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OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)

Started by WILL CLINTON, August 28, 2011, 09:41:36 pm

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WILL CLINTON

Can't believe the CB ran that one back..even the coach said he wished he wouldn't have scored. it was a done deal. Oh well, must've been the uniforms...

2011-2012 CFB
  Record 2-3-0     Profit - $-180     Bankroll $820
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

The Hogfather

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on September 06, 2011, 08:58:56 pm
Can't believe the CB ran that one back..even the coach said he wished he wouldn't have scored. it was a done deal. Oh well, must've been the uniforms...

2011-2012 CFB
  Record 2-3-0     Profit - $-180     Bankroll $820


HORRIBLE.  I had Miami and OVER.  I just knew I had it won.  4th down.  They get it, I win.  They don't, I win.  They throw a pick 6, I lose.  When I'm on a side in a particular game, the worst usually happens.  ;)

 

SPAL

how are we playing tonight.....

Im kinda leaning to Arizona +15 against OSU and i kinda like the under 47.5 total in the NFL game.

Thought on tonights?

megabull

AZ on the road
early week game
criner out
Okie Lite defense not as bad a most think

I'll take the Pokes -14

BigSexyHog

Quote from: megabull on September 08, 2011, 01:07:38 pm
AZ on the road
early week game
criner out
Okie Lite defense not as bad a most think

I'll take the Pokes -14

I like the pokes alot myself
Lebron raised money for kids... Rotnei stole crap from the equipment room

SPAL

small parlay tonight...

250 on NO Saints +4.5 and Arizona +14 to win 560

WILL CLINTON

Making a couple of plays for this weekend. Not a whole lot I like going into the weekend.  Seems to be some really accurate and tight lines out there for this weekends action. 

Louisville -4....1*
for some reason, a couple of vegas books opened this line at -9 and it got pounded down to -4, where it started at most sportsbooks. To me, that just shows that there are a lot of people who looked at the Louisville game last week and see easy $$.  I believe that Louisville will be a more prepared team, especially facing Florida International.

Michigan +4....2*
I just don't know why Notre Dame is giving up points here after getting whipped by USF.  Michigan is a better football team in my opinion and I don't see Brian Kelly getting past yr 3 at ND.

Vandy -2....2*
I like what Vandy did last weekend, even though it was against Elon. I think Franklin has a chance to win 3 or 4 games this year, and that starts with the ooc. They may even scare some folks in the East and probably beat Ole Miss.


I may add another couple, I'm not sure yet.  I've learned from now on, I won't look at any trends or stats or bet % until after I make my picks.  G/L to all this week...and thank God or (insert your personal favorite diety here) for college football season.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

The Great Hambino


WILL CLINTON

Quote from: PianoMo on September 08, 2011, 03:32:16 pm
Arizona tonight.
Mizzou tomorrow night.

I'm on the other side of the Ok St game, but not putting my money where my mouth is. G/L to you. 

96% of the money coming in on the ML is on Mizzou, but 71% of the spread money is on ASU. Take that for what its worth. 

I see why people are on Mizzou (100 to win 300 is a better payday than 110 to win 100), but Im staying away from it. Mizzou hasn't had temps in the 100's since the first week of August, and the temp for the game is 100 with Heat Index of 98. I see fatigue being a problem for them.

If you don't mind, what makes them look good to you?  Im always looking for new angles and information.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

September 08, 2011, 04:27:22 pm #109 Last Edit: September 08, 2011, 04:33:32 pm by hogfanintx
Quote from: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 08, 2011, 02:43:49 pm
small parlay tonight...

250 on NO Saints +4.5 and Arizona +14 to win 560


Where are you playing?  If you are playing a 2 team parlay the payout should be higher than that. 250 2 teamer should pay 625.

Are you buying points?
Let's make some waves.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Tonight and I may be crazy but I played as follows

Arizona +13.5 1 unit

Over 66 2 units

2 team parlay same wAy 1 unit.

I played

Packer -4.5 1 unit

Over 47 1 unit

Parlay same wAy 1 unit.


Hey will check your pm's
Let's make some waves.

SPAL

ouch, another week starting down 250. Hope to get it going this weekend.

IBGPN

Quote from: sir-pigs-a-lot on September 05, 2011, 10:11:28 pm
Therxforum.com mainly...lots of good info over there. They post most service plays, which i use only as a tool to better my own bets. I don't follow touts blindly, but i will use their opinion if i am torn on which way to go. I may have a board with 10 games on it and narrow it down to 5, then if i have a game which all  my info leaves me right in the middle, i may look for some of the better touts to go one way or the other. But the main reason i use it is for the info they bring.
I also check sbr forums, but mainly rx.
thanks! i have been using thespread.com and covers.com forums.

this was my last week... Totals: risk $385.50 to win $596.76 amount paid $426.67

 

BigSexyHog

who's got the picks for tomorrow?  Didn't play anything Thurs or Friday. 
Lebron raised money for kids... Rotnei stole crap from the equipment room

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

I am on Iowa this morning for 3 units.  Have not yet planned the rest of the action for today.
Let's make some waves.

