Pages:
Actions
  • #4701 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 26 Sep 2013
  • Gotta wonder if that is what Vegas wants everyone to think?


    Could be.
  • #4702 by BoynamedWooPigSooie on 26 Sep 2013
  • Didn't bet last week because I didn't like the games or the match ups, glad I didn't because I'd have gotten torched.  Though my NFL picks did well.


    I just looked at the slate for this week and here's a couple that I think have good probabilities.


    Tonight I like Iowa St. getting the 3 pts.   I'm not gonna play the ACC game but I like GT covering 7 and taking the over.  I have a feeling it might be a shootout type of game for those 2 teams.


    On Sat.

    Middle TN St. getting 24 pts against BYU is interesting.
    S. Carolina only having to cover 7 against UCF.
    SMU getting 19 against TCU.
    The over in the Tennessee/S. Alabama game (53).
    The under in Duke/Troy (68.5).
    LSU getting 3 against Georgia, and I like the under in the game too (62)  I could see a total score at 59-60.
    Arizona getting 10 at Washington
    Wyoming needing to cover 12 against Texas St.
    Stanford covering 9 against Washington St.
    Boise St. covering 28 against Southern Miss


    In games of interest

    If we had Brandon Allen 100% I'd have taken the hogs and +6, We have who we have so the smart play is A&M at -15, but I still think we match up better against A&M than anyone realizes.   So if I'm gonna be heartbroken I might as well be broke too.  I'm not playing the game but if I were I'd put my $ on Arkansas so my heart and my wallet won't be fighting each other.

    Wisconsin +7 against OSU.   I've been riding Wisconsin so far and haven't lost yet, Bielema left them in pretty good shape and I like Andersen as a coach.  Not sure if they win, likely won't, but I think it'll be a close game and the Badgers can cover.
  • #4703 by McHogLovin on 26 Sep 2013
  • At A&M -15 you guys had better be careful.  I know I've pointed this out a couple times but HV has lost every single game they bet heavy on together.  All of em this year.  Beware.
  • #4704 by BJOhog on 26 Sep 2013
  • anyone selse like the yankees to win tonight to avoid the sweep?



    btw adding one
    5323 F.Gore rushing yards over 78 +130
    3 units
  • #4705 by McHogLovin on 26 Sep 2013
  • A&M just went from -15 to -14 on 5Dimes pretty quickly.
  • #4706 by widespreadsooie on 26 Sep 2013
  • Add:

    Army/La Tech u52.5
  • #4707 by MuskogeeHogFan on 26 Sep 2013
  • OK, GT is killing me. 2 T/O's, just 21 yards less offense than Va Tech when they should have at least 200 yds and they are winning the TOP at halftime? I know VT has a good defense, but jiminee! 
  • #4708 by BJOhog on 26 Sep 2013
  • OK, GT is killing me. 2 T/O's, just 21 yards less offense than Va Tech when they should have at least 200 yds and they are winning the TOP at halftime? I know VT has a good defense, but jiminee!
    No va tech has an elite defense and plays well on road and openers in confrence. Also have a vet qb.

    It ain't over yet I don't feel comfortible in my ml wager yet. Game will get tight book it


    Hopkins is 4 times the player than clowney
  • #4709 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 26 Sep 2013
  • I'm finished with the NFL. Just gonna be a 1 unit loss, but I'm not even close.
  • #4710 by MuskogeeHogFan on 26 Sep 2013
  • No va tech has an elite defense and plays well on road and openers in confrence. Also have a vet qb.

    It ain't over yet I don't feel comfortible in my ml wager yet. Game will get tight book it

    GT will have to score three TD's and shut out Va Tech the rest of the way for this to come out good for me and I kinda doubt that is going to happen in 2 quarters, but stranger things have happened.
  • #4711 by BJOhog on 26 Sep 2013
  • If Venus can find it in her man like heart to lose for me in 5 hours it will be the best week ivevhad this year
  • #4712 by BoynamedWooPigSooie on 26 Sep 2013
  • totally off on that GT/VT pick, should always go with the gut.  I was on the money with Iowa St. though, so 1-0 out the gate.  Maybe I'll come away with some gas money.
  • #4713 by BJOhog on 26 Sep 2013
  • totally off on that GT/VT pick, should always go with the gut.  I was on the money with Iowa St. though, so 1-0 out the gate.  Maybe I'll come away with some gas money.

    if you really put money on ole iowa state big brass balls and hats of to you
    tulsa is by far the beter team
  • #4714 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 26 Sep 2013
  • 2-0 Thursday.....

