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  • #8701 by Fort Dweller on 10 Oct 2015
  • So much for my Tennessee cover.

    Quite the crazy last 5 minutes
  • #8702 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 10 Oct 2015
  • I just knew today was Clemson choke day. Boy was I wrong!
  • #8703 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 10 Oct 2015
  • Wake +8.5 / 3 units
  • #8704 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 10 Oct 2015
  • Miami +7 / 2 units
    Florida -5 / 2 units
    TCU -9 / dime play
    Cal +7.5 / 5 units
  • #8705 by McKdaddy on 10 Oct 2015
  • BA has $ on Bama.
  • #8706 by WILL CLINTON on 10 Oct 2015
  • Added Utah -8
  • #8707 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 10 Oct 2015
  • Boy I gotta stay out of MMQB tonight or I'm gonna get banned again.
  • #8708 by Spikes on 10 Oct 2015
  • Boy I gotta stay out of MMQB tonight or I'm gonna get banned again.

    Don't do Jeff! You know the mods are just waiting on you!
  • #8709 by widespreadsooie on 10 Oct 2015
  • 2-2 today winning on MIC and K St. Lost on GT and MTSU, bringing me 20-18 YTD. A little disappointed those L's weren't closer. UGA seems to have left the East for FL's taking and I thought our Hogs held their own tonight. Cheers fellas.
  • #8710 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 11 Oct 2015
  • Another 2-1 Saturday. I guess I'll take hitting 66%, but I sure do wish I could sweep it just once.
  • #8711 by 3kgthog on 11 Oct 2015
  • A big California howdy to Utah for being the final piece to a massive parlay win before going conservative and blowing up the whole thing. Thanks!
  • #8712 by ChicoHog on 11 Oct 2015
  • Went 6-4 yesterday (one losing bet was a parlay).  Not great but over .500.

    I was sweating the Hogs +17 at the end.  Thank god for the scramble play to Reed. 

    Taking falcons -7, Packers -9 and Bengals -3 today.  Thinking about the Rangers tonight.
  • #8713 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 11 Oct 2015
  • Freaking TCU cost me a 7 team parlay yesterday.  Bastards.
  • #8714 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 11 Oct 2015
  • Straight bets so far today

    Buffalo - 1 / 5 units
    Baltimore -6.5 / 2 units
    Baltimore Cleveland under 43 / 2 units
    Atlanta -6.5 / 2 units
    Seattle and Cincy under 43.5 / 2 units
    Pats -8.5 / 5 units
    Pats Cows over 50 / 2 units
  • #8715 by iCalledThatHogBrotha! on 11 Oct 2015
  • Did not hit much yesterday, but that last TD saved my hogs +17 pick, and hit a $1 Texas / Wash St SU parlay for $50 :)
  • #8716 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 11 Oct 2015
  • Raiders +4
    Cowboys +8
    Lions +4
  • #8717 by WILL CLINTON on 11 Oct 2015
  • Straight bets so far today

    Buffalo - 1 / 5 units
    Baltimore -6.5 / 2 units
    Baltimore Cleveland under 43 / 2 units
    Atlanta -6.5 / 2 units
    Seattle and Cincy under 43.5 / 2 units
    Pats -8.5 / 5 units
    Pats Cows over 50 / 2 units

    Jeff, as much as I hate to admit it, I tailed you on all these, and it looks like they aren't going to come in at your normal clip, the Will Clinton NFL curse. I can't imagine me making another NFL bet for the rest of my time on this earth.

    went 5-5 on the week, overall record to 18-14-4

    Broke the streak of pushes, but they went the wrong way to the L column.

    Georgia -3.5 (hook) L
    SMU +25  W
    Washington +17   W
    Bowling Green -13   W
    OU -14.5   L
    Florida -5   W
    Michigan -9    W
    Mich St -14   L
    Oregon -17 L
    Utah -8   L
  • #8718 by hogsanity on 11 Oct 2015
  • so far for this week

    BG -13 W
    ark +16.5 W
    OU -16.5 L
    BC -7.5 L
    fla -4.5 W
    ga -2.5 L
    clem -7.5 W
    tcu-8.5 L
    Cal + 6.5 W

    isu/tt ov 74.5 W
    wsu/or ov 70 W
    latech/utsa ov 57 W
    cal/utah ov 61 L
    wf/bc un 37 W
    syr/usf un 48.5 L

    1.5 units on each

    Went 9-6.
  • #8719 by onebadrubi on 11 Oct 2015
  • First ever middle play and it worked!!!  Yall liked pictures so figured is include one. 

    I got absolutely stroked on Saturday, UGA sucker bet cleaned my clock the. Drunk and pissed off played hogs 2h against bama...

