48 pm
I'm looking at the opening lines, and my favorite of the year so far is

Georgia -3.5 @ Mizzou....2*

Gonna go ahead and put this one down. This may be the first 5* lock of the year by the time the game gets here.

You really like this one huh? What do you like about the matchup?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 03, 2012, 01:00:18 pm
Anyone betting the cowboys game?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 03, 2012, 03:27:23 pm
You really like this one huh? What do you like about the matchup?

Georgia has better athletes, better coaches, they are going to win the SEC East, and may go undefeated until the SECCG. Georgia is the best team in the East, and it won't even be close this weekend. Mizzou gets a RUDE awakening this weekend.

I also hate Mizzou, and Georgia is my 3rd favorite SEC team.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 03, 2012, 04:16:17 pm
On va tech -6.5 do 3 units tonight!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on September 03, 2012, 05:08:11 pm
On va tech -6.5 do 3 units tonight!

Me too but I got a teaser Va Tech -1.5 and over 41
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 03, 2012, 06:02:01 pm
How do you guys like Washington @ lsu -22 this weekend?

Night game in baton rouge. Lsu looked less than dominant this past week against north texas. While Washington beat San Diego St 21-12.

Lsu usually gets up for big night games. Washingtons defense is supposedly revamped after a terrible last year.

Thoughts?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 03, 2012, 06:05:28 pm
VT tonight -7.5. Unit
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 03, 2012, 06:06:20 pm
How do you guys like Washington @ lsu -22 this weekend?

Night game in baton rouge. Lsu looked less than dominant this past week against north texas. While Washington beat San Diego St 21-12.

Lsu usually gets up for big night games. Washingtons defense is supposedly revamped after a terrible last year.

Thoughts?

Bet your account on LSU.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 03, 2012, 07:15:09 pm
Kinda what I'm thinking bluto. I know they only beat north tx by 27, but I'm thinking they will be out to prove a point Saturday, especially after seeing what bama did to michigan.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 03, 2012, 07:40:25 pm
How do you guys like Washington @ lsu -22 this weekend?

Night game in baton rouge. Lsu looked less than dominant this past week against north texas. While Washington beat San Diego St 21-12.

Lsu usually gets up for big night games. Washingtons defense is supposedly revamped after a terrible last year.

Thoughts?

liking LSU -22.  Night game for LSU.  You can revamp a Defense but if you still have a majority of the same guys starting you can only improve so much... LSU oughta run all over them. 

Quick question, how much does 1 unit mean for yall?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 03, 2012, 07:46:22 pm
I was wondering the same thing Huckleberry.
Thanks for the thoughts.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 03, 2012, 07:54:19 pm

Quick question, how much does 1 unit mean for yall?

$10...I only bet what I can afford to lose since I'm such a crappy bettor (approx 40% career record).
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 03, 2012, 08:00:16 pm
liking LSU -22.  Night game for LSU.  You can revamp a Defense but if you still have a majority of the same guys starting you can only improve so much... LSU oughta run all over them. 

Quick question, how much does 1 unit mean for yall?

1 unit for me is a hundo, and generally is in most cases. However to some one unit is 10.00 or a grand.  Just depends.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 03, 2012, 08:06:09 pm
1 unit for me is a hundo, and generally is in most cases. However to some one unit is 10.00 or a grand.  Just depends.

or a milli if you're mr. mayweather
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 03, 2012, 08:06:31 pm
Jeff any thoughts on the LSU spread?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 03, 2012, 08:44:37 pm
We need to petition Lanny to start a new forum for handicapping. Sound like a good idea?

YESSSSS
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 03, 2012, 10:00:54 pm
YESSSSS

Trust me guys, I started campaigning for this about 3 or 4 years ago. It isn't happening. I kind of like it being allowed to be posted in MMQB anyway, because even if someone isn't betting they're more tempted to post in this thread anyway. If it gets moved, we wouldn't get anyone's opinion but our own, over, over and over, and over, and over.

I like being able to gather the different opinions and thoughts. It works better this way IMO.

I'm also not liking many spreads this week. Outside of Georgia, there may only be 3-4 more games I even look at.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 03, 2012, 10:17:18 pm
Trust me guys, I started campaigning for this about 3 or 4 years ago. It isn't happening. I kind of like it being allowed to be posted in MMQB anyway, because even if someone isn't betting they're more tempted to post in this thread anyway. If it gets moved, we wouldn't get anyone's opinion but our own, over, over and over, and over, and over.

I like being able to gather the different opinions and thoughts. It works better this way IMO.

I'm also not liking many spreads this week. Outside of Georgia, there may only be 3-4 more games I even look at.

Didnt think about that Will.  Good points.  And after quickly skimming the lines I was thinking the same thing.. How do you feel about the LSU spread Will?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 03, 2012, 10:22:00 pm
some of you are fixing to be really happy, or really sad in the next few mins.

Now isn't the time to get conservative if you're a gambler
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 03, 2012, 10:23:15 pm
Just saw this thread, I don't venture into MMQB that often but these were my week one pics:

Vandy +7.5 win
Wagner +17.5 win
Hawaii +40 win
MSU -8 loss
Navy +15 loss

I usually bet 5 games per week.  I generally like picking home dogs, I just go with my gut.  I don't really bet for the money, just to give me interest in games I would not care about otherwise.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 03, 2012, 10:30:16 pm
Didnt think about that Will.  Good points.  And after quickly skimming the lines I was thinking the same thing.. How do you feel about the LSU spread Will?

I don't like the LSU game. I'm not saying that they can't win by 23, but I just don't feel comfortable with that game. Washington barely beat San Diego, so I think the spread is set up for most of the public to jump on LSU. I typically like to go the other way when I see this type of line after either team plays a bad game. There is no way I would put money on Washington +23, and as explained above, there is no way I would put money on LSU -23, so it is a no bet.

I'll be more into it this week, and should have some good feelings by Tuesday/Wednesday.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 03, 2012, 10:32:05 pm
some of you are fixing to be really happy, or really sad in the next few mins.

Now isn't the time to get conservative if you're a gambler


Wow, 3 times in a week for some of you...

Jeff, hasn't been a good week for you in close games. All they had to do was run a real play and get it in the EZ. They were on the 1 foot line. Sorry bro, but next week can't be this bad.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 04, 2012, 06:29:34 am
Wow, 3 times in a week for some of you...

Jeff, hasn't been a good week for you in close games. All they had to do was run a real play and get it in the EZ. They were on the 1 foot line. Sorry bro, but next week can't be this bad.


Man worst week I have had in years.  Glad it's over.  Oh well just get geared up for next week.  It happens. Never like it when it does though :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 04, 2012, 08:11:01 am
My track record betting UGA has been terrible (of course, my overall record is poor, ha).  Any game over the past 4-5 years that UGA won but didn't cover, has my fingerprints on it.  You couldn't try to bet a team worse than I have UGA.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 04, 2012, 08:42:41 am
My track record betting UGA has been terrible (of course, my overall record is poor, ha).  Any game over the past 4-5 years that UGA won but didn't cover, has my fingerprints on it.  You couldn't try to bet a team worse than I have UGA.

Just bought a point and took Georgia at -2.5  -  $50 bet
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on September 04, 2012, 11:46:46 am
Me too but I got a teaser Va Tech -1.5 and over 41

Stupid Ga Tech QB, don't throw an INT in OT.  if they kick the FG Va Tech score the TD and boom I cover both.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 04, 2012, 12:31:51 pm
Really liking Florida +1.5 @ TAMU.

Also keeping an eye on the Wyoming v Toledo matchup. Toledo started out a 2.5 point favorite, 70% of the money is coming in on Toledo, but the line has moved to Wyoming -3.

Pitt opened up as a 2 point favorite v Cincy, and now the line has shifted to Cincy being a 4 point favorite. I'm liking Pitt in this one because I think the line opened at a place that encouraged MANY bets on Cincy due to Pitt's poor showing against Youngstown St.

Honestly don't see much more I am liking. I saw some curious line movement in the Houston v La Tech game, but I'll have to dig a little more before I put it down as a lean, much less a pick.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 04, 2012, 12:55:29 pm
Ya'll bet any NFL games?

I am a die hard cowboys fan but I bet the Giants at -4.  It is at giants stadium, they will be hangin the banner, fans and players will be pumped, that place is gonna be electric.  Can't think of the last time a team went in and beat the defending super bowl champs at their home stadium for the season opener.

Love my Cowboys, but I just dont think they get it done.  And after all the years of watching them choke leads away, maybe this time I can at least get paid for the pain I will inevitably feel. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 04, 2012, 06:25:03 pm
Ya'll bet any NFL games?

I am a die hard cowboys fan but I bet the Giants at -4.  It is at giants stadium, they will be hangin the banner, fans and players will be pumped, that place is gonna be electric.  Can't think of the last time a team went in and beat the defending super bowl champs at their home stadium for the season opener.

Love my Cowboys, but I just dont think they get it done.  And after all the years of watching them choke leads away, maybe this time I can at least get paid for the pain I will inevitably feel. 

Just hope the Giants don't win by 3! I think that is a pretty good bet with the Giants being at home and Witten likely sitting.  There is a lot riding on it both ways though with that kid's future fandom at stake.

I'll bet 1 or 2 games in the NFL a week, and historically have a better record there. My heart is in college football though, so I feel I know more and that usually gets my action.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 04, 2012, 06:50:07 pm
Just hope the Giants don't win by 3! I think that is a pretty good bet with the Giants being at home and Witten likely sitting.  There is a lot riding on it both ways though with that kid's future fandom at stake.

I'll bet 1 or 2 games in the NFL a week, and historically have a better record there. My heart is in college football though, so I feel I know more and that usually gets my action.

Well if anyone is interested I bet the Patriots at -6 vs the Titans.  I dont think the Titans have what it takes to keep up with the Pats.  I dont think the Pats blow them out but I am expecting a 7-13 point win here for the Pats. 

Also picked up the Houston Texans at -12 vs Miami.  I know -12 is a big spread but Miami very well may be the worst team in the league this year.  Poor running game, rookie qb that wasnt even proven in college, and no targets for that qb to throw to.  They are also going against a top 5 defense.  Think Houston wins by at least 2 TD's here. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on September 05, 2012, 08:09:55 am
Why is A&M favored? I really like Florida +1.5. I figured Florida would be around a 3 point favorite.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Karma on September 05, 2012, 08:14:55 am
Why is A&M favored? I really like Florida +1.5. I figured Florida would be around a 3 point favorite.
Florida may be really bad.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on September 05, 2012, 08:25:00 am
Florida may be really bad.

I know. I'm really worried about their QB/offensive situation. However, I don't see how one could be any more confident in A&M's QB/offensive situation. If you look at defenses, well Florida is supposed to have a top ten, if not five, D this season so I gotta like 'em here catching a point and a half.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2012, 08:55:01 am
Not playing the Giants / Cows tonight.  Despise the cows so much it clouds my judgement. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 05, 2012, 09:09:28 am
Georgia -2 is in the bank.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 05, 2012, 09:17:07 am
Georgia -2 is in the bank.

wow, i got them at -2.5 and had to buy a point. if the giants cover tonight and i win my bet, i might put some more money on this one
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 05, 2012, 09:18:49 am
whats with mississippi state this year? They are favored by 3 against Aurburn and we are only favored by -6.5 against Mississippi State.  They must have a better team than I thought
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: LGHOG on September 05, 2012, 09:29:32 am
Not playing the Giants / Cows tonight.  Despise the cows so much it clouds my judgement.


Totally agree.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2012, 09:44:14 am
whats with mississippi state this year? They are favored by 3 against Aurburn and we are only favored by -6.5 against Mississippi State.  They must have a better team than I thought

Don't put too much into lines as far out as miss st and Arkansas.  Much could change between now and then.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 05, 2012, 10:20:50 am
Don't put too much into lines as far out as miss st and Arkansas.  Much could change between now and then.

Agreed.  Was surprised to see them favored over Auburn though
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 05, 2012, 11:20:07 am
I don't know if I want to touch tonight's game. The Giants were piss poor early last year, they didn't get hot until later in the season. Dallas +4 seems tempting. O/U at 45.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 05, 2012, 12:27:04 pm
wow, i got them at -2.5 and had to buy a point. if the giants cover tonight and i win my bet, i might put some more money on this one

My site's line was -3 yesterday, and I decided to get on today before it moved to -4 or -5 and saw it had moved to -2.

Maybe a guru can explain that to me but that seems crazy to me.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2012, 05:20:13 pm
Not claiming to be a guru, but will give some facts.

Dallas Cowgirls lines are always skewed.  They are never an accurate line.  Reasons

#1. Cowboy fans are delusional and will put money on them no matter the line.  Vegas makes a KILLING on cow fans all the time.

The cows " so called America's team". Have a huge following from one country to our south.  They have bookies as well with ties to Vegas.  When they get more than they can handle they run the rest thru the big boys so as not to lose their ass.

#2. Cow fans have people that bet on them when they will bet no other games all season, or any other sport.

Vegas is in the business they are to make money and nothing else.  Get a huge group I emotional suckers and they smile.

The cows may win tonight, but the oddsmakers will make a killing on cow fans before seasons end.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2012, 05:21:44 pm
My site's line was -3 yesterday, and I decided to get on today before it moved to -4 or -5 and saw it had moved to -2.

Maybe a guru can explain that to me but that seems crazy to me.

Money and injuries move the line.  I mean big money.  Not the 100.00 per game player.  Not even the 1000.00 player. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 05, 2012, 05:24:55 pm
*edit*

Surprising win tonight by the 'boys.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 05, 2012, 05:51:03 pm
Money and injuries move the line.  I mean big money.  Not the 100.00 per game player.  Not even the 1000.00 player. 

Just can't wrap my head around why the "big money" would be on Mizzou +2.  I like home dogs as much as the next guy but come on.  I'd have expected this spread to be 7.5.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2012, 07:17:03 pm
Just can't wrap my head around why the "big money" would be on Mizzou +2.  I like home dogs as much as the next guy but come on.  I'd have expected this spread to be 7.5.

A lot of that may be the unknown factor.  Georgia has Been erratic at best for years.  Never know what team is going to show up.  I agree however that I would take Georgia, and probably will.  Odds for teams Missouri and A&m ply may go higher as the year goes on.  Right now everyone should be fresh for both teams.  Let's see how well the tigers are doing physically in 6 or 7 weeks.

Still a ton of unknowns in college ball in week 2
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 05, 2012, 07:18:39 pm
Also when I replied earlier I thought you were talking about the line in the cowboys and Giants.  My apologies there.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on September 06, 2012, 08:36:17 am
Anyone like Cincy tonight? -4 I think.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 06, 2012, 08:46:00 am
last night was the best $50 i've ever lost.  The addition of Brandon Carr and Morris Claiborne really made a huge difference from last years team.  It allowed the Cowboys D to not worry about the receivers and focus on pressuring the QB and stopping the run.  Night and day difference from last years D. 

Offense looked much better than I expected too.  O Line still needs some work but if Demarco Murray can stay healthy and we can have a solid run game to open up the passing game, this will be a very good Cowboys team.

Still very early, but I like what I saw and think we are much better than we were last year.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 06, 2012, 09:37:32 am
last night was the best $50 i've ever lost.  The addition of Brandon Carr and Morris Claiborne really made a huge difference from last years team.  It allowed the Cowboys D to not worry about the receivers and focus on pressuring the QB and stopping the run.  Night and day difference from last years D. 

Offense looked much better than I expected too.  O Line still needs some work but if Demarco Murray can stay healthy and we can have a solid run game to open up the passing game, this will be a very good Cowboys team.

Still very early, but I like what I saw and think we are much better than we were last year.


Didn't help the G-men that they were playing with 4th and 5th corners on the field all night.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 06, 2012, 09:38:04 am
On the Bearcats tonight -4 /  2 unit play.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 06, 2012, 10:07:59 am
Yeah, because Dallas o-line was in such great shape.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 06, 2012, 11:07:25 am
Yeah, because Dallas o-line was in such great shape.

Exactly....scary at times last night, ha.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 06, 2012, 11:46:40 am
On the Bearcats tonight -4 /  2 unit play.

I hope your right, over 80% of bet coming in on Cincy, 5 Pitt starters are back for this game, plus Pitt playing with a fire lit under their arse
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 06, 2012, 01:37:10 pm

Didn't help the G-men that they were playing with 4th and 5th corners on the field all night.

Don't get me wrong, that helped big time.  But this is the NFL, thats how it goes.  Cowboys were still finally able to establish a running game and thats what ended up hurting the G-men the most.  Cant bring a full on pass rush when you have to also watch for the run.  Infact there were several times that Murray had a nice hole because the Giants D-ends would come in too aggressive.  Once their pass rush was minimized, Romo had time to throw and we were able to pick on those 4th and 5th corners. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on September 06, 2012, 05:18:57 pm
Well I am actually off to an average start. 

2-2 on announced picks actually ended up betting the BYU game on Thursday after USCe crapped the bed but I will only keep up with what I announced. 

USCE  -6.5  L   $100
Clemson  -3.5  W  $100
Tenner +2.5 and Mich St. -1.5 in 2 team teaser   W   $100
Va Tech -1.5 and over 41 in 2 team teaser  L    $100

Going to go Cinci tonight at -5 for $100
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 06, 2012, 05:25:51 pm
On Pitt +5

4-3 record.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 06, 2012, 06:50:03 pm
Cincinnati -5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 06, 2012, 07:57:00 pm
On Pitt +5


Yikes, so far.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 06, 2012, 09:12:45 pm
Yikes, so far.

Big yikes! glad i didnt bet this one
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 06, 2012, 09:24:46 pm
Big yikes! glad i didnt bet this one

No doubt (waving white flag)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on September 06, 2012, 11:07:26 pm
I really like Ole Miss -8.  Not really sure why, just have a gut feeling they will crush them. 

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 06, 2012, 11:26:44 pm
I just put 5 units on UGA -2.  Of course, that's probably equal to one of some of your units but I just can't imagine this game being close.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: soooieman on September 06, 2012, 11:50:22 pm
I went 11-2 last weekend. (my best weekend ever)
My favorite game this week is East Carolina +21 @ USCE
Can Carolina score 21 on anybody? Especially with Shaw not probable
$100 on it. To me it looks like easy money
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: soooieman on September 06, 2012, 11:53:01 pm
Took E Carolina BTW
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 07, 2012, 12:28:44 am
I went 11-2 last weekend. (my best weekend ever)
My favorite game this week is East Carolina +21 @ USCE
Can Carolina score 21 on anybody? Especially with Shaw not probable
$100 on it. To me it looks like easy money


And here we go. Sooieman I may have missed where you posted your 13 picks against the line before the games were played.  If I overlooked it I apologize.  Otherwise you are in my book 0-0 with your first pick being this east Carolina game.

I suggest you read more of this thread before tossing that out.  If I were a mod I woul just zap your 11-2 claiming post.

I had a horrible week last week and it happens, but I posted beforehand.  Rest assured I will have a great year because I usually do. 

If however I didn't post my picks before the games were played I would tell you I went 11-2 every week.

Sorry Will looks like our plan of actually tracking will go down the tubes again.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 07, 2012, 01:10:28 am
I think we are doing a good job tracking our own record and updating it as we go. We should make it so that u have to update your own record before you post your first game and then again on Sunday.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 07, 2012, 01:10:46 am

And here we go. Sooieman I may have missed where you posted your 13 picks against the line before the games were played.  If I overlooked it I apologize.  Otherwise you are in my book 0-0 with your first pick being this east Carolina game.

I suggest you read more of this thread before tossing that out.  If I were a mod I woul just zap your 11-2 claiming post.

I had a horrible week last week and it happens, but I posted beforehand.  Rest assured I will have a great year because I usually do. 

If however I didn't post my picks before the games were played I would tell you I went 11-2 every week.

Sorry Will looks like our plan of actually tracking will go down the tubes again.



Unfortunately, it didn't even take very long.

And no, you didn't miss it, no one posted 13 picks last week.

I'll have my picks up tomorrow sometime, or maybe Saturday morning, but it will definitely be before the first game kicks off. I'm not liking tomorrow night's game anyway.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 07, 2012, 01:27:31 am
4-5 on the year after the Kentucky loss and the Cincinnati win.   
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 07, 2012, 06:36:39 am
I think we are doing a good job tracking our own record and updating it as we go. We should make it so that u have to update your own record before you post your first game and then again on Sunday.

I'm 4-4, woo hoo!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 07, 2012, 06:40:07 am

And here we go. Sooieman I may have missed where you posted your 13 picks against the line before the games were played.  If I overlooked it I apologize.  Otherwise you are in my book 0-0 with your first pick being this east Carolina game.

I suggest you read more of this thread before tossing that out.  If I were a mod I woul just zap your 11-2 claiming post.

I had a horrible week last week and it happens, but I posted beforehand.  Rest assured I will have a great year because I usually do. 

If however I didn't post my picks before the games were played I would tell you I went 11-2 every week.

Sorry Will looks like our plan of actually tracking will go down the tubes again.



Rule of the thread, for all.

Btw, should I "forget" to post my picks prior to any Sat kick-offs, I too am posting an 11-2 record afterwards. FTW.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: soooieman on September 07, 2012, 07:20:43 am
SORRY Hogville police..I told betonline and not you..You guys need to chill. Jesus. I will post every detail from here on out. I'm not on here everyday and didn't see this post until yesterday..I know that's hard to believe seeing how the world revolves around your topic.
BTW: This morning I had oatmeal and orange juce (no pulp) 
I'll also take Utah to cover the 6.5 tonight
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: soooieman on September 07, 2012, 07:22:16 am
seriously I didn't know or see this until yesterday..I will follow the rules and not say my record last week. Noted
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: soooieman on September 07, 2012, 07:29:44 am
Here are my picks for week 2..I put them all in one post that way it's easier to track..
Utah -6.5 
East Carolina +21
Georgia -2
Miami +7
Okie light  -10.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 07, 2012, 07:34:30 am
SORRY Hogville police..I told betonline and not you..You guys need to chill. Jesus. I will post every detail from here on out. I'm not on here everyday and didn't see this post until yesterday..I know that's hard to believe seeing how the world revolves around your topic.
BTW: This morning I had oatmeal and orange juce (no pulp) 
I'll also take Utah to cover the 6.5 tonight


It's really not that big a deal.  Was just ironic because we had a full page or so discussion about that before the first college game this year.  We all share advice and so forth and so on.  I wouldn't have read all 20 pages or whatever either.

Sorry if I sounded too harsh. In this thread we will not correct you grammar or punctuation, or even diagram your sentences.  We simply want you to post your picks before the games are played :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 07, 2012, 08:33:24 am

We simply want you to post your picks before the games are played :)

Recall how many people you might know that tell you when they lose at the casino.  You might know some, but generally speaking, most won't tell you when they lost.  The only time they talk about the casino is when they win.

Likewise, I know very few people that will volunteer lost bets in sports.  My buddies at work are pimping the winning bets on Monday, but don't tell you about those that lost (again, generally speaking).

Same thing here, it's more than coincidence that NOBODY comes on this thread after a weekend of bets to acknowledge their losses if they didn't post them ahead of time....there's simply no accountability to do so.  But they sure talk about those weekends of wins that weren't posted ahead of time.  Why is it we never see someone, who didn't post their bets ahead of time, come on and say they went 3-5 or .500?  We've discussed this ad nauseum on this thread....but it's always a killer win % w/ a massive amount of bets that happened to not be posted ahead of time.  Just once, I'd like to see someone that didn't post their picks ahead of time be accountable and own up to a bad weekend...."hey guys, I didn't post my picks on Fri or Sat, or before the kick-off of the so-and-so game, but I went 3-5 this weekend"....just once I'd like to see this.  But the accountability isn't there.  It gets in my crawl when someone doesn't post their bets before the weekend or before a game, then promotes only the good weekends afterwards.

