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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 335955 times)

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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10550 on: October 14, 2016, 10:12:26 am »

Lol this guy is officially fade material! Took the chargers +3 and the under

Wish I would have sat it out!  Went 0-1-1 last night and that baseball game should have gone over then at points you were just glad to get the push. 
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10551 on: October 14, 2016, 10:13:20 am »

Lang's losing streak is beyond impressive.  I keep thinking, he's gotta win one at some point.

Where I'm getting the info from says to not blindly tail him but pick your spots.  He has made great money picking his spots with Lang, I should listen.  lol  I will see here in a bit if he has a game today.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10552 on: October 14, 2016, 11:53:42 am »

So far.....

Tulane   +12  1u
KSU   +14  1u
NM   +14  1u
Neb/IU   u57.5  1u
Neb   -3  2u
UT   +12  1u
OSU/Wis   o44  2u
OM   -7  2u
Syr  +21  2u
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10553 on: October 14, 2016, 01:54:03 pm »

I'm on BYU tonight for 2 units. Miss State sucks badly.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10554 on: October 14, 2016, 02:55:07 pm »

A second bad week in a row for me.  On the week I went 40% for -2 units, dropping me down to 52.2% & -6 units YTD.  I haven't had much time this week but pieced together a card, sticking with 1 unit each on:

Az +9.5
Colo St +28
Clem -17.5
Wake +21.5
Neb -3
Minn +7
Conn +20
VT -19.5
BG +31.5
GA St. +17.5
Memph -11.5
Pitt -3
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10555 on: October 14, 2016, 03:14:38 pm »

memphis -12
Miami -6.5
neb -3
fla/mizzu un 50.5
ucf -3
wash st -7.5
ga -14
gtech -10.5
ohio -7
wku/mtsu ov 76
iowa -11

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WooPig90

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10556 on: October 14, 2016, 03:57:54 pm »

Early plays I have locked in :

Ark/Ole miss over 66

Mizzou/FL under 51

Adding :

Louisville over 69.5
K State +14
Tenn +14
BYU -7
Texas/Iowa St over 69
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10557 on: October 14, 2016, 05:57:19 pm »

Lang is on Cleveland indians
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10558 on: October 15, 2016, 09:56:20 am »

TX/IA St u70.5
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10559 on: October 15, 2016, 09:58:12 am »

So far gonna take

Western Michigan -11, 7 units

Ole miss/Hogs over 66, 5 units
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10560 on: October 15, 2016, 10:21:17 am »

Have been so bad that i havent been sharing my picks.

Locked in today though
Clemson NC ST over 60
Bama -13
Ole Piss -7
ND -3

All dime plays
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10561 on: October 15, 2016, 11:11:09 am »

Leans:

Ball St -10.5
Miami -7
Nebraska -3
Bama -12.5 moved up to my number to stay away from, -14
Wake Forest +23
Mizzou v Florida u52
Charlotte +5
South Florida -20 Riding this train until it derails
Ole Miss -7.5 Financially, I should bet this. Not gonna though, I hate OM
Stanford +3 Laying off this one
Ohio State -11
Fresno St +17 Played this last night at +18, forgot to post, proof below
UCF -3.5
New Mexico +14
Tulsa +21 Laying off this one

Taking Texas Tech on a flyer +3. Public has moved this game accross the 0 line, so I'm simply betting against them. Also riding that WMU train this week at -13


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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10562 on: October 15, 2016, 11:16:25 am »

Have been so bad that i havent been sharing my picks.

Locked in today though
Clemson NC ST over 60
Bama -13
Ole Piss -7
ND -3

All dime plays

All 3 games I scratched off my list...lol. Good luck today man.
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BigSexyHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10563 on: October 15, 2016, 11:58:06 am »

Last 2 weeks have been brutal.   Just god awful.

