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OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)

Started by WILL CLINTON, August 28, 2011, 09:41:36 pm

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onebadrubi

Man this has been a rough past two days on the college betting for me!  Hopefully Washington ST can change that for me

DadVader1

One, if you'll keep your plays small the first few weeks (and stay away from the NFL), this group will start slaying them by around week 4.  Jeff, Widespread, Sir-Pigs-a-Lot, Yraciv, and others in here are very good at handicapping, and I'm not bad at data-mining.  It just takes a few weeks to get things dialed in for the season.

 

la20688

Finally putting the pencil to tomorrows lines. There are probably 15 games where my line and Vegas line differ by at least 5pts.im sure it's because it is only wk 2, just hate it when there is that many to look at. With that in mind I'm going Mae some sall plays:

Penn St.     -14.    2 units
WKU.         +5.      1 u
Ga ST.       +2.       1u
Stanford.    -3.      1.5 u
N. Ill.         +7.      1 u

Also playing A State +17 1u.   

The A St. Game looks off to me. My numbers say Tenn -8.... Big Difference, normally would go large on this but something says no. Too early. Hope I'm kicking myself tomorrow afternoon.
Good luck everyone!

SPAL

September 06, 2014, 09:02:54 am #6803 Last Edit: September 06, 2014, 10:03:31 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot
Kansas State -11    2 units...L

9-5

Hawgndaaz

kstate
mizzou
stanford

all 1 unit

penn state
2 units

SPAL

Penn St. Seems to be a popular pick... i would lean Akron if I played it


SPAL

September 06, 2014, 10:44:26 am #6807 Last Edit: September 06, 2014, 10:04:13 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot
Oregon -11                      3 units...W
Georgia St.  -3                 1.5 units L
Western Kentucky +4    1 unit.....L

10-7

SPAL

Quote from: la20688 on September 06, 2014, 12:34:45 am
Finally putting the pencil to tomorrows lines. There are probably 15 games where my line and Vegas line differ by at least 5pts.im sure it's because it is only wk 2, just hate it when there is that many to look at. With that in mind I'm going Mae some sall plays:

Penn St.     -14.    2 units
WKU.         +5.      1 u
Ga ST.       +2.       1u
Stanford.    -3.      1.5 u
N. Ill.         +7.      1 u

Also playing A State +17 1u.   

The A St. Game looks off to me. My numbers say Tenn -8.... Big Difference, normally would go large on this but something says no. Too early. Hope I'm kicking myself tomorrow afternoon.
Good luck everyone!

Are you really getting Georgia St at +2?

yraciv

September 06, 2014, 10:53:51 am #6809 Last Edit: September 07, 2014, 11:42:19 am by yraciv
3 Units
OU -25 W
UCLA -21 L

2 Units
ULM -13 L
TN -16 L
Zona -7 L

1 Unit
SMU +3 L
Mich St +12 L
Toledo +3.5 L
FL Atlantic +42 C

YTD 9-11, -2 Units

yraciv

Also, I'm not playing it but I'd stay away from Penn State.  First year coach, team with little depth, coming off a long road trip. Just seems to me like it would be a sluggish game.

SPAL

Quote from: yraciv on September 06, 2014, 10:59:58 am
Also, I'm not playing it but I'd stay away from Penn State.  First year coach, team with little depth, coming off a long road trip. Just seems to me like it would be a sluggish game.

Agree 100

SPAL

Not sure what is up with kState but everytime I look up, Iowa State has scored again.

 

onebadrubi

What's everyone's opinion on VT +10.5?  Good D and OSU sloppy O, or will they figure it out?

Also thinking that mitre same -3 could be a good bet this afternoon?

Spikes

You only have one life, so you better enjoy it!

WILL CLINTON

Quote from: yraciv on September 04, 2014, 06:21:38 pm
What the heck are your units worth?  Not trying to be nosy, just not sure with juice how you come up with a $320 profit when you are up only 2 units. Unless you are counting parlays in that total or your 1 units are a rather large number.