Sorry to sound like I'm bad-mouthing you, Soooieman.  I truly hope good success to your betting and don't wish ill of you -- you're just the most recent target for this activity.  I trust you really did kick arse this past weekend.  Frankly, I suck at betting, but continue to do so b/c I have fun doing it and don't bet more than I can afford to lose.  I enjoy talking lines on here and respect people for posting their picks, then discussing afterward some of the games (go Pitt?!?, ugh).

Again, I'm not trying to be a jackhole, but the first time someone posts a losing or .500 weekend that didn't post their picks ahead of time, will be, well, the first.

/rant
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on September 07, 2012, 08:36:10 am
3-2 

USCE  -6.5  L   $100
Clemson  -3.5  W  $100
Tenner +2.5 and Mich St. -1.5 in 2 team teaser   W   $100
Va Tech -1.5 and over 41 in 2 team teaser  L    $100
Cinci  -4    W  $100

Leaning Ole Miss -8, Georgia -2, Texans-13, lions -8, Falcons -3. 

I really want to get on Florida, I just have a bad feeling about them after that offensive explosion last week. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: soooieman on September 07, 2012, 08:40:26 am
It's not harsh guys I understand. I did lose my arse on OU last weekend. Can't believe they didn't cover.
Am I too confident in the E Carolina pick? 21 just seems like a lot of points. God I love gambling haha!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 07, 2012, 08:58:16 am
It's not harsh guys I understand. I did lose my arse on OU last weekend. Can't believe they didn't cover.
Am I too confident in the E Carolina pick? 21 just seems like a lot of points. God I love gambling haha!


Haven't looked at that game yet.  Sounds like a solid bet, but would like to look it over first.  What do the pirates have on defense?  Will Lattimore run at will and wear them down to the point any back runs over them in the second half?

Will east Carolina be able to move the ball at all?  Not sure what they have coming back from last year.  They seemed for a while to be a program on the rise, but seems like they took a step backward.  Will look it over tonight.

So after a lot of rambling on my part easy answer is I don't know :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 07, 2012, 09:01:10 am
It's not harsh guys I understand. I did lose my arse on OU last weekend. Can't believe they didn't cover.
Am I too confident in the E Carolina pick? 21 just seems like a lot of points. God I love gambling haha!

Sportsbooks must have cleaned up on the OU game, b/c I haven't seen or heard from anyone that had $ on the dog (me included).
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on September 07, 2012, 09:05:57 am
sup playas
Lean: UGA -2, Miami +7, Tex A&M pick, Iowa St -4, and Wisconson -7
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on September 07, 2012, 09:06:21 am
I'm goin into hibernation if i do as bad as last week
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 07, 2012, 09:07:42 am
WVU -23.5 vs Marshall -- $55.    W

WVU vs Marshall 65 OVER -- $40.   W

Oregon -34.5 vs Arkansas State (I'll admit to having a bit of betters remorse here) -- $55.   L - cant believe this one, was 29-0 after the 1st quarter and had it covered going into the 4th...

OU -30.5 vs UTEP -- $50.   L - along with the rest of the board it sounds like lol

Michigan State -7 vs Boise State -- $10    L

Navy +15.5 vs Notre Dame -- $10.   L

Hawaii +42 vs USC -- $30.   W

BANK: 225
PROFIT: -25
RECORD: 3-4-0


This was my record last week, going into this week 3-4.  I am only betting one college game this week and that is Georgia at -2.5.  Just didnt see a lot of attractive lines.  Have $50 on them but when I bought them they were at -3.5 so I bought a point, therefore my payout will only be $33.  Should have been more patient on this one.  This week's summary for college...

UGA -2.5 vs Mizzou -- $50

BANK: 225
PROFIT: -25
RECORD: 3-4-0


Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 07, 2012, 09:09:12 am
Sportsbooks must have cleaned up on the OU game, b/c I haven't seen or heard from anyone that had $ on the dog (me included).

Had to! no one I know bet UTEP and when I looked at the betting trends on sportsbook i think like 95% of the money was going OU's way
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 07, 2012, 09:14:52 am
My picks:

UGA -2 (5 units)
Florida pick (1 unit)
Vandy -3 (2 units)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 07, 2012, 09:15:37 am
I will say I have money on several NFL games this weekend and will post those just so yall can keep track of my overall record, not just college...

Giants (New York) -4 vs Cowboys (Dallas) -- $50.    L

Lions (Detroit) -7.5 vs Rams (St. Louis) -- $50.    TBD

Texans (Houston) -12 vs Dolphins (Miami) -- $75.    TBD

Patriots (New England) vs Titans (Tennessee) -- $50.    TBD
   
Bank: 225
Profit: -50
Record: 0-1
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 07, 2012, 09:16:09 am
Boomless Sooners kicked my butt too!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 07, 2012, 09:20:32 am

I really want to get on Florida, I just have a bad feeling about them after that offensive explosion last week. 

Vegas isn't in the biz to lose, but initially seeing the Ags as favs for this game was something I just couldn't accept.  But now it has moved from +2.5 UF, to -1 UF, so I feel now that things are as they should be in the world of CFB, ha.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 07, 2012, 09:26:10 am
Last week 6-7. Down 5 units for the week. 

FYI for me my week always ends after the MNF. Game or in the case of last week the VA tech debacle.  My week starts with first game after that.

So far this week 1-0. Up 2 units.  Not gonna adjust my total till weeks end.  Started week down 5 units and will take what happens after mon night and adjust yearly total.  So rather than saying I am still down 3 for the year I prefer to look at it as I am up 2 for this week.  Keeps me in a better gambling state of mind :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 07, 2012, 09:32:43 am
since i have not used this thread yet (haven't bet in over a year)  I won't gloat about my success last weekend (cough cough 4-1).



UGA 2 units

Au/MSU under 47 1 unit

Kentucky -7 1 unit



Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: soooieman on September 07, 2012, 09:35:17 am
The Florida/A&M game  scares the crap out of me.  Have no idea how the aggs will come out. I know that Florida won't be in awe of the atmosphere because it's par for the SEC.  I'll be making the short drive from Fort Worth in 3 weeks which reminds me..Does anybody have extra tickets?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 07, 2012, 09:38:22 am
The Florida/A&M game  scares the crap out of me.  Have no idea how the aggs will come out. I know that Florida won't be in awe of the atmosphere because it's par for the SEC.  I'll be making the short drive from Fort Worth in 3 weeks which reminds me..Does anybody have extra tickets?

I'm in Fort Worth as well.  Not sure if I am going or not, and I also do not have tickets.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 07, 2012, 09:41:24 am
Any degenerates like me going to take the Utah-Utah St. game tonight just to have some action?  Utah -7 right now. O/U 52 1/2
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 07, 2012, 09:43:28 am
Any degenerates like me going to take the Utah-Utah St. game tonight just to have some action?  Utah +7 right now. O/U 52 1/2

I will probably flip a coin and go small haha.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: soooieman on September 07, 2012, 09:44:16 am
Any degenerates like me going to take the Utah-Utah St. game tonight just to have some action?  Utah +7 right now. O/U 52 1/2
I took Utah to cover at 6.5 last night..Just to have some interest. It's amazing what you will watch if there is $ involved :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Polecat on September 07, 2012, 09:44:59 am
A State -23 (Memphis is horrible and Wolves (spit) will rebound big)
Florida +1
LSU -24
Georgia -2.5
Ohio St -18
Penn St +10 (Just have a weird gut feeling they'll cover idk)
Utah/Utah St. Over 52.5
Saints Redskins over 50

Did decent last week, including took Cowboys with the money line.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 07, 2012, 09:45:58 am
I am on Utah -6.5 for 2 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 07, 2012, 09:53:11 am
I took Utah to cover at 6.5 last night..Just to have some interest. It's amazing what you will watch if there is $ involved :)

Agreed, ha.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: soooieman on September 07, 2012, 09:54:57 am
I am on Utah -6.5 for 2 units
That's what i'm talking about!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: arkfanchip on September 07, 2012, 10:03:10 am
 Nebraska -5
Miami +7
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 07, 2012, 10:16:05 am
For sure going Notre Dame -14 against Purdue
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 07, 2012, 10:25:28 am
For sure going Notre Dame -14 against Purdue

I don't know anything about ND this year, but the late night ESPN radio guys were talking about Purdue being better this year fwiw. Something tells me that's why they are late night haha.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 07, 2012, 10:35:50 am
Not betting my whole account on them or anything and historically I hate Notre Dame, I just see it as easy money. They thumped Purdue last year at Purdue and ND is better this year. Brian Kelly is a solid HC
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 07, 2012, 10:37:47 am
Ok guys, this is probably a stupid question, but where do you do your betting?  Is it online?  I really want to get started but want to make sure it's above the board, if you know what I mean.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on September 07, 2012, 10:42:13 am
Ok guys, this is probably a stupid question, but where do you do your betting?  Is it online?  I really want to get started but want to make sure it's above the board, if you know what I mean.

I have used most of the online but go offline now.  PM HogfaninTX he was sending some folks some infor on it earlier. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 07, 2012, 10:59:28 am
Ok guys, this is probably a stupid question, but where do you do your betting?  Is it online?  I really want to get started but want to make sure it's above the board, if you know what I mean.

BetUS online. Don't exactly love it, but that's my only option as of now
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 07, 2012, 11:09:57 am
Started 0-1 last week (SCe, 1/2 unit)

This week I like:
Kentucky -6.5 (4 units)

and just for fun have:
Bama -39 (1 unit)
Hogs -30 (1/2 unit)

EDIT: added Utah -7 (1 unit) at the last minute
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 07, 2012, 11:20:46 am
So, here are my picks for the weekend.

Georgia -3.5 @ Mizzou....3*
     I was amazed when this line came out. I thought it would be at least 7, but no way I thought it would be less than 5. I don't see how this isn't free money.
 
Georgia -2.0 @ Mizzou....5*
    See above, I just had to put more on it since the line went down. No way the Bulldogs can't beat Mizzou by more than 3. I don't care where they play, Georgia is head and shoulders the better of the two teams. First 5* lock of the year.

Kentucky -7 v Kent St....1*
     Kentucky can't be that bad...can they?
 
Wisconsin -7 @ Oregon St....1*
     Oregon St is a habitual cellar dwellar and Wisconsin is fighting for a B1G ten and maybe national title. They will win 11 games this year and will probably put Montee Ball in NY come Heisman time. I think a lot of people are focusing too much on their game last week, and Vegas knows this. Don't see this one getting closer than 10-14 all day, except for at kickoff time.
 
Miss St -3 v Auburn....1*
     I like this game because it is basically a pickem. With Miss St's 3 pt home advantage, that puts this game as basically even. I just don't think Auburn can get it done on offense, and they may have the worst secondary in the SEC.

 
2012-2013 CFB
  Record 4-3-0 (57%)    Profit - $-160     Bankroll $1840    ROI -8%
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 07, 2012, 11:23:58 am
So, here are my picks for the weekend.

Georgia -3.5 @ Mizzou....3*
     I was amazed when this line came out. I thought it would be at least 7, but no way I thought it would be less than 5. I don't see how this isn't free money.
 
Georgia -2.0 @ Mizzou....5*
    See above, I just had to put more on it since the line went down. No way the Bulldogs can't beat Mizzou by more than 3. I don't care where they play, Georgia is head and shoulders the better of the two teams. First 5* lock of the year.

Kentucky -7 v Kent St....1*
     Kentucky can't be that bad...can they?
 
Wisconsin -7 @ Oregon St....1*
     Oregon St is a habitual cellar dwellar and Wisconsin is fighting for a B1G ten and maybe national title. They will win 11 games this year and will probably put Montee Ball in NY come Heisman time. I think a lot of people are focusing too much on their game last week, and Vegas knows this. Don't see this one getting closer than 10-14 all day, except for at kickoff time.
 
Miss St -3 v Auburn....1*
     I like this game because it is basically a pickem. With Miss St's 3 pt home advantage, that puts this game as basically even. I just don't think Auburn can get it done on offense, and they may have the worst secondary in the SEC.

 
2012-2013 CFB
  Record 4-3-0 (57%)    Profit - $-160     Bankroll $1840    ROI -8%


Hope you're right on Georgia!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 07, 2012, 11:26:18 am
Hope you're right on Georgia!

You ain't lying, 70% of my bankroll on that game. 85% overall for the week.

This is either gonna be a great season, or a short one based on this week alone.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 07, 2012, 11:30:51 am
Bluto, is it legal? 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 07, 2012, 11:32:34 am
Did not even look at Wisconsin. that's my problem, i often overlook the big ten/pac 10 games in favor of SEC/ACC matchups.

Will add 2 or 3 units to them.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 07, 2012, 11:33:40 am
Bluto, is it legal?

Dr. Starcs, check your messages.  I PM'd you.  we arent supposed to talk about the sites we use on the board.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 07, 2012, 11:34:37 am
You ain't lying, 70% of my bankroll on that game. 85% overall for the week.

This is either gonna be a great season, or a short one based on this week alone.

haha I'll be pulling for ya!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 07, 2012, 11:35:42 am
Bluto, is it legal? 

No, no sports gambling is legal in the united states, unless you live in one of the 4 states that have legalized it. Nevada, Oregon, Montana and now Delaware are the only states that have sports betting laws on the books.

Any online site or bookie that you use, is illegal. None of them are "above the board".
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 07, 2012, 11:42:04 am
Dr. Starcs, check your messages.  I PM'd you.  we arent supposed to talk about the sites we use on the board.


Whoops my bad
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 07, 2012, 11:58:36 am
Thanks for the help guys. Don't know if I'll be brave enough to try it though.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on September 07, 2012, 12:24:43 pm
My picks for the week, $25 on each:

UGA -2 @ Mizzou

ASU -23 vs. Memphis

LSU -24 vs. Washington

Florida -1 @ A&M and/or the under at 50.5.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: soooieman on September 07, 2012, 12:57:07 pm
Is it really illegial to bet online? Even if it's to a foreign country?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 07, 2012, 01:29:01 pm
Is it really illegial to bet online? Even if it's to a foreign country?


Let's just put it this way.  If your online provider gets shut down good luck recouping your money.

This is why I said anyone that doesn't want to play online should shoot me a PM.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: wwwhogfan on September 07, 2012, 01:35:02 pm
Vandy -165 vs Northwestern
Kentucky -275 vs Kent State
Georgia -130 vs Missouri
Savannah State +65 vs Florida State

Going conservative this week. Got burned by the South Carolina spread last week. Also, just couldn't pass up a +65 spread.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 07, 2012, 01:41:39 pm
I'm on Utah -6 tonight
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on September 07, 2012, 02:10:38 pm
I would actually jump on Savannah St is my website provided it
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sooie dog on September 07, 2012, 02:15:25 pm
For sure going Notre Dame -14 against Purdue

I was thinking the opposite considering the miles they covered last weekend. Then again I don't know anything at all about Purdue.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 07, 2012, 02:19:07 pm
Vandy -165 vs Northwestern
Kentucky -275 vs Kent State
Georgia -130 vs Missouri
Savannah State +65 vs Florida State

Going conservative this week. Got burned by the South Carolina spread last week. Also, just couldn't pass up a +65 spread.

Can't believe you are putting 275.00 on KY to win 100.00. I hope you win it and you should, but jeez a Lou.  Got a big set on you I suppose :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 07, 2012, 02:28:41 pm
Any definitive word yet on the possible Georgia suspensions?  (Vasser, Ogletree, Commings, Rambo)  They might be suspended, and it sounds like they have at least a couple of linemen who are dinged up.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sooie dog on September 07, 2012, 02:37:34 pm
Any definitive word yet on the possible Georgia suspensions?  (Vasser, Ogletree, Commings, Rambo)  They might be suspended, and it sounds like they have at least a couple of linemen who are dinged up.

I'm pretty sure they left Rambo and Commings in GA.  Not sure about the others
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 07, 2012, 02:47:28 pm
Any definitive word yet on the possible Georgia suspensions?  (Vasser, Ogletree, Commings, Rambo)  They might be suspended, and it sounds like they have at least a couple of linemen who are dinged up.

son of a... can they not stay out of trouble down there?! ruining my bets
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 07, 2012, 03:06:05 pm
I'm on Utah -6 tonight
my guy had it at -6.5 took it anyway
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hogs derriere on September 07, 2012, 03:10:37 pm
u guys know of any good site to go to compare the teams who are playing each other?
one that has the previous weeks scores and who they played, just a good preview I guess    thanks in advance
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Arctic Hog on September 07, 2012, 03:14:30 pm
Can't believe you are putting 275.00 on KY to win 100.00. I hope you win it and you should, but jeez a Lou.  Got a big set on you I suppose :)

I don't know much about gambling, but I've recently wondered what the money line might be on Alabama/Arkansas.  For instance, it it's Alabama -300, I could take Alabama.  If the Hogs win, I'd be so happy that I wouldn't miss the 3 units.  If Alabama wins, I'd have a unit to drown my sorrows.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 07, 2012, 03:17:10 pm
I don't know much about gambling, but I've recently wondered what the money line might be on Alabama/Arkansas.  For instance, it it's Alabama -300, I could take Alabama.  If the Hogs win, I'd be so happy that I wouldn't miss the 3 units.  If Alabama wins, I'd have a unit to drown my sorrows.


lmao Yeppers.   Crazy like that.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 07, 2012, 03:29:04 pm
Can't believe you are putting 275.00 on KY to win 100.00. I hope you win it and you should, but jeez a Lou.  Got a big set on you I suppose :)

I've actaully had some thought on bets like this.  Saw a few games that a team was favored by -11 or -14 and was thinking if you just bet the line on them cause you know they will win, you could pick up an easy unit.  my cost you a little more to get it, but you are almost guaranteed the unit..
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 07, 2012, 03:32:52 pm
I've actaully had some thought on bets like this.  Saw a few games that a team was favored by -11 or -14 and was thinking if you just bet the line on them cause you know they will win, you could pick up an easy unit.  my cost you a little more to get it, but you are almost guaranteed the unit..


I know the thought process, but he is talking about a game with a line of -7

Bets like that if you lose one in 3 you are right back at square 1

Just not my style.  That is the equivalent of the old days betting the Yankees 300 to win 100 with Clemons on the mound against the royals.  Yep you usually win, but when you don't it really hurts.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 07, 2012, 03:46:00 pm
i wouldnt do it on a -7 spread, but for example the Bears (-10) playing the Colts, you can bet 500 on the bears and pretty much guarantee yourself 100.  I understand what youre sayin hogfanintx, but if the numbers are right id be tempted lol
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 07, 2012, 03:48:35 pm
WILL CLINTON, with the supposed suspensions for Georgia, do you still feel comfortable with your bet?

BTW are these suspensions set in stone? and do we know exactly who is?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 07, 2012, 03:51:22 pm
Here's what I'm on so far:

-- Utah/Ut St   Over 50.5
-- NC St   -3   **auburn lock**
-- UF   -1
-- Wiscy   -7

4-4 record

* edited to include my record thru the grand Pitt bet
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on September 07, 2012, 04:51:58 pm
Here we go:

Utah -7 just for gigs  $40
2 team teaser Wisc -1.5 and Vandy +2.5  $100
2 team teaser Miami +13 and Ole Miss black bears -3  $100
Georgia -2.5 $200, this may increase depending on how the line goes. 

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 07, 2012, 05:25:01 pm
Here we go.  For tomorrow as of now.

Georgia - 2 / 3 unit play

Miami + 7 / 1 unit

Central Michigan + 19.5 / 1 unit

Wisconsin -7 / 3 unit play

Iowa ST + 3.5 / 1 unit

UCLA + 5 / 1 unit

UCONN + 3.5 / 2 units

Okie ST -11 / 2 units

Bama -38 / 3 units


Time to get it back on track in a big way.

Good luck to all and hope everyone kills their book or online service this week.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 07, 2012, 05:46:38 pm
I'm out till Sunday prob, good luck everyone! Hope it goes well for yall!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 07, 2012, 05:50:35 pm
I'm out till Sunday prob, good luck everyone! Hope it goes well for yall!

See should have run that thru a fellow hog fan and not online.  Joking :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 07, 2012, 06:21:21 pm
Can't believe you are putting 275.00 on KY to win 100.00. I hope you win it and you should, but jeez a Lou.  Got a big set on you I suppose :)

I was thinking the same thing, especially when the line is only a TD and it's
-110. Bet that same 270 and win like 250.

Here we go.  For tomorrow as of now.

Georgia - 2 / 3 unit play

Miami + 7 / 1 unit

Central Michigan + 19.5 / 1 unit

Wisconsin -7 / 3 unit play

Iowa ST + 3.5 / 1 unit

UCLA + 5 / 1 unit

UCONN + 3.5 / 2 units

Okie ST -11 / 2 units

Bama -38 / 3 units


Time to get it back on track in a big way.

Good luck to all and hope everyone kills their book or online service this week.

Good Luck to you. I'm on the other side of you on UCONN, UCLA, Iowa St. Not betting mind you, but my guts tell me that Nebraska, Iowa and NC St handle business
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 07, 2012, 06:28:12 pm
YTD 6-3, +4 units
Week 2 Picks
Wisc -7: 3 units L
AR State -23: 2.5 units L
UGA -2.5: 2 units W
Northwestern +3.5: 1 unit W
Arizona +13: 1 unit W
Florida -1: 1 unit W
Nebraska -5: 1 unit L

Update: 13-6, +2.5 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on September 07, 2012, 06:36:43 pm
Pencil me in for these-UGA -2, Miami +7, Tex A&M pick, Iowa St -4, and Wisconson -7

Sunday i will probably take a few games
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 07, 2012, 07:16:44 pm
Pencil me in for these-UGA -2, Miami +7, Tex A&M pick, Iowa St -4, and Wisconson -7

Sunday i will probably take a few games

Iowa St is getting the points.  You playing them + the points or Iowa - the points?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: agr347 on September 07, 2012, 07:29:06 pm
I took UGA -2( 1 unit, looks too good to be true so makes me leary) and Miss ST -3 (2 units)    only ones I really like.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 07, 2012, 08:24:45 pm
Added....

Saints  - 7
Panthers   -2
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: jkstock04 on September 08, 2012, 12:30:58 am
So far up 3-0 on year...an even 3 units.  Hopefully this week carries on the same!  My sentiments on the Georgia game as well, that seems to be the bet of the weekend...hope we all win big on this one.  Smells like a trap game, cause almost like too good to be true...LOL I have seen that happen many times...anyways my picks:

Miami +7; 1 unit bet.  They did well last week on the road against Boston College, I think they carry on this week and beat K. State on the road.  Regardless, even if they don't win, I like the +7. 

Hogs -30; .5 unit bet.  I think we come out and redeem the lackluster performance against J. State.  I think we absolutely clobber ULM.  Admittedly, this is just what I think and feel...don't have much fact to back it up based on last weeks performance LOL...which is why I'm only putting  a half unit bet.

Georgia -2; 2 unit bet.  This one looks like a lock/bet the farm at first glance.  But a closer look shows quite a few suspensions...not to mention a few injuries....makes it seem like somewhat of a trap bet.  But I think Mizzou gets introduced to SEC football this game and loses by at least 2 td's.  I think they have a rough go of it this year, and this will be the beginning of it.

Wisc -7; .5 unit bet.  They did pretty horrible in their opener against N. Iowa, but I think they bounce back this week much like the Hogs will. 

Good luck guys...hopefully we are all smiles come this time Sat. night/Sunday morning.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 08, 2012, 12:48:58 am
Added....