    I hammered Kuechel on ML and RL today the. Hit a couple nice NFL plays with this middle to make money on the weekend.
  • #8720 by DadVader1 on 12 Oct 2015
  • The 25-1 trend took a dip down to 60% (6-4), darn it.  This is why I never rely on just one trend in making my final cuts.  Naturally, the 4 games on which I passed went 3-1.  I still ended up having a pretty good weekend going 69% (9-4), next post.  Hopefully, the spreadsheets now have enough data to start getting dialed in and to start showing some consistency.
    The trend that was 25-1 ytd as of last week looks a bit questionable this week, with 10 picks.  Don't put too much stock in it.  It likes:

    Clemson -7  W
    FIU -14  W
    Iowa -11  L
    Kansas +44  L
    Pitt -10.5  L
    TN +3  W
    Tulsa -9.5  W
    UNLV +2.5  W
    Utah -7.5  L
    W. KY -8.5  W

    B/c of injuries, I am staying away from FIU, Kansas, and UNLV.  I'm staying away from TN because they wouldn't take the game that we tried to give to them last week.
  • #8721 by DadVader1 on 12 Oct 2015
  • Had another pretty good week, going 9-4 for +5 units, making it +8 units ytd.  The last three weeks have been 6-3-1, 6-3, and 9-4, so I'm hoping that the spreadsheets now have enough data to start showing some consistency.  Here's hoping that doesn't invoke the golf/premature trash-talking curse!

    Here's what I've done so far this week.  One unit each on:

    OK -16.5  L
    Iowa -10 (h)  L
    Toledo -14 (h)  W
    App -15  W
    Pitt -10  L
    Wash St. +17  W
    W. KY -7 (h)  W
    Tulsa -9  W
    Clemson -6.5  W
    Utah -7  L
    Boise -16  W
    Wis +1.5  W
    Utah St. -11.5 W
  • #8722 by widespreadsooie on 12 Oct 2015
  • Had another pretty good week, going 9-4 for +5 units, making it +8 units ytd.  The last three weeks have been 6-3-1, 6-3, and 9-4, so I'm hoping that the spreadsheets now have enough data to start showing some consistency.  Here's hoping that doesn't invoke the golf/premature trash-talking curse!


    Nice week
  • #8723 by iCalledThatHogBrotha! on 12 Oct 2015
  • The 25-1 trend took a dip down to 60% (6-4), darn it.  This is why I never rely on just one trend in making my final cuts.  Naturally, the 4 games on which I passed went 3-1.  I still ended up having a pretty good weekend going 69% (9-4), next post.  Hopefully, the spreadsheets now have enough data to start getting dialed in and to start showing some consistency.

    Mind if I ask what trend you are looking at there?  Thanks.
  • #8724 by DadVader1 on 12 Oct 2015
  • Mind if I ask what trend you are looking at there?  Thanks.

    The trends are all homemade.  I download the data from 50+ power rating systems for free at www.thepredictiontracker.com and download stats from http://stats.ncaa.org/ and use spreadsheets to data mine the crap out of it and to try to figure out the strengths and weaknesses of the different power rating systems and how the strengths and weaknesses of different rating systems overlap.  As an example, Kerns' power rating system is currently hitting at over 56% ats ytd on all fbs-1A games.  On Home Dogs, Kerns' has hit at over 64% ats ytd, and on Road teams with better SU records, Kerns has hit at 69% ats ytd.  A lot of the trends turn out to be garbage.  My challenge is trying to figure out which ones are reasonably reliable and which ones are garbage.
  • #8725 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 12 Oct 2015
  • Steelers +4 / 3 units
    Over 45.5 / 1 unit.  Think I may have goofed that, but oh well
  • #8726 by Junkyard Hog on 13 Oct 2015
  • Already placed a couple of units on Bama -5 for Saturday.
  • #8727 by DadVader1 on 14 Oct 2015
  • Here's what I've done so far this week, one unit each on:

    BYU -6.5
    Colo St. +3
    EC -10 (h)
    GA Tech -3
    K State +5
    Memph +10.5
    OH -3 (h)
    SJ St -3
    MO +16
    Ut -6.5
  • #8728 by widespreadsooie on 14 Oct 2015
  • Leans right now:

    MIC -8
    Vandy +3
    A&M +4
    BGSU -11.5
    Marshall -6.5
  • #8729 by DadVader1 on 15 Oct 2015
  • Michigan and Marshall show up in a decent number of nice trends, and A&M shows up in a few.  Good luck! 
  • #8730 by ChicoHog on 15 Oct 2015
  • I've been riding the toledo bandwagon since they beat us and they have covered every time.  Was also riding the harbaugh bus until I made the mistake of jumping off last week and taking NW and the points.  I'm getting back on this week.  Mich st has not looked good lately and has had quite a few injuries. 
  • #8731 by hogsanity on 15 Oct 2015
  • So far for this week

    Cin ML    L
    Houston -19 W
    Purdue +24 W
    old miss -10 ( hook ) L
    lsu -9.5 L
    tcu-20 W
    nd -6.5 W
    unlv/fresno ov 52 W
    bama.a&m ov 54 W
    bc/clem ov 36.5 W
    wf/nc un 52 L

    Added

    Aub/KY un 56 L
    KY  un 27 PUSH
    Au un 28.5 L
    ucla/stan un 56 L

    atl -3 L

  • #8732 by onebadrubi on 15 Oct 2015
  • I've been riding the toledo bandwagon since they beat us and they have covered every time.  Was also riding the harbaugh bus until I made the mistake of jumping off last week and taking NW and the points.  I'm getting back on this week.  Mich st has not looked good lately and has had quite a few injuries.

