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  • #7001 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 16 Sep 2014
  • I say it once a week, but...

    I love this thread.
  • #7002 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 16 Sep 2014
  • We need an "investors convention."
  • #7003 by widespreadsooie on 16 Sep 2014
  • I say it once a week, but...

    I love this thread.

    Me too, it's become the main reason I check Hogville.
  • #7004 by widespreadsooie on 16 Sep 2014
  • Purdue +31  2*  WON
    Tulane pick 'em  1*  WON
    Louisville -7....1*  LOSS
    AR +2.5....2*   WON
    KY +17.5....1*   WON
    Penn St -3....1*  PUSH
    WKY +1....1*   LOSS

    2014-2015 season
    11-13-1 (46%) -$654profit -33% ROI Bankroll $1346


    4-2-1 on the week. Only 3 for this weekend, and I doubt I’ll add to it.

    OU -8….2*
    AU -9….1*
    NC +3….2*


    That OU line seems real fishy to me. Especially considering it opened at 11 and was immediately bet down to 8.
  • #7005 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 16 Sep 2014
  • We need an "investors convention."

    Let's set it up!
  • #7006 by widespreadsooie on 16 Sep 2014
  • Let's set it up!

    We could set up a golf round and gamble our asses off.
  • #7007 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 16 Sep 2014
  • We could set up a golf round and gamble our asses off.

    Hot springs village? 3 day weekend? One round per day? Split cost of rental?
  • #7008 by razorjack12 on 16 Sep 2014
  • An interesting stat comparing the 2 deeps for Auburn and Kansas State:

    Auburn
    28 Four Star recruits
    5 Five Star Recruits

    K State
    0 Four Star Recruits
    0 Five Star Recruits

    Line Auburn -8 1/2
  • #7009 by HogFanInBryant on 16 Sep 2014
  • Utah is probably my favorite play on the board this week. Waiting to see if it will get higher than 6.

    I locked in Auburn at -9.5 yesterday morning. Looks like I should have waited, figured the line would only shoot up. Don't think it will matter, Auburn should run away with it.

    I got in at +6 this morning for $300 and saw it is now down to +4.5 and I hate betting games this early but I knew it would start moving.
  • #7010 by onebadrubi on 16 Sep 2014
  • We need an "investors convention."

    Didn't you mention this in EI during season and we never set it up?

    I played in the village today.  Didn't bet but I hit it like crap, so that's good. 

    Let's do it quick before hunting season and I'm in. 

    Auburn is at -8.5.  I'm gonna wait and see if It can get to -8 so I can buy it down to -7.  The O is a little high but I'd sure love to play it. 
  • #7011 by WILL CLINTON on 16 Sep 2014
  • I say it once a week, but...

    I love this thread.

    +1 and ditto.

    Me too, it's become the main reason I check Hogville.

    +1, same here

    That OU line seems real fishy to me. Especially considering it opened at 11 and was immediately bet down to 8.

    I think it has a lot to do with the perception of WV hanging tough with Bama, and OU not destroying UT. I, personally, feel that OU is going to want to put it on WV since they hung within 10 of Bama so that in some roundabout way, Stoops can thump his chest like he beat the Tide again. Again JMO.

    Hot springs village? 3 day weekend? One round per day? Split cost of rental?

    I'm down to get together, but I don't play golf.

    An interesting stat comparing the 2 deeps for Auburn and Kansas State:

    Auburn
    28 Four Star recruits
    5 Five Star Recruits

    K State
    0 Four Star Recruits
    0 Five Star Recruits

    Line Auburn -8 1/2

    I just don't see any way KSt hangs within 14 of them. Again, JMO, but I don't see the players at KSt being able to handle as physical of a team as Auburn. They run and are powerful when they do it. I don't see a romp like we put on TT, but I don't see this game going down to the wire. Auburn is the real deal. You don't know how much it pains me to be objective against Auburn.

  • #7012 by onebadrubi on 16 Sep 2014
  • +1 and ditto.

    +1, same here

    I think it has a lot to do with the perception of WV hanging tough with Bama, and OU not destroying UT. I, personally, feel that OU is going to want to put it on WV since they hung within 10 of Bama so that in some roundabout way, Stoops can thump his chest like he beat the Tide again. Again JMO.

    I'm down to get together, but I don't play golf.

    I just don't see any way KSt hangs within 14 of them. Again, JMO, but I don't see the players at KSt being able to handle as physical of a team as Auburn. They run and are powerful when they do it. I don't see a romp like we put on TT, but I don't see this game going down to the wire. Auburn is the real deal. You don't know how much it pains me to be objective against Auburn.

    Golf carts are fun to drive drunk.

