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OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)

Started by WILL CLINTON, August 28, 2011, 09:41:36 pm

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Hawgndaaz

Hoop hogs looking solid! Dont tell anyone but i took them -7.

WILL CLINTON

Went 2-4 on the UCF v SMU game, then went 4-0 on the Rice v Marshall game. split the Ok St game 1-1 for a 7-5 start to the day. Combined with my 0-3 on Cincy game and then 5-0 on Bowling green, I'm 12-8 for the week.

Edit: As I was typing this, OU got a pick-6 to blow the under to take me down to 11-9 on the week, and 6-6 today.

Baylor -17  1* 

Since OU won, if Baylor wins they go to a BCS bowl. I expect them to come out gunning.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

 

WILL CLINTON

There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

WILL CLINTON

Added:

2h Texas +7.5  1*
2h Texas v Baylor u32.5  1*
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

WILL CLINTON

There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

WILL CLINTON

Fresno St -2.5  1*
2h Duke +14.5  1*
2h Mich St +5.5  1*
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

WILL CLINTON

Stanford -13.5  1*
Stanford v Ariz St u62.5  1*
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

hollywood hog

Quote from: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on December 07, 2013, 12:57:52 pm
I hear ya, but gotta call them like I see them my man.

This is not the game for your luck to start leveling out.  GO SPARTANS!!!  They'll probably get a safety and lose by 5 here. 

hollywood hog


hollywood hog

I'm actually impressed by the Big 10 not protecting Ohio State here.  A lot of calls went to the booth that they coulda screwed MSU on, but they didn't.  Hats off to the Big 10 for that. 

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: hollywood hog on December 07, 2013, 10:47:40 pm
Yes!!!  nice dime play jeff

Thanks man. My dime and dime plus plays have been strong most all year.  Has really helped out since my percentages haven't been quite as high as I would like with my smaller plays.
Let's make some waves.

HogFanatic

There was never any doubt in my mind that Michigan State was gonne take that game.
I actually expected them to win by more than 10.

Good day of football. Missed my Mizzou over Auburn pick.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Saints
Steelers
NY Jets
Philly
Chiefs

All the above at -3 all for 3 units

Remove Jets and took the other four in a parlay for one unit.
Let's make some waves.

 

Hawgndaaz


ur

You NFL guys should check the weather and bet the unders in the snow bowls today. Dumping in Philly.

McKdaddy

Quote from: ur on December 08, 2013, 12:08:28 pm
You NFL guys should check the weather and bet the unders in the snow bowls today. Dumping in Philly.

Looks freakin' awesome. I can't get enough of seeing football in that kind of weather.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: ur on December 08, 2013, 12:08:28 pm
You NFL guys should check the weather and bet the unders in the snow bowls today. Dumping in Philly.

You see they combined for like 54 in that one and 55 in skins game. 
Let's make some waves.

ur

Quote from: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on December 08, 2013, 03:31:05 pm
You see they combined for like 54 in that one and 55 in skins game. 
Looking at the closing lines, looks like vegas checked the weather before figuring those totals. The only under, at Tampa. Go figure. Glad I don't do the NFL. 

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Let's make some waves.

WILL CLINTON

Auburn -1.5  2* W +$41
Mich St +6  2* W +$41
Duke +29  2* L -$45
Cincy +3  1*  L -$22
Cincy ML  1* L -$22
Cincy v Louisville under 50  1* L -$22
Bowling Green -4.5  1*  W +$20
Bowling Green -3  2* W +$41
Over 70.5  1* W +$20
over 69.5  2* W +$41
2h Bowling Green +4.5  1* W +$20
UCF -14  1* L -$22
SMU +4.5  1* W +$20
SMU +3.5  1* L -$22
SMU ML 1* L -$22
UCF v SMU u44.5  1* W +$20
Rice +7  1* W +$20
Rice -4.5  1* W +$20
rice v Marshall u 65.5  1* W +$20
Rice v Marshall u 70.5  1* W +$20
Oklahoma St -10  1* L -$22
Ok St v OU u 53.5  1* L -$22
Auburn +1.5  2* W +41
SMU ML +300.  1* L -$22
Baylor -17  1* W +$20
Baylor -15.5  1* W +$20
Auburn +2  1* W +$20
2h Texas +7.5  1* L -$22
2h Texas v Baylor u32.5  1* L -$22
Stanford +3  1* W +$20
Rutgers -4  1* W  +$20
Fresno St -2.5  1* W +$20
2h Duke +14.5  1* L -$22
2h Mich St +5.5  1* W +$20
Stanford -13.5  1* W +$20
Stanford v Ariz St u62.5  1* W +$20
*2h Aub v Mizzou u34  1* L-$22
*2h Auburn -2  1* W +$20
*Texas v Baylor u42.5  1* W+$20
*Mizzou v Auburn o87.5  1* W +$20
*Texas v Baylor u48.5  1* W +$20
*Texas v Baylor u50.5  1* W +$20   
*Texas ML +$555  1* L -$22

*-I don’t know how, but I only entered these last 7 bets on Facebook instead of on here. I have that proof I can show anyone who is interested, or I can show my bet ticket if anyone still doesn’t believe me.