    I'm glad to see someone else on Toledo.  I've been laughed at for playing them, but like you said, they've been winning.  I do think this week though they are against a big spread.
  • #8733 by Piglet Dispersion Syndrome on 15 Oct 2015
  • Michigan and Marshall show up in a decent number of nice trends, and A&M shows up in a few.  Good luck! 

    May I ask where you look to for these trends?
  • #8734 by DadVader1 on 15 Oct 2015
  • They are my own, home-grown creations using spreadsheets, the power rating system data that you can download at thepredictiontracker.com and statistical data downloaded from the ncaa site.  I go into a bit more detail a few posts up.   
  • #8735 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 15 Oct 2015
  • Falcons -3
  • #8736 by WILL CLINTON on 15 Oct 2015
  • UCLA +7
  • #8737 by onebadrubi on 15 Oct 2015
  • Falcons -3

    What a sucker bet. I was on the same side as you
  • #8738 by hogsanity on 15 Oct 2015
  • What a sucker bet. I was on the same side as you

    I am just so bad at nfl games.
  • #8739 by DadVader1 on 16 Oct 2015
  • I am just so bad at nfl games.

    After a year or three of winning on Saturdays and losing on Sundays, I finally quit playing nfl games.  For a short time, I actually tried to fade myself on nfl picks ... making my picks and then taking the opposite teams.
  • #8740 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 16 Oct 2015
  • 0-4 in my last 4 nfl games....

    9-3 last 12 NCAA games.

    Pattern identified......

    Utah St. +8
  • #8741 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 16 Oct 2015
  • Baylor / Dime play
    Clemson -16 / 3 units
    Bama -3 / 5 units
    Notre Dame -4 / 3 units
    Louisville +7 / 5 units
    Texas Tech -32.5 / 5 units

    Possibly more to come

  • #8742 by Junkyard Hog on 16 Oct 2015
  • Got a unit on the Boise/UtahSt over 50
    Got a unit on Ole Miss -10.5
    Got several units on Bama -5
  • #8743 by Junkyard Hog on 16 Oct 2015
  • Got a unit on the Boise/UtahSt over 50

    Always nice to cover before halftime.
  • #8744 by WILL CLINTON on 17 Oct 2015

  • Utah St. +8

    Jeez man, you're on fire in NCAA.

    I had Houston -20, but just got home from work and traveled all day before, so didn't get to post. Here's the proof.

    Here's tomorrow's card:

    Mich St +7
    Bowling Green -10
    Ball St -13
    Ole Miss -10

    Starting off Saturday 1-1 on the week.
  • #8745 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 17 Oct 2015
  • Michigan -6
  • #8746 by jkstock04 on 17 Oct 2015
  • I got absolutely smoked last weekend hopefully will do better today.

    Florida +7, 5*
    USC +7, 5*
    OU -4, 4*
    OU/K. State over 54, 3*
    Oregon +3, 3*
    A&M +3.5, 3*
    Michigan St +7, 4*
  • #8747 by widespreadsooie on 17 Oct 2015
  • MIC -7 (Love this)
    Vandy ML +104
    FL +6.5
    A&M +4.5
    Bay -20.5 (Jeff prompted me to look into this and really ended up liking it)
  • #8748 by yraciv on 17 Oct 2015
  • My top 5 plays today.
    Georgia Tech -3 L
    A&M +4 L
    Clemson -16 W
    Louisville +7 L
    Mich St/Michi Over 42  W

    YTD: 16-12
  • #8749 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 17 Oct 2015
  • Jeez man, you're on fire in NCAA.

    I had Houston -20, but just got home from work and traveled all day before, so didn't get to post. Here's the proof.

    Here's tomorrow's card:

    Mich St +7
    Bowling Green -10
    Ball St -13
    Ole Miss -10

    Starting off Saturday 1-1 on the week.

    I need to tally it up but I'm doing pretty good in college football. Gotta stay away from the pros though, geeze..
  • #8750 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 17 Oct 2015
  • I got absolutely smoked last weekend hopefully will do better today.

    Florida +7, 5*
    USC +7, 5*
    OU -4, 4*
    OU/K. State over 54, 3*
    Oregon +3, 3*
    A&M +3.5, 3*
    Michigan St +7, 4*

    That Florida line scares the hell out of me with their starting QB now suspended for the year.
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