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OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)

Started by WILL CLINTON, August 28, 2011, 09:41:36 pm

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SPAL


MuskogeeHogFan

Quote from: widespreadsooie on September 12, 2016, 08:47:58 pm
I'm thinking this Auburn team is much better than people expect, throw in home field and I'm not too surprised although I was thinking it would be closer to a pick.

I think A&M beats Auburn by a TD.
Go Hogs Go!

 

ChicoHog

I hate to say this but I'm taking Texas st +31.  I think the Hogs play this game fairly conservative and hold back some of the playbook for A&M.  This is the classic "sandwich" game between 2 tough opponents.  I think we win 35-17 or something like that. 
My favorite bets this week are Texas -7 over Cal, TCU -24 over Iowa st, Pitt +4.5 and the money line over OK st, Navy -5.5 over Tulane.  I bet on about 20 games this week but those are my "most confident" games.


jkstock04

For Saturday going to go:

Rutgers -6, 3 units
Bama -11, 4 units
Central Michigan -11, 4 units
Colorado/Michigan under 56, 5 units
Mizzou +7, 5 units

Good luck guys
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

ChicoHog

Won the over on UTSA/ASU tonight.  Line was 59 and final score was 32-28.  Won by 1 point!  Glad I didn't take ASU and lay the 20 points.  They were losing the whole game until they finally went ahead in the fourth quarter.  UTSA looked pretty decent.   

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

So far.
Louisville +1.5 / 2 units
Pitt +3.5 / 2 units
Michigan-18 / 2 units
Syracuse +14 / 5 units
Ohio St -1 / dime
Bama -10 / dime
Let's make some waves.

SPAL


McKdaddy

Bought more FSU at +2.5 (bought them earlier this week at -2, as well)
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

SPAL

I couldn't get a feel for fsu Louisville. I wanna give the edge to the cardinals, but I couldn't pull the trigger

McKdaddy

Quote from: McKdaddy on September 17, 2016, 11:02:05 am
Bought more FSU at +2.5 (bought them earlier this week at -2, as well)

I prob bought the sucker bet w/ this add-on.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

Green_Lanternn

Got Louisville (0) 1h for 3 units.  Which is looking great right now.  Now to see the 2h line

Huckleberry Pig

September 17, 2016, 01:40:47 pm #10312 Last Edit: September 17, 2016, 02:34:55 pm by Huckleberry Pig
Bama -10 // 5 units
Ohio St. pk // 4 units. 

Down 5 units on the year (only previous bet was the ND loss)

And for fun I did a little $10 parlay (my version of lotto tickets) that pays around $1000:

Michigan St. +7
Bama -10
A&M +2.5
LSU -13
Ohio St. pk
Georgia -7
Va. Tech -6.5


Good luck today everyone

 

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

McKdaddy

Let's try this again....adding to an existing bet, again.....A&M  +2  4u
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

Huckleberry Pig


Huckleberry Pig

Think Ole Miss will join my list of "Never Bet".  They are just so inconsistent (both good and bad). 

The good news is a lot of time is left and Saban is about 3 times the coach Freeze is when it comes to halftime adjustments.  Will be interesting to see how Bama comes out 2nd half.  Wouldn't wanna be in their locker room during half.

Green_Lanternn

Refs favoring Ole Miss.  How to play this one now??  at 24-3

Huckleberry Pig

Haha scratch what I said above.  Let's hope OSU can take out OU, don't see any way Bama covers this one

BigSexyHog

3 team parlay (Kansas, Mid Tennessee St and Miami )  thanks Kansas :(

Miami straight up
Oregon straight up
VA Tech straight up

Probably taking LSU AND AUBURN
Lebron raised money for kids... Rotnei stole crap from the equipment room

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: Huckleberry Pig on September 17, 2016, 04:17:16 pm
Haha scratch what I said above.  Let's hope OSU can take out OU, don't see any way Bama covers this one


:)
Let's make some waves.

jared72404

Took A&M +1 for 2U, should've got in earlier. also La tech +10.5 for 2U

jkstock04

Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Didnt bet it, but think auburn beats breaks off aggies
Let's make some waves.

