This should be the low for the rest of the year.

[hamARchy in the USA]

It's doable.   The bounce at the end of last year which carried into early this year had the look from the start as a bear market bounce.  MA's program was hitting a new low before the sudden turnaround that drew back in all the suckers.  Now the bear market is resuming.

Resumption of the bear market is solidly underway now.  Look for new lows ahead if MA remains.

MA's bull market top was his 2nd year as a head coach when at UAB his team tied for the conference title and surged into the Sweet 16.

5 years later, in his third year at Mizzou, his team only finished third in the conference but unlike most of his teams it finished strongly by winning the conference tourney and advancing to the Elite Eight.

8 years later, in his sixth year at Arkansas, his team was plumbing new depths when it made a sharp turnaround and finished in a tie for third in the conference and at least got past the first round of the NCAA tourney before losing to the eventual national champ. 

In 16 years as a head coach those three years were the only ones in which his team closed with what could be called a strong finish.  Some would want to argue that his fourth year at Arkansas was better than his sixth.  However, the conference schedule, which the team struggled with, was by far the easiest schedule in the conference that year so that must be taken into account when considering the record and the finish.

The numbers 2, 5, and 8 are Fibonacci numbers.  The next number in the series is 13.  It appears it will be 13 more years before MA will have a team finish strongly again.  And since the first three have gotten progressively weaker then that team will do even worse than this year's team.