Weely Record:
28-15  65%  +$312

Overall Record:
173-156-9 (53%)  $720  -76% ROI

Well, it was one helluva weekend for me. 2 out of the 3 bets I placed last Sunday hit, and I hit multiple bets on almost every game. The only ones I blanked were Ok St and Cincy. Getting geared up and ready for Bowl Season. I saw the matchups earlier and I can’t wait to see all the lines.

I’m already on
FSU -8  2*
FSU v Auburn o65  2*
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on December 08, 2013, 08:05:21 pm
Auburn -1.5  2* W +$41
Mich St +6  2* W +$41
Duke +29  2* L -$45
Cincy +3  1*  L -$22
Cincy ML  1* L -$22
Cincy v Louisville under 50  1* L -$22
Bowling Green -4.5  1*  W +$20
Bowling Green -3  2* W +$41
Over 70.5  1* W +$20
over 69.5  2* W +$41
2h Bowling Green +4.5  1* W +$20
UCF -14  1* L -$22
SMU +4.5  1* W +$20
SMU +3.5  1* L -$22
SMU ML 1* L -$22
UCF v SMU u44.5  1* W +$20
Rice +7  1* W +$20
Rice -4.5  1* W +$20
rice v Marshall u 65.5  1* W +$20
Rice v Marshall u 70.5  1* W +$20
Oklahoma St -10  1* L -$22
Ok St v OU u 53.5  1* L -$22
Auburn +1.5  2* W +41
SMU ML +300.  1* L -$22
Baylor -17  1* W +$20
Baylor -15.5  1* W +$20
Auburn +2  1* W +$20
2h Texas +7.5  1* L -$22
2h Texas v Baylor u32.5  1* L -$22
Stanford +3  1* W +$20
Rutgers -4  1* W  +$20
Fresno St -2.5  1* W +$20
2h Duke +14.5  1* L -$22
2h Mich St +5.5  1* W +$20
Stanford -13.5  1* W +$20
Stanford v Ariz St u62.5  1* W +$20
*2h Aub v Mizzou u34  1* L-$22
*2h Auburn -2  1* W +$20
*Texas v Baylor u42.5  1* W+$20
*Mizzou v Auburn o87.5  1* W +$20
*Texas v Baylor u48.5  1* W +$20
*Texas v Baylor u50.5  1* W +$20   
*Texas ML +$555  1* L -$22

*-I don't know how, but I only entered these last 7 bets on Facebook instead of on here. I have that proof I can show anyone who is interested, or I can show my bet ticket if anyone still doesn't believe me.

Weely Record:
28-15  65%  +$312

Overall Record:
173-156-9 (53%)  $720  -76% ROI

Well, it was one helluva weekend for me. 2 out of the 3 bets I placed last Sunday hit, and I hit multiple bets on almost every game. The only ones I blanked were Ok St and Cincy. Getting geared up and ready for Bowl Season. I saw the matchups earlier and I can't wait to see all the lines.

I'm already on
FSU -8  2*
FSU v Auburn o65  2*


Lol WTH Will
Let's make some waves.

McKdaddy

At least Will seems to be enjoying his sickness.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Let's make some waves.

widespreadsooie

Bowl games that pop out at me, a lot of favorites:

ECU -13.5
A&M -13
Bama -16.5
OSU -3
Ball St. -8
AUB +7.5

 

widespreadsooie


The Hogfather

I cannot for the life of me figure out why Auburn would be a 7+ point underdog to FSU.  I feel like the books are begging for Auburn money at that price.  It feels like a trap to take Auburn.  Seems waaaaay too easy.  I might have to take FSU, especially if I can get them under a TD.

The Hogfather

I feel like the Over is a play as well.  Only thing that scares me about that is a repeat of what happened to Oregon when they played Scam and the Tigers.  Both teams came out cold and basically cost the Over bettors.  I feel like Winston could get rattled on the big stage and not be able to recover.  He got rattled against Duke early and was horrible for awhile.  They were able to overcome that against a team like Duke.  Against Auburn, if he struggles like that in the 1st quarter, they may be spotting Auburn 21 points and be trying to play catch-up for the remainder of the game.  That plays into Auburn's hands perfectly.  Also, FSU hasn't had to face adversity yet.  If Auburn gets a big lead early, FSU might just fold up like a cheap suit.

I haven't made my final decisions yet.  Just my initial thoughts.

Hawgndaaz

I'm looking forward to hearing Jeff's strategy on bowl game betting

widespreadsooie

Without comparing the defenses FSU has faced vs the offenses AUB has faced it's easy to think FSU will cover because that what the numbers point to. Understanding the levels of competition each of these teams have faced is key. AUB has the 7th best redzone D in the nation by the way.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: Hawgndaaz on December 09, 2013, 02:51:03 pm
I'm looking forward to hearing Jeff's strategy on bowl game betting

Check out my profit from last years bowl season.  It's posted in this thread somewhere.

