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  • #151 by Polecat on 14 Sep 2011
  • I think I'll shy away from the Hogs game this week, which typically indicates I think they'll win, but not cover. Hard to say because my heart always gets in the way when it comes to Razorback games
  • #152 by McKdaddy on 14 Sep 2011
  • Okie st looks like a 5 unit play for me.  Unfortunately there is generally a reason and I have yet to sniff out why it's so low,

    We always say, if it looks too good to be true . . . get the bloodhounds on it.
  • #153 by Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on 14 Sep 2011
  • These games made my "final cut" of potential plays:

    Stanford at Arizona (+10)- I like Stanford to win, just concerned about them going into the desert.

    Oklahoma at FSU (+3) 55 o/u-  Liking OU and the under.

    Ohio St at Miami (-2.5)- leaning towards taking OSU in the "Taking My Ineligibility to South Beach" Bowl.

    North Texas at Bama (-46)- Sounds crazy but I may take North Texas and the points for a few bucks here because I think Saban will rest some guys/call off the dogs early to avoid injuries heading into our game on the 24th.  I see this being a 42-3 kind of game and taking North Texas would be a no guts, no glory play.

    Louisville at Kentucky (-7) 42.5 o/u-  Based on each team's struggles the first two weeks, this game gives off a take the under aroma.

    Houston at LaTech (+7) - Like Houston to cover on the road; the 70pt o/u stuck out like a sore thumb on this one. Will stick to just taking Houston to cover here cause 70 makes me a bit too nervous.

    NoIllinois at Wisconsin (-16)- Wisconsin is one of those teams I do well with whether going with them or against them so I have a habit of looking at their lines.  My gut says they cover the 16 at home this week.

    UT at Florida (-9.5)- This line has moved up from 8.5 to 9.5 since yesterday.  I think this will be a close game and I am actually leaning toward taking UT and the points.

    Boise at Toledo (+20)- This game is getting a lot of action based on Toledo's near win at OSU last week. Line opened at 17.5 and moved to 20 today.  I don't know if I'll make a play here but find the line movement and "hype" for this game interesting.

    LSU at MSU (+3) 50 o/u- This game has been a coin flip to me this week so I probably wont make a play here but kept it on my big board for curiosity's sake.

    Okie St (-13.5) at Tulsa- Love Okie St to cover and per previous posts, am puzzled at the line here.


  • #154 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 14 Sep 2011
  • Couple thoughts here. Take them for what they are worth. Maybe .50 cents and a cup of coffee.

    I am not playing the LSU MISS ST game.  If someone handed me a grand and said you must bet it one way or the other I would take MISS ST +3.5

    I think many gamblers look too hard at rankings when making their bets. Example:  I think TCU started the season in the top 20.  They lost multiple starters and a QB that had started like a million games. That ranking to me was based in large part on schedule.  Same team playing an SEC schedule and they would not have been ranked at all.  Many easy wins for them so they will finish with a nice record.

    LSU beat what I thought to be an overrated Oregon team.  See above pre-season rankings based on schedule.

    Auburn is nowhere near as bad as their week 1 showing. MISS ST defense is not as bad as they looked against auburn.

    Long and short.  We don't know much about these teams.  LSU shoved Oregon around. They are bigger, stronger, and just as fast.  That's why I bet LSU.

    Miss ST big strong and fast as well.  I look for a low scoring game by college standards. 

    Miss ST 31 LSU 30
  • #155 by Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on 14 Sep 2011
  • I think they could look ahead blind folded and still cover that line.

    I think so as well.  I've been investigating this line a bit so here are some notes. Tulsa lost a starting corner to academics last week. No major injuries for either team. Interestingly, OSU was a 7 pt favorite last year at home(I think Blackmon was out) and won by 37. The average spread the last 10 times these two have played is OSU -8.5. The home team is 7-3 ATS in those 10 games. In the 4 games at Tulsa during that stretch, Tulsa is 3-1 ATS and 2-2 straight up. Tulsa does hold a 22-14-2 record in the series at home and have won 5 of the past 7 at home vs OSU, last win being in '98. The game is a late one (9:00pm) for central time and there's a 40% chance of rain. I figure OSU would be -21ish if this game was in Stillwater so maybe Vegas set this line based on some of the history here.

    I still love OSU to cover the 13.5. I think they win 45-24ish.

  • #156 by The Hogfather on 14 Sep 2011
  • Couple thoughts here. Take them for what they are worth. Maybe .50 cents and a cup of coffee.

