Chances against FL?

[HogPsych]

I haven't kept up, what's our chances basketball experts?

[Adam Stokes]

I haven't kept up, what's our chances basketball experts?

Probably close to a coin flip. Jeff Sagarin's predictor has us at 40%. Should be the only home game the rest of the year that we aren't the favorite.

[Dudeman]

Hmm 40%? Get outta here!

[RaisinHog]

It's at home if there is a good crowd I think.we have a real good shot .. they are a good ball club but not like crazy unbeatable good

[HawgnCorona]

At home our chances are much higher...

[Mr. Porkleone]

Hogs by 7

[cardsNhogs]

Hogs win unless they just have a really bad shooting night.

[Rawker]

It's at home if there is a good crowd I think.we have a real good shot .. they are a good ball club but not like crazy unbeatable good

The crowd will be bigger, but have about 25% of the energy it used to have, making it almost no factor.  Just the fact that they're on a court they're used to is the only home-court difference these days.  Hogs play tough, but lack of energy in the environment and a few key bobbles render this a 3 point loss.  If they can win...it...will ...be #$@#%&g sweeeeet!

[Danny J]

50/50...too many variables. Best team we have faced by far.

[FineAsSwine]

Moses has to win the battle with Egbunu. if not then the Hogs better be on fire from three or else its going to be a long night.

[Pigasaurus]

I think we win at home.  If we were in Gainesville we would give up a world record number of layups and 3's.  And get packed and poked by a last minute ref call.

[JIHawg]

I think we suffer shell shock, get screwed by the refs, and lose by 10 to 20.

The first SEC game is always one of the hardest.  The JC boys are in for a shock.  The refs always take Florida's side over us.  Kejon or whatever his name is will come loaded for bear.  We will be tight and shoot about 25%.  We won't be able to hit anything.  Moses will get in foul trouble.

What else can go wrong?

[311Hog]

I think we win at home. start off strong in conference.

[Rawker]

I think we suffer shell shock, get screwed by the refs, and lose by 10 to 20.

The first SEC game is always one of the hardest.  The JC boys are in for a shock.  The refs always take Florida's side over us.  Kejon or whatever his name is will come loaded for bear.  We will be tight and shoot about 25%.  We won't be able to hit anything.  Moses will get in foul trouble.

What else can go wrong?

Barford can throw a few away into the stands, although he'll likely make a few killer freelance plays.  Hopefully, we're completely wrong and the exact opposite of all this happens (except for Barford making killer plays).  I'll say this, the players have had this sucker circled on their calendar for months, so it's a matter of how they respond to a game they've been so anxious to get underway....does it make them rise to the occasion or wilt under the pressure?

[311Hog]

Barford can throw a few away into the stands, although he'll likely make a few killer freelance plays.  Hopefully, we're completely wrong and the exact opposite of all this happens (except for Barford making killer plays).  I'll say this, the players have had this sucker circled on their calendar for months, so it's a matter of how they respond to a game they've been so anxious to get underway....does it make them rise to the occasion or wilt under the pressure?

of the JC guys I have been most impressed with Macon.  Barford seems like he wont get it until next season almost Sonny Weems ish.

[b-ash]

I think we suffer shell shock, get screwed by the refs, and lose by 10 to 20.

The first SEC game is always one of the hardest.  The JC boys are in for a shock.  The refs always take Florida's side over us.  Kejon or whatever his name is will come loaded for bear.  We will be tight and shoot about 25%.  We won't be able to hit anything.  Moses will get in foul trouble.

What else can go wrong?

Unfortunately, I believe you will be correct.  Seems like everytime I get my hopes up for
A good win, we get our butts handed to us.  I'll say Florida by 18 and it's never close.  Very similar to Minnesota game.

[gmarv]

the old bud walton magic is still alive hogs by 20.

[jdunhog]

If the bud is rocking this will be the hogs!!

[cableguy]

I say we win by 8 points. JC guys are importent but they don't have to play good for us to win.  We got CJ Jones, Beard and Hannah that can come in and play well. We have a bench that we depend on to win!

[PORKULATOR]

We're probably more talented than them. Except for Egbunu (? Is that right?)lol

[Youngsta71701]

Moses has to win the battle with Egbunu. if not then the Hogs better be on fire from three or else its going to be a long night.

If Kingsley plays good solid defense, block shots, rebound, and get your occasional steal we'll win. Him scoring 10 will be a plus. We have plenty of scorers on this team. Although if we play inside out through him we'll be even better. He doesn't have to score just draw the double team and kick it out to the shooters for open three's.

[TNhawgfan]

Hogs better win cause if they don't, I see an 0-3 start in conference play

[26.2Hog]

I think we this game at the free throw line.

[lefty08]

Many people seem to think if we can treat Florida then we can't beat Tennessee, not sure that's relevant

Also, starting 0-3 in the conference isn't ideal, but there will be 15 more conference games to go, and the back half appears to be much easier as it stands right now

[PORKULATOR]

We win Thursday. Its time we play Fla hard and handle them comfortable for once.
We get a lead with 8 to go and we won't look back.

[elksnort]

If Kingsley plays good solid defense, block shots, rebound, and get your occasional steal we'll win. Him scoring 10 will be a plus. We have plenty of scorers on this team. Although if we play inside out through him we'll be even better. He doesn't have to score just draw the double team and kick it out to the shooters for open three's.

This.