    Yes, you read right. Thursday night monkey off my back, time to roll.
  • #4715 by checkraiser88 on 26 Sep 2013
  • Am I totally out of my mind going for a Moneyline pick of Cal over Oregon at 20 to 1??  ;D
  • #4716 by Hawgndaaz on 26 Sep 2013
  • Am I totally out of my mind going for a Moneyline pick of Cal over Oregon at 20 to 1??  ;D

    yep
  • #4717 by BJOhog on 26 Sep 2013
  • Am I totally out of my mind going for a Moneyline pick of Cal over Oregon at 20 to 1??  ;D

    unless its a 10 dollar one yeah maybe my friend im a big cal fan and supporter but ill be dang gon if oregon really is the best team in the country right now


    good ml to win its like 5000 right?  its worth a small bet just realize that oregon really is for real. for what its worth i like cal a whole lot to i thiught they would beat ohiostate
  • #4718 by widespreadsooie on 26 Sep 2013
  • If you took GT, I'm going to assume you didn't read the article I posted about VT's D Cord.
  • #4719 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 26 Sep 2013
  • Am I totally out of my mind going for a Moneyline pick of Cal over Oregon at 20 to 1??  ;D

    Even if you only bet 1 dollar, you are out of your mind.
  • #4720 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 26 Sep 2013
  • If you took GT, I'm going to assume you didn't read the article I posted about VT's D Cord.

    I guess I missed it but I was on va tech. What was the article?
  • #4721 by BJOhog on 26 Sep 2013
  • if you are looking for upset huge ml bets
    these have the best chance in my ole opinion
    East Carolina +370* vs North Carolina
     SMU +700* vs TCU
     Mississippi +450* vs Alabama
     Washington State +290* vs Stanford
    West Virginia +650* vs Oklahoma State

    i put a dollar on each jus so i could copy and paste it for you i didnt look at lower tier yet sometimes those are the best moneylines actually many times they are
    i dont like really any of these i posted. i dont like oregon losing at all tho i love cal

    the best money line other than tonights v tech I'mo is is wisky. i think they destroy ohiostate and i bet like they will to



    i jsut looked at lower tier maybe stoneybrroook. georgetown, and grambling. but i dont like those three either

  • #4722 by widespreadsooie on 26 Sep 2013
  • NIU isn't as reliable as they used to be with Doreen at NC St. now. He had NIU playing consistent, dominant football last season.

    Regarding GT/VT, this article may lead you to take the points and/or the under, reinforced my under lean:

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/colleges/virginia-tech-vs-georgia-tech-bud-foster-hokies-have-been-able-to-crack-the-yellow-jackets-riddle/2013/09/25/df78b9a4-261b-11e3-b75d-5b7f66349852_story.html

    VT's D coordinator owns GT
  • #4723 by BJOhog on 26 Sep 2013
  • VT's D coordinator owns GT
    lot of factors. vt owns opening day conference games especially on the road. vt has the best defensive player in the nation. vt has the best dline in the nation. vt has a vet qb that isnt great but he is friggin steady. vt has an incredible coach that is one of the true best in the nation. they are a good club. great d lines destroy the veer
  • #4724 by jkstock04 on 26 Sep 2013
  • if you are looking for upset huge ml bets
    these have the best chance in my ole opinion
    East Carolina +370* vs North Carolina
     SMU +700* vs TCU
     Mississippi +450* vs Alabama
     Washington State +290* vs Stanford
    West Virginia +650* vs Oklahoma State

    i put a dollar on each jus so i could copy and paste it for you i didnt look at lower tier yet sometimes those are the best moneylines actually many times they are
    i dont like really any of these i posted. i dont like oregon losing at all tho i love cal

    the best money line other than tonights v tech I'mo is is wisky. i think they destroy ohiostate and i bet like they will to



    i jsut looked at lower tier maybe stoneybrroook. georgetown, and grambling. but i dont like those three either


    Call me crazy but I like the ole miss bet.
  • #4725 by BJOhog on 26 Sep 2013
  • Call me crazy but I like the ole miss bet.

    its worth a 1 spot if you can eat the los and still buy your kids shoes. i like it a little. ole mis has moxy and believe they can win their players been talking trash all week on tweeter.
    they took bammer to the ropes last year.

    if you are gonna burn money on a ml id do this one and east caroline. i like georgetown just a little to




    also wisky aint a true huge underdog but I'm close to betting the farm on those boys and tripling up my bet i like them.

    all this being said i think its a better bet to take points this week. even in the wisky game but im a lil crazy


  • #4726 by DadVader1 on 27 Sep 2013
  • If you took GT, I'm going to assume you didn't read the article I posted about VT's D Cord.