    And on your objective auburn comment, when talkin money it doesn't matter.  We prefer they whoop up on everyone they play here on out
  • #7013 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 16 Sep 2014
  • Didn't you mention this in EI during season and we never set it up?

    I played in the village today.  Didn't bet but I hit it like crap, so that's good. 

    Let's do it quick before hunting season and I'm in. 

    Auburn is at -8.5.  I'm gonna wait and see if It can get to -8 so I can buy it down to -7.  The O is a little high but I'd sure love to play it. 

    If hunting season comes before golf or football we simply can't be friends :)
  • #7014 by onebadrubi on 16 Sep 2014
  • If hunting season comes before golf or football we simply can't be friends :)

    Golf yes, football no.  The duck club tends to get angry when I mandate the TV be on arkansas killing nichols st.  (opening of dove season). 

    Friends buy friends drinks, I don't recall you buying me a drink :)  But lets make this get together happen
  • #7015 by widespreadsooie on 16 Sep 2014
  • Even a round at Stonebridge on a Friday before game day would be cool if enough people wanted to.

    Anyway, I do agree that the perception of WVU could be skewed due to their performance against Bama. That's a good point but something's telling me sharp money is moving that line.
  • #7016 by WILL CLINTON on 16 Sep 2014
  • Even a round at Stonebridge on a Friday before game day would be cool if enough people wanted to.

    Anyway, I do agree that the perception of WVU could be skewed due to their performance against Bama. That's a good point but something's telling me sharp money is moving that line.

    WV just lost their starting DB yesterday also, I believe.
  • #7017 by onebadrubi on 16 Sep 2014
  • WV just lost their starting DB yesterday also, I believe.

    qb or db?
  • #7018 by Porked Tongue on 16 Sep 2014
  • http://espn.go.com/espn/chalk/story/_/id/11540512/bettor-loses-100k-payday-5-bet-philadelphia-eagles-last-second-win

    15 game parlay vs the spread?

    I hope the guy found a way to bet against himself to offset a chunk of that,
  • #7019 by onebadrubi on 16 Sep 2014
  • http://espn.go.com/espn/chalk/story/_/id/11540512/bettor-loses-100k-payday-5-bet-philadelphia-eagles-last-second-win

    15 game parlay vs the spread?

    I hope the guy found a way to bet against himself to offset a chunk of that,

    He only bet $5.  I doubt he needed to offset a "chunk" being $5.  Only widespread hedges his bets of that caliber! haha
  • #7020 by widespreadsooie on 16 Sep 2014
  • He only bet $5.  I doubt he needed to offset a "chunk" being $5.  Only widespread hedges his bets of that caliber! haha

    Haha, I would have definitely been trying to hedge but sounds like the Delaware Sports Lottery only allows a minimum three team parlay so that would have been mighty tricky.
  • #7021 by WILL CLINTON on 16 Sep 2014
  • http://espn.go.com/espn/chalk/story/_/id/11540512/bettor-loses-100k-payday-5-bet-philadelphia-eagles-last-second-win

    15 game parlay vs the spread?

    I hope the guy found a way to bet against himself to offset a chunk of that,

    And I thought I'd had some bad beats. I'd probably cry myself to sleep for a month if I was that close to $100k only to see it taken from me.
  • #7022 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 16 Sep 2014
  • Golf yes, football no.  The duck club tends to get angry when I mandate the TV be on arkansas killing nichols st.  (opening of dove season). 

    Friends buy friends drinks, I don't recall you buying me a drink :)  But lets make this get together happen


    Lol I hear ya.
  • #7023 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 16 Sep 2014
  • Even a round at Stonebridge on a Friday before game day would be cool if enough people wanted to.

    Anyway, I do agree that the perception of WVU could be skewed due to their performance against Bama. That's a good point but something's telling me sharp money is moving that line.

    Possible, but since I live in the DFW area!  Well you know.
  • #7024 by Porked Tongue on 16 Sep 2014
  • He only bet $5.  I doubt he needed to offset a "chunk" being $5.  Only widespread hedges his bets of that caliber! haha

    He could have guaranteed himself a big payday.  If it were me, I would have bet $10000 against myself and guaranteed a payout either way.
  • #7025 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 16 Sep 2014
  • He could have guaranteed himself a big payday.  If it were me, I would have bet $10000 against myself and guaranteed a payout either way.