BigSexyHog

Jumped in on Wisconsin and Iowa this morning.  Liked a few more but need to limit my early games...LOL

Hopefully I picked the right ones.
Lebron raised money for kids... Rotnei stole crap from the equipment room

ur

stanford, bama, houston.
also like miss state, SCe, Florida.
out on a limb-Wisc, oregon, neb, ohio state, minn.
And of course, The Hogs!

IBGPN

my picks for today. these are all two team 6 point teasers and some totals at 2 units each....
Arizona State -4.0 win
BYU +13.0

Alabama -4.0
Michigan +9.0

Iowa -1.0
California -0.0

Wisconsin -14.0
Ohio State -11.5

UTEP @ SMU: Over 54.5
Alabama @ Penn State: Under 41.5
New Mexico @ Arkansas: Over 54.5

McKdaddy

Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Let's make some waves.

BigSexyHog

Freakin Notre Lame is costing me big time.  Looks like a big ole fashion split today... 2-2


thanks Wisconsin and Vandy... Suck on it Iowa and Notre Lame...

Freaking giving up 21 points in the 4th... Spare a$$ program.
Lebron raised money for kids... Rotnei stole crap from the equipment room

Polecat

Parlayed the over in the hogs game and Houston to cover. Nice hit. Also won with tcu and Arkansas covering. Msu screwed me, but a good day. Ready for NFL tomorrow
Arkansas born and raised. 1999 UA alum

SPAL


WILL CLINTON

Missed big time on Louisville, totally had them overrated in my mind. Almost missed Mich, but ND really is not a good football team and shouldn't have been in that game like they were. Vandy had me scared though. I hit the other two games I was watching, Tenn v Cincy and Oregon v Nevada, but I never felt good enough to put them down. Should have gone with my gut...


2011-2012 CFB
  Record 4-4-0     Profit - $-57     Bankroll $943
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

 

BigSexyHog

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on September 10, 2011, 11:56:05 pm
Missed big time on Louisville, totally had them overrated in my mind. Almost missed Mich, but ND really is not a good football team and shouldn't have been in that game like they were. Vandy had me scared though. I hit the other two games I was watching, Tenn v Cincy and Oregon v Nevada, but I never felt good enough to put them down. Should have gone with my gut...


2011-2012 CFB
  Record 4-4-0     Profit - $-57     Bankroll $943

I almost pulled the trigger on Tenn as well.  But decided against it.. Costly mistake...lol
Lebron raised money for kids... Rotnei stole crap from the equipment room

SPAL

I dont know if i'm cursed or what, but it seems when i post my picks i lose and if i just stay away, i win. Last season i didnt post in here and had a solid year...this year, not so much.

That said, I have a couple of solid games today in the NFL. I like Pitt +1 at Baltimore and I like Arizona -6 against the Cams. I like these picks a lot....i plan to right the ship today.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

I played the steelers +1.5 for 1 unit

Lions +1.5 one unit

Jets -5.5 3 units.

2 team parlay steelers and jets.
Let's make some waves.

SPAL

oi....the steelers. Didnt play much, just 75 , but its another loss. Made a couple more plays today. not gonna post em to see if i can break my curse.

Boardon Hamsay

Went 3-0 on the weekend. Took Michigan, the Bama/PSU under, and the Auburn/MSU over. Haven't seen any early lines yet but am curious about the line on OU/FSU. Thinking it will be OU by 3-4.
Quote from: Pillowhead Jackson on October 16, 2017, 07:51:05 pmDo nursing homes buy a lot of lobsters for their residents or are you back behind the trash dumpster selling hot lobsters ito Uncle Dewey for his social security money?
Quote from: Rudy Baylor on March 26, 2019, 08:33:58 pmBill Self seriously just jogged by my front yard. I almost accidentally sprayed him with Weed&Feed
Quote from: thebignasty on April 03, 2019, 12:07:41 pmExploitation of quantum mechanics pretty much has to be addressed in the NCAA handbook.
Quote from: theFlyingHog on June 09, 2021, 10:50:01 amYou certainly keep the waters well chummed.
Quote from: PonderinHog on October 22, 2021, 10:03:28 amI'm no longer drinking yet.

SPAL

wowza...put 250 on the niners against the seahawks. With the niners up 9, TJAck blows up for 55 yards to cut it to 2....ensuing kickoff puts me back on top for the spread. This is nuts.