    Unfortunately, I jumped the gun and made the play before you posted it.  It's a learning process.  Next week, the plan is to post strong leans and let you guys poke holes in them before making my plays.  Patience is a virtue ... darn it. 
  • #4727 by BJOhog on 27 Sep 2013
  • Unfortunately, I jumped the gun and made the play before you posted it.  It's a learning process.  Next week, the plan is to post strong leans and let you guys poke holes in them before making my plays.  Patience is a virtue ... darn it.
    i feel bad i shouldhave posted a long explaination. we all should -a lot of times jef or will or sirpigsalotch will post picks i scratch my head at and they dont explain and they are right as rain. i knew without a doubt va tech would win i just never took the time to type out why.

    thats why im warning you boys now. dont take lsu unless you have done a lot more research than me and have an angle. you boys got an angle on that ole game please share it cause i dont other than i feel bad about that game. also id like to hear about this ball state more. i follow them a little. but i want to go big on toledo but the great betters on this thread like ball state. id like to know why before i make a mistake
  • #4728 by DadVader1 on 27 Sep 2013
  • On Toledo/Ball St., I haven't seen either team play, so this is strictly a spreadsheet play for me.  Toledo has the better rushing O, but Ball St. has the better passing O, the better total O, a much better scoring O, a much better 3rd down efficiency, a better red zone efficiency, and is playing at home.  Ball St. falls within a few larger trends hitting at 70+%, falls within several smaller trends hitting at around 80%, and falls within one subset trend that has hit 7 out of 7.  The trends seem to agree with the stats, so I took Ball St. at -1.5.  I didn't do much extra research on it, so this could turn out to be another Georgia Tech play.
  • #4729 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 27 Sep 2013
  • On Toledo/Ball St., I haven't seen either team play, so this is strictly a spreadsheet play for me.  Toledo has the better rushing O, but Ball St. has the better passing O, the better total O, a much better scoring O, a much better 3rd down efficiency, a better red zone efficiency, and is playing at home.  Ball St. falls within a few larger trends hitting at 70+%, falls within several smaller trends hitting at around 80%, and falls within one subset trend that has hit 7 out of 7.  The trends seem to agree with the stats, so I took Ball St. at -1.5.  I didn't do much extra research on it, so this could turn out to be another Georgia Tech play.

    Toledo has played Florida and Missouri while BSU has played north texas. Yo r numbers are gonna be skewed because of that. Toledo should be the favorite in this game. Terrance Owens looks to bounc back from a disappointing game against CMU. He is comig off of a knee injury but played last week and it's believed he is close to 100% again.

    This is a revenge game for toledo. Ball state won at Toledo a year ago snapping a moderate win streak for Toledo.

    For such a young defense that lost most of their starters, I think the Toledo defense having to step up in Owens' abscence 2 weeks ago and again last week, I like them to step up again here. BSU only getting 3 says slot.

    Toledo by 10 (moderate lean )
  • #4730 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 27 Sep 2013
  • its worth a 1 spot if you can eat the los and still buy your kids shoes. i like it a little. ole mis has moxy and believe they can win their players been talking trash all week on tweeter.
    they took bammer to the ropes last year.

    if you are gonna burn money on a ml id do this one and east caroline. i like georgetown just a little to




    also wisky aint a true huge underdog but I'm close to betting the farm on those boys and tripling up my bet i like them.

    all this being said i think its a better bet to take points this week. even in the wisky game but im a lil crazy






    I gotta say BJO I am probably going opposite in Ohio St / Wisky game.  Probably gonna put at least 5 units on the Buckeyes.  Thus far it's one I my three strongest plays of the day.
  • #4731 by jkstock04 on 27 Sep 2013


  • I gotta say BJO I am probably going opposite in Ohio St / Wisky game.  Probably gonna put at least 5 units on the Buckeyes.  Thus far it's one I my three strongest plays of the day.
    I have heard some people on radio and tv saying Buckeyes are prime for an upset in this one...but I'm not seeing it either, I think they roll Wisconsin.
  • #4732 by McKdaddy on 27 Sep 2013
  • OSU has moved from -7.5 to -6 on spread.com
  • #4733 by DadVader1 on 27 Sep 2013
  • Toledo has played Florida and Missouri while BSU has played north texas. Yo r numbers are gonna be skewed because of that. Toledo should be the favorite in this game.