    This!
  • #7026 by HogFanInBryant on 16 Sep 2014
  • I would like some advice if you don't mind from some of the regulars here.  What are your thoughts on over 50 in the Redskins-Eagles this coming Sunday?  RG3 being out only makes me like this bet even more...Cousins is a stud!  I am seriously thinking about dropping $500 on the over barring any crazy weather or last minute injuries.  When you look at the big picture here...50 seems pretty damn low to me.  I could totally see this game being 40something to 30something.  Thoughts?
  • #7027 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 17 Sep 2014
  • I would like some advice if you don't mind from some of the regulars here.  What are your thoughts on over 50 in the Redskins-Eagles this coming Sunday?  RG3 being out only makes me like this bet even more...Cousins is a stud!  I am seriously thinking about dropping $500 on the over barring any crazy weather or last minute injuries.  When you look at the big picture here...50 seems pretty damn low to me.  I could totally see this game being 40something to 30something.  Thoughts?

    It seems like sound reasoning to me.  Wish I could give more feedback.  Totals are probably my week spot.  You would figure Philly scores at least 30 though right?  I dunno. Lol good luck either way Bud!
  • #7028 by onebadrubi on 17 Sep 2014
  • I would like some advice if you don't mind from some of the regulars here.  What are your thoughts on over 50 in the Redskins-Eagles this coming Sunday?  RG3 being out only makes me like this bet even more...Cousins is a stud!  I am seriously thinking about dropping $500 on the over barring any crazy weather or last minute injuries.  When you look at the big picture here...50 seems pretty damn low to me.  I could totally see this game being 40something to 30something.  Thoughts?

    I'd be hesitant.  Eagles have a pretty good D.  And they have yet to figure out how to score in the red zone or the 1st half.  I took them and the over with the colts with my largest bet ever and hurt barely squeezed by.  Philly got to the red zone 4 times at one point coming away with 6 points total I believe.  Cousins could have a decent day and score 14-21.  I could easily see it being a 13-17 redskins to 21-28 eagles.  You could look at teasing your bet?
  • #7029 by widespreadsooie on 17 Sep 2014
  • GT +8 locked for first Saturday play
  • #7030 by DadVader1 on 17 Sep 2014
  • I finally found some trends that look decent, but several of those picks make me think that we haven't flushed the cupcake effect out of the stats yet.  So far, I've done 1/2 unit each on the following:

    San Jose St. +8.5
    Virginia +14
    Miss. St. +10
    GT +8.5
    OK -8

    The sheets loved Utah State, but Arkansas State's brutal paycheck games have skewed their stats, so I'm passing.  The sheets like Hawaii, Texas A&M, and Rutgers, but they are all pretty banged up, so I'm passing on those as well. They also like Troy, but I just can't bring myself to play one where Georgia will pretty much name its points.  I wanted MO at -14 but the line was at -15.  I'll reassess and may add that later.   
  • #7031 by Tai_Mai_Shu on 17 Sep 2014
  • I heard somebody at work said Chuckie Keeton is out for Utah State. I know knee was banged up.
  • #7032 by DadVader1 on 17 Sep 2014
  • Good catch.  Yep, that game didn't make it close enough to my final cut for me to check injury reports, but this was on one of the sites:

    (!)[QB] 09/15/2014 - Chuckie Keeton is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Arkansas State ( Knee )
  • #7033 by HogFanInBryant on 17 Sep 2014
  • I'd be hesitant.  Eagles have a pretty good D.  And they have yet to figure out how to score in the red zone or the 1st half.  I took them and the over with the colts with my largest bet ever and hurt barely squeezed by.  Philly got to the red zone 4 times at one point coming away with 6 points total I believe.  Cousins could have a decent day and score 14-21.  I could easily see it being a 13-17 redskins to 21-28 eagles.  You could look at teasing your bet?

    Thanks for this info...not sure what I am gonna do but it is now up to 51 so we know where the public is going.  What scares me almost out of playing it is that you think there is even a chance it could be a 17-13 game...yikes!
  • #7034 by HogFanInBryant on 17 Sep 2014
  • I finally found some trends that look decent, but several of those picks make me think that we haven't flushed the cupcake effect out of the stats yet.  So far, I've done 1/2 unit each on the following:

    San Jose St. +8.5
    Virginia +14
    Miss. St. +10
    GT +8.5
    OK -8

    The sheets loved Utah State, but Arkansas State's brutal paycheck games have skewed their stats, so I'm passing.  The sheets like Hawaii, Texas A&M, and Rutgers, but they are all pretty banged up, so I'm passing on those as well. They also like Troy, but I just can't bring myself to play one where Georgia will pretty much name its points.  I wanted MO at -14 but the line was at -15.  I'll reassess and may add that later.   

    I am with you on Miss St +10 but that little voice in my gut tells me they will either win the game outright or get drilled...no in between.  I might take a look at the $ line on this one.  ESPN loves Miss St from all I have seen so far this year and none of them seem to be high on LSU.
  • #7035 by Hawgndaaz on 17 Sep 2014
  • Taking Cardinals -155 moneyline for 4 units per a friend that bets a lot of baseball
  • #7036 by HogFanInBryant on 17 Sep 2014
  • It seems like sound reasoning to me.  Wish I could give more feedback.  Totals are probably my week spot.  You would figure Philly scores at least 30 though right?  I dunno. Lol good luck either way Bud!