    I am not playing the LSU MISS ST game.  If someone handed me a grand and said you must bet it one way or the other I would take MISS ST +3.5

    I think many gamblers look too hard at rankings when making their bets. Example:  I think TCU started the season in the top 20.  They lost multiple starters and a QB that had started like a million games. That ranking to me was based in large part on schedule.  Same team playing an SEC schedule and they would not have been ranked at all.  Many easy wins for them so they will finish with a nice record.

    LSU beat what I thought to be an overrated Oregon team.  See above pre-season rankings based on schedule.

    Auburn is nowhere near as bad as their week 1 showing. MISS ST defense is not as bad as they looked against auburn.

    Long and short.  We don't know much about these teams.  LSU shoved Oregon around. They are bigger, stronger, and just as fast.  That's why I bet LSU.

    Miss ST big strong and fast as well.  I look for a low scoring game by college standards. 

    Miss ST 31 LSU 30

    Completely agree.  I think it'll be lower scoring, though.  I'm thinking something like 24-20 or 24-21 MSU.
  • #157 by ur on 14 Sep 2011
  • top 4: hogs, houston, cinn, okie state
    2nd 4: ttech, aub, LSU, Boise
    Strongly considering: Stanford, ou ,tcu, florida, wisc (may replace Lsu and boise with stanford and one other)
    I only do parlays. have won every week. You don't want to know how much auburn cost me last week on a 7 team parlay.
    Still waiting for an answer on my earlier question. please pm if you don't want to post it. Thanks in advance.
  • #158 by McKdaddy on 14 Sep 2011
  • I know this does not pertain to anyone on here  ;) but I have an honest question. I have been trying to read up on the legality and finding different opinions. Is Online offshore sports investing on college football legal? Some say it is, some not. Also that it is illegal for U.S. banks to accept any money from these accounts. Also that even though you may not be able to get your money, you still owe taxes on it. Thanks in advance.

    IDK

    All I can say is that sportsbook.com takes deposits via cash transfer or visa, stating that visa is far less likely to reject your deposit to off-shore accts, as compared to Amex, mastercard, and discover. A year ago they were also accepting mastercard w/ the caveat that it was more likely to get rejected than visa. Now I no longer see mastercard listed under the deposit section of the site.

    I know this doesn't answer your question but I wanted to pass along what I know.
  • #159 by ur on 14 Sep 2011
  • IDK

    All I can say is that sportsbook.com takes deposits via cash transfer or visa, stating that visa is far less likely to reject your deposit to off-shore accts, as compared to Amex, mastercard, and discover. A year ago they were also accepting mastercard w/ the caveat that it was more likely to get rejected than visa. Now I no longer see mastercard listed under the deposit section of the site.

    I know this doesn't answer your question but I wanted to pass along what I know.
    Thanks. That is who I use. Started out as something fun because I watch so much college football. Like I said, last week, if Miss. State would have won, I would have been calling a cpa and an attorney. Considering switching to another venue. Do they offer this at any of the casinos in oklahoma or tunica?
  • #160 by McKdaddy on 14 Sep 2011
  • Thanks. That is who I use. Started out as something fun because I watch so much college football. Like I said, last week, if Miss. State would have won, I would have been calling a cpa and an attorney. Considering switching to another venue. Do they offer this at any of the casinos in oklahoma or tunica?

    No sports gambling at either
  • #161 by Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on 14 Sep 2011
  • I think I'll shy away from the Hogs game this week, which typically indicates I think they'll win, but not cover. Hard to say because my heart always gets in the way when it comes to Razorback games

    My number one rule is never make a play on a game featuring a team I have an emotional tie to.
  • #162 by WILL CLINTON on 15 Sep 2011
  • My number one rule is never make a play on a game featuring a team I have an emotional tie to.

    Im usually with you, but this week I honestly want Vandy to win, so it may be blinding me a tad...
  • #163 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 15 Sep 2011
  • Okay everyone I lied.  I did just make a couple plays on the game tonight.

    I played

    Miss St +3.5 for 1 unit.

    Over 49 1 unit

    Two team parlay the same way for half a unit.

    I may miss this all around, but I don't think so.  I know 49 sounds like a lot for these two teams, but!

    remember it's college.  Clock stops on every first down.  This leads to a team behind to have a better chance of scoring late.  Even if it is a courtesy clock killing drive. 