    Toledo by 10 (moderate lean )

    Thanks for the analysis!  I figured it would take a while to get the cupcake effect out of the numbers, but since I didn't start the spreadsheet until mid-season last year, this is the first time I've had to deal with that aspect of it.
  • #4734 by BJOhog on 27 Sep 2013
  • That scares me some Jeff. I got notre dame and whisky as ny money makers this weekend. I don't see osu even slowing down the run an I don't see the moving the ball as easy. I'll relook at her though
  • #4735 by 1960'sHogFan on 27 Sep 2013
  • Skip the LSU GA game, even if I think LSU wins

    Take Ohio St., based on having a more seasoned Coach
  • #4736 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 27 Sep 2013
  • That scares me some Jeff. I got notre dame and whisky as ny money makers this weekend. I don't see osu even slowing down the run an I don't see the moving the ball as easy. I'll relook at uher though

    Not touching the OU / Notre Dame as of now.  Sooners have issues at QB, but Golson out for the Irish.  Can't call this one myself.
  • #4737 by widespreadsooie on 27 Sep 2013
  • Not touching the OU / Notre Dame as of now.  Sooners have issues at QB, but Golson out for the Irish.  Can't call this one myself.


    Golson has been out all season though, so this line is properly adjusted for it I'm sure.
  • #4738 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 27 Sep 2013
  • Passing tonight on ncaaf. Have a baseball total going.

    If I played tonight, it would be small on SJSU +10
  • #4739 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 27 Sep 2013
  • Somebody read my toledo assessment and hammered the line down to BSU -1. It was -3.5 when I posted last night.

    Kidding about my assessment being why, obviously.
  • #4740 by Hawgndaaz on 27 Sep 2013
  • A&M now at -17.5 on my board. already wishing i'd bet it at 14.
  • #4741 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 27 Sep 2013

  • Golson has been out all season though, so this line is properly adjusted for it I'm sure.


    Oh I'm sure it has as well. Was thinking there was a possibility of his return.  I don't like this one either wAy.
  • #4742 by WILL CLINTON on 27 Sep 2013
  • Nothing like starting your week off with a 1* loss. Damn you GA Tech.

    And, no I didn't see the article that was posted, it would have definitely changed my mind.

    Adding:

    Oregon -34  2*
    Duke -11 2*
  • #4743 by BoynamedWooPigSooie on 27 Sep 2013
  • I like OU to win handedly.  I took em to cover and put them in a parlay play.

    I hate both teams and wish they both could lose.  Both of them are terribly over-rated and incomplete and led by dbag coaches and have dbag fans.  This is the kind of game where you just want to drop a missile on the stadium and know a good deed was done.

    however, I think Oklahoma gets it done on the road.
  • #4744 by McKdaddy on 27 Sep 2013
  • Since CBB's tweet, the UA/A&M game has disappeared from both of my books.
  • #4745 by MuskogeeHogFan on 27 Sep 2013
  • I like OU to win handedly.  I took em to cover and put them in a parlay play.

    I hate both teams and wish they both could lose.  Both of them are terribly over-rated and incomplete and led by dbag coaches and have dbag fans.  This is the kind of game where you just want to drop a missile on the stadium and know a good deed was done.

    however, I think Oklahoma gets it done on the road.

    I think Oklahoma wins by 7 to 8 points.
  • #4746 by BJOhog on 27 Sep 2013
  • I think Oklahoma wins by 7 to 8 points.

    i looked at her all day today and i still like notre dame and wisky

    thnks for all the info on the toledo game fellas

    adding one today for 2 units
    9/28/13 12:00am  WTA Tennis  301 Petra Kvitova +110* vs Angelique Kerber

    this japanise tournament has been good to me see if i can pick one last one

    i jus put my money were my mouth is
    i took a small 50 half a unit bet on georgia giving 3 and a half. i cant believe im giving points to what should be a pickem. i got it reduced at -105. what the heck.
    i cant even tell you why i talked myself into beliveing in georgia. i think that maybe south carolina and clemson are really that good while a pretty crappy tcu team gave lsu a little mustard in that fight. so here it is. half unit on georgia
  • #4747 by MuskogeeHogFan on 27 Sep 2013
  • Since CBB's tweet, the UA/A&M game has disappeared from both of my books.

    Vegasinsiders is unchanged in point spread at multiple sportsbooks but does now list Brandon Allen and Derby as both being "probable".
  • #4748 by BoynamedWooPigSooie on 27 Sep 2013
  • adding one today for 2 units
    9/28/13 12:00am  WTA Tennis  301 Petra Kvitova +110* vs Angelique Kerber

    this japanise tournament has been good to me see if i can pick one last one


    Now that's some damn degenerate gambler action right there!!!  I bow to you good sir.
  • #4749 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 27 Sep 2013
  • I decided to play tonight...

    BYU -23           W
    SJSU +10.5.     L

    Both for 1 unit

    1 unit parlay: W
    mtsu/BYU u58.5
    SJSU/Utah st u62.5


  • #4750 by Hawgndaaz on 27 Sep 2013
  • wow, the a&m line got down to 13 after Allen announced to play, now its at -18
Pages:
Actions