No big deal, sorry I didn't see this the other day and answer it then. My "units" are a % of my bankroll, so they fluctuate depending on how well I'm doing for the season. When I started this thread this was what my units were worth:

1* - 5% of my total bankroll
2* - 10% of my bankroll
3* - 20% of my bankroll
5* - 50% of my bankroll

This year, I bumped up 1* to 10%, 2* to 20%, and 3* to 30%. I started off my year this year with a $2k bankroll, so last week went like this

Ohio+3.....2*   WIN  (+400)
Florida St -20.5....1*....LOSS  (-220)
Wisky +145 1* LOSS (-220)
Oregon -53....1* LOSS  (-220)
Ole Miss -10 v Boise....1* WIN  (+200)
Penn St +1....1* WIN  (+200)
Bowling Green -8....1* LOSS  (-220)
Baylor -34...1* WIN  (+200)
Louisville -4...1* WIN  (+200)

Thats 1200 WIN and 880 LOSS, for a +320 week.






There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

la20688

Quote from: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 06, 2014, 10:50:32 am
Are you really getting Georgia St at +2?
Sorry been out of pocket today. Yes, I got Ga.St. @ +2 around midnight, not that it did meant good though. Looked good starting out, I believe I saw a score of 17-0 in favor of GSU....we know how it ended though.  :(

Finished the day at 3-3, which leaves me at 5-5 for the week

Gonna play a parlay tonight Wyoming @ Pick
                                          CSU.       +8
                                          Tex Tech  -22.   1 unit

SPAL


WILL CLINTON

Suck is my middle name.

The only 2 wins I've had so far, I couldn't post because of the game thread lockdown. I had

KY -14....2*
ND -3.0....1*

What a week. Come on UCLA. Misread Texas bad, and thought KSU would be able to attack the Iowa St QB since their starting LT quit the team last week, but no, not at all. USC (e) is not having a good time, so my only hope is that ULM can continue their scoring when the Idaho game resumes, and UCLA puts it on Memphis hard.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

WILL CLINTON

There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

SPAL

Fortunately,  Oregon woke up and saved me. They were my biggest play of the day.  My record is gonna take a hit, but I'm not down much.

DadVader1

Glad to learn from last week and to focus on current year trends.  I still want another week or two before I start ramping up.

Penn St. -14.5  W
Stanford -3    L
N. TX -2.5  W
MO -4   W

On the week, 3-1 ats for +1 unit.  For the season, 4-6 ats for -1 unit.  Pretty much ignore my picks for a couple more weeks, then I'll hopefully have things dialed in. 

onebadrubi

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on September 06, 2014, 09:14:05 pm
Adding

Colorado St +8....1*

I jumped on this and the tech game late just for some action.  Appears both were a complete waste

arkfanchip

Quote from: arkfanchip on September 04, 2014, 11:48:59 am
I went 1-2 last week wasn't good at all. Lucked into my one win.

This week I'm going
Arizona -7
Missouri -3.5
South Alabama -2.5 (my most confident)
Pittsburgh -4
Auburn -29.5
Michigan state plus 13
Michigan  plus 4
Tennessee -16.5
Ulm -14

Went 5-5 this weekend. 6-7 on the year.

 

SPAL

September 07, 2014, 07:20:16 am #6824 Last Edit: September 08, 2014, 09:01:52 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot
Steelers -7   2.5 units...L

10-8

StuartDavin

Anyone else thinking this Chicago line is way too high? Up to -7.5 on some books.

widespreadsooie

Yesterday:

Won on ORE -12, Penn St. -14, and KY -13.5.
Lost on FL u54, and ULM -14.

Brings me to 4-5 on the year.

widespreadsooie

Openers that grabbed my attention:

Ga. Southern +25.5 @ GT
Georgia -3.5 @ SC
Arkansas +6 @ TT
TN +21 @ OU
Nebraska -10 @ Fresno

McKdaddy

2-1 this weekend, 12-9 overall.

Lost AZ
Won OU & Mizzou
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

HogFanInBryant

Quote from: HogFanInBryant on September 03, 2014, 07:25:49 pm
There are 3 plays I love this weekend:

over 54.5 in USC-Stanford (this is my favorite bet of all)
Maryland -12.5 over South Fla
NFL Chicago Bears -7 over Buffalo Bills

I absolutely got murdered this weekend!  Sickening!

onebadrubi

Quote from: HogFanInBryant on September 07, 2014, 07:38:46 pm
I absolutely got murdered this weekend!  Sickening!