Saints  - 7
Panthers   -2

like the saints bet!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 08, 2012, 12:49:37 am
See should have run that thru a fellow hog fan and not online.  Joking :)

hahaha what was i thinking?!  ;)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 08, 2012, 01:02:09 am
ole miss -7
Maryland +10
rice +11
air force +21
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hawgwild child on September 08, 2012, 01:45:43 am
Iowa St is getting the points.  You playing them + the points or Iowa - the points?
sorry Iowa -4
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 08, 2012, 06:28:32 am
sorry Iowa -4

No worries.  Just wondered where that line was coming from.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 08, 2012, 08:39:34 am
I added 2 more:

Bama -38 (2 units)
UGA -1.5 (2 units)

I appreciate the info & insight. Good luck to all!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 08, 2012, 09:50:47 am
did anyone have utah state? didnt see anyone take'em.  also didnt see many units on them so thats good.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: RazorWild on September 08, 2012, 10:35:04 am
What Online Sportsbook do you use? 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: RazorWild on September 08, 2012, 10:55:24 am
Sorry, just realized I'm not suppose to talk about that.  Can someone PM me the most reliable betting sites.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: passinghog on September 08, 2012, 10:56:56 am
Saints -7 looks like the NFL lock of the year.

By no means am I an expert though.

*Edit, it's up to 8 1/2-9 on most sites. Still believe the Saints will cover w/the news on Friday.*

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: soooieman on September 08, 2012, 01:21:09 pm
What a bad start to the day. C 'mon E Carolina! Stop fumbling
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: soooieman on September 08, 2012, 01:29:15 pm
E Carolina may break 20 turnovers today
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 08, 2012, 09:04:10 pm
Small play on duke Stanford under 57
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 08, 2012, 11:16:55 pm
Way to go hogs!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


\glad i didnt play.................
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 09, 2012, 01:15:20 am
won big today. Ran the table till I got greedy and made a small play.

ole.miss -7 W
Maryland +10 W
Air force +21 W
rice +11 W
Duke Stanford U56 L

YTD RECORD 8-7 +2 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 09, 2012, 02:14:08 am
Not a bad day for me. Thank you Georgia


Loses
Wisconsin -7 @ Oregon St....1*

 
Wins
Kentucky -7 v Kent St....1*
Georgia -2.0 @ Mizzou....5*
Georgia -3.5 @ Mizzou....3*
Miss St -3 v Auburn....1*


2012-2013 CFB
  Record 8-4-0 (67%)    Profit - $1211     Bankroll $3211    ROI 61%
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on September 09, 2012, 09:38:11 am
playing a 3 team teaser Saints +1  Houston -4 and Detroit +1  $200
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: LGHOG on September 09, 2012, 11:03:06 am
Saints -9.5
Pats -5
Seattle -2.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 09, 2012, 11:15:35 am
Indy +10.5 / 5 units

Green Bay -5 / 5 units

Buffalo + 3.5 / 3 units

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 09, 2012, 12:01:04 pm
Seahawks -3
ravens-7
broncos -1
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 09, 2012, 03:27:26 pm
College:

Georgia -2.5 vs Mizzou -- $50    W (bought a point though, payout wasnt as much)

Updated Record: 4-4
Profit: +10


NFL:

Giants (New York) -4 vs Cowboys (Dallas) -- $50.    L

Lions (Detroit) -7.5 vs Rams (St. Louis) -- $50.    L

Texans (Houston) -12 vs Dolphins (Miami) -- $75.    W

Patriots (New England) vs Titans (Tennessee) -- $50.    W
   
Bank: 275
Profit: +25
Record: 2-2

[/quote]

Not a bad week for me, ended up positive!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: jkstock04 on September 09, 2012, 03:56:40 pm
I went a cool 1-4 on the weekend bets.  Luckily my Georgia bet saved me $ wise to break even..the other three bets, especially betting on the Hogs...LOL I plead temporary insanity. 

Unit wise I am now 5-2 on the year.  Not too bad...hopefully next weekend proves better for me. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 09, 2012, 04:05:24 pm
Jump on a&m now. -10 at smu. Seems like an easy bet to me.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 09, 2012, 06:44:25 pm
How do I account for a "push" on here?...NC St game was my push.

5-8-1, if the push is a tie or 5-8 if the push simply disappears.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 09, 2012, 08:30:25 pm
Went 2-3 over the weekend but, with weighting, ended up +1.5 units for the week & +1 for the season. Went ahead & did most of my damage for next weekend tonight.

Kentucky -7 at home against Western Kentucky (4 units)
Tenn -2 at home against Florida (4 units)
A&M -13.5 at SMU (6 units)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 09, 2012, 08:49:47 pm
Worst two weeks ever back to back for me!

Will update my debacle later.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 09, 2012, 09:12:34 pm
Had a good weekend.  UGA was money.

Looking at next week I already see a line that wants to give me free money.

USC -6.5 at Stanford.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 09, 2012, 09:49:41 pm
You're getting a much better line on USC than the sites I use (both at -10). I'd load up on that before it goes to -10 or higher.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 09, 2012, 10:56:31 pm
You're getting a much better line on USC than the sites I use (both at -10). I'd load up on that before it goes to -10 or higher.

Yeah I did.  10 units.  Line has moved to 7.5 already.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 10, 2012, 12:22:20 am
1-1 on Sunday.

Like Jeff, my week ends on Monday.

9-8 ytd overall
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 10, 2012, 12:32:54 am
South Florida -9.5
Bowling Green +6

TAMU -13.5....1*
VT -12....2*
Texas -10.5 (This may be a big bet if this line holds)....3*
Bama -13 (As much as I hate to do it, this may be big big bet for Bama)....3*




Like these so far. Still a few more out there I'm looking at, but locking in the ones in bold.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 10, 2012, 08:52:04 am
South Florida -9.5
Bowling Green +6

TAMU -13.5....1*
VT -12....2*
Texas -10.5 (This may be a big bet if this line holds)....3*
Bama -13 (As much as I hate to do it, this may be big big bet for Bama)....3*




Like these so far. Still a few more out there I'm looking at, but locking in the ones in bold.

I went 3-1 this weekend. I haven't bet an NFL game yet so I might do so tonight.

betting Bama is a must-do this week.

Can you imagine what Saban is going to throw at Brandon Allen? My God, he couldn't get receivers the ball against ULM. He will be running for his life. We move the chains decently the first half but only between the 20's. We hit a few field goals and are down 17-6 at the start of the third. Saban adjusts at halftime, comes out guns blazing and gets to 40 points before throttling back.

We lose big.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 10, 2012, 09:05:15 am
South Florida -9.5
Bowling Green +6

TAMU -13.5....1*
VT -12....2*
Texas -10.5 (This may be a big bet if this line holds)....3*
Bama -13 (As much as I hate to do it, this may be big big bet for Bama)....3*




Like these so far. Still a few more out there I'm looking at, but locking in the ones in bold.

WILL how do you feel about the USC -10 at Stanford?

Also, on sportsbook they dont even have the Bama vs Arkansas game listed.  where are you betting it?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 10, 2012, 09:11:19 am
WILL how do you feel about the USC -10 at Stanford?

Also, on sportsbook they dont even have the Bama vs Arkansas game listed.  where are you betting it?

Yeah, that line won't be available for most until they say whether or not Wilson is playing (no way in hell he does)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 10, 2012, 09:18:07 am
Yeah, that line won't be available for most until they say whether or not Wilson is playing (no way in hell he does)

makes sense, thanks hawgndaaz

I've locked in the following for next week:

 Texas -10.5 vs Ole Miss -- 4 units

 Texas A&M -13.5 vs SMU -- 1 unit (may put more on this game)

 USC -10 vs Stanford -- 2 units (may put more on this game as well)

and just for reference, 1 unit is $25 for me
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 10, 2012, 10:29:00 am
makes sense, thanks hawgndaaz

I've locked in the following for next week:

 Texas -10.5 vs Ole Miss -- 4 units

 Texas A&M -13.5 vs SMU -- 1 unit (may put more on this game)

 USC -10 vs Stanford -- 2 units (may put more on this game as well)

and just for reference, 1 unit is $25 for me

added 3 units to my Texas A&M bet.  They will be out for blood after their loss to Florida and will use SMU as a punching bag to get ready for more SEC play.  Remember Baylor beat SMU by a good portion, look for A&M to do to the same here.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: LGHOG on September 10, 2012, 11:05:22 am
If I could actually use an online sportsbook that would accept my visa card and not have to make and send photocopies of everything, then I would bet the house on....

USC
Bama.
Texas A&M.

I say these teams win at least by 40.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 10, 2012, 11:08:14 am
I went ahead and added two units to the USC game.  Here are my updated picks for the upcoming weekend.  Normally dont have three 4-unit bets but I feel pretty darn good about all these lines.  We will see how it goes!  Would love to have my first undefeated weekend be this one lol.

 Texas -10.5 vs Ole Miss -- 4 units

 Texas A&M -13.5 vs SMU -- 4 unit

 USC -10 vs Stanford -- 4 units

Bank:  325
College Record: 4-4
NFL Record: 2-2
Profit: +75
1 Unit = 25
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on September 10, 2012, 11:59:28 am
My picks for the week, $25 on each:

UGA -2 @ Mizzou

ASU -23 vs. Memphis

LSU -24 vs. Washington

Florida -1 @ A&M and/or the under at 50.5.

Went 4-1 with these picks Saturday.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 10, 2012, 12:27:27 pm
Raiders tonight for 5 units. -1
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 10, 2012, 12:44:57 pm
If I could actually use an online sportsbook that would accept my visa card and not have to make and send photocopies of everything, then I would bet the house on....

USC
Bama.
Texas A&M.

I say these teams win at least by 40.

I PM'd you, check your messages
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 10, 2012, 02:22:20 pm
The Ark v. Bama game made it online at 5dimes this afternoon, starting at Bama -15 about an hour ago.  It's now at Bama -16.

EDIT: an hour later, it's now at -18. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 10, 2012, 03:53:48 pm
USC line went down to -9 from -10.  A little bit surprised to see that.  Maybe Tiger placed a big bet on the nerds
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 10, 2012, 04:10:09 pm
You guys fill me in (please) on betting NFL games. I know nothing except the lines are usually much closer. Do you guys play points too? I would like to do something tonight.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 10, 2012, 04:17:27 pm
Bengals +10 / 5 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 10, 2012, 04:36:21 pm
Bengals +10 / 5 units.

Jeff how'd your weekend end up?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 10, 2012, 04:51:21 pm
Jeff how'd your weekend end up?


Horrible!! Worst two weeks in years.  Will post all my losses after tonight's games.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 10, 2012, 04:58:55 pm

Horrible!! Worst two weeks in years.  Will post all my losses after tonight's games.

Your losing can't continue...might be time for me to piggyback your picks.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 10, 2012, 05:00:16 pm
Jeff how'd your weekend end up?


Had you gone opposite than me from the start of the season you would be rolling.  I might currently be the worst capper in the world t this moment in time.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 10, 2012, 05:03:17 pm
Your losing can't continue...might be time for me to piggyback your picks.

It's been really bad.  Luckily every year I har ended up winning and roll the winnins over to start with a larger BR to start the next season.  If I didn't do that I would call it quits for a month. Long and short it makes it easier to deal with a bad run, but still.  I mean son of a!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 10, 2012, 05:06:59 pm
Prob gonna end up kicking myself but San Diego / Oakland under 48. / 5 unit play.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 10, 2012, 05:49:49 pm
I might currently be the worst capper in the world t this moment in time.

I think I held that title for NFL picks last year. I picked so many losers in a row last year that I almost decided to try making my selections and just betting the opposite of them.  I finally quit betting them except for a rare $5 here or there.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on September 10, 2012, 06:04:21 pm
I went teaser again Ravens -.5 and  SD/oak over 42   $100
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 10, 2012, 06:53:30 pm
I went teaser again Ravens -.5 and  SD/oak over 42   $100

i think i like that.  Ravens should have that game, granted the bengals were a playoff team last year and only stand to get better.  Still, Ravens should have the better team there. 

Definitely think there wont be too much defense on display tonight for the SD/Oak game so i like the over 42 bet as well... good luck!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 10, 2012, 07:01:13 pm
Prob gonna end up kicking myself but San Diego / Oakland under 48. / 5 unit play.

Hey that only means things are bound to get better! Good luck tonight. 

Please dont bet the same games as me this weekend  ;) jk

Any leans for the weekend yet?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 10, 2012, 08:10:27 pm
Cowboys -3 @ Seattle

Just put 5 units on it.  Anybody not LOVE this line?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 10, 2012, 08:17:29 pm
Cowboys -3 @ Seattle

Just put 5 units on it.  Anybody not LOVE this line?

Definitely a good line.  The Seahawks D oughta be beter than NYG's but I think if the Cowboys O line holds up remotely and Demarco Murray has a good day, this game wont be that close.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 10, 2012, 09:16:54 pm
a win tonight on the ravens moves me to 10-8. making a play under 48 oak/SD. Also my book has a mnf free 10 $ bet on who gets the 1st first down and I went with dhb to win 20. I wont be counting it in the record. Good luck all who is playing tonight.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: MS_HogFan on September 10, 2012, 09:44:17 pm
Cowboys -3 @ Seattle

Just put 5 units on it.  Anybody not LOVE this line?
The Cowboys play in NewYork one week then Seattle the next. They have a few extra days to deal with it but that is a lot of traveling to start the year.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 10, 2012, 09:50:46 pm
The Cowboys play in NewYork one week then Seattle the next. They have a few extra days to deal with it but that is a lot of traveling to start the year.

agreed.  I think the cowboys have the better team but two away games in a row on opposite sides of the country is hard to do
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 11, 2012, 08:40:13 am
Prob gonna end up kicking myself but San Diego / Oakland under 48. / 5 unit play.

Congrats on the W last night, wasn't even close
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: colavito on September 11, 2012, 08:57:35 am
19.5 dog to Bama currently.  What are your thoughts?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: the_kosher_pig on September 11, 2012, 08:58:24 am
It will be doubled at half.  The second half they will stop scoring on us out of mercy. But we won't score anymore. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: navyhog24 on September 11, 2012, 08:59:42 am
it will be a lot more than 19.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 11, 2012, 09:25:27 am
My official bets for the weekend:

  College:

Texas a&m (-13.5) vs SMU -- 4 units

USC (-10) vs Stanford -- 4 units

Texas (-10.5) vs Ole Miss -- 4 units

  NFL:

Dallas Cowboys (-3) vs Seattle Seahawks -- 1 unit

Bank:  325
NCAA Record: 4-4
Profit: +25
NFL Record: 2-2
Profit: +50
Total Profit: +75
1 Unit = 25
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: LGHOG on September 11, 2012, 11:13:39 am
It will be doubled at half.  The second half they will stop scoring on us out of mercy. But we won't score anymore.


Bama wins by 40 plus.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on September 11, 2012, 12:33:06 pm
Yuck crap weekend  4-7 for the year down 240

 >:(
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: the_kosher_pig on September 11, 2012, 12:33:53 pm

Bama wins by 40 plus.
I don't think it will be that bad.  Saban has been pretty "kind" to us.  He could have beat us a lot worse 3 out of the 4 years.  I think he gets up to 40 but gives us some "token" points. lol
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 11, 2012, 12:51:15 pm
USC line has dropped to -8, wish I had been more patient.  Got it at -10.  I'm shocked it's dipping this low, anyone know of any major injuries for USC?  I havnt heard of any
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 11, 2012, 01:29:47 pm
I try to stick with SEC teams, but I made an exception for USC at -7.5 (4 units).  I'm also going to shamefully admit that I took Bama -15 (4 units).  I've never bet against the Hogs before, hope to never do so again, and hope to lose those 4 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 11, 2012, 01:43:29 pm
VaTech -10 v Pitt
BYU -3 v Utah
Tennessee -3 v Florida

Thoughts?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: the_kosher_pig on September 11, 2012, 02:11:40 pm
VaTech -10 v Pitt
BYU -3 v Utah
Tennessee -3 v Florida

Thoughts?
Utah looked HORRIBLE against Utah State.  BYU should cover that easy.  I don't think Florida is prepared enough after watching the ATM game.  But it's hard to bet on SEC games IMO.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 11, 2012, 03:10:45 pm
For some reason I'm against the consensus and like Florida +3.  I feel like Bray is going to have a tough time with that defense and Driskel did seems to get a lot more comfortable as the game went on.  Probably won't touch it but I do like Florida in that one.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 11, 2012, 03:12:17 pm
anyone besides myself like USC to win big?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: navyhog24 on September 11, 2012, 03:24:48 pm
anyone besides myself like USC to win big?

i agree. i think stanford is drastically overrated
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 11, 2012, 03:26:53 pm
Geebus, that Raiders -1 was a terrible pick. Guess i should stay away from NFL.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 11, 2012, 03:37:39 pm
Geebus, that Raiders -1 was a terrible pick. Guess i should stay away from NFL.

It really wasnt hawgndaaz... remember Oakland had 3 botched punts because their long snapper got hurt.  Each of those botched punts led to excellent field postion for the Chargers and probably accounted for 150yrds of field position overall (remember Oakland has THE BEST punter in the league, and maybe the best all time).  The long snapper doesnt get hurt and they get those punts off, this is a completey different game.  I honestly think that was a good bet you just got very unlucky
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 11, 2012, 08:58:50 pm
VaTech -10 v Pitt
Thoughts?

Can't believe I missed this one. If the same Pitt team that showed up in their first 2 games, shows up against Va Tech, it will be a slaughter.

Good Pick, and I'm stealing this one.

and just saw the Bama line has moved to -21....
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 11, 2012, 10:04:26 pm
Saturday 4-1
Sunday 1-1
Monday 2-0

weekend 7-2

YTD RECORD 11-8
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 12, 2012, 08:29:39 am
It really wasnt hawgndaaz... remember Oakland had 3 botched punts because their long snapper got hurt.  Each of those botched punts led to excellent field postion for the Chargers and probably accounted for 150yrds of field position overall (remember Oakland has THE BEST punter in the league, and maybe the best all time).  The long snapper doesnt get hurt and they get those punts off, this is a completey different game.  I honestly think that was a good bet you just got very unlucky

I swear that looked like a thrown game if ive ever seen one. That stupid D-lineman that jumped offsides TWICE on key third downs in the first half. He looked like an idiot. Then that whole punt thing, I mean did they really not have one person on the team that could snap the ball? I haven't since junior high and I bet I could still get it back there.

I think it's just the raiders being the craptastic franchise they'll always be.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 12, 2012, 08:49:54 am
I swear that looked like a thrown game if ive ever seen one. That stupid D-lineman that jumped offsides TWICE on key third downs in the first half. He looked like an idiot. Then that whole punt thing, I mean did they really not have one person on the team that could snap the ball? I haven't since junior high and I bet I could still get it back there.

I think it's just the raiders being the craptastic franchise they'll always be.

they did set an NFL record last year for most penalties so the fact that that moron (#93 I believe) jumped offsides twice to keep the drive going, a drive that eventually led to a TD, is not as hard to believe haha.  But yes, this was classic Raiders being Raiders
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 12, 2012, 09:31:27 am
I just hope that McFadden can survive his contract and get the heck outta there while he can still walk.  The Raiders have so few other offensive weapons that it looks like they are doing to McFadden about what the Houston Oilers did to Earl Campbell, running him into the ground and shortening his career.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 12, 2012, 09:33:17 am
I just hope that McFadden can survive his contract and get the heck outta there while he can still walk.  The Raiders have so few other offensive weapons that it looks like they are doing to McFadden about what the Houston Oilers did to Earl Campbell, running him into the ground and shortening his career.

amen to that!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 12, 2012, 10:09:40 am
I cannot fathom what Dmac would be doing on a good team. He looked as explosive as ever last night. He still hits the hole as good as any in the league, save AP.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 12, 2012, 10:50:50 am
I cannot fathom what Dmac would be doing on a good team. He looked as explosive as ever last night. He still hits the hole as good as any in the league, save AP.

was thinking the same thing watching the game.  So explosive when he hits the hole and when he makes contact you really hear a pop.  I'm sure those LBs, safeties, and DBs dont enjoy meeting him in the hole when he has a full head of steam.

When does his contract run out?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: MS_HogFan on September 12, 2012, 11:13:17 am
I think it runs through 2013. $60 million 6 years
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 13, 2012, 06:52:38 am
Last week college 5-6 / -2 units

Pros 1-4. -13 units

Horrible year of -20 units and counting.  I think my Math is correct will double check.  Bad either way.  That I know.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 13, 2012, 06:58:29 am
Congrats on the W last night, wasn't even close

Unfortunately had the benGALS in the early game. :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 13, 2012, 07:03:34 am
Tonight I have

Rutgers +9 / 3 units

Chi Bears +6 / 2 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: LGHOG on September 13, 2012, 08:39:58 am
Tonight I have

Rutgers +9 / 3 units

Chi Bears +6 / 2 units


Jeff, I agree on da Bears pick and they might outright win but I can't imagine GB starting out 0-2. On the Rutgers pick I'm very leary of it. USF just beat a very good Nevada team and they are playing at home. If it was me and I bet I would place a small wager on USF.


Just my .02cents.  :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 13, 2012, 08:45:18 am
why are you guys down on the Pack?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 13, 2012, 09:08:06 am
why are you guys down on the Pack?

I can't see GB starting 0-2, but Cutler has the most weapons since being in Chicago, along w/ a tough defense, and GB having a schizo defense.  I haven't looked at the game but the Bears +6 would be my lean.  Not so much down on GB, as much as I don't see the Bears losing by greater than 6.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 13, 2012, 09:09:48 am
why are you guys down on the Pack?

Not as much down on pack ad much as it is up on the Bears. Chicago extremely tough with a healthy Curtler.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 13, 2012, 09:51:49 am
I can't see GB starting 0-2, but Cutler has the most weapons since being in Chicago, along w/ a tough defense, and GB having a schizo defense.  I haven't looked at the game but the Bears +6 would be my lean.  Not so much down on GB, as much as I don't see the Bears losing by greater than 6.

THIS.  This is the first time in a while Cutler actually has weapons to throw the ball to and he has proved in the past that when you give him weapons he can be a very good QB.  Unfortunately for most of his career he has not had good weapons.  He also has a strong running game and a strong defense to lean on, both of which really help him out. 

I heard it well put yesterday on espn's sports radio show The Herd: Green Bay actually has a lot of holes on both sides of the ball (their O Line can be shakey, they have a hard time running the ball, their D is very questionable) but Aaron Rodgers is so good that he covers up a lot of those holes cause he can win games.  SF is such a good all-around team that they were able to expose those holes.  Worried about Chicago being able to do the same.

Still pick GB to win, but I like Chicago to cover
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 13, 2012, 09:52:54 am
Will you got an update on any of your previous picks?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: arkfanchip on September 13, 2012, 10:08:36 am
Ok I went 0-2 last week. 
But this week
My Lock of the first three weeks
Notre Dame +6 At Mich. St

Games I love
BYU -3 At Utah
Utah St. +14.5 At Wisky
USC-9 At Stanford

Games I like
Ole Miss +10 vs. Texas
Louisville -3 vs. UNC
ULM +16.5 At Auburn
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 13, 2012, 10:18:20 am
With the A&M line at -12, I added 6 more units. 

I just think A&M steamrolls SMU like Baylor did 2 weeks ago (59-24).  If Stephen *** Austin can put 466 yds on the SMU D last week, A&M should rebound nicely after facing FL's D.  A&M owns SMU in recent years (10-0-1), beat them by 32 points last year, and playing in Dallas will feel almost like a home game to A&M (SMU is adding seats to accomodate the large A&M crowd).  I think A&M blows off some steam against a weaker SMU after losing their SEC-opener.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 13, 2012, 10:31:59 am
With the A&M line at -12, I added 6 more units. 

