Welcome to Hogville!      Do Not Sell My Personal Information

OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)

Started by WILL CLINTON, August 28, 2011, 09:41:36 pm

Previous topic - Next topic

0 Members and 25 Guests are viewing this topic.

iCalledThatHogBrotha!

4-3 on my picks this week but overall lost $ due to putting too much on Alabama and Stanford.

W Texas Tech -28.5
W Wisconsin +12
L FSU -11
L Bama -35
W Ole Miss -14.5
W Mizzou LSU under 51
L Stanford +2.5

jkstock04

Rough go for me on the chargers today. They were up 13 points with 5:30 to go in the 4th...with possession of the ball...and still managed to lose the game.

NFL is truly a coin flip I feel sometimes. 
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

 

woodhog14

After going 4-0 last week, this week I went 1-2...isn't that how it always goes?

Michigan -10....L
Michigan St -5.5....L
Ole Miss -16...W

SPAL

Great weekend for college, just average on the pros.

DadVader1

Last weekend was the worst one I've had in years, going 4-7 (36.4%) for - 3 units, putting me at 55.6% and -2 units YTD.  I probably jumped the gun a bit and put too much weight on a trend with such a small sample size. 

After week 5, Road/Home teams are still hitting very balanced (49/51) and Favs/Dogs are hitting at around (53/47).  There was a bit of a correction for Road Favorites/Home Dogs (43/57) to drop Road Favorites to around 54% YTD. 

I've been tinkering with some minor upgrades to the spreadsheets that have eaten into my time for running what-if scenarios, but I should have things sufficiently pieced together this week to run several hundred thousand searches looking for trends that might be legitimate.  I've spotted a few trends of interest but nothing earth-shattering yet.     

Hawgndaaz

I'll be the first to say it. Bama -13 is tempting.

I didn't wager this weekend fyi. got my account setup last minute and did not want to dive in without doing any homework.

onebadrubi

Quote from: Hawgndaaz on October 03, 2016, 09:16:34 am
I'll be the first to say it. Bama -13 is tempting.

I didn't wager this weekend fyi. got my account setup last minute and did not want to dive in without doing any homework.

Arkansas first half might be a good play.  Arkansas starts strong and bama starts slow...

hogsanity

early leans this week:

memphis -9.5
tulsa - 17 ( smu is just terrible )
indiana +29
wash -8
fsu +3
People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

WILL CLINTON

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on October 02, 2016, 12:35:37 pm
Man, under 14, Bama lock. Over 21 I have to lean Arkansas. It's that 15-20 spot I wouldn't touch. 14 can turn into 21 and 17 can turn into 24 just that quick, and I'm not too sure we won't see another late game meltdown if Arkansas gets behind late after being competitive early. I'd take Arkansas in 1st half if the line is under 10.

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 03, 2016, 09:26:57 am
Arkansas first half might be a good play.  Arkansas starts strong and bama starts slow...

Great minds and all that jazz.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

WILL CLINTON

Thursday:
Houston -27...W

Friday:
Washington -3...W

Saturday:
Ole Miss -14***...W
Western Michigan -4...W
Louisville -1...L
Oregon -1...L
Miami -9...W
Tenn -4...L
South Florida -6...W
Iowa -13...L
*Mizzou +14...L

2016 Record: 26-29  47%  Bankroll: $919

3 winning weeks in a row after 2 losing. My Ole Miss 3* bet paid off nicely. My "system" picks went 2-2, but I did have Indiana.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

WILL CLINTON

Way too early leans:

VT +2.5
BG +12
NC State pick'em
Eastern Michigan +17
Oklahoma -10.5
Georgia State -10
Charlotte +14
UCLA -10
Ball State +12.5
TAMU -7
Miss St +2.5
Washington -8.5
UTEP -5.5
Bama -14
UNLV +14


There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

SPAL

Everybody is on Minnesota tonight.....

Not so fast my friend,
Giants +4 and the outright win


SPAL


 

woodhog14

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on October 03, 2016, 06:31:26 pm
Way too early leans:

VT +2.5
BG +12
NC State pick'em
Eastern Michigan +17
Oklahoma -10.5
Georgia State -10
Charlotte +14
UCLA -10
Ball State +12.5
TAMU -7
Miss St +2.5
Washington -8.5
UTEP -5.5
Bama -14
UNLV +14




I really like aTm this weekend.

