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OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)

Started by WILL CLINTON, August 28, 2011, 09:41:36 pm

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onebadrubi

Quote from: mckinneyhog5 on October 22, 2016, 11:10:10 am
Well, Minnesota is is -18 but taking 82% of the money line at -1100 and Army is -17.5 and money line at -900 taking 89%.

I don't personally believe people are playing minn ML except for in parlays.

WooPig90


 

Spikes

You only have one life, so you better enjoy it!

Spikes

Quote from: Spikes on October 21, 2016, 08:23:55 pm
U Mass +21   W
Miami  Ohio +2 W
Louisville -19.5 W
Rutgers +19 W
Indiana +2.5 L
BAMA -17.5 W
MEMPHIS +1.5 L
TULANE +10.5 L
CHARLOTTE +10 W
AUBURN-10 W
SMU +21 W
NEW MEXICO STATE +14 W
ASU-8 PENDING        10-3 with one game left
Penn State +18  W


All of these games are big % of the public on one team, but the line is moving in other directions.   

I just starting following this trend.  Was in Vegas 2 weeks ago and this old man said this is how he bets for a long time.. Said he chases the big money. 

The record for the past 2 week is 18-8.  Would just watch tomorrow and see how it works out.  Will look into the NFL and post as well.  I will be betting these games around $25-$30 starting out.  IF they start hitting I may add more on the later games. 

Good luck team




Over all a strong day with one play pending.  I will look in the line movement in the morning, will try and post if i find any games that match the line movement . Will be hunting so will try my best.

Good luck as always guys.
You only have one life, so you better enjoy it!

widespreadsooie


Spikes

Finished 11-3 yesterday.

Only early games so far are the Jags -2 and the Jets -2. Rams should have been a pick but didn't realized it started early

2 picks so far. Will look into afternoon games when I get done hunting

Good luck
You only have one life, so you better enjoy it!

SPAL

Vikings -3
Falcons -5.5
Saints +7
Steelers +7
Bills -2.5

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

My kiddos team is favored in teeball today. I took us minus a run and a half :)

Thats no lie.
Let's make some waves.

jkstock04

Forgot to post my picks yesterday but had a great day went 4-1.

Gonna press some today:

Chiefs -6, 5*
Jags -2, 4*
Chargers +6, 4*
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

BigSexyHog

Quote from: jkstock04 on October 23, 2016, 12:11:07 pm
Forgot to post my picks yesterday but had a great day went 4-1.

Gonna press some today:

Chiefs -6, 5*
Jags -2, 4*
Chargers +6, 4*


We have went the exact opposite
Lebron raised money for kids... Rotnei stole crap from the equipment room

jkstock04

Quote from: BigSexyHog on October 23, 2016, 12:11:50 pm

We have went the exact opposite
At least that means someone is going to be up on here today
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

DadVader1

Had an odd week, going 5-6-3 for -2 units, putting me at 53.6% & -2 units YTD.  The trend that I was following did not pan out, going 2-3-1 on the week.  I've never had 3 pushes in one week before.  I'll take 5-6-3 for a bad week and am cautiously optimistic with another week of data ... hope springs eternal. 

Spikes

You only have one life, so you better enjoy it!

 

hogsanity

Quote from: hogsanity on October 21, 2016, 04:16:50 pm
My plays this weekend

cal -2 W
wisc -4.5 W
ucf-4 W
okist/ks ov 61 W
ind/nw ov 53 L
nc -11 W
mem -3 L
hou -21 L
latech -17 W
ou -14 L


6-4,
People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

BigSexyHog

Pretty much broke even on Saturday.

