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OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)

Started by WILL CLINTON, August 28, 2011, 09:41:36 pm

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McKdaddy

2-3 today (sigh)

I'm glad I stayed off the Iowa game, but on the other hand I had been talking down TT to a buddy of mine this week, but didn't pull the trigger.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

 

Hoggy1

Quote from: yraciv on October 29, 2011, 11:17:00 am
I hate betting the Hog games and did lose on it last week, but really think this is a good line for us.

3 Dime
Wisconsin -7.5

2 Dime
Ark -9.5 L
OU -13.5

1 Dime
USC +7.5
NWest -9 W
Tulsa Over
ASU -31


Man that USC game was a real screw ball. I feel for the USC bettors.
You must be smokin somethin if you think I ain't smokin nothin

The Hogfather

Quote from: HoggyPetrino501 on October 30, 2011, 11:56:13 am
Man that USC game was a real screw ball. I feel for the USC bettors.

That was so ridiculous. 

weatherhawg

Illinois at Penn State under 39 W
Ole Miss at Auburn over 51 W
Kansas +28 over Texas L
Notre Dame -23 over Navy W
Florida +3 over Georgia L
USC +7 over Stanford L (sigh)
West Virginia at Rutgers under 49.5 L

Also did a crazy 9 game parlay (risk $10 to win $3434.91) L
Central Michigan/Akron over 51
Iowa -15.5 over Minnesota
Kansas/Texas over 64.5
Bowling Green -3.5 over Kent State
Air Force/New Mexico over 63
East Carolina -16.5 over Tulane
Missouri/Texas A&M over 63.5
Florida +2.5 over Georgia
Hawaii -7 over Idaho

3-5 on the week....  12-13 on the season...   :-\

Blutoblutarsky


Hooch

Quote from: Blutoblutarsky on October 30, 2011, 06:43:06 pm
Dallas +3

Man I really like that one too,  I have had a rough weekend, just hit Detroit -4, for a big un thinkin of letting it ride on the cowboys. 

Philly is 0-2 at home, Dallas has played well on the road against Jets, Patriots, and San Fran, 3 really good teams. 

Philly has beaten a bad STL and not much better Washington. 

Only thing that scares me is Philly is comin off bye. 

michaelfroms

 The majority of you posters aren't investing, you're gambling, and very poorly by the looks of it.. I'm going to do you guy's a favor and give some free advice.. Bet fewer games for more money.. I also recommend betting the same amount of money on all wagers.. This should limit your plays while at the same giving relevance to your win percentage.. MFS

WILL CLINTON

October 30, 2011, 11:08:08 pm #508 Last Edit: October 30, 2011, 11:11:07 pm by WILL CLINTON
4-1-1 on the day yesterday, not to bad. Almost 4-2. Man did Clemson get rocked. Funny how most teams play above their heads when a top 10 team comes to town.

2011-2012 record

30-17-1 (63%)   Profit: $1636 (164% ROI) Bankroll: $2636

There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

WILL CLINTON

There are actually a few good games to make some $$$ on now that the lines have made their mid-week shift. Shouldn't be too much variance between now and kickoff unless a suspension or injury happens.

OU -13.5....2*
Bobby Stoops isn't going to let up on the gas pedal on anyone the rest of the year. Unfortunately for our SOS, OU will prove why Texas A&M was overrated when we played them.

Vandy +14....1*
Normally, I wouldn't touch Vandy in the Swamp with less than 21 pts on the line. This aint your daddy's Vandy....or Florida for that matter. I really like Franklin, and the energy he has brought to this team, and I think they take another step towards bowl eligibility.

UTEP +1....1*
Rice is horrible. UTEP is the step above horrible. This started out at UTEP -1.5 and I liked that line, so this is a no brainer.

Mizzou +2.5....1*
No rhyme or reason, I just like Mizzou here. Probably going to get it handed to me, but going with my gut.

Houston -28....2*
Normally, I try to stay away from games with a spread in this range, because you never know how the other team is going to react to being such a huge underdog. They could lay down and cower, or come out with a vengeance and keep it under 20. The reason I am taking this one, is that Houston knows that they have to go undefeated and blow people out by HUGE margins from here on out to even have a chance to SNIFF the BCS. I don't see them slowing down for a bumb in the road like UAB.

and my "out-there" pick this week is...
LSU vs Alabama over 41.5....2*
These defenses are good, good enough to score 14-21 points themselves, each. Throw in a touchdown for each team, or a couple of field goals and you are above 42. I see this game being a 3-7 point game just like Vegas.