I just think A&M steamrolls SMU like Baylor did 2 weeks ago (59-24).  If Stephen *** Austin can put 466 yds on the SMU D last week, A&M should rebound nicely after facing FL's D.  A&M owns SMU in recent years (10-0-1), beat them by 32 points last year, and playing in Dallas will feel almost like a home game to A&M (SMU is adding seats to accomodate the large A&M crowd).  I think A&M blows off some steam against a weaker SMU after losing their SEC-opener.

spot on.  SFA also turned the ball over 10 times (yes you read that correctly, TEN TIMES) in the game vs SMU...highly doubt this happens against a&m lol I like a&m big here just like Baylor two weeks ago
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 13, 2012, 10:34:15 am
Ok I went 0-2 last week. 
But this week
My Lock of the first three weeks
Notre Dame +6 At Mich. St

Games I love
BYU -3 At Utah
Utah St. +14.5 At Wisky
USC-9 At Stanford

Games I like
Ole Miss +10 vs. Texas
Louisville -3 vs. UNC
ULM +16.5 At Auburn

i bet Texas at -10.5 but am starting to regret that.  Ole Miss has a mobile qb and I think he will at least help keep it close.  being at Ole Miss helps too. hope im wrong.  I do believe Ole Miss has quite a few freshman starters though, might show against a good Texas team. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 13, 2012, 11:20:52 am
Here's what I like this week -

Already mentioned A&M -12 1/2 over smu.
Northwestern -3 1/2 over BC
Penn St -7 over Navy
UCLA -17 over Houston
Rice +20 1/2 against La Tech

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 13, 2012, 11:32:02 am
Will you got an update on any of your previous picks?

Yeah, I haven't been able to dedicate as much time as I would like because of school (up to 19-20 hours this semester) and work. I still pay attention here, but just don't have the time to get involved like I used to.



Bowling Green +6


South Florida -7.5 (buy the hook)....1*
TAMU -13.5....1*
VT -12....2*
VT -10.5....2*
Texas -10.5 (buy the hook)....3*
Bama -13....3*
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 13, 2012, 11:34:01 am
i bet Texas at -10.5 but am starting to regret that.  Ole Miss has a mobile qb and I think he will at least help keep it close.  being at Ole Miss helps too. hope im wrong.  I do believe Ole Miss has quite a few freshman starters though, might show against a good Texas team. 

I wouldn't regret it at all. I may double up on my bet to be honest. I don't see anyway that Ole Miss stays within 20 of Texas.

Here's what I like this week -

Already mentioned A&M -12 1/2 over smu.
Northwestern -3 1/2 over BC
Maryland +3 against  Uconn
UCLA -17 over Houston
Rice +20 1/2 against La Tech



I've been watching and contemplating the Maryland +3. May add to my list before Saturday.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 13, 2012, 11:45:56 am
historically I've sucked on Thursday nights....this season I'm 1-2 on Thursday night. So u might be wise to fade my Thursday nighters.....but tonight, it's Rutgers +8. Got some nice lines for the weekend
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 13, 2012, 01:00:37 pm
Yeah, I haven't been able to dedicate as much time as I would like because of school (up to 19-20 hours this semester) and work. I still pay attention here, but just don't have the time to get involved like I used to.



Bowling Green +6


South Florida -7.5 (buy the hook)....1*
TAMU -13.5....1*
VT -12....2*
VT -10.5....2*
Texas -10.5 (buy the hook)....3*
Bama -13....3*


totally understandable.  you takin the USC vs Stanford game at all?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 13, 2012, 01:34:34 pm
totally understandable.  you takin the USC vs Stanford game at all?

Probably not. I mean, USC should be able to handle them easily, but we were up on ULM 21 and lost. Anything can, and often does, happen on Saturdays. If I were betting it, I'd be on USC. It's at home for Stanford though, and this being the game it has been for the past few years is what is keeping me from getting on the bandwagon.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: widespreadsooie on September 13, 2012, 02:34:43 pm
Texas -10

Michigan St. -5.5

Tennessee -3
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 13, 2012, 02:59:23 pm
So far I've locked in . . .

(locked these in Wed night)
USC          -7
Sips          -10 (bought the hook)
Va Tech     -10


(locked this in this a.m.)
Hogs         +21


Looking at both of tonight's games, as well as being open to some suggested Sat action.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 13, 2012, 03:04:01 pm
So far I've locked in . . .

(locked these in Wed night)
USC          -7
Sips          -10 (bought the hook)
Va Tech     -10


(locked this in this a.m.)
Hogs         +21


Looking at both of tonight's games, as well as being open to some suggested Sat action.

where the hell did you get USC @-1?!?!?! I saw it get to -8 and thought that was free money right there, unfortunately I had already placed all my bets and didnt wanna put anymore money on the line for th weekend
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 13, 2012, 03:33:38 pm
I think Ark +21 is great value. I am hoping it is 22 on Saturday. If Tyler plays, that's an easy cover. Problem is, we likely will not know till the first play.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 13, 2012, 03:57:57 pm
Backed off maryland / uconn game.

Changed to Penn St -7 over Navy.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 13, 2012, 04:10:41 pm
Backed off maryland / uconn game.

Changed to Penn St -7 over Navy.

damn, just because I said I liked it? ;)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 13, 2012, 04:18:26 pm
my site now has the bears at +5 with the over at 51.5

stay away?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 13, 2012, 04:52:12 pm
where the hell did you get USC @-1?!?!?! I saw it get to -8 and thought that was free money right there, unfortunately I had already placed all my bets and didnt wanna put anymore money on the line for th weekend

It briefly hit -7 on my site and I just happened (i.e. luck) to be on the site.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 13, 2012, 05:07:08 pm
Lol. Will, it still may be a good bet. All right, I'm in again on it.

Maryland +3 over uconn.

Easy for me to do, when I dont actually have any $$$ on it. Lol
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 13, 2012, 05:15:12 pm
BYU -3 @ Utah??? Is that not easy money?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 13, 2012, 05:30:04 pm
BYU -3 @ Utah??? Is that not easy money?

on the surface, it looms like a 5* play....line should be 10. Its one of the games I'm researching and evaluating. Something seems off, so I'm looking further into it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on September 13, 2012, 05:31:29 pm
on the surface, it looms like a 5* play....line should be 10. Its one of the games I'm researching and evaluating. Something seems off, so I'm looking further into it.

Im going teaser with bears +12 and Rutgers +14, if I don't hit this I am gonna chill for a bit. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 13, 2012, 05:34:58 pm
BYU -3 @ Utah??? Is that not easy money?

No! Utah can definitely play and I expect them to bounce back and win this game. They just had a fluke down week, but they killed BYU in Provo last year. I expect a good tight game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 13, 2012, 09:53:45 pm
No! Utah can definitely play and I expect them to bounce back and win this game. They just had a fluke down week, but they killed BYU in Provo last year. I expect a good tight game.
Utah home dog, but down a qb and like u mentioned, Utah looks to bounce back.  I still think Byu should cover, but its a game I've evaluated and taken off my board.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 13, 2012, 10:30:56 pm
I think Ark +21 is great value. I am hoping it is 22 on Saturday. If Tyler plays, that's an easy cover. Problem is, we likely will not know till the first play.

If u can lose outright to ULM nothing should be an easy cover even if Marino plays qb for the hogs!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 13, 2012, 10:35:37 pm
Im going teaser with bears +12 and Rutgers +14, if I don't hit this I am gonna chill for a bit.

watchin the bears game with 3 minutes left and i was pullin for chicago to score for ya... sorry man!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 13, 2012, 11:13:08 pm
Utah home dog, byu down a qb and like u mentioned, Utah looks to bounce back.  I still think Byu should cover, but its a game I've evaluated and taken off my board.

It's Utah's QB that quit, not BYU.

I meant to take the points on Rutgers-South Florida, but I accidentally picked Rutgers to win the game... Worked out nicely.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 13, 2012, 11:28:44 pm
Winner on my thursday night play....

12-8 YTD Record
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 14, 2012, 07:13:56 am
So far tomorrow.

Notred Dame +5.5 / 5 unit play

Byu -3 / 5 unit play

Va Tech -10 / dime play 10 units

Uconn -2.5 / 2 units

Tx A&M -12.5 / 5 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 14, 2012, 08:55:19 am
So far I've locked in . . .

(locked these in Wed night)
USC          -7
Sips          -10 (bought the hook)
Va Tech     -10


(locked this in this a.m.)
Hogs         +21


Looking at both of tonight's games, as well as being open to some suggested Sat action.

Added TAMU     -12.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 14, 2012, 09:03:33 am
I need to work on being more patient with the lines.. picked up USC, Texas, and a&m on monday and could get them all for better lines today. 

BTW the pack looked GOOD on defense last night.  Didnt realize this but Jay Cutler at Lambeau field has something like 2 TD to 11 INT's... anybody else remember seeing the exact numbers? It's something outrageous.  Has a passer rating of something awful too.  Just does not like playing there haha
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 14, 2012, 09:21:04 am
I need to work on being more patient with the lines.. picked up USC, Texas, and a&m on monday and could get them all for better lines today. 

BTW the pack looked GOOD on defense last night.  Didnt realize this but Jay Cutler at Lambeau field has something like 2 TD to 11 INT's... anybody else remember seeing the exact numbers? It's something outrageous.  Has a passer rating of something awful too.  Just does not like playing there haha

His attitude on the sideline drives me crazy...a little b*tch.  I didn't see any of the O-line or skill players or defense get in his face for the 4 picks he threw, or his 42% completion %.

Anyone see Charles Woodson's quote about Cutler? 
     "Heard some talk out of the Bears: Packers secondary not working coverage, bigger receivers ... we heard about it," Woodson told ESPN's Rachel Nichols after the game. "We understand that Jay is excited about his new weapons, but it's the same-old Jay. We don't need luck; Jay will throw us the ball."

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: HogPharmer on September 14, 2012, 09:45:07 am
I need to work on being more patient with the lines.. picked up USC, Texas, and a&m on monday and could get them all for better lines today. 

BTW the pack looked GOOD on defense last night.  Didnt realize this but Jay Cutler at Lambeau field has something like 2 TD to 11 INT's... anybody else remember seeing the exact numbers? It's something outrageous.  Has a passer rating of something awful too.  Just does not like playing there haha

Think Cutler got sacked like 7 times last night and threw 2 INTs too... Clay Matthews KILLED the Bears left side
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 14, 2012, 09:48:08 am
Think Cutler got sacked like 7 times last night and threw 2 INTs too... Clay Matthews KILLED the Bears left side

try 4 INTs!!! it was pathetic... and ya Matthews had a field day out there, his explosiveness is unreal.  not only that but he goes 100% every play, and even when you block him he wont give up.  Fun to watch!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: HogPharmer on September 14, 2012, 09:50:37 am
I threw a parlay on USC (-9) and BYU (-4)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 14, 2012, 09:50:53 am
His attitude on the sideline drives me crazy...a little b*tch.  I didn't see any of the O-line or skill players or defense get in his face for the 4 picks he threw, or his 42% completion %.

Anyone see Charles Woodson's quote about Cutler? 
     "Heard some talk out of the Bears: Packers secondary not working coverage, bigger receivers ... we heard about it," Woodson told ESPN's Rachel Nichols after the game. "We understand that Jay is excited about his new weapons, but it's the same-old Jay. We don't need luck; Jay will throw us the ball."

hahahah this is awesome! love Woodson.  And Jay's body language on the sideline alone would be enough to tic me off if i was on his team.  Just acts like a pre madona biach.  not a fan
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 14, 2012, 09:52:16 am
My official bets for the weekend:

  College:

Texas a&m (-13.5) vs SMU -- 4 units

USC (-10) vs Stanford -- 4 units

Texas (-10.5) vs Ole Miss -- 4 units

  NFL:

Dallas Cowboys (-3) vs Seattle Seahawks -- 1 unit

Bank:  325
NCAA Record: 4-4
Profit: +25
NFL Record: 2-2
Profit: +50
Total Profit: +75
1 Unit = 25


just a refresher on my bets for the weekend, good luck everyone!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: HogPharmer on September 14, 2012, 09:56:32 am
hahahah this is awesome! love Woodson.  And Jay's body language on the sideline alone would be enough to tic me off if i was on his team.  Just acts like a pre madona biach.  not a fan

Almost as bad as Phillip Rivers
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 14, 2012, 10:27:11 am
Got kinda carried away this weekend. Added 4 more (1 unit each):

Texas -10.5
Missouri -6
LSU -42.5
Miss. St. -16
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 14, 2012, 10:31:20 am
Did everyone hit Rutgers last night? They looked pretty solid. Will probably make more dollars off them this season. Glad I didn't go with Da Bears!

Think I am riding yalls coattails this weekend.

TaMu -12.5
Texas -10
BYU -3.5


louisville -3?
mizzou -6?

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 14, 2012, 10:44:03 am
Did everyone hit Rutgers last night? They looked pretty solid. Will probably make more dollars off them this season. Glad I didn't go with Da Bears!

Think I am riding yalls coattails this weekend.

TaMu -12.5
Texas -10
BYU -3.5


louisville -3?
mizzou -6?

yep Rutgers looked good, and the score probably should have been a little worse than it was to be honest.  lots of mistakes in the 1st quarter for Rutgers, missed INT at the goal line that led to a reception for USF on the 1 yrd line... this could be a good team to make some $ on.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 14, 2012, 11:06:13 am
i'm staying away from the mizzou game.  ASU has a decent squad and I think they put up a fight.  I think mizzou is deflated from their beat down to Georgia, wondering how they respond. do they come out and prove themselves against ASU or do they lose a little confidence and say "okay, maybe we aren't as good as we thought".  should be a high scoring game. 

Still like mizzou to win but havn't seen enough of them or ASU to make an educated bet (if there is such a thing lol)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 14, 2012, 11:29:08 am
i'm staying away from the mizzou game.  ASU has a decent squad and I think they put up a fight.  I think mizzou is deflated from their beat down to Georgia, wondering how they respond. do they come out and prove themselves against ASU or do they lose a little confidence and say "okay, maybe we aren't as good as we thought".  should be a high scoring game. 

Still like mizzou to win but havn't seen enough of them or ASU to make an educated bet (if there is such a thing lol)

also wouldnt be surprised to see mizzou looking ahead to South Carolina next week
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 14, 2012, 11:31:54 am
just took:

A&M -12.5 2 units
USC -8.5    1 unit
Texas -10   2 units
Bama -20    1 unit

just for giggles, 20 dollar parlay

TEXAS A&M -12½
VIRGINIA TECH -10
SOUTHERN MISS -7½
MISSOURI -6-110
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 14, 2012, 04:01:05 pm
o/54 unlv wazzu W
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Since 1894 on September 14, 2012, 04:06:33 pm
I opened this thread because I thought there were going to be photos of Hogville members.

MY BAD
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 14, 2012, 04:31:33 pm
I opened this thread because I thought there were going to be photos of Hogville members.

MY BAD

Picks not pics!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 14, 2012, 05:39:31 pm
Adding Louisville -3 over North Carolina.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: wwwhogfan on September 14, 2012, 05:51:13 pm
A&M | -11 | 3 units

Florida | +3 | 1 unit

USC | -8.5 | 3 units

Texas | -9.5 | 1 unit

Notre Dame | +5.5 | 1 unit

BYU | -3 | 3 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 14, 2012, 05:52:33 pm
My picks:

VT -10
USC -7 (4 units)
A&M -10
Florida +3
49ers -7
Saints -3
Cowboys -3 (5 units)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 14, 2012, 09:01:30 pm
YTD: 17-8-1, +3.5 units

USC -8.5 - 3 units L
Notre Dame +6 - 2 units W
UCONN -3 - 2 units P
A&M -11 - 1 unit W
Northwestern -3.5 - 1 unit W
Houston/UCLA Under 76 - 1 unit W
LA Lafayette +23.5 - 1 unit   L

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 14, 2012, 09:09:28 pm
Adding mizzou -6 / 5 unit play.  That should almost be the easiest money of the week.  Forget about Georgia.  I promise arky st isn't Georgia.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 14, 2012, 09:21:08 pm
Adding mizzou -6 / 5 unit play.  That should almost be the easiest money of the week.  Forget about Georgia.  I promise arky st isn't Georgia.

Hey man, I believe that is Arizona St, not Ark St.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 14, 2012, 10:44:51 pm
Hey man, I believe that is Arizona St, not Ark St.

Yeah Ariz St. has a pretty good offense.  Too many points scored in that one for me to call Mizzou covering.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 14, 2012, 11:36:53 pm
o/54 unlv wazzu
at halftime, I thought this would be an easy w. Had to wait a little longer than I would have liked, but a win is a win...

YTD RECoRD 13-8
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 15, 2012, 12:11:00 am
It's money making time of the year and im making money!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 15, 2012, 12:13:23 am
Sorry my bad. Zona st, doesn't matter expect mizzou to roll! Whether we like it or not.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 15, 2012, 07:30:32 am
I've backed off Maryland / Uconn (again).

Neither team is very good, but uconn played NC St well last week. Just not sure about it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 15, 2012, 07:55:31 am
I've now offset my bet on theHogs +21, by taking Bama -21. I took the Hogs after Tyler got moving around on Wednesday, but now, without him (it seems), I'll be willing to lose the juice.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Porked Tongue on September 15, 2012, 09:50:58 am
Small play on Hogs over 14.5.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 15, 2012, 09:57:52 am
my Saturday picks are :
Oklahoma St. --23.....W
Maryland +3......p
auburn-15......L
Penn St/navy U48......W

2-1-1

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 15, 2012, 10:03:07 am
Sorry my bad. Zona st, doesn't matter expect mizzou to roll! Whether we like it or not.

I had Arizona St winning outright, now with Franklin out that seems even more likely....but I'm not a fan if betting on teams using a. backup when nobody knows anything about him.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 15, 2012, 10:09:53 am
I had Arizona St winning outright, now with Franklin out that seems even more likely....but I'm not a fan if betting on teams using a. backup when nobody knows anything about him.

that and Arizona State does NOT have a bad team.  Already expected them to keep it close with mizzou, now with franklin out i wouldnt be shocked at all to see them win.  not touching that game.

Good luck to everyone this weekend! lets go USC, A&M, and Texas (never thought I'd say those words, my Lord what has gambling done to me...)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 15, 2012, 11:14:50 am
Small play on Hogs over 14.5.

Not even sure what that means.  Over 14.5?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 15, 2012, 11:16:39 am
What the hell is Va Tech doing?  If they do not win and cover maybe I should just hang it up for a few weeks!

WTH is going on this year?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 15, 2012, 11:19:27 am
Sorry my bad. Zona st, doesn't matter expect mizzou to roll! Whether we like it or not.

Hey man, line has moved to Mizzou -3, so if you are on Mizzou, now is the time to middle.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 15, 2012, 11:27:13 am
What the hell is Va Tech doing?  If they do not win and cover maybe I should just hang it up for a few weeks!

WTH is going on this year?

I was just fixing to post the same thing. Pitt has been HORRIBLE this year, absolutely HORRIBLE. Now VT is making them look like a respectable team. WOW.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 15, 2012, 11:52:37 am
Are you kidding me? the team that got blew out by Cincy is blowing out VT.

This is getting ridiculous.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Porked Tongue on September 15, 2012, 12:33:47 pm
Not even sure what that means.  Over 14.5?
Single game total for just the Hogs.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 15, 2012, 03:32:38 pm
Northwestern and Penn St coming thru for me so far.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 15, 2012, 04:29:41 pm
Adding

Tenn -3....1*
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 15, 2012, 06:00:31 pm
looks like 2-1-1 and im not adding anything.

15-9-1 YTD RECORD
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Great Hambino on September 15, 2012, 06:05:45 pm
A little bright spot in my day... Looks like my parlay is going to hit. :)

4 Team Parlay

Football - College Lines (Game) Point Spread

(112) Northwestern -4 Sep 15/12@01:30p  Competitor: (111) Boston College

(121) Texas A&M -10½ Sep 15/12@01:30p  Competitor: (122) SMU

(138) Louisville -3 (-120) Sep 15/12@01:30p  Competitor: (137) North Carolina

(144) Boise State -21½ (-105) Sep 15/12@02:00p  Competitor: (143) Miami Ohio

Just need aTm to not have a meltdown of Arkansas proportions.

$2 bet wins $24.09. I should have bet more but I rarely do on these random parlays that I do.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 15, 2012, 06:09:58 pm
A&M and Louisville (barely) get me to 4-0 with 2 games left.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 15, 2012, 08:48:40 pm
2-1 on the day but my big bet (USC -7) has some work to do.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 15, 2012, 09:45:45 pm
Rice comes thru for me (barely)

5-0 with UCLA left to cover. If I wasn't such a scaredy cat, coulda won some cash.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 15, 2012, 09:57:34 pm
Well USC is screwing me.

Cowboys gotta come through tomorrow.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 16, 2012, 08:10:29 am
6-0 my first week.

Beginners luck.

Will, I'm glad I got out of that Maryland game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 16, 2012, 11:14:37 am
6-0 my first week.

Beginners luck.

Will, I'm glad I got out of that Maryland game.

well done my friend.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 16, 2012, 11:18:16 am
Baltimore +3...........W
Dallas -3...................L
Washington-3.........L
San Francisco -7......W

2-2

YTD RECORD 17-11-1
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 16, 2012, 11:34:41 am
3-4 on the day, can't believe I added the Tenn game.

At least my 3* hit so I am actually up on the week money wise. Could be worse.

Can't believe VT laid down like they did, that was pitiful. Wish I would have doubled up on Texas instead of VT.



Loses
South Florida -7.5 (buy the hook)....1*
VT -12....2*
VT -10.5....2*
Tenn -3…..1* 

 
Wins
Texas -10.5 (buy the hook)....3*
Bama -13....3*
TAMU -13.5....1*


2012-2013 CFB
  Record 11-8-0 (58%)    Profit  $1598    Bankroll $3598    ROI 80%

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 16, 2012, 12:52:10 pm
Went 4-5 for the weekend but +4 units for the weekend thanks to A&M.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 16, 2012, 02:33:05 pm
update: went 2-1 yesterday, cant believe USC didnt take down Stanford but other than that it was a good day for me.  still ended up +4 units.  hope the cowboys can get me a good W today!

My official bets for the weekend were:

  College:

Texas a&m (-13.5) vs SMU -- 4 units    W

USC (-10) vs Stanford -- 4 units    L

Texas (-10.5) vs Ole Miss -- 4 units    W

  NFL:

Dallas Cowboys (-3) vs Seattle Seahawks -- 1 unit

Bank:  400
NCAA Record: 6-5
Profit: +100
NFL Record: 2-2
Profit: +50
Total Profit: +75
1 Unit = 25

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 16, 2012, 02:34:51 pm
6-0 my first week.

Beginners luck.

Will, I'm glad I got out of that Maryland game.

Nice job!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 16, 2012, 02:59:20 pm
6-0 my first week.

Beginners luck.

Will, I'm glad I got out of that Maryland game.

Glad I laid off of it also. Can't believe that I didn't double up on the Texas game, I knew from the time I saw the line it was the game of the week. Virginia Tech was the one that clouded my vision.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 16, 2012, 03:29:21 pm
Yeah, and I didn't even take Texas. For some reason, thought ole miss might actually show up.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 16, 2012, 03:37:53 pm
So 4-2-1 for me on the week, and of course I put my most units on USC. Pushes my season record to 17-8-1, +3.5 units.  Pretty pitiful that I can't hit my heavily weighed games, but the record speaks for itself!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 16, 2012, 05:53:48 pm
Here's what I like for this week.....

Boise St -4 1/2 over Byu
Memphis +24 against Duke
Central Michigan +18 against Iowa
Penn St -9 over Temple
West Virginia -26 1/2 over Maryland
Notre Dame -3 1/2 over Michigan
Kansas St +17 against Oklahoma
Florida Atlantic +51 against Alabama.