Sunday went 4-2
Win - New Orleans,  Miami, Oakland, and Seattle :)
Lost - Cleveland and Washington

What's everyone thinking tonight? 
Lebron raised money for kids... Rotnei stole crap from the equipment room

DadVader1

I like the trends that have developed and am hoping that last week was just an odd week and this week will be more like two weeks ago.  So far, I've done 2 units each on:

Stanford -5
Clem -4.5
Miami(O) +7.5
NM +3
NW +27
AZ St +7.5
Marshall +16.5
SMU +3 (h)
Cal +16.5
TX Tech +8.5
Mich -23
Wash St. -12.5
Maryland +5
Boise -13.5

The trend that is most interesting to me this week is 26-4 and is a subset of a trend hitting 70% w/ 92 occurrences.  It likes:

Stanford -5
Clem -4.5
AZ St +7.5
Cal +16.5
TX Tech +8.5
Mich -23
Wash St. -12.5
Boise -13.5

WILL CLINTON

Indiana +3...L
Rutgers +18...W
UL v NC St o66...W
SMU +23...W
Ball St -3...L
Mizzou -7...L
Bama -18...W
West Virginia -5...W
LSU -8...W

2016 Record 41-46 47% Bankroll: $855


Finally!! A good week. went 6-3 for 67%, but still a losing record for the year.

Already locked in Auburn -4 for this week.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

widespreadsooie


hogsanity

People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

WILL CLINTON

There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

widespreadsooie


hogsanity

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on October 27, 2016, 01:00:11 am
Thursday:

Toledo -17
USC -16

So much chalk.

The only dog I see this weekend, so far anyway, that I might play is Cal tonight +16.

People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

McKdaddy

Clem/fsu  u60.5
UW/Utah  o52
Mia OH +7.58
USF  -6  1u
Bay  -4
Neb  +9
NW  +26.5
ND  +2
UH  -10
UCF/UH  o58.5
IU  -5
okie st  +3.5
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

hogsanity

I am also playing the 1st half a lot more, tired of losing when some team gives up a trash td at the end.
People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

 

WooPig90

Not sure which way to lean in tonights NFL game. In that case, thinking of just teasing the jags and the over

onebadrubi

Quote from: WooPig90 on October 27, 2016, 02:59:04 pm
Not sure which way to lean in tonights NFL game. In that case, thinking of just teasing the jags and the over

DOn't you have to be a real degen to want action on this game?  haha what an awful game to put on one of the days you are trying to isolate NFL viewers.  This game would meet the definition of an 11:00am SEC kick off. 

FYI I noticed some peole start mentioned Bortles has a drinking problem and is hitting up the bars night before games.  He was caught in a bar in the AM hours before the Raiders game supposedly...

jkstock04

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 27, 2016, 03:08:22 pm
DOn't you have to be a real degen to want action on this game?  haha what an awful game to put on one of the days you are trying to isolate NFL viewers.  This game would meet the definition of an 11:00am SEC kick off. 

FYI I noticed some peole start mentioned Bortles has a drinking problem and is hitting up the bars night before games.  He was caught in a bar in the AM hours before the Raiders game supposedly...
Not surprising. One of my buddies is gonna light up the Jags tonight...just sounds awful to me.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

WooPig90

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 27, 2016, 03:08:22 pm
DOn't you have to be a real degen to want action on this game?  haha what an awful game to put on one of the days you are trying to isolate NFL viewers.  This game would meet the definition of an 11:00am SEC kick off. 

FYI I noticed some peole start mentioned Bortles has a drinking problem and is hitting up the bars night before games.  He was caught in a bar in the AM hours before the Raiders game supposedly...

Lol i dont really do NBA, so I do a ton of NFL and college.


Spikes

Here are the picks tonight based on reverse line movement

Jags +3.5

USC -19

Good luck 

will give it a few games and look at the NBA later this weekend
You only have one life, so you better enjoy it!