Okie/Ksu over
Texas Tech/ WV OVER
UGA -14

HOPE THINGS TURN AROUND
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10564 on: October 15, 2016, 12:37:24 pm »

Lang is on Virginia +4 80 dimer.... He released the play at 11:45 I was told and kick off was 11:30. Lol
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BigSexyHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10565 on: October 15, 2016, 12:38:45 pm »

Lang is on Virginia +4 80 dimer.... He released the play at 11:45 I was told and kick off was 11:30. Lol

Lol
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10566 on: October 15, 2016, 12:54:13 pm »

Lang has a free play of Arizona + 9.5.  It's moved to +10 now. So USC is the play
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10567 on: October 15, 2016, 02:08:17 pm »

NC state +19.5
Stanford +3
Indiana +4
Arizona +10
Tennessee +13.5
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BigSexyHog

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10568 on: October 15, 2016, 03:12:32 pm »

2 teamer  - Miami and Michigan St
3 teamer - Miami,  Michigan st and Nebraska
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10569 on: October 16, 2016, 12:20:29 am »

Upset I missed Lang's plays
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10570 on: October 16, 2016, 12:22:40 am »

Upset I missed Lang's plays

Lol
Well his one paid play he released after the game Started.   His free pick was a nice fade piece. Hopefully tomorrow he gives us an easy one.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10571 on: October 16, 2016, 12:28:36 am »

Lol
Well his one paid play he released after the game Started.   His free pick was a nice fade piece. Hopefully tomorrow he gives us an easy one.

Wouldn't doubt it haha.

I have some tease action tomorrow. Skins +8.5, Saints +8.5, and Ravens +9.5.
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10572 on: October 16, 2016, 09:32:26 am »

Whiffed on Hogs over...that one looked too easy to be true which are usually the ones to stay away from. Still not bad in green on day.

Today one play:

Cowboys +5, 3 units
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10573 on: October 16, 2016, 10:55:02 am »

Lang is on Jacksonville +2 100 dimes
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10574 on: October 16, 2016, 11:57:39 am »

Cincinnati +7.5
Miami +7.5
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10575 on: October 16, 2016, 12:32:22 pm »

Had a good week after two very bad weeks in a row.  Went 8-4 for 67% and +4 units on the week putting me at 56.6% & even on the year.  I'm starting to see some trends that inspire a little confidence.  I have some digging to do over the next day or three, but I've already found a couple of trends that have hit at over 60% with over 200 occurrences, and a couple that have hit over 70% with over 70 occurrences.  I'm hoping to find some hitting in the 80's with around 50 occurrences.  These are the types of trends that have worked fairly well for me in the past.  I think it's about to get good.
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hogsanity

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10576 on: October 17, 2016, 09:43:43 am »

memphis -12  L
Miami -6.5  L
neb -3 W
fla/mizzu un 50.5 L
ucf -3 L
wash st -7.5 L
ga -14 L
gtech -10.5 W
ohio -7 L
wku/mtsu ov 76 W
iowa -11 W



2 GARBAGE TIME TD'S AND A TD BY TEMPLE WITH 0:01 left killed me, just killed me.
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WooPig90

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10577 on: October 17, 2016, 10:06:47 am »

God awful weekend, never seen so much randomness by some of these teams in my life!
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10578 on: October 17, 2016, 10:46:36 am »

Enjoyable weekend and season so far.  Note:  I'm generally a .500 bettor, so don't even think about tailing my picks, ha.
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Green_Lanternn

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10579 on: October 17, 2016, 02:37:49 pm »

Hogs +9.5 vs Auburn this week.
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10580 on: October 17, 2016, 02:39:40 pm »

Lang's freeby play is Toronto -1.5 and is suppose to release a paid play later today which most likely will be for MNF.
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WooPig90

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10581 on: October 17, 2016, 03:34:16 pm »

Lang's freeby play is Toronto -1.5 and is suppose to release a paid play later today which most likely will be for MNF.

Alright so Cleveland +1.5 it is!
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WooPig90

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10582 on: October 17, 2016, 03:34:43 pm »

Thoughts on the MNF game tonight? Maybe a 5 point tease with the Cards and the over?
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onebadrubi

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10583 on: October 17, 2016, 04:29:08 pm »

Alright so Cleveland +1.5 it is!

Still waiting on his paid play if he has one. 
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jkstock04

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10584 on: October 17, 2016, 04:32:56 pm »

Thoughts on the MNF game tonight? Maybe a 5 point tease with the Cards and the over?
I'm on the over 45 for 4 units.

I think Palmer has a big game and puts up some big numbers. The jets pass defense sucks....giving up over 300 yards/game.

Like the Cards here but like the over more.