Good luck to all, hope your bankroll gets so big this weekend, you have to get another one to hold it all....
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Hockey tonight play the Pens on the road. Trust me on this.
Let's make some waves.

McKdaddy

Quote from: hogfanintx on November 03, 2011, 08:26:35 pm
Hockey tonight play the Pens on the road. Trust me on this.

Have never bet hockey before, so why not now? I'm in.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

 

Hooch

Quote from: McKdaddy on November 03, 2011, 09:31:24 pm
Have never bet hockey before, so why not now? I'm in.

Lol, me too, but as I was doing it, I thought maybe I should slow down. 

Hooch

What you guys like on Sunday?

I am thinking:

Atlanta -7 1/2 vs. Indy

Tampa +9 1/2 vs. New Orleans

Kansas CIty -4 1/2 over Miami

Buffalo -2 over Jets


Thoughts?

McKdaddy

Quote from: Hooch on November 03, 2011, 10:10:48 pm
Lol, me too, but as I was doing it, I thought maybe I should slow down. 

Lol, +1.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

Blutoblutarsky

Hogs money line. 5*
Vandy over 14 for the game *2
LSU +5  *2
Iowa St -14 1/2

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Let's make some waves.

yraciv

November 05, 2011, 11:15:46 am #518 Last Edit: November 06, 2011, 02:40:26 pm by yraciv
3 Units
Bama -4.5

2 Units
Ou -13.5
UCLA +9

1 Unit
Houston -28
Iowa +4.5
Wash +17.5
TN -22

6-1 with the miss on my top play...I'll take it

Jon Ham


Hoggy1

WVU -14
Mich State -28
Rutgers +3
Bama- moneyline
Cowboys -12
Atlanta -7
Bengals +3
Saints -8 1/2
49ers -3
You must be smokin somethin if you think I ain't smokin nothin

TN HOG

Play like a Champion!

hawgwild child

Arkansas -5 1/2 W +5units
Arizona Cards -1 W +1unit
Chicago Bears +8 W +1unit
Northern Illinois -6 W +2 units
Arizona Wildcats -9 1/2 L -1unit
Florida Panthers W +1unit
Ohio Bobcats -6 W +1unit
Oakland +7 1/2 W +1unit

Blutoblutarsky


 

WILL CLINTON

Made a couple of dumb mistakes this past week and it cost me. I don't know what I was doing when I didn't post buying the hook on the Mizzou game, and LSU v Bama total was WAY OFF!!! Still made out a winner because of my 2* picks, but not as big of one as I should have been.

2011-2012
Picks:33-20-1 (61%)  Profit:$1716 (172% ROI)  Bankroll: $2716

Now on to this week. Nothing really too strong left for me this week, because I missed the Houston game yesterday.


UNLV -7....1*
Southern Miss -9....1* (hope I'm not late to the party)
Ole Miss +2....2* (Nutt's last stand)
UAB -5....1* (Memphis is horrible)
Illinois -1....2*
Vandy -13....2*
Kansas St +5.5....1* (BUY THE HOOK)
tcu +16....1*
West Virginia +3.5....2* (again, BUY THE HOOK)
UGA -12....1*

Another big week with 70% of my bankroll out there....lets hope it goes good for everyone.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

WILL CLINTON

Just did a little figuring and my 2* picks are where it's at this year...so far I'm

5-4 on my 3* picks
13-2 on my 2* picks
15-14-1 on my 1* picks

I may not even have a 5 star pick for the rest of the season. I can't believe I missed the GA v Tenn game and Ole Miss v Fresno St as my 5* locks.

This thread is getting dead, has everyone lost their money???  lol
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

Dickdoc

I parlayed Arkansas, Biose st. And Bama. Bet Hogs straight up and feel they may be best bet of weekend . Really like Texas but can't figure out why the spread is only 2 1/2. Trap game? Laid off the Stanford/Oregon game but like Oregon. Got my bankroll restored on the Hogs last weekend and expect more of the same this weekend.