Will update if I change my mind. Lol
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 16, 2012, 05:56:09 pm
I got taken to the woodshed this week.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 16, 2012, 07:33:47 pm
update for the Cowboys embarrassing performance...

update: went 2-1 yesterday, cant believe USC didnt take down Stanford but other than that it was a good day for me.  ended up +3 units for the weekend.

My official bets for the weekend were:

  College:

Texas a&m (-13.5) vs SMU -- 4 units    W

USC (-10) vs Stanford -- 4 units    L

Texas (-10.5) vs Ole Miss -- 4 units    W

  NFL:

Dallas Cowboys (-3) vs Seattle Seahawks -- 1 unit    L

Initial Bank: 250
Current Bank:  390
NCAA Record: 6-5
Profit: +100
NFL Record: 2-3
Profit: +40
Total Profit: +75
1 Unit = 25


overall my record is not great but iv been hitting on my heavy bets, helping me out big time.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 16, 2012, 07:34:30 pm
Here's what I like for this week.....

Boise St -4 1/2 over Byu
Memphis +24 against Duke
Central Michigan +18 against Iowa
Penn St -9 over Temple
West Virginia -26 1/2 over Maryland
Notre Dame -3 1/2 over Michigan
Kansas St +17 against Oklahoma
Florida Atlantic +51 against Alabama.

Will update if I change my mind. Lol

liking the Notre Dame and K State lines
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 16, 2012, 07:44:31 pm
Hogs opened at -2 over Rutgers. The line changed on me mid-bet, but I still got it at -2.5. It's already up to -5.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 16, 2012, 08:00:37 pm
Damn, some of these lines have moved a chunk since they came out.

Locking In

Troy pk @ North Texas....2*
Boise St-7 v BYU....1*



Watching for line movement in my favor
Oklahoma v Kansas St, its already been pushed down to -13.5, liking Oklahoma
Michigan v Notre Dame, its already been pushed up to 6.5, liking Mich
LSU v Auburn, moved down to 17.5, liking LSU
Georgia v Vandy, been pushed down to 13.5, liking Georgia
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: board on September 16, 2012, 08:16:33 pm
The best bet of the week was alabama and 20 1/2 or whatever. Loaded up at the best I could find on allybubba and 24 1/2.

Free money is free money........
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 16, 2012, 08:23:50 pm
I'm 3-3 on the weekend, will take ATL -3 to break the tie.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 16, 2012, 08:44:20 pm
I went ahead & took:

LSU -17.5 @ Auburn   3 units
SC -10 v. Missouri.    3 units
Baylor -8 @ ULM        1 unit (it's now @ -7, if it hits -6.5, I'll take more)
Georgia -13.5 v. Vandy. 2 units
Ark -2.5 v. Rutgers.    2 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 16, 2012, 09:26:59 pm
Damn, some of these lines have moved a chunk since they came out.

Locking In

Troy pk @ North Texas....2*
Boise St-7 v BYU....1*



Watching for line movement in my favor
Oklahoma v Kansas St, its already been pushed down to -13.5, liking Oklahoma
Michigan v Notre Dame, its already been pushed up to 6.5, liking Mich
LSU v Auburn, moved down to 17.5, liking LSU
Georgia v Vandy, been pushed down to 13.5, liking Georgia

Liking OU huh?  Even after K-State's impressive beatdown against Miami.  i'm liking K state in this one.  OU seems pretty banged up and K-State looks pretty decent.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 16, 2012, 10:19:06 pm
There was a pretty rapid shift in action, so I went ahead & took another 6 units on Baylor -7.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 17, 2012, 07:28:07 am
Adding Georgia -13 1/2 over Vanderbilt.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 17, 2012, 08:24:56 am
Last week's results:

Raiders -1  Loss, 1 unit
Rutgers +7.5 Win, 1 unit
Bama -20 Win, 2 units
A&M -12.5 Win, 2 units
USC -8.5 Loss, 1 unit
Texas -10 Win, 2 units
UCLA -18 Win, 1 unit

5-2 up 6 units on the week :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: jkstock04 on September 17, 2012, 08:33:49 am
Forgot to post beforehand with everything going on...but my picks of last week:

Va. Tech -10; 1 unit....loss

Obviously Bama was easiest bet of the day, I would have gone 4 units here...but I don't bet against the Hogs in football.  Never have, just would seem like a conflict of interest while at the game.

Sunday I made it up....

3.5 units on Chargers -7...win
1 unit on Niners -7...win

Unit wise put me at 4.5-1 on the weekend....and
9.5-3 on the year. 

Don't think I will touch the Monday night game tonight...but if I had to I would bet the over (52.5).

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 17, 2012, 02:15:48 pm
where do you guys do your research.  The only place I use is ESPN, didnt know if there were any other places yall liked...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 17, 2012, 02:39:17 pm
where do you guys do your research.  The only place I use is ESPN, didnt know if there were any other places yall liked...

I like scoresandodds.com and thespread.com
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 17, 2012, 02:58:37 pm
I use sbrodds.com for lines. 

As we get a bit further into a season, I also look at team stats at the ncaa site: http://web1.ncaa.org/mfb/2011/Internet/conf%20stats/2011000000911TD.HTML

I'll also watch ats records which you can find at a lot of different places.  Lately, I've used predictem.com.

You may laugh, but I also use a contest thread from the SEC Rant portion of Tigerdroppings.com:  the SEC Rant Weekly ATS Picks.  The format is such that you get to see everyone's records ATS and you get to see everyone's picks before the games.  There are usually 2 or 3 folks each season who do extremely well ATS, so I get the benefit of seeing their picks in time to compare them to my leans.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 17, 2012, 03:27:35 pm
the lines for most of the games ran away from me a bit and I think I missed out on some good deals.  Gonna just have to be patient and if nothing comes up that I feel very comfortable with I may just hold off.  Only took one line today.

Took W.Kentucky (-4) vs Southern Miss.  2 units. 

W.Kentucky looked good against Kentucky and actually played Bama well.  I like them to take Southern Miss by a TD.

For fun did a 4 team parlay.  bet $10 to win $100 and took:

W.Kentucky (-4) vs Southern Miss

Arizona (+23.5) at Oregon

Louisville (-13) at Florida Intl.

Troy (0) at North Texas
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 17, 2012, 05:50:19 pm
On Denver +3.5 for a dime
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 17, 2012, 06:14:22 pm
On Denver +3.5 for a dime

one of us will be extremely happy ,the other extremely miserable. I'm on Atlanta -3 for 4 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 17, 2012, 09:08:05 pm
one of us will be extremely happy ,the other extremely miserable. I'm on Atlanta -3 for 4 units

I know it's early but it appears jeff's struggles will continue.. gonna be tough to come back from 20-0
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 17, 2012, 11:04:06 pm
I'm about to have a coronary and if Manning gets the ball BA k, he will win the game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 17, 2012, 11:45:36 pm
MNF
Atl-3 (as posted above).......W

Week 3 (7-3-1)
Thursday...1-0
Friday.........1-0
Saturday.....2-1-1
Sunday........2-2
Monday........1-0

YTD RECORD 18-11-1 +5 UNITS





Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 17, 2012, 11:53:51 pm
The way my bets were weighted....mainly auburn being a 4 unit play, I actually lost a unit this week despite a decent record.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 18, 2012, 08:32:02 am
Hooray for picking the Falcons last night. First NFL win of the year even if its only one unit. It's a start.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 18, 2012, 08:52:54 am
4-3 on the week; 9-11 on the season ( batting above my lifetime avg  ;D )
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 18, 2012, 11:17:22 pm
A buddy and I collaborated on a 12 team progressive parlay just for kicks. Your thoughts?

Baylor -7.5 vs. ULM

CMichigan +16 vs. Iowa

Wash St. -19 vs Colorado

Oklahoma -14 vs. KState

LSU -20.5 vs. Auburn

Louisville -13.5 vs. FloridaIntl

Marshall -2.5 vs. Rice

Nevada -8.5 vs. Hawaii

Arkansas -7 vs. Rutgers

WKentucky -4.5 vs. SouthernMiss

UAB +37 vs. Ohio State

Arizona State -7 vs. Utah


I was hoping these would come up naturally and independently but I'm too greedy to wait  ;D Hunting season is coming and I sure would like a new .270!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 19, 2012, 07:23:10 am
I really like the central mich pick.

But I jumped on Kansas St when they were +17. I don't think ou covers.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: wwwhogfan on September 19, 2012, 02:07:14 pm
4-2 for the weekend but because of the way I distributed units, I ended up down about 8% overall. Not sure yet what I am taking this week.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 19, 2012, 04:42:35 pm
The Ole Miss line wasn't available when I made my earlier picks, so I just added:

Ole Miss -17.5 @ Tulane    1 unit
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 19, 2012, 08:16:31 pm
So far I've got . . .

Troy  pk
KSU  +14
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 19, 2012, 10:48:47 pm
I had Kent State +4.5, so I started off my week the right way! I have to ask what everyone's opinion is on Baylor-ULM. I went -7.5 on Baylor just because now I think ULM will start losing steam. Plus the rest of college football knows they need to be taken seriously.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 20, 2012, 09:29:13 am
Only picked up one College game, did one 3 team teaser, two 4 team parlays, and one NFL game.  Really didnt see a whole lot of lines I loved so I screwed around a bit with the teaser and the parlays.  only puttin down about half the bank this weekend, wait for better lines next weekend.  tell me what yall think!

My official bets for the weekend are:

  College:

W. Kentucky (-4) vs S. Mississippi -- 2 units


----> 10pt Teaser (2 units):

Arizona (+34) @ Oregon

Kansas State (+23.5) @ Oklahoma

TCU (-7.5) vs Virginia


----> 4 game parlay ($10):

Arizona (+23.5) @ Oregon

Louisville (-13) @ Florida Intl.

W. Kentucky (-4) vs S. Mississippi

Troy (0) @ UNT


----> 4 game parlay ($5):

Florida State (-14) vs Clemson

Washington State (-19) vs Colorado

Georgia Tech (-14) vs Miami

Minnesota U (-1.5) vs Syracuse


  NFL:

New York Jets (-2.5) @ Miami -- 3 units


Bank:  400
NCAA Record: 6-5
Profit: +100
NFL Record: 2-2
Profit: +50
Total Profit: +75
1 Unit = 25
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: MS_HogFan on September 20, 2012, 09:44:06 am
Only picked up one game, did one 3 game teaser, two 4 game parlays, and one NFL game.  Really didnt see a whole lot of lines I loved so I screwed around a bit with the teaser and the parlays.  only puttin down about half the bank this weekend, wait for better lines next weekend.  tell me what yall think!

My official bets for the weekend are:

  College:

W. Kentucky (-4) vs S. Mississippi -- 2 units


----> 10pt Teaser (2 units):

Arizona (+34) @ Oregon

Kansas State (+23.5) @ Oklahoma

TCU (-7.5) vs Virginia


----> 4 game parlay ($10):

Arizona (+23.5) @ Oregon

Louisville (-13) @ Florida Intl.

W. Kentucky (-4) vs S. Mississippi

Troy (0) @ UNT


----> 4 game parlay ($5):

Florida State (-14) vs Clemson

Washington State (-19) vs Colorado

Georgia Tech (-14) vs Miami

Minnesota U (-1.5) vs Syracuse


  NFL:

New York Jets (-2.5) @ Miami -- 3 units


Bank:  400
NCAA Record: 6-5
Profit: +100
NFL Record: 2-2
Profit: +50
Total Profit: +75
1 Unit = 25


If you hit the $5 4 team parlay, how much do you win?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 20, 2012, 09:54:14 am
The $5 parlay pays $50 and the $10 parlay pays $100.  Pretty much a 4-team parlay pays 10-1
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 20, 2012, 09:57:32 am
I propably shoulda stuck with a 3-team parlay, which i think pays 6-1.  not reliant on so many teams but it was only $15 total for both bets so im okay with losing it
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 20, 2012, 10:00:52 am
The one pick I really like is W. Kentucky (-4) vs Mississippi.  They are coming off a big win @ Kentucky and are coming home to play S. Mississippi.  W. Kentucky will be amped up from the win and I'm sure the atmosphere of the stadium will be great (for them) with the fans pumped from the win as well.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 20, 2012, 10:07:51 am
I have to ask what everyone's opinion is on Baylor-ULM. I went -7.5 on Baylor just because now I think ULM will start losing steam. Plus the rest of college football knows they need to be taken seriously.

I like Baylor here too.  ULM is good, but I think they are over-valued after 2 good showings against bad SEC teams with no O's.  Ark had no O in the second half.  If Tyler had played the second half, the Ark game would not have been close.  Auburn has no O at all and still scored 28 points and got a W.  Baylor can and will score points on them.  I expect this game to go about the way the Ark game should have gone if Tyler had played the second half.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 20, 2012, 10:08:42 am
oops ... hit quote instead of modify, so deleted the double post
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 20, 2012, 10:44:11 am
Boise State at -6.5, anyone takin that? or anyone takin BYU at +6.5?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 20, 2012, 12:02:20 pm
Boise State at -6.5, anyone takin that? or anyone takin BYU at +6.5?

I'm on Boise -7.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 20, 2012, 12:08:11 pm
I'm on Boise -7.

I think I might've done one parlay with BYU +7.5, but for the most part I'm leaning towards the Boise St. side. I did a 7 point teaser that made it even easier.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 20, 2012, 12:14:08 pm
Damn, some of these lines have moved a chunk since they came out.

Locking In

Troy pk @ North Texas....2*
Boise St-7 v BYU....1*



Watching for line movement in my favor
Oklahoma v Kansas St, its already been pushed down to -13.5, liking Oklahoma
Michigan v Notre Dame, its already been pushed up to 6.5, liking Mich
LSU v Auburn, moved down to 17.5, liking LSU
Georgia v Vandy, been pushed down to 13.5, liking Georgia


I shoulda locked in the Michigan, LSU and Georgia picks earlier in the week, all the lines moved away from me. Which means I'm with the betting public on all 3. Not a good situation.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 20, 2012, 12:46:02 pm
I'm of the persuasion that LSU is a good pick to cover, even at 20.5. Anyone disagree?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 20, 2012, 01:38:53 pm
I'm of the persuasion that LSU is a good pick to cover, even at 20.5. Anyone disagree?

No, I dont see how Auburn is gonna score.  Their O is atrocious
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 20, 2012, 01:55:22 pm
I actually added BYU (+6.5) -- 1 unit
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 20, 2012, 04:59:35 pm
Have additionally added the panthers at -2.5.  Really like this bet, the Giants secondary is miserable; they needed a 4th quarter comeback and a career day from Hakeem to beat tampa at home; they will be without Hakeem, Bradshaw, and Diehl.  Im liking Carolina at home here.  it was a 3 unit bet
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 20, 2012, 06:10:01 pm
BYU +7 ....W
O49...........L

1-1
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 20, 2012, 11:01:52 pm
Wow. Took the over, then Boise -3 at half. FML.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 20, 2012, 11:23:42 pm
Yep, Boise ruined my streak. I had a chance if byu woulda just went to overtime.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 20, 2012, 11:26:49 pm
Picked BYU +7.5, 2/12 of the way there on my progressive parlay!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 21, 2012, 01:54:56 am
Why in the world would BYU go for two there anyway? 3 minutes left...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 21, 2012, 07:00:09 am
I have no idea. Boise's only score was a pick 6. Kick the extra pt and go to overtime.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 21, 2012, 07:06:37 am
Well I am taking a week or two off.  I have never experienced anything like this crap run I have started the season off on.  I mean I have had really bad weeks before even two in a row during a season, but nothing like this.

It has me to the point where I love a line one day and then live the same game te other way the very next day.  Hell I wanted to play the college game last night and glad I didn't.  Would have gone Boise -6.5. And probably would have looked at the over.  You tell me before that game the final was gonna be 7-6 either way. I would have tried to have you committed to a mental facility.

Time for me to just step away for a bit and clear the head.  May sneak one or two in now and again.

I did already make a dime play on the Steelers -4 at the Raiders this week.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 21, 2012, 08:47:19 am
Well i learned a valuable lesson last night - never bet against Eli and the Giants.  My goodness I could not have been more wrong. 

Did win the BYU bet though but had way more money on the Panthers so im -2 units going into the weekend. 

Interesting bit of info for yall: Other than last weeks game against a crap team, Boise State has yet to score an offensive TD.  Both of their TD's against Michigan State and BYU were defensive.  just something to chew on.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 21, 2012, 09:41:43 am
Boise is not good.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bosshog84 on September 21, 2012, 09:46:12 am
Is everyone on Baylor tonight? Seems to be a popular pick.

Got them @ -6.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bosshog84 on September 21, 2012, 09:54:35 am
Also have:

Arkansas -6.5 - looking better now that Tyler is returning
Utah +7 - I think the Utes have a shot SU
LSU -20.5 - Hard to see where Auburn even scores this game
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 21, 2012, 10:05:51 am
So far I've got . . .

Troy  pk
KSU  +14

Have added . . .

Vandy  +15.5
Rutgers  +9 . . . yeah, yeah, I know, I don't want to hear it.  This is money I'd be happy to lose, flush it away PLEASE.  But taking the emotions out of it, +9 is an attractive # to me.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 21, 2012, 12:46:36 pm
added 4 more units to the jets.  gonna be a big bet for me.  7 units total, wish me luck!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: arkirish on September 21, 2012, 12:58:18 pm
LSU -20.5
Clemson +14 (Even put a small bet on ML)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 21, 2012, 01:27:33 pm
LSU -20.5
Clemson +14 (Even put a small bet on ML)

I'm not very impressed with who FSU's vaunted defense has played against, so I'm right with you.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: The Hogfather on September 21, 2012, 01:30:55 pm
I like Clemson, too, but I can't figure out why the line is so darn high.  Scares me a little bit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 21, 2012, 01:38:32 pm
Florida -24 against Kensucky
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 21, 2012, 01:41:10 pm
I like Clemson, too, but I can't figure out why the line is so darn high.  Scares me a little bit.

I think it will be a close game. Florida State is overrated in my opinion.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: arkirish on September 21, 2012, 02:18:35 pm
Tajh Boyd, Andre Ellington, Sammy Watkins, and DeAndre Hopkins....that is 4 unbelievably talented play-makers, Florida State has played absolutely nobody. Clemson has the better QB and RB, this Clemson offense went for 35 last year against this "amazing" Seminoles defense....if Clemson doesn't win, they easily hang within 2 TD's.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 21, 2012, 02:55:54 pm
Tajh Boyd, Andre Ellington, Sammy Watkins, and DeAndre Hopkins....that is 4 unbelievably talented play-makers, Florida State has played absolutely nobody. Clemson has the better QB and RB, this Clemson offense went for 35 last year against this "amazing" Seminoles defense....if Clemson doesn't win, they easily hang within 2 TD's.

I'm right with you. Clemson might even have more offensive weapons than Oregon. FSUs big dog DT is out for the year, too.

I just hope that Baylor goes out tonight and shows ULM what's up.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 21, 2012, 03:22:06 pm
I lied.  Just put 1 unit on Baylor -7
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 21, 2012, 03:26:57 pm
I lied.  Just put 1 unit on Baylor -7

Liking this game more and more....

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: MS_HogFan on September 21, 2012, 03:36:48 pm
Cowboys -7.5
Vikings +7
Bengals +3
Cardinals +3
Jets -2.5

I got these picks off of Colin Cowherd. He went 5-0 last week.
The sharks agreed with every bet he had except Jets. Said the best bet of the week is Cardinals +3.


Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 21, 2012, 03:38:11 pm
Liking this game more and more....



my Baylor line is already up to -8.5 so i am thinking of taking the under 70 instead. that's a whole lot of points.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 21, 2012, 04:24:37 pm
Cowboys -7.5
Vikings +7
Bengals +3
Cardinals +3
Jets -2.5

I got these picks off of Colin Cowherd. He went 5-0 last week.
The sharks agreed with every bet he had except Jets. Said the best bet of the week is Cardinals +3.

got my jets bet from colin cowherd too, love his show.  You know whats funny, Colin said the Jets bet was his favorite bet of the week haha.  I'm hoping he's right as I have 7 units on it!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 21, 2012, 06:12:30 pm
Got Baylor -8 tonight.......L
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 21, 2012, 09:21:03 pm
I really like listening to cowherd as well.  I like the jets, but not enough to play that game either way.

Since I went degenerate tonight and bet this game  I am also playing some tomorrow.  I am no quitter!

On k-st +14.5 / 3 units
Clemson +16 / 5 units
Uconn -1 / 3 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 22, 2012, 09:43:53 am
what a terrible, terrible backdoor lst night. Just a ridiculous cover.

saturday plays:
Virginia +19........L
UNLV +11............W
Clemson +15........W
Notre Dame -6.......W
Illinois -2.5............L
Utah +7.................L
Miami/GaTeh U62......L
colorado st +13.......W

4-4
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 22, 2012, 09:50:25 am
No doubt.  The three man fron and prevent D prevented a cover for us.  I am snake bit as they say.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 22, 2012, 10:11:53 am
Here's mine for the day.
3 units:
LSU -20.5 L
2 units:
Clem +14.5 W
Syr -1 L
Mich +6 L
1 unit:
Troy +2 W
Oregon under 80 W
UVA +18 L

Week 3-4, down 4 units
YTD: 20-12-1, -.5 unit
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 22, 2012, 11:23:27 am
Troy pk @ North Texas....2*                   
Boise St-7 v BYU....1*           lost
Virginia Tech -17....1*          win
Wisky -17.5 (hook)....1*       lost
LSU -20....1*
Michigan +5.5....1*
Georgia -14.5 (hook)....1*
Louisville -13....2*
USC -15....1*
Oklahoma -16....1*

2012-2013 CFB
  Record 11-8-0 (58%)    Profit  $1598    Bankroll $3598    ROI 80%



Adding VTech and Wisky on a hunch. I don't think they are as bad as they have been playing and both of them have opponents this week they could really put a hurt on.

Adding Louisville and USC based on someone elses picks. May not be a good strategy.

I also added a parlay of USC, Mich, Louisville, Georgia, LSU and Oklahoma for the fun of it. I had like $3.80 in my account left over, so I put it all on the parlay for a payout of $173.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: wwwhogfan on September 22, 2012, 12:51:31 pm
Alcorn State +42
Arkansas -370 for the win
LSU -19
LSU/Auburn Over 47
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 22, 2012, 01:14:32 pm
No doubt.  The three man fron and prevent D prevented a cover for us.  I am snake bit as they say.

Jeff I'm hoping you bet Miami cause if you do i'll feel better about winning my jets bet  ;)

jk buddy, i feel bad for ya
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 22, 2012, 03:05:55 pm
Alcorn State +42
Arkansas -370 for the win
LSU -19
LSU/Auburn Over 47

Can't believe someone would bet that large of a moneyline. And did you see something from Alcorn State in that UAPB drubbing that made you think they can keep it within 40 or are you just anti Malzahn?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 22, 2012, 03:06:46 pm
Virginia Tech -17....1*
Wisky -17.5 (hook)....1*
LSU -20....1*
Michigan +5.5....1*
Georgia -14.5 (hook)....1*
Louisville -13....2*
USC -15....1*
Oklahoma -16....1*


Adding VTech and Wisky on a hunch. I don't think they are as bad as they have been playing and both of them have opponents this week they could really put a hurt on.

Adding Louisville and USC based on someone elses picks. May not be a good strategy.

I also added a parlay of USC, Mich, Louisville, Georgia, LSU and Oklahoma for the fun of it. I had like $3.80 in my account left over, so I put it all on the parlay for a payout of $173.

So far I'm 1-1 on my "hunches". Wisky just isn't that good of a team.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 23, 2012, 01:13:13 am
Looks like 4-4
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 23, 2012, 09:39:09 am
bad day for me yesterday.  cant believe Arizona didnt cover even with a 10pt teaser.  even arkansas state covered for goodness sakes.  Adding another 4 units to the jets.  Goin big on them today, total of 11 units.  really need this one to hit, if not ill be taking a breather for a bit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 23, 2012, 09:41:46 am
Went 6-2-1 yesterday.

Wins -
Central Michigan, Georgia, Penn St, Notre Dame, Kansas St, Florida Atlantic

Losses -
Boise St, West Virginia

Push -
Memphis.


12-2-1 on the season.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 23, 2012, 10:11:05 am
I like the Skins -3
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 23, 2012, 10:53:21 am
Finally had a good day yesterday! About time!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 23, 2012, 10:59:48 am
Steelers -4 for a dime. 10 unit play and yes I know Harrison and Troy P are out.

Rams +7 for 2 units.
Lions -4 / 3 units
Bills -2.5 / 2 units
Cardinals +3 / 2 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on September 23, 2012, 11:02:27 am
San Fran -7 for $500
Detroit  -4 for $200

Haven't bet all week but love these lines.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: jkstock04 on September 23, 2012, 12:10:20 pm
Took South Carolina yesterday....2.5 units.  Easy money there I may bet against Mizzou for the rest of the year every game.

Today I'm doing:

Lions -4 for 1 unit
Steelers -4 for 3 units. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 23, 2012, 03:21:04 pm
Oh come on Jets, hold off Miami!!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 23, 2012, 03:25:33 pm
Added Hou -1.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 23, 2012, 05:12:26 pm
Early lines I like this week -------

Penn St +1 1/2 against Illinois
Minnesota + 6 against Iowa
Clemson -11 over Boston College
Central Michigan +12 against Northern Illinois
Oregon -28 over Washington St
Texas +5 1/2 against Oklahoma St
Texas A&M -11 over Arkansas
Florida St -14 over South Florida
Nevada -21 over Texas St
UAB +17 against Tulsa
New Mexico +30 against Boise St
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 23, 2012, 06:09:53 pm
Early lines I like this week -------

Penn St -2 1/2 over Illinois
Minnesota + 6 against Iowa
Clemson -11 over Boston College
Central Michigan +12 against Northern Illinois
Oregon -28 over Washington St
Texas +5 1/2 against Oklahoma St
Texas A&M -11 over Arkansas
Florida St -14 over South Florida
Nevada -21 over Texas St
UAB +17 against Tulsa
New Mexico +30 against Boise St

I think I'd have to agree with you on most of those. Only one I'd be uncertain of is Texas +5.5. Neither team has proven enough to me to make me comfortable putting money down.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 23, 2012, 07:14:49 pm
Texas wins at ole miss by 35, ok St loses at arizona by 21. I feel good about it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 23, 2012, 08:20:23 pm
Texas wins at ole miss by 35, ok St loses at arizona by 21. I feel good about it.

You just refreshed my memory enough to pick Texas. Isn't Wes Lunt hurt too?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 23, 2012, 10:36:20 pm
Not sure about that.

And I made a typo earlier. I've got Penn St +1 1/2 against Illinois. I changed it in my previous post.

Man i wish this was legal!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 24, 2012, 06:54:09 am
W  Added Hou -1.5

W  Troy  pk
W  KSU  +14
L  Vandy  +15.5
W   :puke:   Rutgers  +9 . . . yeah, yeah, I know, I don't want to hear it.  This is money I'd be happy to lose, flush it away PLEASE.  But taking the emotions out of it, +9 is an attractive # to me.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 24, 2012, 06:54:48 am
On the sips early this week, -2.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 24, 2012, 10:21:28 am
Really liking some lines this week.  just locked in these bets:

Texas a&m (-13.5) vs Arkansas -- 4 units.  we look awful. no way we stay within 2 TDs, especially on the road.

Texas (-2.5) @ Oklahoma State -- 7 units.  Like Dr. Starcs said, UT won by 35 on the road against Ole Miss, Okie State lost by 21 against Arizona.  UT should be FINE.

Clemson (-9.5) @ Boston College -- 8 units.  The offense looked great against FSU, their D just didnt hold up.  They aren't playing FSU, this is Boston College.  Their D will hold up against Boston College.
 

5 team parlay (bet $35 to win $875):
Texas a&m (-13.5) vs Arkansas
Clemson (-9.5) @ Boston College
Florida State (-16) @ South Florida
TCU (-18) @ SMU
Texas (-2.5) @ Oklahoma State



Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: MS_HogFan on September 24, 2012, 10:48:12 am
Huck pig. Congrats on the jets game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 24, 2012, 10:50:04 am
Huck pig. Congrats on the jets game.

Thanks! that was a wild ride.  Have never had so much money on a game (had 11 units on it) and boy was my heart racing.  What a crazy ending.  picked up 11 units though, made my weekend!

How'd you end up?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 24, 2012, 11:14:59 am
btw really like Stanford (-7) @ Washington.  Already have all my money out for next weekend so I wont be betting but if I had seen that I would have put $ on it as well.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 24, 2012, 11:37:25 am
Do you guys ever play halftime lines? I was bored/depressed sitting in section 103 at halftime Saturday and placed two halftime bets that hit easily

Western Kentucky was tied at half, they got +1/2 at home

Louisville was also tied at half on the road and was at -6.

I took both and hit both easily. Saved my bad day. I am going to start looking at these halftime lines a lot closer now.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: MS_HogFan on September 24, 2012, 12:34:08 pm
Thanks! that was a wild ride.  Have never had so much money on a game (had 11 units on it) and boy was my heart racing.  What a crazy ending.  picked up 11 units though, made my weekend!

How'd you end up?

I haven't bet this season. I don't like the online sites. They send out to much spam and junk mail.
They guy I used the last few years moved.
I am just watching you guys right now.
I always lose so it is probably a blessing. LOL   
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 24, 2012, 03:05:01 pm
Went 3-3 over the weekend.  Unfortunately, my big play was on Baylor, so that last friggin TD by ULM with 6 seconds left turned what would have been a +8 unit weekend into a -6 weekend, making me -1 for the season. 

Nothing has really jumped out at me yet for this week.  I took Missouri +2.5 @ UCF (4 units) ... after which, the line went back to +3. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on September 24, 2012, 03:11:23 pm
Went 3-3 over the weekend.  Unfortunately, my big play was on Baylor, so that last friggin TD by ULM with 6 seconds left turned what would have been a +8 unit weekend into a -6 weekend, making me -1 for the season. 

Nothing has really jumped out at me yet for this week.  I took Missouri +2.5 @ UCF (4 units) ... after which, the line went back to +3. 

Same here on the Baylor thing. Oh well, I got it back when the Jets hit the game winning field goal.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 25, 2012, 09:38:21 am
some people have got ot be pissed about last nights game.  GB had the spread covered before the replacement refs made the worst call of all time
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 25, 2012, 10:35:51 am
I am horrible at picking NFL games, so at least I only lost my self-imposed $5 NFL limit.  It's been interesting listening to the former NFL official that the network has had commenting on various calls during the games.  It comes across as a conflict of interest, and it has the look and feel like he is much more likely to be critical of calls than I've noticed in the past.  Granted, I think the grief was deserved for the call last night.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 25, 2012, 11:53:53 am
I am horrible at picking NFL games, so at least I only lost my self-imposed $5 NFL limit.  It's been interesting listening to the former NFL official that the network has had commenting on various calls during the games.  It comes across as a conflict of interest, and it has the look and feel like he is much more likely to be critical of calls than I've noticed in the past.  Granted, I think the grief was deserved for the call last night.

I'm not even touching the NFL anymore. i feel like someone just punched me in the balls every time I bet on a game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 25, 2012, 12:29:13 pm
My weekend was just bad. I can't figure out how I am so far off on some of these games and it is frustrating the hell out of me. Hope I get back on track this week.


Loses
Oklahoma -16....1*   -198
Boise St-7 v BYU....1*           
Wisky -17.5 (hook)....1*       
LSU -20....1*
Michigan +5.5....1*
Louisville -13....2*   -396

Wins
Troy pk @ North Texas....2*   +360               
Georgia -14.5 (hook)....1* +180
Virginia Tech -17....1*         
USC -15....1*


2012-2013 CFB
  Record 15-14-0 (52%)    Profit  $1112    Bankroll $3112    ROI 56%


As for this weeks games, these are the ones I'm certain about. I doubt I will have time to get back in here much this week, lot of homework due. I am still looking at the Stanford game v Washington, and there are a couple more, but I'll update previous to the games if I add anything else.
VTech -7....2*
Penn St +1.5....1* (line started out PSU -4, but has moved to this, with 61% on PSU)
Miami -2.5....2*
Arizona St +2.5....1*
Texas A&M -13.5....3* (and if there is a prop bet on passing yds, drop some on TAMU)
ULM -18....2*

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 25, 2012, 02:19:00 pm
My weekend was just bad. I can't figure out how I am so far off on some of these games and it is frustrating the hell out of me. Hope I get back on track this week.


Loses
Oklahoma -16....1*   -198
Boise St-7 v BYU....1*           
Wisky -17.5 (hook)....1*       
LSU -20....1*
Michigan +5.5....1*
Louisville -13....2*   -396

Wins
Troy pk @ North Texas....2*   +360               
Georgia -14.5 (hook)....1* +180
Virginia Tech -17....1*         
USC -15....1*


2012-2013 CFB
  Record 15-14-0 (52%)    Profit  $1112    Bankroll $3112    ROI 56%


As for this weeks games, these are the ones I'm certain about. I doubt I will have time to get back in here much this week, lot of homework due. I am still looking at the Stanford game v Washington, and there are a couple more, but I'll update previous to the games if I add anything else.
VTech -7....2*
Penn St +1.5....1* (line started out PSU -4, but has moved to this, with 61% on PSU)
Miami -2.5....2*
Arizona St +2.5....1*
Texas A&M -13.5....3* (and if there is a prop bet on passing yds, drop some on TAMU)


thought you'd be a little higher on a&m.  what do you think about the clemson line, Texas line, and TCU line?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 25, 2012, 02:39:31 pm
http://espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/8422934/seattle-seahawks-vs-green-bay-packers-disputed-mnf-call-shifted-150-250m-bets (http://espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/8422934/seattle-seahawks-vs-green-bay-packers-disputed-mnf-call-shifted-150-250m-bets)

that GB call really effed a LOT of people!!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 25, 2012, 04:58:25 pm
just got a $72.50 bonus from the site I used so I decided to have a little fun with it:

Bet:

$72.50 to win $2,900

Stanford (-7) @ Washington

Clemson (-9.5) @ Boston College

Florida State (-17) @ South Florida

TCU (-16.5) @ SMU

Texas (-3) @ Oklahoma State

A&M (-13.5) vs Arkansas


I have another $35 bet to win $875 with 5 of these games, added the stanford game with the free $.  Would be a hell of a weekend to go 6-0 lol.  Fingers crossed!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 25, 2012, 05:32:38 pm
just got a $72.50 bonus from the site I used so I decided to have a little fun with it:

Bet:

$72.50 to win $2,900

Stanford (-7) @ Washington

Clemson (-9.5) @ Boston College

Florida State (-17) @ South Florida

TCU (-16.5) @ SMU

Texas (-3) @ Oklahoma State

A&M (-13.5) vs Arkansas


I have another $35 bet to win $875 with 5 of these games, added the stanford game with the free $.  Would be a hell of a weekend to go 6-0 lol.  Fingers crossed!

I think you've got a pretty decent chance there, Huck Pig. The only game I'm uncertain on out of the lot is TCU-SMU. I think the line on the Florida St and Clemson games aren't high enough. TCU will definitely prevent SMU from scoring a lot of points, but if SMU is at all better offensively than Maryland then it might be close on that one. Buy three points for TCU, though, then I'm all over it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 25, 2012, 05:40:09 pm
One game that I'm ALL over is San Jose State -2.5 @ Navy. If you want to extrapolate it, SJST beat a San Diego State team that trounced Army 42-7, and the word I'm hearing is that Army is favored to beat Navy this year.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 25, 2012, 07:28:09 pm
Good info Ed. Thinking about adding that one.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 25, 2012, 07:48:53 pm
thought you'd be a little higher on a&m.  what do you think about the clemson line, Texas line, and TCU line?

I like Clemson, Texas and TCU. Clemson and Texas may actually be added to my card later this week. The only thing that worries me, is that everyone is on the same 3. Not often you find 3 games, where the public is right, and they are all favorites. Texas seems like the best of the bunch, don't see anyway they don't win by a TD at least at Ok St.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 25, 2012, 08:12:56 pm
I also like LaTech -2.5 @ Virginia. Tech's only non-double digit win was against Houston's passing attack, and they still covered the spread in that game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 25, 2012, 10:16:56 pm
You guys may think I've lost my mind, but I've got a system that I'm going to put to the test this weekend. I went to whatifsports.com and found games in which they had at least 70% confidence in the home team, yet still didn't pick them to cover the spread. From that point, I made a few judgement calls, but I ended up with this 6 point teaser (did the teaser for insurance).

Buffalo +22 @ UCONN
Colorado St. +21 @ Air Force
Idaho +30.5 @ UNC
Middle Tenn St. +33.5 @ GaTech
Marshall +22.5 @ Purdue

A $5 bet on the 6pt teaser pays $22.50
A $1 bet buying 3 pts each on a parlay pays $9.11
A $1 on a progressive parlay pays $11

We'll see how this goes. I've put a good amount of the last few days into drawing up a spreadsheet. I know the saying about playing games on paper, but a computer can realistically find the games where there's the least chance of variance. Those games are what I'm going after. The five I picked are basically mediocre teams playing even more mediocre teams at home.

Theoretically, assuming I'd taken the points on every game this applies to, I'd be 52% correct. If I bought 3 points on every game, that number jumps to 68%. 6 points brings it to an 82% chance. The 6 points is misleading because I'd have to get blocks of games correct, but I guess that's where the human factor and experience wins out.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 26, 2012, 03:52:10 pm
So far, this week, I'm going:
Stanford -6 @ Washington (2 units)
Missouri +2.5 @ UCF (5 units)
A&M -13.5 v. Hogs (8 units ... here's hoping I miss my big play this week)

EDIT: I intended to go 12 units on A&M, but it looks like I didn't hit a final button to make the last 4 official.  I'm sticking with 8 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: arkirish on September 26, 2012, 04:02:08 pm
Love the Jets +4 this weekend against the 49ers, West Coast teams traveling over 3 time zones to play noon games have little success. Also like Mizzou + points against an average UCF team.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 26, 2012, 04:47:39 pm
Be careful with that Ed. Tried the same thing earlier this year when whatif told me Washington +24 would cover against lsu. They actually put the score at 31-21. LSU won 41-3 and I lost (a friendly bet).
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 26, 2012, 05:03:30 pm
Added:
South Carolina -20.5 @ Kentucky (8 units)

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 26, 2012, 05:30:25 pm
Be careful with that Ed. Tried the same thing earlier this year when whatif told me Washington +24 would cover against lsu. They actually put the score at 31-21. LSU won 41-3 and I lost (a friendly bet).

Trust me man, I hate myself for even putting forth the effort to find a trend, but I'm definitely staying away from obvious low-end predictions. That basically means staying away from most ranked teams. If anything, I'm risking $5 to enjoy games that I wouldn't otherwise care about.

But I'm never touching an LSU game ever again.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 26, 2012, 05:35:34 pm
Two big mysteries for me this week are ULM -18 @ Tulane and VT -6.5 vs Cincy. I'm honestly higher on ULM to cover than I am on VT. Anybody else have any thoughts?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 26, 2012, 07:21:09 pm
That Mizzou / UCF line seems like a trap.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 26, 2012, 09:27:11 pm
That Mizzou / UCF line seems like a trap.

my thoughts exactly. I saw it and immediately thought "something is up".


Two big mysteries for me this week are ULM -18 @ Tulane and VT -6.5 vs Cincy. I'm honestly higher on ULM to cover than I am on VT. Anybody else have any thoughts?

I love VT laying the points, but ULM should cover easily also. Im going to add that one to my week.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 26, 2012, 09:45:43 pm
That Mizzou / UCF line seems like a trap.

Yeah I'm not touching that game.

I'll give and take a little bit more, though. I like Northwestern -11 at home against Indiana. They've beaten BC, Vanderbilt, and Syracuse on the road. If Northwestern wins they move to 5-0 and have a solid argument for being ranked. I see them running all over the Hoosiers.

I also cannot emphasize how much I like LaTech -2.5 @ Virginia. They're averaging 55 points/game and 7.2 yards per play against a team that gives up 6 yards/play. In my opinion they have no trouble moving the ball and covering that spread.

Now, Ohio State +3 @ Michigan State... I personally picked OSU, any thoughts?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 27, 2012, 08:59:54 am
Yeah I'm not touching that game.

I'll give and take a little bit more, though. I like Northwestern -11 at home against Indiana. They've beaten BC, Vanderbilt, and Syracuse on the road. If Northwestern wins they move to 5-0 and have a solid argument for being ranked. I see them running all over the Hoosiers.

I also cannot emphasize how much I like LaTech -2.5 @ Virginia. They're averaging 55 points/game and 7.2 yards per play against a team that gives up 6 yards/play. In my opinion they have no trouble moving the ball and covering that spread.

Now, Ohio State +3 @ Michigan State... I personally picked OSU, any thoughts?

I really like your Ohio State pick.  I think they are over-rated, big time.  They could hardly score on Boise State, and I like Ohio State's D.  Also Ohio State has a pretty darn good O.  I like the bet.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 27, 2012, 10:53:39 am
Well, Huck Pig, I guess great minds think alike. It seems like a no-brainer that Stanford should cover -6.5 tonight against Washington, considering what they've done to them the last two times. Even without Luck it looks like Stanford runs all over them all night.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 27, 2012, 10:55:08 am
ok here are all my bets this week:

$72.50 6 team parlay - pays $2,900 (note this was all bonus money, wouldnt do this with my own money):

Stanford (-7) @ Washington

Texas A&M (-13.5) vs Arkansas

Clemson (-9.5) @ Boston College

Florida State (-17) @ South Florida

Texas (-2.5) @ Oklahoma State

TCU (-16.5) @ SMU


$35 5 team parlay, pays $875 (note: this was done before the 6 team parlay and with my own money):

Texas A&M (-13.5) vs Arkansas

Clemson (-9.5) @ Boston College

Florida State (-16) @ South Florida

Texas (-2.5) @ Oklahoma State

TCU (-18) @ SMU


Regular bets:

Texas (-2.5) @ Oklahoma State -- 7 units

Clemson (-9.5) @ Boston College -- 8 units

Texas A&M (-13.5) vs Arkansas -- 4 units


Wish me luck!

 

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 27, 2012, 11:00:52 am
On the sips early this week, -2.5

I've added.....

Navy  +2.5
Nebraska  -11.5
VaTech  -6.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 27, 2012, 11:12:46 am
I've added.....

Navy  +2.5
Nebraska  -11.5
VaTech  -6.5

I have a feeling that Nebraska will easily cover that line. I'm becoming more and more wary of VT though.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 27, 2012, 11:47:25 am
Well, Huck Pig, I guess great minds think alike. It seems like a no-brainer that Stanford should cover -6.5 tonight against Washington, considering what they've done to them the last two times. Even without Luck it looks like Stanford runs all over them all night.

unfortunately i got them at -7, would have loved the -6.5 line but i think they take care of business and win by 10 or more.  Stepfan Taylor ran all over them last year, expect the same this year.  stingy D to go along with that running game
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 27, 2012, 11:51:39 am
I like the Browns tonight. Don't ask why. +12 and the Ravens coming off a Sunday Night game. Taking the huskies +7.5(what my site has them at). They'll stack the box and make Stanfords young QB throw. 21-17 type game
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 27, 2012, 12:39:11 pm
I don't think stacking the box will do much against Stepfan Taylor. Stanford is more balanced than LSU on offense, as well. As long as their D creates a few turnovers and they limit their own, this one works out well in Stanford's favor.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 27, 2012, 01:06:39 pm
I don't think stacking the box will do much against Stepfan Taylor. Stanford is more balanced than LSU on offense, as well. As long as their D creates a few turnovers and they limit their own, this one works out well in Stanford's favor.

I agree with this... course we've both been wrong before, thats why they call it gambling
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 27, 2012, 01:20:27 pm
I just looked it up, Stanford is tied for 6th nationally in turnover margin, +6 with a 3/1 ratio.

Alas, Arkansas is dead last. 2/12
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 27, 2012, 02:14:23 pm
Added:
Georgia -13.5 v. Tenn (4 units)
Bama -29.5 v. Ole Miss (1 unit)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 27, 2012, 02:35:54 pm
I don't think stacking the box will do much against Stepfan Taylor. Stanford is more balanced than LSU on offense, as well. As long as their D creates a few turnovers and they limit their own, this one works out well in Stanford's favor.

Taking Washington +7.5 for a hundy
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 27, 2012, 03:01:15 pm
Taking Washington +7.5 for a hundy

I took Stanford at -6.  Hopefully, they thread the needle, win by 7, and we win on both sides of that game.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 27, 2012, 03:23:57 pm
Taking Washington +7.5 for a hundy

Hope you're wrong!  ;)

sorry, need Stanford by 8.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 27, 2012, 03:25:52 pm
http://espn.go.com/blog/ncfnation/tag/_/name/game-predictions-092712 (http://espn.go.com/blog/ncfnation/tag/_/name/game-predictions-092712)

ESPN's predictions for the weekend.  I like reading as many of these from different sources as i can to get a feel for some of the games.  Thought I'd share
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 27, 2012, 03:34:03 pm
http://espn.go.com/blog/ncfnation/tag/_/name/game-predictions-092712 (http://espn.go.com/blog/ncfnation/tag/_/name/game-predictions-092712)

ESPN's predictions for the weekend.  I like reading as many of these from different sources as i can to get a feel for some of the games.  Thought I'd share

Interesting that both bloggers took the points on Oregon State. Interesting in the sense that Oregon St seems to be the consensus favorite in that game except in the minds of book keepers.

If anyone wants an update, I just noticed some line changes just in the last few minutes.

Arkansas-AM moved to 14.5
Clemson-BC 8
Mizzou-UCF 3
ULM-Tulane 19
 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 27, 2012, 06:31:33 pm
Terrible weekend . Will update later. Stanford -7 tonight......L

YTD RECORD 23-18
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 27, 2012, 06:43:40 pm
Backing out of Minnesota +6 against Iowa. Gophers qb doubtful for the game. Gophers still getting 7 points. I felt pretty confident about it before, but too uninformed to stay with it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 27, 2012, 07:03:13 pm
clemson now down to -7?!

i am SHOCKED.  looked for injuries, didnt find any.  I dont see how Boston College keeps up... i would be all over this if i hadnt already made my bets. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 27, 2012, 09:12:01 pm
clemson now down to -7?!

i am SHOCKED.  looked for injuries, didnt find any.  I dont see how Boston College keeps up... i would be all over this if i hadnt already made my bets. 

Sammy Watkins out w/ a virus
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 27, 2012, 09:42:29 pm
Sammy Watkins out w/ a virus

son of a...
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 27, 2012, 10:02:54 pm
I'm such a degenerate. I just bet these:

Stanford -.5 for the 3rd qtr....1*
Stanford -3.5 for the rest of the game....1*

I am also adding:

Texas -2.5....1*
Clemson -7....1*


to my week.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 27, 2012, 10:04:12 pm
son of a...

