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OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)

Started by WILL CLINTON, August 28, 2011, 09:41:36 pm

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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: MS_HogFan on September 04, 2015, 08:56:48 am
What does it mean to buy a hook?

Half point. If it's -3.5 you spend 10% extra usually to get it at -3
Let's make some waves.

ChicoHog

Quote from: ChicoHog on September 02, 2015, 10:40:19 pm
Ok,  I'm in boys.  Put 2 units on WKU vs Vandy, 2 units on the under ND/Texas.  I don't see the offensive inept Longhorns scoring much against the strong Irish D.  I'm thinking hard about Utah, Minnesota +17 and Ohio. 

edit:  Just did 3 team parlay on utah-5, Minnesota +17 and Ohio -7. 
I had a good start last night winning my 3 team parlay and WKU -1.5 holding off Vandy.  I am thinking about taking Washington tonight +13. 

 

ChicoHog

I would like to take McNeese +47 vs LSU and Eastern Wash +45 vs oregon but my book does not have these posted.  Tigers should win easily but I don't think they score 50 points. 

eastern Wash is one of the best FCS teams out there. 

HogPharmer

Quote from: jkstock04 on September 03, 2015, 11:27:10 pm
After the 3rd or 4th time of betting against Minnesota last year I decided I was done. They are a pesky team that always seem to cover the spread.

TCU should've covered. Boykin missed at least 2 wide open receivers that would've led to TDs, plus that missed FG.... "Should've" doesn't payout though--unfortunately.
Quote from: WorfHog on April 05, 2019, 11:26:00 pmRemember when Auburn dog piled AND THEY LOST!
Quote from: Pig in the Pokey on June 07, 2022, 01:57:05 pmRuscin needs a big one- Michael Carter has been our best player- or second best at worst- lately.
Quote from: PorkSoda on August 21, 2019, 02:19:03 pmwe can't be terrible forever.
Quote from: The OTR on December 01, 2018, 09:43:29 amGonna start reward season with an important one.
Hogpharmer.  There will be no vote.  He rid us of hoginmemphis, otherwise known as gomerbullinmemphis, and no one else can match that accomplishment in our lifetime.

onebadrubi

September 04, 2015, 10:21:15 am #8404 Last Edit: September 04, 2015, 12:59:44 pm by onebadrubi
TCU was my only loss yesterday and they very easily could have covered. 

I'm glad I didn't let the lines of UTAH and DUke scare me off.  I hammered those. 

Tonight is not looking very good.  I am liking the Baylor/SMU under for some reason right now, hoping for some rust and missed open receivers if I hit it. 

edit: I lost on the OSU too, forgot about that play. 

yraciv

Quote from: onebadrubi on September 04, 2015, 10:21:15 am
TCU was my only loss yesterday and they very easily could have covered. 

I'm glad I didn't let the lines of UTAH and DUke scare me off.  I hammered those. 

Tonight is not looking very good.  I am liking the Baylor/SMU under for some reason right now, hoping for some rust and missed open receivers if I hit it. 

I'm liking the under too. SMU is so bad and Chad Morris can't fix them over night.  Baylor will be breaking in a new QB so their offense shouldn't be clicking quite yet either.

widespreadsooie

Quote from: hammer66 on September 04, 2015, 09:03:49 am
Good picking there.

Wen't 2-2 so I take it you're being sarcastic. Share some picks if you would like.

widespreadsooie

Tonight I'm playing:

Baylor 1H -21
Baylor -36
Boise St. -12

2-2 YTD

MS_HogFan

SOOIE

hammer66

September 04, 2015, 01:51:45 pm #8409 Last Edit: September 04, 2015, 02:13:20 pm by hammer66
Quote from: widespreadsooie on September 04, 2015, 12:11:25 pm
Wen't 2-2 so I take it you're being sarcastic. Share some picks if you would like.

I thought u went 3-1.
Lost Tulane and what other one. At my book u would have won 3 I think.
Yea I see it, WKU. I won that, got it at 1 1/2, so I just assumed u won since I got it.

I too went 2-2. Hit Duke and WKU but lost Ok St and TCU.

Tonight I really like the under of Washington/Boise, 55 1/2 I believe and I'm going Baylor. Only betting Baylor because SMU was so terrible last year and I just can't see them ever stopping Baylor's O. Really feel like the only thing keeping Baylor from an easy cover is turnovers.

widespreadsooie

Quote from: hammer66 on September 04, 2015, 01:51:45 pm
I thought u went 3-1.
Lost Tulane and what other one. At my book u would have won 3 I think.
Yea I see it, WKU. I won that, got it at 1 1/2, so I just assumed u won since I got it.