 

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: jkstock04 on September 17, 2016, 06:50:47 pm
Bama = GD joke.

Dude honestly that comment is a joke. They cost me 1000.00 dollars not being able to field sn onside kick. That said. How many sec teams on the road come back and win down 24-3.

Need to put that crack pipe down
Let's make some waves.

WILL CLINTON

There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

McKdaddy

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on September 17, 2016, 07:39:21 pm
Added:

Mich St ML +175


Always good to have an additional reason to pull against the irish.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Rather lackluster day for me thanks to the Tide not fielding the onside kick.
Let's make some waves.

DadVader1

September 18, 2016, 08:25:22 am #10328 Last Edit: September 18, 2016, 02:35:46 pm by DadVader1
Had another good week, going 5-2 for +3/8 units for the week, making it 11-5 (68.8%) for +6/8 units YTD.  My tails of Jeff are still my best plays at 75% YTD.   So far, home teams and road teams are still both hitting at 50%.  Favs are hitting at 54%, and Road Favs are hitting at 56.8%.  I'll still probably wait until week 6 to ramp up my plays by any significant amount. 

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Ravens -5
G-Men -4
Steelers -3
Tampa +7
SF +13

Early action all 1 unit plays.
Parlay
Ravens
G-Men
SF
1 unit
Let's make some waves.

jkstock04

Quote from: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 17, 2016, 07:13:51 pm
Dude honestly that comment is a joke. They cost me 1000.00 dollars not being able to field sn onside kick. That said. How many sec teams on the road come back and win down 24-3.

Need to put that crack pipe down
This is true & was a knee jerk comment by me, but against Ole Miss it seems to be a common theme this season. Cost me a smooth 400. Way she goes. Would rather the team I'm on lose 50-0 vs scenerio like that. Still an ok Saturday but minus that would've been great day.

For today gonna play Ravens -5 for 3 units.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

SPAL

Awful 0-3 yesterday.

Today....

Vikings +1
Rams +5
Falcons +4

ChicoHog

I got killed yesterday, especially the early games.  TCU giving up the back door cover to Iowa st hurt bad along with Oregon not kicking PATs and missing 2 point conversions.  I made up a little ground on the late games especially A&M, but pushed on UCLA thanks to the late BTU TD and lost on Texas.   Looking forward to next saturday and redeeming myself (hopefully). 

WILL CLINTON

Way to early leans:

Clemson -9
Mich St -6
FSU -7.5
Wake Forest +7.5 (think they have a chance to win outright)
Duke +21.5
Nebraska -7
Louisville -26

I'm sure I'll talk myself into some I shouldn't take, and out of some I should take. My leans last week went 6-2-1, but I went 6-6 on my picks.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

SPAL


SPAL


iCalledThatHogBrotha!

I'm batting a miserable .150 this year so here's the plan: I'll post my picks, you bet against them, and try to remember the little people when you're rich and famous.

This is what I had for week 3:

L: TCU - 24
W: Louisville +3
L: Texas - 8
W: Miss State +12.5
L: Auburn -3
W: Stanford -9
L: Michigan -20.5
L: Cincinnati +7.5
L: Duke +6
L: ECU +3.5
L: Baylor/Rice OVER 65.5
L: Mississippi State (money line)
L: Cincinnati / Houston OVER 64.5
L: Texas State +31
L: 2s and 3s round robin parlay (money line): Cincy, ECU, aTm, Pitt
L: 2s and 3s round robin parlay (money line): Louisville, BC, ECU, Duke

iCalledThatHogBrotha!

That said, here's Andy's Awful Action for Week 4:

Arkansas / aTm OVER 50.5
Louisville - 25.5
Houston -34.5
Auburn +3.5
OK State / Baylor OVER 73
Florida State -6
Ole Miss -7
Kent State +43.5
TCU -20.5

My favorites out of those are FSU, Ole Miss, and the over on OK State / Baylor, FWIW.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: jkstock04 on September 18, 2016, 08:49:27 am
This is true & was a knee jerk comment by me, but against Ole Miss it seems to be a common theme this season. Cost me a smooth 400. Way she goes. Would rather the team I'm on lose 50-0 vs scenerio like that. Still an ok Saturday but minus that would've been great day.

