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OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)

Started by WILL CLINTON, August 28, 2011, 09:41:36 pm

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widespreadsooie

Quote from: McKdaddy on September 12, 2016, 06:24:41 pm
How is a&m a dog to Aub? I didn't expect that line.

I'm thinking this Auburn team is much better than people expect, throw in home field and I'm not too surprised although I was thinking it would be closer to a pick.

onebadrubi

A&M will torch that Auburn back 7.  A&M should also have the defense to slow any auburn offensive attack. 

 

hawgmasta

Took the 49ers tonight at -3, won on the Vikings -3 on Sunday. Betting only one or two fans at a time on NFL but am 4-1 so far; small sample size but feeling pretty cocky now. ;D

onebadrubi

49ers were +3 for me?  I am on that and the over, looking like a push. 

McKdaddy

Quote from: onebadrubi on September 12, 2016, 10:19:57 pm
A&M will torch that Auburn back 7.  A&M should also have the defense to slow any auburn offensive attack. 

That's my thinking, too.  I'd have assumed A&M a slight favorite @ Aub.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

hogsanity

Right now I am on

Miami -3.5
houston -7.5
arizona st -18

People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

gotyacovered

Quote from: gotyacovered on September 10, 2016, 11:46:01 am
south florida -14
air force -18.5
south carolina +9

this is not for the faint of heart - i pulled the trigger on washington st. +400 and plan on hedging it with a line bet... holding out for key number (+13).

i had a pretty good week.. when hogs hit 10.5/+350 i got a piece of both. been a good start to the season. if washington could have scored from the 35 with under 2 mins... well... i can keep on dreaming of the +400.

i am looking at standford so far... i am already on USC under 7.5 regular season wins... in terms of this game, its again one of my favorite angels. scheduling... usc started classes late august... standford start class 9/26. so that means they had the traditional early fall camp in august, then play kstate, then a full 2 weeks to be completely ingrained in nothing but preperation to beat the trojans - who - are in the full swing of figuring out the student athlete workload and juggling schedules. the icing on the cake for me is the experience level (esp in the trenches) and a new coach... the talent level of the trojans at skilled positions is really good... but that doesnt help when mccaffrey will shred their d line enabling them to control the clock. the line jumped from 6.5 to 9, so i am going to have to wait it out... usc is a popular team so i can only hope it will go back down at some point.
You are what you tolerate.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on September 12, 2016, 04:51:28 pm
Way to early leans:

Houston -7.5***
Baylor -30.5
FSU -3
Miami -3.5
VT -6
TAMU +3.5
Mich St +7
Ohio St -2.5
UCLA -3

I'm sure I'll have this whittled down to a few losses by Thursday.

Jeff, you still on Louisville vs FSU? I think that Defensive line may give ole Bobby P some problems ala Bama when he was at Arkansas. I'm still of the opinion that Defense wins championships and FSU definitely has the better defense.


Dunno. Tough one to pull the trigger on.  Yep Fl ST d is tough. Jackson ability to rip off big runs might slow that down some. My bigget concern is Louisville stopping FL ST running game. Cards had them on the ropes last year. Then couldnt srop Cook in second half.
Let's make some waves.

WILL CLINTON

September 13, 2016, 10:37:36 pm #10259 Last Edit: September 18, 2016, 01:59:08 am by WILL CLINTON
My book already has Houston up to -8.5 so I went ahead and pulled the trigger before it got too far from optimal. Biggest bet of the season so far. Almost 10% of my bankroll.

Thursday:
Houston -8*** ...W
Houston -4.5 1h ...L

Friday:
Baylor -33 ...L
Az St -22 ...L

Saturday:
Texas -7 ...L
OSU -1.5 ...W
TAMU +3 ...W
*South Florida -14 ...W
Michigan -19 ...L
Miami -4 ...W
FSU -1.5 ...L
Mich St ML +175 ...W

Went 6-6 for the week, but my leans went 6-2-1. Still made money with my big Houston bet, and the ML bet on the Spartans.

2016 Record: 14-20  41%  Bankroll: $847
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

onebadrubi

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on September 13, 2016, 10:37:36 pm
My book already has Houston up to -8.5 so I went ahead and pulled the trigger before it got too far from optimal. Biggest bet of the season so far. Almost 10% of my bankroll.

Do we know yet about Greg ward?

Junkyard Hog

Headed to Vegas in the morning!