Ha ok, my bad for coming at you. Yeah, I had -2.5 WKU unfortunately, but Vandy really should have won the game (3 blown red zone opportunities) so I can't complain too much.

jkstock04

Does not look like anyone else wants to touch this game but for tonight I'm gonna take Western Michigan +16.5....4 units.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

SPAL

September 04, 2015, 04:03:03 pm #8412 Last Edit: September 04, 2015, 10:02:35 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot
Have 2 plays....

I had Charlotte +8 but I didn't realize it started so early, so I didn't get it posted. I won't count it as a play.

Also on Western Michigan +18 W

1-0 on the season.

 

DadVader1


WILL CLINTON

Looks like most, if not all had good nights.

If I had to lean I'd go Baylor tonight, but anything over about 28-30 I just get nervous. It doesn't take but one bonehead 3rd team LB to miss a tackle and 55-14 becomes 55-21.

I really don't know if I'll even add anything else either for the weekend, so Good Luck.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

onebadrubi

September 04, 2015, 05:31:32 pm #8415 Last Edit: September 04, 2015, 05:47:17 pm by onebadrubi
Friday baseball:
Mets/Marlins over 7.5
Toronto -1.5
Rays/yankees under 8
Braves/nationals Over 8
Royals/white sox over 8.5

Added bluejays over 9

Friday football:
Baylor 1H -21.5
Baylor -36
Baylor/SMU under 71 (hate that I missed out on the 2.5 points from earlier in the day, may come back to haunt me)
Mich st at/CMU under 56
michigan st -9.5 1H
Michigan st -17



CabotHog87

Quote from: onebadrubi on August 04, 2015, 12:25:48 pm
Looks like Cabothog scared everyone off. 

With the full list of College football Lines being released now, I think it's time to bring it back up. 

Anyone doing any good with MLB thus far?  I keep trying but not going so hot. 

Cabothog, I may not be the best for advise but I don't mind helping.

Yeah I'm pretty much a threadkiller haha.

CabotHog87

But yeah if anyone wants to help me with some basics it'd be appreciated. **I hold no one responsible for the any losses incurred**  ;D

onebadrubi


ChicoHog

I did another parlay with UW +12.5, BYU +6.5 and Bowling green +21.5.  After hitting a 3 teamer last night I don't think I will be lucky enough to hit another one the same weekend. 

SPAL


SPAL

I refuse to get sucked in this year. My plan at the start of every season is to play 1 really good game that I've worked several angles. Sometimes, I'll add a 2nd on Saturday when a full slate is available. And I do pretty good. Then I let this thread and my greed get the better of me and I start doing 3 or 4 extr games that I've only kinda glanced at. And I lose them.

So my best play today is....

Tulsa -5

I also am likely to add tamu at -3, but I'm not sure of it just yet. Those are my only 2 games.

upperdeck_hawg

I don't hate the guy.  He's a great Hog, and a needed contributor.  I despise that he does not understand his role as a complimentary player puts an absolute ceiling on this team.

-ErieHog on Devo Davis

widespreadsooie

Got killed yesterday, today's picks:

GA So +17.5
So MS +21
Temple +6.5
ND -9.5

2-5 YTD

 

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Penn ST -6 / 2 units
Louisville +10.5 / 5 units
Notre Dame -10 / 2 units
OU -32 / 5 units
Arkansas -33 / 3 units
Let's make some waves.

yraciv

September 05, 2015, 10:25:17 am #8425 Last Edit: September 07, 2015, 01:16:29 pm by yraciv
Todays Plays

Grabbed Earlier In Week
No Il/UNLV Under 62
Louisville +10.5
Tennessee -20.5

Grabbed Today
TN Under 70.5 L
Arkansas -33 W
S Miss +21 W

6-3 on the week

ChicoHog

Won first game of parlay last night.  Thnking about adding under in Bama game, USC game and A&M game.  Already have straight bet on under in ND game.

WILL CLINTON

Went ahead and added these 2, even though I spent the past 2 days trying to convince myself not to. It was easier since I had 2 free bets on sportsbook so they don't cost me any money.

Penn St -6   3 units
Kent St +13.5  1 unit

Since I waited to add ND and Texas, the line was actually ND -9.5 and I bought the hook so here is a recap of my week/weekend:

Duke -7
Ohio -6.5 (bought down to 6)
Washington +13.5 (bought up to 14)
Arizona St +3.5 (bought up to 4)
Kent St +13.5 (up to 14)
Penn St -6.5 (down to 6) 
ND -9.5 (down to 9)

No changes after this.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Let's make some waves.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Let's make some waves.

ChicoHog

Lost 2 $10 parlays and won a $20 straight bet today so I broke even.  I'll take it!