    I used to not keep up with totals much myself, but last year I made a killing on NFL totals.  It is amazing how often a total that seems really high goes over and a total that seems really low goes under.  Just food for thought.
  • #7037 by onebadrubi on 17 Sep 2014
  • Thanks for this info...not sure what I am gonna do but it is now up to 51 so we know where the public is going.  What scares me almost out of playing it is that you think there is even a chance it could be a 17-13 game...yikes!

    To be exact I am saying the redskins could score 13-17 and the eagles could score 21-28.  If I were to play this game, I'd tease it to widen the spread.  Also, Chip Kelly could get the Offense clicking and put 41 on the seahawks if he needed too.  He's got receivers, backs, and receivers with a good arm'd QB to score.  They just need to show they can score in the red zone consistently, and their kicker is a rookie that was un drafted and tried out for a couple of teams before the eagles signing him. 
  • #7038 by HogFanInBryant on 17 Sep 2014
  • To be exact I am saying the redskins could score 13-17 and the eagles could score 21-28.  If I were to play this game, I'd tease it to widen the spread.  Also, Chip Kelly could get the Offense clicking and put 41 on the seahawks if he needed too.  He's got receivers, backs, and receivers with a good arm'd QB to score.  They just need to show they can score in the red zone consistently, and their kicker is a rookie that was un drafted and tried out for a couple of teams before the eagles signing him. 

    Ok I misread that.  Makes me feel better for sure. 
  • #7039 by widespreadsooie on 17 Sep 2014
  • Keeton's backup is 6-1 as a starter
  • #7040 by widespreadsooie on 17 Sep 2014
  • Second Saturday play is MIZ -13.5 (-115)
  • #7041 by swinemaster on 17 Sep 2014
  • So far I just have a parlay booked for the weekend.

    Auburn -9
    Pitt -6.5
    ECU - 2.5

    $50 to win $292.70

    I hate to bet favorites but Oh well.
  • #7042 by onebadrubi on 17 Sep 2014
  • So far I just have a parlay booked for the weekend.

    Auburn -9
    Pitt -6.5
    ECU - 2.5

    $50 to win $292.70

    I hate to bet favorites but Oh well.

    Parlays are nice but I don't have the patience to parlay games not on the same day!  Ha
  • #7043 by razorjack12 on 18 Sep 2014
  • What does everyone think of a -330 Money Line wager on Auburn?

    I just don't see how K State wins this game.   Which is always what I say before making a stupid wager.
  • #7044 by onebadrubi on 18 Sep 2014
  • So you'd wager 330 to make a 100?  I personally wouldn't touch that with Monopoly money.  If you're that scared of covering the spread then stay away or find a confident way to tease it (gets it too -2.5).  I'd go drastic and buy it down 2 points at like -170 before I'd hit a -330 money line.  It's college football, Jacksonville st, Appalachian st, vandy to Arkansas a few years ago, etc.  these things happen.  There are obviously enough people betting at Kstate +9 or +8.5 to have kept it from moving, which scares me. 
  • #7045 by Hawgndaaz on 18 Sep 2014
  • I have seen it back at 9.5 this morning
  • #7046 by yraciv on 18 Sep 2014
  • What does everyone think of a -330 Money Line wager on Auburn?

    I just don't see how K State wins this game.   Which is always what I say before making a stupid wager.

    Playing heavy favorites on the money line is always a stupid wager in college football, win or lose.
  • #7047 by Hawgndaaz on 18 Sep 2014
  • first half is at -5. I may take that instead of buying it back down to 9. I already have 2 units on Au at 9 from earlier in the week.
  • #7048 by onebadrubi on 18 Sep 2014
  • first half is at -5. I may take that instead of buying it back down to 9. I already have 2 units on Au at 9 from earlier in the week.

    Buying it back down to 9?  Did your book move it too -11?  I can get it at -7 for -150

    Actually, I just checked again, I can get it at -7 for -110!!!!!
  • #7049 by Hawgndaaz on 18 Sep 2014
  • Buying it back down to 9?  Did your book move it too -11?  I can get it at -7 for -150

    Auburn just dropped to -8 on mine
  • #7050 by onebadrubi on 18 Sep 2014
  • I still haven't placed my bet yet, because vegas seems to know something I don't.  I just can't see Kstate having the depth to hold Auburn.  After seeing the Hogs first half with them I'm definitely leaving the first half alone though, at least with the spread. 
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