Will provide what some of the things I look for are soon.
Let's make some waves.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: Hawgndaaz on December 09, 2013, 02:51:03 pm
I'm looking forward to hearing Jeff's strategy on bowl game betting

FYI went 4-5 on Sunday.  If you are following we have both been making money every week it seems for quite some time now.  Had a few very rough weeks early on though.
Let's make some waves.

Hawgndaaz

Quote from: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on December 09, 2013, 03:57:53 pm
FYI went 4-5 on Sunday.  If you are following we have both been making money every week it seems for quite some time now.  Had a few very rough weeks early on though.

I am making a little. If I were able to change my unit sizes and follow yours consistently I'd be making a lot more. unfortunately I don't scale mine as well as you so I end up getting smaller returns in the end proportional to my units.

probably going to up the ante during bowl season though since there's fewer games.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: Hawgndaaz on December 09, 2013, 04:08:09 pm
I am making a little. If I were able to change my unit sizes and follow yours consistently I'd be making a lot more. unfortunately I don't scale mine as well as you so I end up getting smaller returns in the end proportional to my units.

probably going to up the ante during bowl season though since there's fewer games.

The one thing I always say about bowl games. No matter how much you like a line you don't want to jump on it early!
Let's make some waves.

Spikes

Jeff

Amazing weekend brother!!

You have any insight for the game tonight or you passing?

Spikes
You only have one life, so you better enjoy it!

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: Spikes on December 09, 2013, 06:17:00 pm
Jeff

Amazing weekend brother!!

You have any insight for the game tonight or you passing?

Spikes

Thanks man.  Tonight ugh!  I am making a 3 unit play on over 49.  I know it's gonna be bitter cold, but still like the over.  Not playing the point spread either way though.  Got no clue. Two very inconsistent teams. 
Let's make some waves.

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

Spikes

Quote from: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on December 09, 2013, 06:55:41 pm
Thanks man.  Tonight ugh!  I am making a 3 unit play on over 49.  I know it's gonna be bitter cold, but still like the over.  Not playing the point spread either way though.  Got no clue. Two very inconsistent teams. 

Sounds good
You only have one life, so you better enjoy it!

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: Spikes on December 09, 2013, 07:08:37 pm
Sounds good


Just keep in mind. This time of year for me a 3 unit pick is like a 1 unit pick for me earlier in the season. I like it, but not jumping all over it.
Let's make some waves.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: McKdaddy on December 09, 2013, 07:08:35 pm
Chi  pk  1u....and Jeff's pick but at 48.

Good luck Bud. Hope you hit them both!
Let's make some waves.

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

Hawgndaaz


Spikes

Quote from: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on December 09, 2013, 07:16:20 pm
Just keep in mind. This time of year for me a 3 unit pick is like a 1 unit pick for me earlier in the season. I like it, but not jumping all over it.

10-4
You only have one life, so you better enjoy it!

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Way to go guys! Nice end to an already great week !!!
Let's make some waves.

Spikes

You only have one life, so you better enjoy it!

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Don't mean to be a dick, but I really am pretty good!
Let's make some waves.



DadVader1

I gave bookmaker a hard time last week when they insisted on charging me for a withdrawal, so I figure that I at least owe them a somewhat positive report for getting the check to me sooner than I expected.  Even though I requested the payout past their cut-off time last Tuesday, the check arrived within a week. 

ur

The Las Vegas Hotel says it had 14 bettors who placed a bet on Auburn to win it all at 1,000-1 odds. A spokesman for Sportsbook.com said it had two bettors who threw down $100 at 1,000-1 odds.

http://espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/id/10120901/auburn-tigers-fan-made-100-bet-win-national-title-500-1-odds#comments

Ok, I know this topic has been discussed thoroughly but this seems like a catch 22 situation for these two guys on sportsbook.com.  If they are from the U.S., and if they win, do they pay the taxes and risk arrest for online gambling or, do they not report it and risk arrest for tax fraud? This is not like winning a couple of hundred bucks gambling online. This is getting into big money.

WILL CLINTON

Quote from: ur on December 12, 2013, 09:09:44 am
The Las Vegas Hotel says it had 14 bettors who placed a bet on Auburn to win it all at 1,000-1 odds. A spokesman for Sportsbook.com said it had two bettors who threw down $100 at 1,000-1 odds.

http://espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/id/10120901/auburn-tigers-fan-made-100-bet-win-national-title-500-1-odds#comments

Ok, I know this topic has been discussed thoroughly but this seems like a catch 22 situation for these two guys on sportsbook.com.  If they are from the U.S., and if they win, do they pay the taxes and risk arrest for online gambling or, do they not report it and risk arrest for tax fraud? This is not like winning a couple of hundred bucks gambling online. This is getting into big money.

Leave it in sportsbook and take withdrawals under the 10k limit until it runs out.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.