    I also expect a few turnovers and short fields for the offenses.  Never underestimate LSU scoring a TD off special teams as well.

    Sorry for saying before I wouldn't play it because I did.  I am honest about all my picks.  Even the ones I do not feel super great about.

  • #164 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 15 Sep 2011
  • Wow looks like I certainly shifted on the over.

    But good thing about taking the over is they can score till 00 on the clock.
  • #165 by WILL CLINTON on 15 Sep 2011
  • Okay everyone I lied.  I did just make a couple plays on the game tonight.

    I played

    Miss St +3.5 for 1 unit.

    Over 49 1 unit

    Two team parlay the same way for half a unit.

    I may miss this all around, but I don't think so.  I know 49 sounds like a lot for these two teams, but!

    remember it's college.  Clock stops on every first down.  This leads to a team behind to have a better chance of scoring late.  Even if it is a courtesy clock killing drive. 

    I also expect a few turnovers and short fields for the offenses.  Never underestimate LSU scoring a TD off special teams as well.

    Sorry for saying before I wouldn't play it because I did.  I am honest about all my picks.  Even the ones I do not feel super great about.



    Tough beat tonight bro. Sometimes that's just how it goes though. I was scared of this game, but I had no idea it would be a defensive struggle. Or maybe its just that LSU's offense is awful..Either way that defense is TOP NOTCH.  20 yds in the 2nd half?? dumb.
  • #166 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 15 Sep 2011
  • again, im late to the party. Workin a ton right now.....hard to post during the peak hours.

    did get a play in, and luckily went with LSU -3. Another 250 bet. Hood to start the week on top than in the hole.
  • #167 by scottagee on 16 Sep 2011
  • It wasn't the rout I thought but there wasn't much doubt either. Always nice to have a really big play on Thursday. LSU just has a nasty defense and MSU has an offense that plays right into their strength. They never had a chance.
  • #168 by McKdaddy on 16 Sep 2011
  • Parlay . . .

    WVa  +1
    Okie St  -13.5
  • #169 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 16 Sep 2011
  • Played Boise for 2 units

    Iowa ST for 1 unit

    2 team parlay the same way for 1 unit.
  • #170 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 16 Sep 2011
  • got cono tonight minus four
  • #171 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 16 Sep 2011
  • Hit all the way around tonight fir +5.5 units.  Nice after my screw up last night.
  • #172 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 17 Sep 2011
  • blah....uconn cost me a unit. 250-100= +150 for the week so far. Couple games im likely to bet tomorrow.....

    Temple +7
    Ohio U -5
    North Texas +47 (thats a lotta points for bama to cover)
  • #173 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 17 Sep 2011
  • A ton of games I like today and that's not always a good thing.

    What I have placed already with more to follow later.

    Penn st -7. 1 unit
    Auburn +3.5. 1 unit
    W VA +1.5. 1 unit
    Wisconsin -17. 2 units

    Three team parlay.
    Penn st -7
    Houston -6.6
    Okie st -13.5   
    1 unit.

  • #174 by IBGPN on 17 Sep 2011
  • my picks for today...
    ok st. -13.5    4 units
    ole miss -2.5    2 units
    houston -7    4 units
    stanford -9    2units
    penn st. -7    2 units

    and then a 6 point teaser with...
    florida -3.5
    ucla +9.5 for 2 units

    *edit also took mich st moneyline for +175 for 1 unit.
  • #175 by BigSexyHog on 17 Sep 2011
  • Well I went with Clemson and Maryland.  Clemson has screwed me so much in the past as I have been sucked in by all the hype around them.  Maybe its finally their time.  Also not a believer in West Virginia but what do I know.