WILL CLINTON

My first (usually only) bets of NFL this season are:

Giants ML +270
Giants +6.5
Giants v Minnesota o41.5
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

DadVader1

Quote from: woodhog14 on October 03, 2016, 07:32:05 pm
I really like aTm this weekend.

I haven't analyzed it in any detail yet, but I couldn't resist making a small play on Texas A&M when it came out at -6.5. 

widespreadsooie

I like Texas Tech +7 @ K St, A&M, Hogs, and SC +7.5 at home against UGA

hogsanity

Quote from: widespreadsooie on October 03, 2016, 10:57:45 pm
I like Texas Tech +7 @ K St, A&M, Hogs, and SC +7.5 at home against UGA
Quote from: WILL CLINTON on October 03, 2016, 07:47:19 pm
My first (usually only) bets of NFL this season are:

Giants ML +270
Giants +6.5
Giants v Minnesota o41.5

um, that looks like typical nlf results
People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

WILL CLINTON

Quote from: hogsanity on October 04, 2016, 08:33:23 am
um, that looks like typical nlf results
and I'll stop at 0-3. No more NFL this year.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

SPAL


SPAL


widespreadsooie

Quote from: widespreadsooie on October 03, 2016, 10:57:45 pm
I like Texas Tech +7 @ K St, A&M, Hogs, and SC +7.5 at home against UGA

Didn't realize Mahomes is Questionable. Explains the line I guess.

DadVader1

I'm sure that most of you guys are way ahead of me on this, but don't forget to take into account the weather for East coast games since there may be a hurricane headed that way.

hogsanity

Quote from: sir-pigs-a-lot on October 04, 2016, 05:25:16 pm
Orioles ML +165

yea I ate that one too. I had done really well with the O's the last two weeks.
People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

 

Hawgndaaz

Liking:

Western Kentucky -2.5
Houston -17
Colorado +4.5
Minnesota +1.5
Washington -8.5

hogsanity

playing the giants tonight

Football -

GA So -7 & -4 ( 1h )
WKU - 2.5
memphis -10
Notre Dame + 2.5
Hou -17
lsu/fla un 41
People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

DadVader1

October 05, 2016, 02:26:50 pm #10476 Last Edit: October 05, 2016, 07:22:45 pm by DadVader1
I haven't found any extraordinary trends but found enough to start to get comfortable ( a few hitting in mid 60's with 80+ occurrences, some in 70's with 50+ occurrences, a few 80's with 30+ occurrences), including a pretty steady one that has hit close to 70% every week.  Here's what I'm doing so far (1 unit each):

AZ St. +10
GA So. -7.5 (h)
Toledo -17
Aub -2.5
Ohio St. -29
SDS -14
SJS -2.5 (h)
TX AM -6.5
S. Miss -16.5
W. Mich -19
Air Force -10.5
OK -10

WooPig90


hogsanity

Quote from: hogsanity on October 05, 2016, 12:33:11 pm
playing the giants tonight

Football -

GA So -7 & -4 ( 1h )
WKU - 2.5
memphis -10
Notre Dame + 2.5
Hou -17
lsu/fla un 41


Well I am off to a great start, GA so puked on themselves
People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

jkstock04

Quote from: hogsanity on October 06, 2016, 08:59:27 am
Well I am off to a great start, GA so puked on themselves
5 turnovers for Red Wolves vs 0 for Georgia Southern. Minus the turnovers AR state wins that game by 3 scores.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

onebadrubi

Quote from: jkstock04 on October 06, 2016, 11:57:56 am
5 turnovers for Red Wolves vs 0 for Georgia Southern. Minus the turnovers AR state wins that game by 3 scores.

Reminded why I hate gambling on such awful teams.  That was just awful to watch from every aspect. Players, Coaching, ref's, all of it just awful.  I am sure I will be vulnerable to MaCtion coming up soon too.

jkstock04

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 06, 2016, 12:06:28 pm
Reminded why I hate gambling on such awful teams.  That was just awful to watch from every aspect. Players, Coaching, ref's, all of it just awful.  I am sure I will be vulnerable to MaCtion coming up soon too.
I agree it was awful football on both sides no matter how you slice it. Sloppiest game I can remember watching.