Early leans:

Houston -7
Baylor -30
AZ St over 60
TCU -24
GTech -6.5
LaTech +11
Hogs over 61
Tenner -27.5
Nebraska -3
Miami -3.5
OKState -6 and over 59
MichSt +7.5
A&M +4
Ohio St -2
Bama -11
Georgia -6.5
Stanford over 53
Cal +8

McKdaddy

Quote from: Junkyard Hog on September 14, 2016, 08:36:30 am
Headed to Vegas in the morning!




Was there most of last week.  Sat next to a TCU person in a sportsbook during our game.  Thankfully he wasn't obnoxious (nor do I try to be).  I stayed as long as I could, but unfortunately we had to leave at the end of reg to get to the George concert in time.  I was able to watch OT via my phone but just not enjoy OT in front of my new TCU friend.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

 

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Let's make some waves.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on September 13, 2016, 10:37:36 pm
My book already has Houston up to -8.5 so I went ahead and pulled the trigger before it got too far from optimal. Biggest bet of the season so far. Almost 10% of my bankroll.

I have 4 units on houston -7 with one guy and 4 units on them -8 with another. The 7 unit play i bought the hook.
Let's make some waves.

McKdaddy

I'm probably just remembering the losses more than the wins, but my cfb betting on Thursday nights  haunts me.  Hou is up to -9 on my site.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

jkstock04

I can Houston on my book this morning -7 at -105 juice. Looks like another one of those "easy" bets everyone will be on like Clemson vs Auburn opening week.

That is big news that Ward will be playing though. I would feel more comfortable betting Houston if line were -14.5 or something like that.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

onebadrubi

Quote from: McKdaddy on September 14, 2016, 08:50:47 am

Was there most of last week.  Sat next to a TCU person in a sportsbook during our game.  Thankfully he wasn't obnoxious (nor do I try to be).  I stayed as long as I could, but unfortunately we had to leave at the end of reg to get to the George concert in time.  I was able to watch OT via my phone but just not enjoy OT in front of my new TCU friend.

I'll be going to one of the next george concerts out there.  How did you like it?

Junkyard Hog

Quote from: McKdaddy on September 14, 2016, 08:50:47 am

Was there most of last week.  Sat next to a TCU person in a sportsbook during our game.  Thankfully he wasn't obnoxious (nor do I try to be).  I stayed as long as I could, but unfortunately we had to leave at the end of reg to get to the George concert in time.  I was able to watch OT via my phone but just not enjoy OT in front of my new TCU friend.

Nothing better than spending a college football Saturday in the sportsbook!

McKdaddy

Quote from: onebadrubi on September 14, 2016, 10:30:20 am
I'll be going to one of the next george concerts out there.  How did you like it?

It was fine, a typical George show.  He announced the Vegas dates this time last year.  At the time it was only announced he would play the two April dates and the two Sept dates in 2016. It has since been announced he'll do 6 Vegas shows per year and has added Dec 2016 and Feb 2017.

At the original announcement he stated the shows would be about the hits, playing those songs everyone loves, and admitted in some form that most people didn't care about hearing new stuff, such as soon-to-be-on-the-radio songs from Cold Beer Convos.  Anyway, he mostly stuck to the script, as you can see via his setlists from the April and September shows, but played a bit more from the Cold Beer Convos album than I expected.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

McKdaddy

Quote from: Junkyard Hog on September 14, 2016, 10:48:10 am
Nothing better than spending a college football Saturday in the sportsbook!

This was my first trip to LV...I'd get up early to workout and grab a coffee.  Walking past the sportsbook each morning around 7am It was always interesting to see how many guys (usually old men) would be sitting at those tables w/ the tiny TV's making notes.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

McKdaddy

Yesterday I locked-in....

A&M  +3.5
Mia  -4
FSU  -2
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

Junkyard Hog

Quote from: McKdaddy on September 14, 2016, 11:01:06 am
This was my first trip to LV...I'd get up early to workout and grab a coffee.  Walking past the sportsbook each morning around 7am It was always interesting to see how many guys (usually old men) would be sitting at those tables w/ the tiny TV's making notes.

We go a couple of times a year. March Madness or football season is the only time for me (I play poker and bet on games).  We were there this past New Year's.  Bowl season is awesome in the sportsbook.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Let's make some waves.

 

jkstock04

Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

DadVader1

Still too early to place much confidence in the power rating systems, but the top 7 systems ats to date all agree on 7 plays.  I'm doing 1/8 unit on each:

Bowling Green +7 (h)
Cal +8
Central Mich. -13
Colo +21 (h)
Ohio St. -1
Syr +14.5
Army -3.5

I'm also tailing Jeff on Houston -7(h)

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

sooiepig_12

I'm tempted to pound Baylor -31.  I know it's on the road but Rice is bad.