The Cardinal win was for 250...1-1 on the day, one pending and i got some action on the sunday night game. Really need the niners to hold on.

SPAL

and Ginn is my favorite player in the NFL. His k/o return put me back to 9, and then the man returns a punt. Holy Moley.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

I ended up - 5 units on the weekend.  Means I am due for another bigtime week like week 1.  Let's go guys good luck all.
Let's make some waves.

SPAL

-250 on the parlay on thursday
-75 on the steelers
+ 250 with the niners, +250 on the cardinals, +250 on the cowboys.

Previous week Bankroll= 1670
Week 2 Earnings = 425
Current bankroll =2095

Ive got 150 on the broncs tonight, so this will change barring a push. All in all a solid weekend.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Sir pigs. Best of luck.  I have 5 units on the raiders tonight.  One of the few bets o made this weekend.

Honestly been caught up on the 9/11 stuff.  Very personal to me.
Let's make some waves.

Boardon Hamsay

A few interesting lines out:

Auburn at Clemson (-4) liking Auburn despite the taste of bile in my mouth
OU at FSU (+3.5) leaning towards taking OU
Okie St at Tulsa (+14) liking Okie St
Ohio St at Miami (-2) toss up
LSU at MSU (+3.5) TBD
Quote from: Pillowhead Jackson on October 16, 2017, 07:51:05 pmDo nursing homes buy a lot of lobsters for their residents or are you back behind the trash dumpster selling hot lobsters ito Uncle Dewey for his social security money?
Quote from: Rudy Baylor on March 26, 2019, 08:33:58 pmBill Self seriously just jogged by my front yard. I almost accidentally sprayed him with Weed&Feed
Quote from: thebignasty on April 03, 2019, 12:07:41 pmExploitation of quantum mechanics pretty much has to be addressed in the NCAA handbook.
Quote from: theFlyingHog on June 09, 2021, 10:50:01 amYou certainly keep the waters well chummed.
Quote from: PonderinHog on October 22, 2021, 10:03:28 amI'm no longer drinking yet.

SPAL

Quote from: hogfanintx on September 12, 2011, 09:43:43 pm
Sir pigs. Best of luck.  I have 5 units on the raiders tonight.  One of the few bets o made this weekend.

Honestly been caught up on the 9/11 stuff.  Very personal to me.

looks like u got it. I thought the broncs would show up, but this offense is simply anemic. By the way, I miss dmac

BigSexyHog

Lebron raised money for kids... Rotnei stole crap from the equipment room

scottagee

LSU is going to kill Miss. St. Going to be very ugly.

The Hogfather


Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

I will probably just stay away from that LSU miss st game.  Too much uncertainty for me.
Let's make some waves.

IBGPN

Quote from: scottagee on September 13, 2011, 09:11:27 am
LSU is going to kill Miss. St. Going to be very ugly.
still do not understand that line. vegas knows something.

Boardon Hamsay

Quote from: hogfanintx on September 13, 2011, 09:41:19 am
I will probably just stay away from that LSU miss st game.  Too much uncertainty for me.

Same here. I will likely leave LSU/Miss ST alone but thought the line was interesting.
Quote from: Pillowhead Jackson on October 16, 2017, 07:51:05 pmDo nursing homes buy a lot of lobsters for their residents or are you back behind the trash dumpster selling hot lobsters ito Uncle Dewey for his social security money?
Quote from: Rudy Baylor on March 26, 2019, 08:33:58 pmBill Self seriously just jogged by my front yard. I almost accidentally sprayed him with Weed&Feed
Quote from: thebignasty on April 03, 2019, 12:07:41 pmExploitation of quantum mechanics pretty much has to be addressed in the NCAA handbook.
Quote from: theFlyingHog on June 09, 2021, 10:50:01 amYou certainly keep the waters well chummed.
Quote from: PonderinHog on October 22, 2021, 10:03:28 amI'm no longer drinking yet.

The Hogfather

Quote from: IBGPN on September 13, 2011, 09:41:33 am
still do not understand that line. vegas knows something.

Yeah, like MSU is still a good team and playing at home, even though they looked kinda bad last week.  LSU has had everything their way so far, but I'm not so sure they're as good as they've looked.  We'll see Saturday.  Sure looks like the books want LSU money, though, meaning they'll probably win by 3 or less or lose outright (I think the line is 3.5).

ur

I know this does not pertain to anyone on here  ;) but I have an honest question. I have been trying to read up on the legality and finding different opinions. Is Online offshore sports investing on college football legal? Some say it is, some not. Also that it is illegal for U.S. banks to accept any money from these accounts. Also that even though you may not be able to get your money, you still owe taxes on it. Thanks in advance.

WILL CLINTON

Looks like I may have more picks than normal this week.