    Good luck to everyone today except if you have Auburn and West Virginia. :)
  • #176 by BigSexyHog on 17 Sep 2011
  • Clemson was the worst bet in the history of gambling.  My God they are horrible and I knew it and still put money on those arse clowns in Orange. 
  • #177 by ChicoHog on 17 Sep 2011
  • I like your Okie st choice.  My best bet is AZ plus 10 vs Stanford in Tucson.  Stanford has played zero competition and lost 4 o-lineman.  Duke put him on his back last week.  their D is still good but I think they are highly over ranked at this time.  AZ needs a big win as Stoops is under pressure and of course are under valued after that debacle in Stillwater 10 days ago.  Look for a close game and maybe even an upset. 
  • #178 by McKdaddy on 17 Sep 2011
  • WVa won, now if Okie St doesn't look ahead too much to A&M
  • #179 by BigSexyHog on 17 Sep 2011
  • Well happy with the split this morning.  Clemson had me really worried.  No 2:30 action for me
  • #180 by ChicoHog on 17 Sep 2011
  • Clemson was the worst bet in the history of gambling.  My God they are horrible and I knew it and still put money on those arse clowns in Orange. 
    You want to take that back?  They came out to play after the early deficit. 
  • #181 by agr347 on 17 Sep 2011
  • I took Okie St. -13.5.  Seems to ggod to be true, which usually means it is, but we will see
  • #182 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 17 Sep 2011
  • blah....uconn cost me a unit. 250-100= +150 for the week so far. Couple games im likely to bet tomorrow.....

    Temple +7
    Ohio U -5
    North Texas +47 (thats a lotta points for bama to cover)


    pulled the trigger on these. 5 units on temple, 2.5 on the other 2. Added Kansas st for 2, Navy for 2, and Miami OH for 3.

    Have 3 on Oklahoma state tonight.

    5-1 so far...had a really good day.
  • #183 by McKdaddy on 17 Sep 2011
  • This okie lite / Tulsa game needs to be played so I can (hopefully) collect on the parlay.
  • #184 by WILL CLINTON on 18 Sep 2011
  • Finished up 5-2 today, so not a bad day.

    Overall
    2011-2012 CFB
      Record 9-6-0     Profit - $-10     Bankroll $990

    Next week lines should be out tomorrow. I guess we'll see what we got
  • #185 by Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on 18 Sep 2011
  • Finished 7-2 this week. Won on OU, Stanford, North Texas, Okie St, Western Mich, the UK/UL under, and Wisconsin. Lost on Tennessee and Houston. Can't complain.
  • #186 by McKdaddy on 18 Sep 2011
  • Finished 7-2 this week. Won on OU, Stanford, North Texas, Okie St, Western Mich, the UK/UL under, and Wisconsin. Lost on Tennessee and Houston. Can't complain.

    No you can't, great week. 
  • #187 by ur on 18 Sep 2011
  • How in the heck can La Tech go into ot with uca and then play Houston to within one point. Them, the hogs, and once again auburn, hurt me. 9-3 for the weekend.  Still way, way up thanks to weeks one and two. Time to par down the parlays. Games will get tougher with conf. play beginning. Home field will play big from here on out.
  • #188 by Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head on 18 Sep 2011
  • Might as well get a start on the week. Here's a few early lines worth noting:

    Ark at Bama -12.5- I'll never touch a Hog game but it will be interesting to see how much the line changes.

    UGA -6 at OM- I'd take UGA but I won't touch this one out of discipline.

    LSU -6 at WVU- Need to check out WVU because I thought this line would be higher, like LSU -12.

    Florida -11 at UK- Liking Florida to cover on the road.

    USC-E -18.5 at Vandy- Gut says take Vandy and the points. Based on that statement alone, I need to dig into this one a bit.

    West. Mich at Illinois -15.5- I really want to see the o/u on this one. WMU can put up some points.

    SMU -21.5 at Memphis- This says love SMU all day but my gut says it's a trap. TBD

    Rice at Baylor -19.5- Initially like Baylor here

    Okie St at aTM -3 -  Leaning towards taking Okie St.

    Missouri at OU -19.5 - Thinking OU hammers Mizzou in this one.

    Nebraska -25.5 at Wyoming- My gut says Neb. wins by 30. TBD

    LaTech at MSU -18 - All a matter of what MSU team shows up. MSU also goes to UGA next week so they could call off the dogs if they have a 2 TD+ lead in the second half. TBD

    Fla.Atl at Auburn -31.5 - Auburn goes to USC-E next week so they could call off the dogs early here. TBD


  • #189 by Polecat on 19 Sep 2011
  • Might as well get a start on the week. Here's a few early lines worth noting:

    Ark at Bama -12.5- I'll never touch a Hog game but it will be interesting to see how much the line changes.

    UGA -6 at OM- I'd take UGA but I won't touch this one out of discipline.

    LSU -6 at WVU- Need to check out WVU because I thought this line would be higher, like LSU -12.

    Florida -11 at UK- Liking Florida to cover on the road.

    USC-E -18.5 at Vandy- Gut says take Vandy and the points. Based on that statement alone, I need to dig into this one a bit.