McKdaddy

Quote from: McKdaddy on September 14, 2016, 09:40:30 am
I'm probably just remembering the losses more than the wins, but my cfb betting on Thursday nights  haunts me.  Hou is up to -9 on my site.


Hou back to -8 on my site
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

hogsanity

Quote from: sooiepig_12 on September 15, 2016, 01:34:50 am
I'm tempted to pound Baylor -31.  I know it's on the road but Rice is bad.

i keep looking at that one and thinking baylor can score 80 if they want to, but the question is do they want to play the starters very long with Okie St coming up next weekend.
People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

jkstock04

Gonna play the over 64..Houston/Cincinnati for 4 units.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

onebadrubi

Houston -7 buying points looks like a great play. 
Houston over 64 also looks good. 

Baylor -31 looks great as well.  Does anyone know if they still have Seth Russels backup from last year, the kid that came in and slung it around before getting hurt?  If he is there backup then there won't be much of a drop off when the 2's come in, it will all matter what that coach wants to do play calling wise. 

EDIT: Jarrett Stidham did leave Baylor, has not landed anywhere, but Gus is on top of it and appears to be leading the way for his services.... 

McKdaddy

Quote from: onebadrubi on September 15, 2016, 09:53:23 am
Houston -7 buying points looks like a great play. 
Houston over 64 also looks good. 

Baylor -31 looks great as well.  Does anyone know if they still have Seth Russels backup from last year, the kid that came in and slung it around before getting hurt?  If he is there backup then there won't be much of a drop off when the 2's come in, it will all matter what that coach wants to do play calling wise. 

EDIT: Jarrett Stidham did leave Baylor, has not landed anywhere, but Gus is on top of it and appears to be leading the way for his services.... 

Whoa, I had no idea Stidham hadn't enrolled anywhere yet.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

onebadrubi

Quote from: McKdaddy on September 15, 2016, 10:04:23 am
Whoa, I had no idea Stidham hadn't enrolled anywhere yet.

Looks like is gus is going to try and use him for a contract extension after this year, cause he is sure going to need something!

WooPig90

Took a couple of teasers for tonight...UH -2 with the over 59 and UH -2 with the over 35 in the bills game

yraciv

I'm taking the over on Houston and caught it at 64.

jdelo77

My betus account was closed due to inactivity ...any one recommend a good sports book ?

WILL CLINTON

Even though I know I shouldn't, I'm going to take Houston -4.5 1h also.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

SPAL


WILL CLINTON

There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

onebadrubi

Quote from: jdelo77 on September 15, 2016, 05:10:41 pm
My betus account was closed due to inactivity ...any one recommend a good sports book ?

Betdsi is suppose to be good. Find a local though man

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

September 16, 2016, 06:50:24 am #10291 Last Edit: September 16, 2016, 09:44:02 am by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson
Just put 4 units on Baylor -31
Let's make some waves.

DadVader1

Quote from: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 16, 2016, 06:50:24 am
Just put 4 units on Baylor -4

I'm thinking there might be a typo in there somewhere.  If you could get Baylor at -4 against Rice, you'd be doing a LOT more than 4 units :)

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: DadVader1 on September 16, 2016, 08:47:46 am
I'm thinking there might be a typo in there somewhere.  If you could get Baylor at -4 against Rice, you'd be doing a LOT more than 4 units :)

Quote from: DadVader1 on September 16, 2016, 08:47:46 am
I'm thinking there might be a typo in there somewhere.  If you could get Baylor at -4 against Rice, you'd be doing a LOT more than 4 units :)
ll

Thanks. Corrected it.
Let's make some waves.

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

hogsanity

Had houston -7.5

also have

az -18
miami -3.5
mid tn -6.5
rut -6.5
oh/tn ov 58

People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

Sanctified Swine

I am locked in for Baylor to cover. Been 50% for the year...need a good week! Here goes!

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Ugh too much chalk again. Worked last time. Added utah st -9 and AZ ST -21 / 4 units each. Last one scares me. Utsa screwed me a few years ago against the other zona. Wildcats.
Let's make some waves.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: Sanctified Swine on September 16, 2016, 04:10:10 pm
I am locked in for Baylor to cover. Been 50% for the year...need a good week! Here goes!

50% is losing money. Get it in gear buddy :)
Let's make some waves.

WILL CLINTON

Added:

Baylor -33 (yes, horrible line, waited too long)
Az St -22 (see above^^)
Texas -7
OSU -1.5
TAMU +3
South Florida -14
Michigan -19
Miami -4
FSU -1.5

The only one I may add tomorrow is Mich State, but want to see how that line looks in the morning.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.