I wouldn't worry, they beat Auburn without him, they ought to be able to handle BC, I've got them by about 10.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 27, 2012, 10:15:05 pm
Well, rats. Since the Watkins injury, I'll stick with Clemson but I'll take them -7 instead of -11.
 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 27, 2012, 10:15:07 pm
I wouldn't worry, they beat Auburn without him, they ought to be able to handle BC,

Agreed
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 27, 2012, 10:30:37 pm
As I was typing this post to pat myself on the back, Wash scores with :00 on the clock for the 3rd qtr.

FML
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 27, 2012, 10:53:58 pm
Hit The Browns +13 for a bill. My logic behind taking them was 5-0 ATS their last 5.  And 13 is quite a few to be giving a division rival. Hoping UW keeps it within 7
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 27, 2012, 11:11:12 pm
Hit The Browns +13 for a bill. My logic behind taking them was 5-0 ATS their last 5.  And 13 is quite a few to be giving a division rival. Hoping UW keeps it within 7

You got that locked up bro. Count yo $$$.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 27, 2012, 11:17:14 pm
WOW...

After going up 13-3 in the 3rd with moments to go, Stanford has given up 2 TD's and an INT to seal it up for Washington. Amazing. Hate to start off the weekend 0-2 down $340.

And to rub salt in the wound, Sark just said "they are going offsides right here", and wouldn't you know it. Got the DL to jump.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 27, 2012, 11:30:38 pm
hey stanford, thanks for sucking bad.  i'd at least to START the weekend thinking i have a chance.  F the pac 12.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 27, 2012, 11:39:20 pm
WOW...

After going up 13-3 in the 3rd with moments to go, Stanford has given up 2 TD's and an INT to seal it up for Washington. Amazing. Hate to start off the weekend 0-2 down $340.

And to rub salt in the wound, Sark just said "they are going offsides right here", and wouldn't you know it. Got the DL to jump.

Jeez I felt bad for losing $20 on the game. Thanks Willy for making me feel just a tad bit better! But yes, this time last week I was riding nice and high on picking the Kent St. and Boise games accurately. Now I feel bad about every bet I made.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 28, 2012, 08:29:49 am
Stanford, with two weeks to prepare and after putting up 21 on USC, is unable to score an offensive TD on Washington... I'm sorry, but WTH were the coaches doing for 2 weeks, drawing plays in the dirt?

oh well, at least the money i lost was the house's to begin with.  still like my bets for the weekend
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: razorjack12 on September 28, 2012, 08:51:05 am
My 2 "Picks of the week":

Texas -2.5
A&M - 13.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 28, 2012, 11:26:16 am
Stanford, with two weeks to prepare and after putting up 21 on USC, is unable to score an offensive TD on Washington... I'm sorry, but WTH were the coaches doing for 2 weeks, drawing plays in the dirt?

oh well, at least the money i lost was the house's to begin with.  still like my bets for the weekend

Nunes was just a dud, nothing going on at all.

Did anyone catch Cowherd's picks today? I got his last two NFL picks, SF -4.5, Oakland +7

I had to get out of my car and head to class but I'm really interested in his college picks. Does he post them online?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 28, 2012, 01:11:07 pm
i know he posts his blazing 5 online but i'm not sure on his other pic's.  He tends to be pretty good.  ESPN does a weekly pick on their website and those guys are pretty darn good too.  i have the link for the espn picks posted near the top of this page
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on September 28, 2012, 05:28:00 pm
Anyone touching the BYU-Hawaii game? Belive the line is -25 BYU
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 28, 2012, 07:04:13 pm
I took the points, pretty confident. BYU's offense just hasn't impressed me at all this season.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 28, 2012, 08:44:19 pm
YTD: 22-16-1, -2.5 units

Record still strong, let's see if I can figure out how to hit a top play now.

4 units:
Clemson -7 W

2 units:
Alabama -30 L
V Tech -6.5 L
TCU -15 L

1 unit:
Texas -2.5 W
AR State +3 L
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 28, 2012, 11:19:47 pm
Thinking of adding bama -30 over ole miss. How confident are you guys in that one?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on September 28, 2012, 11:22:40 pm
Thinking of adding bama -30 over ole miss. How confident are you guys in that one?

They'll win by how many Saban wants. I can't imagine that to be less than 30, but I could see them calling off the dogs at 35 and Ole Miss getting a meaningless TD to cover. I'm still play it though, so I think he more than likely calls it off at 40+.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 29, 2012, 07:02:47 am
Tenner +14.5 / 5 units
Clemson -7 / 5 units
W Va -9.5 / 4 units
Ohio St +3 / 3 units
Louisville -9.5 / 5 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 29, 2012, 08:16:00 am
Adding Bama -30 over Ole Miss
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 29, 2012, 11:06:20 am
Va tech -6..….....L
Texas -2...........W
Indiana +12.......L
Minn/Iowa u46...W
Tenn/ga u58.......L
SpRty -2.............L


2-4

YTD RECORD 25-22
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 29, 2012, 05:11:35 pm
Added:

Texas tech -1
Oregon st -3
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on September 29, 2012, 05:16:50 pm
I'm becoming more and more wary of VT though.

This
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on September 30, 2012, 01:50:31 am
Losses:
VTech -7....2*
Stanford -.5 for the 3rd qtr....1*
Stanford -3.5 for the rest of the game....1*

Wins:
Texas -2.5....1*
Clemson -7....1*
Penn St +1.5....1*
Miami -2.5....2*
Arizona St +2.5....1*
Texas A&M -13.5....3*
ULM -18....2*
Texas tech -1....1*
Oregon st +3....1*

2012-2013 CFB
  Record 24-17-0 (59%)    Profit  $2602    Bankroll $4602    ROI 130%

I didn't put a weight on the Texas Tech or Oregon St games I added late, so I'm just gonna take 1* on both.  I honestly thought I took Oregon St -3, so I thought I pushed. But when I checked, it was Oregon St +3, so it was a win.  Don't know when I've ever had a day like this. Next week I'll probably go 1-9 instead of 9-1.

Texas (-2.5) @ Oklahoma State -- 7 units
Clemson (-9.5) @ Boston College -- 8 units
Texas A&M (-13.5) vs Arkansas -- 4 units
Wish me luck!

Very nice day my friend. outside of the parlays, being up 19 units is always a plus.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on September 30, 2012, 10:48:29 am
Good week here too.  Went 3-3 this week but hit my 3 biggest plays so ended up +14 for the week & +13 for the season.

Losses
Georgia -13.5 (4)
Stanford -6 (2)
Bama -29.5 (1)

Wins
A&M -13.5 (8 )
SC -20.5 (8 )
Missouri +2.5 (5)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 30, 2012, 11:21:03 am
Chargers -1 / 5 unit play
bengals pk / 2 units
49ers -4 / 3 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on September 30, 2012, 11:22:56 am
Went 6-5 this week
Wins
Penn St +1 1/2
Texas A&M -11
Uab +17
Clemson -7
New Mexico +30
Texas +5 1/2
   Losses
Nevada -21
Central Michigan +12
Florida St -14
Oregon -28
Alabama -30

Really mad at Bama, Flo St and Oregon.

18-7-1 on the season.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Porked Tongue on September 30, 2012, 11:28:01 am
DET/VIK over 48.5

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 30, 2012, 11:39:00 am
det -4..................L
O44 cinci/ jax........L

YTD RECORD 25-25
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 30, 2012, 02:44:34 pm
I have been posting my picks ad amounts but not running a total. Trying to reverse the jinx.

Good day yesterday.  Looking like a great day today knock on wood!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 30, 2012, 03:02:43 pm
Had a good weekend, lost my two parlays but hit all 3 of my big bets! Summary below:

$72.50 6 team parlay - pays $2,900 (note this was all bonus money, wouldnt do this with my own money):  LOSS

Stanford (-7) @ Washington

Texas A&M (-13.5) vs Arkansas

Clemson (-9.5) @ Boston College

Florida State (-17) @ South Florida

Texas (-2.5) @ Oklahoma State

TCU (-16.5) @ SMU


$35 5 team parlay, pays $875 (note: this was done before the 6 team parlay and with my own money):  LOSS

Texas A&M (-13.5) vs Arkansas

Clemson (-9.5) @ Boston College

Florida State (-16) @ South Florida

Texas (-2.5) @ Oklahoma State

TCU (-18) @ SMU


Regular bets:

Texas (-2.5) @ Oklahoma State -- 7 units.   WIN

Clemson (-9.5) @ Boston College -- 8 units.   WIN

Texas A&M (-13.5) vs Arkansas -- 4 unit.   WIN


I have been very fortunate this year in that I've hit almost all my really big bets...

Wanted to bet some NfL games but didnt have time to do any research so I held off
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 30, 2012, 03:22:57 pm
Hey Will.  I am on one of those rolls baby!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 30, 2012, 03:23:59 pm
what time does Vegas come out with their odds for the upcoming week? Sun night or Monday morning?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 30, 2012, 07:11:32 pm
Lol hogfanintx back on track in a big way.

Tonight
G-men / 2 units
Over / 2 units

Two team parlay the same way 2 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on September 30, 2012, 07:29:46 pm
I did a 5 game parlay today on the moneyline, picked

New England
Arizona
Atlanta
San Francisco
Houston

Seemed like really easy money, but man ATL and AZ really came down to the wire. Wow that was a lot of fun. Plus I pocked like $60, which is big money for me.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 30, 2012, 09:08:40 pm
Lol hogfanintx back on track in a big way.

Tonight
G-men / 2 units
Over / 2 units

Two team parlay the same way 2 units.

saw this bet and sounded like you were on a roll so i went with it, now regretting it haha.  still, if anyone can score quickly it's the giants, but their O Line has gotta step up in the 2nd half
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 30, 2012, 09:18:28 pm
lines are out... some i like so far:

Auburn (-10) vs Arkansas

West Virginia (+7) @ Texas  ::hornsdown::

Georgia (+3) @ S. Carolina

UL Monroe (-3.5) @ MTennSt



Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 30, 2012, 09:25:14 pm
actually dont know about that ULM game, MTennSt had a pretty good showing against Georgia Tech...

Also Clemson (-10) vs Georgia Tech looks attractive
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: gguillo on September 30, 2012, 09:51:10 pm
Opening line for Auburn vs. Hogs is -10

Hogs haven't even come close to covering ONCE this entire season.

-41 vs. Jacksonville St. - Fail
-30.5 vs. La-Monroe - Fail
+20.5 vs. Alabama - Fail
-7 vs. Rutgers - Fail
+14 vs. A&M - Fail

Lock of the week.

40-10 AUBURN
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on September 30, 2012, 10:00:15 pm
makes me sick... but i just put $500 on auburn (-10).  i just dont see how we cover.  aubie has had two weeks to prepare and played a good game against LSU
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: bsking on September 30, 2012, 11:47:37 pm
Games I will definitely play:

Auburn -10
Oklahoma -4.5 (probably drop a lot on this one)
West Virginia +7
Clemson -10
Georgia +3 (Probably put several units here too)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 01, 2012, 01:23:23 am
Just locked in

USC -13....1*
LSU -3....1*
Georgia +3....1*
Clemson -10....1*

I imagine there will be more and I will probably up the ante on almost all of these.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 01, 2012, 06:10:08 am
And of course neither team puts up many points last night.  Still a great day.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 01, 2012, 07:15:02 am
Games I will definitely play:

Auburn -10
Oklahoma -4.5 (probably drop a lot on this one)
West Virginia +7
Clemson -10
Georgia +3 (Probably put several units here too)

like all of these!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: razorjack12 on October 01, 2012, 07:21:31 am
Opening line for Auburn vs. Hogs is -10

Hogs haven't even come close to covering ONCE this entire season.

-41 vs. Jacksonville St. - Fail
-30.5 vs. La-Monroe - Fail
+20.5 vs. Alabama - Fail
-7 vs. Rutgers - Fail
+14 vs. A&M - Fail

Lock of the week.

40-10 AUBURN

I'll be curious to see if the line moves on Aub/Ark.   My guess is that it will move to -12.5 by kickoff.  Just a guess. . . .
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on October 01, 2012, 07:56:18 am
This weeks picks -

USC -12 @ Utah
Arkansas St +1 1/2 @ FIU
Utah St +9 @ BYU
Air Force -9 v Navy
Northern Illinois +1 @ Ball St 
BC -8 @ Army
Clemson -10 v Georgia Tech
South Florida -4 1/2 @ Temple
Missouri -6 1/2 v Vandy
Wisconsin -11 1/2 v Illinois
Auburn -10  v Arkansas
Maryland -2 v Wake Forest
Notre Dame -9 1/2 v Miami
LSU -2 1/2 @ Florida
North Texas -11 @ Houston

Going to probably trim these down as the week progresses, buy wanted to get them all out there.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 01, 2012, 10:23:11 am
Went 1-3
#MeanReversion

Last night I locked these in.....
WVU  +7
Northwester  +3.5
UGA  +3
VaTech  +3.5 (I'm going to win a VaTech game once this year, damnit!)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 01, 2012, 12:00:52 pm
already locked these in:

Georgia (+3) @ South Carolina -- 8 units

Auburn (-10) vs Arkansas -- 20 units

1 unit = $25

gonna wait till the end of the week to see where the lines go on the other games
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Wildhog on October 01, 2012, 12:01:41 pm
Arkansas is a cash cow this year.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 01, 2012, 12:49:48 pm
auburn line down to -9.5.  I'm shocked.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Blutoblutarsky on October 01, 2012, 02:56:41 pm
Anyone taking any action tonight on Da Bears/girls game?  Should be a real pillow fight
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: MS_HogFan on October 01, 2012, 03:01:52 pm
already locked these in:

Georgia (+3) @ South Carolina -- 8 units

Auburn (-10) vs Arkansas -- 20 units

1 unit = $25

gonna wait till the end of the week to see where the lines go on the other games

WOW
Good luck on the Auburn game.
You started the year betting 25 bucks and 5 weeks later you got 500 on one game. You must be having a good year.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on October 01, 2012, 03:48:23 pm
Since I didn't post my pics ahead of time I'll just say I started awful and finished very strong. Ended up -44 bucks overall. I am now winless on Thursday night college games. Done betting those.

I am 7-2 on halftime college bets, 1-3 on NFL halftime bets.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 01, 2012, 03:56:59 pm
WOW
Good luck on the Auburn game.
You started the year betting 25 bucks and 5 weeks later you got 500 on one game. You must be having a good year.

the Jets game a few weeks ago was a big win for me, then this weekend I won all three of my big bets (posted my winnings somewhere above or a page before), acct is up to $900, started with $250.  that helps.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on October 01, 2012, 04:22:34 pm
I did horribly on college games this weekend. I need to change my betting strategy AWAY from high-risk/high-reward parlays. I guess it's an attitude adjustment. I felt like risking $1 to win $30 was worth it, but try that 100 times and even if you're 90% correct you won't win anything. Gonna try some if-win bets this week.

For anyone keeping track of my picks last week, I took the points on Buffalo, Middle Tennessee State, Idaho, Colorado State, and Marshall.

I'll admit that I should've stayed away from Idaho... Didn't really do my research there. Regardless, I was 60% correct in games that most people don't care about, which I thought was kind of cool. MTSU upsetting GaTech was icing on the cake. I'll announce my "Ed's Boring Picks of the Week" later.

Against my best judgement, I bet on pro games this weekend. And somehow I quadrupled my money, completely making up for the losses I sustained on college games.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 01, 2012, 05:18:26 pm
Anyone taking any action tonight on Da Bears/girls game?  Should be a real pillow fight


Cows -3 / 2 units.  And man I hate the cows!
Under 41.5 / 2 units

Tied together 2 team parly for 2 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 01, 2012, 05:27:19 pm

Cows -3 / 2 units.  And man I hate the cows!


I will enjoy watching this game knowing that in at least some small way, you'll be cheering for Dallas tonight.  ;D
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 01, 2012, 05:54:56 pm
Alright, I'm piggy-backing Jeff....if he, the great hater of all things Cowboys, is putting money on the line, then who am I to argue?

Dallas   -3
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on October 01, 2012, 06:07:41 pm
Ed, I'm not an expert. That being said, I'd just do a few parlays a week for small amounts. They're fun and will allow you to have something riding on more games throughout the weekend.

You're never really going to get ahead betting a bunch of parlays.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 01, 2012, 06:48:34 pm
Alright, I'm piggy-backing Jeff....if he, the great hater of all things Cowboys, is putting money on the line, then who am I to argue?

Dallas   -3


Lol isn't that the truth. Just hope one of Romo' good personalities shows up.  His game has many different ones. Never know when mr Hyde will show up.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on October 01, 2012, 06:54:48 pm
I'm something like 2-9 in my last 11. Seeing Jeff come out of his funk makes me hopeful. So I'm on the cowboys at -3 hoping to get back on track


Cowboys -3.........L

YTD RECORD 25-26
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 01, 2012, 08:43:15 pm
Dear sweet fancy Moses. Makes me so glad I am and never have been a cow fan.  That damn Romo is bi polar I swear.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 01, 2012, 08:46:20 pm
Dear sweet fancy Moses. Makes me so glad I am and never have been a cow fan.  That damn Romo is bi polar I swear.

i can tell you that it is awful.  Born and raised Dallas, am back here now after my time at the UofA... have loved the Boys since I was a kid, I now wish I had chose another team to like.  You never know which cowboys team you will get.  Thats why I never bet them, they are the most bipolar team in the league
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on October 01, 2012, 08:55:52 pm
Bryant gets the blame there. Should have broken off hot on the blitz.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on October 02, 2012, 12:30:14 pm
Duke -2 at home against Virginia. UVA is 0-5 against the spread this season, and picking LaTech against them last week worked out. They lost against a WAC team at home, and Duke's only loss was against Stanford. I take Duke to cover this spread easily.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 02, 2012, 12:34:30 pm
Duke -2 at home against Virginia. UVA is 0-5 against the spread this season, and picking LaTech against them last week worked out. They lost against a WAC team at home, and Duke's only loss was against Stanford. I take Duke to cover this spread easily.

liking this too, thanks for the info ed!

Really like Houston Texans -9 @ New York Jets.  Jets will get creamed here, only reason the line is low is cause they are so popular. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on October 02, 2012, 01:33:18 pm
The only SEC matchups I'm comfortable picking are TXAM-Ole Miss and MissSt-Kentucky.
I know the Ark-TXAM line was an easy one, but I just can't confidently pick Auburn ATS. As bad as our defense is, their offense might be worse. That's a similar matchup to what we had with Rutgers, but the flipside of that was that Rutgers had a decent defense to lean on. Auburn doesn't have that defense. We'll be effective throwing the ball against them. I see this either as a close Auburn win, or a runaway Arkansas victory. It ultimately comes down to Kiehl Frazier and Knile Davis/Ark O-Line showing up. I'm not touching the game though.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on October 02, 2012, 02:08:10 pm
I'm having trouble getting comfortable with the SEC line-up this week too, and stick mainly with SEC games, so probably won't do quite as much this week.  Here's what I've done so far:

Auburn -10 v. Hogs (8 units ... In hindsight, I'm wishing that I would have only done around 4 units for many of the reasons Ed outlined.  I still think our weaknesses are greater then Auburn's weaknesses, our coaches are worse than their coaches, and that our players are about at the point where they expect to lose.  I'll probably keep betting that the Hogs won't cover the spread, until they actually cover one.)

Florida (+3) v. LSU (4 units)(a coin toss, but I think FL may win this at home)
Missouri (-6.5) v. Vandy (2 units)(I may add more here later if it stays below 7)
SC (-1.5) v. Georgia (2 units)(a coin toss, but I'll take Spurrier at home over Richt on the road with two fairly evenly matched teams)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: razorjack12 on October 02, 2012, 02:12:14 pm
I'll be curious to see if the line moves on Aub/Ark.   My guess is that it will move to -12.5 by kickoff.  Just a guess. . . .

And I could be mistaken.   The line has moved the other direction and is as low as -8 1/2
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: razorjack12 on October 02, 2012, 02:15:56 pm
Nobody's taking Utah +14 this Thursday night?

Night game, ESPN, @Utah.    Last year, Utah was only down 17-14 and was attempting a last second field goal which got blocked by USC.

I think this is going to be a defensive struggle . . and I am looking hard at the O/U which is 47 1/2.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on October 02, 2012, 02:19:47 pm
I thought the same thing and wanted to lock it in at -10 before it grew to -12.5+.  This has the look and feel like Auburn fans are betting against Auburn at a slightly greater pace than Arkansas fans are betting against Arkansas.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on October 02, 2012, 02:39:43 pm
Nobody's taking Utah +14 this Thursday night?

Night game, ESPN, @Utah.    Last year, Utah was only down 17-14 and was attempting a last second field goal which got blocked by USC.

I think this is going to be a defensive struggle . . and I am looking hard at the O/U which is 47 1/2.

I don't bet on West Coast games or Thursday games anymore. Anything associated with USC, Stanford, BYU, or Utah just hurts me.

DadVader, you brought up a valid point about coaching. We are definitely outcoached against Chizik. That's the first time that sentence has ever been said.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on October 02, 2012, 02:44:32 pm
We are definitely outcoached against Chizik. That's the first time that sentence has ever been said.

And it will hopefully (and almost certainly) be the last!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 03, 2012, 10:18:16 am
Auburn -10 v. Hogs (8 units ... In hindsight, I'm wishing that I would have only done around 4 units for many of the reasons Ed outlined.  I still think our weaknesses are greater then Auburn's weaknesses, our coaches are worse than their coaches, and that our players are about at the point where they expect to lose.  I'll probably keep betting that the Hogs won't cover the spread, until they actually cover one.)

I'm having a bit of betters remorse as well, in that I wish I had only put about $250 to $300 instead of $500

My favorite pick of the week is Houston Texans (-9) @ New York Jets.  I just locked it in for $150 and if i win my auburn bet I will be putting more on it assuming the line is -10 or below.  Texans are built similar to the 49ers and the 49ers demolished NYJ this past weekend.  Now looks like santonio holmes wont play.  Jets have NO offense.  I don't see them scoring more than 10, and I think Houston puts up 30-40 easy.  Like I said, if I win my aubie bet, I will be loading up on this game!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 03, 2012, 01:09:14 pm
Bryant gets the blame there. Should have broken off hot on the blitz.

And the other four?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 03, 2012, 01:21:01 pm
And the other four?

one went right through ogletree's hands and popped into the air.  in the redzone, no less.  that was on ogletree.  the other three... on romo
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 03, 2012, 01:23:48 pm
one went right through ogletree's hands and popped into the air.  in the redzone, no less.  that was on ogletree.  the other three... on romo

Let a cow fan tell it and romo has never thrown an int that was his fault.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hogball33 on October 03, 2012, 01:32:37 pm
I just 10 point teased Auburn to 0, Clemson to 0, and Georgia to +12. Seems like an easy 100.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 03, 2012, 01:37:19 pm
Let a cow fan tell it and romo has never thrown an int that was his fault.

i'm not a huge romo fan, i think it's time for someone else.  and like i said, the other three were on Romo.  but when the ball hits a receiver in the hands and he misses the catch and then the ball pops 10ft into the air, i have a hard time blaming that on ANY quarterback. 


added a 5 team parlay ($32 to pay $810):

Auburn (-9.5) vs Arkansas

Mississippi St (-10) @ Kentucky

Northwestern (+3) @ Penn State

Duke (-1.5) vs Virginia

Houston Texans (-9) @ New York Jets
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on October 03, 2012, 01:38:00 pm
I just 10 point teased Auburn to 0, Clemson to 0, and Georgia to +12. Seems like an easy 100.

hogball, how much did that cost to wager and to do the tease?

Frick the LOLboys. second time i've bet big and lost on them this year. NO MAS.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 03, 2012, 01:39:34 pm
hogball, how much did that cost to wager and to do the tease?