IBGPN

whole day...
***3 Team Teaser:
1. Auburn +23.5
2. Mississippi St +27.0
3. Stanford +6.5
***
***2 Team Parlay:
1. Auburn +13.0
2. Arkansas -13.5
***
***3 Team Parlay:
1. Auburn +13.0
2. Stanford -3.5
3. Arkansas -13.5
***
Nebraska -3.5

WILL CLINTON

Quote from: IBGPN on November 12, 2011, 08:47:08 am
whole day...
***3 Team Teaser:
1. Auburn +23.5
2. Mississippi St +27.0
3. Stanford +6.5
***
***2 Team Parlay:
1. Auburn +13.0
2. Arkansas -13.5
***
***3 Team Parlay:
1. Auburn +13.0
2. Stanford -3.5
3. Arkansas -13.5
***
Nebraska -3.5

I noticed auburn is in 3 bets, is there something u see, or just your gut feeling? I'm all over Georgia in this one.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Auburn +12.5. 3 units
Oregon +3 for 3 units
Tcu+15.5. 3 units
Virginia -10 5 units
Let's make some waves.

yraciv

2 Units
Oregon +3
Texas -2
Ole Miss ML

1 Unit
Hogs -16.5
Bama -18
Illinois PK
Iowa +3

WILL CLINTON

Well, went 6-4 so I made a little scratch, and learned some things this week.
I was late to the Southern Miss party;
I'll probably take LSU and MSU minus the points against Ole Miss, no matter what they are, that team is somewhere else;
Really UNLV? I mean AYSM? New Mexico was WINLESS, lame;
Illinois keeps on letting me down;

2011-2012
Picks:39-24-1 (61%) Profit:$1908 (191% ROI) Bankroll: $2908

1* - 18-17-1
2* - 15-4
3* - 5-4

On to this week. Here is what I am looking at, will finalize at the end of the week.

Boise St -18....1*
Boise St is pissed, but they didn't even fall out of the top 10, so they still have a chance to get in if Houston gets beat (see below on what I think of that). I think they curbstomp SD St. by at least 3 TD's.

Miami -1.5....?
I love Miami here vs. USF, but I've been off on my read of Miami almost every week, so I may just lay off this, there are ones I feel much better about.

Houston -19.5....2*
SMU is hopeless here. I know every one will say "But SMU played some good games earlier". Case Keenum threw for 9 TD's in a game. They know they are in the drivers seat on the ride to the BCS for all Non AQ schools, and they wont slow down the pace. They know they have to look like they are truly a dominating football team so they can go to the Fiesta Bowl and get mudholed. I'd bite on this one all the way up to 21, as I would think that would be a push at the worst.

KSU +9.5....1*
I just think that KSU is gonna be able to go into Austin and handle a weak Texas team. I really like their he's-really-old-but-he's-the-only-one-who-can-win-here-so-we've-hired-him-again coach. For whatever reason he can work magic up there in the middle of nowhere.

LSU -29....?
The Ole Miss team has officially let go of the rope. They're done and just waiting to see who their next coach is going to be. They don't give a crap about Nutt and his "win these last 2 for me" speeches. I just don't know if Ole Les will run it up on'em.

Vandy -1.5....2*
I'm gonna keep on riding the Vandy train as long as they keep handing out money to get on. Tennessee is a bad team without Bray, and Vandy is an energized team with a chance to gain bowl eligibility on their rival's turf. They won't waste this chance.

Va Tech -10.5....1*
Sr night in Blacksburg, a reeling UNC team supposedly on the way to hiring the once popular OC at Auburn to try and right their ship. I see Va Tech running all over them in a 17-24 pt win.

The ones I weighted already may go up by Thursday, but they won't go down. Looking forward to a big week.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

So far today I have played

Wisconsin -14 for 3 units

Nebraska +3.5 for 2 units
Let's make some waves.

WILL CLINTON

Taking out the LSU and Miami games. Adding Nebraska -4....2*

Good luck
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

hawgwild child

Took NEB on the moneyline for 1 unit, imma wait after that one to find some other games, i dont like any of the early games

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on November 19, 2011, 10:58:57 am
Taking out the LSU and Miami games. Adding Nebraska -4....2*

Good luck



Will I am hoping you got Nebraska +4 and not minus.  Assuming thats a typo.
Let's make some waves.

WILL CLINTON

Quote from: hogfanintx on November 19, 2011, 11:35:51 am

Will I am hoping you got Nebraska +4 and not minus.  Assuming thats a typo.