For today gonna play Ravens -5 for 3 units.



It happens to all of us.
Let's make some waves.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: iCalledThatHogBrotha! on September 19, 2016, 06:57:20 pm
I'm batting a miserable .150 this year so here's the plan: I'll post my picks, you bet against them, and try to remember the little people when you're rich and famous.

This is what I had for week 3:

L: TCU - 24
W: Louisville +3
L: Texas - 8
W: Miss State +12.5
L: Auburn -3
W: Stanford -9
L: Michigan -20.5
L: Cincinnati +7.5
L: Duke +6
L: ECU +3.5
L: Baylor/Rice OVER 65.5
L: Mississippi State (money line)
L: Cincinnati / Houston OVER 64.5
L: Texas State +31
L: 2s and 3s round robin parlay (money line): Cincy, ECU, aTm, Pitt
L: 2s and 3s round robin parlay (money line): Louisville, BC, ECU, Duke



Wow!  That's a rough week buddy.
Let's make some waves.

DadVader1

The 6 best power rating systems to report so far this week all agree on the following 8 games.  I'm doing 1/8 unit on each. 

SC +2.5
Miss -7
Duke +21
Rice -7(h)
Temple -27.5
Ark +6.5
Stanford -3
S. Miss -10

Junkyard Hog


ChicoHog

Quote from: DadVader1 on September 20, 2016, 12:50:44 pm
The 6 best power rating systems to report so far this week all agree on the following 8 games.  I'm doing 1/8 unit on each. 

SC +2.5
Miss -7
Duke +21
Rice -7(h)
Temple -27.5
Ark +6.5
Stanford -3
S. Miss -10

I'm on Stanford and Arkansas already.  Also on Under in Fla/Tenn, UF +7, Clemson -10, under on Hogs/A&M.  I'm sure I will find some more to bet on before saturday. 

DadVader1

With more rating systems reporting and some line movements, the top 6 rating systems now all agree on the following 4:

San Jose St. +7
SC +2.5
UTSA +3.5
Rice -7

I added 1/8 unit each on SJS & UTSA.

yardpig

Quote from: DadVader1 on September 21, 2016, 11:44:15 am
With more rating systems reporting and some line movements, the top 6 rating systems now all agree on the following 4:

San Jose St. +7
SC +2.5
UTSA +3.5
Rice -7

I added 1/8 unit each on SJS & UTSA.


The originals still in play?

DadVader1

Yes.  The top 6 systems available earlier in the week still like the original plays.  With updates, the top 6 who have now reported include 4 of the same systems from before and 2 replacement systems (1 legit & 1 with too few picks to really count).  Most of the earlier picks that dropped off the list did so because of the questionable system without enough picks to take seriously yet.   

It's still too early to place too much weight on these.  My gut tells me that it's about time for a "correction" week to bring the winning percentages of the power rating systems back down in line with where you would expect them to be.  Too many of them are currently ahead ats.  About weeks 6-12 is when I try to grow the bankroll.

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

hogsanity

indiana -7.5
mich -19
old misses -7
wyoming/emu ov 63
tcu -20.5
clem -9.5
NE/Hou un 41.5
NE un 19.5
People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

WILL CLINTON

September 22, 2016, 05:47:47 pm #10349 Last Edit: September 25, 2016, 01:37:03 pm by WILL CLINTON
Thursday:

Clemson -10...W
Clemson v GT o58...L

Im thinking this one is a shootout and blowout, so it will probably be low scoring and close.

Saturday:

Mich St -4.5...L
Fl St -5...W
*VT -14...W
Akron +6...L
Stanford -2...W
Wake Forest +7...W
Duke +20...W
South Carolina +2...L

2016 Record: 20-24  45%  Bankroll: $885

There is no sacred ground for the conquered.