I guess you could give major props to the Red Wolves defense though.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

onebadrubi

Quote from: jkstock04 on October 06, 2016, 12:10:31 pm
I agree it was awful football on both sides no matter how you slice it. Sloppiest game I can remember watching.

I guess you could give major props to the Red Wolves defense though.

I was flipping back and forth between that and the wildcard game so didn't really pay that much attention.  But from what I did see, Ga so in the 4th just tried to run between the tackles to run the clock out, so it appeared?  Ark st did everything they could to give that game away and Ga so just didn't want to do it.

hogsanity

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 06, 2016, 12:13:36 pm
I was flipping back and forth between that and the wildcard game so didn't really pay that much attention.  But from what I did see, Ga so in the 4th just tried to run between the tackles to run the clock out, so it appeared?  Ark st did everything they could to give that game away and Ga so just didn't want to do it.

GA So has 3 qb's and all 3 are banged up from being used as sacrifices on so many qb runs and options. One could run but has a banged up arm, another could throw but could not run, and the 3rd looked awful doing both.

I was flipping too because I had SF -1.5 and figured I was going down on that too. Had them straight and parlayed with Bos tonight ( -1.5 ).

If I could stay off of any day but Sat I would be doing pretty good, but the NFL and these early games just eat my lunch.
People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

onebadrubi

Quote from: hogsanity on October 06, 2016, 03:39:45 pm
GA So has 3 qb's and all 3 are banged up from being used as sacrifices on so many qb runs and options. One could run but has a banged up arm, another could throw but could not run, and the 3rd looked awful doing both.

I was flipping too because I had SF -1.5 and figured I was going down on that too. Had them straight and parlayed with Bos tonight ( -1.5 ).

If I could stay off of any day but Sat I would be doing pretty good, but the NFL and these early games just eat my lunch.

The. We need to share picks. I'm doing well in NFL and getting my teeth kicked in throughout the week.

I had bluejays -1.5 then San Fran ml so was sweating those out right there with you.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

SF + 3.5 / 5 units
Memphis -10 / 5 units
Western KY -3 / 5 units
Let's make some waves.

hogsanity

People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

onebadrubi


hogsanity

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 07, 2016, 08:53:09 am
Wish I didn't have WKY or Memphis last night.  Geeze.

Oh I had both of them and the redsox.
People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

WooPig90


WooPig90

Luckily had Cards -3.5, the LA Tech Over kept on going on so I didnt take it but still should have!

Polecat

Arkansas born and raised. 1999 UA alum

McKdaddy

Bad nights happen, I know I'd rather not be reminded of mine when they occur.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

jkstock04

Got mine set for tomorrow already, feeling froggy & going a little heavy on everything:

Hogs +14, 5*
Maryland -2.5, 4*
Florida st +3, 4*
Va tech +2, 4*
Michigan st -5.5, 4*
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

WILL CLINTON

There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

SPAL


widespreadsooie

Quote from: jkstock04 on October 07, 2016, 04:09:51 pm
Got mine set for tomorrow already, feeling froggy & going a little heavy on everything:

Hogs +14, 5*
Maryland -2.5, 4*
Florida st +3, 4*
Va tech +2, 4*
Michigan st -5.5, 4*


I don't play too much anymore but I actually teased VT, FSU, and Hogs for my action tomorrow, so must say I like those three.

BigSexyHog

October 07, 2016, 10:13:54 pm #10497 Last Edit: October 07, 2016, 11:14:39 pm by BigSexyHog
For your Friday evening laughter. ....


I signed up for this service at the start of the year.   $99 for college and pros. For the most part they are at about 65% for the year.  Don't play all their games and go against them at times.   Tonight they had 2 5000 star plays.  New Mexico and BC.    LMAO....  How do you miss on your college locks of the year....lol.


Oh and the cherry on top of the sundae.   They also said play Tulsa.  And went 1-1 on the Thursday games... not starting the week off great....
Lebron raised money for kids... Rotnei stole crap from the equipment room

SPAL


BigSexyHog

Lebron raised money for kids... Rotnei stole crap from the equipment room