    West. Mich at Illinois -15.5- I really want to see the o/u on this one. WMU can put up some points.

    SMU -21.5 at Memphis- This says love SMU all day but my gut says it's a trap. TBD

    Rice at Baylor -19.5- Initially like Baylor here

    Okie St at aTM -3 -  Leaning towards taking Okie St.

    Missouri at OU -19.5 - Thinking OU hammers Mizzou in this one.

    Nebraska -25.5 at Wyoming- My gut says Neb. wins by 30. TBD

    LaTech at MSU -18 - All a matter of what MSU team shows up. MSU also goes to UGA next week so they could call off the dogs if they have a 2 TD+ lead in the second half. TBD

    Fla.Atl at Auburn -31.5 - Auburn goes to USC-E next week so they could call off the dogs early here. TBD




    I'm with you. I think I'll put a small amount of coin on the Hogs, that way I'm double happy when they win.

    I also like SMU and Georgia quite a bit. Would be a nice 3-team parlay to throw in Florida. Just my opinion
  • #190 by Polecat on 19 Sep 2011
  • I also hit a nice NFL 3-team parlay taking the over in Dallas/San Fran, Bengals/Broncos and Pats/Chargers. Hit the over in the Eagles late game as well.
  • #191 by WILL CLINTON on 19 Sep 2011
  • I cant believe I missed UGA at 6, up to 7 that is a 5* stone cold lock of the year. Even at -10, where it is now, its prolly still a 1 or 2* play.

    Florida St -3....2*
    I think they try to make a statement after losing to OU

    LSU -5.5....3*
     I see them destroying WVU on defense, and their offense is just enough to carry them to about a 31-10 game.

    UCLA +3.5....3*
    If UCLA can't beat Oregon St this year, then Neuhisel is on his way out the door, they are getting 3.5 points so I like them ATS and SU.


    These are all I saw so far, and I still may add Georgia.  I was 2-0 on the unusual line movement picks and I've got my eye out for anything else crazy. There are a couple of trends starting to develop already from just the past 24 hours of betting.
  • #192 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 19 Sep 2011
  • I am probably crazy but.

    Rams +6.5. 1 unit
    Under 44.5 1 unit

    2 team parlay same way for 1 unit.
  • #193 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 19 Sep 2011
  • I am probably crazy but.

    Rams +6.5. 1 unit
    Under 44.5 1 unit

    2 team parlay same way for 1 unit.

    i like it.
  • #194 by WILL CLINTON on 20 Sep 2011
  • I'm bumping my Florida St -3 bet up to a 3*, and because of the line movement I'm adding:

    Florida St  +1...3*
    Just like last week, this is one of the games that the line movement has already shifted Florida St from a 3 point favorite all the way to a 1 point dog, and it probably isn't done moving yet.
  • #195 by ur on 20 Sep 2011
  • Looks like FSU is really banged up.
    http://espn.go.com/ncf/preview?gameId=312670228
  • #196 by ur on 23 Sep 2011
  • My favs for the weekend. Boise, oregon, LSU, florida, georgia, smu, auburn, nebraska, south florida, geo tech, miami, va tech.
  • #197 by WILL CLINTON on 23 Sep 2011
  • I'm bumping my Florida St -3 bet up to a 3*, and because of the line movement I'm adding:

    Florida St  +1...3*
    Just like last week, this is one of the games that the line movement has already shifted Florida St from a 3 point favorite all the way to a 1 point dog, and it probably isn't done moving yet.


    LIne is up to Florida St +2.5.  This is what makes me take a closer look at this game; the line started at Florida St -3, 71% of the money is coming in on the Seminoles, and yet the line is moving in Clemson's favor.

    Also adding

    Georgia -10....1*
    As I said earlier, I would have made this my lock of the year at 6.5-7, and even at 10 I still think Georgia wins handily. 45-7 Dawgs
  • #198 by ur on 23 Sep 2011
  • The movement on FSU is puzzling. They are really banged up on offense but their defense may be able to shut Clemson down. I am afraid to touch that one. Good luck and go Noles!
  • #199 by The Hogfather on 23 Sep 2011
  • I like UCF tonight.  Haven't decided if I'm going to make a play on the total yet.  Kind of like the OVER, but not sure if I'm going to pull the trigger.
  • #200 by SixtySecondsOfPitino on 23 Sep 2011
  • UCF +2
    GA Tech -7
    Army -4

    Love all of these.
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