I'm starting this week out with a couple of picks based completely on line movement. 
WV +3....1*
UTEP +3....1*
What happened here was that both of these teams opened up as 2 point favorites, and the betting has pushed the line to what you see above.  Ive not seen that kind of movement very often and I want to see if I have a pretty good read on this.

Vandy +1.5....2*
Vandy has been good to me so far this year, and I don't see them slowing down. Ole Miss is in shambles on offense with 3 or 4 QB's already seeing playing time in 2 games. I think Vandy could get off the Eastern Division cellar this year.

Ball St -5.5....1*
Ball St and Bowling Green have almost always been profitable investments for me over the years.  Im not sure why, but they have.  For some reason this one just stood out to me, so I'm going with my gut.

Ohio St +2.5....3*
Ohio St is a better football team than Miami, and they don't have 1/2 the distractions that Miami has. Besides, with HPA, the line is pointing to a 1/2 point Buckeyes win. I'll buy the hook to be sure.

Oklahoma St -13.5....2*
I just don't understand how Ok ST is favored over Tulsa by LESS than they were over Arizona.  Playing at Tulsa and whatever rivalry there is aside, Ok St should be able to name their score against an overmatched Tulsa team.


still got a couple I'll be watching over the next day or so. Texas v UCLA, Miami of Ohio v Minnesota and Stanford v Arizona.
There is no sacred ground for the conquered.

McKdaddy

Quote from: WILL CLINTON on September 14, 2011, 03:54:11 pm
Looks like I may have more picks than normal this week.

I'm starting this week out with a couple of picks based completely on line movement. 
WV +3....1*
UTEP +3....1*
What happened here was that both of these teams opened up as 2 point favorites, and the betting has pushed the line to what you see above.  Ive not seen that kind of movement very often and I want to see if I have a pretty good read on this.

Vandy +1.5....2*
Vandy has been good to me so far this year, and I don't see them slowing down. Ole Miss is in shambles on offense with 3 or 4 QB's already seeing playing time in 2 games. I think Vandy could get off the Eastern Division cellar this year.

Ball St -5.5....1*
Ball St and Bowling Green have almost always been profitable investments for me over the years.  Im not sure why, but they have.  For some reason this one just stood out to me, so I'm going with my gut.

Ohio St +2.5....3*
Ohio St is a better football team than Miami, and they don't have 1/2 the distractions that Miami has. Besides, with HPA, the line is pointing to a 1/2 point Buckeyes win. I'll buy the hook to be sure.

Oklahoma St -13.5....2*
I just don't understand how Ok ST is favored over Tulsa by LESS than they were over Arizona.  Playing at Tulsa and whatever rivalry there is aside, Ok St should be able to name their score against an overmatched Tulsa team.


still got a couple I'll be watching over the next day or so. Texas v UCLA, Miami of Ohio v Minnesota and Stanford v Arizona.

The lines for both of the osu teams stood out to me as well.
Don't buy upgrades, ride up grades.

"You are everything that is wrong with this place . . . Ban me"

"CPI, ex-food and energy, is only good for an anorexic pedestrian"--Art Cashin

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Okie st looks like a 5 unit play for me.  Unfortunately there is generally a reason and I have yet to sniff out why it's so low,
Let's make some waves.

Boardon Hamsay

Quote from: hogfanintx on September 14, 2011, 04:06:53 pm
Okie st looks like a 5 unit play for me.  Unfortunately there is generally a reason and I have yet to sniff out why it's so low,

Yeah, that Okie St line is still puzzling me.  No major injuries. Only thing I can theorize is Vegas thinks Okie St could be looking ahead to aTm the week after.
Quote from: Pillowhead Jackson on October 16, 2017, 07:51:05 pmDo nursing homes buy a lot of lobsters for their residents or are you back behind the trash dumpster selling hot lobsters ito Uncle Dewey for his social security money?
Quote from: Rudy Baylor on March 26, 2019, 08:33:58 pmBill Self seriously just jogged by my front yard. I almost accidentally sprayed him with Weed&Feed
Quote from: thebignasty on April 03, 2019, 12:07:41 pmExploitation of quantum mechanics pretty much has to be addressed in the NCAA handbook.
Quote from: theFlyingHog on June 09, 2021, 10:50:01 amYou certainly keep the waters well chummed.
Quote from: PonderinHog on October 22, 2021, 10:03:28 amI'm no longer drinking yet.

Polecat

Arkansas born and raised. 1999 UA alum

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: rlh06 on September 14, 2011, 04:24:43 pm
Yeah, that Okie St line is still puzzling me.  No major injuries. Only thing I can theorize is Vegas thinks Okie St could be looking ahead to aTm the week after.

I think they could look ahead blind folded and still cover that line.
Let's make some waves.