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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10585 on: October 17, 2016, 04:49:22 pm »

Jets +7

Wouldn't mind fading Lang on that baseball play but will stick with NFL tonight.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10586 on: October 17, 2016, 05:38:56 pm »

Hogs  +9.5  2u
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10587 on: October 17, 2016, 05:57:21 pm »

I would roll with the jets tonight bit I'm laying off and playing baseball. It's kinda scary siding with lang, but I'm on the Jay's as well....-155
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10588 on: October 17, 2016, 06:00:12 pm »

Alright so Cleveland +1.5 it is!

I know the fade angle, but I woukd be careful here. I have the jays tonight 4-2
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10589 on: October 17, 2016, 06:02:18 pm »

And I never play the run line in playoff baseball.
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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10590 on: October 17, 2016, 06:07:31 pm »

Jets +7
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10591 on: October 17, 2016, 06:25:10 pm »

Anyone in here have a good, objective angle on why the Hogs' line is so high? I can't come up with one. I was expecting +3 or so.
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Mr. Porkleone

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10592 on: October 17, 2016, 06:30:16 pm »

New to lines etc.  can someone explain to me this.

Auburn a 9 point fav. If i bet $100 on razorbacks to win, how much win?
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userpick

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10593 on: October 17, 2016, 06:36:56 pm »

Anyone in here have a good, objective angle on why the Hogs' line is so high? I can't come up with one. I was expecting +3 or so.

I think it's a lot of things. Auburn is coming off a week of rest and we have played two very difficult games back to back. Also, Auburn has really improved this season. And I know this won't be popular with Hogvillians, but I still don't think we have beaten a very good team this year. Ole Miss might end up 7-5 at the end of the year.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10594 on: October 17, 2016, 06:42:36 pm »

I think it's a lot of things. Auburn is coming off a week of rest and we have played two very difficult games back to back. Also, Auburn has really improved this season. And I know this won't be popular with Hogvillians, but I still don't think we have beaten a very good team this year. Ole Miss might end up 7-5 at the end of the year.

I agree with those points, OM's defense is really holding them back from a big season. My biggest concern with the line would be JF3 getting into the mix after an extra week of prep but still can't imagine our O not being able to keep it within 10. I'll probably lay off.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10595 on: October 17, 2016, 06:42:37 pm »

New to lines etc.  can someone explain to me this.

Auburn a 9 point fav. If i bet $100 on razorbacks to win, how much win?

Most time the line will be -9 at -110.  So you will risk $110 to win $100. So in your case risking $100 to win $90 and some change
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10596 on: October 17, 2016, 06:43:20 pm »

New to lines etc.  can someone explain to me this.

Auburn a 9 point fav. If i bet $100 on razorbacks to win, how much win?

Standard juice runs 10% so you would risk 110 to win 100.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10597 on: October 17, 2016, 06:45:01 pm »

New to lines etc.  can someone explain to me this.

Auburn a 9 point fav. If i bet $100 on razorbacks to win, how much win?

To win outright you look at the money line. If the money line is +300, $100 bet pays $300.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10598 on: October 17, 2016, 06:47:29 pm »

Anyone in here have a good, objective angle on why the Hogs' line is so high? I can't come up with one. I was expecting +3 or so.

It's one of those times when Vegas is playing games. It's really no more than that. Here is the situation....

They set a line at -9 for auburn....

Public Hog fans say..."are you kidding me? That line is ridiculous. We should win straight up....bet the farm.

Public auburn fans say...."are you kidding me? We just smashed miss state. Arky can't stop the run. We run better than anybody. We will kill the pigs. Bet the farm.

Thursday or Friday, the line will move again....whichever way it moves means the sharp money is playing big. You hope to see the line move in our favor. It moved toward am and bama in our games with them, and u saw the result.

It's all about public perception. Most public bettors outside auburn and Arkansas won't remember the wins.....they remember us giving up tons of yardage to tamu and bama and they remember auburn running roughshod over Ulm and state.

This line is simply screwibg with each fan base.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #10599 on: October 17, 2016, 06:53:48 pm »

I can't imagine too many Auburn fans liking -9, but then again that's just my guess and it's been wrong plenty of times. For a bit of perspective, maybe, I hung out with a big Auburn fan this past weekend- his gf is a hog. He was taking bets on AUB -6.

Edit: Yes, I do agree though that Vegas is playing games on this line right now and will let important dollars settle it.
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