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Let's make some waves.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: CabotHog87 on September 04, 2015, 06:01:48 pm
But yeah if anyone wants to help me with some basics it'd be appreciated. **I hold no one responsible for the any losses incurred**  ;D


Tell me what ya wanna know buddy. Be glad to help.
Let's make some waves.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Okay so I'm an idiot. Gonna screw up my groove, but today.

Yankees 90.00 to Win 100.00
Yanks / Rays over 7.5 110.00 to win 100.00
Let's make some waves.

WILL CLINTON

Went 4-3, and 0-2 on the late additions. Since they were free bets though, I am still up 3 units

Duke -7  --  W
Ohio -6.5 (bought down to 6)  --  W
Washington +13.5 (bought up to 14)  --  W
Arizona St +3.5 (bought up to 4)  --  L
Kent St +13.5 (up to 14)  --  L
Penn St -6.5 (down to 6)  --  L
ND -9.5 (down to 9)  --  W

Weekly --  4-3    Overall  --  4-3   Balance  --  $1300

There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

widespreadsooie

3-1 yesterday, totaling a 5-6 opening week. Looking for things to start clicking sooner than later.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

I know people don't believe me so.

Had bucs tonight and over. Hit bith
Let's make some waves.

SPAL


widespreadsooie

Anyone with a lean on the OSU/VT game? Laying the points seem too square but VT has been quite inept on the offensive side of the ball for some time now.

yraciv

Quote from: widespreadsooie on September 07, 2015, 12:50:01 pm
Anyone with a lean on the OSU/VT game? Laying the points seem too square but VT has been quite inept on the offensive side of the ball for some time now.

Leaning VT, haven't pulled the trigger yet. Blacksburg is a tough place to play in primetime and VT returns quite a bit. That plus the Ohio St. suspensions, I really see this being a tight game.  Of course Ohio St. offense could always go off, but I'm not seeing it.  Vegas needs VT tonight and Vegas doesn't like to get hammered.

widespreadsooie

Quote from: yraciv on September 07, 2015, 01:19:14 pm
Leaning VT, haven't pulled the trigger yet. Blacksburg is a tough place to play in primetime and VT returns quite a bit. That plus the Ohio St. suspensions, I really see this being a tight game.  Of course Ohio St. offense could always go off, but I'm not seeing it.  Vegas needs VT tonight and Vegas doesn't like to get hammered.

I wonder how Vegas did on the weekend, I do agree with your Blacksburg/Primetime angle. May just stay away from this one.

DadVader1

Went 2-2 to break even so far on the weekend.  Adding Va Tech +14 for 1/2 unit

DadVader1

A few of the power rating systems started the season well.  Dokter hit at over 62% so far.  That number will come down, but it's a good start.  Dokter also went 8-0 on home dogs so far and picks Va Tech.  I know it's way too early to put much stock in such small sample sizes, but that's why I'm sticking with 1/2 units for now.  For anyone new to the thread, I'm getting the power rating system data for close to 70 systems from thepredictiontracker.com.  He has it in spreadsheet format so that you can data mine it.

SPAL

Everybody is on va tech. From past experience, when everybody is going the same way, it has always gone the other way.

Va tech is 1-5 ats in the last 6 at home.

I'm going Ohio state -14 small

daprospecta

Quote from: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 07, 2015, 05:08:52 pm
Everybody is on va tech. From past experience, when everybody is going the same way, it has always gone the other way.

Va tech is 1-5 ats in the last 6 at home.

I'm going Ohio state -14 small
The public is indeed on OSU last time I checked.  55% in favor of OSU and the line has dropped. It's not a large Reverse Line Move but it's there.


yraciv


hawgmasta

I'm putting 2 units on the over for OSU/VaTech game at 54.

I'm gonna go ahead and go for it and put 5 units on OSU to cover the 14.5 spread hoping they're as good as advertised. Beamer's teams are always good but not near what it used to be it seems.

jkstock04

Anyone got any idea about the Hogs/Toledo line this week? -21?

What am I missing here? Are we leaving the starters out the entire game?
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

onebadrubi

Quote from: jkstock04 on September 07, 2015, 09:06:42 pm
Anyone got any idea about the Hogs/Toledo line this week? -21?

What am I missing here? Are we leaving the starters out the entire game?

My book hasn't opened the line but if it's opens it at -21 tomorrow, I will
Hammer that mofo just like I would Jana Kramer

widespreadsooie

Quote from: jkstock04 on September 07, 2015, 09:06:42 pm
Anyone got any idea about the Hogs/Toledo line this week? -21?

What am I missing here? Are we leaving the starters out the entire game?

Like the Hogs. Defensive play should make for a cushioned cover I think.