Yeah, haha, typo but it didn't even matter. Can't believe that game went down like it did.

Also can't believe that the 2 games I kicked out, both came through. And Illinois won the week I quit betting them. Amazing.

Came out 3-3 on the week, but down $217. Next 2 weeks and bowl season are all I have left to make this a very profitable year.

2011-2012
Picks:42-27-1 (60%) Profit:$1691 (169% ROI) Bankroll: $2691

1* - 20-11-1
2* - 16-6
3* - 5-4

There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

WILL CLINTON

First of the year, 5* stone cold lock. Houston -3 over Tulsa


or as I heard on the gambling show on 103.7 on saturday mornings, its my "billion star lock of the year"
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Let's make some waves.

WILL CLINTON

Adding:

Bowling Green +2.5....1*

West Virginia -6.5....1*

Georgia -6....2*

Vandy -1.5....1*

Stanford -7....2*


along with my 5* Houston lock, that is 85% of my bankroll out there, and I may find a couple more to put it all out there to try and double up before bowl season.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

WILL CLINTON

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on November 24, 2011, 10:41:10 pm
Adding:

Bowling Green +2.5....1*

West Virginia -6.5....1*

Georgia -6....2*

Vandy -1.5....1*

Stanford -7....2*


along with my 5* Houston lock, that is 85% of my bankroll out there, and I may find a couple more to put it all out there to try and double up before bowl season.

4-1 with Stanford left to play, Houston was free money, hope you got some of it.

2011-2012
Picks:46-28-1 (61%) Profit:$3427 (343% ROI) Bankroll: $4427

1* - 22-12-1
2* - 17-6
3* - 5-4
5* - 1-0
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

Hooch

I don't have the reputation as Will Clinton but,

Carolina -3 1/2 today vs. Indy. 

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Let's make some waves.

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

WILL CLINTON

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on November 26, 2011, 04:32:39 pm
4-1 with Stanford left to play, Houston was free money, hope you got some of it.

2011-2012
Picks:46-28-1 (61%) Profit:$3427 (343% ROI) Bankroll: $4427

1* - 22-12-1
2* - 17-6
3* - 5-4
5* - 1-0

Wanted to post the final update for the regular season. I will do more for the bowls after they are confirmed.

Final Season Numbers:

47-28-1 (62%) Profit: $3696 (397% ROI) Bankroll: $4696

1* - 22-12-1
2* - 18-6
3* - 5-4
5* - 1-0
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Nice season will.  I had a nice one also but haven't played much the past few weeks.  I had one terrible week and followed it up with another losing week.  That was the indicator for me to leave it alone.  Luckily been at it long enough to know when it's simply not going my way.  I will gear back up for bowl games and NFL playoffs.
Let's make some waves.

Hooch

Hey guys wanted to see what everyone liked today. 

I am on Georgia and Ok St giving the points. 

Kind of like Houston -7 as well but haven't pulled the trigger on that one yet. 

McKdaddy

I've got

-- UH -7, w/ psu's starting QB out

-- okie st -4.5

-- a teaser w/ MSU +9 & SC +3

-- a teaser on the "over" b/t okie st/Stan & Ore/Wisc...bringing them down to 68 & 65.5 respectively.

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

WILL CLINTON

Quote from: hogfanintx on December 09, 2011, 09:43:38 am
Nice season will.  I had a nice one also but haven't played much the past few weeks.  I had one terrible week and followed it up with another losing week.  That was the indicator for me to leave it alone.  Luckily been at it long enough to know when it's simply not going my way.  I will gear back up for bowl games and NFL playoffs.

Thanks, let's just hope I can string together a couple like that. I never got excited about any of the lines I saw for any of the bowls, so I just didn't bet any of them. And its a good thing as I've lost the only 2 I was pretty confident about.

I will say that I like Bama in the NC game. First, it's going to be hard as hell to beat Saban 3 times in a row, much less 2 times in the same year.  LSU's offense may not get a first down till sometime in the late 2nd qtr. I'm sure that every waking minute of practice for the kickers have been spent trying to remedy the mistakes of the last game, but I don't think FG are going to decide this game. LSU is going to have a tough defense also, but the veterans for Bama do more than the youngsters of LSU.

See ya next year, same bat time, same bat channel.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

ur

Last two bowl games. I am liking the over with Godaddy (65) and the under with Nat champ (40). What do you guys think?