[lefty08]

That's all good, but Florida is better at center than we are, I doubt Kingsley sees many double teams

[RzRbAcK18]

The crowd will be bigger, but have about 25% of the energy it used to have, making it almost no factor.  Just the fact that they're on a court they're used to is the only home-court difference these days.  Hogs play tough, but lack of energy in the environment and a few key bobbles render this a 3 point loss.  If they can win...it...will ...be #$@#%&g sweeeeet!

Please someone change the broken record. Every. Single. Thread.

[Letsroll1200]

That's all good, but Florida is better at center than we are, I doubt Kingsley sees many double teams

Florida back up center is equal or better than Kingsley. Hopefully the big man that destroyed Kingsley last season is injured. He didn't play their last game against UALR.

[ErieHog]

This is kind of a longer layoff, comes after the holidays, and is against a team with a couple of talented guards seeing the floor.

I think the 40% call is probably fair.   If we shoot well, or they play poorly, our chances naturally increase.

[MikePiazza]

I think we this game at the free throw line.

It'd be good comeuppance after it's what cost us a game against them at home in the 2013-14 season.

[hawginbigd1]

MK and Thomas stay out of foul trouble i believe we win this and every other home game.

[Dominicanhog]

Hogs better win cause if they don't, I see an 0-3 start in conference play

that's a real possibility.. they would still finish with 10 wins in conference... this is a big game for the Hogs and one of a few, along with some road games, that will determine if it's 9-10 wins or 12-14, in conference... :razorback:

[gmarv]

winning this game against Fla. could be the difference between 9-0 or 8-1 at home.so yeah it is a big one.

[Big Nasty 34]

I think we suffer shell shock, get screwed by the refs, and lose by 10 to 20.

The first SEC game is always one of the hardest.  The JC boys are in for a shock.  The refs always take Florida's side over us.  Kejon or whatever his name is will come loaded for bear.  We will be tight and shoot about 25%.  We won't be able to hit anything.  Moses will get in foul trouble.

What else can go wrong?

We've opened up conference play on the road most years recently. I don't think we will be as shell shocked or jipped by the refs at home.

[HoopS]

This is kind of a longer layoff, comes after the holidays, and is against a team with a couple of talented guards seeing the floor.

I think the 40% call is probably fair.   If we shoot well, or they play poorly, our chances naturally increase.

Florida last played on the 21st so the layoff effect should be about the same.

[ErieHog]

Florida last played on the 21st so the layoff effect should be about the same.

Their style of ball isn't as dependent on continuity and rhythm to work.   There is a reason why we have terrible records off of long breaks.     Could they be bad off the layoff?  Sure.  Are they as likely to look bad off a layoff?  No.

[HawgnCorona]

Unfortunately, I believe you will be correct.  Seems like everytime I get my hopes up for
A good win, we get our butts handed to us.  I'll say Florida by 18 and it's never close.  Very similar to Minnesota game.

Nah, don't think so...not sure why you do.

[Hawg Red]

Florida back up center is equal or better than Kingsley. Hopefully the big man that destroyed Kingsley last season is injured. He didn't play their last game against UALR.

Egbunu is back at practice. I'm guessing he plays.

[HawgnCorona]

As fans just show up and do your part...pack the house, loud and yell often.
Hog call all over the place.


Florida isn't the Florida of old...

[FineAsSwine]

Egbunu is back at practice. I'm guessing he plays.

Maybe he is a bit rusty after having been out of the lineup.

[Hawg Red]

Maybe he is a bit rusty after having been out of the lineup.

Hopefully so.

[HoopS]

Their style of ball isn't as dependent on continuity and rhythm to work.   There is a reason why we have terrible records off of long breaks.     Could they be bad off the layoff?  Sure.  Are they as likely to look bad off a layoff?  No.

having a big name opponent at home will factor in positively IMO.

[Lanny]

Hogs Victory

[FineAsSwine]

I'm at 50/50 on this one. Almost leaning Florida but I know the Hogs can win this one going away if they come out firing on all cylinders. If this game were mid-conference season I would give the Hogs a 75% chance at a win but this team is still gelling and I think that process won't be complete for a little while longer. Players like Barford and Kingsley will look better and better as the year goes on but there will continue to be stretches of erratic play for a while.

[ErieHog]

having a big name opponent at home will factor in positively IMO.

I've been underwhelmed by home attendance all year;  while part of the problem at times,  I've always made sure that someone had the seats that would go to the game.   I don't expect a good turnout, as our fans have long since stopped caring about basketball, good  or otherwise.

[FineAsSwine]

I've been underwhelmed by home attendance all year;  while part of the problem at times,  I've always made sure that someone had the seats that would go to the game.   I don't expect a good turnout, as our fans have long since stopped caring about basketball, good  or otherwise.

Even if the crowd is under 10,000 if they are loud and on their feet it will give the team a boost. Need an active and boisterous crowd.

[ErieHog]

Even if the crowd is under 10,000 if they are loud and on their feet it will give the team a boost. Need an active and boisterous crowd.

I'll be happy if it is a legit 8k.     It should be twice that, but it is what it is, now.

[rzrbackramsfan]

I think attendance will be robust. 

[Letsroll1200]

I've been underwhelmed by home attendance all year;  while part of the problem at times,  I've always made sure that someone had the seats that would go to the game.   I don't expect a good turnout, as our fans have long since stopped caring about basketball, good  or otherwise.

Central Arkansas disagrees with you!!!!