Frick the LOLboys. second time i've bet big and lost on them this year. NO MAS.

the LOLboys?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: hogball33 on October 03, 2012, 01:45:11 pm
wager 100 to win 85 I believe. You have to 3 games for the 10 pt teaser unlike the two games for a 6 pt teaser.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on October 03, 2012, 02:44:30 pm
the LOLboys?

Dallas LOLboys, led by Tony and his band of Romosexuals.

Sorry, it's a family joke. Aunt is from Dallas and gets lots of crap from us.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on October 03, 2012, 03:30:52 pm
2 were definitely his fault. He shares the blame on the other 3. Romo haters will blame him for all 5 when football just doesn't work that way.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on October 04, 2012, 09:45:46 am
Added Miss St -10 @ Kentucky (8 units)

Kentucky looked better than expected against SC, so I wasn't going to play this one at first.  With the KY qb being out and several of the leaders in the TD Rant ATS contest picking State, I decided to get off the fence.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 04, 2012, 09:51:57 am
Added Miss St -10 @ Kentucky (8 units)

Kentucky looked better than expected against SC, so I wasn't going to play this one at first.  With the KY qb being out and several of the leaders in the TD Rant ATS contest picking State, I decided to get off the fence.

like this bet. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on October 04, 2012, 12:44:59 pm
Have I missed some bad news for Auburn or good news for Arkansas?  I haven't seen anything, but the line moved from -9.5 to -8 over lunch.

EDIT:  I found nothing newsworthy so added another 4 units on Auburn -8.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 04, 2012, 04:43:58 pm
Have I missed some bad news for Auburn or good news for Arkansas?  I haven't seen anything, but the line moved from -9.5 to -8 over lunch.

EDIT:  I found nothing newsworthy so added another 4 units on Auburn -8.

i dont understand this, really wish i had been more patient though!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: b0sc0b on October 04, 2012, 04:52:43 pm
i dont understand this, really wish i had been more patient though!
Get you some more, bet that sucker all the way down and you get happier as the game goes along.  We're bringing some medicine for Aubbie's ailing offense.  Unfortunately.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 04, 2012, 09:56:47 pm
Just locked in

USC -13....1*
LSU -3....1*
Georgia +3....1*
Clemson -10....3*


I imagine there will be more and I will probably up the ante on almost all of these.

Added:
TCU -7....2*
UCLA -2.5....2*
Pitt +1.5....2*


Upped Clemson to a 3*.  I figure this will last me through the weekend.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 04, 2012, 10:05:57 pm
Will place mine tomorrow or sat morning.  Will I don't see how you are taking TCU -7.  I was thinking Iowa St +10 before tcu's qb wet out to dwi. Actually was looking for a cyclone win outright before that.

Then again maybe I have just lost my mind :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 04, 2012, 10:07:55 pm
Will place mine tomorrow or sat morning.  Will I don't see how you are taking TCU -7.  I was thinking Iowa St +10 before tcu's qb wet out to dwi. Actually was looking for a cyclone win outright before that.

Then again maybe I have just lost my mind :)

im with you on this jeff.  I was gonna take ISU before TCU's QB got arrested.  I think TCU is very over rated
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on October 04, 2012, 10:13:55 pm
MGM has Iowa St +10. I'm adding that game.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 04, 2012, 11:55:48 pm
I've been wrong before, and may be again sometime. lol
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 05, 2012, 09:47:42 am
I've been wrong before, and may be again sometime. lol

Will, you not touchin the Arkansas game?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 05, 2012, 10:20:32 am
Will, you not touchin the Arkansas game?

nope. Auburn may be just as terrible as we are. Kiehl is possibly the worst qb in the SEC, so I don't trust either team enough to take their side.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on October 05, 2012, 11:16:34 am
I'm staying away from Arkansas-Auburn as well. If it were as obvious as Alabama -20.5, I'd be all over it, but Auburn is so bad that it's not worth it. There's a reasonable chance that Arkansas could win and I don't want to feel like I've lost something if we do.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 05, 2012, 12:39:04 pm
nope. Auburn may be just as terrible as we are. Kiehl is possibly the worst qb in the SEC, so I don't trust either team enough to take their side.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 05, 2012, 03:46:50 pm

Last night I locked these in.....
WVU  +7
Northwester  +3.5
UGA  +3
VaTech  +3.5 (I'm going to win a VaTech game once this year, damnit!)

Added....

Duke  -1.5
Marshall  +4
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 05, 2012, 05:40:16 pm
Clemson -10 / 3 unit play
Georgia +3 / 5 unit play
Nebraska +3.5 / 5 unit play
Michigan -2.5 / dime 10 unit play

Ga
Nebraska
Michigan 3 team parlay for 1 unit to pay 6.

Iowa St +9 / 5 unit play


Possibly more to come, but I doubt it.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on October 05, 2012, 08:30:34 pm
Getting out of......

Utah St +9 @ Byu
Northern Illinois +1 @ Ball St and
North Texas -11 @ Houston
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 05, 2012, 09:27:46 pm
Finally updated my damn slide. Unlike some I refuse to just up my units on here to cover my losses and make my record more respectable

YTD: 29-18-1, +10.5 units
4 units:
Oklahoma -4.5  W

3 units:
Ohio State -3 W
N Illinois -3 W

2 units:
LSU -2.5  L
NW/PS Over 47 W
Notre Dame -14  W

1 unit
VT +6  L
SMU +3  W
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 05, 2012, 10:55:56 pm
Finally updated my damn slide. Unlike some I refuse to just up my units on here to cover my losses and make my record more respectable

YTD: 22-16-1, -2.5 units
4 units:
Oklahoma -4.5

3 units:
Ohio State -3

2 units:
LSU -2.5
NW/PS Over 47
Miami +14

1 unit
VT +6
SMU +3


You know more and are a better bettor than I, so I should shut-up now, but the OU/Tech game concerns me. OU has lost its last 3 games @ Tech -- OU teams that were superior to this year's team. At some point this season OU will get it together but looks so out of sorts thus far, on both sides of the ball.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 06, 2012, 12:17:52 am
You know more and are a better bettor than I, so I should shut-up now, but the OU/Tech game concerns me. OU has lost its last 3 games @ Tech -- OU teams that were superior to this year's team. At some point this season OU will get it together but looks so out of sorts thus far, on both sides of the ball.

I don't see many others on it with me so we'll see, but I frankly just don't think Tech is that good.  Night games in Lubbock scare me, 2:30 not so much.  Fact of the matter is OU outclasses them at most positions on the field, and I think OU's strengths/weaknesses match up well with them. I always take historical results out of it, and look at what they come to the field with this year. And let's be honest at this point Stoops has to want to make a statement going into the Texas game. They'll have no problem being fired up and got an extra week to prepare.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 06, 2012, 06:32:23 am
I don't see many others on it with me so we'll see, but I frankly just don't think Tech is that good.  Night games in Lubbock scare me, 2:30 not so much.  Fact of the matter is OU outclasses them at most positions on the field, and I think OU's strengths/weaknesses match up well with them. I always take historical results out of it, and look at what they come to the field with this year. And let's be honest at this point Stoops has to want to make a statement going into the Texas game. They'll have no problem being fired up and got an extra week to prepare.

Thx for the rationale.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 06, 2012, 08:26:50 am
Finally updated my damn slide. Unlike some I refuse to just up my units on here to cover my losses and make my record more respectable

YTD: 22-16-1, -2.5 units
4 units:
Oklahoma -4.5

3 units:
Ohio State -3

2 units:
LSU -2.5
NW/PS Over 47
Miami +14

1 unit
VT +6
SMU +3



I dunno about everybody else, but whatever units I post I play, and I play them directly thru a casino in Nevada, occasionally one in AC. My unit play has drastically increased as this season has moved on.  This has been one of the wackiest in recent memory.  Took several weeks to get an actual read on many of these teams.

Most seasons you can ride highly ranked big spread favorites in the first two weeks and get yourself a great start. This year not so much.  Take USC for example.  You never know if they are gonna put 65 on the board or give up 65.  I did not bet them in the game with Utah.  Had I bet I would have won. On the flip side I would have lost had I played the in the Syracuse game.  The more info you get the more comfortable you are laying larger sums.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 06, 2012, 08:32:06 am
You know more and are a better bettor than I, so I should shut-up now, but the OU/Tech game concerns me. OU has lost its last 3 games @ Tech -- OU teams that were superior to this year's team. At some point this season OU will get it together but looks so out of sorts thus far, on both sides of the ball.


I hate everything about this game.  If ou's play continues as it has been I would say tech wins by 10.  At the same time I could see the Sooners winning this game by 40.  I still don't know who OU is not do I know who tech is

Several things we do know at this point.  USC, Michigan, Arkansas, Auburn, and several others were vastly overrated to start the year.  I love the Michigan play today.  They need to crush an undermanned Purdue team. 

We know this also.  Clemson it a line covering machine at this point. 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 06, 2012, 08:38:38 am
Copying off those that know better than me, adding

Clemson  -10
Michigan  -3
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 06, 2012, 08:40:32 am
Copying off those that know better than me, adding

Clemson  -10
Michigan  -3

Oh lord.  Pressure is on now.  Hope that doesn't screw you.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 06, 2012, 11:33:57 am
For some reason, I went ahead and added:

OU -4.5
VT +6


Both are 1* plays.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 06, 2012, 11:38:54 am
My Iowa st bet off the board. It's on no sports cards in Nevada. Hot the call on that at 10:30 when my guy was placing my bets.  May still be with local books and online sites though.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on October 06, 2012, 11:39:40 am
Ole Miss +13..........W
Vandy +7 ..............W
Maryland -6.............L (1 point )
UL-Laf -27...............W
Rutgers -7 ..............W
Miss St -10..............W
Iowa st. +7.............W

6-1

YTD RECORD 31-27


Needed this wknd

 



 

 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on October 06, 2012, 11:43:14 am
My Iowa st bet off the board. It's on no sports cards in Nevada. Hot the call on that at 10:30 when my guy was placing my bets.  May still be with local books and online sites though.

Any thought as to why?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 06, 2012, 11:49:24 am
Any thought as to why?

No thought its because of the TCU qb being out because of dwi.  Game opened at Iowa st +10.  I thought te cyclones coul win outright even before the suspension of frogs qb, but I never bet games early. Sometimes it bites me in the ass, but other times it works out. Really applies to college more than pros for me.

I know online sites have frogs -7, but I'm not dealing with that sluggish payout system ever again.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on October 06, 2012, 12:13:53 pm
Wow how'd I miss that

No thought its because of the TCU qb being out because of dwi.  Game opened at Iowa st +10.  I thought te cyclones coul win outright even before the suspension of frogs qb, but I never bet games early. Sometimes it bites me in the ass, but other times it works out. Really applies to college more than pros for me.

I know online sites have frogs -7, but I'm not dealing with that sluggish payout system ever again.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 06, 2012, 12:29:04 pm
Wow how'd I miss that


I got an early morning text about it when he was arrested.  Not sure how you missed it though. Was on the news and such :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on October 06, 2012, 12:30:19 pm
Just got Arkansas +6 at the half
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 06, 2012, 01:43:24 pm
Oh lord.  Pressure is on now.  Hope that doesn't screw you.

Ha
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 06, 2012, 01:52:33 pm
Adding N. Illinois -3 for 3 units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 06, 2012, 02:20:22 pm
F VaTech this year..... 0-3 on them. I'll learn.

#NoIWont
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 06, 2012, 02:22:31 pm
F VaTech this year..... 0-3 on them. I'll learn.

#NoIWont

Haha! Yeah I'm having trouble figuring that out as well.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 06, 2012, 04:20:48 pm
Michigan baby!!!!!!!!!!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hawgndaaz on October 06, 2012, 06:05:41 pm
CLEMSON!

haha, that was close. punch it in with :50 left to secure the bet.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 06, 2012, 06:10:50 pm
So N Illinois was a good late add.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 06, 2012, 06:50:16 pm
Georgia looks awful
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 06, 2012, 06:55:08 pm
Georgia looks awful

Yes they do, but a lot of game left. And already a good day with Michigan and Clemson!
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 06, 2012, 07:35:35 pm
So N Illinois was a good late add.

Good OU call
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 06, 2012, 08:39:52 pm
The two teams I bet on, auburn and Georgia, both forgot that you have to score points to win. Auburn I can see, but really Georgia? They might get shut out.  I'm at a loss for words
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 06, 2012, 08:44:18 pm
I can't believe how awful Georgia looks. It's just sad...

I suppose I should have listened about the TCU game, and I should have learned my own lesson about VT.

Sitting at 3-4 on the week though, and Clemson was my big pick, so I'm actually not doing that bad $$$ wise.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 06, 2012, 08:45:06 pm
UGA (sigh)...along w/ texas, the teams that do the least w/ the talent they supposedly get.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 06, 2012, 08:47:53 pm
I can't believe how awful Georgia looks. It's just sad...

I suppose I should have listened about the TCU game, and I should have learned my own lesson about VT.

Sitting at 3-4 on the week though, and Clemson was my big pick, so I'm actually not doing that bad $$$ wise.

I went to the VT well too many times this season . . . dry each time.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on October 06, 2012, 09:42:15 pm
Finally got around to updating my record. I went from 6 games up to 1 down in a two week span. Had a 6-1 day today to get back to a positive mark, both in record and units. I'm thinking about laying off the nfl because I'm getting my head handed to me. I don't have time to really work NCAA and nfl .
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on October 06, 2012, 10:10:13 pm

I dunno about everybody else, but whatever units I post I play, and I play them directly thru a casino in Nevada, occasionally one in AC. My unit play has drastically increased as this season has moved on.  This has been one of the wackiest in recent memory.  Took several weeks to get an actual read on many of these teams.

Most seasons you can ride highly ranked big spread favorites in the first two weeks and get yourself a great start. This year not so much.  Take USC for example.  You never know if they are gonna put 65 on the board or give up 65.  I did not bet them in the game with Utah.  Had I bet I would have won. On the flip side I would have lost had I played the in the Syracuse game.  The more info you get the more comfortable you are laying larger sums.

I understand what yraciv is saying. Since people have been being called out for posting records after the fact, they have started saying their wins are weighed heavier than the losses thereby making their record seem less important than their overall bankroll.

The problem is that since nobody is posting bet tickets or receipts, tracking bankroll is useless, and like Will says, it's not anybody's business how much we play. People like you post your units with your picks, so you can back up what u say you post. Not everybody posts units beforehand.

I don't post units. I will occasionally post if I'm up or down unit wise. But I like seeing how you weigh your picks as it shows how much confidence u have in the play , no matter if a unit is 5 bucks or 1000
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 06, 2012, 10:56:00 pm
I understand what yraciv is saying. Since people have been being called out for posting records after the fact, they have started saying their wins are weighed heavier than the losses thereby making their record seem less important than their overall bankroll.

The problem is that since nobody is posting bet tickets or receipts, tracking bankroll is useless, and like Will says, it's not anybody's business how much we play. People like you post your units with your picks, so you can back up what u say you post. Not everybody posts units beforehand.

I don't post units. I will occasionally post if I'm up or down unit wise. But I like seeing how you weigh your picks as it shows how much confidence u have in the play , no matter if a unit is 5 bucks or 1000


The only reason I post *'s by each pick is for this exact reason. I want people to know that I was way more confident about Clemson than I was about LSU or USC. That way, if anyone is following me, they don't have to bet all the games I do, but can hone in on the higher weighted ones.

I also do it to see at the end of the season how my reads were.

Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 07, 2012, 08:47:04 am
Same here.  If I say a dime play or 5 unit play it means I really really like those games.  If its a 1 unit play I am betting it yes, but more of a lean than a bigtime pick.  A 1 unit play for me is often a time when it's the only game on, and I am playing it for fun.  I know I know and I have known for years it's not a smart thing to do, but I do it anyway :)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 07, 2012, 09:32:10 am
I don't post units/play b/c I only bet 1 unit for every bet I make due to a below-mediocrity betting record (but I find betting fun, so I bet anyway).

But I appreciate those that do post their units/play for the reasons Will and Jeff stated above.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on October 07, 2012, 09:50:45 am
Went 6-7 this week. Grrrr.

Wins - Ark St +1 1/2, Wisc -11 1/2,  Clemson -10, Mary -2, Iowa St +10, 
Notre Dame -9 1/2

Losses - Usc -12, Air Force -9, BC -8 
South Florida -4 1/2, Auburn -10, LSU -2 1/2, Mizz -6 1/2

24-14-1 on the season.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Hooch on October 07, 2012, 10:45:27 am
I am having a crap year.  4-9 so far but haven't bet in a week or so, I have to get away from the college lines I am not even in the ballpark on em. 

I am going 3 team teaser $120 to win $100:  Green bay +3 Giants +1 and Ravens +3.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: sir-pigs-a-lot on October 07, 2012, 11:41:27 am
Went 6-7 this week. Grrrr.

Wins - Ark St +1 1/2, Wisc -11 1/2,  Clemson -10, Mary -2, Iowa St +10,
Notre Dame -9 1/2

Losses - Usc -12, Air Force -9, BC -8
South Florida -4 1/2, Auburn -10, LSU -2 1/2, Mizz -6 1/2

24-14-1 on the season.


Where did u get Maryland -2?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Dr. Starcs on October 07, 2012, 12:07:46 pm
Sir pigs, I got on it early Monday morning. Believe it was MGM. However, it should be noted I am only doing this for fun. Don't have the guts to do the online thing.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 07, 2012, 12:55:28 pm
I have no plays as of now today.  My Vegas guy is playing in a damn benefit  golf tourney.  Lol

If I do anything on afternoon or night games I will post them.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: yraciv on October 07, 2012, 01:10:08 pm
Heck of a day. 6-2 and up 12 units
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: McKdaddy on October 07, 2012, 07:20:44 pm
SD +3.5
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on October 07, 2012, 07:51:11 pm
CFB lines are out. Arkansas is -17.5 against Kentucky... Probably not going to bet on that game at all, unless it's on the money line. I've figured it out, I'm not betting early in the week anymore. I lose my ass on college games and then win it all back on 7 and 8 team moneyline parlays on NFL games. I'll waiting until Thursday and do the same on college games, unless I see a line that I just absolutely love. Ole Miss -4.5 vs Auburn is one of those.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: razorjack12 on October 08, 2012, 03:26:39 am
I am taking Kentucky +17.5       The Hogs are definitely a risky bet this season, but I just can't leave 17.5 pts on the table . .. .
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 08, 2012, 08:58:00 am
CFB lines are out. Arkansas is -17.5 against Kentucky... Probably not going to bet on that game at all, unless it's on the money line. I've figured it out, I'm not betting early in the week anymore. I lose my ass on college games and then win it all back on 7 and 8 team moneyline parlays on NFL games. I'll waiting until Thursday and do the same on college games, unless I see a line that I just absolutely love. Ole Miss -4.5 vs Auburn is one of those.

THIS.  I am waiting till thursday or friday from now on.  Gives me time to do research and let the lines move.  if it moves away from me then I just need to let it go.  Had an awful weeend, went 0-2 on my big bets (aubur and Georgia), and lost a parlay I did.  I have one game tonight, got the Texans at -9.  Could really use a win.

This is my first year doing this and man have I learned some lessons very quickly haha 
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on October 08, 2012, 10:37:30 am
Went 3-2 on the weekend but lost my largest play so ended up even on the weekend and +13 for the season. 

Losses (total: 14 units)
Auburn (12 units) (first time I've ever been HAPPY about losing my largest play)
Missouri (2 units)

Wins (total: 14 units)
Miss St (8 units)
Florida (4 units)
SC (2 units)
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 08, 2012, 11:03:26 am
few lines I'm leaning towards so far, wont bet them all but will take into consideration...

Ole Miss (-4.5) vs Auburn

Duke (+10) @ Va. Tech.

Maryland (+2.5) @ Virginia

Oregon St (+2.5) @ BYU

Alabam (-21.5) @ Mizzou

W. Virginia (-4.5) @ Texas Tech

Florida (-7.5) @ Vandy

South Carolina (+2.5) @ LSU (night game at LSU is TOUGH, but I have no faith in LSU's offense to score against SC's defense

Miss. St (-3) vs Tenner


Thoughts on any of these?
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 08, 2012, 11:15:42 am
Texans -8.5 / 2 units
Under 40 / 2 units
Two team parlay texans to the under for two units.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: MS_HogFan on October 08, 2012, 11:16:06 am
Quote
W. Virginia (-4.5) @ Texas Tech

This one looks so good its scary.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on October 08, 2012, 11:19:20 am
Yeah, I've got my self-imposed $5 NFL limit on Texans -8.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 08, 2012, 11:20:01 am
This one looks so good its scary.

exactly what I was thinking... something's fishy
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on October 08, 2012, 11:25:23 am
few lines I'm leaning towards so far, wont bet them all but will take into consideration...

Ole Miss (-4.5) vs Auburn

Duke (+10) @ Va. Tech.

Maryland (+2.5) @ Virginia

Oregon St (+2.5) @ BYU

Alabam (-21.5) @ Mizzou

W. Virginia (-4.5) @ Texas Tech

Florida (-7.5) @ Vandy

South Carolina (+2.5) @ LSU (night game at LSU is TOUGH, but I have no faith in LSU's offense to score against SC's defense

Miss. St (-3) vs Tenner


Thoughts on any of these?

I'm with in on all of those games except one, Maryland-Virginia. I wouldn't bet on that game. It seems like every time I see those teams play, a different team shows up. Maryland kept it close with WVU but lost to UCONN. Virginia played TCU well but has lost 4 straight. Against quality opponents, UVA would be 0-6. If I had to bet, I'd pick Maryland. +2.5, but I wouldn't stake much on it.

To keep tonight interesting (my night off!) I've done a three game parlay picking Houston -9, the Nats to beat the Cards, and the Yankees to beat the Orioles.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 08, 2012, 11:40:10 am
starting to have second thoughts on the Miss State vs Tenner game, Miss St has yet to play a quality opponent, will be intersting to see how they actually matchuup vs a decent Tenner team.  Dont think I will be touching this one
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 08, 2012, 02:30:13 pm
starting to have second thoughts on the Miss State vs Tenner game, Miss St has yet to play a quality opponent, will be intersting to see how they actually matchuup vs a decent Tenner team.  Dont think I will be touching this one


I think tenner wins that game outright.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: DadVader1 on October 08, 2012, 02:34:48 pm
For now, I've taken:

Bama -21.5 @ Missouri (2 units)
Georgia beat down Missouri to the point that MO about quit, and GA & SC both beat MO by 21. With MO now at 0-3 in SEC and doubting themselves after losing to Vandy, I think Bama steamrolls them much worse.

SC +3 @ LSU (2 units)
SC's D is as good or better than LSU's, SC's O is better than LSU's, and I think Clowney & company will rattle Mettenberger and force him into making mistakes.  It's hard to go against LSU at home at night, but LSU just isn't as good as this year, and SC looks legit.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 08, 2012, 02:39:09 pm
Love your Duke pick Huck. With the way VT has been the suckage lately, I don't see any reason Cutcliffe can't get the Devils up for that one.

I really like WV -4.5 also, but TT can be tricky at home in big games. They've played the spoiler role well.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: WILL CLINTON on October 08, 2012, 02:45:07 pm

I think tenner wins that game outright.

No lie, last night that's the first thing that popped into my head.

I'm leaning towards Bama, as long as it stays under 21. That's still a lot of points though.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: ed_wheeley on October 08, 2012, 02:56:10 pm
I think we all agree on most of these. I picked Bama and the points. Missouri's rude awakening continues.
Title: Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
Post by: Huckleberry Pig on October 08, 2012, 03:05:07 pm
Love your Duke pick Huck. With the way VT has been the suckage lately, I don't see any reason Cutcliffe can't get the Devils up for that one.

I really like WV -4.5 also, but TT can be tricky at home in big games. They've played the spoiler role well.