Green_Lanternn

October 27, 2016, 06:07:33 pm #10680 Last Edit: October 27, 2016, 09:15:39 pm by Green_Lanternn
Tonight:

Titans/Jags under 43.5
Cal +20 vs USC
Ohio +9 1(h)
Va Tech -3.5
Titans -3
Va tech -1.5 (2h)
Titans -.5 (2h)

jkstock04

Quote from: Green_Lanternn on October 27, 2016, 06:07:33 pm
Tonight:

Titans/Jags under 43.5
Cal +20 vs USC
Ohio +9 1(h)
Va Tech -3.5
Think I'm gonna jump on cal getting 20 for 3 units.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

jkstock04

Yep cals done...awful bet. May as well have been on Jacksonville.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

BigSexyHog

Tenn -3
Freaking dumbass Toledo - 15 (biggest idiot bet)
Cal +19 1/2  thought when it went from 16 to 19 1/2 I was in good shape... Jokes on me.

1-2 heading into Friday
Lebron raised money for kids... Rotnei stole crap from the equipment room

Spikes

1-1 last night.  Down .3 units

Tonight we have Utah State. +5 1/2

NBA Suns +9.5
Magic +3.5
Bobcats ML
Rockets ML
Jazz -9.5    All 3 units so far.  Not sure the record but 11-3 last Saturday.  Even on Sunday

Good luck as always team
You only have one life, so you better enjoy it!

woodhog14


widespreadsooie

That Auburn line does seem low considering how we ran on OM and now AUB ran on us.

WILL CLINTON

leaning on USF tonight hard. Think Navy is hyped a little after Houston win.

Edit: just realized it has already started. going to look for a live line.

Edit 2: already -14.5. I took it.

USF -14.5
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

woodhog14

Quote from: widespreadsooie on October 28, 2016, 04:48:12 pm
That Auburn line does seem low considering how we ran on OM and now AUB ran on us.

Yep...and believe it or not, Ole Miss's run defense is worse than ours. They rank last in the SEC in rushing defense, while we are 13th in rushing defense.  ;D

widespreadsooie

Line is too stinky for me but would be a tad surprised if OM kept it in the number

Spikes

New plays for Saturday

ISU +6
Mich -24
Army +7
Gators -6.5( buy down to 6.5)
Cinn +7.5
Maryland +3.5


Will look for later games in a few hrs.  Good luck
You only have one life, so you better enjoy it!

SPAL

Guess I'm the only one buying ole miss

Mississippi+4.5

WILL CLINTON

Louisville -21 1h
Houston -10
Penn St -14
Miami -1
Baylor -4
Tulane pick'em
Wake Forest -6


All chalk, all week
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

WILL CLINTON

Quote from: sir-pigs-a-lot on October 29, 2016, 11:06:15 am
Guess I'm the only one buying ole miss

Mississippi+4.5

Which probably means you will be the only one to hit...
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

WILL CLINTON

Finally going against the chalk.

FL St +5
FL St +185 ML
Nebraska +9
Nebraska +280 ML
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

BigSexyHog

October 29, 2016, 02:36:27 pm #10697 Last Edit: October 29, 2016, 03:23:23 pm by BigSexyHog
ksu - 6
Cen Florida +10
West Vir - 4
Ga Tech - 6
Kent St  + 14
Purdue + 15

3 teams gave up 30+ points in the 2nd half after being up or covering....otherwise I would have cleaned up... Unbelievable.   WOW.... screw you purdue, ksu, and ga tech
Lebron raised money for kids... Rotnei stole crap from the equipment room

Spikes

Badgers -9.5

ORST +14

Arizona +4.5    all for 3 units   

You only have one life, so you better enjoy it!

Green_Lanternn

October 29, 2016, 06:00:12 pm #10699 Last Edit: October 29, 2016, 08:58:35 pm by Green_Lanternn
Ole miss +2.5 (1h)
South Carolina (1h) +8
Memphis -3.5(1h)
Clemson -4.5
SC +10 (2h)
SC/TN OVER 23.5 (2h)
Ole miss +3 (2h)
Ole miss/Auburn +35.5 (2h)
Texas A&M -17.5 (2h)