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OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)

Started by WILL CLINTON, August 28, 2011, 09:41:36 pm

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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on September 14, 2013, 07:29:44 pm
Man, wow is all I can say. Wow.

Bama -5 2nd half 1* L$226
Bama v TAMU half 31.5 1* L$226
Buffalo -13 1* L$226
Bama -8 1* L$226
GaTech -9 3* W$824
Bowling Green +3 2* L$453
N Illini -28.5 2* L$453
USC -16 1* L$177 (this never got figured in last week)
Stanford -24 1* L$177(never got figured in last week)
Ball St -3 5* L$2269 hurts so bad!!

I do have 2 games still ongoing, Maryland and Washington. Without those, I am a dismal 1-7 this week and my bankroll took a HUGE hit.

For the year, without the remaining 2 games this week.

15-18-1   $518   -83% ROI

Will with some of those totals I have to assume a unit for you is 200.00

For me a unit is 100.00

I had no idea you were throwing that much coin at games early this season.

I do it as well, but not as much until later in the year.

You know that you know your stuff though and it could easily have gone the other way and you end up with a monster day.

Hope you kill it today and next week.

Just hate to see you drop that much of the bankroll early in te season.
Let's make some waves.

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

 

Huckleberry Pig

Thursday:
Jets +13   (2*)   W

Saturday:
Ball St -3   (3*)   L
Maryland -7   (3*)   W
Louisville -13   (3*)   W
Washington -10   (2*)   Push
Va Tech -7   (2*)  L
Arizona State -4   (1*)   L
Tennessee +28   (1*)   L
BC +14   (1*)   L
UCLA +4.5   (1*)   W
Ole Miss +4.5   (1*)   W


Went 4-5 and broke even yesterday, would definitely like to clean that up.  Not doing very hot with my 1*'s, but 3*'s looking decent so far.  Kinda tells me I need to focus on the plays I like and resist the ones I'm not as confident in.  So far +2 units on the weekend with the Jets win. 

Huckleberry Pig

September 15, 2013, 10:02:12 am #4103 Last Edit: September 15, 2013, 10:59:29 am by Huckleberry Pig
NFL Today:

Saints -3   (3*)  Bumped this up from a 2* to a 3*
Cardinals +1   (2*)
Rams +7   (2*)
Bears -5.5   (1*)
Niners +1   (1*)

SPAL

September 15, 2013, 10:28:12 am #4104 Last Edit: September 15, 2013, 09:16:23 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot
 Full Sunday card:

Dolphins +3.   4 units.     W

Falcons -5.     3 units.      W

Browns +7.    2 units.      L

Jags +1.       1 unit         L

BJOhog

September 15, 2013, 10:30:34 am #4105 Last Edit: September 15, 2013, 01:33:17 pm by billyjoeozark
L     9/13/13 9:00pm  Reduced Fighting  3401 Houston Alexander +215* vs Vladimir Matyushenko
Canceled 9/14/13 10:00pm  Reduced Fighting  3202 Elvis Mutapcic -105* vs Jesse Taylor
L    3 Team Parlay
Pending   9/13/13 8:00pm  College Football  109 Air Force/Boise State Over 55 -140*
Pending   9/14/13 3:30pm  College Football  143 Tennessee/Oregon Over 72½ -110*
Pending   9/14/13 12:20pm  College Football  165 Southern Mississippi/Arkansas Over 50 -104*   

  L  4 Team Parlay
Pending   9/13/13 8:00pm  College Football  109 Air Force/Boise State Over 55 -140*
Pending   9/14/13 12:00pm  College Football  117 Louisville -14½ -110* vs Kentucky
Pending   9/14/13 12:20pm  College Football  165 Southern Mississippi/Arkansas Over 49½ -110*
Pending   9/14/13 5:00pm  College Extra Football  338 Arkansas-Pine Bluff +1½

W 9/14/13 7:00pm  College Football  266 Toledo -7½ -110* vs East Washington


L  9/14/13 12:00pm  Reduced Football  117 Louisville -14½ -102* vs Kentucky


L  9/14/13 12:00pm  Reduced Football  140 Nebraska -3 -113* vs UCLA


L 9/14/13 3:30pm  Reduced Football  143 Tennessee +28 -108* vs Oregon


L 9/14/13 3:30pm  Reduced Football  143 Tennessee +3250* vs Oregon


  W  9/14/13 3:30pm  Reduced Football  152 Texas A&M +8½ -107* vs Alabama

W  9/14/13 7:00pm  Reduced Football  167 Vanderbilt +14 -109* vs South Carolina


W   9/14/13 10:30pm  Reduced Football  193 Wisconsin +5 -107* vs Arizona State




today


NFL Football  207 Washington Redskins/Green Bay Packers Under 50 -110*
NFL Football  217 Jacksonville Jaguars/Oakland Raiders Over 41½ +105*
w NFL Football  199 Tennessee Titans 1st Half +6½ -110* vs Houston Texans


---
the tooledo is the only team this year that has won every week for me i should have bought some points on that loiusvile game and i would have come out ahead the other games i just plain misread really thought ole tenner and nebraska would have more punch in them i played a low money line and parley dolar ammount but went a unit here so my totals are diferent here

i started this weekend down to 340 or so hogville bankrol after nfl today il try to figure it all up

daprospecta

Pending   2 Team Teaser (ties win) Teaser tw 6½fb & 5bk
Pending   9/15/13 1:00pm  NFL Football  196 Philadelphia Eagles -2 * vs San Diego Chargers
Pending   9/15/13 1:00pm  NFL Football  195 San Diego Chargers/Philadelphia Eagles Under 60 *

The over line is a tad bit inflated in this game but I needed a bit of cushion to feel comfortable. 

Hooch

1-1 yesterday college is whipping my butt. 

NFL I am 5-2-1

Going ATL -6
Baltimore -7
Cowboys +3

All for 1 unit. 


Huckleberry Pig


hawgmasta

NFL picks, September 15th

Philly -7.5 3*
Titans +8 1*
Falcons -6 1*
Packers -7.5 2*
Saints -3.5 2*
Raiders -4.5 1*
49ers +3 1*

DamonBoost

I added two late yesterday trying to grasp for straws and make up for the horrible day..

Parlay (3 Teams)    Lost
Mississippi 44   
Texas 23    
Under 64

OregonSt 51   
Utah 48    
Over 54

WKentucky 24   
SouthAlabama 31    
WKentucky -7 (-115)

And a Push:
ArizonaU -25

5-8-1 going into my NFL today (posted picks a few pages back)

This weekend was brutal but I came away from it just amazed how good Vegas is..

DamonBoost

Just let my wife pick a 3 team parlay for me.  I figure she can pick just as well as me this weekend..

49ers (SanFrancisco) +2.5
Giants (NewYork) +4
Cardinals (Arizona) +2

BJOhog

September 15, 2013, 01:00:18 pm #4112 Last Edit: September 15, 2013, 01:24:02 pm by billyjoeozark
the texans kicker must have placed mpney on titans first half to
missed two fgs he normaly makes



well titans kicker just missed one  ccrap


schab just sealed this one houston never gona win a superbowl with him

 

Oliver

Guys.  SEATTLE (-3) is free money. 

I don't understand the SF (+3) bets

Hooch

September 15, 2013, 03:06:28 pm #4114 Last Edit: September 15, 2013, 03:22:58 pm by Hooch
adding saints -4

Also Broncos -4.5  both for 1 unit. 

hollywood hog


Hooch

Quote from: hollywood hog on September 15, 2013, 03:49:17 pm
Do tell

He thinks they are unbeatable at home.  As they were last year, the Sea Chickens have one of the only true home field advantages in the NFL. 

I am not as confident, SF is very very good, but even last year Seattle sucked on the road and was unstoppable at home. 


BJOhog

Quote from: Oliver on September 15, 2013, 01:05:07 pm
Guys.  SEATTLE (-3) is free money. 

I don't understand the SF (+3) bets

i bought what yer selling
what the hey hay
   Pending   9/15/13 8:35pm  NFL Football  222 Seattle Seahawks -3 -110* vs San Francisco 49ers 

hollywood hog

Quote from: billyjoeozark on September 15, 2013, 04:43:34 pm
i bought what yer selling
what the hey hay
   Pending   9/15/13 8:35pm  NFL Football  222 Seattle Seahawks -3 -110* vs San Francisco 49ers

Don't bet against CK7

Huckleberry Pig

Quote from: Hooch on September 15, 2013, 10:46:29 am
1-1 yesterday college is whipping my butt. 

NFL I am 5-2-1

Going ATL -6
Baltimore -7
Cowboys +3

All for 1 unit.

Looks like another good day hooch, nice!

Huckleberry Pig

Saints doing everything they can to lose this.  Actually they had multiple chances to put this one away but keep turning the damn ball over in the redone.  Makin me sick.  Ugly ugly game.  Doesn't help I have Brees, sproles, and Jackson on my fantasy team... BAD day


BJOhog

Quote from: Huckleberry Pig on September 15, 2013, 07:37:25 pm
Ugh

i agree my over unders were like that

watched yours to.

ugh day

hopfully this follow of oliver doesnt make me regret hogville today hoho
but to be honest i liked seatle too


modified ut
to be honest how in the heck can chiefs or seatle ever lose at home my laptop is rattling from the noise

Hooch

Quote from: Huckleberry Pig on September 15, 2013, 06:43:11 pm
Looks like another good day hooch, nice!

Thanks man.  If New Orleans could have pulled it out I would have went 5-0, but I will take 4-1 every sunday. 

I couldn't make myself bet the Seattle game, but am thinking bout laying on the Bengals tomorrow. 

 

UAstudent13

So the Atlanta-Miami game opened up as a pickem, then I guess the sharps all jumped on Miami. I leapt on the Falcons +2.5. Obviously I don't normally pick games this early, but feel like I couldn't pass that up. I'll take the points for the Falcons on the road.

DadVader1

Went 1-1 on gut plays (0.5 units each) and 3-2 on spreadsheet plays (0.2 units each) to go 4-3 and +0.2 units on the day.  That makes it 8-4 & +1.7 units on the season.  After this weekend, I'm starting to build some better sample sizes, am starting to like a few of the trends that are developing, and am getting excited about the second half of the season.  I plan to increase the units a little next week and hope to hit full stride the week after that. 

SPAL

NCAA 3-1 Saturday.                            +4 units
NFL 2-2    ( hit my 4 and 3 unit.)          +4 units

Leans 3-0

+8 units this wknd.

Huckleberry Pig

Looks like everyone did well (aside from me) this weekend, love seeing that on here.  Congrats guys!

Huckleberry Pig

Looks like I may lose a unit or 3 today depending on the outcome of the SF game.  Not really upset with how I capped the NO game.  Anyone watching that game should know they should not have even had to have a game winning drive.  Turnovers in the redzone just killed them, very uncharacteristic of Brees and the saints.

BJOhog

Quote from: Huckleberry Pig on September 15, 2013, 09:27:20 pm
Looks like everyone did well (aside from me) this weekend, love seeing that on here.  Congrats guys!

dont feel like that ole lone ranger my man
trust me i took a back seat pounding prison style last two weeks tho this week was close to even

thing is look at this like the long run
when i was a young in like 30 years ole i took a lot of beatings then i guess carkma kicked in and i went on a 15 year 60 percent win scid maybe 55 there is some debate

but you got to look at beting as a lifelong venture and from etingwhat ive seen from you and others you will be way more sucessful than i was. to be honest im just an old man that needs the excitement now also i like to hear my kids cry when i lose the money they thank they are getting. I'm sending it al to a charity hoho.

anyweay just ssaying i like you and 4 other folk style here and your are the typeof boys that use to give me fits when i ran the numbers the profit margin is slim for us second tier or thier teir runners . stay sharp. stay on course. i see that clinton dude lost a lot i just hope you boys with talant dont stop.

lot of folk watse money on drugs, on games, on books, on the booze on women.... you men want to know the truth? everyman needs an escape from their reality and at least at gambling if you stay away from the other vices and you are smart you can make money

thats straignt from the pawn shop i think i am to many pbrs in which makes me brake the vice rule i jus mentioned

Oliver

Quote from: hollywood hog on September 15, 2013, 04:59:42 pm
Don't bet against CK7

Don't bet against the Seattle crowd, Harbaugh's inability to make in game adjustments, the crappy Niners secondary, and the way the Niners are trying to get Kaep to not run and turn him into a pocket passer. 

Kaep would have had a TD tonight on the pick he threw in the endzone had he run it in.  He's also missed some easy first downs tonight when he threw instead of running from them.

This game is going to turn into a bigger nightmare for the Niners than it already is.

widespreadsooie

Did bad this past Saturday. 5-9, -3 units. 17-18 -1 unit less juice YTD. Obviously it's time for me to stop kidding myself with double digit plays and expecting profit in the midst of my young gambling career. I'll be cutting plays down significantly from here on out. Got way too excited out the gate.   

MuskogeeHogFan

No published line on the Hogs @ Rutgers yet but looking at this game early on, it looks like the Hogs win by 3 to me. I'll continue to evaluate as the week progresses, but that is how it looks to me right now.

What do you guys think?
Go Hogs Go!

The Hogfather

Quote from: MuskogeeHogFan on September 16, 2013, 07:53:34 am
No published line on the Hogs @ Rutgers yet but looking at this game early on, it looks like the Hogs win by 3 to me. I'll continue to evaluate as the week progresses, but that is how it looks to me right now.

What do you guys think?

Is Allen going to play?  How close to 100% will he be?  Will he be able to practice this week?  Can they move forward with installing more of their offense with him being limited?  With him at 100% or close, I think we win the game, especially if Nova doesn't play.  However, I think there are just too many unknowns right now.

Oliver

Quote from: MuskogeeHogFan on September 16, 2013, 07:53:34 am
No published line on the Hogs @ Rutgers yet but looking at this game early on, it looks like the Hogs win by 3 to me. I'll continue to evaluate as the week progresses, but that is how it looks to me right now.

What do you guys think?

Both starting QBs healthy, Hogs (-3).

Allen healthy but not Rutgers starting QB, Hogs (-6.5).

Allen out, Rutgers starting QB healthy, Rutgers (-3)

jkstock04

Quote from: Oliver on September 15, 2013, 10:12:25 pm
Don't bet against the Seattle crowd, Harbaugh's inability to make in game adjustments, the crappy Niners secondary, and the way the Niners are trying to get Kaep to not run and turn him into a pocket passer. 

Kaep would have had a TD tonight on the pick he threw in the endzone had he run it in.  He's also missed some easy first downs tonight when he threw instead of running from them.

This game is going to turn into a bigger nightmare for the Niners than it already is.
Nice call on your part for this game...u nailed it. Niners pretty much never stood a chance in this one. That crowd was defening to be sure...ugly night for the Niners.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

Huckleberry Pig

Quote from: Huckleberry Pig on September 15, 2013, 10:02:12 am
NFL Today:

Saints -3   (3*)   L (still bitter, they should have won by at least 6)
Cardinals +1   (2*)   W
Rams +7   (2*)   P
Bears -5.5   (1*)   L
Niners +1   (1*)   L

1-3-1 -3 units yesterday.  Brings me to -1 unit for the weekend.  Just an ugly weekend for me.  Again, not too disappointed on how I capped the NO game, sometimes bad breaks just happen. 

Huckleberry Pig

Overall Record:  12-14-2
3*: 4-3-0   (+3 units)
2*: 3-1-2   (+4 units)
1*: 5-10-0   (-5 units)

P/L: +2 units

College: 8-10-1
NFL: 4-4-1

Summary:  Like last week, the 1* plays are really hurting me.  Need to focus on less plays that I'm more confident in.  Still + units but really need to improve the overall record.  On to this week!

Huckleberry Pig

Quote from: Oliver on September 15, 2013, 10:12:25 pm
Don't bet against the Seattle crowd, Harbaugh's inability to make in game adjustments, the crappy Niners secondary, and the way the Niners are trying to get Kaep to not run and turn him into a pocket passer. 

Kaep would have had a TD tonight on the pick he threw in the endzone had he run it in.  He's also missed some easy first downs tonight when he threw instead of running from them.

This game is going to turn into a bigger nightmare for the Niners than it already is.

this was a great call here Oliver, nice read.

MuskogeeHogFan

Quote from: The Hogfather on September 16, 2013, 08:14:38 am
Is Allen going to play?  How close to 100% will he be?  Will he be able to practice this week?  Can they move forward with installing more of their offense with him being limited?  With him at 100% or close, I think we win the game, especially if Nova doesn't play.  However, I think there are just too many unknowns right now.

Well that is what I said, right now. And you are right, we don't know for sure about either QB playing, which would definitely have an effect on the line. I was just curious about what everyone thought given what we know right now.
Go Hogs Go!

Huckleberry Pig

Quote from: MuskogeeHogFan on September 16, 2013, 09:22:40 am
Well that is what I said, right now. And you are right, we don't know for sure about either QB playing, which would definitely have an effect on the line. I was just curious about what everyone thought given what we know right now.

I don't bet the Hogs but I would suggest waiting till you find out anything official before placing a bet.  You place one now and things might go your way and you get the better deal on the line.  They could also not go your way and you could get screwed. 

Oliver

Quote from: Huckleberry Pig on September 16, 2013, 09:19:37 am
this was a great call here Oliver, nice read.

Thanks.  In fairness, I'm a Niners fan so I knew what was coming.

That was Seattle's most important game to them this year outside of a playoff game.  When I saw Seattle (-3), I thought it was the easiest bet of the year.

SPAL

Quote from: MuskogeeHogFan on September 16, 2013, 07:53:34 am
No published line on the Hogs @ Rutgers yet but looking at this game early on, it looks like the Hogs win by 3 to me. I'll continue to evaluate as the week progresses, but that is how it looks to me right now.

What do you guys think?

I like that number. I think it's a pick and giving Rutgers 3 , which every home team gets , shows me vegas would agree. I doubt we ever get a line though. Vegas has Allen as probable and Nova as questionable. Until both quarterbacks are confirmed to go, there will likely not be a play.

Huckleberry Pig

tempted to jump on K-State right now.  +4.5 is a gift.  Reminds me of us last year.  Have several big UT guys in the office, one went to the game this past weekend and is on the orangebloods board.  Said they have given up.  Coaches fighting, apparently someone called a players only meeting yesterday or today and only half the team showed up.  Thinking about taking this now at a rare 5* play.

SPAL

Quote from: widespreadsooie on September 13, 2013, 07:41:52 pm
Thanks for that. Since it's a 2 unit play, I'll consider putting 1 on the under to not completely fade my gut.

Did u end up doing this? I'm glad you asked about the movement and considered fading instead of loading up with a double dip and losing twice.

SPAL

September 16, 2013, 02:45:04 pm #4145 Last Edit: September 16, 2013, 10:56:07 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot
Monday night card:

Cinci -6 (bought the hook) 4 units.    W

Huckleberry Pig

Quote from: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 16, 2013, 02:45:04 pm
Monday night card:

Cinci -6 (bought the hook) 4 units.

GL.  This line screams Cinci to me as well but that's why I'm staying away.  Seems too good to be true.  Pitt still has a quality D and one of the better coaches in the league.  Think they could turn it around here and keep it close.  Pitt has owned Cinci as of late as well.  Not confident enough in either team to make a play.  GL sir!

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Well I must be out of my mind. Admittedly I am a huge Steeler fan.

Steelers +7 / 2 units
Over 40 / 2 units

Parlay same way 1 unit.
Let's make some waves.

la20688

I agree this game points to Cincy. After watching The Steelers offense last week coupled with what appears to be a pretty stout Cincy D, the bengals seem pretty solid at-7. However, bovada as it at Cincy -7 (+105). They are begging you to take Cincy. Makes me a little nervous, but I'm taking them anyway:

Cincy -7/2.5u

Huckleberry Pig

Quote from: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on September 16, 2013, 03:41:56 pm
Well I must be out of my mind. Admittedly I am a huge Steeler fan.

Steelers +7 / 2 units
Over 40 / 2 units

Parlay same way 1 unit.

If I were gonna play it tonight, this is what I'd play.