I got hurt pretty bad too.  I highlighted the big games (mich st, Stanford, and ND).  I meant to play VT but guess I didn't hit send right or something, so I went 1-3. 

Mizzou def helped me but arizona and Washington games killed me, along with tech and thinking that would be a higher scoring game. 

NFL game today was a New Orleans score away from winning HUGE. 

oldman1015

Arkansas, the left lane state.

Hawgndaaz

I got killed this weekend. I don't post all my picks because I make a lot while tailgating, barhopping after games, etc. down 8 units total though. 

onebadrubi


widespreadsooie


widespreadsooie

Wanted to grab two college lines early today:

Arkansas +2 (Max Bet)
Georgia So. +21

onebadrubi

Quote from: widespreadsooie on September 08, 2014, 11:44:10 am
I played the NYG/DET o47

That bet scares me.  With det DLine and giants lack of any line and lackluster offense.  I'm thinking of taking the Over on the second game.  Rivers going no huddle fast offense and Carson Palmer healthy.  Just don't know if either teams had a defense. 

onebadrubi

Quote from: widespreadsooie on September 08, 2014, 11:46:13 am
Wanted to grab two college lines early today:

Arkansas +2 (Max Bet)
Georgia So. +21

Arkansas appears to be moving to +3.  I want us to win but scared to play the hogs. 

Tai_Mai_Shu

Lost both my MMA bets this weekend. Better stick with college. LOL

la20688

Quote from: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 06, 2014, 10:50:32 am
Are you really getting Georgia St at +2?
Just looking back at this post and some of the posts on your bets. At the time, I was thinking that werejust talking about GSU being a pt too high. Then I noticed you had them at -3. I went back and checked and yes I had them at +2 on bovada. If memory serves they started at +1 and moved to 2 around midnight Friday. Not that it helped either way, just wanted to clarify.

widespreadsooie

Quote from: onebadrubi on September 08, 2014, 12:19:10 pm
That bet scares me.  With det DLine and giants lack of any line and lackluster offense.  I'm thinking of taking the Over on the second game.  Rivers going no huddle fast offense and Carson Palmer healthy.  Just don't know if either teams had a defense. 

Strictly tailing a tout on this play. Usually the only times I play NFL.

onebadrubi

Quote from: widespreadsooie on September 08, 2014, 04:57:25 pm
Strictly tailing a tout on this play. Usually the only times I play NFL.

Oh crap then!   :-\

WILL CLINTON

Looks like we all took a hit this weekend.

Here's my week.

ULM -14...1* LOSS
Texas +1...2*LOSS
SC -17...1*LOSS
UCLA -23...1*LOSS
Arizona -7....1*LOSS
over 56....1*LOSS
KY -14....2* WIN
ND -3.0....1*WIN
Colorado St +8....1*LOSS


2014-2015 season
7-11 (39%) -$1024 profit -52% ROI Bankroll $976

I usually stay away from games I'm emotionally attached to, but I love the hogs getting any number at TT. I thought they would be 5-7 point favorites, so I jumped on them today. While I was at it, I went ahead and finalized a few for this week.

AR +2.5....2*
KY +17.5....1*
Penn St -3....1*
WKY +1....1*
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

McKdaddy

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on September 08, 2014, 07:03:22 pm
Looks like we all took a hit this weekend



Not ALL of us...I actually had a winning record without Jeff's picks, albeit only 2-1.  :P
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

SPAL

The steelers were up 24-3 or something at one point and ended up not covering 7...craptastic weekend.

Unit wise, I dipped a littke but my record took a big hit.

SPAL


onebadrubi

Dang I almost won big on Detroit.  Took the under and lost it late.  Bass turds.  Gonna lose my arse on this late game too.  Where is the cancel bet button?

WILL CLINTON

Quote from: McKdaddy on September 08, 2014, 08:51:02 pm
Not ALL of us...I actually had a winning record without Jeff's picks, albeit only 2-1.  :P

I never saw his picks or heard from him. I even looked at the spam website and didn't see anything.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

McKdaddy

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on September 08, 2014, 09:42:39 pm
I never saw his picks or heard from him. I even looked at the spam website and didn't see anything.

It's not like him to go awol.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin